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Karunarathne M, Buddhika P, Priyamantha A, Mayogya P, Jayathilaka R, Dayapathirana N. Restoring life expectancy in low-income countries: the combined impact of COVID-19, health expenditure, GDP, and child mortality. BMC Public Health 2025; 25:894. [PMID: 40050818 PMCID: PMC11884026 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-22109-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2024] [Accepted: 02/26/2025] [Indexed: 03/10/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Life expectancy is a vital indicator of a country's health and progress. Low-income countries face uncertainty regarding the long-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, driven by health expenditure levels, concerns over rising child mortality rates, and decreasing per capita income. These factors challenge life expectancy and demand urgent attention. This study aims to identify patterns, challenges, and opportunities to improve life expectancy in these countries through better health policies and resource allocation. METHODS The research investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, health expenditure, per capita income, and child mortality rates on life expectancy in low-income countries. By examining 22 years of data from 20 countries, using a comprehensive dataset from the Our World in Data database, this study employs panel regression and time series analysis to explore how these factors influence life expectancy. RESULTS The findings indicate a significant negative effect of COVID-19 on life expectancy, while health expenditure and per capita income show a positive impact. Conversely, child mortality rates exert a negative effect on life expectancy in low-income countries. CONCLUSION This research contributes to the existing body of knowledge by analysing how COVID-19, health expenditure, per capita income, and child mortality collectively affect life expectancy in low-income countries. The insights gained may inform policymakers and health consultants about the need for targeted interventions, prioritising healthcare investment and child health. By addressing these critical areas, it may be possible to improve life expectancy and overall health outcomes, thus contributing to global health equity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Manohara Karunarathne
- Department of Information Management, SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka
| | - Pasindu Buddhika
- Department of Information Management, SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka
| | - Avishka Priyamantha
- Department of Information Management, SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka
| | - Pubudunie Mayogya
- Department of Information Management, SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka
| | - Ruwan Jayathilaka
- Department of Information Management, SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka.
| | - Nirmani Dayapathirana
- Department of Business Management, SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Sri Lanka
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Eze P, Idemili CJ, Lawani LO. Evaluating health systems' efficiency towards universal health coverage: A data envelopment analysis. INQUIRY : A JOURNAL OF MEDICAL CARE ORGANIZATION, PROVISION AND FINANCING 2024; 61:469580241235759. [PMID: 38456456 PMCID: PMC10924553 DOI: 10.1177/00469580241235759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/08/2023] [Revised: 01/21/2024] [Accepted: 02/12/2024] [Indexed: 03/09/2024]
Abstract
To estimate the technical efficiency of health systems toward achieving universal health coverage (UHC) in 191 countries. We applied an output-oriented data envelopment analysis approach to estimate the technical efficiency of the health systems, including the UHC index (a summary measure that captures both service coverage and financial protection) as the output variable and per capita health expenditure, doctors, nurses, and hospital bed density as input variables. We used a Tobit simple-censored regression with bootstrap analysis to observe the socioeconomic and environmental factors associated with efficiency estimates. The global UHC index improved from the 2019 estimates, ranged from 48.4 (Somalia) to 94.8 (Canada), with a mean of 76.9 (std. dev.: ±12.0). Approximately 78.5% (150 of 191) of the studied countries were inefficient (ϕ < 1.0) with respect to using health system resources toward achieving UHC. By improving health system efficiency, low-income, lower-middle-income, upper-middle-income, and high-income countries can improve their UHC indices by 4.6%, 5.5%, 6.8%, and 4.1%, respectively, by using their current resource levels. The percentage of health expenditure spent on primary health care (PHC), governance quality, and the passage of UHC legislation significantly influenced efficiency estimates. Our findings suggests health systems inefficiency toward achieving UHC persists across countries, regardless of their income classifications and WHO regions, as well as indicating that using current level of resources, most countries could boost their progress toward UHC by improving their health system efficiency by increasing investments in PHC, improving health system governance, and where applicable, enacting/implementing UHC legislation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Paul Eze
