Individualized Follow-Up Strategy for Patients with an Indeterminate Response to Initial Therapy for Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Prognostic role and characteristics of the indeterminate response in differentiated thyroid cancer: a systematic review

PURPOSE

The management of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is actually based on a dynamic risk stratification based on classes of response to the therapy. Indeterminate response (IR) includes a heterogeneous group of patients with different characteristics, particularly different Tg and AbTg levels and/or imaging findings. The aim of systematic review (SR) is to evaluate the prognosis, diagnostic findings and other characteristics of patients in the IR class.

METHODS

A wide literature search in the Scopus, PubMed/MEDLINE and Web of Science databases was performed to find published articles on patients with DTC and IR after treatment. The quality assessment of studies was carried out using QUADAS-2 evaluation.

RESULTS

Eight articles were included in the systematic review. Six studies evaluated the prognosis and the prognostic factor in patients with IR, one study evaluated the role of 2-[18F]FDG PET-CT in the management of patients with IR and biochemical incomplete response and one study the risk factors for IR.

CONCLUSION

Patients with DTC and IR to therapy have a probability of disease relapse < 15%. Tg value could be a predictor of disease progression. The role of 2-[18F]FDG PET-CT needs to be further investigated.

Temporal Evolution and Prognostic Role of Indeterminate Response Sub-Groups in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer after Initial Therapy with Radioiodine

The clinical outcome of patients affected by Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma (DTC) and an indeterminate response (IR) after initial therapy is not yet clear. IR includes three different sub-groups of patients: (1) IRTg+ group: Detectable thyroglobulin (Tg), regardless of antithyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb) presence or imaging studies; (2) IRTgAb+ group: Positive TgAb, regardless of Tg levels and nonspecific imaging findings; (3) IRImaging+ group: Nonspecific findings on neck ultrasonography or faint uptake in the thyroid bed on the whole-body scan, negative TgAb, and undetectable Tg. The main aim of this retrospective study was to investigate the dynamic evolution and prognostic role of these patients. From January 2010 to December 2017, 2176 patients who received radioiodine for DTC after total thyroidectomy were included. Two-hundred-eighty-eight patients had IR one year after therapy (187 TgAb+, 76 Tg+, 25 imaging+). After two years, 110 patients (38%) were reclassified as an excellent response and 5 (2%) as an incomplete response; after five years, 221 (77%) achieved an excellent response and 11 (4%) showed an incomplete response. One-year stimulated Tg and nodal disease at diagnosis may predict the final status of the disease. Progression-free survival was significantly shorter in IRTg+ than in IRTgAb+ and IRimaging+ groups. Considering Tg+ patients, a threshold of 3.3 ng/mL is best to predict prognosis.

Prediction of Cervical Lymph Nodes Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma (PTC) Using Nodal Staging Score (NSS)

Background

Cervical lymph node metastasis is commonly seen in papillary thyroid carcinoma. Surgery is the preferred treatment for PTC with cervical lymph node metastasis. There is no alternate ultrasound, neck CT, and thyroglobulin (Tg) methods to assess the occult lymph node metastasis. For moderate-and high-risk PTC, the number of lymph nodes to be dissected should be increased to remove the occult lymph node metastasis.

Objective

This study was designed to develop a nodal staging score model to predict the likelihood of lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), and further guide the treatments. Material and Methods. Data were collected from the SEER database. Patients with PTC from 2000 to 2005 were selected. The beta-binomial model was adopted to establish a nodal staging score (NSS)-based model. The NSS-based model was built according to gender, age, extrathyroidal invasion, tumor multifocality, tumor size, and T stage of the patients. A total of 12,431 PTC patients were included in our study. Various types of lymph nodes were examined based on various categories (incidence, risk assessment) to evaluate the results.

Results

5,959 (47.9%) patients in the study were positive and 6,472 (52.1%) were confirmed negative for lymph node metastasis. The corrected incidence of lymph node metastasis was higher than that of direct calculation, regardless of the factors that affected lymph node metastasis. There were significant differences in the OS of PTC patients among the four groups and T stage (p is less than 0.05), indicating that cervical lymph node metastasis would have an impact on the prognosis of patients.

