Is cervical length evaluated by transvaginal ultrasonography helpful in detecting true preterm labor?

Risk Scoring Systems for Preterm Birth and Their Performance: A Systematic Review

Introduction: Nowadays, the risk stratification of preterm birth (PTB) and its prediction remain a challenge. Many risk factors associated with PTB have been identified, and risk scoring systems (RSSs) have been developed to face this challenge. The objectives of this systematic review were to identify RSSs for PTB, the variables they consist of, and their performance. Materials and methods: Two databases were searched, and two authors independently performed the screening and eligibility phases. Records studying an RSS, based on specified variables, with an evaluation of the predictive value for PTB, were considered eligible. Reference lists of eligible studies and review articles were also searched. Data from the included studies were extracted. Results: A total of 56 studies were included in this review. The most frequently incorporated variables in the RSS included in this review were maternal age, weight, history of smoking, history of previous PTB, and cervical length. The performance measures varied widely among the studies, with sensitivity ranging between 4.2% and 92.0% and area under the curve (AUC) between 0.59 and 0.95. Conclusions: Despite the recent technological and scientifical evolution with a better understanding of variables related to PTB and the definition of new ultrasonographic parameters and biomarkers associated with PTB, the RSS's ability to predict PTB remains poor in most situations, thus compromising the integration of a single RSS in clinical practice. The development of new RSSs, the identification of new variables associated with PTB, and the elaboration of a large reference dataset might be a step forward to tackle the problem of PTB.

Preterm labor with intact membranes: a simple noninvasive method to identify patients at risk for intra-amniotic infection and/or inflammation

OBJECTIVE

To develop a noninvasive scoring system to identify patients at high risk for intra-amniotic infection and/or inflammation, which would reduce the need for amniocentesis.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study comprised patients admitted with preterm labor and intact membranes (20-34 weeks of gestation) who underwent a transabdominal amniocentesis and for whom concentrations of quantitative cervical fetal fibronectin and of maternal serum C-reactive protein (CRP) were determined. Intra-amniotic infection was defined as a positive amniotic fluid culture for microorganisms. Intra-amniotic inflammation was defined as an amniotic fluid matrix metalloproteinase-8 concentration >23 ng/mL. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify intra-amniotic infection/inflammtion with noninvasive parameters that had a significant relationship with univariate analysis. With four parameters identified by multivariate analysis, we generated a noninvasive risk scoring system.

RESULTS

Of the study population consisting of 138 singleton pregnant women, (1) the overall rate of intra-amniotic infection/inflammation was 28.3% (39/138); (2) four parameters were used to develop a noninvasive risk scoring system [i.e. cervical fetal fibronectin concentration (score 0-2), maternal serum CRP concentration (score 0-2), cervical dilatation (score 0-2), and gestational age at presentation (score 0-1)]; the total score ranges from 0 to 7; 3) the area under the curve of the risk score was 0.96 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.92-0.99), significantly higher than that of each predictor in the identification of intra-amniotic infection/inflammation (p < .001, for all); 4) the risk score with a cutoff of 4 had a sensitivity of 94.9% (37/39), a specificity of 90.9% (90/99), a positive predictive value of 80.4% (37/46), a negative predictive value of 97.8% (90/92), a positive likelihood ratio of 10.4 (95% CI, 5.6-19.5), and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.06 (95% CI, 0.15-0.22) in the identification of intra-amniotic infection/inflammation.

CONCLUSIONS

(1) The combination of four parameters (concentrations of cervical fetal fibronectin and maternal serum CRP, cervical dilatation, and gestational age) was independently associated with intra-amniotic infection and/or inflammation; and (2) the risk scoring system comprised of the combination of 4 noninvasive parameters was sensitive and specific to identify the patients at risk for intra-amniotic infection and/or inflammation.