- Penn State University, University Park, PA, USA
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Loewenson R, Mukumba C. Recovering lost tax to meet the health financing gap for universal public sector health systems in East and Southern Africa. BMJ Glob Health 2023; 8:e011820. [PMID: 37813446 PMCID: PMC10565176 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgh-2023-011820] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2023] [Accepted: 04/21/2023] [Indexed: 10/13/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Universal healthcare services funded through taxation and free at point-of-access are the most equitable ways of funding healthcare rights. This paper examines key public sector health financing measures in 17 East and Southern African (ESA) countries, estimates the funding gap for basic and comprehensive services and relates this to sources of lost tax revenue. METHODS Health financing and tax data for 2018 (the most recent year available) were extracted from international databases for each ESA country, and analysed collectively for the region, comparing against intergovernmental estimates of optimal funding and tax capacity. Despite limitations noted, the scale of the health financing gap and tax losses informed policy recommendations. RESULTS The annual average per capita financing gap ranged from $28 to $84 for basic to comprehensive services, respectively, applying estimates of funding needs. Many innovative financing measures being explored do not meet this scale of deficit. Annual ESA per capita tax losses were estimated as: US$34.20 from shortfalls in domestic tax capacity and US$13.80 from illicit financial flows largely due to commercial practices. A proposed 25% minimum effective tax rate on multinationals in a fairer global tax system would yield an additional annual collection US$26.20 in the region. CONCLUSIONS Addressing a total annual tax loss of US$34 billion from these three sources alone would almost completely finance the region's US$36 billion financing gap for a comprehensive public sector health system. The COVID-19 pandemic's exposure of the need for investment in public sector services suggests an opportunity for an alliance between health and finance sectors to ensure progressive taxation as the core funding for an equitable, universal health system. This implies costing the health funding demands and gap in ESA countries; strengthening domestic tax capacity, expanding wealth taxes, curbing illicit outflows and providing health evidence to ongoing African diplomacy for a fairer global tax system.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Chenai Mukumba
- Policy Research and Advocacy, Tax Justice Network Africa, Nairobi, Kenya
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Lim MY, Kamaruzaman HF, Wu O, Geue C. Health financing challenges in Southeast Asian countries for universal health coverage: a systematic review. Arch Public Health 2023; 81:148. [PMID: 37592326 PMCID: PMC10433621 DOI: 10.1186/s13690-023-01159-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2023] [Accepted: 07/27/2023] [Indexed: 08/19/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Universal Health Coverage (UHC) has received much attention and many countries are striving to achieve it. The Southeast Asian region, in particular, comprises many developing countries with limited resources, exacerbating challenges around attaining UHC. This paper aims to specifically explore the health financing challenges these countries face in achieving UHC via a systematic review approach and formulate recommendations that will be useful for policymakers. METHODS The systematic review followed the guidelines as recommended by PRISMA. The narrative synthesis approach was used for data synthesis, followed by identifying common themes. RESULTS The initial search returned 160 articles, and 32 articles were included after the screening process. The identified challenges in health financing towards achieving UHC in the Southeast Asian region are categorised into six main themes, namely (1) Unsustainability of revenue-raising methods, (2) Fragmented health insurance schemes, (3) Incongruity between insurance benefits and people's needs, (4) Political and legislative indifference, (5) Intractable and rapidly rising healthcare cost, (6) Morally reprehensible behaviours. CONCLUSIONS The challenges identified are diverse and therefore require a multifaceted approach. Regional collaborative efforts between countries will play an essential role in the progress towards UHC and in narrowing the inequity gap. At the national level, individual countries must work towards sustainable health financing strategies by leveraging innovative digital technologies and constantly adapting to dynamic health trends. REGISTRATION This study is registered with PROSPERO, under registration number CRD42022336624.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ming Yao Lim
- Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Scotland, UK.
