Biomarkers for predicting atrial fibrillation: An explorative sub-analysis of the randomised SCREEN-AF trial

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common treatable risk factor for stroke. Screening for paroxysmal AF in general practice is difficult, but biomarkers might help improve screening strategies.

OBJECTIVES

We investigated six blood biomarkers for predicting paroxysmal AF in general practice.

METHODS

This was a pre-specified sub-study of the SCREEN-AF RCT done in Germany. Between 12/2017-03/2019, we enrolled ambulatory individuals aged 75 years or older with a history of hypertension but without known AF. Participants in the intervention group received active AF screening with a wearable patch, continuous ECG monitoring for 2x2 weeks and usual care in the control group. The primary endpoint was ECG-confirmed AF within six months after randomisation. High-sensitive Troponin I (hsTnI), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP), N-terminal pro atrial natriuretic peptide (NT-ANP), mid-regional pro atrial natriuretic peptide (MR-pro ANP) and C-reactive protein (CRP) plasma levels were investigated at randomisation for predicting AF within six months after randomisation.

RESULTS

Blood samples were available for 291 of 301 (96.7%) participants, including 8 with AF (3%). Five biomarkers showed higher median results in AF-patients: BNP 78 vs. 41 ng/L (p = 0.012), NT-pro BNP 273 vs. 186 ng/L (p = 0.029), NT-proANP 4.4 vs. 3.5 nmol/L (p = 0.027), MR-pro ANP 164 vs. 125 pmol/L (p = 0.016) and hsTnI 7.4 vs. 3.9 ng/L (p = 0.012). CRP levels were not different between groups (2.8 vs 1.9 mg/L, p = 0.1706).

CONCLUSION

Natriuretic peptide levels and hsTnI are higher in patients with AF than without and may help select patients for AF screening, but larger trials are needed.

Transition from asymptomatic to symptomatic systolic chronic heart failure: rationale and design of TransitionCHF

AIMS

Chronic systolic heart failure (CHF) is a major health burden. A relevant number of patients shows asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction (ALVSD) before symptomatic CHF or becomes asymptomatic after initiating heart failure therapy. Clinical course, prognosis, and response to pharmacological and device-based treatment are largely unknown in these two distinct groups of patients. Current pharmacological and interventional therapies do neither properly address the underlying pathophysiology nor prevent malignant loss of function. New therapeutic paradigms are needed to stop the progression from asymptomatic to symptomatic heart failure. Key questions are what causes progression of clinically asymptomatic New York Heart Association (NYHA) I heart failure to overt heart failure (>NYHA I) in some but not all patients and the underlying reasons for this transition. This requires the identification of disease mechanisms and biomarkers that predict outcome in well-defined cohorts for innovative preclinical and clinical trials.

METHODS AND RESULTS

TransitionCHF is a prospective, multicentre, longitudinal pathophysiological evaluation cohort study in patients with asymptomatic systolic dysfunction NYHA I and left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40%. The cohort comprises both incidental findings and patients who had become asymptomatic after a previous symptomatic event. TransitionCHF has recruited 1000 patients with ALVSD caused by various aetiologies in 20 university heart failure clinics across Germany. Both patients with and without comorbidities at study entry will be recruited. Patients will be systematically investigated and followed up annually over the course of the study. The primary composite endpoint is time to hospitalization for heart failure and cardiovascular death. The secondary endpoints assess time to all-cause mortality, to cardiovascular mortality, to heart failure mortality, to all-cause hospitalization, to heart failure hospitalization, and to recurrent heart failure hospitalizations, as well as time to assist device implantation/transplantation. Additional investigations focusing on biomarkers, comorbidities, gender aspects, nutrition, and functional parameters including quality of life will be performed.

CONCLUSIONS

TransitionCHF will provide a more thorough pathophysiological understanding of the progression of asymptomatic systolic dysfunction into symptomatic heart failure that will help develop therapies tailored to prevent progressive heart failure.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: diagnosis, risk assessment, and treatment

The aetiology of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is heterogenous and overlaps with that of several comorbidities like atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, valvular heart disease, iron deficiency, or sarcopenia. The diagnosis of HFpEF involves evaluating cardiac dysfunction through imaging techniques and assessing increased left ventricular filling pressure, which can be measured directly or estimated through various proxies including natriuretic peptides. To better narrow down the differential diagnosis of HFpEF, European and American heart failure guidelines advocate the use of different algorithms including comorbidities that require diagnosis and rigorous treatment during the evaluation process. Therapeutic recommendations differ between guidelines. Whilst sodium glucose transporter 2 inhibitors have a solid evidence base, the recommendations differ with regard to the use of inhibitors of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone axis. Unless indicated for specific comorbidities, the use of beta-blockers should be discouraged in HFpEF. The aim of this article is to provide an overview of the current state of the art in HFpEF diagnosis, clinical evaluation, and treatment.

Age-Dependent Detection of Atrial Fibrillation with Implantable Cardiac Monitors in Patients with Cryptogenic Stroke

Background  Continuous monitoring using implantable cardiac monitors (ICMs) results in atrial fibrillation (AF) detection rates of up to 30% in patients with cryptogenic stroke (CS). Although higher age is an independent risk factor for AF, there are no age-specific recommendations for the implantation of ICM. Objective  The aim of this study was to analyze age-related AF rates in patients with CS and continuous rhythm monitoring, to determine the rates of oral anticoagulation (OAC) and recurrent cerebrovascular events (stroke or transient ischemic attack) in patients with ICM-detected AF, and to describe the temporal relationship of AF detection and recurrent cerebrovascular events. Methods  In this observational study, patients with CS provided with ICMs were systematically followed. All patients underwent 72-hour electrocardiography monitoring, transcranial Doppler ultrasound, and transthoracic echocardiography prior to ICM insertion. Follow-up included a regular outpatient presentation every 3 months with medical history, physical examination, and interrogation of the ICM. Results  One-hundred eighty-six patients (mean age: 65 ± 12 years, 54% female) were included in this analysis. AF was detected in 6, 27, 56, and 65% ( p  < 0.001) of patients aged less than 60, 60 to 69, 70 to 79, and more than or equal to 80 years, respectively. All patients with AF under 60 years had an impaired left ventricular systolic function. OAC was initiated in 85% of the patients with AF. Recurrent cerebrovascular events occurred in 34 patients of whom 14 had a diagnosis of AF. In nine patients, AF was diagnosed before the occurrence of a recurrent cerebrovascular event. Conclusion  AF prevalence increased with age and was absent in CS patients younger than 60 years and with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction. The temporal relationship of AF and recurrent cerebrovascular events was weak.

Real-world characteristics and use patterns of patients treated with vericiguat: A nationwide longitudinal cohort study in Germany

PURPOSE

Vericiguat reduced clinical endpoints in patients experiencing worsening heart failure in clinical trials, but its implementation outside trials is unclear.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis of longitudinally collected data was based on the IQVIA™ LRx database, which includes ~ 80% of the prescriptions of the 73 million people covered by the German statutory health insurance.

RESULTS

Between September 2021 and December 2022, vericiguat was initiated in 2916 adult patients. Their mean age was 73 ± 13 years and 28% were women. While approximately 70% were uptitrated beyond 2.5 mg, only 36% reached 10 mg. Median time to up-titration from 2.5 mg to 5 mg was 17 (quartiles: 11-33) days, and from 2.5 to 10 mg 37 (25-64) days, respectively. In 87% of the patients, adherence to vericiguat was high as indicated by a medication possession ratio of  ≥ 80%, and 67% of the patients persistently used vericiguat during the first year. Women and older patients reached the maximal dose of 10 mg vericiguat less often and received other substance classes of guideline-recommended therapy (GDMT) less frequently. The proportion of patients receiving four pillars of GDMT increased from 29% before vericiguat initiation to 44% afterwards.

CONCLUSION

In a real-world setting, despite higher age than in clinical trials, adherence and persistence of vericiguat appeared satisfactory across age categories. Initiation of vericiguat was associated with intensification of concomitant GDMT. Nevertheless, barriers to vericiguat up-titration and implementation of other GDMT, applying in particular to women and elderly patients, need to be investigated further.

Early Initiation of Sacubitril/Valsartan in Patients With Acute Heart Failure and Renal Dysfunction: An Analysis of the TRANSITION Study

BACKGROUND

Treatment of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and renal dysfunction (RD) is challenging owing to the risk of further deterioration in renal function, especially after acute decompensated HF (ADHF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

We assessed the effect of RD (estimated glomerular filtration rate of ≥30 to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) on initiation, up-titration, and tolerability of sacubitril/valsartan in hemodynamically stabilized patients with HFrEF admitted for ADHF (RD, n = 476; non-RD, n = 483). At week 10, the target dose of sacubitril/valsartan (97/103 mg twice daily) was achieved by 42% patients in RD subgroup vs 54% in non-RD patients (P < .001). Sacubitril/valsartan was associated with greater estimated glomerular filtration rate improvements in RD subgroup than non-RD (change from baseline least squares mean 4.1 mL/min/1.73 m2, 95% confidence interval 2.2-6.1, P < .001). Cardiac biomarkers improved significantly in both subgroups; however, compared with the RD subgroup, the improvement was greater in those without RD (N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, -28.6% vs -44.8%, high-sensitivity troponin T -20.3% vs -33.9%) (P < .001). Patients in the RD subgroup compared with those without RD experienced higher rates of hyperkalemia (16.3% vs 6.5%, P < .001), investigator-reported cardiac failure (9.7% vs 5.6%, P = .029), and renal impairment (6.4% vs 2.1%, P = .002).

