Association between treatment toxicity and outcomes in oncology clinical trials

Artificial neural network-assisted prediction of radiobiological indices in head and neck cancer

Background and purpose

We proposed an artificial neural network model to predict radiobiological parameters for the head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with radiation therapy. The model uses the tumor specification, demographics, and radiation dose distribution to predict the tumor control probability and the normal tissue complications probability. These indices are crucial for the assessment and clinical management of cancer patients during treatment planning.

Methods

Two publicly available datasets of 31 and 215 head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients treated with conformal radiation therapy were selected. The demographics, tumor specifications, and radiation therapy treatment parameters were extracted from the datasets used as inputs for the training of perceptron. Radiobiological indices are calculated by open-source software using dosevolume histograms from radiation therapy treatment plans. Those indices were used as output in the training of a single-layer neural network. The distribution of data used for training, validation, and testing purposes was 70, 15, and 15%, respectively.

Results

The best performance of the neural network was noted at epoch number 32 with the mean squared error of 0.0465. The accuracy of the prediction of radiobiological indices by the artificial neural network in training, validation, and test phases were determined to be 0.89, 0.87, and 0.82, respectively. We also found that the percentage volume of parotid inside the planning target volume is the significant parameter for the prediction of normal tissue complications probability.

Conclusion

We believe that the model has significant potential to predict radiobiological indices and help clinicians in treatment plan evaluation and treatment management of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients.

Just a spoonful of metformin helps the medicine go down

Diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma (DIPG) is a devastating brain tumor with a need for novel therapies. So far, monotherapies have failed to prolong survival for these patients, and combinatorial strategies have often shown severe, dose-limiting toxicities. In this issue of the JCI, Duchatel, Jackson, and colleagues address this challenge by introducing a drug combination that mitigates side effects and overcomes resistance. After identifying the PI3K/mTOR pathway as a therapeutic vulnerability, they treated DIPG-bearing mice with paxalisib and saw responses but also observed hyperglycemia as a severe side effect. Combining paxalisib with metformin mitigated this toxicity, but also upregulated protein kinase C (PKC) signaling. To tackle this mechanism of resistance, the authors added the PKC inhibitor enzastaurin to their drug combination and showed that this triple therapy led to improved survival. This approach paves the way for improved outcomes for patients with DIPG and other brain tumors.

Toxicities and Quality of Life during Cancer Treatment in Advanced Solid Tumors

The purpose of the study was to identify subgroups of advanced cancer patients who experienced grade 3-4 toxicities as reported by their oncologists as well as identify the demographic, clinical, and treatment symptom characteristics as well as QoL outcomes associated with distinct profiles of each patient. A prospective, multicenter, observational study was conducted with advanced cancer patients of 15 different hospitals across Spain. After three months of systemic cancer treatment, participants completed questionnaires that evaluated psychological distress (BSI-18), quality of life (EORTC QLQ-C30) and fatigue (FAS). The most common tumor sites for the 557 cancer patients with a mean age of 65 years were bronchopulmonary, digestive, and pancreas. Overall, 19% of patients experienced high-grade toxicities (grade 3-4) during treatment. Patients with recurrent advanced cancer, with non-adenocarcinoma cancer, undergoing chemotherapy, and a showing deteriorated baseline status (ECOG > 1) were more likely to experience higher toxicity. Patients who experienced grade 3-4 toxicities during cancer treatment had their treatment suspended in 59% of the cases. Additionally, 87% of the patients had a dose adjustment or a cycle delayed in their treatment due to a high risk of dying during treatment. Future research should focus on identifying interventions to reduce high-grade toxicities and improve quality of life in cancer patients.

A critical analysis of neuro-oncology clinical trials

BACKGROUND

Limitations in trial design, accrual, and data reporting impact efficient and reliable drug evaluation in cancer clinical trials. These concerns have been recognized in neuro-oncology but have not been comprehensively evaluated. We conducted a semi-automated survey of adult interventional neuro-oncology trials, examining design, interventions, outcomes, and data availability trends.

METHODS

Trials were selected programmatically from ClinicalTrials.gov using primary malignant central nervous system tumor classification terms. Regression analyses assessed design and accrual trends; effect size analysis utilized survival rates among trials investigating survival.

RESULTS

Of 3038 reviewed trials, most trials reporting relevant information were nonblinded (92%), single group (65%), nonrandomized (51%), and studied glioblastomas (47%) or other gliomas. Basic design elements were reported by most trials, with reporting increasing over time (OR = 1.24, P < .00001). Trials assessing survival outcomes were estimated to assume large effect sizes of interventions when powering their designs. Forty-two percent of trials were completed; of these, 38% failed to meet their enrollment target, with worse accrual over time (R = -0.94, P < .00001) and for US versus non-US based trials (OR = 0.5, P < .00001). Twenty-eight percent of completed trials reported partial results, with greater reporting for US (34.6%) versus non-US based trials (9.3%, P < .00001). Efficacy signals were detected by 15%-23% of completed trials reporting survival outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Low randomization rates, underutilization of controls, and overestimation of effect size, particularly pronounced in early-phase trials, impede generalizability of results. Suboptimal designs may be driven by accrual challenges, underscoring the need for cooperative efforts and novel designs. The limited results reporting highlights the need to incentivize data reporting and harmonization.