| | - Hanin Farhana Kamaruzaman
- Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Scotland, UK
| | - Olivia Wu
- Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Scotland, UK
| | - Claudia Geue
- Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Scotland, UK
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Chen J, Zhao M, Zhou R, Ou W, Yao P. How heavy is the medical expense burden among the older adults and what are the contributing factors? A literature review and problem-based analysis. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1165381. [PMID: 37397714 PMCID: PMC10313336 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1165381] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2023] [Accepted: 05/12/2023] [Indexed: 07/04/2023] Open
Abstract
In recent years, the aging population and increasing medical expenses among the older adults have emerged as significant public health concerns. National governments must conduct medical expense accounting and implement measures to reduce the burden of medical costs on the older population. However, limited studies have focused on total medical expenditure from a macro perspective, with many researches exploring individual medical expenses from different perspectives. This review introduces the trend of population aging and its impact on health cost change, reviews research on the medical expense burden of the older population and contributing factors, and points out underlying problems and limitations of current studies. Based on the present studies, the review emphasizes the necessity of medical expense accounting and analyzes the medical expense burden of the older population. Future studies should explore the impacts of medical insurance funds and health service system reforms on reducing medical expenses and developing a supporting medical insurance reform plan.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Chen
- Department of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
| | - Meizhen Zhao
- Nursing Department, Tongji Hospital of Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Renyi Zhou
- Department of Orthopaedics, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
| | - Wenjing Ou
- College of Health Management, China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
| | - Pin Yao
- Department of Health Management, Department of Health Policy and Hospital Management, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, Liaoning, China
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Abstract
OBJECTIVES To conduct a comprehensive literature review on the state of population aging, healthcare financing, and provision in India. METHODS To obtain relevant records in the Indian context, multiple publications were searched from databases, such as Scopus, ScienceDirect, Web of Science, Medline/PubMed, JSTOR, and Google Scholar using the following keywords: "Population Ageing," "Population Aging," "Health System," "Demographic Dividend," "Non-communicable Diseases," "Double Burden of Diseases," "Health Spending," "Sustainable Health Financing," and "Health Coverage." Data on different health indices were collected from different websites of the government of India and international organizations (e.g. World Bank, UN, WHO, and Statista). RESULTS As people live longer, India faces a double burden of disease, with the rising incidence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) amidst the presence of widespread communicable diseases. The combined problem of the double burden of diseases and population aging poses a severe sustainability challenge for its healthcare financing and the entire health system. Healthcare financing based on progressive taxation and large-scale prepayment coverage is an effective solution for sustaining the health system. However, due to the prevalence of indirect taxes, India's tax system is regressive. Hence, community-based health insurance (CBHI) schemes can be a feasible solution to cover the large mass of poor working in the informal sector. CONCLUSIONS India needs to address the alterations in its healthcare needs and demands brought on by the advancing demographic shift. To achieve so, the country's healthcare system must be reformed to accommodate strong national policies focusing on universal access to critical care especially geriatric and palliative care.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Himanshu Sekhar Rout
- Department of Analytical & Applied Economics, Utkal University, Bhubaneswar, India
| | - Mihajlo Jakovljevic
- Institute of Advanced Manufacturing Technologies, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, St. Petersburg, Russia
- Institute of Comparative Economic Studies, Hosei University Faculty of Economics, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Global Health Economics and Policy, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac, Serbia
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Söyük S. The impact of public health expenditure and gross domestic product per capita on the risk of catastrophic health expenditures for OECD countries. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1122424. [PMID: 37089504 PMCID: PMC10118030 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1122424] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2022] [Accepted: 03/21/2023] [Indexed: 04/25/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction Catastrophic health expenditure refers to situations where households face financial ruin due to high healthcare costs. For household spending on health services, the lack of pre-payment mechanisms to equalize the low payment capacity and risk, and the inability of countries' health financing systems to fulfill their duties adequately all contribute to the creation or increase of the risk of catastrophic health expenditure. This situation has devastating effects on poor households first, but if the prevention mechanisms are insouciant, it can threaten the health system of the entire country. The research aims to assess the impact of the pre-paid financing model implementations and income levels on the ability of countries to reduce the risk of catastrophic health expenditure. Methods The paragraph explains the data used in the study, which is taken from OECD countries between 2003 and 2019. It also mentions the statistical models used in the study, which are static and dynamic panel regression models. Results The findings indicate that pre-paid financing models, such as those based on taxation, can help reduce the risk of catastrophic health expenditure. The study also reveals that income levels play a role in this regard, with countries with higher incomes being better able to reduce the risk of catastrophic health expenditure. Discussion The study suggests that healthcare financing systems should aim to provide effective services and financial protection to improve universal health coverage and reduce the risk of catastrophic health expenditure. Further researches using different health indicators and inputs could add to the existing literature on how to limit catastrophic health expenses and address other related questions.