Conclusion

In conclusion, an NSS-based model base on a variety of clinicopathological factors can be used to predict lymph node metastasis. It is important to evaluate the risk of occult lymph node metastasis in the treatment of PTC.. Since, this statistical model can describe the risk of occult lymph node metastasis in patients; therefore, it can be used as basis for decision-making related to the number of lymph nodes that can be dissected in operations.

Natural history, predictive factors of apparent disease (structural or biochemical) and spontaneous excellent response in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma and indeterminate response to initial therapy with radioiodine

BACKGROUND

About 20% of patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) submitted to total thyroidectomy followed by radioactive iodine (RAI) exhibit an indeterminate response to therapy. The aim was to evaluate the natural history, predictive factors of apparent disease (structural or biochemical), and spontaneous excellent response in patients with PTC and an initial indeterminate response to RAI therapy defined based on unstimulated Tg (u-Tg).

METHODS

We evaluated 164 patients who were initially treated with total thyroidectomy and RAI and who had an indeterminate response to therapy (u-Tg between 0.2 and 1 ng/ml, undetectable anti-Tg antibodies [TgAb], and neck ultrasonography [US] without anomalies). None of the patients received empirical therapy with RAI. The patients were followed up for 24 to 144 months (median 72 months).

RESULTS

Apparent disease occurred in 16 patients (9.7%), including 13 with structural disease and 3 with u-Tg elevation > 1 ng/ml, but no tumor was detected by the imaging methods (biochemical disease). A higher frequency of disease was observed in patients with >3 lymph node metastases (LNM) and initial u-Tg >0.35 ng/ml. The frequency was only 2% among patients with ≤3 LNM and u-Tg ≤0.35 ng/ml and 9.7% among patients with > 3 LNM or u-Tg >0.35 ng/ml, while the frequency was 27% in patients with >3 LNM and u-Tg >0.35 ng/ml. In the absence of any additional therapy, u-Tg was <0.2 ng/ml (excellent response) in the last assessment in 70 patients (42.7%). Only initial u-Tg was associated with a higher probability of spontaneously achieving an excellent response: 40/72 patients (55.5%) with u-Tg ≤0.35 ng/ml versus 30/92 patients (32.6%) with u-Tg >0.35 ng/ml.

CONCLUSIONS

A minority of patients with PTC and an initial indeterminate response to RAI defined based on u-Tg develop apparent disease (structural or biochemical) and many spontaneously achieve an excellent response. The risk of disease can be refined based on parameters such as the extent of lymph node involvement and initial Tg concentration.

Clinical implications of age and excellent response to therapy in patients with high-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Patients with American Thyroid Association (ATA) high-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) have poor clinical outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical implications of age and response to therapy classification in patients with ATA high-risk DTC.

DESIGN AND PATIENTS

This study included 222 patients with high-risk DTC who initially underwent therapy between 2000 and 2010 in a single tertiary center in Korea. We evaluated the prognostic parameters associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) with a focus on age and achieving an excellent response (ER).

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 11.3 years, disease progression was detected in 77 patients (34.7%), and disease-specific mortality was reported in 31 patients (14.0%). Older age (≥55 years) and not achieving ER (not-ER) were independent risk factors associated with PFS (age, p < .001; not-ER, p < .001) and DSS (age, p < .001; not-ER, p = .015). Of the 74 patients in the ER group, 7 (9.5%) displayed disease progression and 1 (1.4%) died from DTC. There were no significant differences in PFS and DSS according to age in the ER group. However, older patients had significantly worse PFS and DSS than younger patients in the not-ER group (p = .002 and p < .001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Response to therapy classification is important for predicting PFS and DSS in patients with high-risk DTC. Patients in the ER group had a relatively good prognosis, but disease progression occurred in 9.5% of patients. Age was a key predictor of both PFS and DSS in high-risk patients who did not achieve ER.

Natural Course of the American Thyroid Association Response to Therapy Statuses (Dynamic Risk Stratification) in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

The concept of response to therapy in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) was introduced as a dynamic risk stratification used to assess the status of the disease at the time of the evaluation during the follow-up and the risk of recurrence in the future. Our aim in this study was to evaluate the natural course over time of different response to therapy statuses.

