The challenges of generalizability in artificial intelligence for ADME/Tox endpoint and activity prediction

Transfer learning empowers accurate pharmacokinetics prediction of small samples

Accurate assessment of pharmacokinetic (PK) properties is crucial for selecting optimal candidates and avoiding downstream failures. Transfer learning is an innovative machine learning approach enabling high-throughput prediction with limited data. Recently, transfer learning methods showed promise in predicting ADME/PK parameters. Given the prolific growth of research on transfer learning for PK prediction, a comprehensive review of its advantages and challenges is imperative. This study explores the fundamentals, classifications, toolkits and applications of various transfer learning techniques for PK prediction, demonstrating their utility through three practical case studies. This work will serve as a reference for drug design researchers.

MolFeSCue: enhancing molecular property prediction in data-limited and imbalanced contexts using few-shot and contrastive learning

MOTIVATION

Predicting molecular properties is a pivotal task in various scientific domains, including drug discovery, material science, and computational chemistry. This problem is often hindered by the lack of annotated data and imbalanced class distributions, which pose significant challenges in developing accurate and robust predictive models.

RESULTS

This study tackles these issues by employing pretrained molecular models within a few-shot learning framework. A novel dynamic contrastive loss function is utilized to further improve model performance in the situation of class imbalance. The proposed MolFeSCue framework not only facilitates rapid generalization from minimal samples, but also employs a contrastive loss function to extract meaningful molecular representations from imbalanced datasets. Extensive evaluations and comparisons of MolFeSCue and state-of-the-art algorithms have been conducted on multiple benchmark datasets, and the experimental data demonstrate our algorithm's effectiveness in molecular representations and its broad applicability across various pretrained models. Our findings underscore MolFeSCues potential to accelerate advancements in drug discovery.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

We have made all the source code utilized in this study publicly accessible via GitHub at http://www.healthinformaticslab.org/supp/ or https://github.com/zhangruochi/MolFeSCue. The code (MolFeSCue-v1-00) is also available as the supplementary file of this paper.

CODD-Pred: A Web Server for Efficient Target Identification and Bioactivity Prediction of Small Molecules

Target identification and bioactivity prediction are critical steps in the drug discovery process. Here we introduce CODD-Pred (COmprehensive Drug Design Predictor), an online web server with well-curated data sets from the GOSTAR database, which is designed with a dual purpose of predicting potential protein drug targets and computing bioactivity values of small molecules. We first designed a double molecular graph perception (DMGP) framework for target prediction based on a large library of 646 498 small molecules interacting with 640 human targets. The framework achieved a top-5 accuracy of over 80% for hitting at least one target on both external validation sets. Additionally, its performance on the external validation set comprising 200 molecules surpassed that of four existing target prediction servers. Second, we collected 56 targets closely related to the occurrence and development of cancer, metabolic diseases, and inflammatory immune diseases and developed a multi-model self-validation activity prediction (MSAP) framework that enables accurate bioactivity quantification predictions for small-molecule ligands of these 56 targets. CODD-Pred is a handy tool for rapid evaluation and optimization of small molecules with specific target activity. CODD-Pred is freely accessible at http://codd.iddd.group/.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for Lead-to-Candidate Decision-Making and Beyond

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in pharmaceutical research and development has to date focused on research: target identification; docking-, fragment-, and motif-based generation of compound libraries; modeling of synthesis feasibility; rank-ordering likely hits according to structural and chemometric similarity to compounds having known activity and affinity to the target(s); optimizing a smaller library for synthesis and high-throughput screening; and combining evidence from screening to support hit-to-lead decisions. Applying AI/ML methods to lead optimization and lead-to-candidate (L2C) decision-making has shown slower progress, especially regarding predicting absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicology properties. The present review surveys reasons why this is so, reports progress that has occurred in recent years, and summarizes some of the issues that remain. Effective AI/ML tools to derisk L2C and later phases of development are important to accelerate the pharmaceutical development process, ameliorate escalating development costs, and achieve greater success rates.

Recent Studies of Artificial Intelligence on In Silico Drug Distribution Prediction

Drug distribution is an important process in pharmacokinetics because it has the potential to influence both the amount of medicine reaching the active sites and the effectiveness as well as safety of the drug. The main causes of 90% of drug failures in clinical development are lack of efficacy and uncontrolled toxicity. In recent years, several advances and promising developments in drug distribution property prediction have been achieved, especially in silico, which helped to drastically reduce the time and expense of screening undesired drug candidates. In this study, we provide comprehensive knowledge of drug distribution background, influencing factors, and artificial intelligence-based distribution property prediction models from 2019 to the present. Additionally, we gathered and analyzed public databases and datasets commonly utilized by the scientific community for distribution prediction. The distribution property prediction performance of five large ADMET prediction tools is mentioned as a benchmark for future research. On this basis, we also offer future challenges in drug distribution prediction and research directions. We hope that this review will provide researchers with helpful insight into distribution prediction, thus facilitating the development of innovative approaches for drug discovery.

