Healthcare resource utilization among patients with relapsed multiple myeloma in the UK, France, and Italy

Treatment pathways and clinical outcomes in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma outside Europe and North America: The INTEGRATE study

BACKGROUND

Real-world data on multiple myeloma (MM) outside Europe and North America are limited. The INTEGRATE study retrospectively assessed real-world treatment pathways and outcomes in MM from Argentina, China, South Korea, South Africa, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan, and Türkiye.

METHODS

Medical records (2010-2011) of patients (≥ 18 years) with newly diagnosed MM were analyzed. The primary endpoint was time to next treatment (TTNT). Secondary endpoints included treatment pathways and clinical outcomes stratified by stem cell transplantation (SCT).

RESULTS

Of 1511 patients analyzed (median age: 59.5 years), 32% had IgG kappa MM and 35.9% had International Staging System stage III disease. Bortezomib- and thalidomide-based chemotherapy regimens were the most common first- and second-line treatments; lenalidomide-based regimens were common in later lines. Median TTNT from initiation of first-line treatment was 39.5 months. Only 31.7% of patients received SCT at diagnosis, with improved outcomes versus those without SCT (median overall survival: 114.1 vs 85.9 months; 5-year relapse-free rates after first-line treatment: 58.2% vs 49.3%).

CONCLUSION

Treatment strategies for MM outside Europe and North America align with guideline recommendations. More effective treatments and SCT at treatment initiation are needed. This study can guide future research in these regions utilizing newer treatment options.

Navigating the Economic Burden of Multiple Myeloma: Insights into Cost-effectiveness of CAR-T and Bispecific Antibody Therapies

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Multiple myeloma is a chronic malignancy and with evolving treatment options, understanding the economic burden and cost-effectiveness of therapies is crucial for clinicians and researchers.

RECENT FINDINGS

In this, we review the recent approval of Bispecific antibodies and CAR-T for myeloma and their cost implications, including direct and indirect costs. We compare this to current regimens and provide cost comparisons in this review. We conclude that the use of more effective therapies such as CAR-T in earlier lines of therapies may be more cost-effective depending on the country and model used. Further studies are essential to better understand the cost-effectiveness of bispecific antibodies including head-to-head comparisons to CAR-T therapy.

Real-World Health Care Services Utilization Associated With the Management of Patients With Relapsed and Refractory Multiple Myeloma in Spain: The CharisMMa Study

BACKGROUND

Most patients with multiple myeloma (MM) relapse or become refractory, resulting in high health care costs. However, real-world data regarding the utilization of health care services among the relapsed/refractory MM (RRMM) population are scarce.

METHODS

Observational, cross-sectional, multicenter study of the utilization of health care services by RRMM patients who had relapsed within the previous 6 months in Spain in a real-world setting. Data were collected from the clinical records and during a single structured interview and included sociodemographic and clinical characteristics at last relapse, the treatment and health care services nature, and were presented using descriptive statistics.

RESULTS

The 276 patients enrolled (53.3% males), with a mean [SD] age of 67.4 [10.5] years, had experienced their most recent relapse a median (IQR) of 1.61 (0.74, 3.14) months before entering the study. Patients lived a median (IQR) of 9.0 (3.0, 30.0) km away from the hospital and visited the hospital a median (IQR) of 3.0 (2.0, 5.0) times/month to receive treatment for their most recent relapse. They spent a median (IQR) of 15.84 (5.0, 42.0) euros/month on transportation. Since their most recent relapse, most patients had been admitted to a hospital unit (n = 155, 56.2%), had required ≥1 diagnostic tests (n = 227, 82.2%), and had consulted the hematologist (n = 270, 97.8%) a mean (SD) of 5.5 (5.4) times. In half of the visits, patients were accompanied by an actively working caregiver (n = 112, 54.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

RRMM treatments are associated with a high utilization of health care services and pose a significant burden for patients and caregivers.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03188536.

