Vitamin D and multiple sclerosis hospital admissions in Scotland

Seasonal and monthly variation in multiple sclerosis relapses: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) relapses are episodes of transient disease exacerbation. There are contradictory findings regarding seasonal variation in MS relapses. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to investigate the seasonal and monthly variation in relapse rates among patients with MS.

METHODS

We systematically queried PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science for published papers until February 30, 2022.

RESULTS

A total of 24 studies were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis with a total of 29,106 patients with MS. We found that the relapse rate was significantly lower in fall compared to the average relapse rate in other seasons with a risk ratio (RR) of 0.97 (95% CI 0.95-0.98). Furthermore, patients with MS experienced a higher number of relapses in April (RR: 1.06, 95% CI 1.01-1.11) and March (RR: 1.08, 95% CI 1.00-1.16) compared to other months. Also, the risk of relapse was lower in August (RR: 0.92, 95% CI.85-0.98), September (RR: 0.97, 95% CI.94-0.99), October (RR: 0.92, 95% CI.89-0.96), and November (RR: 0.93, 95% CI.89-0.97).

CONCLUSION

Our systematic review and meta-analysis confirm the temporal fluctuations in the relapse of MS through a comprehensive review of the existing literature, with a lower relapse rate during late summer and fall and a higher relapse rate during early spring.

The epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in the Isle of Man: 2006-2011

BACKGROUND

We sought to determine the prevalence of MS on the Isle of Man in 2006 and 2011, and the incidence and mortality rates over this interval.

METHODS

Cases were identified by hospital medical record review, General Practitioners and the local MS Society. The significance of the change in prevalence over time and the significance of differences in frequencies by sex and place of birth were assessed by Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The 2006 prevalence was 153.64 per 100,000 persons and the 2011 prevalence was 179.89. The prevalence was higher among females and persons born in the Isle of Man at both time points. The 2006-2011 incidence rate was 6.86 per 100,000 person-years, much higher among females and persons born in the Isle of Man. The prevalence sex ratios in 2006 and 2011, 2.77 and 2.59, respectively, and the incidence sex ratio, 2.19, are similar to others found in the region. The mortality rate over the study period was 2.84 per 100,000 person-years, this solely among persons born overseas.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study of MS epidemiology in the Isle of Man, finding this area to be of high prevalence and to have one of the highest incidence rates in the UK region.

The case for vitamin D supplementation in multiple sclerosis

INTRODUCTION

Given that vitamin D has a role in immunomodulation, and its levels appear to correlate with the development of Multiple Sclerosis (MS), it is conceivable that vitamin D may also influence disease activity in MS patients. In this regard, we conducted a systematic review investigating the evidence for: (1) the role of vitamin D in disease activity in MS, and (2) the therapeutic supplementation of vitamin D in MS.

METHODS

A comprehensive search of Medline, Embase, Pubmed, clinical trials registries, and conference proceedings, followed by screening and application of inclusion and exclusion criteria, yielded 57 studies for detailed appraisal. Following careful data extraction, studies addressing the role of vitamin D in disease activity were appraised on the basis of common epidemiological principles, while those involving vitamin D supplementation were assessed for potential bias using Cochrane guidelines. The overall evidence was interpreted in the context of the Bradford-Hill criteria of causation, and the number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one patient from relapsing over a year was calculated for each supplementation study examining relapse rate.

RESULTS/DISCUSSION

Both cross-sectional and longitudinal studies have fairly consistently demonstrated a strong positive correlation between vitamin D deficiency and subsequent relapse and/or disability in patients with MS. As well, there appears to be a negative correlation between vitamin D levels and inflammatory markers in MS patients, suggesting that vitamin D modifies serum cytokines to a more anti-inflammatory profile. Therefore, vitamin D fulfills the Bradford-Hill criteria for strong and consistent association, biological plausibility, and coherence. However, the criteria of temporality, dose-response, and experimental evidence are yet to be adequately met, although there is preliminary evidence from longitudinal studies and randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of supplementation that vitamin D can attenuate the autoimmune response in patients, and potentially reduce relapse rates and burden of disease. Currently published data on relapse prevention with vitamin D indicates the possibility of small NNTs in the range of 1.36-25.00, but they arise from very heterogeneously designed studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Ultimately, the current evidence does not permit inference of a causal relationship between vitamin D deficiency and disease activity in MS. Vitamin D supplementation appears to be a promising treatment worthy of further exploration, but owing to the paucity of RCTs with placebo or comparator arms, the evidence is not definitive and appropriate dosing remains uncertain.