Catheter ablation improves cardiovascular outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure: a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

Effect of early catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure

INTRODUCTION

According to current guidelines, pulmonary vein isolation as first-line therapy should be considered for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), however, optimal timing of the procedure is still unknown in patients with heart failure (HF). We aimed to evaluate the effect of early catheter ablation (CA) in patients with HF and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) below 50%.

METHODS

We analyzed data from a structured registry comprising 227 patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF and HF with LVEF < 50% who underwent radiofrequency CA between 2015 and 2022. Early CA was defined as a procedure performed within 12 months of AF diagnosis. The median follow-up duration was 1748 (1176.3-2353.5) days, with a minimum follow-up of 365 days. Our endpoints were AF recurrence after a 3-months blanking period and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Among the 227 patients with a median age of 64.3 years, 97 (42.7%) experienced AF recurrence and 55 (24.2%) died during the follow-up period. The median LVEF was 40% for early CA and 38% for delayed CA (p = .053). Early CA significantly reduced AF recurrence (HR = 0.25 [0.15-0.42], p < .001), however, the timing of procedure did not affect all-cause mortality (p = .16). These findings were consistent regardless of AF subtype or the burden of comorbidities, as assessed by the CHA2DS2-VASc score.

CONCLUSION

The timing of CA of AF appears to be an important factor in patients with HF. Early CA reduced AF recurrence, although it does not impact all-cause mortality. We found similar results regardless of AF subtype or burden of comorbidities.

Prognosis of patients in end-stage heart failure with atrial fibrillation treated with ablation: Insights from CASTLE-HTx

BACKGROUND

The CASTLE-HTx trial demonstrated the benefit of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation compared with medical therapy in decreasing mortality, need for left ventricular assist device implantation, or heart transplantation (HTx) in patients with end-stage heart failure (HF).

OBJECTIVE

This analysis aimed to identify risk factors related to adverse outcomes in patients with end-stage HF and to assess the impact of ablation.

METHODS

The CASTLE-HTx protocol randomized 194 patients with end-stage HF and AF to ablation vs medical therapy. We identified left ventricular ejection fraction <30%, New York Heart Association class ≥III, and AF burden >50% as predictors for the primary end point. The CASTLE-HTx risk score assigned weights to these risk factors. Patients with a risk score ≥3 were identified as high risk.

RESULTS

The patients were assigned to low-risk (89 [45.9%]) and high-risk (105 [54.1%]) groups. After a median follow-up of 18 months, a primary end point event occurred in 6 and 31 patients of the low- and high-risk groups (hazard ratio, 4.98; 95% confidence interval, 2.08-11.9). The incidence rate (IR) difference between ablation and medical therapy was much larger in high-risk patients (8/49 [IR, 11.4] vs 23/56 [IR, 36.1]) compared with low-risk patients (2/48 [IR, 2.6] vs 4/41 [IR, 6.3]). The IR difference for ablation was significantly higher in high-risk patients (24.69) compared with low-risk patients (3.70).

CONCLUSION

The absolute benefit of ablation is more pronounced in high-risk patients, but low-risk patients may also benefit. The CASTLE-HTx risk score identifies patients with end-stage HF who will particularly benefit from ablation.

High brain natriuretic peptide level is associated with severe stroke in patients taking oral anticoagulants: A sub-analysis of the PASTA registry study

BACKGROUND

Brain natriuretic peptides (BNP) are an important diagnostic and prognostic marker in patients with heart failure. However, the relationship between BNP levels and stroke severity in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unelucidated. In this study, we aimed to investigate the association between stroke severity at admission and BNP levels.

METHODS

In this prospective observational study, we used data from 513 patients with AF and acute ischemic stroke treated with oral anticoagulants (OAC) registered in the Multicenter Prospective Analysis of Stroke Patients Taking Oral Anticoagulants study. The patients were divided into two groups: high-BNP (≥200 pg/mL) and low-BNP level (<200 pg/mL) groups. We compared the clinical characteristics between the two groups and determined the effect of BNP levels on stroke severity on admission.

