Combining standard clinical blood values for improving survival prediction in patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases-development and validation of the LabBM score

A new updated prognostic index for patients with brain metastases (BMs) treated with palliative whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) in the era of precision oncology. METASNCore project

INTRODUCTION

Palliative WBRT is the main treatment for multiple BMs. Recent studies report no benefit in survival after WBRT compared to palliative supportive care in patients (pts) with poor prognosis. A new era of systemic treatment strategies based on targeted therapies are improving the prognosis of patients with BMs. The purpose of this study is to develop a prognostic score in palliative pts with BMs who undergo WBRT in this new setting.

METHODS

239 pts with BMs who received palliative WBRT between 2013-2022 in our center were analyzed retrospectively. The score was designed according to the value of the β coefficient of each variable with statistical significance in the multivariate model using Cox regression. Once the score was established, a comparison was performed according to Kaplan-Meier and was analyzed by log-rank test.

RESULTS

149 pts (62.3%) were male and median (m) age was 60 years. 139 (58,2%) were lung cancer and 35 (14,6%) breast cancer. All patients received 30Gys in 10 sessions. m overall survival (OS) was 3,74 months (ms). 37 pts (15,5%) had a specific target mutation. We found that 62 pts were in group < 4 points with mOS 6,89 ms (CI 95% 3,18-10,62), 84 in group 4-7 points with mOS 4,01 ms (CI 95% 3,40-4,62) and 92 pts in group > 7 points with mOS 2,72 ms (CI 95% 1,93-3,52) (p < 0,001).

CONCLUSIONS

METASNCore items are associated with OS and they could be useful to select palliative pts to receive WBRT. More studies are necessary to corroborate our findings.

Construction of brain metastasis prediction model in limited stage small cell lung cancer patients without prophylactic cranial irradiation

INTRODUCTION

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a highly aggressive lung cancer variant known for its elevated risk of brain metastases (BM). While earlier meta-analyses supported the use of prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) to reduce BM incidence and enhance overall survival, modern MRI capabilities raise questions about PCI's universal benefit for limited-stage SCLC (LS-SCLC) patients. As a response, we have created a predictive model for BM, aiming to identify low-risk individuals who may not require PCI.

METHODS

A total of 194 LS-SCLC patients without PCI treated between 2009 and 2021 were included. We conducted both univariate and multivariate analyses to pinpoint the factors associated with the development of BM. A nomogram for predicting the 2- and 3-year probabilities of BM was then constructed.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed several significant independent risk factors for the development of BM. These factors include TNM stage, the number of chemotherapy (ChT) cycles, Ki-67 expression level, pretreatment serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) levels, and haemoglobin (HGB) levels. These findings underscore their respective roles as independent predictors of BM. Based on the results of the final multivariable analysis, a nomogram model was created. In the training cohort, the nomogram yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.870 at 2 years and 0.828 at 3 years. In the validation cohort, the AUC values were 0.897 at 2 years and 0.789 at 3 years. The calibration curve demonstrated good agreement between the predicted and observed probabilities of BM.

CONCLUSIONS

A novel nomogram has been developed to forecast the likelihood of BM in patients diagnosed with LS-SCLC. This tool holds the potential to assist healthcare professionals in formulating more informed and tailored treatment plans.

How we treat octogenarians with brain metastases

Biologically younger, fully independent octogenarians are able to tolerate most oncological treatments. Increasing frailty results in decreasing eligibility for certain treatments, e.g., chemotherapy and surgery. Most brain metastases are not an isolated problem, but part of widespread cancer dissemination, often in combination with compromised performance status. Multidisciplinary assessment is key in this vulnerable patient population where age, frailty, comorbidity and even moderate additional deficits from brain metastases or their treatment may result in immobilization, hospitalization, need for nursing home care, termination of systemic anticancer treatment etc. Here, we provide examples of successful treatment (surgery, radiosurgery, systemic therapy) and best supportive care, and comment on the limitations of prognostic scores, which often were developed in all-comers rather than octogenarians. Despite selection bias in retrospective studies, survival after radiosurgery was more encouraging than after whole-brain radiotherapy. Prospective research with focus on octogenarians is warranted to optimize outcomes.