Real-world treatment patterns, healthcare resource use and disease burden in patients with multiple myeloma in Europe

Aim: To investigate treatment patterns, healthcare resource utilization and disease burden in patients with multiple myeloma (MM). Methods: Point-in-time survey of physicians and their patients presenting in a real-world clinical setting, collected across Europe between May and November 2021. Results: In total, 173 physicians provided data for 2179 patients with MM. Treatments received became more diverse as line of therapy increased, dictated by previous treatment choices. Overall, 25% of all patients were tri-exposed, and experienced a higher degree of healthcare resource utilization, disease burden and impairment than non-tri-exposed patients. Conclusion: The treatment landscape in MM is complex and evolving. There is an unmet need for more effective therapies to reduce disease burden, particularly in tri-exposed patients.

Assessing the treatment pattern, health care resource utilisation, and economic burden of multiple myeloma in France using the Système National des Données de Santé (SNDS) database: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Real-world data on health care resource utilisation (HCRU) and costs for French patients with multiple myeloma (MM) are limited due to the quickly evolving MM treatment landscape. This retrospective, national-level study quantified the MM economic burden in France.

METHODS

The study included patients with newly diagnosed MM from the Système National des Données de Santé coverage claims database between 2013 and 2018 who received active treatment within 30 days of diagnosis. HCRU included hospitalisations, drugs, consultations, procedures, tests, devices, transport, and sick leave. Costs were annualized to 2019 prices. Drug treatments, reported by line of therapy (LOT), were algorithmically defined using drug regimen, duration of therapy, and gaps between treatments. Analyses were stratified by stem cell transplantation status and LOT.

RESULTS

Among 6413 eligible patients, 6229 (97.1%) received ≥ 1 identifiable LOT; most received 1 (39.8%) or 2 LOT (27.5%) during follow-up. Average annual hospitalisation was 6.3 episodes/patient/year (median duration: 11.6 days). The average annual cost/patient was €58.3 K. Key cost drivers were treatment (€28.2 K; 39.5% of total HCRU within one year of MM diagnosis) and hospitalisations (€22.2 K; 48.6% of total HCRU costs in first year). Monthly treatment-related costs increased from LOT1 (€2.447 K) and LOT5 + (€7.026 K); only 9% of patients received LOT5 + . At LOT4 + , 37 distinct regimens were identified. Hospitalisation costs were higher in patients with stem cell transplantation than total population, particularly in the first year.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed a high economic burden of MM in France (€72.37 K/patient/year in the first year) and the diversity of regimens used in late-line treatments.

Cost-effectiveness of idecabtagene vicleucel compared with conventional care in triple-class exposed relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma patients in Canada and France

BACKGROUND

The chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy idecabtagene vicleucel (ide-cel) is approved for the treatment of adult patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) who have already received an immunomodulatory agent, a proteasome inhibitor, and an anti-CD38 antibody and have progressed on their last therapy. The objective of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of ide-cel versus conventional care in Canada and France.

METHODS

A partitioned survival model was used to estimate the cost-effectiveness of ide-cel (target dose 450 × 10⁶ CAR T cells) in its approved indication in terms of life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), and costs. Patient-level data from the KarMMa Phase II clinical trial (clinicaltrials.gov NCT03361748) and KarMMa-RW study were used to inform the model; overall and progression-free survival were extrapolated using standard parametric functions after the observed periods. The model adopted Canadian and French societal perspectives over a lifetime horizon. Costs, utilities, discounting (Canada: 1.5%, France: 2.5%), and general population mortality were country-specific.

RESULTS

The base case demonstrated that ide-cel was associated with more additional LYs (+2.64 and +2.51) and QALYs (+2.31 and +2.54) than conventional care at incremental costs of CAN$588,490 and €392,251 in Canada and France, respectively. The resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for ide-cel was $255,245 per QALY in Canada, and €154,593 per QALY in France.

CONCLUSION

Ide-cel was associated with significant survival improvements in terms of both LYs and QALYs in patients with progressive triple-class-exposed RRMM. The ICER for ide-cel was similar to that of other approved and reimbursed RRMM therapies.

