Prediction of occult atrial fibrillation in patients after cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack: PROACTIA

Atrial fibrillation detection in cryptogenic stroke and a prediction score using imaging examination

BACKGROUND

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) is considered one of the causes of cryptogenic stroke (CS). Early detection of AF is crucial for secondary stroke prevention. We aimed to identify the incidence of AF and characteristics of patients with CS using an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and transesophageal echocardiography.

METHODS

This multicenter, prospective, observational study enrolled patients with CS from 24 hospitals in Japan. The study recruitment spanned from February 2020 to July 2021. Following the implantation of ICM, we investigated the first AF detection within the initial 6, 12, and 24 months of follow-up and compared patient clinical characteristics, including MRI findings and transesophageal echocardiography data between patients with AF (AF group) and without AF (non-AF group) at baseline and after ICM implantation. Additionally, we examined predictors of AF to develop a predictive score for AF detection.

RESULTS

Of the 202 patients, AF was detected in 26.2 % of patients at 24 months, and 7.4 % of patients experienced a stroke recurrence. The incidence of hyperlipidemia was lower in the AF group compared to the non-AF group. The AF group had more large-vessel occlusion and an elevated cardiothoracic ratio compared to the non-AF group. A risk-scoring system, the LOOK-AF score, was constructed using these four clinical variables.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study found AF in over a quarter of patients with CS in two years. The LOOK-AF score measured at admission can be used to predict AF in patients with an ICM.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

UMIN Clinical Trial Registry, UMIN000039809.

Left atrial appendage function by strain and structure is associated with thromboembolic risk in patients with cryptogenic stroke and TIA

BACKGROUND

We investigated the impact of left atrial appendage (LAA) function by LAA strain, LAA morphology and subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) on LAA thrombus presence and thromboembolic risk conditions (TRC) in patients with cryptogenic stroke and transient ischaemic attack (TIA).

METHODS

185 patients (mean age 68±13 years, 33% female) were included in this prospective cohort study and underwent clinical evaluation, comprehensive transthoracic and transoesophageal echocardiography shortly after index event. LAA function and morphology were evaluated by monoplane/multiplane/speckle tracking strain and three-dimensional echocardiography. Combination of LAA thrombus and/or spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) was defined as TRC. An insertable cardiac monitor was implanted in all patients to detect subclinical AF.

RESULTS

LAA function by novel LAA strain and LAA chicken wing were independent predictors of LAA thrombus (OR 0.9 (95% CI 0.8 to 0.95), p<0.01 and OR 2.5 (95% CI 1.1 to 5.8), p=0.04, respectively). LAA chicken wing and multilobate LAA were independent predictors of TRC (OR 2.3 (95% CI 1.2 to 4.5), p=0.01 and OR 2.2 (95% CI 1.2 to 4.2), p=0.02, respectively).LAA morphology was characterised as chicken wing in 79 (43%), windsock in 64 (34%), cactus in 35 (19%), cauliflower in 7 (4%) and multilobate LAA in 115 (62%) patients. LAA thrombus was found in 29 (16%), TRC in 123 (67%) and subclinical AF in 60 (32%) patients. Duration of subclinical AF >6 hours was associated with SEC and recurrent stroke and TIA.

CONCLUSION

LAA function by novel LAA strain and LAA structure are independently associated with LAA thrombus and TRC in patients with cryptogenic stroke and TIA.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02725944.

Computer-Assisted Electrocardiogram Analysis Improves Risk Assessment of Underlying Atrial Fibrillation in Cryptogenic Stroke

Background

The detection of underlying paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with cryptogenic stroke (CS) can be challenging, and there is great interest in finding predictors of its hidden presence. The recent development of sophisticated software has enhanced the diagnostic and prognostic performance of the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). Our aim was to assess the additional role of a computer-assisted ECG analysis in identifying predictors of AF in patients with CS.

Methods

Sixty-seven patients with ischemic stroke or high-risk transient ischemic attack of unknown etiology were prospectively studied. Their 12-lead digitized ECG was analyzed with dedicated software, quantifying 468 morphological variables. The main clinical, biochemical, and echocardiographic variables were also collected. At discharge, patients were monitored with a wearable Holter for 15 days, and the primary outcome was the detection of AF.