Development and validation of a nomogram for the prediction of brain metastases in small cell lung cancer

INTRODUCTION

The aim was to develop and validate a nomogram for the prediction of brain metastases (BM) in small cell lung cancer (SCLC), to explore the risk factors and assist clinical decision-making.

METHODS

We reviewed the clinical data of SCLC patients between 2015 and 2021. Patients between 2015 and 2019 were included to develop, whereas patients between 2020 and 2021 were used for external validation. Clinical indices were analysed by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression analyses. The final nomogram was constructed and validated by bootstrap resampling.

RESULTS

A total of 631 SCLC patients between 2015 and 2019 were included to construct model. Gender, T stage, N stage, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG), haemoglobin (HGB), the absolute value of lymphocyte (LYMPH #), platelet (PLT), retinol-binding protein (RBP), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) were identified as risk factors and included into the model. The C-indices were 0.830 and 0.788 in the internal validation by 1000 bootstrap resamples. The calibration plot revealed excellent agreement between the predicted and the actual probability. Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed better net benefits with a wider range of threshold probability (net clinical benefit was 1%-58%). The model was further externally validated in patients between 2020 and 2021 with a C-index of 0.818.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a nomogram to predict the risk of BM in SCLC patients, which could help clinicians to rationally schedule follow-ups and promptly implement interventions.

Palliative Radiotherapy for Non-metastatic Non-small-cell Lung Cancer: Impact of Blood Test Results on Survival

BACKGROUND/AIM

Non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) not amenable to curative treatment can be managed with palliative thoracic radiation or chemoradiation, however, with variable success. This study evaluated the prognostic impact of the LabBM score [serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), C-reactive protein, albumin, hemoglobin, platelets] in 56 patients who were scheduled to receive at least 10 fractions of 3 Gy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Uni- and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors for overall survival were employed in a retrospective single-institution study of stage II and III NSCLC.

RESULTS

The first multivariate analysis showed that hospitalization in the month before radiotherapy (p<0.001), concomitant chemoradiotherapy (p=0.03), and LabBM point sum (p=0.09) were the leading predictors of survival. A second model with individual blood tests rather than the sum score suggested that concomitant chemoradiotherapy (p=0.002), hemoglobin (p=0.01), LDH (p=0.04), and hospitalization before radiotherapy (p=0.08) played important roles. Surprisingly long survival was seen in patients without prior hospitalization who received concomitant chemoradiotherapy and had favorable LabBM score (0-1 points): median 24 months, 5-year rate 46%.

CONCLUSION

Blood biomarkers provide relevant prognostic information. The LabBM score has 1) previously been validated in patients with brain metastases and 2) demonstrated encouraging results in a cohort irradiated for different palliative non-brain indications, e.g., bone metastases. It might be helpful in predicting survival in patients with non-metastatic cancer, e.g., NSCLC stage II and III.

The emerging potential of quantitative MRI biomarkers for the early prediction of brain metastasis response after stereotactic radiosurgery: a scoping review

Background

At present, the simple prognostic models based on clinical information for predicting the treatment outcomes of brain metastases (BMs) are subjective and delayed. Thus, we performed this systematic review of multiple studies to assess the potential of quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) biomarkers for the early prediction of treatment outcomes of brain metastases with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS).

Methods

We systematically searched the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Science, and Clinical Trials.gov databases for articles published between February 1, 1991, and April 11, 2022, with no language restrictions. We included studies involving patients with BMs receiving SRS; the included patients were required to have definite pathology of a primary tumor and complete imaging data (pre- and post-SRS). We excluded the articles that included patients who had undergone previous surgery and those that did not include regular follow-up or corresponding MRI scans.