CONCLUSIONS

Most patients with HFrEF and concomitant RD hospitalized for ADHF tolerated early initiation of sacubitril/valsartan and showed significant improvements in estimated glomerular filtration rate and cardiac biomarkers.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT02661217.

Circulating miR-let7a levels predict future diagnosis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension

Distinct patterns of circulating microRNAs (miRNAs) were found to be involved in misguided thrombus resolution. Thus, we aimed to investigate dysregulated miRNA signatures during the acute phase of pulmonary embolism (PE) and test their diagnostic and predictive value for future diagnosis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). Microarray screening and subsequent validation in a large patient cohort (n = 177) identified three dysregulated miRNAs as potential biomarkers: circulating miR-29a and miR-720 were significantly upregulated and miR-let7a was significantly downregulated in plasma of patients with PE. In a second validation study equal expression patterns for miR-29a and miR-let7a regarding an acute event of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) or deaths were found. MiR-let7a concentrations significantly correlated with echocardiographic and laboratory parameters indicating right ventricular (RV) dysfunction. Additionally, circulating miR-let7a levels were associated with diagnosis of CTEPH during follow-up. Regarding CTEPH diagnosis, ROC analysis illustrated an AUC of 0.767 (95% CI 0.54-0.99) for miR-let7a. Using logistic regression analysis, a calculated patient-cohort optimized miR-let7a cut-off value derived from ROC analysis of ≥ 11.92 was associated with a 12.8-fold increased risk for CTEPH. Therefore, miR-let7a might serve as a novel biomarker to identify patients with haemodynamic impairment and as a novel predictor for patients at risk for CTEPH.

Towards a new classification of atrial fibrillation detected after a stroke or a transient ischaemic attack

Globally, up to 1·5 million individuals with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack can be newly diagnosed with atrial fibrillation per year. In the past decade, evidence has accumulated supporting the notion that atrial fibrillation first detected after a stroke or transient ischaemic attack differs from atrial fibrillation known before the occurrence of as stroke. Atrial fibrillation detected after stroke is associated with a lower prevalence of risk factors, cardiovascular comorbidities, and atrial cardiomyopathy than atrial fibrillation known before stroke occurrence. These differences might explain why it is associated with a lower risk of recurrence of ischaemic stroke than known atrial fibrillation. Patients with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack can be classified in three categories: no atrial fibrillation, known atrial fibrillation before stroke occurrence, and atrial fibrillation detected after stroke. This classification could harmonise future research in the field and help to understand the role of prolonged cardiac monitoring for secondary stroke prevention with application of a personalised risk-based approach to the selection of patients for anticoagulation.

Apixaban versus Aspirin for Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Apixaban versus Aspirin for Embolic StrokeIn a trial of 352 patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source, 5 mg of apixaban administered twice daily was compared with 100 mg of aspirin administered once daily for the prevention of recurrent ischemic strokes. At 12 months, 13.6% of patients given apixaban had new ischemic lesions on magnetic resonance imaging compared with 16.0% of patients given aspirin, and the rates of clinically relevant bleeding were also comparable.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on implementation of novel guideline-directed medical therapies for heart failure in Germany: a nationwide retrospective analysis

Background

Guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) is the cornerstone in the treatment of patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and novel substances such as sacubitril/valsartan (S/V) and sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) have demonstrated marked clinical benefits. We investigated their implementation into real-world HF care in Germany before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic period.

Methods

The IQVIA LRx data set is based on ∼80% of 73 million people covered by the German statutory health insurance. Prescriptions of S/V were used as a proxy for HFrEF. Time trends were analysed between Q1/2016 and Q2/2023 for prescriptions for S/V alone and in combination therapy with SGLT2i.

Findings

The number of patients treated with S/V increased from 5260 in Q1/2016 to 351,262 in Q2/2023. The share of patients with combination therapy grew from 0.6% (29 of 5260) to 14.2% (31,128 of 219,762) in Q2/2021, and then showed a steep surge up to 54.8% (192,429 of 351,262) in Q2/2023, coinciding with the release of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines for HF in Q3/2021. Women and patients aged >80 years were treated less often with combined therapy than men and younger patients. With the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of patients with new S/V prescriptions dropped by 17.5% within one quarter, i.e., from 26,855 in Q1/2020 to 22,145 in Q2/2020, and returned to pre-pandemic levels only in Q1/2021.

Interpretation

The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a 12-month deceleration of S/V uptake in Germany. Following the release of the ESC HF guidelines, the combined prescription of S/V and SGLT2i was readily adopted. Further efforts are needed to fully implement GDMT and strengthen the resilience of healthcare systems during public health crises.

Funding

Supported by Novartis Pharma GmbH, Nuremberg, Germany.

Repurposing the β3-Adrenergic Receptor Agonist Mirabegron in Patients With Structural Cardiac Disease: The Beta3-LVH Phase 2b Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy contributes to the onset and progression of heart failure (HF), particularly for patients with pre-HF (stage B) for whom no treatment has yet proven effective to prevent transition to overt HF (stage C). The β3-adrenergic receptors (β3ARs) may represent a new target, as their activation attenuates LV remodeling.

Objective

To determine whether activation of β3ARs by repurposing a β3AR agonist, mirabegron, is safe and effective in preventing progression of LV hypertrophy and diastolic dysfunction among patients with pre- or mild HF.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The Beta3-LVH prospective, triple-blind, placebo-controlled phase 2b randomized clinical trial enrolled patients between September 12, 2016, and February 26, 2021, with a follow-up of 12 months. The trial was conducted at 10 academic hospitals in 8 countries across Europe (Germany, Poland, France, Belgium, Italy, Portugal, Greece, and the UK). Patients aged 18 years or older with or without HF symptoms (maximum New York Heart Association class II) were screened for the presence of LV hypertrophy (increased LV mass index [LVMI] of ≥95 g/m2 for women or ≥115 g/m2 for men) or maximum wall thickness of 13 mm or greater using echocardiography. Data analysis was performed in August 2022.

Intervention

Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to mirabegron (50 mg/d) or placebo, stratified by the presence of atrial fibrillation and/or type 2 diabetes, for 12 months.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary end points were LVMI determined using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and LV diastolic function (early diastolic tissue Doppler velocity [E/e'] ratio assessed using Doppler echocardiography) at 12 months. Patients with at least 1 valid measurement of either primary end point were included in the primary analysis. Safety was assessed for all patients who received at least 1 dose of study medication.

Results

Of the 380 patients screened, 296 were enrolled in the trial. There were 147 patients randomized to mirabegron (116 men [79%]; mean [SD] age, 64.0 [10.2] years) and 149 to placebo (112 men [75%]; mean [SD] age, 62.2 [10.9] years). All patients were included in the primary intention-to-treat analysis. At 12 months, the baseline and covariate-adjusted differences between groups included a 1.3-g/m2 increase in LVMI (95% CI, -0.15 to 2.74; P = .08) and a -0.15 decrease in E/e' (95% CI, -0.69 to 0.4; P = .60). A total of 213 adverse events (AEs) occurred in 82 mirabegron-treated patients (including 31 serious AEs in 19 patients) and 215 AEs occurred in 88 placebo-treated patients (including 30 serious AEs in 22 patients). No deaths occurred during the trial.

Conclusions

In this study, mirabegron therapy had a neutral effect on LV mass or diastolic function over 12 months among patients who had structural heart disease with no or mild HF symptoms.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02599480.

Trans-fatty acid blood levels of industrial but not natural origin are associated with cardiovascular risk factors in patients with HFpEF: a secondary analysis of the Aldo-DHF trial

BACKGROUND

Industrially processed trans-fatty acids (IP-TFA) have been linked to altered lipoprotein metabolism, inflammation and increased NT-proBNP. In patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), associations of TFA blood levels with patient characteristics are unknown.

METHODS

This is a secondary analysis of the Aldo-DHF-RCT. From 422 patients, individual blood TFA were analyzed at baseline in n = 404 using the HS-Omega-3-Index® methodology. Patient characteristics were: 67 ± 8 years, 53% female, NYHA II/III (87/13%), ejection fraction ≥ 50%, E/e' 7.1 ± 1.5; NT-proBNP 158 ng/L (IQR 82-298). A principal component analysis was conducted but not used for further analysis as cumulative variance for the first two PCs was low. Spearman's correlation coefficients as well as linear regression analyses, using sex and age as covariates, were used to describe associations of whole blood TFA with metabolic phenotype, functional capacity, echocardiographic markers for LVDF and neurohumoral activation at baseline and after 12 months.

RESULTS

Blood levels of the naturally occurring TFA C16:1n-7t were inversely associated with dyslipidemia, body mass index/truncal adiposity, surrogate markers for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and inflammation at baseline/12 months. Conversely, IP-TFA C18:1n9t, C18:2n6tt and C18:2n6tc were positively associated with dyslipidemia and isomer C18:2n6ct with dysglycemia. C18:2n6tt and C18:2n6ct were inversely associated with submaximal aerobic capacity at baseline/12 months. No significant association was found between TFA and cardiac function.

CONCLUSIONS

In HFpEF patients, higher blood levels of IP-TFA, but not naturally occurring TFA, were associated with dyslipidemia, dysglycemia and lower functional capacity. Blood TFAs, in particular C16:1n-7t, warrant further investigation as prognostic markers in HFpEF. Higher blood levels of industrially processed TFA, but not of the naturally occurring TFA C16:1n-7t, are associated with a higher risk cardiometabolic phenotype and prognostic of lower aerobic capacity in patients with HFpEF.