The amniotic fluid proteome predicts imminent preterm delivery in asymptomatic women with a short cervix

Preterm birth, the leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality, is associated with increased risk of short- and long-term adverse outcomes. For women identified as at risk for preterm birth attributable to a sonographic short cervix, the determination of imminent delivery is crucial for patient management. The current study aimed to identify amniotic fluid (AF) proteins that could predict imminent delivery in asymptomatic patients with a short cervix. This retrospective cohort study included women enrolled between May 2002 and September 2015 who were diagnosed with a sonographic short cervix (< 25 mm) at 16–32 weeks of gestation. Amniocenteses were performed to exclude intra-amniotic infection; none of the women included had clinical signs of infection or labor at the time of amniocentesis. An aptamer-based multiplex platform was used to profile 1310 AF proteins, and the differential protein abundance between women who delivered within two weeks from amniocentesis, and those who did not, was determined. The analysis included adjustment for quantitative cervical length and control of the false-positive rate at 10%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was calculated to determine whether protein abundance in combination with cervical length improved the prediction of imminent preterm delivery as compared to cervical length alone. Of the 1,310 proteins profiled in AF, 17 were differentially abundant in women destined to deliver within two weeks of amniocentesis independently of the cervical length (adjusted p-value < 0.10). The decreased abundance of SNAP25 and the increased abundance of GPI, PTPN11, OLR1, ENO1, GAPDH, CHI3L1, RETN, CSF3, LCN2, CXCL1, CXCL8, PGLYRP1, LDHB, IL6, MMP8, and PRTN3 were associated with an increased risk of imminent delivery (odds ratio > 1.5 for each). The sensitivity at a 10% false-positive rate for the prediction of imminent delivery by a quantitative cervical length alone was 38%, yet it increased to 79% when combined with the abundance of four AF proteins (CXCL8, SNAP25, PTPN11, and MMP8). Neutrophil-mediated immunity, neutrophil activation, granulocyte activation, myeloid leukocyte activation, and myeloid leukocyte-mediated immunity were biological processes impacted by protein dysregulation in women destined to deliver within two weeks of diagnosis. The combination of AF protein abundance and quantitative cervical length improves prediction of the timing of delivery compared to cervical length alone, among women with a sonographic short cervix.

Measurement of the uterocervical angle for the prediction of preterm birth in symptomatic women

Purpose

To examine if the uterocervical angle (UCA) can be used to predict preterm delivery in women with painful and regular uterine contractions and a cervical length of 25 mm or less.

Methods

Retrospective study at the perinatal unit of the University Hospital of Tuebingen, Germany. Women with singleton gestation and preterm contractions between 24 + 0 and 33 + 6 weeks’ gestation were included. For the UCA measurement, a line is placed from the internal os to the external os irrespective of whether the cervix is straight or curved. A second line is drawn to delineate the lower uterine segment. The angle between the two lines is the UCA measurement. The measurements were taken on stored images from our database.

Results

The study consisted of 213 singleton pregnancies. At the time of UCA measurement, median maternal and gestational age was 31.4 years and 29.7 weeks’ gestation. Median gestational age at delivery was 35.3 weeks and the corresponding birth weight 2480 g, respectively. The UCA measurement in women who delivered within 2 days, between 3–7 days and after 7 days was not helpful to distinguish between these three groups [median UCA measurements: 108.5°, 108.0° and 107.3° (Kruskal–Wallis test p = 0.576)]. Uni- and multivariate logistic multiple regression analysis demonstrated that the delivery within 2 days was only dependent on the gestational age and the cervical length at the time of presentation.

Conclusion

The measurement of UCA is not useful in predicting preterm birth in the subsequent 7 days after an episode of preterm contractions.

Personalized assessment of cervical length improves prediction of spontaneous preterm birth: a standard and a percentile calculator

BACKGROUND

A sonographic short cervix (length <25 mm during midgestation) is the most powerful predictor of preterm birth. Current clinical practice assumes that the same cervical length cutoff value should apply to all women when screening for spontaneous preterm birth, yet this approach may be suboptimal.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to (1) create a customized cervical length standard that considers relevant maternal characteristics and gestational age at sonographic examination and (2) assess whether the customization of cervical length evaluation improves the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth.