Results

We identified 2,162 studies, of which 26 were included in our analysis, involving a total of 1,362 participants. All 26 studies explored the relevant MRI parameters to predict the prognosis of patients with BMs who received SRS. The outcomes were generalized according to the relationships between the anatomical/morphological, microstructural, vascular, and metabolic changes and SRS. Generally, with traditional MRI, there are several quantitative prognostic models based on preradiosurgical radiomics that predict the outcome of SRS treatment in local BM control. With the implementation of advanced MRI, the relative apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), perfusion fraction (f), relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV), relative regional cerebral blood flow (rrCBF), interstitial fluid pressure (IFP), quadratic of time-dependent leakage (K_trans ²), extracellular extravascular volume (v_e), choline/creatine (Cho/Cr), nuclear Overhauser effect (NOE) peak, and intraextracellular water exchange rate constant (k_IE ) were confirmed to be indicative of the therapeutic effect of SRS for BMs.

Conclusions

Quantitative MRI biomarkers extracted from traditional or advanced MRI at different time points, which can represent the anatomical/morphological, microstructural, vascular, and metabolic changes, respectively, have been proposed as promising markers for the early prediction of SRS response in those with BMs. There are some limitations in this review, including the risk of selection bias, the limited number of study objects, the incomparability of the total data, and the subjectivity of the review process.

Personalized radiotherapy of brain metastases: survival prediction by means of dichotomized or differentiated blood test results?

Background and objectives

The validated LabBM score (laboratory parameters in patients with brain metastases) represents a widely applicable survival prediction model, which incorporates 5 blood test results (serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin, platelets and hemoglobin). All tests are classified as normal or abnormal, without accounting for the wide range of abnormality observed in practice. We tested the hypothesis that improved stratification might be possible, if more granular test results are employed.

Methods

Retrospective analysis of 198 patients managed with primary whole-brain radiotherapy in one of the institutions who validated the original LabBM score.

Results

For two blood tests (albumin, CRP), discrimination was best for the original dichotomized version (normal/abnormal). For two others (LDH, hemoglobin), a three-tiered classification was best. The number of patients with low platelet count was not large enough for detailed analyses. A modified LabBM score was developed, which separates the intermediate of originally 3 prognostic groups into 2 statistically significantly different strata, resulting in a 4-tiered score.

Conclusion

This initial proof-of-principle study suggests that granular blood test results might contribute to further improvement of the score, or alternatively development of a nomogram, if additional large-scale studies confirm the encouraging results of the present analysis.

Personalized treatment of brain metastases: Evolving survival prediction models may benefit from evaluation of serum tumor markers (narrative review)

Treatment of a limited number of brain metastases (oligometastases) might include complex and sometimes invasive approaches, e.g. neurosurgical resection followed by post-operative stereotactic radiotherapy, and thus, correct identification of patients who are appropriate candidates is crucial. Both, staging procedures that visualize the true number of metastastic lesions and prognostic assessments that identify patients with limited survival, who should be managed with less complex, palliative approaches, are necessary before proceeding with local treatment that aims at eradication of all oligometastases. Some of the prognostic models, e.g. the LabBM score (laboratory parameters in patients with brain metastases), include blood biomarkers believed to represent surrogate markers of disease extent. In a recent study, patients with oligometastases and a LabBM score of 0 (no abnormal biomarkers) had an actuarial 5-year survival rate of 27% after neurosurgical resection and 39% after stereotactic radiotherapy. Other studies have tied serum tumor markers such as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) to survival outcomes. Even if head-to-head comparisons and large-scale definitive analyses are lacking, the available data suggest that attempts to integrate tumor marker levels in blood biomarker-based survival prediction models are warranted.

External Validation of the Graded Prognostic Assessment in Patients with Brain Metastases from Small Cell Lung Cancer

BACKGROUND

Recently, graded prognostic assessment (GPA) for small cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients with brain metastases has been developed. This includes age, performance status, number of brain metastases and presence of extracranial metastases. The aim of the present study was to validate this four-tiered prognostic score in a European cohort of patients.

METHODS

The retrospective validation study included 180 patients from two centers in Germany and Norway.

