Trends in Exclusive Non-Cigarette Tobacco Smoking in England: A Population Survey 2013-2023

Trends and patterns of dual use of combustible tobacco and e-cigarettes among adults in England: A population study, 2016-2024

BACKGROUND/AIMS

E-cigarettes are frequently used by people who smoke. This study measured how the prevalence and patterns of smoking and vaping ('dual use') in England have changed as the vaping market has rapidly evolved.

DESIGN

Representative monthly cross-sectional survey, July 2016 to April 2024.

SETTING

England.

PARTICIPANTS

128 588 adults (≥18y).

MEASUREMENTS

Logistic regression estimated associations between survey wave and dual use. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse patterns of smoking and vaping, overall and by sociodemographic, smoking and vaping characteristics and harm perceptions of e-cigarettes vs. cigarettes.

FINDINGS

Across the period, the overall prevalence of dual use increased non-linearly from 3.5% to 5.2% of adults [prevalence ratio (PR) = 1.49 (1.25-1.76)]. Among adults who smoked, the proportion who also vaped was relatively stable up to mid-2021, at an average of 18.6% between July 2016 and May 2021, then increased rapidly to 34.2% by April 2024 [PR = 1.76 (1.48-2.09)]. This increase was greatest at younger ages [e.g. from 19.6% to 59.4% among 18- to 24-year-olds; PR = 3.04 (2.28-4.23)]. The most common pattern of dual use across the period was daily cigarette smoking with daily vaping [49.0% (47.3-50.8%)]. Over time, the proportion of dual users reporting daily cigarette smoking with non-daily vaping decreased [from 35.2% to 15.0%; PR = 0.43 (0.29-0.63)], offset primarily by an increase in the proportion reporting non-daily cigarette smoking with daily vaping [from 7.6% to 21.5%; PR = 2.84 (1.71-4.72)]. Daily cigarette smoking with daily vaping was more common (and non-daily cigarette smoking with daily vaping less common) among dual users who were older, less advantaged, mainly smoked hand-rolled cigarettes, had stronger urges to smoke and had been vaping for ≤6 months. Daily vaping was more common among dual users who thought e-cigarettes were less/equally harmful as cigarettes, or were unsure.

CONCLUSIONS

In England, vaping prevalence has increased rapidly among adults who smoke since 2021, which was when disposable e-cigarettes started to become popular. Since 2016, patterns of dual use have shifted away from more frequent smoking towards more frequent vaping. This may be the result of increasing prevalence of dual use among younger adults, who are more likely than older dual users to smoke non-daily and vape daily.

Use, perceptions, and effectiveness of e-cigarettes for smoking cessation among older adults in England: a population study, 2014-2024

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to characterise patterns of tobacco smoking and vaping among older adults (≥ 65 years) in England, to explore harm perceptions of e-cigarettes among those who smoke, and to estimate the real-world effectiveness of e-cigarettes for helping older adults to stop smoking.

METHODS

Data were collected as part of a representative monthly cross-sectional household survey in England between April 2014 and April 2024 (n = 197,219). We analysed differences between older (≥ 65 years) and younger/middle-aged adults (18-64 years) in (a) time trends in tobacco smoking and vaping, (b) harm perceptions of e-cigarettes vs. cigarettes (adjusting for gender, socioeconomic position, and vaping status), and (c) the real-world effectiveness of e-cigarettes for smoking cessation (adjusting for gender, socioeconomic position, characteristics of the quit attempt, and use of other evidence-based cessation aids).

RESULTS

Tobacco smoking prevalence remained relatively unchanged over time among older adults (at ~ 9%; 9.5% [8.5-10.6%] in April 2014 and 8.7% [7.7-9.8%] in April 2024) but vaping prevalence increased (from 2.1% [1.6-2.7%] to 3.7% [3.0-4.6%], respectively). These trends differed from those observed among younger/middle-aged adults, among whom there was a clear decline in smoking (from 21.8% [21.0-22.7%] to 18.2% [17.3-19.0%]) and a larger increase in vaping (from 5.6% [5.2-6.1%] to 16.2% [15.3-17.0%]). Older adults were consistently less likely than younger/middle-aged adults to use e-cigarettes to support attempts to quit smoking (26.8% [17.2-39.3%] vs. 43.7% [39.6-48.0%] in April 2024). Older smokers reported greater uncertainty about the harms of e-cigarettes compared with cigarettes (ORadj = 2.48 [2.28-2.69]). E-cigarettes appeared to be effective for helping older adults to stop smoking (ORadj = 1.50 [0.96-2.34]); whether effectiveness was lower than for younger/middle-aged adults was inconclusive.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past decade, smoking prevalence has remained stable among older adults while decreasing among the rest of the adult population in England. Older adults are more unsure about the relative harms of e-cigarettes and less likely to use them to support attempts to quit smoking, despite evidence that they are effective for smoking cessation in this population.