RESULTS

Among the 513 enrolled patients, 248 (females, n = 30; median age, 82 years) and 265 (females, n = 76; median age, 71 years) were assigned to the high- and low-BNP level groups, respectively. The high-BNP level group had a higher proportion of patients with severe stroke (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, ≥10) on admission (49.2% vs. 32.8%, p = 0.002) and major vessel occlusion (57.5% vs. 39.2%, p < 0.0001) than that had by the low-BNP level group. Multivariate analysis showed that high BNP level was independently associated with severe stroke on admission (odds ratio 1.07, 95% confidence interval 1.00-1.15; p = 0.0478).

CONCLUSIONS

High BNP level compared with low BNP level was associated with severe stroke and major vessel occlusion, even before OAC treatment.

Pre-procedural Stratification by the Endothelial Function in Patients with Heart Failure Undergoing Atrial Fibrillation Ablation

BACKGROUND

Endothelial dysfunction (ED), a well-established risk marker of cardiovascular events, is associated with heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF). Its relationship with cardiovascular events in patients with HF undergoing AF ablation remains unclear. We aimed to elucidate the association between ED and the outcomes after AF ablation in patients with HF.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included patients with HF who underwent an endothelial function assessment using the peripheral vascular reactive hyperemia index (RHI) before first-time AF ablation. We defined AF recurrence according to the following types: the conventional form (AF≥30 seconds) and persistent form (requiring cardioversion). An RHI<2.1 indicated ED. Those with and without ED were compared in terms of the 3-year incidence of AF recurrence and cardiovascular events after AF ablation.

RESULTS

Among 421 patients with HF (69 ± 9 years and 38% females), 343 (81.5%) had ED. Although the incidence of the conventional form of AF recurrence was similar between the groups, that of the persistent form was significantly higher in the ED group (25.7% vs. 15.3%, log-rank P = 0.028). The ED group also had a significantly higher rate of cardiovascular events (14.8% vs. 3.6%, log-rank P = 0.028). Pre-procedural ED was identified as an independent predictor of a persistent form of AF recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.31, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-5.07, P = 0.037) and that of cardiovascular events (adjusted HR 4.21, 95% CI 1.02-17.5, P = 0.048), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The endothelial function assessment enabled the risk stratification of clinically problematic outcomes after AF ablation in patients with HF.

The Danish Atrial Fibrillation Registry: A Multidisciplinary National Pragmatic Initiative for Monitoring and Supporting Quality of Care Based on Data Retrieved from Administrative Registries

Aim

The Danish Atrial Fibrillation (AF) Registry monitors and supports improvement of quality of care for all AF patients in Denmark. This report describes the registry's administrative and organizational structure, data sources, data flow, data analyses, annual reporting, and feedback between the registry, clinicians, and the administrative system. We also report the selection process of the quality indicators and the temporal trends in results from 2017-2021.

Methods and Results

The Danish AF Registry aims for complete registration and monitoring of care for all patients diagnosed with AF in Denmark. Administrative registries provide data on contacts to general practice, contacts to private cardiology practice, hospital contacts, medication prescriptions, updated vital status information, and biochemical test results. The Danish Stroke Registry provides information on stroke events. From 2017 to 2021, the proportion with a reported echocardiography among incident AF patients increased from 39.9% (95% CI: 39.3-40.6) to 82.6% (95% CI: 82.1-83.1). The initiation of oral anticoagulant therapy among patients with incident AF and a CHA2DS2-VASc score of ≥1 in men and ≥2 in women increased from 85.3% (95% CI: 84.6-85.9) to 90.4% (95% CI: 89.9-91.0). The 1-year and 2-year persistence increased from 85.2% (95% CI: 84.5-85.9) to 88.7% (95% CI: 88.0-89.3), and from 85.4% (95% CI: 84.7-86.2) to 88.2% (95% CI: 87.5-88.8), respectively. The 1-year risk of ischemic stroke among prevalent patients with AF decreased from 0.88% (95% CI: 0.83-0.93) to 0.71% (95% CI: 0.66-0.75). Variation in clinical performance between the five administrative Danish regions was reduced.