RESULTS

Median survival from radiological diagnosis of brain metastases was 7 months. The GPA point sum as continuous variable (0-4 points) was significantly associated with survival (p < 0.001). However, no significant survival difference was observed between patients in the two strata with better survival (3.5-4 and 2.5-3 points, respectively). Long-term survival in the poor prognosis group (0-1 points) was better than expected.

CONCLUSION

This study supports the prognostic impact of all four parameters contributing to the GPA. The original way of grouping the parameters and breaking the final strata did not give optimal results in this cohort. Therefore, additional validation databases from different countries should be created and evaluated.

30-day mortality in patients treated for brain metastases: extracranial causes dominate

Background

Established prognostic models, such as the diagnosis-specific graded prognostic assessment, were not designed to specifically address very short survival. Therefore, a brain metastases-specific 30-day mortality model may be relevant. We hypothesized that in-depth evaluation of a carefully defined cohort with short survival, arbitrarily defined as a maximum of 3 months, may provide signals and insights, which facilitate the development of a 30-day mortality model.

Methods

Retrospective analysis (2011–2021) of patients treated for brain metastases with different approaches. Risk factors for 30-day mortality from radiosurgery or other primary treatment were evaluated.

Results

The cause of death was unrelated to brain metastases in 61%. Treatment-related death (grade 5 toxicity) did not occur. Completely unexpected death was not observed, e.g. accident, suicide or sudden cardiac death. Logistic regression analysis showed 9 factors associated with 30-day mortality (each assigned 3–6 points) and a point sum was calculated for each patient. The point sum ranged from 0 (no risk factors for death within 30 days present) to 30. The results can be grouped into 3 or 4 risk categories. Eighty-three percent of patients in the highest risk group (> 16 points) died within 30 days, and none survived for more than 2 months. However, many cases of 30-day mortality (more than half) occurred in intermediate risk categories.

Conclusion

Extracranial tumor progression was the prevailing cause of 30-day mortality and few, if any deaths could be considered relatively unexpected when looking at the complete oncological picture. We were able to develop a multifactorial prediction model. However, the model’s performance was not fully satisfactory and it is not routinely applicable at this point in time, because external validation is needed to confirm our hypothesis-generating findings.

Comprehensive summary and retrospective evaluation of prognostic scores for patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases treated with upfront radiosurgery in a modern patient collective

BACKGROUND

Numerous prognostic scores (PS) for patients with brain metastases (BM) have been developed. Recently, PS based on laboratory parameters were introduced to better predict overall survival (OS). A comprehensive comparison of the wide range of scores in a modern patient collective is still missing.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Twelve PS considering clinical parameters only at the time of BM diagnosis were calculated for 470 patients receiving upfront SRS between January 2014 and March 2020. In a subcohort of 310 patients where a full laboratory dataset was available five additional prognostic scores were compared. Restricted mean survival time (RMST), partial likelihood and c-index were calculated as metrics for performance evaluation. Univariable and multivariable analysis were used to identify prognostic factors for OS.

RESULTS

The median OS of the whole cohort was 15.8 months (95% C.I.: 13.4-20.1). All prognostic scores performed well in separating patients into different prognostic groups. RPA achieved the highest c-index, whereas GGS achieved highest partial likelihood with evaluation in the total cohort. With incorporation of the laboratory scores the recently suggested EC-GPA achieved highest c-index and highest partial likelihood. A prognostic score solely based on the assessment of performance status achieved considerable high performance as either 3- or 4-tiered score. Multivariable analysis revealed performance status, systemic disease status and laboratory parameters to be significantly associated with OS among variates included in prognostic scores.

CONCLUSION

Although recent PS incorporating laboratory parameters show convincing performance in predicting overall survival, older scores relying on clinical parameters only are still valid and appealing as they are easier to calculate, and as overall performance is almost equal. Moreover, a score just based on performance status is not significantly inferior and should at least be assessed for informed decision making.

Primary systemic therapy for patients with brain metastases from lung cancer ineligible for targeted agents

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to evaluate overall survival after systemic therapy, largely chemotherapy, in patients with small cell or non-small cell lung cancer and brain metastases. After completion of systemic therapy, some patients received planned brain irradiation, while others were followed.