Intensive heart rhythm monitoring to decrease ischemic stroke and systemic embolism-the Find-AF 2 study-rationale and design

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most frequent causes of stroke. Several randomized trials have shown that prolonged monitoring increases the detection of AF, but the effect on reducing recurrent cardioembolism, ie, ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, remains unknown. We aim to evaluate whether a risk-adapted, intensified heart rhythm monitoring with consequent guideline conform treatment, which implies initiation of oral anticoagulation (OAC), leads to a reduction of recurrent cardioembolism.

METHODS

Find-AF 2 is a randomized, controlled, open-label parallel multicenter trial with blinded endpoint assessment. 5,200 patients ≥ 60 years of age with symptomatic ischemic stroke within the last 30 days and without known AF will be included at 52 study centers with a specialized stroke unit in Germany. Patients without AF in an additional 24-hour Holter ECG after the qualifying event will be randomized in a 1:1 fashion to either enhanced, prolonged and intensified ECG-monitoring (intervention arm) or standard of care monitoring (control arm). In the intervention arm, patients with a high risk of underlying AF will receive continuous rhythm monitoring using an implantable cardiac monitor (ICM) whereas those without high risk of underlying AF will receive repeated 7-day Holter ECGs. The duration of rhythm monitoring within the control arm is up to the discretion of the participating centers and is allowed for up to 7 days. Patients will be followed for at least 24 months. The primary efficacy endpoint is the time until recurrent ischemic stroke or systemic embolism occur.

CONCLUSIONS

The Find-AF 2 trial aims to demonstrate that enhanced, prolonged and intensified rhythm monitoring results in a more effective prevention of recurrent ischemic stroke and systemic embolism compared to usual care.

Higher troponin T serum concentrations in hospital patients without diagnosed cardiac diseases compared to a population-based cohort

OBJECTIVES

Upper reference limits of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) are derived from healthy, population-based cohorts, and are frequently exceeded in hospitalized patients. In this study we aim to systematically examine the differences between in-hospital patients with no diagnosed cardiac diseases and a population-based cohort.

METHODS

Retrospective analyses were performed in two independent cohorts. We included 5,652 participants of the prospective population-based LIFE cohort as well as 9,300 patients having been treated at our hospital between 2014 and 2021. In both cohorts, subjects with diagnosed or suspected cardiac diseases were excluded. We used Spearman's rank correlation for correlation analyses of hs-cTnT serum concentrations and age. Sex- and age-adjusted 99th percentiles for hs-cTnT in subjects with preserved renal function were obtained in both cohorts.

RESULTS

In both cohorts, hs-cTnT serum concentrations positively correlated with age. Male sex was associated with higher hs-cTnT serum concentrations. Persons treated in hospital showed significantly higher hs-cTnT concentrations in females and males aged above 50. While in the population-based cohort only 99th percentile hs-cTnT results of females aged above 70 and males aged above 60 years exceeded the assay's upper reference limit, the 99th percentiles of in-hospital females over 40 years and males of all age groups exceeded this threshold.

CONCLUSIONS

Besides age and sex, hospitalization per se is correlated with higher serum concentrations of hs-cTnT in most age groups. Our results indicate, that unconditionally applying current hs-cTnT cut-offs to inpatients might overestimate myocardial infarction and potentially lead to overdiagnosis.

Treatment response to spironolactone in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a machine learning-based analysis of two randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Whether there is a subset of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) that benefit from spironolactone therapy is unclear. We applied a machine learning approach to identify responders and non-responders to spironolactone among patients with HFpEF in two large randomized clinical trials.

METHODS

Using a reiterative cluster allocating permutation approach, patients from the derivation cohort (Aldo-DHF) were identified according to their treatment response to spironolactone with respect to improvement in E/e'. Heterogenous features of response ('responders' and 'non-responders') were characterized by an extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. XGBoost was used to predict treatment response in the validation cohort (TOPCAT). The primary endpoint of the validation cohort was a combined endpoint of cardiovascular mortality, aborted cardiac arrest, or heart failure hospitalization. Patients with missing variables for the XGboost model were excluded from the validation analysis.

FINDINGS

Out of 422 patients from the derivation cohort, reiterative cluster allocating permutation identified 159 patients (38%) as spironolactone responders, in whom E/e' significantly improved (p = 0.005). Within the validation cohort (n = 525) spironolactone treatment significantly reduced the occurrence of the primary outcome among responders (n = 185, p log rank = 0.008), but not among patients in the non-responder group (n = 340, p log rank = 0.52).

INTERPRETATION

Machine learning approaches might aid in identifying HFpEF patients who are likely to show a favorable therapeutic response to spironolactone.

FUNDING

See Acknowledgements section at the end of the manuscript.

De Novo Lipogenesis-Related Monounsaturated Fatty Acids in the Blood Are Associated with Cardiovascular Risk Factors in HFpEF Patients

De novo lipogenesis (DNL)-related monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFAs) in the blood are associated with incident heart failure (HF). This observation's biological plausibility may be due to the potential of these MUFAs to induce proinflammatory pathways, endoplasmic reticulum stress, and insulin resistance, which are pathophysiologically relevant in HF. The associations of circulating MUFAs with cardiometabolic phenotypes in patients with heart failure with a preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) are unknown. In this secondary analysis of the Aldosterone in Diastolic Heart Failure trial, circulating MUFAs were analysed in 404 patients using the HS-Omega-3-Index® methodology. Patients were 67 ± 8 years old, 53% female, NYHA II/III (87/13%). The ejection fraction was ≥50%, E/e' 7.1 ± 1.5, and the median NT-proBNP 158 ng/L (IQR 82-298). Associations of MUFAs with metabolic, functional, and echocardiographic patient characteristics at baseline/12 months follow-up (12 mFU) were analysed using Spearman's correlation coefficients and linear regression analyses, using sex/age as covariates. Circulating levels of C16:1n7 and C18:1n9 were positively associated with BMI/truncal adiposity and associated traits (dysglycemia, atherogenic dyslipidemia, and biomarkers suggestive of non-alcoholic-fatty liver disease). They were furthermore inversely associated with functional capacity at baseline/12 mFU. In contrast, higher levels of C20:1n9 and C24:1n9 were associated with lower cardiometabolic risk and higher exercise capacity at baseline/12 mFU. In patients with HFpEF, circulating levels of individual MUFAs were differentially associated with cardiovascular risk factors. Our findings speak against categorizing FA based on physicochemical properties. Circulating MUFAs may warrant further investigation as prognostic markers in HFpEF.

Prevalence and prognostic impact of chronic kidney disease and anaemia across ACC/AHA precursor and symptomatic heart failure stages

BACKGROUND

The importance of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and anaemia has not been comprehensively studied in asymptomatic patients at risk for heart failure (HF) versus those with symptomatic HF. We analysed the prevalence, characteristics and prognostic impact of both conditions across American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) precursor and HF stages A-D.

METHODS AND RESULTS

2496 participants from three non-pharmacological German Competence Network HF studies were categorized by ACC/AHA stage; stage C patients were subdivided into C1 and C2 (corresponding to NYHA classes I/II and III, respectively). Overall, patient distribution was 8.1%/35.3%/32.9% and 23.7% in ACC/AHA stages A/B/C1 and C2/D, respectively. These subgroups were stratified by the absence ( - ) or presence ( +) of CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] < 60 mL/min/1.73m2) and anaemia (haemoglobin in women/men < 12/ < 13 g/dL). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 5-year follow-up. Prevalence increased across stages A/B/C1 and C2/D (CKD: 22.3%/23.6%/31.6%/54.7%; anaemia: 3.0%/7.9%/21.7%/33.2%, respectively), with concordant decreases in median eGFR and haemoglobin (all p < 0.001). Across all stages, hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals] for all-cause mortality were 2.1 [1.8-2.6] for CKD + , 1.7 [1.4-2.0] for anaemia, and 3.6 [2.9-4.6] for CKD + /anaemia + (all p < 0.001). Population attributable fractions (PAFs) for 5-year mortality related to CKD and/or anaemia were similar across stages A/B, C1 and C2/D (up to 33.4%, 30.8% and 34.7%, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Prevalence and severity of CKD and anaemia increased across ACC/AHA stages. Both conditions were individually and additively associated with increased 5-year mortality risk, with similar PAFs in asymptomatic patients and those with symptomatic HF.

Enhanced diagnostic workup increases pathological findings in patients with acute ischaemic stroke: results of the prospective HEBRAS study

BACKGROUND

Stroke aetiology remains cryptogenic in a relevant proportion of patients with acute ischaemic stroke (AIS). We assessed whether enhanced diagnostic workup after AIS yields a higher rate of prespecified pathological findings compared with routine diagnostic care in-hospital.

METHODS

Hospitalised patients with AIS were prospectively enrolled in the investigator-initiated observational HEart and BRain Interfaces in Acute Ischaemic Stroke (HEBRAS) study at the Charité, Berlin, Germany. Patients with AIS without known atrial fibrillation (AF) underwent cardiovascular MR imaging (CMR), MR-angiography of the aortic arch and prolonged Holter-ECG monitoring on top of routine diagnostic care.