Folate, folic acid, and chemotherapy-induced toxicities: a systematic literature review

Folate metabolism is a target for various chemotherapeutic drugs. Folate and its synthetic variant folic acid are B-vitamins. To what extent these vitamins impact treatment tolerance in patients with cancer remains unclear. A systematic literature review was conducted on intake and status of folate and folic acid in relation to chemotherapy-induced toxicities in children and adults with cancer. A total of 6,231 publications were identified, of which 40 publications met the inclusion criteria. In 12 out of 22 studies focusing on antifolates, a deficient folate status and lower folate and folic acid intake were associated with a higher risk of toxicities. In 8 out of 14 studies focusing on fluoropyrimidine treatments, a higher folate status and intake were associated with a higher risk of toxicities. These findings might explain interindividual differences in treatment tolerance and highlight the importance of evaluating nutritional status in oncology care.

A Remarkable Difference in Pharmacokinetics of Fluorinated Versus Iodinated Photosensitizers Derived from Chlorophyll-a and a Direct Correlation between the Tumor Uptake and Anti-Cancer Activity

To investigate and compare the pharmacokinetic profile and anti-cancer activity of fluorinated and iodinated photosensitizers (PSs), the 3-(1'-(o-fluorobenzyloxy)ethyl pyropheophorbide and the corresponding meta-(m-) and para (p-) fluorinated analogs (methyl esters and carboxylic acids) were synthesized. Replacing iodine with fluorine in PSs did not make any significant difference in fluorescence and singlet oxygen (a key cytotoxic agent) production. The nature of the delivery vehicle and tumor types showed a significant difference in uptake and long-term cure by photodynamic therapy (PDT), especially in the iodinated PS. An unexpected difference in the pharmacokinetic profiles of fluorinated vs. iodinated PSs was observed. At the same imaging parameters, the fluorinated PSs showed maximal tumor uptake at 2 h post injection of the PS, whereas the iodinated PS gave the highest uptake at 24 h post injection. Among all isomers, the m-fluoro PS showed the best in vivo anti-cancer activity in mice bearing U87 (brain) or bladder (UMUC3) tumors. A direct correlation between the tumor uptake and PDT efficacy was observed. The higher tumor uptake of m-fluoro PS at two hours post injection provides a solid rationale for developing the corresponding ¹⁸F-agent (half-life 110 min only) for positron imaging tomography (PET) of those cancers (e.g., bladder, prostate, kidney, pancreas, and brain) where ¹⁸F-FDG-PET shows limitations.

Case report: Vitiligo-like toxicity due to ribociclib during first-line treatment of metastatic breast cancer: two cases of premature interruption of therapy and exceptional response

Cancer treatment-related adverse events (AEs) are sometimes associated with outcomes for cancer patients, especially with the newest therapies such as target therapy and immunotherapy. A few years ago, the first-line therapy for hormone-receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer (mBC) patients has been deeply changed by the introduction of cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4/6 inhibitors, and now, we are improving our knowledge about their AEs and significance in clinical practice. Here, we report our experience with two cases of vitiligo-like lesions that occur early during treatment with ribociclib. We tried to change the CDK4/6 inhibitor for one patient, but the skin reaction persisted. Both patients retained only the endocrine therapy alone and had an unexpected durable progression-free survival (PFS). Some data on skin toxicities, including vitiligo-like lesions by CDK4/6 inhibitors, have recently been reported in the literature, but for the first time, we highlight a possible correlation with improved survival outcomes of patients. Uncovering the etiology of this toxicity, verifying the involvement of the immune system, and demonstrating a possible positive impact in survival represent an intriguing research objective for the near future.

The Role of Glucocorticoids in Breast Cancer Therapy

Glucocorticoids (GCs) are anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive steroid molecules secreted by the adrenal gland and regulated by the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) axis. GCs present a circadian release pattern under normal conditions; they increase their release under stress conditions. Their mechanism of action can be via the receptor-independent or receptor-dependent pathway. The receptor-dependent pathway translocates to the nucleus, where the ligand-receptor complex binds to specific sequences in the DNA to modulate the transcription of specific genes. The glucocorticoid receptor (GR) and its endogenous ligand cortisol (CORT) in humans, and corticosterone in rodents or its exogenous ligand, dexamethasone (DEX), have been extensively studied in breast cancer. Its clinical utility in oncology has mainly focused on using DEX as an antiemetic to prevent chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting. In this review, we compile the results reported in the literature in recent years, highlighting current trends and unresolved controversies in this field. Specifically, in breast cancer, GR is considered a marker of poor prognosis, and a therapeutic target for the triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) subtype, and efforts are being made to develop better GR antagonists with fewer side effects. It is necessary to know the type of breast cancer to differentiate the treatment for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, ER-negative, and TNBC, to implement therapies that include the use of GCs.