Methods

Retrospective cohort study.

Results

Thirty-eight patients were included (28 small cell, 20 followed with imaging). Six of these 20 patients (30%) received delayed radiotherapy during follow-up. Planned radiotherapy (n = 18, intention-to-treat) was associated with longer survival from diagnosis of brain metastases, median 10.8 versus 6.1 months, p = 0.025. Delayed radiotherapy still resulted in numerically better survival than no radiotherapy at all (median 8.8 versus 5.3 months, not significant). If calculated from the start of delayed radiotherapy, median survival was only 2.7 months. In a multivariable analysis, both Karnofsky performance status ≥ 70 (p = 0.03) and planned radiotherapy (p = 0.05) were associated with better survival.

Conclusion

In patients ineligible for targeted agents, planned radiotherapy in a modern treatment setting was associated with longer survival compared to no radiotherapy. Timing and type of radiotherapy in such patients should be evaluated in prospective trials to identify patients who might not need planned radiotherapy.

The LabBM score is an excellent survival prediction tool in patients undergoing palliative radiotherapy

Background and aim

The prognostic assessment of patients referred for palliative radiotherapy can be conducted by site-specific scores. A quick assessment that would cover the whole spectrum could simplify the working day of clinicians who are not specialists for a particular disease site. This study evaluated a promising score, the LabBM (validated for brain metastases), in patients treated for other indications.

Materials and methods

The LabBM score was calculated in 375 patients by assigning 1 point each for C-reactive protein and lactate dehydrogenase above the upper limit of normal, and 0.5 points each for hemoglobin, platelets and albumin below the lower limit of normal. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed.

Results

Median overall survival gradually decreased with increasing point sum (range 25.1-1.1 months). When grouped according to the original three-tiered model, excellent discrimination was found. Patients with 0-1 points had a median survival of 15.7 months. Those with 1.5-2 points had a median survival of 5.8 months. Finally, those with 2.5-3.5 points had a median survival of 3.2 months (all p-values ≤ 0.001).

Conclusion

The LabBM score, which is derived from inexpensive blood tests and easy to use, stratified patients into three very distinct prognostic groups and deserves further validation.

Assessment of extracranial metastatic disease in patients with brain metastases: How much effort is needed in the context of evolving survival prediction models?

Survival prediction models may serve as decision-support tools for clinicians who have to assign the right treatment to each patient, in a manner whereby harmful over- or undertreatment is avoided as much as possible. Current models differ regarding their components, the overall number of components and the weighting of individual components. Some of the components are easy to assess, such as age or primary tumor type. Others carry the risk of inter-assessor inconsistency and time-dependent variation. The present publication focuses on issues related to assessment of extracranial metastases and potential surrogates, e.g. blood biomarkers. It identifies areas of controversy and provides recommendations for future research projects, which may contribute to prognostic models with improved accuracy.

Recursive Partitioning Analysis of Systemic Therapy after Radiotherapy in Patients with Brain Metastases

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to identify factors associated with the initiation or continuation of systemic treatment after brain irradiation. The outcome of interest was a utilization rate of at least 75%, given that active extracranial disease is common in patients with brain metastases. If left untreated, extracranial disease limits survival, regardless of successful local treatment of the brain metastases. In this context, systemic therapy has been shown to improve survival, e.g., after whole-brain radiotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study included 185 patients with active extracranial disease, 60% of whom received systemic therapy.

RESULTS

Survival from the start of brain irradiation was longest in patients who received additional immune checkpoint inhibitors, endocrine treatment, or anti-HER-2 drugs. After uni- and multivariate analyses, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (PS) was selected as the first prediction criterion in the recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) decision tree analysis. RPA was successful for patients with PS 0-1, but patients with PS 2 had lower treatment utilization rates (maximum 60-70%, with a disease-dependent impact of age and LabBM score [blood test results]). The highest utilization rates were observed in (1) patients with PS 0 and (2) those with breast cancer, small-cell lung cancer, or lung adenocarcinoma with PS 1.

