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Huang ZY, Gong H, Tang CW, Wang MJ, Wang R. Remission of organ failure in patients with predicted severe acute pancreatitis treated by somatostation, octreotide and cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors. Pancreatology 2024; 24:24-31. [PMID: 38155082 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2023.12.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2023] [Revised: 11/24/2023] [Accepted: 12/18/2023] [Indexed: 12/30/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND /Objectives: Persistent organ failure (OF) in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is caused by activation of cytokine cascades, resulting in inflammatory injury. Anti-inflammation may be helpful in OF remission in early SAP. To assess the efficacy of anti-inflammatory regimens for OF prevention and remission in patients with predicted SAP and display clinical doctors' acceptance of these strategies, we conducted this retrospective study in the real world. METHODS Clinical data of patients with predicted SAP from 2010 to 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Cases were divided into conventional support (C), C+ somatostatin/octreotide (C + S/O), and C + S/O + Cyclooxygenase-2-inhibitors (C + S/O + COX-2-I). The occurrence of SAP, OF, changes of proportion for three strategies, length of hospital stay, meperidine injection, and cytokine levels were compared. The constituent ratios of the three schemes over eight years were evaluated. RESULTS A total of 580 cases (C = 124, C + S/O = 290, C + S/O + COX-2-I = 166) were included. The occurrences of SAP in the C + S/O (28.3 %) and C + S/O + COX-2-I (18.1 %) groups were significantly lower than that in C group (60.5 %, P < 0.001), mainly by reducing persistent respiratory failure (P < 0.001) and renal failure (P = 0.002). C + S/O and C + S/O + COX-2-I regimens significantly decreased new onset OF and enhanced OF amelioration within 48 h when compared with C treatment (P < 0.001) in patients with OF score <2 and ≥ 2 on admission, respectively. C + S/O and C + S/O + COX-2-I as compared with C group significantly decrease OF occurrences in a multivariate logistic regression analysis (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Somatostatin or its analogs and cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors are promising for OF prevention and remission in patients with predicted SAP. The acceptance of combined strategies in the real world has increased, and the occurrence of SAP has decreased annually.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhi-Yin Huang
- Departments of Gastroenterology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Hui Gong
- Departments of Gastroenterology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Cheng-Wei Tang
- Departments of Gastroenterology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Mo-Jin Wang
- Gastric Cancer Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Rui Wang
- Departments of Gastroenterology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
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Predicting Persistent Acute Respiratory Failure in Acute Pancreatitis: The Accuracy of Two Lung Injury Indices. Dig Dis Sci 2023:10.1007/s10620-023-07855-y. [PMID: 36853545 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-023-07855-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2022] [Accepted: 01/28/2023] [Indexed: 03/01/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIMS Early and accurate identification of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) at high risk of persistent acute respiratory failure (PARF) is crucial. We sought to determine the accuracy of simplified Lung Injury Prediction Score (sLIPS) and simplified Early Acute Lung Injury (sEALI) for predicting PARF in ward AP patients. METHODS Consecutive AP patients in a training cohort from West China Hospital of Sichuan University (n = 912) and a validation cohort from The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University (n = 1033) were analyzed. PARF was defined as oxygen in arterial blood/fraction of inspired oxygen < 300 mmHg that lasts for > 48 h. The sLIPS was composed by shock (predisposing condition), alcohol abuse, obesity, high respiratory rate, low oxygen saturation, high oxygen requirement, hypoalbuminemia, and acidosis (risk modifiers). The sEALI was calculated from oxygen 2 to 6 L/min, oxygen > 6 L/min, and high respiratory rate. Both indices were calculated on admission. RESULTS PARF developed in 16% (145/912) and 22% (228/1033) (22%) of the training and validation cohorts, respectively. In these patients, sLIPS and sEALI were significantly increased. sLIPS ≥ 2 predicted PARF in the training (AUROC 0.87, 95% CI 0.84-0.89) and validation (AUROC 0.81, 95% CI 0.78-0.83) cohorts. sLIPS was significantly more accurate than sEALI and current clinical scoring systems in both cohorts (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Using routinely available clinical data, the sLIPS can accurately predict PARF in ward AP patients and outperforms the sEALI and current existing clinical scoring systems.