RESULTS

Among 356 patients with AIS (mean age 66 years, 37.6% female), enhanced workup yielded a higher rate of prespecified pathological findings compared with routine care (17.7% vs 5.3%; p<0.001). Consequently, fewer patients were classified as cryptogenic after enhanced diagnostic workup (38.5% vs 45.5%, p<0.001). Routine care included echocardiography in 228 (64.0%) patients. CMR was successfully performed in 292 (82.0%) patients and revealed more often a prespecified pathological finding compared with routine echocardiography (16.1% vs 5.3%). Furthermore, study-related ECG monitoring (median duration 162 hours (IQR 98-210)) detected AF in 16 (4.5%) patients, while routine monitoring (median duration 51 hours (IQR 34-74)) detected AF in seven (2.0%) patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Enhanced diagnostic workup revealed a higher rate of prespecified pathological findings in patients with AIS compared with routine diagnostic care and significantly reduced the proportion of patients with cryptogenic stroke.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02142413.

Integrated care for older multimorbid heart failure patients: protocol for the ESCAPE randomized trial and cohort study

ESCAPE

Evaluation of a patient-centred biopsychosocial blended collaborative care pathway for the treatment of multimorbid elderly patients.

THERAPEUTIC AREA

Healthcare interventions for the management of older patients with multiple morbidities.

AIMS

Multi-morbidity treatment is an increasing challenge for healthcare systems in ageing societies. This comprehensive cohort study with embedded randomized controlled trial tests an integrated biopsychosocial care model for multimorbid elderly patients.

HYPOTHESIS

A holistic, patient-centred pro-active 9-month intervention based on the blended collaborative care (BCC) approach and enhanced by information and communication technologies can improve health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and disease outcomes as compared with usual care at 9 months.

METHODS

Across six European countries, ESCAPE is recruiting patients with heart failure, mental distress/disorder plus ≥2 medical co-morbidities into an observational cohort study. Within the cohort study, 300 patients will be included in a randomized controlled assessor-blinded two-arm parallel group interventional clinical trial (RCT). In the intervention, trained care managers (CMs) regularly support patients and informal carers in managing their multiple health problems. Supervised by a clinical specialist team, CMs remotely support patients in implementing the treatment plan-customized to the patients' individual needs and preferences-into their daily lives and liaise with patients' healthcare providers. An eHealth platform with an integrated patient registry guides the intervention and helps to empower patients and informal carers. HRQoL measured with the EQ-5D-5L as primary endpoint, and secondary outcomes, that is, medical and patient-reported outcomes, healthcare costs, cost-effectiveness, and informal carer burden, will be assessed at 9 and ≥18 months.

CONCLUSIONS

If proven effective, the ESCAPE BCC intervention can be implemented in routine care for older patients with multiple morbidities across the participating countries and beyond.

Coping styles as predictors for quality of life and prognosis in patients at risk for or with a diagnosis of heart failure: Results from the observational DIAST-CHF study

OBJECTIVE

Patients with heart failure often experience impaired health-related quality of life (HRQOL) and have an increased risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events. The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive role of different coping styles on outcome.

METHODS

This longitudinal study included 1536 participants who either had cardiovascular risk factors or were diagnosed with heart failure. Follow-ups took place one, two, five and ten years after recruitment. Coping and HRQOL were investigated using self-assessment questionnaires (Freiburg Questionnaire for Coping with Illness, Short Form-36 Health Survey). Somatic outcome was quantified by incidence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and 6-min-walking-distance.

RESULTS

Pearson correlation and multiple linear regression analysis showed significant associations between the coping styles used at the first three time points and HRQOL after five years. After adjusting for baseline HRQOL, minimization and wishful thinking predicted worse mental HRQOL (β = -0.106; p = 0.006), while depressive coping predicted worse mental (β = -0.197; p < 0.001) and physical HRQOL (β = -0.085; p = 0.03; n = 613). Active problem-oriented coping could not significantly predict HRQOL. Only minimization and wishful thinking was significantly associated with an increased 10-year-risk for MACCE (hazard ratio = 1.06; 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.11; p = 0.02; n = 1444) and reduction in 6-min-walking-distance at 5 years (β = -0.119; p = 0.004; n = 817) in adjusted analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Depressive coping and minimization and wishful thinking were associated with worse quality of life in patients at risk for or with diagnosed heart failure. Minimization and wishful thinking also predicted worse somatic outcome. Therefore, patients using those coping styles might benefit from early psychosocial interventions.

Comparison of quantitative flow ratio with instantaneous wave-free ratio and resting full-cycle ratio during daily routine in the catheterization laboratory

BACKGROUND

Quantitative flow ratio (QFR) is a novel, software-based method to evaluate the physiology of coronary lesions. The aim of this study was to compare QFR with the established invasive measurements of coronary blood flow using instantaneous wave-free ratio (iFR) or resting full-cycle ratio (RFR) in daily cathlab routine.

METHODS

102 patients with stable coronary artery disease and a coronary stenosis of 40%-90% were simultaneously assessed with QFR and iFR or RFR. QFR-computation was performed by two certified experts using the appropriate software (QAngio XA 3D 3.2).

RESULTS

QFR showed a significant correlation (r = 0.75, p < 0.001) to iFR and RFR. The area under the receiver curve for all measurements was 0.93 (95% confidence interval, 0.87-0.98) for QFR compared to iFR or RFR. QFR based assessment required less time with a median of 501 s (IQR 421-659 s) compared to iFR or RFR which required a median of 734 s to obtain the result (IQR 512-967 s; p < 0.001). The median use of contrast medium was similar with 21 mL (IQR 16-30 mL) for the QFR-based and 22 mL (IQR 15-35 mL) for the iFR- or RFR-based diagnostic. QFR diagnostic required less radiation. The median dose area product for QFR was 307cGycm² (IQR 151-429 cGycm² ) compared to 599 cGycm² (IQR 345-1082 cGycm² ) for iFR or RFR, p < 0.001.

CONCLUSION

QFR measurements of coronary artery blood flow correlate with iFR or RFR measurements and are associated with shorter procedure times and reduced radiation dose.

Longitudinal association between N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide, anxiety and social support in patients with HFpEF: results from the multicentre randomized controlled Aldo-DHF trial

BACKGROUND

Higher plasma levels of natriuretic peptides (NPs) have been associated with reduced anxiety in experimental research and a number of patient samples. As NP levels are elevated in heart failure patients, we investigate whether this elevation is related to anxiety in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

METHODS

Post-hoc regression and mediation analyses were conducted, using data of 422 patients with HFpEF from the randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blinded, two-armed, multicentre aldosterone in diastolic heart failure trial, testing associations and their mediators between the N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and anxiety at baseline and over 12-month follow-up. Anxiety was measured by the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), social support by the ENRICHD Social Support Inventory and physical functioning by the Short Form 36 Health Survey.

RESULTS

The mean age of the study population was 66.8 ± 7.6 years, 47.6% were male and 86.0% had NYHA class II. NT-proBNP showed a weak negative correlation with HADS anxiety scores at baseline (r = - 0.087; p = 0.092), which was significant (r = - 0.165; p = 0.028) in men but not in women. NT-proBNP also tended to predict lower anxiety at 12-months in men. On the other hand, higher anxiety at baseline was associated with lower NT-proBNP scores 12 months later (r = - 0.116; p = 0.026). All associations lost significance in multivariate regression for age, perceived social support (ESSI), physical function (SF-36) and study arm. Mediation analyses revealed that social support acts as a full mediator for the link between NT-proBNP levels and anxiety.

CONCLUSION

The mechanisms linking NT-proBNP to anxiety may be more complex than originally assumed. While effects of NT-proBNP on anxiety may be mediated by perceived social support, there may be an additional negative effect of anxiety on NT-proBNP. Future research should consider this possible bi-directionality of the association and assess the potential influence of gender, social support, oxytocin and vagal tone on the interaction of anxiety and natriuretic peptide levels. Trial Registration http://www.controlled-trials.com  (ISRCTN94726526) on 07/11/2006. Eudra-CT-number: 2006-002,605-31.

Monitoring for atrial fibrillation prior to patent foramen ovale closure after cryptogenic stroke

BACKGROUND

Patients who had a cryptogenic stroke (CS) suspected to be causally related to a patent foramen ovale (PFO) are candidates for percutaneous PFO closure. In such patients, it is important to screen for atrial fibrillation (AF). Limited guidance is available regarding AF monitoring strategies in CS patients with PFO addressing optimal monitoring technology and duration.

AIM

To provide a narrative review of cardiac rhythm monitoring in CS patients considered for PFO closure, including current practices, stroke recurrences after CS, findings from monitoring studies in CS patients, and predictors for AF detection published in the literature. To propose a personalized strategy for cardiac monitoring in CS patients, accounting for aspects predicting AF detection.

SUMMARY OF REVIEW

AF detection in CS patients is predicted by age, left atrial enlargement, prolonged PR interval, frequent premature atrial contractions, interatrial conduction block, diabetes, prior brain infarctions, leukoaraiosis, elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP)/N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels, and a family history of AF, as well as composed scores (e.g. CHA₂DS₂-VASc, atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source (AF-ESUS)). The causal role of the PFO may be accounted for by the risk of paradoxical embolism (RoPE) score and/or the PFO-Associated Stroke Causal Likelihood (PASCAL) classification.

CONCLUSION

A personalized approach to AF detection in CS patients is proposed, accounting for the likelihood of AF detection and aimed at obtaining sufficient confidence regarding the absence of AF in patients considered for PFO closure. In addition, the impact of high-risk PFO features on the monitoring strategy is discussed.

A cardiologist's guide to machine learning in cardiovascular disease prognosis prediction

A modern-day physician is faced with a vast abundance of clinical and scientific data, by far surpassing the capabilities of the human mind. Until the last decade, advances in data availability have not been accompanied by analytical approaches. The advent of machine learning (ML) algorithms might improve the interpretation of complex data and should help to translate the near endless amount of data into clinical decision-making. ML has become part of our everyday practice and might even further change modern-day medicine. It is important to acknowledge the role of ML in prognosis prediction of cardiovascular disease. The present review aims on preparing the modern physician and researcher for the challenges that ML might bring, explaining basic concepts but also caveats that might arise when using these methods. Further, a brief overview of current established classical and emerging concepts of ML disease prediction in the fields of omics, imaging and basic science is presented.