Whole brain radiotherapy combined with intrathecal liposomal cytarabine for leptomeningeal metastasis-a safety analysis and validation of the EANO-ESMO classification

BACKGROUND

Although there is no proven standard therapy for leptomeningeal metastases (LM), treatment often includes intrathecal chemotherapy combined with whole brain radiation therapy (WBRT). Little is known about the toxicity of such combination therapies. We performed a retrospective safety analysis for the combination of intrathecal liposomal cytarabine with WBRT in patients with LM and validated the EANO-ESMO (European Association of Neuro-oncology-European Society for Medical Oncology) classification in this unique cohort.

METHODS

Treatment toxicities in patients diagnosed with LM between 2004 and 2014 were retrospectively analyzed according to RTOG (Radiation Therapy Oncology Group) toxicity criteria and NCI CTCAE V5.0 (National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, Version 5.0). Diagnostic criteria and treatment response as assessed by EANO-ESMO classification were correlated with survival by Kaplan-Meier analysis and Breslow test.

RESULTS

In all, 40 patients with LM who were treated with combined WBRT and intrathecal cytarabine, were identified. Ten patients (25%) experienced adverse events ≥grade 3 according to RTOG toxicity criteria; in 22 patients (55%) NCI CTCAE ≥grade 3 were detected. Median overall survival was 124 days. Median time to neurological progression was 52 days. Patients with positive cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) cytology (n = 26) showed worse prognosis compared to patients with negative CSF cytology (n = 14; mOS (median overall survival) 84 days versus 198 days, p = 0.006, respectively). The EANO-ESMO response assessment was significantly associated with survival: "stable" (n = 7) mOS 233 days, "response" (n = 10) mOS 206 days, "progression" (n = 17) mOS 45 days, "suspicion of progression" (n = 6) mOS 133 days; overall, p < 0.001.

CONCLUSIONS

In this retrospective analysis, combined treatment of WBRT and intrathecal liposomal cytarabine shows an acceptable safety profile and may indicate a trend towards improved efficacy. The EANO-ESMO classification for diagnosis and treatment response predicts survival.

Risk Factors for Adverse Events in Patients With Breast, Colorectal, and Lung Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to identify risk factors associated with medical errors and iatrogenic injuries during an initial course of cancer-directed treatment.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study of 400 patients 18 years or older undergoing an initial course of treatment for breast, colorectal, or lung cancer at a comprehensive cancer center, we abstracted patient, disease, and treatment-related variables from the electronic medical record. We examined adverse events (AEs) and preventable AEs by risk factor using the χ2 or Fisher exact tests. We estimated the association between risk factors and the relative risk of an additional AE or preventable AE in multivariable negative binomial regression models with backwards selection (P < 0.1).

RESULTS

There were 304 AEs affecting 136 patients (34%) and 97 preventable AEs affecting 53 patients (13%). In multivariable analyses, AEs were overrepresented in those with lung cancer compared with patients with breast cancer (incident rate ratio = 1.9, 95% confidence interval = 1.1-3.2). Nonwhite race (1.6, 1.0-2.6), Hispanic or Latino ethnicity (2.0, 0.9-4.1), advanced disease (1.7, 1.1-2.6), use of each additional class of high-risk nonchemotherapy medication (1.6, 1.3-1.9), and chemotherapy (2.1, 1.3-3.3) were all associated with risk of an additional AE. Preventable AEs were associated with lung cancer (7.4, 2.4-23.2), Hispanic or Latino ethnicity (5.5, 1.7-17.9), and high-risk nonchemotherapy medications (1.5, 1.2-2.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Risk factors for AEs among patients with cancer reflected patients' underlying disease, cancer-directed therapy, and high-risk noncancer medications. The association of AEs with ethnicity merits further research. Risk factor models could be used prospectively to identify patients with cancer at increased risk of harm.

Defining the correlation between immune-checkpoint inhibitors-related adverse events and clinical outcomes: a narrative review

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have increased modern anticancer armamentarium portfolios, with 15%-60% of cancer patients deriving clinical benefit while others progress, including some occurrences of accelerated progressions. ICIs have also introduced a new pattern of immune-related adverse events (irAEs). Recently, a mechanistic link was proposed in which patients who develop ICIs-related irAEs derive a survival benefit compared to those who do not, suggesting an overlap between toxicities and the treatment efficacy. Identifying predictive biomarkers to optimally identify patients who will benefit from ICIs is a contemporary research area in Oncology. However, the data remains sparse, with only several smaller studies showing a plausible direct proportionality of a therapeutic effect across tumours. In contrast, the overall survival and progression-free survival rate depend on the tumour type, degree of toxicities, duration of exposure, affected system/organs and inherent patient characteristics. Furthermore, the occurrence of irAEs appears to be more associated with a clinical benefit from programmed death 1 and programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitors than anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen 4. Several questions remain unanswered, including the association between survival benefit and specific type of organ system toxicities, toxicity grade, if the benefit is entirely due to immortal-time biases (ITBs), presence of patients confounding comorbidities like autoimmune diseases, and finally, immune heterogeneities. Considering ITB represents a key element in interpreting these studies since patients with precipitated death or with an earlier disease progresses rarely develop irAEs; in fact, such patients have not stayed in the study long enough to experience such irAEs. Conversely, patients that stayed in the study for a longer period have a higher risk of developing irAEs. Landmark analysis is key in these studies if a real association is to be found. Overall response and disease control rates are mainly higher in those who develop irAEs due to immune activation. So, this review aims to summarise the evidence from key studies that addressed this important clinical question.