Conclusion

Continuous nationwide monitoring of quality indicators for AF originating from administrative registries is feasible and supportive of improvements of quality of care.

Catheter Ablation for Ventricular Tachycardia After MI: A Reconstructed Individual Patient Data Meta-analysis of Randomised Controlled Trials

Background

The prognostic impact of ventricular tachycardia (VT) catheter ablation is an important outstanding research question. We undertook a reconstructed individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials comparing ablation to medical therapy in patients developing VT after MI.

Methods

We systematically identified all trials comparing catheter ablation to medical therapy in patients with VT and prior MI. The prespecified primary endpoint was reconstructed individual patient assessment of all-cause mortality. Prespecified secondary endpoints included trial-level assessment of all-cause mortality, VT recurrence or defibrillator shocks and all-cause hospitalisations. Prespecified subgroup analysis was performed for ablation approaches involving only substrate modification without VT activation mapping. Sensitivity analyses were performed depending on the proportion of patients with prior MI included.

Results

Eight trials, recruiting a total of 874 patients, were included. Of these 874 patients, 430 were randomised to catheter ablation and 444 were randomised to medical therapy. Catheter ablation reduced all-cause mortality compared with medical therapy when synthesising individual patient data (HR 0.63; 95% CI [0.41-0.96]; p=0.03), but not in trial-level analysis (RR 0.91; 95% CI [0.67-1.23]; p=0.53; I2=0%). Catheter ablation significantly reduced VT recurrence, defibrillator shocks and hospitalisations compared with medical therapy. Sensitivity analyses were consistent with the primary analyses.

Conclusion

In patients with postinfarct VT, catheter ablation reduces mortality.

Benefit of Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation in Heart Failure Patients with Different Etiologies

(1) Background: A plethora of studies have elucidated the safety and efficacy of catheter ablation (CA) for patients afflicted with atrial fibrillation (AF) and concomitant reduction in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Nevertheless, the literature on the benefits of CA in the specific etiological context of heart failure (HF) remains limited. This study delineates a comparative assessment of outcomes for patients with AF and reduced LVEF across the primary etiologies. (2) Methods: Our inquiry encompassed 216 patients diagnosed with congestive heart failure and an LVEF of less than 50 percent who were referred to our institution for circumferential pulmonary vein isolation (CPVI) between the years 2016 and 2020. The selection criteria included a detailed medical history while excluding those suffering from valvular disease, congenital heart disease, and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. In an effort to scrutinize varying etiologies, patients were stratified into three categories: dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM, n = 56, 30.6%), ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM, n = 68, 37.2%), and tachycardia-induced cardiomyopathy (TIC, n = 59, 32.2%). (3) Results: Following an average (±SD) duration of 36 ± 3 months, the prevalence of sinus rhythm was 52.1% in the DCM group, 50.0% in the ICM group, and 68.14% in the TIC group (p = 0.014). This study revealed a significant disparity between the DCM and TIC groups (p = 0.021) and the ICM and TIC groups (p = 0.007), yet no significant distinction was discerned between the TIC and ICM groups (p = 0.769). Importantly, there were no significant variations in the application of antiarrhythmic drugs or recurrence of procedures among the three groups. The mortality rates were 14.29% for the DCM group and 14.71% for the ICM group, which were higher than the 3.39% observed in the TIC group (DCM vs. TIC p = 0.035 (HR = 4.50 (95%CI 1.38-14.67)), ICM vs. TIC p = 0.021 (HR = 5.00 (95%CI 1.61-15.50))). A noteworthy enhancement in heart function was evidenced in the TIC group in comparison to the DCM and ICM groups, including a higher LVEF (p < 0.001), diminution of LV end-diastolic diameter (p < 0.001), and an enhanced New York Heart Association classification (p = 0.005). Hospitalization rates for heart failure were discernibly lower in TIC patients (0.98 (0,2) times) relative to those with DCM (1.74 (0,3) times, p < 0.01) and TIC (1.78 (0,4) times, p < 0.001). Patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation and brief episodes were found to achieve superior clinical outcomes through a catheter ablation strategy. (4) Conclusion: Patients diagnosed with TIC demonstrated a more pronounced benefit from catheter ablation compared to those with DCM and ICM. This encompassed an augmented improvement in cardiac function, an enhanced maintenance of sinus rhythm, and a reduced mortality rate.