Echocardiography in acute stroke patients: a nationwide analysis in departments with certified stroke units in Germany

BACKGROUND

Echocardiography is highly relevant in patients with ischemic stroke or TIA. Utilization of routine echocardiographic examinations [transthoracic (TTE) or transesophageal (TEE)] on stroke units remains however unknown. To representatively examine echocardiographic rates on stroke units in Germany and to evaluate structural factors that may influence the decision to conduct echocardiography.

METHODS

A nationwide analysis was performed by using certification audit data of all primary and comprehensive stroke centers (pSC and cSC) in Germany.

RESULTS

Structural and organizational requirements of 310 departments (cSCs: 42.6%) were extracted. Median TTE rate was 63.3% (IQR 39.3-80.8), median TEE rate 21.3% (IQR 16.4-29.5). A cardiological department on site was present in 74.2%, and they were associated with higher TEE rates. TTE rates decreased with increasing numbers of patients (p = 0.026). Likewise, TEE rates decreased with increasing numbers of patients (p = 0.006), mediated by departments with cSCs (p = 0.008 for cSCs vs p = 0.230 for pSCs). TTE rates were far more inhomogeneously distributed than TEE rates and higher in pSCs (p = 0.011). Overall, 12.9% of centers did not perform any echocardiographic examination in at least 50% of all stroke patients.

CONCLUSION

More detailed recommendations regarding echocardiography should be included in future guidelines. Moreover, evaluating the impact of echocardiographic examinations on long-term prognosis in stroke patients should be focus of further evaluations.

Prolonged cardiac monitoring for stroke prevention: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized-controlled clinical trials

Introduction:

Prolonged cardiac monitoring (PCM) substantially improves the detection of subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients with history of ischemic stroke (IS), leading to prompt initiation of anticoagulants. However, whether PCM may lead to IS prevention remains equivocal.

Patients and methods:

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, randomized-controlled clinical trials (RCTs) reporting IS rates among patients with known cardiovascular risk factors, including but not limited to history of IS, who received PCM for more than 7 days versus more conservative cardiac rhythm monitoring methods were pooled.

Results:

Seven RCTs were included comprising a total of 9048 patients with at least one known cardiovascular risk factor that underwent cardiac rhythm monitoring. PCM was associated with reduction of IS occurrence compared to conventional monitoring (Risk Ratio: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.59–0.96; I2 = 0%). This association was also significant in the subgroup of RCTs investigating implantable cardiac monitoring (Risk Ratio: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58–0.97; I2 = 0%). However, when RCTs assessing PCM in both primary and secondary prevention settings were excluded or when RCTs investigating PCM with a duration of 7 days or less were included, the association between PCM and reduction of IS did not retain its statistical significance. Regarding the secondary outcomes, PCM was related to higher likelihood for AF detection and anticoagulant initiation. No association was documented between PCM and IS/transient ischemic attack occurrence, all-cause mortality, intracranial hemorrhage, or major bleeding.

Conclusion:

PCM may represent an effective stroke prevention strategy in selected patients. Additional RCTs are warranted to validate the robustness of the reported associations.

Comparison of quantitative flow ratio (QFR) and instantaneous wave-free ratio (iFR) or resting full-cycle ratio (RFR) during daily routine in the catheterization laboratory

Background

The prognosis of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) depends strongly on the hemodynamic relevance of the stenosis. The gold standard is the invasive evaluation of the stenosis using Fractional Flow Reserve (FFR), instantaneous wave-free ratio (iFR) or Resting Full-Cycle Ratio (RFR). The use of invasive procedures remains low due to procedural factors and costs. Quantitative Flow Ratio (QFR) is a novel, software-based method to evaluate the physiology of coronary lesions during cardiac catheterization. Computing a three-dimensional model of the vessel based on two angiographic recordings and analyzing the fluid dynamics of the contrast medium flow, the software computes the FFR. In the setting of clinical studies, it has been demonstrated that QFR is feasible and correlates well with FFR. The aim of this study is to compare feasibility and reliability of QFR with established measurements of the iFR or RFR in daily routine.

Methods

Patients with an indication for an invasive coronary angiography and a stenosis of 30 to 90% were simultaneously assessed using QFR and iFR/RFR in a routine setting. The QFR-computation was performed online by a certified expert with QAngio XA 3D 3.2. The following outcome parameters were analyzed: time to result, volume of applicated contrast medium, applicated dose area product, result of the evaluation. The results have been registered for both methods, respectively.

Results

102 coronary arteries were analyzed using QFR and iFR or RFR. QFR shows a good correlation (r=0.753, AUC=0.922) and accuracy (agreement 89.22%, sensitivity 95.83%, specificity 83.33%, PPV 83.64%, NPV 95.74%). The data show that QFR delivers significantly faster results and reduces the procedure related applicated radiation dose from in median 598.8 cGy cm2 to 306.75 cG ycm2 (p&lt;0.001). The study shows no significant difference regarding the amount of contrast medium used.

Conclusion

QFR has a good diagnostic agreement and can reduce procedure length and applicated radiation dose. Thereby QFR could increase the use of physiologically guided coronary interventions in daily routine.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Left atrial cardiomyopathy and 10-year risk of Atrial Fibrillation

Background

Left atrial cardiomyopathy (LACMP) is considered a precursor or prerequisite of incident atrial fibrillation (AF). Various definitions including humoral, ECG- and echocardiographic parameters have been proposed, but not been rigorously and comparatively investigated and the role of excessive supraventricular ectopic activity (ESVEA) is poorly studied. We aimed to analyse the ten-year risk to develop AF in patients with cardiovascular risk factors and to define the impact of LACMP, its components and ESVEA on AF risk.

Methods

148 patients free of AF at baseline were followed for 10 years. Baseline examination included medical history, physical examination, echocardiography, 12-lead-ECG and 7-day-Holter ECG. LACMP was defined as either left atrial enlargement (left atrial volume index (LAVI) &gt;35 ml/m2), P-terminal force in lead V1 (PTFV1) ≤ −4000 ms$cdot$μV or elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) &gt;250 pg/ml. Firstly, we analyzed the association of these parameters on AF-free survival in Kaplan-Meier plots. Secondly, we repeated this analysis for ESVEA (defined as either &gt;720 premature atrial contractions (PAC) per day or at least one atrial run &gt;20 beats per day). Finally, parameters significantly associated with AF-free survival were included in a multivariable analysis to identify those independently predictive for AF.

Results

At baseline, eighty-nine patients fulfilled at least one criterion of LACMP while eight patients fulfilled all criteria. After ten years of follow-up, AF was newly detected in twelve patients (13.4%) with LACMP and two patients (3.4%) without LACMP (p=0.04). LAVI (p=0.005), ESVEA (p=0.016) and NT-proBNP (p=0.010) showed significant association with AF-free survival in univariate analysis while PTFV1 did not. In a combined Cox model of LACMP parameters, significant associations were found for log-transformed NT-proBNP (HR 3.56; 95% CI 1.33–5.31; p=0.04) and log-transformed PAC (HR 2.66; 95% CI 1.25–10.15; p=0.01) but not for LAVI and not for PTFV1.

Conclusion

The risk for AF is higher in patients with evidence of left atrial cardiomyopathy. NT-proBNP and premature atrial contractions independently predict AF-free survival. The role of supraventricular ectopic activity is underestimated and requires further study.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Trans fatty acid blood levels and HFpEF phenotype: from the Aldo-DHF RCT

Background

Prognosis in HFpEF is determined by risk factor control and treatment of comorbidities. Industrially processed TFA (IP-TFA) from partially hydrogenated oils have been linked to altered lipoprotein metabolism, endothelial dysfunction, increased biomarkers of inflammation and increased NTproBNP. In patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), associations of TFA blood levels with patient characteristics are unknown.

Purpose

To evaluate associations of blood TFA with cardiovascular risk factors, aerobic capacity and cardiac function in patients with HFpEF.

Methods

This is a secondary analysis from the Aldo-DHF-RCT. From 422 patients, individual blood TFA were analyzed at baseline in n=404 using the HS-Omega-3-Index® methodology. Patient characteristics were; 67±8 years, 53% female, NYHA II/III (87/13%), ejection fraction ≥50%, E/e' 7.1±1.5; median NT-proBNP 158 ng/L (IQR 82–298). Multiple linear regression analyses, using sex and age as covariates, were used to describe associations of TFA with metabolic phenotype, functional capacity, echocardiographic markers for left ventricular diastolic function (LVDF), and neurohumoral activation at baseline and after 12-months-follow-up (12mFU). To account for randomization group, all analyses were repeated as sensitivity analysis with group as covariate. A significance level of α=5% was used for all tests. As all tests were hypothesis generating without confirmatory interpretation, no correction was applied to counteract the problem of multiple comparisons.