CONCLUSIONS

These results inform the multidisciplinary discussion and treatment planning for the common scenario of simultaneous intra- and extracranial metastases.

Systemic inflammation scores correlate with survival prognosis in patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases

Background

Systemic inflammation measured by the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), leucocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (LLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) and CRP/albumin ratio (CRP/Alb) was shown to impact the survival prognosis in patients with extracranial solid cancer.

Methods

One thousand two hundred and fifty patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases (BM) were identified from the Vienna Brain Metastasis Registry.

Results

PLR and CRP/Alb were higher in patients with progressive extracranial disease and lower in patients with no evidence of extracranial disease. Lower NLR (cut-off = 5.07; 9.3 vs. 5.0 months), LLR (cut-off = 5.76; 10.0 vs. 5.3 months), PLR (cut-off = 335; 8.0 vs. 3.8 months), MLR (cut-off = 0.53; 6.0 vs. 3.5 months) and CRP/Alb (cut-off = 2.93; 8.5 vs. 3.7 months; p_adj < 0.05) were associated with longer overall survival (OS). In multivariate analysis with graded prognostic assessment (hazard ratio (HR) 1.45; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.32–1.59; p_adj = 1.62e − 13₎, NLR (HR 1.55; 95% CI: 1.38–1.75; p_adj = 1.92e − 11), LLR (HR 1.57; 95% CI: 1.39–1.77; p_adj = 1.96e − 11₎, PLR (HR 1.60; 95% CI: 1.39–1.85; p_adj = 2.87955e − 9), MLR (HR 1.41; 95% CI: 1.14–1.75; p_adj = 0.027) and CRP/Alb (HR 1.83; 95% CI: 1.54–2.18; p_adj = 2.73e − 10) remained independent factors associated with OS at BM diagnosis.

Conclusions

Systemic inflammation, measured by NLR, LLR, PLR, MLR and CRP/Alb, was associated with OS in patients with BM. Further exploration of immune modulating therapies is warranted in the setting of BM.

LabBM Score and Extracranial Score As New Tools for Predicting Survival in Patients with Brain Metastases Treated with Focal Radiotherapy

Background Two recently validated, untraditional prognostic scores include serum albumin and lactate dehydrogenase, among other parameters. The latter are hemoglobin, platelet counts, and C-reactive protein (three-tiered LabBM score), whereas the four-tiered extracranial score includes more than one extracranial site of metastatic involvement. Until now, head-to-head comparisons of these two scores in patients treated with focal radiotherapy for newly diagnosed brain metastases are not available. Methods This was a retrospective single-institution analysis of 51 patients, most of whom were managed with first-line stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). Survival was stratified by the LabBM score and extracranial score. Results Both scores predicted survival, but the analyses were hampered by small subgroups. In particular, very few patients belonged to the unfavorable groups. Survival shorter than two months, which was recorded in 14%, was not well predicted by the LabBM score and extracranial score. Conclusions Very few patients treated with focal radiotherapy (largely SRS) had unfavorable prognostic features according to the two untraditional scores, which do not include the number of brain metastases and performance status. Additional research is needed to improve the tools that predict short survival because overtreatment during the terminal phase of metastatic disease continues to represent a relevant issue.

External Validation of a Prognostic Score for Patients with Brain Metastases: Extended Diagnosis-Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment

PURPOSE

The aim of our study was the external validation of an extended variant of the four-tiered diagnosis-specific graded prognostic assessment (DS-GPA) that includes more information about extracranial disease burden and blood test results, and predicts survival of patients with brain metastases. The extracranial DS-GPA (EC-GPA) includes serum albumin, lactate dehydrogenase, and number of extracranial organs involved. Originally, the score was developed in Germany.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 236 patients with brain metastases treated with primary whole-brain radiotherapy in North-Norway was performed (independent external validation cohort).