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To Establish an Early Prediction Model for Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome in Severe Acute Pancreatitis Using Machine Learning Algorithm. J Clin Med 2023; 12:jcm12051718. [PMID: 36902504 PMCID: PMC10002486 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12051718] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2023] [Revised: 02/05/2023] [Accepted: 02/13/2023] [Indexed: 02/24/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To develop binary and quaternary classification prediction models in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) using machine learning methods, so that doctors can evaluate the risk of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and severe ARDS at an early stage. METHODS A retrospective study was conducted on SAP patients hospitalized in our hospital from August 2017 to August 2022. Logical Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Tree (DT), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) were used to build the binary classification prediction model of ARDS. Shapley Additive explanations (SHAP) values were used to interpret the machine learning model, and the model was optimized according to the interpretability results of SHAP values. Combined with the optimized characteristic variables, four-class classification models, including RF, SVM, DT, XGB, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN), were constructed to predict mild, moderate, and severe ARDS, and the prediction effects of each model were compared. RESULTS The XGB model showed the best effect (AUC = 0.84) in the prediction of binary classification (ARDS or non-ARDS). According to SHAP values, the prediction model of ARDS severity was constructed with four characteristic variables (PaO2/FiO2, APACHE II, SOFA, AMY). Among them, the overall prediction accuracy of ANN is 86%, which is the best. CONCLUSIONS Machine learning has a good effect in predicting the occurrence and severity of ARDS in SAP patients. It can also provide a valuable tool for doctors to make clinical decisions.
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Luiken I, Eisenmann S, Garbe J, Sternby H, Verdonk RC, Dimova A, Ignatavicius P, Ilzarbe L, Koiva P, Penttilä AK, Regnér S, Dober J, Wohlgemuth WA, Brill R, Michl P, Rosendahl J, Damm M. Pleuropulmonary pathologies in the early phase of acute pancreatitis correlate with disease severity. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0263739. [PMID: 35130290 PMCID: PMC8820650 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0263739] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2021] [Accepted: 01/25/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background
Respiratory failure worsens the outcome of acute pancreatitis (AP) and underlying factors might be early detectable.
Aims
To evaluate the prevalence and prognostic relevance of early pleuropulmonary pathologies and pre-existing chronic lung diseases (CLD) in AP patients.
Methods
Multicentre retrospective cohort study. Caudal sections of the thorax derived from abdominal contrast enhanced computed tomography (CECT) performed in the early phase of AP were assessed. Independent predictors of severe AP were identified by binary logistic regression analysis. A one-year survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier curves and log rank test was performed.
Results
358 patients were analysed, finding pleuropulmonary pathologies in 81%. CECTs were performed with a median of 2 days (IQR 1–3) after admission. Multivariable analysis identified moderate to severe or bilateral pleural effusions (PEs) (OR = 4.16, 95%CI 2.05–8.45, p<0.001) and pre-existing CLD (OR = 2.93, 95%CI 1.17–7.32, p = 0.022) as independent predictors of severe AP. Log rank test showed a significantly worse one-year survival in patients with bilateral compared to unilateral PEs in a subgroup.
Conclusions
Increasing awareness of the prognostic impact of large and bilateral PEs and pre-existing CLD could facilitate the identification of patients at high risk for severe AP in the early phase and thus improve their prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ina Luiken
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Stephan Eisenmann
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Jakob Garbe
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Hanna Sternby
- Department of Surgery, Institution of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Robert C. Verdonk
- Department of Gastroenterology, St. Antonius Ziekenhuis, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands
| | - Alexandra Dimova
- Department of Surgery, University Hospital for Emergency Medicine “Pirogov”, Sofia, Bulgaria
| | - Povilas Ignatavicius
- Department of Surgery, Lithuanian University of Health Sciences, Kaunas, Lithuania
| | - Lucas Ilzarbe
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hospital del Mar, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Peeter Koiva
- Department of Gastroenterology, East Tallinn Central Hospital, Tallinn, Estonia
| | - Anne K. Penttilä
- Department of Surgery, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Sara Regnér
- Department of Surgery, Institution of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden
| | - Johannes Dober
- Department of Radiology, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Walter A. Wohlgemuth
- Department of Radiology, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Richard Brill
- Department of Radiology, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Patrick Michl
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Jonas Rosendahl
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
| | - Marko Damm
- Department of Internal Medicine I, University Hospital Halle, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany
- * E-mail:
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Effects of Indwelling Pleural Catheter on Severe Acute Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Study. Gastroenterol Res Pract 2022; 2022:1919729. [PMID: 35126508 PMCID: PMC8813307 DOI: 10.1155/2022/1919729] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2021] [Revised: 12/22/2021] [Accepted: 01/11/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Background. Pleural effusion (PE) is an important predictor for severity and prognosis of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). However, there are few studies focused on the effects and timing of indwelling pleural catheter (IPC) on SAP. Considering this, we designed a retrospective study to verify the relationship between PE and severity of SAP and observe the effects and timing of IPC in SAP. Methods. A total of 309 SAP patients were enrolled. Based on the presence or absence of PE and IPC and IPC time, the enrolled patients were divided into 6 groups. Then, baseline parameters, disease severity, critical complications, ventilator supporting time (VST), length of stay (LOS), and 60-day mortality were compared between each two groups. Results. PE was a risk factor for death of SAP, but not an independent risk factor. SAP patients with PE rather without PE had higher critical complication rates (
), along with longer VST (
) and LOS (
). And the critical complication rates were lower in group 1 (IPC within 1 week of onset) than group 2 (IPC after 1 week of onset). Further, patients in group 1 also had shorter LOS (
) and VST (
) than those in group 2. In addition, the survival analysis showed the risk of death in the PE group was higher than the non-PE group (HR 6.6, 95% CI, 3.67–11.86, and
). And the risk of death in group 1 was lower than group 2 (HR 0.26, 95% CI, 0.08–0.84, and
). Conclusions. PE is a risk factor for death of SAP, but not an independent risk factor. IPC, especially IPC within 1 week of onset, has clinical practical value in SAP.