Beyond medicines' barriers: exploring the true cost of multiple myeloma

AIM

The goal of this research was to quantify and qualify all the costs associated with multiple myeloma (MM) from a healthcare and societal perspective and to highlight certain costs that are often underestimated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study used a mixed methods approach that consisted of three phases: a systemic literature review (SLR), a virtual roundtable discussion based on the results of the SLR, and an online survey.

RESULTS

In total, 4321 records were identified by literature and snowball searches. After applying the eligibility criteria, 49 articles were included in the narrative summary. As combination treatments have become the mainstay of MM treatment, drug costs have become the most important component of the total healthcare costs. Collected evidence suggests that optimizing treatment pathways, besides prolonging patient survival and maintaining quality of life, has the potential to generate cost savings for all stakeholders (payers and patients). Improved patient access to new therapies that can improve outcomes may reduce the "financial toxicity" of MM by decreasing patients' and caregivers' productivity loss due to better prognosis and it also has the potential of reducing patients' direct health care payments.

LIMITATIONS

Heterogeneity of research objectives of included studies, costing methods, and applied measurement units limited the comparability of cost data between studies. Data for more than half of the world's population, including China, Russia, the Middle East, and Africa were not investigated.

CONCLUSION

While treatment costs are burdensome for healthcare systems, it is only one of several items that make up the True Cost of MM. Understanding these burdens is one way to argue for optimized treatment pathways and improve patient outcomes by tearing down access barriers.

Treatment Patterns and Outcomes in Triple-Class Exposed Patients With Relapsed and Refractory Multiple Myeloma: Findings From the Multinational ITEMISE Study

PURPOSE

Patients with relapsed and refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) have a poor prognosis and limited treatment options after exposure to an immunomodulatory drug, proteasome inhibitor (PI), and anti-CD38 antibody (triple-class exposure [TCE]). However, current understanding about the management of these patients and associated health care resource use (HCRU) is limited outside the United States. The objective of the International Treatment pattern and resource use Evaluation for Multiple myeloma In a Study of triple-class Exposed patients (ITEMISE) study was to use a physician-developed survey fielded to hematologists across Europe and Canada to assess the treatment, management, HCRU, and end-of-life care for patients with RRMM after TCE.

METHODS

The ITEMISE study used a 3-phase Delphi-like approach that consisted of in-depth interviews with 7 hematology experts; the development of a cross-sectional survey fielded to hematologists across Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom from August to October 2020; and a final workshop of hematology experts to validate the pooled findings. Hematologists were asked to consider the management of patients in the first 3 treatment lines after TCE, including treatment options, treatment duration and outcomes, and frequency of outpatient visits and hospitalizations.

FINDINGS

The survey was completed by 202 hematologists (60% from academic hospitals, 38% from other public hospitals, and 2% from private hospitals). Hematologists estimated that 55% of patients would receive active treatment after TCE, the equivalent of fourth-line treatment onward since diagnosis of multiple myeloma. Immunomodulatory drug, anti-CD38 antibody plus immunomodulatory drug, and PI-based regimens (received by 22.5%, 17.8%, and 15.1% of patients, respectively) were reported for first treatment strategy after TCE. Pomalidomide, daratumumab, lenalidomide, bortezomib, and carfilzomib were the most frequently selected antimyeloma agents. Associated outcomes of median overall survival, progression-free survival, and objective response rate for first treatment after TCE were estimated as 12 months, 4 months, and 40%, respectively. HCRU included outpatient visits and unplanned hospitalizations that were commonly reported during treatment after TCE.

IMPLICATIONS

Findings indicate an intent to actively treat patients after TCE with a range of combination regimens frequently consisting of immunomodulatory drugs, PIs, and anti-CD38 antibodies, highlighting the lack of standard of care and suggesting a large clinical unmet need. Estimated clinical outcomes are consistent with data from US studies and indicate the poor prognosis for patients after TCE. Substantial HCRU is associated with management of patients after TCE across Europe and Canada, signifying a high patient and societal impact and a need for better treatment options to reduce this burden.