STUDY DESIGN

This retrospective analysis comprises a cohort of 7826 pregnant women enrolled in a longitudinal protocol between January 2006 and April 2017 at the Detroit Medical Center. Study participants met the following inclusion criteria: singleton pregnancy, ≥1 transvaginal sonographic measurements of the cervix, delivery after 20 weeks of gestation, and available relevant demographics and obstetrical history information. Data from women without a history of preterm birth or cervical surgery who delivered at term without progesterone treatment (N=5188) were used to create a customized standard of cervical length. The prediction of the primary outcome, spontaneous preterm birth at <37 weeks of gestation, was assessed in a subset of pregnancies (N=7336) that excluded cases with induced labor before 37 weeks of gestation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and sensitivity at a fixed false-positive rate were calculated for screening at 20 to 23 6/7, 24 to 27 6/7, 28 to 31 6/7, and 32 to 35 6/7 weeks of gestation in asymptomatic patients. Survival analysis was used to determine which method is better at predicting imminent delivery among symptomatic women.

RESULTS

The median cervical length remained fundamentally unchanged until 20 weeks of gestation and subsequently decreased nonlinearly with advancing gestational age among women who delivered at term. The effects of parity and maternal weight and height on the cervical length were dependent on the gestational age at ultrasound examination (interaction, P<.05 for all). Parous women had a longer cervix than nulliparous women, and the difference increased with advancing gestation after adjusting for maternal weight and height. Similarly, maternal weight was nonlinearly associated with a longer cervix, and the effect was greater later in gestation. The sensitivity at a 10% false-positive rate for prediction of spontaneous preterm birth at <37 weeks of gestation by a short cervix ranged from 29% to 40% throughout pregnancy, yet it increased to 50%, 50%, 53%, and 54% at 20 to 23 6/7, 24 to 27 6/7, 28 to 31 6/7, and 32 to 35 6/7 weeks of gestation, respectively, for a low, customized percentile (McNemar test, P<.001 for all). When a cervical length <25 mm was compared to the customized screening at 20 to 23 6/7 weeks of gestation by using a customized percentile cutoff value that ensured the same negative likelihood ratio for both screening methods, the customized approach had a significantly higher (about double) positive likelihood ratio in predicting spontaneous preterm birth at <33, <34, <35, <36, and <37 weeks of gestation. Among symptomatic women, the difference in survival between women with a customized cervical length percentile of ≥10th and those with a customized cervical length percentile of <10th was greater than the difference in survival between women with a cervical length ≥25 mm and those with a cervical length <25 mm.

CONCLUSION

Compared to the use of a cervical length <25 mm, a customized cervical length assessment (1) identifies more women at risk of spontaneous preterm birth and (2) improves the distinction between patients at risk for impending preterm birth in those who have an episode of preterm labor.

ACR Appropriateness Criteria® Assessment of Gravid Cervix

Preterm birth remains the leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality. Although the greatest risk factor for preterm birth is a history of prior preterm birth, a short cervical length (≤25 mm) before 24 weeks' gestational age is also associated with increased risk of spontaneous preterm delivery. As such, cervical length assessment has become of particular interest in predicting those patients at risk for preterm birth. Other clinical scenarios (eg, preterm labor, induction of labor, and active labor) may arise, in which assessment of the cervix may be of interest. Ultrasound is the mainstay imaging modality for assessing the gravid cervix, with transvaginal ultrasound recommended in patients at high risk for preterm birth or suspected preterm labor. Transperineal ultrasound is an alternate approach in those cases where transvaginal ultrasound in contraindicated. The American College of Radiology Appropriateness Criteria are evidence-based guidelines for specific clinical conditions that are reviewed annually by a multidisciplinary expert panel. The guideline development and revision include an extensive analysis of current medical literature from peer reviewed journals and the application of well-established methodologies (RAND/UCLA Appropriateness Method and Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation or GRADE) to rate the appropriateness of imaging and treatment procedures for specific clinical scenarios. In those instances where evidence is lacking or equivocal, expert opinion may supplement the available evidence to recommend imaging or treatment.