Left ventricular functional recovery after atrial fibrillation catheter ablation in heart failure: a prediction model

AIMS

Management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and concomitant heart failure (HF) remains complex. The Antwerp score, based on four parameters [QRS >120 ms (2 points), known aetiology (2 points), paroxysmal AF (1 point), severe atrial dilation (1 point)] adequately estimated the probability of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) recovery after AF ablation in a single-centre cohort. The present study aims to externally validate this prediction model in a large European multi-centre cohort.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 605 patients (61.1 ± 9.4 years, 23.8% females, 79.8% with persistent AF) with HF and impaired LVEF (<50%) undergoing AF ablation in 8 European centres were retrospectively identified. According to the LVEF changes at 12-month echocardiography, 427 (70%) patients fulfilled the '2021 Universal Definition of HF' criteria for LVEF recovery and were defined as 'responders'. External validation of the score yielded good discrimination and calibration {area under the curve 0.86 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82-0.89], P < .001; Hosmer-Lemeshow P = .29}. Patients with a score < 2 had a 93% probability of LVEF recovery as opposed to only 24% in patients with a score > 3. Responders experienced more often positive ventricular remodelling [odds ratio (OR) 8.91, 95% CI 4.45-17.84, P < .001], fewer HF hospitalizations (OR 0.09, 95% CI 0.05-0.18, P < .001) and lower mortality (OR 0.11, 95% CI 0.04-0.31, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

In this multi-centre study, a simple four-parameter score predicted LVEF recovery after AF ablation in patients with HF and discriminated clinical outcomes. These findings support the use of the Antwerp score to standardize shared decision-making regarding AF ablation referral in future clinical studies.

Atrial fibrillation: a contemporary update

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and imposes a significant healthcare burden. The landscape of AF has changed considerably over the past few years, with the advent of novel diagnostic approaches, advances in therapies and changing recommendations on best practice from the latest major trials. In this article, we review our evolving understanding of the natural history of AF and explore the contemporary landscape of its diagnosis and management.

Catheter ablation of malignant atrial fibrillation as palliative therapy for end-stage heart failure: A case report

Recent randomized controlled trials have demonstrated the superiority of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation to medical therapy in reducing mortality and morbidity in patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction, but patients with end-stage HF were often excluded. A 64-year-old man diagnosed with dilated cardiomyopathy was hospitalized due to worsening HF and incident AF. An echocardiographic examination revealed the left ventricular end-diastolic diameter of 90 mm and left ventricular ejection fraction of 12 %. Cardioversion was performed to restore sinus rhythm, but intermittent transitions to AF caused the patient hemodynamic instability and mental distress. We carefully performed AF ablation, and sinus rhythm was maintained thereafter. After cardiac rehabilitation, he was successfully discharged home. However, he was re-hospitalized due to worsening HF 6 months post-AF ablation, and he eventually passed away. While AF ablation cannot prevent the progression of inherent cardiomyopathy, it can improve the quality of life even for patients with end-stage HF. However, the effect was temporary and considered a palliative treatment. This case highlights the potential benefits and limitations of AF ablation in end-stage HF patients and the need for further research to establish the optimal treatment for this population.