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The impact of fluid resuscitation via colon on patients with severe acute pancreatitis. Sci Rep 2021; 11:12488. [PMID: 34127776 PMCID: PMC8203607 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-92065-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2021] [Accepted: 06/04/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a life-threatening disease. Fluid Resuscitation Via Colon (FRVC) may be a complementary therapy for early controlled fluid resuscitation. But its clinical application has not been reported. This study aims to explore the impact of FRVC on SAP. All SAP patients with the first onset within 72 h admitted to the hospital were included from January 2014 to December 2018 through electronic databases of Ruijin hospital and were divided into FRVC group (n = 103) and non-FRVC group (n = 78). The clinical differences before and after the therapy between the two groups were analyzed. Of the 181 patients included in the analysis, the FRVC group received more fluid volume and reached the endpoint of blood volume expansion ahead of the non-FRVC group. After the early fluid resuscitation, the inflammation indicators in the FRVC group were lower. The rate of mechanical ventilation and the incidence of hypernatremia also decreased significantly. Using pure water for FRVC was more helpful to reduce hypernatremia. However, Kaplan–Meier 90-day survival between the two groups showed no difference. These results suggest that the combination of FRVC might benefit SAP patients in the early stage of fluid resuscitation, but there is no difference between the prognosis of SAP patients and that of conventional fluid resuscitation. Further prospective study is needed to evaluate the effect of FRVC on SAP patients.
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Zhang W, Zhang M, Kuang Z, Huang Z, Gao L, Zhu J. The risk factors for acute respiratory distress syndrome in patients with severe acute pancreatitis: A retrospective analysis. Medicine (Baltimore) 2021; 100:e23982. [PMID: 33466140 PMCID: PMC7808542 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000023982] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2020] [Accepted: 11/30/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is very common in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), the early interventions are essential to the prognosis of SAP patients. We aimed to evaluate the risk factors for ARDS in SAP patients, to provide insights into the management of SAP.SAP patients treated in our hospital from June 1, 2018 to May 31, 2020 were included. The characteristics and lab test results were collected and compared, and we conducted the logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify the potential risk factors for ARDS in patients with SAP.A total of 281 SAP patients were included finally, the incidence of ARDS in patients with SAP was 30.60%. There were significant differences on the respiratory rate, heart rate, APACHE II and Ranson score between 2 groups (all P < .05). And there were significant differences on the polymorphonuclear, procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, serum creatinine, albumin and PO2/FiO2 between 2 groups (all P < .05), and no significant differences on the K+, Na+, Ca+, white blood cell, neutrophils, urine and blood amylase, trypsin, lipase, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, triglyceride, total cholesterol, total bilirubin, fasting blood glucose, and pH were found (all P > .05). Respiratory rate >30/min (odds ratio [OR]: 2.405, 95% confidence interval[CI]: 1.163-4.642), APACHE II score >11 (OR: 1.639, 95% CI: 1.078-2.454), Ranson score >5 (OR: 1.473, 95% CI: 1.145-2.359), polymorphonuclear >14 × 109/L (OR: 1.316, 95% CI: 1.073-2.328), C-reactive protein >150 mg/L (OR: 1.127, 95% CI: 1.002-1.534), albumin ≤30 g/L (OR: 1.113, 95% CI: 1.005-1.489) were the independent risk factors for ARDS in patients with SAP (all P < .05).The incidence of ARDS in SAP patients is relatively high, and it is necessary to carry out targeted early prevention and treatment for the above risk factors.
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