Direct costs of antineoplastic and supportive treatment for progressive multiple myeloma in a tax-based health system

Aim: To estimate current real-world costs of drugs and supportive care for the treatment of multiple myeloma in a tax-based health system. Methods: Forty-one patients were included from a personalized medicine study (2016-2019). Detailed information was collected from patient journals and hospital registries to estimate the total and mean costs using inverse probability weighting of censored data. Results: Total observed (censored) costs for the 41 patients was €8.84 million during 125 treatment years, with antineoplastic drugs as the main cost driver (€5.6 million). Individual costs showed large variations. Mean 3-year cost per patient from first progression was €182,103 (€131,800-232,405). Conclusion: Prediction of real-world costs is hindered by the availability of detailed costing data. Micro-costing analyses are needed for budgeting and real-world evaluation of cost-effectiveness.

Real-world analysis of patient characteristics, treatment outcomes, and healthcare resource utilization across Europe in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma ineligible for stem cell transplantation who received lenalidomide- or bortezomib-based regimens

We aimed to compare real-world outcomes, resource use, and costs for patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) treated with continuous first-line (1 L) lenalidomide or fixed bortezomib in Europe. We performed a multicenter, retrospective, observational chart review of transplant-ineligible NDMM patients across 7 countries. Of 453 eligible patients, 220 received 1 L lenalidomide-based regimens; 105 (47.7%) received second-line (2 L) treatment, of which 50 (47.6%) received 2 L bortezomib. 233 patients received 1 L bortezomib-based regimens; 142 (60.9%) had 2 L treatment, of which 104 (73.2%) received 2 L lenalidomide. Patients receiving 1 L lenalidomide-based regimens had better progression-free survival than patients receiving 1 L bortezomib-based regimens (p = .002) and a longer time to 2 L or third-line treatment (both p < .05). Total treatment-associated monthly costs for patients receiving 1 L lenalidomide-based regimens (n = 171, €2,268.55) were significantly greater than for 1 L bortezomib-based regimens (n = 188, €1,724.77) (p < .001) over the follow-up period (median, 38.7 months).

Healthcare resource utilisation and sickness absence in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma patients who did not undergo autologous stem cell transplantation: Trends in Sweden with the changing treatment landscape

OBJECTIVES

The introduction of novel drugs has significantly improved outcomes for multiple myeloma (MM) patients. This study describes survival, healthcare resource utilisation and sickness absence in association with the changing MM treatment landscape over time, focussing on patients who did not undergo autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT).

METHODS

Population-based, retrospective registry study in Sweden, where 7012 non-ASCT patients diagnosed between 2001 and 2015 were stratified into diagnosis periods 2001-2005 (n = 2053), 2006-2010 (n = 2372) and 2011-2015 (n = 2587).

RESULTS

Median survival increased from 2.5 to 3.4 years from 2001-2005 to 2011-2015. During the first 3 years of follow-up, patients diagnosed during 2011-2015 spent 29% and 12% less time in health care (55 days; inpatient admissions and outpatient visits) than patients diagnosed during 2001-2005 (78 days) and 2006-2010 (63 days), respectively. This was associated with less inpatient and more outpatient healthcare usage. Average 3-year sickness absence (362 days) was 31% and 12% less than for patients diagnosed during 2001-2005 (522 days) and 2006-2010 (410 days), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings of improved survival, reduced healthcare needs and greater productivity in non-ASCT MM patients with access to improved treatment practices and novel drugs provide important real-world cost-benefit insights for the continued development and introduction of treatments for MM.