Learning objective

Atrial fibrillation ablation can restore sinus rhythm and improve the quality of life even in some patients with end-stage heart failure (HF). However, it cannot prevent the progression of inherent cardiomyopathy. In the era of interventional HF therapy, catheter ablation may have a palliative role in reducing patient distress caused by life-threatening arrhythmias in patients with end-stage HF.

Efficacy of ablation therapy on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Optimal treatment regimen for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. Therefore, the authors sought to compare the outcomes of ablation therapy versus pharmacological regimens in patients with AF.

Methods

MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Central databases were searched for randomized controlled trials and observational studies comparing clinical outcomes between of ablation and pharmacological therapy in patients with AF. Stroke, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular hospitalization, heart failure (HF), and bleeding were among outcomes of interest. Mantel-Haenszel weighted random-effects model was used to calculate relative risks (RRs) with 95 % CIs.

Results

The analysis included ~200 000 patients from 4 randomized controlled trials and 7 observational studies. Meta-analysis showed statistically significant reduction in stroke among patients on ablation therapy [hazard ratio (HR) 0.51, 95% CI (0.43, 0.60), P<0.00001, I2=10%], all-cause mortality [HR 0.64, 95% CI (0.45, 0.93), P=0.02, I2=58%], cardiovascular mortality [HR 0.35, 95% CI (0.25, 0.50), P<0.0001, I2=0%], and HF [HR 0.40, 95% CI (0.31, 0.53), P<0.00001, I2=30%]. However, no significant difference was revealed in the risk of cardiovascular hospitalization [HR 1.04, 95% CI (0.88, 1.23), P=0.66, I2=89%] and bleeding [HR 1.11, 95% CI (0.97, 1.27), P=0.13, I2=0%].

Conclusion

Ablation significantly reduces the risk of stroke, cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, and HF in AF patients, compared with medical therapy alone, supporting its use in clinical practice.

Managing arrhythmia in cardiac resynchronisation therapy

Arrhythmia is an extremely common finding in patients receiving cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT). Despite this, in the majority of randomised trials testing CRT efficacy, patients with a recent history of arrhythmia were excluded. Most of our knowledge into the management of arrhythmia in CRT is therefore based on arrhythmia trials in the heart failure (HF) population, rather than from trials dedicated to the CRT population. However, unique to CRT patients is the aim to reach as close to 100% biventricular pacing (BVP) as possible, with HF outcomes greatly influenced by relatively small changes in pacing percentage. Thus, in comparison to the average HF patient, there is an even greater incentive for controlling arrhythmia, to achieve minimal interference with the effective delivery of BVP. In this review, we examine both atrial and ventricular arrhythmias, addressing their impact on CRT, and discuss the available evidence regarding optimal arrhythmia management in this patient group. We review pharmacological and procedural-based approaches, and lastly explore novel ways of harnessing device data to guide treatment of arrhythmia in CRT.

How to Improve Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Tachycardia-Induced Cardiomyopathy. Comment on Katz et al. Long-Term Outcomes of Tachycardia-Induced Cardiomyopathy Compared with Idiopathic Dilated Cardiomyopathy. J. Clin. Med. 2023, 12, 1412

The clinical course of tachycardia-induced cardiomyopathy (TICM) has not yet been well studied thus far [...].

Low atrial natriuretic peptide to brain natriuretic peptide ratio is associated with left atrial remodeling

AIMS

Atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) deficiency is thought to be one of the causes of heart failure induced by atrial fibrillation (AF). Although ANP deficiency is thought to occur as a result of atrial remodeling, data to explain this mechanism are limited. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between ANP and left atrial remodeling or prognosis of heart failure in patients with AF ablation.

METHODS

In total, 373 consecutive patients who underwent initial ablation for persistent AF [age, 67 ± 10 years; female, 97 (26%)] were retrospectively enrolled. ANP and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) were measured before the procedure and the ANP/BNP ratio was calculated. Left atrial volume index, left atrial appendage emptying velocity, and left atrial low-voltage areas (LVAs) were used as left atrial-remodeling parameters. The primary outcome of heart failure was defined as the composite of all-cause death or hospitalization due to worsening heart failure.

