Value of systolic pulmonary arterial pressure as a prognostic factor of death in the systemic sclerosis EUSTAR population

Association of pulmonary hypertension with outcomes in patients with Systemic sclerosis and other connective tissue disorders: review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a frequent complication of connective tissue disorders (CTDs), with a major impact on the prognosis of the disease. The aim of our study was to perform a systemic review and meta-analysis of published literature evaluating survival function in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) with and without PH and to compare survival function between patients with SSc, systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), other CTDs, and conditions associated with PH.

METHODS

The established protocol of the Cochrane Collaboration Steps and meta-analysis of observational studies in epidemiology recommendations (MOOSE) were used.

RESULTS

7 studies, including 1470 SSc-PH patients and 1368 SSc patients without PH, and 4 studies, including 108 SLE-PH patients and 1288 SLE patients without PH, assessed survival function were selected. Six studies (including 777 SSc, 249 SLE, 90 idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH) and 29 primary Sjogren's syndrome patients) comparing survival function in different subgroups of patients with confirmed PH were included. SSc patients with PH showed the worst survival as compared to SSc patients without PH [OR (95% CI) 3.70 (2.42-5.67); p<0.00001]. The same pattern was observed in patients with SLE. SSc patients with PH were characterized by lower survival function compared to other reasons for PH, including SLE [OR (95% CI) 2.76 (1.95-3.91); p<0.00001].

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with SSc-PH are characterized by significantly lower survival function as compared to SSc patients without PH. Among the different entities of PH, SSc shows the worst survival, underlining prognostic significance of detection and evaluation of PH according to the currently established approach.

The role of TAPSE/sPAP ratio in predicting pulmonary hypertension and mortality in the systemic sclerosis EUSTAR cohort

OBJECTIVES

The study aim was to evaluate the predictive role of the echocardiography-derived tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/systolic pulmonary artery pressure (TAPSE/sPAP) ratio for pulmonary hypertension (PH) diagnosis and mortality in the European Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) cohort.

METHODS

Eligible patients were systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients registered in the EUSTAR database with at least one visit recording TAPSE and sPAP data. Individual centres were required to provide TAPSE and sPAP data at 12 ± 3 months before right heart catheterization (RHC). Logistic regression analysis was applied to analyse the predictive ability of TAPSE/sPAP ratio for PH diagnosis. Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate TAPSE/sPAP ratio as a predictive factor for all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

2555 SSc patients met the inclusion criteria for this study with 355 SSc patients having available RHC data at baseline. PH was confirmed by RHC in 195 SSc patients (54.9%). TAPSE/sPAP ratio < 0.55 mm/mmHg [OR 0.251 (95% CI 0.084-0.753), p < 0.05] and FVC/DL_CO [OR 2.568 (95% CI 1.227-5.375), p < 0.05] were significantly associated with PH diagnosis. In logistic regression analysis with echocardiographic parameters at 12 ± 3 months before RHC, TAPSE/sPAP ratio < 0.55 mm/mmHg [OR 0.265 (95% CI 0.102-0.685), p < 0.01] and FVC/DL_CO [OR 2.529 (95% CI 1.358-4.711), p < 0.01] were associated with PH diagnosis. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, TAPSE/sPAP ratio ≤ 0.32 mm/mmHg [HR 0.310 (0.164-0.585), p < 0.001] was the most significant predictive factor for death.

CONCLUSIONS

TAPSE/sPAP ratio < 0.55 mm/mmHg is a predictive risk factor for PH. TAPSE/sPAP ratio ≤ 0.32 mm/mmHg is a predictive risk marker for all-cause mortality.