Results

Higher blood levels of the naturally occurring TFA C16:1n-7t were broadly associated with a more favorable lipid profile, lower body weight/central adiposity, lower white blood cell count and lower biochemical markers of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease at baseline/12mFU. Conversely, blood levels of the IP-TFA C18:1n9t were directly associated with lipid risk markers [triglycerides (β=19.7, p&lt;0,001), non-HDL-C (β=7.9, p=0,001), and LDL-C (β=5.4, p=0,011)]. The two IP-TFA C18:2n6 isomers C18:2n6tt and C18:2n6ct were positively associated with HbA1c [(β=14.6, p=0,003) and (β=4.2, p=0,014) respectively]. The IP-TFA C18:2n6tt/-ct isomers were associated with lower submaximal aerobic capacity (distance covered in the 6MWT) at baseline/12mFU. No significant association was found between TFA blood levels and left ventricular filling pressures, left ventricular relaxation or neurohumoral activation. Significant effects of group allocation (spironolactone +/−) were found for the 12mFU outcomes systolic/diastolic blood pressure (all p&lt;0.001), heart rate, E/e$'$ and HbA1c.

Conclusions

In HFpEF patients, higher blood levels of industrially processed TFA, but not of the TFA C16:1n-7t in full fat dairy and meat, were associated with a higher risk phenotype and lower aerobic capacity. Our findings support efforts to remove IP-TFA from the food supply for improving risk factor control in HFpEF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): German Foundation of Heart Research

Reduction in heart failure hospitalizations by sacubitril/valsartan; a post-hoc analysis of the PARALLAX trial

Background

The PARALLAX trial recently showed a significant reduction in plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentrations by angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibition with sacubitril/valsartan (S/V) compared to standard medical therapy (SMT) in patients with heart failure and ejection fraction ≥40%. As NT-proBNP reductions have been associated with a reduction in future heart failure hospitalizations (HHF), we aimed to investigate the impact of S/V on this endpoint in comparison to standard medical therapy.

Methods

The PARALLAX study was a 24-week, randomized, active-controlled, parallel group study to evaluate S/V compared to SMT for comorbidities. Eligible patients were stratified into three strata according to their individual RASi treatment (ACEi, ARB, ACEi/ARB-naïve) and randomized within each stratum 1:1 to S/V (N=1281; target dose (td), 97/103 mg b.i.d.) or individual comparator (N=1285; enalapril (td 10 mg b.i.d), valsartan (160 mg b.i.d.), or placebo). Hospitalizations for cardiac failure reported as serious adverse events by investigators were analysed in this post-oc secondary analysis.

Results

2566 patients with heart failure and LVEF ≥40%, were randomized to receive either S/V or SMT according to RASi stratum (n=1,016 ACE inhibitor stratum, n=1,174 ARB stratum, n=326 no RAS stratum). After 12 weeks, adjusted geometric mean ratio of NT-proBNP showed a 16.4% greater reduction sith S/V vs. SMT (p&lt;0.0001). S/V reduced the risk for cardiac failure events leading to hospitalization by 51% (hazard ratio (HR) 0.49; 95% CI 0.30, 0.81; p=0.005). Similar results were obtained in all three strata: HR 0.55 (0.25–1.19) in ACE inhibitor stratum, HR 0.50 (024–1.02) in ARB stratum and HR 0.37 (0.10–1.38) in no RAS stratum.

Conclusion

The significant reduction of NT-proBNP plasma levels by S/V in comparison to SMT in PARALLAX was associated with a significant reduction in heart failure hospitalisations. These results, together with evidence from the PARAGON trial, support the use of S/V in HFpEF for avoiding heart failure hospitalizations.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Novartis

Biomarker profiles in heart failure with preserved vs. reduced ejection fraction: results from the DIAST-CHF study

AIMS

Chronic heart failure (HF) is a common disease and one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) are different diseases with distinct as well as comparable pathophysiologies and diverse responses to therapeutic agents. We aimed to identify possible pathobiochemical signalling pathways and biomarkers in HFpEF and HFrEF by using a broad proteomic approach.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 180 biomarkers in the plasma of a representative subgroup (71 years old) of HFpEF (70% female) with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥ 50% and HFrEF (18% female) with an LVEF ≤ 40% patients (n = 127) from the Prevalence and Clinical Course of Diastolic Dysfunction and Diastolic Heart Failure (DIAST-CHF) trial were examined and compared with a healthy control group (n = 40; 48% female). We were able to identify 35 proteins that were expressed significantly different in both HF groups compared with the control group. We determine 29 unique proteins expressed in HFpEF and 33 unique proteins in HFrEF. Significantly up-regulated trefoil factor 3 (TFF3) and down-regulated contactin-1 could be identified as previously unknown biomarkers for HF. However, TFF3 is also a predictive factor for the occurrence of a cardiovascular event in HFpEF patients. In HFpEF, serine protease 27 was found at reduced levels for the first time, which could offer a new therapeutic target. Additionally, network analyses showed a special role of platelet-derived growth factor subunit A, Dickkopf-related protein 1, and tumour necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 6 in HFpEF patients, whereas perlecan and junctional adhesion molecule A stood out in the HFrEF group. Overall, signalling pathways of metabolic processes, cellular stress, and iron metabolism seemed to be important for HFrEF, whereas for HFpEF, oxygen stress, haemostasis, cell renewal, cell migration, and cell proliferation are in the foreground.

CONCLUSIONS

The identified proteins and signalling pathways offer new therapeutic and diagnostic approaches for patients with chronic HF.

Influence of diabetes on sacubitril/valsartan titration and clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized for heart failure

AIMS

Diabetes mellitus is associated with worse outcomes and lower attainment of disease-modifying therapies in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). This post hoc analysis of TRANSITION compared the patterns of tolerability and uptitration of sacubitril/valsartan in patients with HFrEF stabilized after hospital admission due to acute decompensated HF depending on the presence or absence of diabetes as a co-morbidity.

METHODS

TRANSITION, a randomized, open-label study compared sacubitril/valsartan initiation pre-discharge vs. post-discharge (up to14 days) in 991 patients hospitalized for acutely decompensated HFrEF. The impact of diabetes status on tolerability and safety was studied at 10-week and 26-week post-randomization.

RESULTS

Among the 991 patients analysed at baseline, 460 (46.4%) had diabetes and exhibited a higher risk profile. At 10 weeks, sacubitril/valsartan target dose (97/103 mg bid) was achieved in a similar proportion of patients in each subgroup, when initiated pre-discharge or post-discharge respectively [diabetes subgroup: 47% (n = 105/226) vs. 50% (n = 115/228); relative risk ratio (RRR), 0.923; P = 0.412; non-diabetes subgroup: 45% (n = 119/267) vs. 51% (n = 133/261); RRR, 0.878; P = 0.155]. The proportions of patients achieving and maintaining either 49/51 mg or 97/103 mg bid [diabetes subgroup: 61.1% (n = 138/226) vs. 67.5% (n = 154/228); RRR, 0.909; P = 0.175; non-diabetes subgroup: 62.9% [n = 168/267] vs 69.3% [n = 181/261]; RRR, 0.906; P = 0.118] or any dose for ≥2 weeks leading to Week 10 [diabetes subgroup: 85% (n = 192/226) vs. 88.2% (n = 201/228); RRR, 0.966; P = 0.356; non-diabetes subgroup: 86.9% (n = 232/267) vs. 90.8% (n = 237/261); RRR, 0.963; P = 0.215] were also similar in each subgroup, when initiated pre-discharge or post-discharge, respectively. At 10 weeks, hypotension and renal dysfunction rates were similar, although hyperkalaemia was higher among patients with diabetes (15.9% vs. 9.5%). The rate of permanent discontinuation due to adverse events was similar in the diabetes and non-diabetes subgroups at 10 weeks, respectively: pre-discharge (7.5% vs. 7.1%) or post-discharge (5.7% vs. 4.2%). Similar patterns of uptitration and tolerability were observed at 26 weeks. Cardiac biomarkers including NT-proBNP (P < 0.005) and hs-TnT (P < 0.005) reduced significantly from baseline levels in both subgroups at Weeks 4 and 10; however, the response was greater among patients without diabetes. Mortality (diabetes vs. non-diabetes subgroups: 3.3% vs 4.0%; P = 0.438) and HF rehospitalization (diabetes vs. non-diabetes subgroups: 36.3% vs. 33.0%; P = 0.295) did not differ between the groups at 26 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a higher risk profile among patients with diabetes, sacubitril/valsartan initiation either before or shortly after discharge in hospitalized patients with HFrEF resulted in comparable rates of dose up-titration and tolerability as in those without diabetes.

Saturated Fatty Acid Blood Levels and Cardiometabolic Phenotype in Patients with HFpEF: A Secondary Analysis of the Aldo-DHF Trial

Background: Circulating long-chain (LCSFAs) and very long-chain saturated fatty acids (VLSFAs) have been differentially linked to risk of incident heart failure (HF). In patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), associations of blood SFA levels with patient characteristics are unknown. Methods: From the Aldo-DHF-RCT, whole blood SFAs were analyzed at baseline in n = 404 using the HS-Omega-3-Index^® methodology. Patient characteristics were 67 ± 8 years, 53% female, NYHA II/III (87%/13%), ejection fraction ≥50%, E/e’ 7.1 ± 1.5; and median NT-proBNP 158 ng/L (IQR 82–298). Spearman´s correlation coefficients and linear regression analyses, using sex and age as covariates, were used to describe associations of blood SFAs with metabolic phenotype, functional capacity, cardiac function, and neurohumoral activation at baseline and after 12-month follow-up (12 mFU). Results: In line with prior data supporting a potential role of de novo lipogenesis-related LCSFAs in the development of HF, we showed that baseline blood levels of C14:0 and C16:0 were associated with cardiovascular risk factors and/or lower exercise capacity in patients with HFpEF at baseline/12 mFU. Contrarily, the three major circulating VLSFAs, lignoceric acid (C24:0), behenic acid (C22:0), and arachidic acid (C20:0), as well as the LCSFA C18:0, were broadly associated with a lower risk phenotype, particularly a lower risk lipid profile. No associations were found between cardiac function and blood SFAs. Conclusions: Blood SFAs were differentially linked to biomarkers and anthropometric markers indicative of a higher-/lower-risk cardiometabolic phenotype in HFpEF patients. Blood SFA warrant further investigation as prognostic markers in HFpEF. One Sentence Summary: In patients with HFpEF, individual circulating blood SFAs were differentially associated with cardiometabolic phenotype and aerobic capacity.