RESULTS

The median ANP level was 116 (71-178) pg/ml and the median ANP/BNP ratio was 0.65 (0.46-1.00). The ANP/BNP ratio decreased with increasing left atrial volume index or LVAs and with decreasing left atrial appendage emptying velocity. During the 5-year follow-up, freedom from the primary outcome was significantly lower in patients with ANP/BNP ratio ≤0.65 than in those with ANP/BNP ratio >0.65 (84.6% versus 95.6%, P  < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Secretion of ANP relative to BNP decreased with progression of left atrial remodeling in patients with AF ablation. Furthermore, prognosis of heart failure was poor in patients with a low ANP/BNP ratio.

Very-early symptomatic recurrence is associated with late recurrence after radiofrequency ablation of atrial fibrillation

AIMS

After radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) of atrial fibrillation (AF), the effect of very-early (within 48 h) symptomatic recurrence (VESR) on late (after 3 months of RFCA) recurrence (LR) has been seldomly reported. We aimed to explore the relationship between VESR and LR among post-RFCA patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This was a single-centre prospective cohort study that enrolled 6887 AF patients who received the first RFCA procedure from June 2018 to December 2021 at Beijing Anzhen Hospital. Patients were divided into four groups based on VESR and early (from 48 h to 3 months after RFCA) recurrence (ER): Group A (no VESR, no ER); Group B (VESR but no ER); Group C (ER but no VESR); and Group D (both VESR and ER). Three hundred and thirty (4.79%) patients experienced VESR (Groups B and D). With an average follow-up of 14.7 months after grouping, the Kaplan-Meier curve showed that LR risk in VESR patients was higher than in other patients (log-rank, P < 0.001), and the difference was significant in both paroxysmal (log-rank, P < 0.001) and persistent (log-rank, P < 0.001) AF patients (P for interaction = 0.118). In multivariate analysis, Groups B, C, and D were associated with a 2.161-, 5.409-, and 7.401-fold increase in the risk of LR, respectively. What is more, compared with Group A, VESR-atrial tachycardia and VESR-AF were related to a 3.467- and 5.564-fold LR risk, respectively. In VESR patients, classification based on ER and VESR modes improved the prediction potential of LR risk.

CONCLUSION

Very-early symptomatic recurrence is associated with an increased risk of LR.

Do Elderly Patients with Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction Benefit from Pharmacological Strategies for Prevention of Arrhythmic Events?

BACKGROUND

Heart failure is associated with aging. It is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in Western countries and constitutes the main cause of hospitalization among elderly patients. The pharmacological therapy of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) has greatly improved during the last years. However, elderly patients less frequently receive recommended medical treatment.

SUMMARY

The quadruple therapy (sacubitril/valsartan, beta-blockers, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors) is nowadays the cornerstone of medical treatment since it associates lower risk of heart failure hospitalizations and mortality (also of arrhythmic origin). Cardiac arrhythmias, including sudden cardiac death, are common in patients with HFrEF, entailing worse prognosis. Previous studies addressing the role of blocking the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system and beta-adrenergic receptors in HFrEF have suggested different beneficial effects on arrhythmia mechanisms. Therefore, the lower mortality associated with the use of the four pillars of HFrEF therapy depends, in part, on lower sudden (mostly arrhythmic) cardiac death.

KEY MESSAGES

In this review, we highlight and assess the role of the four pharmacological groups that constitute the central axis of the medical treatment of patients with HFrEF in clinical prognosis and prevention of arrhythmic events, with special focus on the elderly patient, since evidence supports that most benefits provided are irrespective of age, but elderly patients receive less often guideline-recommended medical treatment.