Cost-Effectiveness of Post-Autotransplant Lenalidomide in Persons with Multiple Myeloma

Considerable data indicate post-transplant lenalidomide prolongs progression-free survival and probably survival after an autotransplant for multiple myeloma (MM). However, optimal therapy duration is unknown, controversial and differs in the EU and US. We compared outcomes and cost-effectiveness of 3 post-transplant lenalidomide strategies in EU and US settings: (1) none; (2) until failure; and (3) 2-year fixed duration. We used a Markov decision model, which included six health states and informed by published data. The model estimated the lenalidomide strategy given to failure achieved 1.06 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at costs per QALY gained of €29,232 in the EU and $133,401 in the US settings. Two-year fixed-duration lenalidomide averted €7,286 per QALY gained in the EU setting and saved 0.84 QALYs at $60,835 per QALY gained in the US setting. These highly divergent costs per QALY in the EU and US settings resulted from significant differences in post-transplant lenalidomide costs and 2nd-line therapies driven by whether post-transplant failure was on or off-lenalidomide. In Monte Carlo simulation analyses which allowed us to account for the variability of inputs, 2-year fixedduration lenalidomide remained the preferred strategy for improving healthcare sustainability in the EU and US settings.

Healthcare resource utilization and costs among patients with relapsed and/or refractory multiple myeloma treated with proteasome inhibitors in real-world clinical practice in Germany

AIMS

To assess the real-world healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and costs associated with different proteasome inhibitors (PIs) for the treatment of patients with relapsed and/or refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) in Germany.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective medical chart review of treatment patterns, outcomes, and HRU for patients with RRMM treated with bortezomib, carfilzomib, or ixazomib in second- or third-line (2L or 3L) therapy in Germany. Data were collected between 1 January 2017 and 30 June 2017. Costs were calculated based on drug prices and unit costs in Germany.

RESULTS

Physicians provided data on 302 patients. Mean monthly total direct costs per patient receiving PI-based therapy were €7,925 and €10,693 for 2L and 3L, respectively, of which approximately 90% was anti-myeloma drug costs. Overall, the highest costs were associated with patients receiving 3L therapy. Regardless of treatment line, costs were higher for patients who had received a stem cell transplant (SCT) in a previous treatment line than for those who had not; the data suggest that this reflects the use of triplet regimens following a SCT. Patients with a complete response (CR) experienced no unplanned hospitalizations during the study period, whereas patients with progressive disease experienced the highest number of unplanned and planned hospitalizations. In 2L therapy, the highest proportion of patients with a CR was observed in those receiving carfilzomib (12% carfilzomib; 4% bortezomib; 0% ixazomib).

LIMITATIONS

Patients with missing or incomplete follow-up data were included in the study and were accounted for using monthly cost estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-myeloma drugs were the main contributor to total HRU costs associated with RRMM in Germany. Improved treatment response was associated with lower costs and reduced hospitalizations.

Frontline treatment patterns and attrition rates by subsequent lines of therapy in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma

BACKGROUND

For patients with multiple myeloma (MM), each additional line of therapy (LOT) is associated with lower response rates, shorter treatment duration and treatment-free intervals, and increased rates of toxicities and comorbidities. Here, we examine frontline treatment patterns, and attrition rates by LOT among newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients in the United States who were eligible or ineligible for autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT).

METHODS

Data were identified from three US patient-level databases collectively covering the period January 2000 to September 2018. Patients had an index diagnosis of MM on or after January 1, 2007, medical and prescription insurance coverage at diagnosis, a 1-year look-back period prior to the index diagnosis, no prior malignancies in the 1-year period before index diagnosis, and had received ≥1 LOT.

RESULTS

Among patients who did not receive ASCT (non-transplant; n = 22,062), 12,557 (57%) received only 1 LOT and 9505 (43%) received > 1 LOT. Patients receiving only 1 LOT were significantly older, had higher mean Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) scores, and higher incidences of comorbidities. Among the 2763 patients receiving ASCT, 2184 received > 1 LOT, and 579 (21%) received only 1 LOT (ie, ASCT was the last treatment). 1682 (61%) patients received induction therapy as frontline treatment, of whom 187 (11%) also received consolidation therapy. The latter group was younger than those who received only induction therapy, had lower mean CCI scores, and comparable or lower incidences of selected comorbidities. The most common frontline therapy for non-transplant and transplant-eligible patients was bortezomib/dexamethasone and bortezomib/lenalidomide/dexamethasone, respectively. Attrition rates across all LOTs were high for non-transplant patients (range, 43-57%) and transplant patients (range, 21-37%). Treatment duration decreased by LOT for non-transplant patients and was consistent across LOTs for transplant patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In this analysis, a substantial proportion of patients with NDMM who received frontline therapy did not appear to receive a subsequent LOT. These high attrition rates underscore the need to use the most optimal treatment regimens upfront rather than reserving them for later LOTs in which the clinical benefit may decrease.