Evaluation of the HFA-PEFF Score: results from the prospective DIAST-CHF cohort

AIMS

Although the number of patients suffering from heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) increases, the routine diagnosis remains a challenge. In the absence of a pathognomonic sign for HFpEF or specific treatment strategies, a prognosis-based characterization of suspected patients remains promising for both the risk stratification of the patients and a disease definition. The Heart Failure Association (HFA) of the European Society of Cardiology has introduced an algorithm with different levels of likelihood regarding the diagnosis of HFpEF, the HFA-PEFF score. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of this algorithm in a large cohort regarding mortality, symptom burden, and the functional status.

METHODS AND RESULTS

DIAST-CHF is a multicentre, population-based, prospective, observational study in subjects with at least one risk factor for HFpEF between the age of 50 and 85. We calculated the HFA-PEFF score (n = 1668) and analysed the risk groups for overall mortality, cardiovascular hospitalization, and submaximal functional capacity (6-min walk distance) at baseline and after a follow-up period of 10 years. Patients with high HFA-PEFF score values 5&6 showed a higher mortality than those with an intermediate score (score values 2-4) and low score values (high 21.3% vs. intermediate 10.1% vs. low 4.3%, P < 0.001). Also, the burden of MACE (death, cardiovascular hospitalization, new myocardial infarction, first diagnosis of HF) was increased in the high score values group (high 40.7% vs. intermediate 25.9% vs. low 13.9%, P < 0.001). Similarly, patients with higher scores had higher cumulative incidences of cardiovascular hospitalizations (P = 0.011). Subjects with higher scores also had lower 6-min walk distance both at baseline and during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

The HFA-PEFF score provides a reliable instrument to stratify suspected HFpEF patients by their risk for mortality, symptom burden, and functional status in cohort at risk with a follow-up period of 10 years. As high HFA-PEFF scores are associated with worse outcome, the HFA-PEFF algorithm describes a defining approach towards HFpEF.

Sacubitril/valsartan in heart failure: efficacy and safety in and outside clinical trials

Heart failure (HF) treatment has changed substantially over the last 30 years, leading to significant reductions in mortality and hospital admissions in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Currently, the optimization of guideline-directed chronic HF therapy remains the mainstay to further improve quality of life, mortality, and HF hospitalizations for patients with HFrEF. The angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor sacubitril/valsartan (S/V) has an important role in the treatment of patients with HFrEF. The PARADIGM-HF (Prospective Comparison of ARNI with ACEI to Determine Impact on Global Mortality and Morbidity in Heart Failure) randomized controlled trial has established solid evidence for the treatment of HFrEF in various subgroups. Apart from HFrEF, several studies have been conducted using S/V in various indications: patients hospitalized with acute decompensated HF, HF with preserved ejection fraction, acute myocardial infarction with reduced ejection fraction, uncontrolled and resistant hypertension, and chronic kidney disease. Data from the German Institute for Drug Use Evaluation reveal that implementation of S/V has increased steadily over time and, by the end of 2021, an estimated 266 000 patients were treated with S/V in Germany. The estimated cumulative real-world patient exposure is >5.5 million patient-treatment years worldwide. The number of patients treated with S/V largely exceeds the number of patients treated in clinical trials, and the current indication for S/V is larger than the strict inclusion/exclusion criteria of the randomized trials. Especially elderly patients, women, and patients with more and more severe comorbidities are underrepresented in the clinical trials. We therefore aimed to summarize the importance of S/V in HF in terms of efficacy and safety in clinical trials and daily clinical practice.

Prolonged Cardiac Monitoring and Stroke Recurrence: A Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Prolonged poststroke cardiac rhythm monitoring (PCM) reveals a substantial proportion of patients with ischemic stroke (IS) with atrial fibrillation (AF) not detected by conventional rhythm monitoring strategies. We evaluated the association between PCM and the institution of stroke preventive strategies and stroke recurrence.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and SCOPUS databases to identify studies reporting stroke recurrence rates in patients with history of recent IS or TIA receiving PCM compared with patients receiving conventional cardiac rhythm monitoring. Pairwise meta-analyses were performed under the random effects model. To explore for differences between the monitoring strategies, we combined direct and indirect evidence for any given pair of monitoring devices assessed within a randomized controlled trial (RCT).

RESULTS

We included 8 studies (5 RCTs, 3 observational; 2,994 patients). Patients receiving PCM after their index event had a higher rate of AF detection and anticoagulant initiation in RCTs (risk ratio [RR] 3.91, 95% CI 2.54-6.03; RR 2.16, 95% CI 1.66-2.80, respectively) and observational studies (RR 2.06, 95% CI 1.57-2.70; RR 2.01, 95% CI 1.43-2.83, respectively). PCM was associated with a lower risk of recurrent stroke during follow-up in observational studies (RR 0.29, 95% CI 0.15-0.59), but not in RCTs (RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.49-1.07). In indirect analyses of RCTs, the likelihood of AF detection and anticoagulation initiation was higher for implantable loop recorders compared with Holter monitors and external loop recorders.

DISCUSSION

PCM after an IS or TIA can lead to higher rates of AF detection and anticoagulant initiation. There is no solid RCT evidence supporting that PCM may be associated with lower stroke recurrence risk.

Early detection of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure reduces the risk of subsequent hospitalization: a subanalysis of the randomized TIM-HF2 trial

Aims

To evaluate the rate of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) and the potential improved outcome in heart failure (HF) patients using non-invasive remote patient management (RPM) compared with usual care (UC).

Methods and results

This analysis assessed a subgroup of 1538 patients of the TIM-HF2 trial with chronic HF, New York Heart Association Class II or III, admission to hospital for HF within 12 months before randomization, and a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of 45% or lower. Patients with AF in the baseline electrocardiogram (ECG), with an implanted cardiac device, a history of ablation therapy, and recent anticoagulation were excluded, leaving 347 patients for final analysis (RPM = 175; UC = 172). The percentage of days lost due to unplanned cardiovascular hospitalization or death of any cause (primary endpoint of TIM-HF2), the rate of newly detected AF, and the hospitalization rate due to AF were analysed. For patients with new AF, there was a significant reduction for the primary endpoint in the RPM group [5.5%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0-11.6 vs. UC: 14.6%, 95% CI 8.0-21.2; P < 0.001]. Within the first 3 months, the detection rate of new AF was significantly higher in the RPM group (5.1%) compared with UC (1.2%), P = 0.035. After 1 year, 23 patients (13.1%) assigned to RPM and 12 patients (7.0%) assigned to UC had newly detected AF, P = 0.056. Unplanned hospitalizations related to AF were significantly lower in the RPM group (2 out of 23 patients vs. UC: 10 out of 12 patients; P < 0.001).

Conclusion

In this subgroup of HF patients in the TIM-HF2 trial, non-invasive daily ECG transmission leads to a four times higher detection rate of new AF compared with UC. This was associated with a significant reduction of days lost due to unplanned cardiovascular hospitalizations, especially hospitalizations related to AF.

Current Challenges and Future Directions in Handling Stroke Patients With Patent Foramen Ovale—A Brief Review

The role of patent foramen ovale (PFO) in stroke was debated for decades. Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have shown fewer recurrent events after PFO closure in patients with cryptogenic stroke (CS). However, in clinical practice, treating stroke patients with coexisting PFO raises some questions. This brief review summarizes current knowledge and challenges in handling stroke patients with PFO and identifies issues for future research. The rationale for PFO closure was initially based on the concept of paradoxical embolism from deep vein thrombosis (DVT). However, RCTs did not consider such details, limiting their impact from a pathophysiological perspective. Only a few studies explored the coexistence of PFO and DVT in CS with varying results. Consequently, the PFO itself might play a role as a prothrombotic structure. Transesophageal echocardiography thus appears most appropriate for PFO detection, while a large shunt size or an associated atrial septum aneurysm qualify for a high-risk PFO. For drug-based treatment alone, studies did not find a definite superiority of oral anticoagulation over antiplatelet therapy. Remarkably, drug-based treatment in addition to PFO closure was not standardized in RCTs. The available literature rarely considers patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA), over 60 years of age, and competing etiologies like atrial fibrillation. In summary, RCTs suggest efficacy for closure of high-risk PFO only in a small subgroup of stroke patients. However, research is also needed to reevaluate the pathophysiological concept of PFO-related stroke and establish strategies for older and TIA patients and those with competing risk factors or low-risk PFO.

Signs of left atrial disease and 10-year risk of atrial fibrillation

Background

The contribution of left atrial disease and excessive supraventricular ectopic activity (ESVEA) to the risk for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is incompletely understood.

Objective

To analyse the ten-year risk to develop AF in patients with cardiovascular risk factors and to define the impact of parameters of left atrial disease and ESVEA on AF risk.

Methods

148 patients from the Diast-CHF trial with at least one cardiovascular risk factor and free of AF at baseline were followed for 10 years. Left atrial disease was defined as left atrial volume index (LAVI) >35 ml/m², P-terminal force in lead V₁ (PTFV₁) >4000 ms*μV or elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >250 pg/ml. We analyzed the association of these parameters and ESVEA (either >720 premature atrial contractions (PAC) or one atrial run >20 beats per day) on AF-free survival.