Results

The median age was 80 (interquartile range (IQR): 73 - 84) and AF was detected in 21 patients (31.3%). After preselecting significant ECG variables from the univariate analysis, a multivariate regression including other significant clinical, biochemical and echocardiographic predictors of AF was performed. Among the automatically analyzed ECG parameters, the amplitude of the R wave in V1 (V1_ramp) was significantly associated with the outcome. The best model to predict AF was composed of age, N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), left atrial reservoir strain (LASr) and V1_ramp. This model showed good discrimination capacity (corrected Somer's Dxy: 0.907, Brier's B: 0.079, area under the curve (AUC): 0.941) and performed better than the same model without the ECG variable (Somer's Dxy: 0.827, Brier's B: 0.119, AUC: 0.896).

Conclusions

The addition of computer-assisted ECG analysis can help stratify the risk of AF in the challenging clinical setting of CS.

Predictors of atrial fibrillation after embolic stroke of undetermined source in patients with implantable loop recorders

BACKGROUND

In patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), underlying subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) is often suspected. Previous studies identifying predictors of AF have been limited in their ability to diagnose episodes of AF. Implantable loop recorders enable prolonged, continuous, and therefore more reliable detection of AF. The aim of this study was to identify clinical and ECG parameters as predictors of AF in ESUS patients with implantable loop recorders.

METHODS

101 ESUS patients who received an implantable loop recorder between 2012 and 2020 were included in this study. Patients were followed up regularly on a three-monthly outpatient interval.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 647 ± 385 days, AF was detected in 26 patients (26%). Independent risk factors of AF were age ≥ 60 years (HR 2.753, CI 1.129-6.713, p = 0.026), P-wave amplitude in lead II ≤ 0.075 mV (HR 3.751, CI 1.606-8.761, p = 0.002), and P-wave duration ≥ 125 ms (HR 4.299, CI 1.844-10.021, p < 0.001). In patients without risk factors, the risk of developing AF was 16%. In the presence of one risk factor, the probability increased only slightly to 18%. With two or three risk factors, the risk of AF increased to 70%.

CONCLUSION

AF was detected in about one in four patients after ESUS in this study. A comprehensive evaluation involving multiple parameters and the existence of multiple risk factors yields the highest predictive accuracy for detecting AF in patients with ESUS.

Diagnostic Utility of N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide in Identifying Atrial Fibrillation Post-Cryptogenic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) significantly contributes to acute ischemic stroke, with undetected AF being a common culprit in cryptogenic strokes. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), indicative of myocardial stress, has been proposed as a biomarker for AF detection, aiding in the selection of patients for extended cardiac monitoring. However, the diagnostic accuracy of NT-proBNP remains uncertain.

METHODS

We conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of NT-proBNP in detecting AF among cryptogenic stroke patients. A comprehensive literature search was conducted across PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases to identify relevant studies. Studies reporting NT-proBNP levels in stroke patients and data on the proportion of patients with AF above a specified cut-off were included. Meta-analyses were performed using the midas command in STATA.

RESULTS

Seven studies encompassing 2171 patients were included in the analysis, of which five studies contained cohorts with cryptogenic strokes. Among patients with cryptogenic stroke, NT-proBNP demonstrated a diagnostic accuracy of 80% (Area Under the Receiver Operating Curve 0.80 [95% CI 0.76-0.83]), with a sensitivity of 81% (95% CI 0.68-0.89) and a specificity of 68% (95% CI 0.60-0.75).

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis indicates that NT-proBNP exhibits a good-to-very-good diagnostic accuracy for detecting AF in patients with cryptogenic stroke. These findings suggest potential implications for utilizing NT-proBNP in guiding the selection of patients for prolonged cardiac monitoring, thereby aiding in the management of cryptogenic stroke cases.

Incidental and anticipated arrhythmic diagnoses in patients with an implantable cardiac monitor

AIMS

In this study, we investigated a cohort of unselected patients with various indications for an implantable cardiac monitor (ICM). Our main objectives were to determine the incidence of arrhythmic diagnoses, both anticipated and incidental in relation to the ICM indication, and to assess their clinical relevance.

METHODS

We examined remote monitoring transmissions from patients with an ICM at four Italian sites to identify occurrences of cardiac arrhythmias. Concurrently, we collected data on medical actions taken in response to arrhythmic findings.