Design of placebo-controlled randomized trials of anticancer agents: Ethical considerations based on a review of published trials

BACKGROUND

Limited information exists about the design of placebo-controlled cancer trials. Through a systematic review of trials published in 2013, we describe placebo use in randomized trials testing anticancer agents and analyze strategies that increase exposure to the experimental regimen.

METHODS

Trials were classified as add-on (placebo in combination with standard treatment) or placebo-only. Strategies to allow more than half of the participants to receive the experimental regimen were reviewed. The risk-benefit ratio of receiving the experimental agent was considered favorable if the difference in primary outcome was significant (p ≤ 0.05), neutral if there was no significant difference in the primary outcome and the experimental agent did not add substantial toxicity, and unfavorable otherwise.

RESULTS

Eighty trials were included (32,694 participants). Most trials were add-on (69%). The risk-benefit outcome was favorable, neutral, and unfavorable to the experimental agent in 52%, 32%, and 16% of placebo-only trials and 25%, 53%, and 22%, respectively, of add-on trials. Four strategies increased exposure to the experimental regimen: one-way crossover (23%), uneven randomization (21%), three-arms (13%), and randomized discontinuation design (4%); these strategies were used more often in placebo-only trials.

CONCLUSION

A minority of participants received placebo alone and strategies to increase experimental exposure were used commonly. Fewer than half of the studies had favorable outcomes, thus defending the use of placebo controls, when there is no established treatment. Strategies that increase patient exposure to experimental agents rather than placebo may expose them to non-beneficial, sometimes toxic, experimental agents.

Risks and benefits of anticancer drugs in advanced cancer patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of anticancer drugs without active comparators in patients who have exhausted standard of care treatment options are debated. We aimed to quantify the safety and the efficacy of anticancer drugs in advanced cancer patients who have exhausted standard of care treatments from RCTs without active comparators.Methods: This systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted according to preferred reporting Items for systematic review and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines (CRD42021243968). A systematic literature search of English language publications from January 1, 2000, to January 7, 2021, was performed using MEDLINE (PubMed). Eligible trials included all RCTs evaluating anticancer drugs in adult patients with advanced solid tumors with a control arm without any anticancer drug consisting of best supportive care with or without a placebo. RCTs performed in the adjuvant, neoadjuvant or maintenance settings were excluded, as were clinical trials evaluating anticancer drugs in combination with radiotherapy. Two authors (C.M.B. and E.C.) independently reviewed the studies for inclusion. Data from published reports were extracted by investigators, and random-effects meta-analysis was performed to estimate the overall hazard ratios (HRs) of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Correlations between severe toxicity and efficacy was assessed using R² measures.Findings: Of 3551 studies screened, 128 eligible trials were found involving 47,432 patients. The HRs for PFS and OS were 0·58 [95%CI: 0·53-0·63] and 0·82 [95%CI: 0·78-0·85]. The absolute benefits however were limited with PFS and OS gains of 2·1 and 0·5 months. The absolute excesses in all grade, severe grade III, IV and V (death) adverse events between the two arms were +13·9%, 10·2%, and +0·5%. A weak correlation was measured between the excess of severe toxicity and efficacy (all R² < 0·2).Interpretation: Anticancer drugs evaluated in RCTs against no active treatment benefited trial participants. Severe toxicity did not significantly correlate with efficacy.

FUNDING

None.

A Bayesian network meta-analysis of comparison of cancer therapeutic vaccines for melanoma

Several approaches to active immunotherapy for melanoma, including peptide-based vaccines (PVs), autologous tumour cell vaccines (TCVs), allogeneic TCVs and autologous dendritic cell vaccines (DCVs), have been investigated in clinical trials. However, comprehensive evidence comparing these interventions remains unavailable. The objective of this study was to expand previous work to compare and rank the immunotherapeutic strategies for melanoma in terms of overall survival and toxic effects with a Bayesian network meta-analysis. Methodologically, we performed a network meta-analysis of head-to-head randomized controlled trials comparing and ranking cancer vaccine approaches for patients with melanoma. PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched up to 31 July 2020. We estimated summary hazard ratios for death and risk ratios for toxicity. The effects of the underlying prognostic variable on survival benefits were examined by meta-regression. We performed subgroup analysis for the outcomes based on metastatic categories. Overall, we identified 4776 citations, of which 15 head-to-head randomized controlled trials (3162 participants) were included in the analysis. In terms of efficacy, allogeneic tumour cell vaccines plus immunotherapy adjuvants, peptide-based vaccines plus immunotherapy adjuvants and standard therapy were more effective than peptide vaccines. The proportion of women was inversely associated with mortality risk. For safety, all treatments were inferior to allogeneic tumour cell vaccines except for allogeneic tumour cell vaccines plus chemotherapy. Peptide vaccines plus immunotherapy adjuvants led to an increased risk of adverse events compared to allogeneic tumour cell vaccines plus immunotherapy adjuvants. These results suggest that allogeneic TCV and autologous DCV are better than standard therapy. PV plus immune modulators are the most effective strategy among all comparable strategies but is associated with increased toxicity. Any combination regimens for cancer therapeutic vaccines need to be balanced between risk and benefit profiles.

