Prognostic indicators for papillary thyroid carcinoma

Characterization of the CpG island methylator phenotype subclass in papillary thyroid carcinoma

CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMP), characterized by the concurrent and widespread hypermethylation of a cluster of CpGs, has been reported to play an important role in carcinogenesis. Limited studies have explored the role of CIMP in papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs). Here, in genome-wide DNA methylation analysis of 350 primary PTCs from the Cancer Genome Atlas database that were assessed using the Illumina HumanMethylation450K platform, our study helps to identify two subtypes displayed markedly distinct DNA methylation levels, termed CIMP (high levels of DNA methylation) and nCIMP subgroup (low levels of DNA methylation). Interestingly, PTCs with CIMP tend to have a higher degree of malignancy, since this subtype was tightly associated with older age, advanced pathological stage, and lymph node metastasis (all P < 0.05). Differential methylation analysis showed a broad methylation gain in CIMP and subsequent generalized gene set testing analysis based on the significantly methylated probes in CIMP showed remarkable enrichment in epithelial mesenchymal transition and angiogenesis hallmark pathways, confirming that the CIMP phenotype may promote the tumor progression from another perspective. Analysis of tumor microenvironment showed that CIMP PTCs are in an immune-depletion status, which may affect the effectiveness of immunotherapy. Genetically, the significantly higher tumor mutation burden and copy number alteration both at the genome and focal level confirmed the genomic heterogeneity and chromosomal instability of CIMP. tumor Corresponding to the above findings, PTC patients with CIMP showed remarkable poor clinical outcome as compared to nCIMP regarding overall survival and progression-free survival. More importantly, CIMP was associated with worse survival independent of known prognostic factors.

Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Tissue miR-146b, -21, -221, -222, -181b Expression in Relation with Clinicopathological Features

We analyzed miR-146b, miR-21, miR-221, miR-21, and miR-181b in formalin fixed paraffin-embedded papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) tissue samples of 312 individuals and evaluated their expression relationship with clinicopathological parameters. A higher expression of miR-21 was related to unifocal lesions (p < 0.011) and autoimmune thyroiditis (0.007). miR-221, miR-222 expression was higher in the PTC tissue samples with extrathyroidal extension (p = 0.049, 0.003, respectively). In a group of PTC patients with pT1a and pT1b sized tumors, the expression of miR-146b, miR-21, miR-221, and miR-222 in PTC tissue samples was lower than in patients with pT2, pT3, and pT4 (p = 0.032; 0.0044; 0.003; 0.001; 0.001, respectively). Patients with lymph node metastases had higher expression of miR-21, -221, -222, and -181b (p < 0.05). A high expression of miR-146b, miR-21, miR-221 panel was associated with decreased overall survival (OS) (Log rank p = 0.019). Univariate analysis revealed that presence of metastatic lymph nodes and high expression of miR-146b, miR-21, and miR-221 panels were associated with increased hazard of shorter OS. After multivariate analysis, only sex (male) and age (≥55 years) emerged as independent prognostic factors associated with shorter OS (HR 0.28 (95% CI 0.09–0.86) and HR 0.05 (95% CI 0.01–0.22), respectively). In conclusion, 5 analyzed miRs expression have significant relations to clinicopathologic parameters so further investigations of these molecules are expedient while searching for prognostic PTC biomarkers.

Nomogram for Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Cancer: A Retrospective Cohort Study of Two Clinical Centers

Purpose

Central lymph node metastasis (CNM) are highly prevalent but hard to detect preoperatively in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients, while the significance of prophylactic compartment central lymph node dissection (CLND) remains controversial as a treatment option. We aim to establish a nomogram assessing risks of CNM in PTC patients, and explore whether prophylactic CLND should be recommended.

Materials and Methods

One thousand four hundred thirty-eight patients from two clinical centers that underwent thyroidectomy with CLND for PTC within the period 2016–2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to examine risk factors associated with CNM. A nomogram for predicting CNM was established, thereafter internally and externally validated.

Results

Seven variables were found to be significantly associated with CNM and were used to construct the model. These were as follows: thyroid capsular invasion, multifocality, creatinine > 70 μmol/L, age < 40, tumor size > 1 cm, body mass index < 22, and carcinoembryonic antigen > 1 ng/mL. The nomogram had good discrimination with a concordance index of 0.854 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.843 to 0.867), supported by an external validation point estimate of 0.825 (95% CI, 0.793 to 0.857). A decision curve analysis was made to evaluate nomogram and ultrasonography for predicting CNM.

Conclusion

A validated nomogram utilizing readily available preoperative variables was developed to predict the probability of central lymph node metastases in patients presenting with PTC. This nomogram may help surgeons make appropriate surgical decisions in the management of PTC, especially in terms of whether prophylactic CLND is warranted.

Prognostic significance of gross extrathyroidal extension invading only strap muscles in differentiated thyroid carcinoma

Background

In the eighth edition of the AJCC staging system for differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC), minimal extrathyroidal extension (ETE) is no longer a determinant of T3 category. Instead, gross ETE invading only strap muscles has been designated as a new T3b category. The long-term prognosis of patients with DTC and gross ETE invading only strap muscles was investigated.

Methods

This was a retrospective analysis of patients who underwent thyroidectomy between 1996 and 2005. Differences in cancer-specific and recurrence-free survival according to extent of ETE were assessed.

Results

A total of 3174 patients with DTC were included. No significant differences were observed in 10-year cancer-specific survival among patients with no ETE (98·6 per cent), microscopic ETE (98·3 per cent) and gross ETE invading only strap muscles (98·9 per cent) (P = 0·375). The 10-year recurrence-free survival rate for patients with gross ETE invading only strap muscles (89·2 per cent) was shorter than that for patients with no ETE (93·7 per cent; P = 0·016), but similar to that of patients with microscopic ETE (90·3 per cent). In univariable analysis, patients with gross ETE invading only strap muscles had a significantly higher risk of recurrence than those with no ETE (hazard ratio (HR) 1·67, 95 per cent c.i. 1·10 to 2·55; P = 0·017). In multivariable analysis, gross ETE invading only strap muscles was not an independent predictor of recurrence (HR 1·09, 0·71 to 1·69; P = 0·685).

Conclusion

Although gross ETE invading only strap muscles may provide prognostic information about long-term recurrence, it does not affect mortality. The actual impact of gross ETE invading only strap muscles will be important in revising the staging system in the future.