Heart rate turbulence predicts ICD-resistant mortality in ischaemic heart disease

Altered Heart Rate Turbulence and Variability Parameters Predict 1-Year Mortality in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

Background: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a complex and heterogeneous clinical syndrome. In the absence of effective and potent treatment strategies, the main challenge in HFpEF management remains the availability of strong predictors of unfavourable outcomes. In our study, we sought to evaluate the potential prognostic value of heart rate turbulence (HRT) and variability (HRV) parameters on mortality in ambulatory HFpEF patients. Methods: This was a case–control study comparing HRT and HRV parameters in HFpEF survivors vs. non-survivors. Patients from the RESPOND Heart Failure Registry with HFpEF who underwent 24 h ECG monitoring (Holter) were included; HRT parameters (i.e., turbulence onset (TO) and turbulence slope (TS)) and HRV parameters (i.e., standard deviation of NN intervals (SDNN)) derived from 24 h Holter ECGs were calculated in patients who died within 12 months, and compared to their age-, gender-, LVEF-, ECHO-, aetiology-, and therapy-matched alive controls. Results: A total of 22 patients (mean age 80 ± 7 years, 18% female, mean LVEF 57 ± 9%) were included in the final analysis. In deceased patients, values of TO were significantly higher, and values of TS and SDNN were significantly lower as compared to survivors. Conclusions: HRT and HRV parameters have the ability to differentiate individuals with HFpEF who are at the greatest risk of unfavourable outcomes. The extent of autonomic disbalance as determined by HRT and HRV could potentially assist in the prognostic assessment and risk stratification of HFpEF patients.

Association between circadian variation of heart rate and mortality among critically ill patients: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Heart rate (HR) related parameters, such as HR variability, HR turbulence, resting HR, and nighttime mean HR have been recognized as independent predictors of mortality. However, the influence of circadian changes in HR on mortality remains unclear in intensive care units (ICU). The study is designed to evaluate the relationship between the circadian variation in HR and mortality risk among critically ill patients.

Methods

The present study included 4,760 patients extracted from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care II database. The nighttime mean HR/daytime mean HR ratio was adopted as the circadian variation in HR. According to the median value of the circadian variation in HR, participants were divided into two groups: group A (≤ 1) and group B (> 1). The outcomes included ICU, hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortalities. The prognostic value of HR circadian variation was investigated by multivariable logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

Patients in group B (n = 2,471) had higher mortality than those in group A (n = 2,289). Multivariable models revealed that the higher circadian variation in HR was associated with ICU mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.393; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.112–1.745; P = 0.004), hospital mortality (OR, 1.393; 95% CI, 1.112–1.745; P = 0.004), 30-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.260; 95% CI, 1.064–1.491; P = 0.007), and 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 1.207; 95% CI, 1.057–1.378; P = 0.005), especially in patients with higher SOFA scores.

Conclusions

The circadian variation in HR might aid in the early identification of critically ill patients at high risk of associated with ICU, hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortalities.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12871-022-01586-9.

HRT assessment reviewed: a systematic review of heart rate turbulence methodology

Heart rate turbulence (HRT) is a biphasic reaction to a ventricular premature contraction (VPC) mainly mediated by the baroreflex. It can be used for risk stratification in different disease patterns. Despite existing standards there is a lot of variation in terms of measuring and calculating HRT, which complicates research and application.

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review outlines and evaluates the methodological spectrum of HRT research, especially filtering criteria, parameter calculation and thresholds.

APPROACH

The analysis includes all research papers written in English that have been published before 12.10.2018, are listed on PubMed and involve calculation of HRT parameter values.

MAIN RESULTS

HRT assessment is still being performed in various ways and important specifications of the methodology are not given in many articles. Nevertheless, some suggestions regarding HRT methodology can be made: a normalised turbulence slope should be used to uncouple the parameter from heart rate and frequency of extrasystoles. Filtering criteria as formerly reviewed in the guidelines should be met and mentioned. The minimal number of VPC snippets (VPCSs) as well as new cut-off values for different risks need to be further evaluated. Most importantly, the exact and complete methodology must be described to ensure reproducibility and comparability.

SIGNIFICANCE

Methodical variation hinders comparability of research and medical application. Our continuing questions help to further standardise the measurement and calculation of HRT and increase its value for medical risk stratification.

The risk and prevention of sudden death in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Patients with heart failure are at increased risk of sudden cardiac death. The methods to predict patients at high risk of sudden cardiac death in heart failure are neither sensitive nor specific; both overestimating risk in those with ejection fractions less than 35% and not identifying those at risk with ejection fractions greater than 35%.

RECENT FINDINGS

The absolute risk of sudden cardiac death in patients with heart failure have decreased over the past 20 years. New novel tools are being developed and tested to identify those at higher risk of sudden cardiac death. Reduction in the risk of sudden cardiac death has been achieved with the use of beta-blockers, spironolactone, sacubitril-valsartan, cardiac resynchronization and implantable cardioverter defibrillators.

SUMMARY

The use of contemporary treatments for patients with heart failure can reduce the risk of sudden cardiac death, but research is required to identify those at highest risk.