Socioeconomic position and prognosis in premenopausal breast cancer: a population-based cohort study in Denmark

BACKGROUND

To investigate how socioeconomic position (SEP) influences the effectiveness of cancer-directed treatment in premenopausal breast cancer patients in terms of breast cancer recurrence and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study nested in the ProBeCaRe (Predictors of Breast Cancer Recurrence) cohort (n = 5959). We identified all premenopausal women aged 18-55 years diagnosed with non-metastatic breast cancer and prescribed docetaxel-based chemotherapy in Denmark during 2007-2011. Population-based administrative registries provided data on SEP: marital status (married including registered partnership or single including divorced or widowed), cohabitation (cohabiting or living alone), education (low, intermediate, or high), income (low, medium, or high), and employment status (employed, unemployed, or health-related absenteeism). For each SEP measure, we computed incidence rates, cumulative incidence proportions (CIPs), and used Poisson regression to compute incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of recurrence and death. We stratified on estrogen receptor (ER) status/tamoxifen to evaluate interaction.

RESULTS

Our study cohort included 2616 women; 286 (CIP 13%) experienced recurrence and 223 (CIP 11%) died during follow-up (median 6.6 and 7.2 years, respectively). Single women had both increased 5-year risks of recurrence (IRR 1.45, 95% CI 1.11-1.89) and mortality (IRR 1.83, 95% CI 1.32-2.52). Furthermore, we observed increased 5-year mortality in women with low education (IRR 1.49, 95% CI 0.95-2.33), low income (IRR 1.37, 95% CI 0.83-2.28), unemployment (IRR 1.61, 95% CI 0.83-3.13), or health-related work absenteeism (IRR 1.80, 95% CI 1.14-2.82), but smaller or no increased risk of recurrence. These findings were especially evident among women with ER+ tumors prescribed tamoxifen. Overall analyses (follow-up max. 10 years) provided similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Low SEP in premenopausal women with non-metastatic breast cancer was associated with increased mortality, but not always recurrence. This suggests underdetection of recurrences in certain groups. Poor prognosis in women with low SEP, especially single women, may partly be explained by tamoxifen adherence.

Single daily dosing versus divided dosing intravenous ondansetron to prevent chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting among children: A comparative randomized double-blind controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) is a common complication in cancer treatment. Ondansetron is an effective antiemetic drug widely used to prevent CINV; however, the effective administrative dosing strategies among pediatrics remain unclear. The study aimed to investigate clinical effectiveness of single daily dosing versus divided dosing ondansetron.

METHODS

In all, 194 children undergoing chemotherapy were randomized to receive either single daily dosing (0.3 mg/kg/dose) or divided dosing (0.15 mg/kg/dose every 8 hours) intravenous ondansetron for 24 hours. Clinical parameters including number of emesis episodes, nausea scores, appetite levels, parent's satisfaction, and adverse effects within 24 hours were analyzed.

RESULTS

No significant differences were found between the two dosing strategies concerning number of emesis episodes and parent's satisfaction. However, nonleukemic hematologic malignancies and concurrent administration of intrathecal methotrexate-hydrocortisone-cytarabine (IT-MHA) were associated with increased risk of acute-phase vomiting. Interestingly, none of the patients aged under 7 years, receiving divided dosing ondansetron, presented nausea symptoms compared with those receiving single daily dosing (p-value .034). No significant differences regarding headache were observed between the two dosing strategies and none of the patients experienced QTc prolongation.

CONCLUSION

Ondansetron administered as divided dosing should be considered among children aged under 7 years to prevent chemotherapy-induced nausea and among patients receiving low emetogenic chemotherapy to maintain their appetite. Both administrative dosing strategies were well tolerated with no significant adverse effects.

Change-point joint model for identification of plateau of activity in early phase trials

This article presents a phase I/II trial design for targeted therapies and immunotherapies, with the objective of identifying the optimal dose (OD). We employ a joint modeling technique for discrete time-to-event toxicity data and repeated and continuous biomarker measurements. For the biomarker measurements, we implement a change point linear mixed effects skeleton model. This model can accommodate both plateauing and nonplateauing dose-activity relationships. For each new cohort of patients, we estimate the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) taking toxicity as a cumulative endpoint, over six treatment cycles. Then, we select the OD using two different criteria. The OD is a dose that is equally active to the MTD or a dose located on the beginning of the plateau of the dose-activity relationship. Joint modeling allows us to take into account informative censoring due to toxicities or lack of activity and we also consider consent withdrawal and intermittent missing responses. Model estimation relies on likelihood inference.