A Protein Microarray Analysis of Plasma Proteins for the Prediction of Spontaneous Preterm Delivery in Women with Preterm Labor

We aimed to identify novel biomarkers in maternal plasma that predict spontaneous preterm delivery (SPTD) in women with preterm labor (PTL) using an antibody microarray and to develop the best prediction model for SPTD based on these biomarkers in combination with clinical and ultrasound factors. This retrospective cohort study included 215 women with singleton pregnancies and PTL (23-33 weeks) who gave plasma samples. In a nested case-control study design, plasma proteomes from SPTD (case subjects, n = 15) and term delivery (control subjects, n = 15) groups were differentially profiled using a membrane-based antibody microarray. Six candidate biomarkers of interest were validated by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in the total cohort (n = 215). Cervical lengths were also measured. The primary outcome measure was SPTD within 48 h after sampling. Twenty of the molecules studied displayed significant intergroup differences. Validation by ELISA confirmed significantly higher levels of plasma endostatin and lipopolysaccharide binding protein (LBP) in women who had SPTD within 48 h than in those delivering after 48 h. However, plasma macrophage inflammatory protein (MIP)-1α levels were significantly lower in women who delivered within 48 h. A combined model was developed to predict SPTD within 48 h using a stepwise regression procedure, which included plasma endostatin and LBP levels, nulliparity, and cervical length (area under the curve = 0.920). Plasma LBP, endostatin, and MIP-1α are potential new biomarkers for predicting imminent SPTD and a combined noninvasive model based on these biomarkers and clinical and ultrasound factors can accurately predict imminent SPTD in women with PTL.

Comparison of cervical length measured by POP-Q C-D and MRI: Why is POP-Q C-D not accurate?

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between the cervical length evaluated by Pelvic Organ Prolapse Quantification (POP-Q) point C minus D (C-D; ECL) and the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based cervical length (MCL).

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective study of patients with POP II-IV who underwent MRI. The ECL was calculated based on the absolute value of C-D according to POP-Q. The MCL was defined as the distance between the internal and external cervical os on MRI. Intraobserver reliability using the Bland-Altman method. Continuous variables were compared by paired 2-tailed t-tests. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to analyse the factors influencing differences between the ECL and MCL.

RESULTS

Among 105 eligible patients, 89 patients were eventually included in the study. The Bland-Altman scatter plots show that the intraobserver reliability of MCL was excellent. Furthermore, the mean ECL was significantly longer than the mean MCL (48.15 mm ± 27.46 vs. 28.25 mm ± 10.27, P = 0.000).Body mass index, parity, menopausal status or total vaginal length did not affect the difference between ECL and MCL. However, The larger the point Ba, the larger the difference between the ECL and MCL. The larger the point Bp, the smaller the difference between the ECL and MCL.

CONCLUSION

In general, POP-Q C-D was longer than the cervical length measured by MRI. Deep analysis found that when uterine prolapse is combined with larger anterior vaginal wall prolapse, the difference between ECL and MCL is greater; when uterine prolapse with larger posterior vaginal wall prolapse, the difference between ECL and MCL is smaller.

Labour and delivery: a clinician's perspective on a biomechanics problem

Predicting how and when a pregnant woman will deliver her fetus has always been a problem for the clinician, and, consequently, there has been little progress made in preventing poor outcomes from pregnancies that deliver too soon or too late. In the opinion of the author, a maternal-fetal medicine specialist, rethinking labour within a biomechanical framework and studying it like an engineering problem could be a promising approach to unlocking the mysteries of labour.