Projection of residential radon lung cancer risks: the Beir VI risk models

Radon decay products in realistic living rooms and their activity distributions in human respiratory system

In this study, the individual activity concentrations of attached short-lived radon decay products ((218)Po, (214)Pb and (214)Po) in aerosol particles were measured in ten poorly ventilated realistic living rooms. Using standard methodologies, the samples were collected using a filter holder technique connected with alpha-spectrometric. The mean value of air activity concentration of these radionuclides was found to be 5.3±0.8, 4.5±0.5 and 3.9±0.4 Bq m(-3), respectively. Based on the physical properties of the attached decay products and physiological parameters of light work activity for an adult human male recommended by ICRP 66 and considering the parameters of activity size distribution (AMD = 0.25 μm and σ(g) = 2.5) given by NRC, the total and regional deposition fractions in each airway generation could be evaluated. Moreover, the total and regional equivalent doses in the human respiratory tract could be estimated. In addition, the surface activity distribution per generation is calculated for the bronchial region (BB) and the bronchiolar region (bb) of the respiratory system. The maximum values of these activities were found in the upper bronchial airway generations.

Radon Exposure Assessment and Dosimetry Applied to Epidemiology and Risk Estimation

Epidemiological studies of underground miners provide the primary basis for radon risk estimates for indoor exposures as well as mine exposures. A major source of uncertainty in these risk estimates is the uncertainty in radon progeny exposure estimates for the miners. Often the exposure information is very incomplete, and exposure estimation must rely on interpolations, extrapolations and reconstruction of mining conditions decades before, which might differ markedly from those in more recent times. Many of the measurements that were carried out-commonly for health protection purposes-are not likely to be representative of actual exposures. Early monitoring was often of radon gas rather than of the progeny, so that quantifying exposure requires an estimate of the equilibrium fraction under the conditions existing at the time of the reported measurement. In addition to the uncertainty in radon progeny exposure, doses from gamma radiation, inhaled radioactive dust, and thoron progeny have historically been neglected. These may induce a systematic bias in risk estimates and add to the overall uncertainty in risk estimates derived from the miner studies. Unlike other radiogenic cancer risk estimates, numerical risk estimates derived for radon from epidemiology are usually expressed as a risk per unit exposure rather than as a risk per unit dose to a target tissue. Nevertheless, dosimetric considerations are important when trying to compare risks under different exposure conditions, e.g. in mines and homes. A recent comparative assessment of exposure conditions indicates that, for equal radon progeny exposures, the dose in homes is about the same as in mines. Thus, neglecting other possible differences, such as the presence in mines of other potential airborne carcinogens, the risk per unit progeny exposure should be about the same for indoor exposures as observed in miners. Results of case-control studies of lung cancer incidence in homes monitored for radon are reasonably consistent with what would be projected from miner studies. Measurements of exposure in these indoor case-control studies rely on different types of detectors than those used in mines, and the estimates of exposure are again a major source of uncertainty in these studies.

A combined analysis of North American case-control studies of residential radon and lung cancer

Cohort studies have consistently shown underground miners exposed to high levels of radon to be at excess risk of lung cancer, and extrapolations based on those results indicate that residential radon may be responsible for nearly 10-15% of all lung cancer deaths per year in the United States. However, case-control studies of residential radon and lung cancer have provided ambiguous evidence of radon lung cancer risks. Regardless, alpha-particle emissions from the short-lived radioactive radon decay products can damage cellular DNA. The possibility that a demonstrated lung carcinogen may be present in large numbers of homes raises a serious public health concern. Thus, a systematic analysis of pooled data from all North American residential radon studies was undertaken to provide a more direct characterization of the public health risk posed by prolonged radon exposure. To evaluate the risk associated with prolonged residential radon exposure, a combined analysis of the primary data from seven large scale case-control studies of residential radon and lung cancer risk was conducted. The combined data set included a total of 4081 cases and 5281 controls, representing the largest aggregation of data on residential radon and lung cancer conducted to date. Residential radon concentrations were determined primarily by a-track detectors placed in the living areas of homes of the study subjects in order to obtain an integrated 1-yr average radon concentration in indoor air. Conditional likelihood regression was used to estimate the excess risk of lung cancer due to residential radon exposure, with adjustment for attained age, sex, study, smoking factors, residential mobility, and completeness of radon measurements. Although the main analyses were based on the combined data set as a whole, we also considered subsets of the data considered to have more accurate radon dosimetry. This included a subset of the data involving 3662 cases and 4966 controls with a-track radon measurements within the exposure time window (ETW) 5-30 yr prior to the index date considered previously by Krewski et al. (2005). Additional restrictions focused on subjects for which a greater proportion of the ETW was covered by measured rather than imputed radon concentrations, and on subjects who occupied at most two residences. The estimated odds ratio (OR) of lung cancer generally increased with radon concentration. The OR trend was consistent with linearity (p = .10), and the excess OR (EOR) was 0.10 per Bq/m3 with 95% confidence limits (-0.01, 0.26). For the subset of the data considered previously by Krewski et al. (2005), the EOR was 0.11 (0.00, 0.28). Further limiting subjects based on our criteria (residential stability and completeness of radon monitoring) expected to improve radon dosimetry led to increased estimates of the EOR. For example, for subjects who had resided in only one or two houses in the 5-30 ETW and who had a-track radon measurements for at least 20 yr of this 25-yr period, the EOR was 0.18 (0.02, 0.43) per 100 Bq/m3. Both estimates are compatible with the EOR of 0.12 (0.02, 0.25) per 100 Bq/m3 predicted by downward extrapolation of the miner data. Collectively, these results provide direct evidence of an association between residential radon and lung cancer risk, a finding predicted by extrapolation of results from occupational studies of radon-exposed underground miners.