Immortal time bias in the association between toxicity and response for immune checkpoint inhibitors: a meta-analysis

Only a minority of studies addressing the association between immune-related adverse events (IrAE) and outcome considered the immortal time bias, with conflicting results. PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Scopus were searched through 2 January 2020. Studies reporting the impact of IrAE on outcome in patients treated with antiprogrammed death receptor 1 or PD-L1 were included. Twenty nine articles were included. IrAEs were associated with improved outcomes with high heterogeneity. With a landmark approach, the association between IrAE and outcome remains significant but the effect size was smaller (hazard ratio 0.61 vs 0.41 for overall survival; p = 0.015; hazard ratio 0.66 vs 0.47 for progression-free survival, p = 0.029; odds ratio 2.59 vs 6.77 for overall response rate; p < 0.001), no significant heterogeneity. Our analysis suggests a confounding effect of immortal time bias and a real effect of IrAE on outcome.

Net benefit in the presence of correlated prioritized outcomes using generalized pairwise comparisons: A simulation study

BACKGROUND

The prioritized net benefit (Δ) is a measure of the benefit-risk balance in clinical trials, based on generalized pairwise comparisons (GPC) using several prioritized outcomes. Its estimation requires the classification as Wins or Losses of all possible pairs of patients, one from the experimental treatment (E) group and one from the control treatment (C) group. In this simulation study, we assessed the impact of the correlation between prioritized outcomes on Δ, its estimate, bias, size, and power.

METHODS

The theoretical Δ value was derived for the specific case of two correlated binary outcomes when a normal copula is used. Focusing on one efficacy and one toxicity outcome, two situations frequently met in practice were simulated: binary efficacy outcome with binary toxicity outcome, or time to event efficacy outcome with categorical toxicity outcome. Several scenarios of efficacy and toxicity were generated, with various levels of correlation.

RESULTS

When E was more effective than C, positive correlations were mainly associated with a decrease in the proportion of Losses, while negative correlations were associated with a decrease in the proportion of Wins on the toxicity outcome. This resulted in an increase of Δ ^ with the intensity of the positive correlation without adding any bias. Results were similar whatever the type of outcomes generated but led to power alteration.

CONCLUSION

Correlations between outcomes analyzed with GPC led to substantial but predictable modifications of Δ and its estimate. Correlations should be taken into consideration when performing sample size estimations in clinical trials.

Plasma deoxyuridine as a surrogate marker for toxicity and early clinical response in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer after 5-FU-based therapy in combination with arfolitixorin

Purpose

The aim was to explore the correlation between increasing doses of [6R]-5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate (arfolitixorin) and plasma concentrations of deoxyuridine (dUr) in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), subjected to 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based chemotherapy. The aim was further to investigate the possibility to predict toxicity and clinical response during treatment using gender, age, and plasma dUr as explanatory variables.

Methods

Thirty-three patients from the ISO-CC-005 phase I/IIa study, which investigated safety and tolerability of arfolitixorin at four dose levels, were included. Toxicity and clinical response were evaluated after 4 cycles of chemotherapy. Plasma dUr was quantified before (0 h) and 24 h after 5-FU administration at the first (C1) and fourth (C4) cycle using LC–MS/MS. Fit modelling was used to predict toxicity and clinical response.

Results

The dUr levels increased with increasing arfolitixorin dose. Females had higher total and haematological toxicity scores (p = 0.0004 and 0.0089, respectively), and needed dose reduction more often than males (p = 0.012). Fit modeling showed that gender and the dUr levels at C1-0 h and C4-24 h predicted total toxicity (p = 0.0011), whereas dUr C4-0 h alone was associated with gastrointestinal toxicity (p = 0.026). Haematological toxicity was predicted by gender and age (p = 0.0071). The haematological toxicity score in combination with the dUr levels at C1-24 h and C4-24 h predicted early clinical response (p = 0.018).

Conclusion

The dUr level before and during administration of 5-FU and arfolitixorin was predictive for toxicity and early clinical response and could be a potential surrogate marker for thymidylate synthase inhibition in patients with mCRC.

Trial registration

NCT02244632, first posted on ClinicalTrials.gov on September 19, 2014

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00280-020-04173-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Management of metabolic adverse events of targeted therapies and immune checkpoint inhibitors in cancer patients: an Associazione Italiana Oncologia Medica (AIOM)/Associazione Medici Diabetologi (AMD)/Società Italiana Farmacologia (SIF) multidisciplinary consensus position paper

The growing insights in the next-generation immunotherapy and the state-of-the-art advancement in targeted-agents significantly improved clinical outcome of cancer patients by pointing towards a unexplored Achilles' heel. Novel toxicity profiles have been uncovered, representing unmet medical needs. Thus, a panel of expert provide comprehensive pharmacological and clinical evidence, to provide a patient-tailored approach to metabolic adverse events associated with novel anti-cancer treatments. Prompted by the need of a multidisciplinary cooperation, a working group of Associazione Italiana Oncologia Medica (AIOM), Associazione Medici Diabetologi (AMD) and Società Italiana Farmacologia (SIF) examined the available literature data. The identification of patient risk profile and the characterization of metabolic effects of novel anti-tumour drugs is clearly a clinical challenge that can be addressed by a multidisciplinary clinical approach. Therefore, this review pinpoints the relevance of the challenging profiling of the patient suffering from dysmetabolic conditions induced by the novel therapeutics in medical oncology.