RESULTS

The study included 119 patients, with a median follow-up period of 371 days. ICM indications were syncope/presyncope (46.2%), atrial fibrillation management (31.1%), and cryptogenic stroke (22.7%). In the atrial fibrillation management group, atrial fibrillation was the most common finding, with an incidence of 36% [95% confidence interval (CI) 22-55%] at 18 months. Rates of atrial fibrillation were not significantly different between patients with cryptogenic stroke and syncope/presyncope [17% (95% CI 7-40%) vs. 8% (95% CI 3-19%), P  = 0.229].For patients with cryptogenic stroke, the incidence of asystole and bradyarrhythmias at 18 months was 23% (95% CI 11-45%) and 42% (95% CI 24-65%), respectively, similar to estimates obtained for patients implanted for syncope/presyncope ( P  = 0.277 vs. P  = 0.836).Overall, 30 patients (25.2%) required medical intervention following ICM-detected arrhythmias, predominantly involving atrial fibrillation ablation (10.9%) and medication therapy changes (10.1%).

CONCLUSION

In a real-life population with heterogeneous insertion indications, approximately 25% of patients received ICM-guided medical interventions within a short timeframe, including treatments for incidental findings. Common incidental arrhythmic diagnoses were bradyarrhythmias in patients with cryptogenic stroke and atrial fibrillation in patients with unexplained syncope.

Impact of an expanded reimbursement policy on utilization of implantable loop recorders in patients with cryptogenic stroke in Korea

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The reimbursement policy for cryptogenic stroke (CS) was expanded in November 2018 from recurrent strokes to the first stroke episode. No reports have demonstrated whether this policy change has affected trends in implantable loop recorder (ILR) utilization.

METHODS

We identified patients who received an ILR implant using the Korea Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database between July 2016 and October 2021. Patients meeting all the following criteria were considered to have CS indication: 1) prior stroke history, 2) no previous history of atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF/AFL), and 3) no maintenance of oral anticoagulant for ≥4 weeks within a year before ILR implant. AF/AFL diagnosed within 3 years after ILR implant or before ILR removal was considered ILR-driven.

RESULTS

Among 3,056 patients, 1,001 (32.8%) had CS indications. The total ILR implant number gradually increased for both CS and non-CS indications and the number of CS indication significantly increased after implementing the expanded reimbursement policy. The detection rate for AF/AFL was 26.3% in CS patients over 3 years, which was significantly higher in patients implanted with an ILR within 2 months after stroke than those implanted later.

CONCLUSION

The expanded coverage policy for CS had a significant impact on the number of ILR implantation for CS indication. The diagnostic yield of ILR for AF/AFL detection seems better when ILR is implanted within 2 months than later. Further investigation is needed to demonstrate other clinical benefits and the optimal ILR implantation timing.

Cardiac Blood-Based Biomarkers of Myocardial Stress as Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation Development in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source/Cryptogenic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Undiagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for stroke that can go unnoticed in individuals with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) or cryptogenic stroke (CS). Early detection is critical for stroke prognosis and secondary prevention. This study aimed to determine if blood biomarkers of myocardial stress can accurately predict AF in patients with ESUS/CS, which would allow the identification of those who would benefit from closer monitoring.

METHODS

In February 2023 we performed a systematic date-unrestricted search of three databases for studies on patients with ESUS/CS who were subsequently diagnosed with AF. We examined the relationships between AF and serum myocardial stress markers such as brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal-pro-BNP (NT-proBNP), midregional proatrial natriuretic peptide, and troponin.

RESULTS

Among the 1,527 studies reviewed, 23 eligible studies involving 6,212 participants, including 864 with AF, were analyzed. A meta-analysis of 9 studies indicated that they demonstrated a clear association between higher NT-proBNP levels and an increased risk of AF, with adjusted and raw data indicating 3.06- and 9.03-fold higher AF risks, respectively. Lower NT-proBNP levels had a pooled negative predictive value of 91.7%, indicating the potential to rule out AF with an 8% false-negative rate.

CONCLUSIONS

Further research is required to fully determine the potential of biomarkers for AF detection after stroke, as results from previous studies lack homogeneity. However, lower NT-proBNP levels have potential in ruling out AF in patients with ESUS/CS. Combining them with other relevant biomarkers may enhance the precision of identifying patients who will not benefit from extended monitoring, which would optimize resource allocation and patient care.

Performance of Different Risk Scores for the Detection of Atrial Fibrillation Among Patients With Cryptogenic Stroke

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent underlying cause of cryptogenic stroke (CS) and its detection can be increased using implantable cardiac monitoring (ICM). We sought to evaluate different risk scores and assess their diagnostic ability in identifying patients with CS with underlying AF on ICM.