Investigation of a Data Split Strategy Involving the Time Axis in Adverse Event Prediction Using Machine Learning

Adverse events are a serious issue in drug development, and many prediction methods using machine learning have been developed. The random split cross-validation is the de facto standard for model building and evaluation in machine learning, but care should be taken in adverse event prediction because this approach does not strictly match the real-world situation. The time split, which uses the time axis, is considered suitable for real-world prediction. However, the differences in model performance obtained using the time and random splits are not clear due to the lack of comparable studies. To understand the differences, we compared the model performance between the time and random splits using nine types of compound information as input, eight adverse events as targets, and six machine learning algorithms. The random split showed higher area under the curve values than did the time split for six of eight targets. The chemical spaces of the training and test datasets of the time split were similar, suggesting that the concept of applicability domain is insufficient to explain the differences derived from the splitting. The area under the curve differences were smaller for the protein interaction than for the other datasets. Subsequent detailed analyses suggested the danger of confounding in the use of knowledge-based information in the time split. These findings indicate the importance of understanding the differences between the time and random splits in adverse event prediction and suggest that appropriate use of the splitting strategies and interpretation of results are necessary for the real-world prediction of adverse events. We provide the analysis code and datasets used in the present study at https://github.com/mizuno-group/AE_prediction.

Bench to bedside: The ambitious goal of transducing medicinal chemistry from the lab to the clinic

This paper deals with a critical examination on the possibility of quantitatively predicting the in vivo activity of new chemical entities (NCEs) by making use of in silico and in vitro data including three-dimensional structure of drug-target complex, thermodynamic and crowding parameters, ADME (absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion) properties, and off-target (toxic) interactions. This formidable challenge is still a dream, given the presently occurring exceedingly high (>95%) attrition rates of NCEs. As a solution we envisage exploiting advanced AI (artificial intelligence) algorithms. In fact, very recent AI implemented programs proved remarkably effective and accurate in predicting the 3D architecture of (any) protein, starting from the amino-acid sequence only. The same accuracy could not be obtained using classical conformational studies. Apart from these breakthrough results, AI algorithms could be profitably used to extract valuable information from the huge amount of data so far accumulated from previous studies. In case of positive results, the drug discovery procedure would be sensibly accelerated, and the relative costs remarkably reduced.

Scoring Functions for Protein-Ligand Binding Affinity Prediction using Structure-Based Deep Learning: A Review

The rapid and accurate in silico prediction of protein-ligand binding free energies or binding affinities has the potential to transform drug discovery. In recent years, there has been a rapid growth of interest in deep learning methods for the prediction of protein-ligand binding affinities based on the structural information of protein-ligand complexes. These structure-based scoring functions often obtain better results than classical scoring functions when applied within their applicability domain. Here we review structure-based scoring functions for binding affinity prediction based on deep learning, focussing on different types of architectures, featurization strategies, data sets, methods for training and evaluation, and the role of explainable artificial intelligence in building useful models for real drug-discovery applications.

Prediction Models for Agonists and Antagonists of Molecular Initiation Events for Toxicity Pathways Using an Improved Deep-Learning-Based Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship System

In silico approaches have been studied intensively to assess the toxicological risk of various chemical compounds as alternatives to traditional in vivo animal tests. Among these approaches, quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) analysis has the advantages that it is able to construct models to predict the biological properties of chemicals based on structural information. Previously, we reported a deep learning (DL) algorithm-based QSAR approach called DeepSnap-DL for high-performance prediction modeling of the agonist and antagonist activity of key molecules in molecular initiating events in toxicological pathways using optimized hyperparameters. In the present study, to achieve high throughput in the DeepSnap-DL system-which consists of the preparation of three-dimensional molecular structures of chemical compounds, the generation of snapshot images from the three-dimensional chemical structures, DL, and statistical calculations-we propose an improved DeepSnap-DL approach. Using this improved system, we constructed 59 prediction models for the agonist and antagonist activity of key molecules in the Tox21 10K library. The results indicate that modeling of the agonist and antagonist activity with high prediction performance and high throughput can be achieved by optimizing suitable parameters in the improved DeepSnap-DL system.

Molecular insights on ABL kinase activation using tree-based machine learning models and molecular docking

Abelson kinase (c-Abl) is a non-receptor tyrosine kinase involved in several biological processes essential for cell differentiation, migration, proliferation, and survival. This enzyme's activation might be an alternative strategy for treating diseases such as neutropenia induced by chemotherapy, prostate, and breast cancer. Recently, a series of compounds that promote the activation of c-Abl has been identified, opening a promising ground for c-Abl drug development. Structure-based drug design (SBDD) and ligand-based drug design (LBDD) methodologies have significantly impacted recent drug development initiatives. Here, we combined SBDD and LBDD approaches to characterize critical chemical properties and interactions of identified c-Abl's activators. We used molecular docking simulations combined with tree-based machine learning models-decision tree, AdaBoost, and random forest to understand the c-Abl activators' structural features required for binding to myristoyl pocket, and consequently, to promote enzyme and cellular activation. We obtained predictive and robust models with Matthews correlation coefficient values higher than 0.4 for all endpoints and identified characteristics that led to constructing a structure-activity relationship model (SAR).