Leukopenia is a biomarker for effective temozolomide dosing and predicts overall survival of patients with glioblastoma

The median survival time of patients with glioblastoma is 14-16 months with a 5-year overall survival rate of 9.8%. Standard of care treatment includes radiation with concomitant temozolomide followed by cyclic temozolomide. If the patient develops myelosuppression (thrombocytopenia, leukopenia or anemia), the dose of temozolomide is reduced or stopped to avoid bleeding or infections. Recent studies have demonstrated that mild leukopenia is associated with increased overall survival in patients with glioblastoma. To confirm prior results showing that leukopenia is associated with increased overall survival as a primary outcome in patients with glioblastoma, the present study retrospectively collected complete blood counts from 141 patients with glioblastoma treated at the Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (Boston, USA) between January 2012 and December 2017. According to Kaplan-Meier analysis with a log-rank test, the presence of leukopenia was associated with increased overall survival (P=0.008). Furthermore, patients with grade 2 leukopenia (Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0) survived longer than those without myelosuppression (P=0.024). There was no difference in overall survival between patients with grade 1, 3 or 4 leukopenia and those without myelosuppression. Leukopenia was associated with longer survival independent of age or extent of surgery in Cox proportional hazards regression modeling (P=0.00205). A possible interpretation is that grade 2 leukopenia is a biomarker of adequate temozolomide dosing in a population with diverse DNA repair function, which may be the consequence of variable O⁶-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase activity. A prospective dose escalation trial is necessary to determine if treatment-induced leukopenia is beneficial for all patients receiving temozolomide.

Influence of sex on chemotherapy efficacy and toxicity in oesophagogastric cancer: A pooled analysis of four randomised trials

BACKGROUND

Sex contributes to interpatient variability of chemotherapy metabolism and dose response, potentially influencing both efficacy and toxicity; however, comparative data on its effect on oesophagogastric cancer are lacking.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data for patients with advanced oesophagogastric cancer randomised to comparable first-line chemotherapy regimens within four United Kingdom prospective trials were pooled, and key demographic and outcome measures were compared between males and females.

RESULTS

A total of 1654 patients were included: 1328 (80.3%) males and 326 (19.7%) females. Female patients were younger, had a significantly higher proportion of gastric tumours as opposed to junctional or oesophageal tumours and experienced significantly higher rates of a number of toxicities including nausea and vomiting, diarrhoea, stomatitis and alopecia. When adjusting for potential confounding factors, the risk of female patients experiencing grade ≥III gastrointestinal toxicity was greater (adjusted odds ratio = 1.50; 95% confidence interval = 1.07-2.12). Females also had a significantly higher incidence of serious adverse events on treatment and received comparatively less cycles of chemotherapy overall than males.

CONCLUSIONS

This represents the largest pooled analysis of the effect of sex on chemotherapy outcome and toxicity in advanced oesophagogastric cancer. The differential toxicity and adverse event rates observed suggest that sex may be an important modulator of treatment tolerability and safety in this tumour type.

Vinflunine for the treatment of advanced or metastatic transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelial tract: an evidence-based review of safety, efficacy, and place in therapy

Background

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the use of systemic vinflunine (VIN) in the treatment of urothelial carcinoma (UC) was performed to evaluate its efficacy based on current available clinical data.

Methods

This review was prospectively registered at the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews, PROSPERO (registration CRD42016049294). Electronic databases including MEDLINE^®, Embase^®, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Web of Science were searched through December 2016. We performed a meta-analysis of the published data. Primary end points were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Numerous secondary clinical outcomes were analyzed including response and toxicity data.

Results

We identified 382 publications, of which 35 met inclusion criteria for this review representing 29 unique studies. A total of 2,255 patients received VIN for the treatment of UC in the included studies. OS and PFS were analyzed in a pooled Kaplan–Meier analysis. Response data were available for 1,416 VIN-treated patients with random effects proportion of complete response in 1%, partial response in 18%, and overall response rate of 21%. Toxicity analysis revealed fatigue (40.1%), nausea (33.9%), constipation (34.1%), and alopecia (26.0%) as the most prevalent overall non-hematologic adverse events (AEs). Most prevalent grade 3–4 AEs were fatigue (10.2%), abdominal pain (8.2%), myalgias (2.5%), and nausea (2.3%). Most common hematologic AEs of all grades were anemia (56.6%), neutropenia (46.0%), thrombocytopenia (25.5%), and febrile neutropenia (6.6%). Grade 3–4 hematologic AEs had the following pooled rates: neutropenia, 24.6%; anemia, 10.2%; febrile neutropenia, 5.4%; and thrombocytopenia, 3.0%.