RESULTS

The four-tiered EC-GPA score showed good discrimination between all prognostic groups (log-rank test p < 0.05 for all pairwise comparisons). One-year survival was 0, 11, 30, and 100%, respectively. Median survival was 0.7 months (95% CI, 0.5-0.9) in the worst prognostic group, with a hazard ratio for death of 44.31 (95% CI, 5.78-339.50) compared to the best group. In the German database, the corresponding HR was 31.64 (median survival 0.4 months). The remaining hazard ratios in this validation study were 7.13 and 12.10, compared with 4.84 and 9.26 in the score development study.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides an independent validation of the EC-GPA, which was the best prognostic model for defining patients who did not benefit from radiation therapy of brain metastases in terms of overall survival in the original German study. The proposed modification of the established DS-GPA should undergo further validation in multi-institutional databases.

Does the application of diffusion weighted imaging improve the prediction of survival in patients with resected brain metastases? A retrospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Brain metastases are common in clinical practice. Many clinical scales exist for predicting survival and hence deciding on best treatment but none are individualised and none use quantitative imaging parameters. A multicenter study was carried out to evaluate the prognostic utility of a simple diffusion weighted MRI parameter, tumor apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of imaging and clinical data was performed on a cohort of 223 adult patients over a ten-year period 2002-2012 pooled from three institutions. All patients underwent surgical resection with histologically confirmed brain metastases and received adjuvant whole brain radiotherapy and/or chemotherapy. Survival was modelled using standard clinical variables and statistically compared with and without the addition of tumor ADC.

RESULTS

The median overall survival was 9.6 months (95% CI 7.5-11.7) for this cohort. Greater age (p = 0.002), worse performance status (p < 0.0001) and uncontrolled extracranial disease (p < 0.0001) were all significantly associated with shorter survival in univariate analysis. Adjuvant whole brain radiotherapy (p = 0.007) and higher tumor ADC (p < 0.001) were associated with prolonged survival. Combining values of tumor ADC with conventional clinical scoring systems such as the Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) score significantly improved the modelling of survival (e.g. concordance increased from 0.5956 to 0.6277 with Akaike's Information Criterion reduced from 1335 to 1324).

CONCLUSIONS

Combining advanced MRI readings such as tumor ADC with clinical scoring systems is a potentially simple method for improving and individualising the estimation of survival in patients having surgery for brain metastases.

Cerebrospinal fluid-based metabolomics to characterize different types of brain tumors

BACKGROUND

Brain tumors cause significant morbidity and mortality due to rapid progression and high recurrence risks. Reliable biomarkers to improve diagnosis thereof are desirable.

OBJECTIVE

This work aimed to identify panels of biomarkers for diagnostic purposes using cerebrospinal fluid (CSF)-based metabolomics.

METHODS

A cohort of 163 histologically-proven patients with brain disorders was involved. Comprehensive CSF-based metabolomics was achieved by liquid chromatography-quadrupole time-of-flight spectrometric (LC-Q/TOF-MS) and multivariate statistical analyses. The diagnostic performance of the metabolic markers was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

A total of 508 ion features were detected by the LC-Q/TOF-MS analysis, of which 27 metabolites were selected as diagnostic markers to discriminate different brain tumor types. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.91 for lung adenocarcinoma patients with brain metastases (MBT) vs. lung adenocarcinoma patients without brain metastases (NMBT), 0.83 for primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) vs. secondary central nervous system involvement of systemic lymphoma (SCNSL), 0.77 for PCNSL vs. MBT, 0.87 for SCNSL vs. MBT, 0.86 for MBT vs. nontumorous brain diseases (NT), and 0.80 for PCNSL vs. NT. Perturbed metabolic pathways between the comparisons related mainly to amino acids and citrate metabolism.

CONCLUSIONS

CSF-based metabolomics to a large extent reliably identifies significant metabolic differences between different brain tumors and shows great potential for diagnosis of brain tumors.

Prognostic assessment in patients with newly diagnosed small cell lung cancer brain metastases: results from a real-life cohort

Purposes

Brain metastases (BM) are a frequent complication in small cell lung cancer (SCLC), resulting in a reduced survival prognosis. Precise prognostic assessment is an important foundation for treatment decisions and clinical trial planning.