METHODS

Patients with CS, being admitted to a single tertiary stroke center between 2017 and 2022 and receiving ICM, were prospectively evaluated. The CHA2DS2-VASc, HAVOC, Brown ESUS-AF, and C2HEST scores were calculated at baseline. The primary outcome of interest was the detection of AF, which was defined as at least 1 AF episode on ICM lasting for 2 consecutive minutes or more. The diagnostic accuracy measures and the net reclassification improvement were calculated for the 4 risk scores. Stroke recurrence was evaluated as a secondary outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 250 patients with CS were included, and AF was detected by ICM in 20.4% (n=51) during a median monitoring period of 16 months. Patients with CS with AF detection were older compared with the rest (P=0.045). The median HAVOC, Brown ESUS-AF, and C2HEST scores were higher among the patients with AF compared with the patients without AF (all P<0.05), while the median CHA2DS2-VASc score was similar between the 2 groups. The corresponding C statistics for CHA2DS2-VASc, HAVOC, Brown ESUS-AF, and C2HEST for AF prediction were 0.576 (95% CI, 0.482-0.670), 0.612 (95% CI, 0.523-0.700), 0.666 (95% CI, 0.587-0.746), and 0.770 (95% CI, 0.699-0.839). The C2HEST score presented the highest diagnostic performance based on C statistics (P<0.05 after correction for multiple comparisons) and provided significant improvement in net reclassification for AF detection (>70%) compared with the other risk scores. Finally, stroke recurrence was documented in 5.6% of the study population, with no difference regarding the 4 risk scores between patients with and without recurrent stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

The C2HEST score was superior to the CHA2DS2-VASc, HAVOC, and Brown ESUS-AF scores for discriminating patients with CS with underlying AF using ICM.

Towards a new classification of atrial fibrillation detected after a stroke or a transient ischaemic attack

Globally, up to 1·5 million individuals with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack can be newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation per year. In the past decade, evidence has accumulated supporting the notion that atrial fibrillation first detected after a stroke or transient ischaemic attack differs from atrial fibrillation known before the occurrence of as stroke. Atrial fibrillation detected after stroke is associated with a lower prevalence of risk factors, cardiovascular comorbidities, and atrial cardiomyopathy than atrial fibrillation known before stroke occurrence. These differences might explain why it is associated with a lower risk of recurrence of ischaemic stroke than known atrial fibrillation. Patients with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack can be classified in three categories: no atrial fibrillation, known atrial fibrillation before stroke occurrence, and atrial fibrillation detected after stroke. This classification could harmonise future research in the field and help to understand the role of prolonged cardiac monitoring for secondary stroke prevention with application of a personalised risk-based approach to the selection of patients for anticoagulation.

Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation in Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Setting of Reperfusion Therapy: Insights and Strategies for Optimized Care

Reperfusion therapy in the form of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) and endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) has revolutionised the field of stroke medicine. Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients constitute a major portion of the overall stroke population; however, the prevalence of AF amongst acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients receiving reperfusion therapy remains unclear. Limitations in our understanding of prevalence in this group of patients are exacerbated by difficulties in appropriately diagnosing AF. Additionally, the benefits of reperfusion therapy are not consistent across all subgroups of AIS patients. More specifically, AIS patients with AF often tend to have poor prognoses despite treatment relative to those without AF. This article aims to present an overview of the diagnostic and therapeutic management of AF and how it mediates outcomes following stroke, most specifically in AIS patients treated with reperfusion therapy. We provide unique insights into AF prevalence and outcomes that could allow healthcare professionals to optimise the treatment and prognosis for AIS patients with AF. Specific indications on acute neurovascular management and secondary stroke prevention in AIS patients with AF are also discussed.

Risk Stratification Tools to Guide a Personalized Approach for Cardiac Monitoring in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Current recommendations support a personalized sequential approach for cardiac rhythm monitoring to detect atrial fibrillation after embolic stroke of undetermined source. Several risk stratification scores have been proposed to predict the likelihood of atrial fibrillation after embolic stroke of undetermined source. This systematic review aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the field by identifying risk scores proposed for this purpose, assessing their characteristics and the cohorts in which they were developed and validated, and scrutinizing their predictive performance. We identified 11 risk scores, of which 4 were externally validated. The most frequent variables included were echocardiographic markers and demographics. The areas under the curve ranged between 0.70 and 0.94. The 3 scores with the highest area under the curve were the Decryptoring (0.94 [95% CI, 0.88-1.00]), newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation (0.87 [95% CI, 0.79-0.94]), and AF-ESUS (Atrial Fibrillation in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) (0.85 [95% CI, 0.80-0.87]), of which only the latter was externally validated. Risk stratification scores can guide a personalized approach for cardiac rhythm monitoring after embolic stroke of undetermined source.