Conclusion

VIN has been explored as a combination first-line treatment as well as a single-agent second-line, third-line, and maintenance therapy for advanced and metastatic UC. In first-line treatment of UC, either as a maintenance agent after cisplatin or as a primary combination therapy, VIN may be a promising alternative to current treatments. Further studies are needed to compare first-line combination VIN regimens to the current standard of care in order to assess long-term survival outcomes. Second- and third-line VIN monotherapy does provide a proven, although limited, survival benefit in platinum-refractory patients.

From basal cell carcinoma morphogenesis to the alopecia induced by hedgehog inhibitors: connecting the dots

The deciphering of the hedgehog (Hh) signalling pathway implicated in the tumorigenesis of basal cell carcinoma (BCC) led to the development of targeted drug therapies, the Hh pathway inhibitors (HPIs) vismodegib and sonidegib. In the skin, physiological Hh signalling is activated in growing hair follicles (HFs), where it is required for proliferation of the epithelium of HFs during morphogenesis and for their postnatal growth. The effects of HPI treatment leading to the regression of BCC and the development of alopecia underpin the central role of the Hh pathway in BCC formation, as well as hair cycling. Given the fact that BCC is a follicular-driven tumour, it is a fine tuning of events that regulate hair cycling that may drive towards the formation of benign follicular hamartomas or malignant BCC neoplasms. Wnt/β-catenin signalling interacts with the Hh signalling during HF morphogenesis, normal hair cycling and BCC development. The aim of this review is to present how key molecular events implicated in Hh pathway crosstalk in the HF are also involved in BCC pathogenesis and result in the alopecia developed by HPI treatment.

Many-to-one comparisons after safety selection in multi-arm clinical trials

In phase II platform trials, ‘many-to-one’ comparisons are performed when K experimental treatments are compared with a common control to identify the most promising treatment(s) to be selected for Phase III trials. However, when sample sizes are limited, such as when the disease of interest is rare, only a single Phase II/III trial addressing both treatment selection and confirmatory efficacy testing may be feasible. In this paper, we suggest a two-step safety selection and testing procedure for such seamless trials. At the end of the study, treatments are first screened on the basis of safety, and those deemed to be sufficiently safe are then taken forwards for efficacy testing against a common control. All safety and efficacy evaluations are therefore performed at the end of the study, when for each patient all safety and efficacy data are available. If confirmatory conclusions are to be drawn from the trial, strict control of the family-wise error rate (FWER) is essential. However, to avoid unnecessary losses in power, no type I error rate should be “wasted” on comparisons which are no longer of interest because treatments have been dropped due to safety concerns. We investigate the impact on power and FWER control of multiplicity adjustments which correct efficacy tests only for the number of safe selected treatments instead of adjusting for all K null hypotheses the trial begins testing. We derive conditions under which strict control of the FWER can be achieved. Procedures using the estimated association between safety and efficacy outcomes are developed for the case when the correlation between endpoints is unknown. The operating characteristics of the proposed procedures are assessed via simulation.

Parents' and Adolescents' Preferences for Intensified or Reduced Treatment in Randomized Lymphoblastic Leukemia Trials

BACKGROUND

When offered participation in clinical trials, families of children with cancer face a delicate balance between cure and toxicity. Since parents and children may perceive this balance differently, this paper explores whether adolescent patients have different enrollment patterns compared to younger children in trials with different toxicity profiles.

PROCEDURE

Age-dependent participation rates in three consecutive, randomized childhood leukemia trials conducted by the Nordic Society of Paediatric Haematology and Oncology were evaluated. The ALL2000 dexamethasone/vincristine (Dx/VCR) trial tested treatment intensifications to improve cure, and the back-to-back ALL2008 6-mercaptopurine (6MP) and ALL2008 PEG-asparaginase (ASP) trials tested treatment intensifications (6MP) and toxicity reduction without compromising survival (ASP). Patient randomization and toxicity data were prospectively registered by the treating physicians.

RESULTS

Parents of young children favored treatment intensifications (Dx/VCR: 12% refusal; 6MP: 14%; ASP: 21%), whereas parents of adolescents favored treatment reductions (Dx/VCR: 52% refusal; 6MP: 30%; ASP: 8%). Adolescents were more likely to refuse intensification trials than young children (adjusted ORs 6.3; P < 0.01 [Dx/VCR] and 2.1; P = 0.04 [6MP]). Adolescents were less likely to refuse the ASP trial, with varying effect size depending on the length of the preceding consolidation treatment (adjusted OR for median consolidation length 0.15; P = 0.01). Younger children participated more frequently in only 6MP than in only ASP (14% vs. 5%), and adolescents vice versa (2% vs. 17%; P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Parents' and adolescents' divergent inclinations toward intensified or reduced therapy emphasize the necessity of actively involving adolescents in the informed consent process, which should also address motives for trial participation.