Sudden cardiac death and pump failure death prediction in chronic heart failure by combining ECG and clinical markers in an integrated risk model

Background

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) and pump failure death (PFD) are common endpoints in chronic heart failure (CHF) patients, but prevention strategies are different. Currently used tools to specifically predict these endpoints are limited. We developed risk models to specifically assess SCD and PFD risk in CHF by combining ECG markers and clinical variables.

Methods

The relation of clinical and ECG markers with SCD and PFD risk was assessed in 597 patients enrolled in the MUSIC (MUerte Súbita en Insuficiencia Cardiaca) study. ECG indices included: turbulence slope (TS), reflecting autonomic dysfunction; T-wave alternans (TWA), reflecting ventricular repolarization instability; and T-peak-to-end restitution (Δα^Tpe) and T-wave morphology restitution (TMR), both reflecting changes in dispersion of repolarization due to heart rate changes. Standard clinical indices were also included.

Results

The indices with the greatest SCD prognostic impact were gender, New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, left ventricular ejection fraction, TWA, Δα^Tpe and TMR. For PFD, the indices were diabetes, NYHA class, Δα^Tpe and TS. Using a model with only clinical variables, the hazard ratios (HRs) for SCD and PFD for patients in the high-risk group (fifth quintile of risk score) with respect to patients in the low-risk group (first and second quintiles of risk score) were both greater than 4. HRs for SCD and PFD increased to 9 and 11 when using a model including only ECG markers, and to 14 and 13, when combining clinical and ECG markers.

Conclusion

The inclusion of ECG markers capturing complementary pro-arrhythmic and pump failure mechanisms into risk models based only on standard clinical variables substantially improves prediction of SCD and PFD in CHF patients.

Introducing ICD-resistant mortality as an end point to evaluate the clinical efficacy of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator in ischaemic cardiomyopathy

OBJECTIVE

A new end point called ICD-resistant mortality was evaluated to assess the clinical efficacy of ICD implantations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In 302 ICD patients with ischaemic cardiomyopathy, we investigated which clinical parameters predicted useful ICD implantations using cumulative incidence competing risk analysis. Implantation was deemed clinically useful when the ICD provided appropriate therapy and the patient survived implantation by 1 year and the first shock by 30 days. ICD-resistant mortality (ICDRM) was defined as death within 30 days after the first shock, within 1 year of implantation or without previous appropriate ICD therapy. After 5 years, ICDRM occurred in 23% of implantations, while 36% were clinically useful. After multivariable analysis, ICDRM was associated with LVEF <35% (HR: 2.63; p = .005), beta-blocker dose <50% (HR: 2.0; p = .01) and anterior or diffuse infarct location (HR: 3.61; p = .001 and HR: 2.89; p = .02). Useful ICD implantations were associated with beta-blocker dose <50% (HR: 1.64; p = .02) and non-anterior infarct location (HR: 3.22 vs anterior and 1.59 vs diffuse; combined p<.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Five years after implantation, an ICD could be classified as useful in 1 out of 3, while ICDRM occurred in one out of four patients. At 10 years, up to 80% of implantations could be categorized. Lower LVEF was related with significantly higher incidence of ICDRM. Anterior infarcts were associated with more ICDRM and less useful implantations than non-anterior infarcts. Future risk stratification for ICD should focus more on the discrimination between arrhythmic risk, probably preventable by ICDs and ICD-resistant mortality risk.

Determinants of heart rate turbulence in individuals without apparent heart disease and in patients with stable coronary artery disease

AIMS

To assess the characteristics and determinants of heart rate turbulence (HRT) in individuals without any apparent heart disease and in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Heart rate turbulence parameters, turbulence onset (TO), and turbulence slope (TS) were calculated on 24 h electrocardiogram recordings in 209 individuals without any heart disease (group 1) and in 157 CAD patients (group 2). In group 1, only age independently predicted abnormal TO (≥0%) [odds ratio (OR), 1.05; P<0.001], while predictors of abnormal TS (≤2.5 ms/RR) were age (OR, 0.85; P < 0.001) and hypertension (OR, 0.19; P = 0.028). In group 2 patients, only age independently predicted TO (OR, 1.03; P = 0.038), while age (OR, 0.90; P = 0.001) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF; OR, 1.07; P = 0.008) predicted TS. Heart rate turbulence values were different in groups 1 and 2. Turbulence onset was (mean, standard deviation) -1.80 ± 2.24 vs. -0.73 ± 1.61%, respectively (P < 0.001), whereas TS was (median, interquartile interval) 5.83 (3.25-10.55) vs. 2.93 (1.73-5.81) ms/RR, respectively (P < 0.001). Coronary artery disease group, however, did not predict abnormal HRT parameters in multivariable analyses, both in the whole population and when comparing two subgroups matched for age and gender. Age and (for TS) LVEF, indeed, were the only independent predictors of abnormal HRT.

CONCLUSIONS

Age is a major HRT determinant both in subjects without any apparent heart disease and in stable CAD patients. Hypertension and LVEF contribute independently to HRT in these two groups, respectively. Coronary artery disease group was not by itself associated with abnormal HRT parameters in multivariable analyses.