Atrial fibrillation in heart failure: drugs or ablation?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) frequently coexist and mutually exert negative influences with important clinical implications. Although there is evidence that restoring and maintaining sinus rhythm may have favourable clinical effects in patients with HF, there is no evidence of a survival benefit with pharmacological antiarrhythmic intervention compared with a heart rate control strategy. In these patients, transcatheter ablation (CA) of AF represents a procedure with an excellent safety profile in centres with expertise and a high volume of interventions. However, in the absence of definite evidence of benefit on major clinical end-points that can be generalized to the heterogeneous population with AF and HF, the option of CA should be discussed and shared with the patient, and mainly considered in patients with conditions that are associated with a greater prospect of clinical benefit, such as 'young' age (65-70 years), good health conditions and few or no comorbidities, recent onset of HF and AF (especially if with high heart rate), left atrial volume not excessively compromised (<55 mm in diameter), and without evidence of substantial fibrotic remodelling, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >25%, including HF with preserved EF (HFpEF).

Catheter ablation improved ejection fraction in persistent AF patients: a DECAAF-II sub analysis

AIMS

The aim of our study was to assess differences in post-ablation atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence and burden and to quantify the change in LVEF across different congestive heart failure (CHF) subcategories of the DECAAF-II population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Differences in the primary outcome of AF recurrence between CHF and non-CHF groups was calculated. The same analysis was performed for the three subgroups of CHF and the non-CHF group. Differences in AF burden after the 3-month blanking period between CHF and non-CHF groups was calculated. Improvement in LVEF was calculated and compared across the three CHF groups. Improvement was also calculated across different fibrosis stages. There was no significant differences in AF recurrence and AF burden after catheter ablation between CHF and non-CHF patients and between different CHF subcategories. Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) experienced the greatest improvement in EF following catheter ablation (CA, 16.66% ± 11.98, P < 0.001) compared to heart failure with moderately reduced LVEF, and heart failure with preserved EF (10.74% ± 8.34 and 2.00 ± 8.34 respectively, P-value < 0.001). Moreover, improvement in LVEF was independent of the four stages of atrial fibrosis (7.71 vs. 9.53 vs. 5.72 vs. 15.88, from Stage I to Stage IV respectively, P = 0.115).

CONCLUSION

Atrial fibrillation burden and recurrence after CA is similar between non-CHF and CHF patients, independent of the type of CHF. Of all CHF groups, those with HFrEF had the largest improvement in LVEF after CA. Moreover, the improvement in ventricular function seems to be independent of atrial fibrosis in patients with persistent AF.

Development and validation of prediction models for incident atrial fibrillation in heart failure

OBJECTIVES

Accurate prediction of heart failure (HF) patients at high risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) represents a potentially valuable tool to inform shared decision making. No validated prediction model for AF in HF is currently available. The objective was to develop clinical prediction models for 1-year risk of AF.

METHODS

Using the Danish Heart Failure Registry, we conducted a nationwide registry-based cohort study of all incident HF patients diagnosed from 2008 to 2018 and without history of AF. Administrative data sources provided the predictors. We used a cause-specific Cox regression model framework to predict 1-year risk of AF. Internal validity was examined using temporal validation.

RESULTS

The population included 27 947 HF patients (mean age 69 years; 34% female). Clinical experts preselected sex, age at HF, NewYork Heart Association (NYHA) class, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, obstructive sleep apnoea, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and myocardial infarction. Among patients aged 70 years at HF, the predicted 1-year risk was 9.3% (95% CI 7.1% to 11.8%) for males and 6.4% (95% CI 4.9% to 8.3%) for females given all risk factors and NYHA III/IV, and 7.5% (95% CI 6.7% to 8.4%) and 5.1% (95% CI 4.5% to 5.8%), respectively, given absence of risk factors and NYHA class I. The area under the curve was 65.7% (95% CI 63.9% to 67.5%) and Brier score 7.0% (95% CI 5.2% to 8.9%).

CONCLUSION

We developed a prediction model for the 1-year risk of AF. Application of the model in routine clinical settings is necessary to determine the possibility of predicting AF risk among patients with HF more accurately and if so, to quantify the clinical effects of implementing the model in practice.