Insertable cardiac monitoring results in higher rates of atrial fibrillation diagnosis and oral anticoagulation prescription after ischaemic stroke

AIMS

After an ischaemic stroke, atrial fibrillation (AF) detection allows for improved secondary prevention strategies. This study aimed to compare AF detection and oral anticoagulant (OAC) initiation in patients with an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) vs. external cardiac monitor (ECM) after ischaemic stroke.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Medicare Fee-for-Service (FFS) insurance claims and Abbott Labs device registration data were used to identify patients hospitalized with an ischaemic stroke in 2017-2019 who received an ICM or ECM within 3 months. Patients with continuous Medicare FFS insurance and prescription drug enrolment in the prior year were included. Patients with prior AF, atrial flutter, cardiac devices, or OAC were excluded. Insertable cardiac monitor and ECM patients were propensity score matched 1:4 on demographics, comorbidities, and stroke hospitalization characteristics. The outcomes of interest were AF detection and OAC initiation evaluated with Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. A total of 5702 Medicare beneficiaries (ICM, n = 444; ECM, n = 5258) met inclusion criteria. The matched cohort consisted of 2210 Medicare beneficiaries (ICM, n = 442; ECM, n = 1768) with 53% female, mean age 75 years, and mean CHA₂DS₂-VASc score 4.6 (1.6). Insertable cardiac monitor use was associated with a higher probability of AF detection [(hazard ratio (HR) 2.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) (2.31, 3.59)] and OAC initiation [HR 2.91, CI (2.28, 3.72)] compared to patients monitored only with ECM.

CONCLUSION

Patients with an ischaemic stroke monitored with an ICM were almost three times more likely to be diagnosed with AF and to be prescribed OAC compared to patients who received ECM only.

New insertable cardiac monitors show high diagnostic yield and good safety profile in real-world clinical practice: results from the international prospective observational SMART Registry

AIMS

Insertable cardiac monitors (ICMs) are indicated for long-term monitoring of unexplained syncope or palpitations, and for detection of bradycardia, ventricular tachycardia, and/or atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of our study was to evaluate the safety and clinical value associated with a new generation ICM (Confirm Rx™, Abbott, Illinois, USA), featuring a new remote monitoring system based on smartphone patient applications.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The SMART Registry is an international prospective observational study. The main endpoints were ICM safety (incidence of serious adverse device and procedure-related events (SADEs) at 1 month), ICM clinical value (incidence of device-detected true arrhythmias and of clinical diagnoses and interventions), and patient-reported experience measurements (PREMs). A total of 1400 subjects were enrolled. ICM indications included syncope (49.1%), AF (18.8%), unexplained palpitations (13.6%), risk of ventricular arrhythmia (6.6%), and cryptogenic stroke (6.0%). Freedom from SADEs at 1 month was 99.4% (95% Confidence Interval: 98.8-99.7%). In the 6-month monitoring period, the ICM detected true cardiac arrhythmias in 45.7% of patients and led to clinical interventions in a relevant proportion of patients; in particular, a pacemaker implant was performed after bradycardia detection in 8.9% of subjects who received an ICM for syncope and oral anticoagulation therapy was indicated after AF detection in 15.7% of subjects with cryptogenic stroke. PREMs showed that 78.2% of subjects were satisfied with the remote monitoring patient app.

CONCLUSION

The evaluated ICM is associated with an excellent safety profile and high diagnostic yield. Patients reported positive experiences associated with the use of their smartphone for the device remote monitoring.