METHODS

We studied 501 nonselected DTC patients (102 males and 399 females) with a median age of 37 years (interquartile range [IQR] 29-48). All patients underwent near-total or total thyroidectomy followed by I-131 ablation (initial management).

RESULTS

Of the 501 patients, 387 patients (77.2%) did not have any additional therapuetic interventions after the initial management. In this group, the response to therapy status at the time of the first evaluation after I-131 (median 17 months, IQR 14-22) was an excellent response in 258 (66.7%), an indeterminate response in 101 (26.1%), biochemically incomplete in 17 (4.4%), and structurally incomplete in 11 patients (2.8%). The status changed spontaneously without any intervention in many of them. At the last follow-up visit (median duration 101 months, IQR 71-126), 357 patients (92.2%) achieved an excellent response, 4 (1%) an indeterminate response, 8 (2.1%) a biochemically incomplete status, 16 (4.1%) a structurally incomplete status, and 2 (0.5%) died secondary to DTC with a structurally incomplete status. The response to therapy in the other 114 patients who underwent additional interventions changed from before intervention to the last evaluation as follows: excellent response, 0 to 60 patients (52.6%), indeterminate response, 20 (17.5%) to 1 patient (0.9%), biochemically incomplete 25 (21.9%) to 10 patients (9%), and structurally incomplete 69 (60.5%) to 43 patients (37.7%). Overall, at the last evaluation, 417 (83.2%) were in an excellent response, 5 (1%) in an indeterminate response, 18 (3.6%) in a biochemically incomplete status, 50 (10.2%) in a structurally incomplete status, and 11 (2.2%) died secondary to DTC with a structurally incomplete status.

CONCLUSIONS

The response to therapy at the initial evaluation is predictive of the long-term outcome. Most patients with the indeterminate response and some in the biochemically incomplete statuses spontaneously regress to an excellent status. Mortality and progression of DTC occur mostly in the structurally incomplete status.

Thyroglobulin Antibodies as a Prognostic Factor in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Patients with Indeterminate Response After Initial Therapy

The clinical outcome of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients with an indeterminate response after initial therapy is reported to be intermediate, between incomplete and excellent responses. This study evaluated the outcomes of PTC patients with indeterminate response after initial therapy. It was further determined whether the indeterminate findings predicted outcomes more precisely. Patients were further classified into 3 groups based on risk of structural persistence/recurrence: Tg group: detectable thyroglobulin, negative antithyroglobulin antibody, regardless nonspecific imaging findings; TgAb group: positive antithyroglobulin antibody, regardless thyroglobulin levels and nonspecific imaging findings, and Image group: nonspecific findings on neck ultrasonography or faint uptake in the thyroid bed on whole-body scan, undetectable thyroglobulin and negative antithyroglobulin antibody. Sixty-six patients aged 44.1±12.7 years were studied, of whom 58 (87.9%) were females. All patients underwent total thyroidectomy, and 52 patients (78.8%) received radioiodine. After 5.7 years (P25-75 2.6-9.75 years) of follow-up, most patients (89.4%) were reclassified as having an excellent response or remained in the indeterminate response to therapy. Structural recurrence/persistence disease was detected in 7 (10.6%) patients. The persistence/recurrence rate in groups were as follow: Tg, 2.63%; TgAb, 31.25%; Image, 8.3% (p=0.007). The 10-years disease-free survival rate in the TgAb group was significantly reduced (p=0.022). Our results suggest that patients with PTC and indeterminate response due to positive serum antithyroglobulin antibody have more risk of development of structural disease. These findings suggest a more individualized follow-up strategy for patients with an indeterminate response.

Clinical Outcomes after Early and Delayed Radioiodine Remnant Ablation in Patients with Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Propensity Score Matching Analysis

BACKGROUND

The clinical outcomes of delayed radioiodine remnant ablation (RRA) therapy in patients with low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) are unclear. We aimed to evaluate the clinical impact of the interval between total thyroidectomy (TT) and RRA therapy in patients with low-risk PTC.