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Domapielle MK, Sumankuuro J, Bebelleh FD. Revisiting the debate on health financing in Low and Middle‐income countries: An integrative review of selected models. Int J Health Plann Manage 2022; 37:3061-3074. [DOI: 10.1002/hpm.3566] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2022] [Revised: 08/07/2022] [Accepted: 08/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Maximillian Kolbe Domapielle
- Department of Governance and Development Management Faculty of Public Policy and Governance. SDD ‐ University of Business and Integrated Development Studies Wa U.W.R Ghana
| | - Joshua Sumankuuro
- Department of Public Policy and Management Faculty of Public Policy and Governance. SDD ‐ University of Business and Integrated Development Studies Wa U.W.R Ghana
| | - Frederick Der Bebelleh
- Department of Development Studies Faculty of Integrated Development Studies. SDD ‐ University of Business and Integrated Development Studies Wa U.W.R Ghana
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Guets W, Behera DK. Does disability increase households' health financial risk: evidence from the Uganda demographic and health survey. Glob Health Res Policy 2022; 7:2. [PMID: 34983699 PMCID: PMC8728967 DOI: 10.1186/s41256-021-00235-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2021] [Accepted: 12/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the last few years, there has been a worldwide commitment to protect the vulnerable individuals from higher financial risk through out-of-pocket (OOP) health expenditure. This study examines the influence of disability and socio-demographic factors on households' health financial risks in Uganda. METHODS We used nationally representative cross-sectional data from the Uganda Demographic and Health Survey (UDHS) collected in 2016 by the Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) in Uganda. We measured financial risk (households' health expenditure) by money paid for health care services. We estimated the "probit" model to investigate the effect of disability on health financial risk. RESULTS A total of 19,305 households were included in this study. Almost 32% of households paid money for health care services access, among which 32% paid through out-of-pocket. Almost 41% of household heads were affected by disability. The majority (73%) of families went to the public sector for health care services. The mean age was 45 years (SD ± 15). We find that disability is significantly associated with the household financial risk (p < 0.01). The private sector's choice for health care services is likely to positively affect the financial risk compared to the public sector (p < 0.01). The wealthier the household was, the more money paid for health service was (p < 0.01). CONCLUSION Our results indicated that disability and household socio-demographic characteristics were associated with health financial risk in Uganda. Identifying families with disability and experiencing difficult living conditions constitute an entry point for health authorities to enhance health coverage progress in low and middle-income countries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wilfried Guets
- Univ Lyon, Université Lumière Lyon 2, GATE UMR 5824, 69130, Ecully, France.
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Yetim B, İlgün G, Çilhoroz Y, Demirci Ş, Konca M. The socioeconomic determinants of health expenditure in OECD: An examination on panel data. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT 2020. [DOI: 10.1080/20479700.2020.1756112] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Birol Yetim
- Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Healthcare Management, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye
| | - Gülnur İlgün
- Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Healthcare Management, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye
| | - Yasin Çilhoroz
- Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Healthcare Management, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye
| | - Şenol Demirci
- Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Healthcare Management, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye
| | - Murat Konca
- Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Healthcare Management, Hacettepe University, Ankara, Türkiye
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