Electrocardiographic markers of subclinical atrial fibrillation detected by implantable loop recorder: insights from the LOOP Study

AIMS

Insights into subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) development are warranted to inform the strategies of screening and subsequent clinical management upon AF detection. Hence, this study sought to characterize the onset and progression of subclinical AF with respect to 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) parameters.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included AF-naïve individuals aged 70-90 years with additional stroke risk factors who underwent implantable loop recorder (ILR) monitoring in the LOOP Study. Using data from daily ILR recordings and the computerized analysis of baseline ECG, we studied empirically selected ECG parameters for AF detection (≥6 min), cumulative AF burden, long-lasting AF (≥24 h), and AF progression. Of 1370 individuals included, 419 (30.6%) developed AF during follow-up, with a mean cumulative AF burden of 1.5% [95% CI: 1.2-1.8]. Several P-wave-related and ventricular ECG parameters were associated with new-onset AF and with cumulative AF burden in AF patients. P-wave duration (PWD), P-wave terminal force in Lead V1, and interatrial block (IAB) further demonstrated significant associations with long-lasting AF. Among AF patients, we observed an overall reduction in cumulative AF burden over time (IRR 0.70 [95% CI: 0.51-0.96]), whereas IAB was related to an increased risk of progression to AF ≥24 h (HR 1.86 [95% CI: 1.02-3.39]). Further spline analysis also revealed longer PWD to be associated with this progression in AF duration.

CONCLUSION

We identified several ECG parameters associated with new-onset subclinical AF detected by ILR. Especially PWD and IAB were robustly related to the onset and the burden of AF as well as progression over time.

Prediction of underlying atrial fibrillation in patients with a cryptogenic stroke: results from the NOR-FIB Study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) detection and treatment are key elements to reduce recurrence risk in cryptogenic stroke (CS) with underlying arrhythmia. The purpose of the present study was to assess the predictors of AF in CS and the utility of existing AF-predicting scores in The Nordic Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke (NOR-FIB) Study.

METHOD

The NOR-FIB study was an international prospective observational multicenter study designed to detect and quantify AF in CS and cryptogenic transient ischaemic attack (TIA) patients monitored by the insertable cardiac monitor (ICM), and to identify AF-predicting biomarkers. The utility of the following AF-predicting scores was tested: AS5F, Brown ESUS-AF, CHA₂DS₂-VASc, CHASE-LESS, HATCH, HAVOC, STAF and SURF.

RESULTS

In univariate analyses increasing age, hypertension, left ventricle hypertrophy, dyslipidaemia, antiarrhythmic drugs usage, valvular heart disease, and neuroimaging findings of stroke due to intracranial vessel occlusions and previous ischemic lesions were associated with a higher likelihood of detected AF. In multivariate analysis, age was the only independent predictor of AF. All the AF-predicting scores showed significantly higher score levels for AF than non-AF patients. The STAF and the SURF scores provided the highest sensitivity and negative predictive values, while the AS5F and SURF reached an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) > 0.7.

CONCLUSION

Clinical risk scores may guide a personalized evaluation approach in CS patients. Increasing awareness of the usage of available AF-predicting scores may optimize the arrhythmia detection pathway in stroke units.

Left atrial appendage strain predicts subclinical atrial fibrillation in embolic strokes of undetermined source

Aims

Left atrial (LA) strain is promising in prediction of clinical atrial fibrillation (AF) in stroke patients. However, prediction of subclinical AF is critical in patients with embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS). The aim of this prospective study was to investigate novel LA and left atrial appendage (LAA) strain markers in prediction of subclinical AF in ESUS patients.

Methods and results

A total of 185 patients with ESUS, mean age 68 ± 13years, 33% female, without diagnosed AF, were included. LAA and LA function by conventional echocardiographic parameters and reservoir strain (Sr), conduit strain (Scd), contraction strain (Sct), and mechanical dispersion (MD) of Sr were assessed with transoesophageal and transthoracic echocardiography. Subclinical AF was detected by insertable cardiac monitors during follow-up. LAA strain was impaired in 60 (32%) patients with subclinical AF compared to those with sinus rhythm: LAA-Sr, 19.2 ± 4.5% vs. 25.6 ± 6.5% (P < 0.001); LAA-Scd, -11.0 ± 3.1% vs. -14.4 ± 4.5% (P < 0.001); and LAA-Sct, -7.9 ± 4.0% vs. -11.2 ± 4% (P < 0.001), respectively, while LAA-MD was increased, 34 ± 24 ms vs. 26 ± 20 ms (P = 0.02). However, there was no significant difference in phasic LA strain or LA-MD. By ROC analyses, LAA-Sr was highly significant in prediction of subclinical AF and showed the best AUC of 0.80 (95% CI 0.73-0.87) with a sensitivity of 80% and a specificity of 73% (P < 0.001). LAA-Sr and LAA-MD were both independent and incremental markers of subclinical AF in ESUS patients.

Conclusion

LAA function by strain and mechanical dispersion predicted subclinical AF in ESUS patients. These novel echocardiographic markers may improve risk stratification in ESUS patients.