Results

After ten years, AF was newly detected in twelve patients (13.4%) with signs of left atrial disease and two patients (3.4%) without signs of left atrial disease (p = 0.04). LAVI (p = 0.005), ESVEA (p = 0.016) and NT-proBNP (p = 0.010) were significantly associated with AF-free survival in univariate analysis. A combined Cox model of left atrial disease parameters showed associations for NT-proBNP (HR 3.56; 95%CI 1.33–5.31; p = 0.04) and PAC (HR 2.66; 95%CI 1.25–10.15; p = 0.01) but not for LAVI or PTFV₁ with AF-free survival.

Conclusion

The risk for AF is higher in patients with cardiovascular risk factors and signs of left atrial disease. NT-proBNP and premature atrial contractions independently predict AF-free survival. The role of excessive supraventricular ectopic activity for the assessment of AF risk may be underestimated and requires further study.

Catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation: impact on mortality, morbidity, quality of life, and implications for the future

Despite the advances in technologies and techniques in the field of catheter ablation for cardiac arrhythmias, it is estimated that the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) will further increase in the nearest future. The latest trials have proven the beneficial effect on mortality after pulmonary vein isolation in patients with impaired left ventricular function, while no such effect has been seen in patients without left ventricular dysfunction. This raises the question of whether catheter ablation for AF is still suited for the latter patient cohort or whether the endpoint of mortality is not adequate enough. Not only does pulmonary vein isolation reduce the burden of atrial fibrillation, but it also somehow alters the patients’ perception of it in the case of recurrence. Independent of the presence of ventricular dysfunction, patients experience a relief of AF-related symptoms, which is accompanied by an increase in quality of life based on the available patient-reported outcome measures, despite AF recurrence. Trials that are currently recruiting patients seek to unveil the accountable circumstances for these remaining uncertainties and help expand our understanding of a procedure that has been routinely performed for two decades.

Abstract WP179: Impact Of Different Cardiac Rhythm Monitoring Strategies On Secondary Stroke Prevention: A Systematic Review And Network Meta-analysis Of Randomized Controlled Clinical Trials

Background and Purpose: Prolonged cardiac rhythm monitoring can reveal a substantial proportion of ischemic stroke (IS) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to evaluate the potential utility of available prolonged cardiac rhythm monitoring strategies with respect to secondary stroke prevention.

Methods: We searched Medline and Scopus databases to identify randomized controlled clinical trials (RCTs) comparing AF detection, anticoagulation initiation and stroke recurrence rates in patients with history of recent IS or transient ischemic attack (TIA) receiving cardiac rhythm monitoring with implantable loop recorders (ILRs), 30-days external loop recorders or Holter monitors. We performed a network meta-analysis to combine direct and indirect evidence for any given pair of monitoring devices that were evaluated within a trial and reported effect estimates with risk ratios (RRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs).

Results: We identified 5 RCTs including a total of 2202 patients (mean age 68 years, 40% women). In indirect analyses the likelihood of AF detection and anticoagulation initiation was higher for both ILR (RR=8.48, 95%CI: 3.41, 21.06; RR=3.29, 95%CI: 1.70-6.39) and external loop recorders (RR=3.06, 95%CI: 1.66, 5.61; RR=1.63, 95%CI: 1.03-2.58) compared to Holter devices. The probability of AF detection and anticoagulation initiation was lower for Holter and external loop recorders compared to ILR devices (RR=0.36, 95%CI: 0.15, 0.85 and RR=0.50, 95%CI: 0.25-0.98, respectively). No difference in the risk of stroke recurrence was found in the indirect comparisons of different cardiac rhythm monitoring strategies.

Conclusion: The likelihood of AF detection and anticoagulation initiation after an ischemic stroke or TIA is higher with ILRs compared to both external loop recorders and Holter devices.

How family history of premature myocardial infarction affects patients at cardiovascular risk

OBJECTIVE

Family history of premature myocardial infarction (FH-MI) increases the risk for coronary heart disease (CHD). Research has shown that this effect cannot be accounted for by increased genetic vulnerability alone. We tested the hypothesis that FH-MI is associated with psychological distress, which is known to increase CHD risk, and that this effect is sustained over years and mediated by personality traits and coping strategies.

METHOD

Levels of distress (i.e., exhaustion, depression, and anxiety) were compared between patients with versus without FH-MI and those with versus without own history of myocardial infarction (MI) from the large observational Diagnostic trial on Prevalence and Clinical Course of Diastolic Dysfunction and Heart Failure (DIAST-CHF) study of patients with cardiovascular risk factors or manifest heart disease (N = 1,470).

RESULTS

FH-MI was associated with a range of personality traits and coping strategies and independently predicted psychological distress, whereas own MI did not. In mediation analysis, we found that sociotropy and avoidant coping serially mediated significant portions of the effect of FH-MI on distress. Proportions of explained variance ranged from R2 = .11 for depressive symptoms to R2 = .25 for anxiety. Effects remained stable at 1-year follow-up. Several alternative hypotheses were tested and found to be less well supported by the data.

CONCLUSIONS

Participants with cardiovascular risk factors and FH-MI report increased distress, even years after the event, which might be one component leading to their increased CHD risk. They should be offered support for dealing with distress and life events recurring on sociotropy and avoidant coping as important diathesis factors. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2021 APA, all rights reserved).

Long-Term Follow-up of Enhanced Holter-Electrocardiography Monitoring in Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background and Purpose

Prolonged electrocardiography (ECG)-monitoring in stroke patients improves the detection of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (pAF). However, most randomized studies only had short follow-up. We aimed to provide 3-year follow-up data for AF detection and stroke recurrence risk.

Methods

We randomized 402 patients aged ≥60 years with acute ischemic strokes without AF to either enhanced and prolonged monitoring (EPM; 3×10-day Holter-ECG-monitoring) or standard-of-care (≥24 hours ECG-monitoring). The endpoint of the current analysis was AF within 36 months analyzed by intention to treat. Long-term follow-up was performed for 36 months.

Results

Two hundred and seventy-four patients (80%) participated in the extended follow-up (median duration of follow-up was 36 months [interquartile range, 12 to 36]). During the first 6 months, more AF was documented in the EPM arm compared to the control arm (13.5% vs. 5.1%; 95% confidence interval, 2.9% to 14.4%; P=0.004). During months 6 to 36, AF was less detected in the EPM intervention arm than in the control arm (2.0% vs. 7.3%; 95% confidence interval, 0.7% to 9.9%; P=0.028). Overall, the detection rate of AF within 36 months was numerically higher within the EPM group (15.0% vs. 11.1%, P=0.30). Numerically less patients in the EPM arm had recurrent ischemic strokes (5.5% vs. 9.1%, P=0.18), transient ischemic attacks (3.0% vs. 4.5%, P=0.44) or died (4.5% vs. 6.6%, P=0.37).

Conclusions

Enhanced and prolonged ECG monitoring increased AF detection during the first six months, but there was significantly more clinical AF during months 6 to 36 observed in the usual-care arm. This suggests that EPM leads to an earlier detection of clinically relevant AF.

Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation Development in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source: An Analysis of the RE-SPECT ESUS Trial

BACKGROUND

A proportion of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source have silent atrial fibrillation (AF) or develop AF after the initial evaluation. Better understanding of the risk for development of AF is critical to implement optimal monitoring strategies with the goal of preventing recurrent stroke attributable to underlying AF. The RE-SPECT ESUS trial (Randomized, Double-Blind Evaluation in Secondary Stroke Prevention Comparing the Efficacy and Safety of the Oral Thrombin Inhibitor Dabigatran Etexilate Versus Acetylsalicylic Acid in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source) provides an opportunity to assess predictors for developing AF and associated recurrent stroke.

METHODS

RE-SPECT ESUS was a randomized, controlled trial (564 sites, 42 countries) assessing dabigatran versus aspirin for the prevention of recurrent stroke in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source. Of 5390 patients enrolled and followed for a median of 19 months, 403 (7.5%) were found to develop AF reported as an adverse event or using cardiac monitoring per standard clinical care. Univariable and multivariable regression analyses were performed to define predictors of AF.

RESULTS

In the multivariable model, older age (odds ratio for 10-year increase, 1.99 [95% CI, 1.78-2.23]; P<0.001), hypertension (odds ratio, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.03-1.79]; P=0.0304), diabetes (odds ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.56-0.96]; P=0.022), and body mass index (odds ratio for 5-U increase, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.16-1.43]; P<0.001) were independent predictors of AF during the study. In a sensitivity analysis restricted to 1117 patients with baseline NT-proBNP (N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide) measurements, only older age and higher NT-proBNP were significant independent predictors of AF. Performance of several published predictive models was assessed, including HAVOC (AF risk score based on hypertension, age ≥75 years, valvular heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, obesity, congestive heart failure, and coronary artery disease) and CHA₂DS₂-VASc (stroke risk score based on congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years [doubled], diabetes, previous stroke, transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism [doubled], vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and sex category [female]) scores, and higher scores were associated with higher rates of developing AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Besides age, the most important variable, several other factors, including hypertension, higher body mass index, and lack of diabetes, are independent predictors of AF after embolic stroke of undetermined source. When baseline NT-proBNP was available, only older age and elevation of this biomarker were predictive of subsequent AF. Understanding who is at higher risk of developing AF will assist in identifying patients who may benefit from more intense, long-term cardiac monitoring. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02239120.