Methods

Patients with newly diagnosed SCLC BM were identified from the Vienna Brain Metastasis Registry and evaluated concerning prognostic factors.

Results

489 patients (male 62.2%, female 37.8%; median age 61 years) were included. Neurological symptoms were present in 297/489 (60.7%) patients. A- to oligosymptomatic patients (5 vs. 9 months, p = 0.030) as well as patients with synchronous diagnosis of BM and primary tumor (5 vs. 9 months, p = 0.008) presented with improved overall survival (OS) prognosis. RPA (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.44–1.91; p < 0.001), GPA (HR 1.65; p < 0.001), DS-GPA (HR 1.60; p < 0.001) and LabBM score (HR 1.69; p < 0.001) were statistically significantly associated with OS. In multivariate analysis, DS-GPA (HR 1.59; p < 0.001), neurological deficits (HR 1.26; p = 0.021) and LabBM score (HR 1.57; p < 0.001) presented with statistical independent association with OS.

Conclusion

A- to oligosymptomatic BM as well as synchronous diagnosis of SCLC and BM were associated with improved OS. Established prognostic scores could be validated in this large SCLC BM real-life cohort.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s11060-019-03269-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

External Validation of the LabBM Score in Patients With Brain Metastases

Background

The aim of this study was to validate the prognostic impact of the recently introduced three-tiered LabBM score in patients with brain metastases. In contrast to the previous development and validation cohorts, the present cohort did not include patients treated with primary surgery and/or radiosurgery. The score is based on hemoglobin, platelet counts, albumin, C-reactive protein and lactate dehydrogenase.

Methods

This was a retrospective single institution analysis. Overall, 167 patients managed with first-line whole-brain radiotherapy (WBRT) were identified from a prospectively maintained database.

Results

The LabBM score significantly predicted overall survival (median 4.0, 2.9 and 1.5 months, respectively).

Conclusions

The LabBM score is also valid in a patient population that differs from the previously studied cohorts, that is patients who were judged to be better candidates for WBRT than surgery or radiosurgery. As these patients in general represent a less favorable subset, their median survival was shorter than reported in the development cohort (11, 7 and 3 months, respectively). Future studies should examine whether or not combinations of the LabBM and other scores, for example, lung-molGPA and melanoma-molGPA, improve the clinical value of single scores.

Risk factors to identify patients who may not benefit from whole brain irradiation for brain metastases - a single institution analysis

BACKGROUND

Radiotherapy plays a major role in the management of brain metastases. This study aimed to identify the subset of patients with multiple brain metastases who may not benefit from whole brain irradiation (WBI) due to a short survival time regardless of treatment.

METHODS

We analyzed a total of 339 patient records with brain metastases treated with whole brain radiotherapy from January 2009 to January 2016. External beam radiotherapy techniques were used to deliver 33 Gy in 11 fractions (4 fractions per week) to the whole brain. Eight clinical factors with a potential influence on survival were investigated using the Kaplan-Meier method. All factors with a P < 0.05 in univariate analysis were entered into multivariate analysis using Cox regression.

RESULTS

In the present series of 339 patients, median survival time was 2.5 months (M; range, 0-61 months). Four risk factors Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS) < 70, age > 70, > 3 of metastases intracranial, uncontrolled primary tumor) were identified that were significant and negatively correlated with median survival time. Patients with no risk factors had a median survival of 4.7 M; one risk factor, 2.5 M; two risk factors, 2.3 M; and 3-4 risk factors, 0.4 M (p < 0.00001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with identified risk factors might have a negatively impacted overall survival after WBI. Accordingly, patients who will not benefit from WBI can be easily predicted if they have 3-4 of these risk factors.

Recent advances in the biology and treatment of brain metastases of non-small cell lung cancer: summary of a multidisciplinary roundtable discussion

This article is the result of a round table discussion held at the European Lung Cancer Conference (ELCC) in Geneva in May 2017. Its purpose is to explore and discuss the advances in the knowledge about the biology and treatment of brain metastases originating from non-small cell lung cancer. The authors propose a series of recommendations for research and treatment within the discussed context.