METHODS

We included 526 patients who underwent TT and RRA for low-risk PTC with a primary tumor size of >1 cm between 2000 and 2012. Patients were divided into the early (<90 days) and the delayed (≥90 days) RRA groups based on the interval between TT and RRA. The results of diagnostic whole-body scan (DxWBS), ongoing risk stratification (ORS; response to therapy), and disease-free survival (DFS) were evaluated before and after propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

Among the 526 patients, 75 (14.3%) patients underwent delayed RRA; they had more cervical lymph node metastasis and received a higher RRA dose than those who underwent early RRA. The median follow-up period was 9.1 years after initial therapy, and the structural recurrence rate was 1.9%. In DxWBS, 60 patients had focal iodine uptake limited in operative bed, with no significant difference between groups. According to ORS, 78%, 20%, 1%, and 1% patients were classified into excellent, indeterminate, biochemical incomplete, and structural incomplete response groups, respectively. There was no significant difference in ORS or DFS between groups before and after PSM.

CONCLUSION

The timing of the first RRA had no clinical impact in patients with low-risk PTC. Thus, the clinical decision for RRA can be determined >3 months after TT considering other prognostic factors.

Long-term clinical outcomes of papillary thyroid carcinoma patients with biochemical incomplete response

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term clinical outcomes of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients exhibiting biochemical incomplete response (BIR) to initial therapy.

METHODS

We evaluated 102 patients with PTC showing a BIR during the first 12-24 months after total thyroidectomy and radioactive iodine therapy. Patients were divided into three groups according to changes in stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) and anti-Tg antibody (TgAb) levels: the increasing TgAb group (n = 19, 18.6%), the decreasing Tg group (n = 58, 56.9%), and the increasing Tg group (n = 25, 24.5%).

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 12 years, 43 (42%) patients had structural persistent disease as follows: 36 (84%) at regional sites and 7 (16%) at distant sites. The rate of structural persistent disease was significantly different between groups, with 21%, 41%, and 60% in the increasing TgAb, decreasing Tg, and increasing Tg groups, respectively (P = 0.012). Among patients without structural persistent disease, only 19 (18.6%) showed no evidence of disease and 40 (39.2%) were of a biochemical persistent status at the time of final follow-up. Increasing Tg after initial therapy was a significant risk factor for structural persistent disease in patients with BIR (HR, 4.16; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.38-12.54, P = 0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

PTC patients with BIR showed a high rate of structural persistent disease and Tg change after initial therapy is the most important prognostic factor for determining clinical outcomes of these patients.

Impact of Extranodal Extension on Risk Stratification in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Background: The current American Thyroid Association risk-stratification system for papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) incorporates the number and size of positive lymph nodes (LNs) but places less weight on extranodal extension (ENE). This study investigated how to incorporate ENE into the current system to predict recurrence better in PTC N1 patients. Methods: A total of 369 N1 PTC patients without distant metastasis were enrolled. The combination of number of positive LNs and LNs with ENE that had the highest C-index were identified with multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. ENE number was incorporated into the current system considering the recurrence rate and unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of the subgroups. Kaplan-Meier curves for recurrence based on current and alternative systems were compared by log-rank test. Results: The recurrence rate for the subgroup with five or fewer positive LNs and one to three ENEs (7/61; 11.5%) was higher than that of the subgroup with five or fewer positive LNs without ENE (5/129; 3.9%; adjusted HR = 3.42 [confidence interval (CI) 0.99-11.75]; p = 0.050). In contrast, adjusted HRs of the subgroup with more than five positive LNs and one to three ENEs (2.33 [CI 0.52-10.35]) or with four or more ENEs (3.86 [CI 1.05-14.17]) were not higher than those of the subgroup with more than five LNs without ENE (4.47 [1.16-17.19]). Incorporating ENE into the current system as an intermediate-risk group yielded a lower log-rank p-value (0.05 vs. 0.01) than the current system. Conclusions: The presence of ENE in low volume LN metastasis confers an intermediate risk of recurrence. Incorporating ENE into the current system allows more accurate decisions regarding further management of PTC N1 patients.