Patient-Reported Factors in Treatment Satisfaction in Patients with Relapsed/Refractory Multiple Myeloma (RRMM)

This article identifies factors associated with patient‐reported satisfaction with multiple myeloma therapy and the treatment‐related time burden and indirect costs among patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma and their caregivers. Improved understanding of these variables will inform treatment decisions across this complex treatment landscape.

Background.

Therapy choices in relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) should consider patient satisfaction with treatment, because it is associated with adherence to therapy, health outcomes, and medical safety. The primary objective of this pilot cross‐sectional observational study was to ascertain factors associated with patient‐reported treatment satisfaction in RRMM.

Patients and Methods.

Patients with a self‐reported diagnosis of RRMM recruited from PatientsLikeMe, MyelomaCrowd, and Facebook were administered an electronic survey that included questions on demographics and clinical history, treatment experience, economic burden, and standardized patient‐reported outcome measures, including the Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS) measure, and Work Productivity and Activity Impairment Questionnaire: Specific Health Problem V2.0. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to identify predictors of patient‐perceived treatment satisfaction.

Results.

One hundred sixty patients with RRMM participated in the study, with a median of two prior relapses and 66.3% reporting the most recent relapse within the last 12 months. ECOG PS ≥2 was associated with lower patient‐reported global satisfaction and perceived effectiveness of current treatment. In addition to shorter time spent receiving therapy, orally administered treatment was the strongest predictor of higher satisfaction with treatment convenience. For patients receiving an injectable drug‐containing regimen versus an all‐oral regimen, respectively, time spent receiving multiple myeloma‐directed therapy was higher (12.6 vs. 4.0 hours per month), and total monthly indirect costs were $1,033 and $241.

Conclusion.

Poor ECOG PS was linked to reduced treatment satisfaction and perceived effectiveness of current therapy, whereas an all‐oral regimen was associated with increased treatment convenience satisfaction.

Implications for Practice.

This study suggests that attributes including better Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, less time spent receiving treatment, and oral route of treatment administration lead to higher patient‐perceived satisfaction with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) treatment. Oral route of administration was also associated with less time spent receiving treatment and reduced economic burden for patients. Increased attention to these factors in shared treatment decision making is warranted to help identify individual patient needs, preferences, and expectations for RRMM treatments, to resolve dissatisfaction issues, and to improve the experience of patients with RRMM.

Cost-effectiveness of lenalidomide maintenance in patients with multiple myeloma who have undergone autologous transplant of hematopoietic progenitor cells

The objective of this article is to analyze the ratio of cost-effectiveness and budgetary impact of lenalidomide treatment in patients with multiple myeloma who have undergone autologous transplant in Spain. The analyses were based on clinical trials CALGB 100104 and IFM 2005-02, from the perspective of the National Health System. The alternatives compared were the treatment with lenalidomide against maintenance without treatment (MwT). Efficiency measures used were years of life gained (YGs) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). According to the CALGB 100104 trial data, the average health costs of patients who were treated with lenalidomide for 120 months was €836,534.31 and without treatment was €528,963.63. The effectiveness of the lenalidomide group was 7.59YGs (5.72 QALY) against 6.58 of MwT (4.61 QALY). The incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) was €277,456.72/QALY and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was €303,191.05/YGs. From the analysis, the IFM2005-02 trial obtained 5.13 QALY in the lenalidomide group against the 4.98 QALY in the MwT group, with an ICUR of €1,502,780.55/QALY. In terms of budgetary impact, a range between 799 and 1452 patients susceptible to receive treatment with lenalidomide was assumed in Spain. In conclusion, the results show a high ICUR and budgetary impact, which adds uncertainty about the maximum prudent duration of the treatment.