Circulating NT-proANP level is a predictor of mortality for systemic sclerosis: a retrospective study of an Italian cohort

Objectives: The authors aimed to evaluate the role of N-terminal proANP (NT-proANP) and of NT-proBNP circulating levels as predictive markers of death due to systemic sclerosis (SSc).Methods: The authors retrospectively enrolled 51 SSc patients. At baseline, NT-proBNP and NT-proANP circulating levels and clinical features were collected. Date and causes of death were extracted during a 6-year follow-up.Results: 13 SSc patients (23.2%) died for SSc complications (9 for interstitial lung disease and 4 for pulmonary arterial hypertension). The median NT-proBNP plasma level did not significantly differ (p > 0.05) in SSc patients died or alive [645 (448-1026) fmol/ml vs 592 (409-789) fmol/ml]. The median NT-proANP plasma level was significantly (p < 0.01) higher in SSc died than in SSc patients alive [4000 (2100-6722) fmol/ml vs 1640 (1381-2721) fmol/ml]. The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that SSc patients with increased NT-proANP level had increased mortality (p < 0.05). In the multivariate analysis, DLco [HR 0.966 (0.934-0.999), p < 0.05] and NT-proANP level [HR 1 (1-1), p < 0.05] were predictive markers of death due to SSc.Conclusions: NT-proANP plasma level is a predictive marker of death due to SSc.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate is a marker of mortality in the European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group (EUSTAR) database

OBJECTIVES

Study aim was to evaluate estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), its association with clinical disease and its predictive ability with mortality in systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients from the European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group (EUSTAR) database.

METHODS

SSc patients from the EUSTAR database with available items for calculation of eGFR at baseline visit and with a second follow-up visit were included. A cut-off of 60 ml/min was chosen for all SSc patients and 30 ml/min for scleroderma renal crisis (SRC). Cox regression and competing risk analysis were performed to evaluate the role of eGFR as predictive factor of mortality.

RESULTS

3650 SSc patients were included. Mean serum level of creatinine and eGFR were 0.8 mg/dl (IQR 0.6-0.9) and 86.6 ± 23.7 ml/min. The eGFR was significantly lower in patients with pulmonary hypertension. Overall survival (OS) was significantly reduced in SSc patients with eGFR <60 ml/min respect to patients with eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min [OS at five years 0.763 (CI 95%: 0.700-0.814) vs 0.903 (CI 95%: 0.883-0.919 p< 0.001)]. In multivariable analysis, OS was associate with male gender (p< 0.01), systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (sPAP) (p< 0.001) and eGFR (p< 0.001). Cumulative incidence of deaths due to SSc was associate with increased sPAP (p< 0.001) and reduced eGFR (p< 0.05). OS at five years of 53 SRC patients was not significantly different in SSc patients with eGFR > 30 ml/min or eGFR < 30 ml/min.

CONCLUSION

eGFR represents a predictive risk factor of overall survival in SSc. The eGFR is not a risk factor for death in SRC.

Mild Elevation of Pulmonary Arterial Pressure as a Predictor of Mortality

RATIONALE

Normal mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP) is 14.0 ± 3.3 mm Hg (mean ± SD). The prognostic relevance of mildly elevated mPAP not fulfilling the definition of pulmonary hypertension (PH; mPAP ≥ 25 mm Hg) has not been prospectively evaluated in a real-world setting.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the association of resting mPAP with all-cause mortality in a retrospective and a prospective cohort of patients with unexplained dyspnea and/or at risk of PH.

METHODS

Prognostic cutoffs were calculated by means of 1) classification and regression tree (CART) analysis without any preset thresholds, and 2) preset thresholds on the basis of literature data defining mPAP as lower-normal (≤mean + 1 SD), upper-normal (between mean + 1 SD and mean + 2 SD), borderline (between mean + 2 SD and 25 mm Hg), and manifest PH (≥25 mm Hg). We performed univariate and multivariate survival analysis adjusted for age and comorbidities.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We enrolled 547 patients, of whom 137, 56, 64, and 290 presented with lower-normal, upper-normal, or borderline mPAP, and manifest PH, respectively. The CART analysis on mPAP discriminated three prognostic groups: mPAP less than 17 mm Hg, 17 to 26 mm Hg, and greater than 26 mm Hg, with significantly decreasing survival. The univariate analysis on the basis of preset thresholds showed that upper-normal mPAP, borderline mPAP, and manifest PH were significantly associated with poor survival compared with lower-normal mPAP. In the multivariate model, considering age and comorbidities, only borderline mPAP (hazard ratio, 2.37; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-4.97; P = 0.022) and manifest PH (hazard ratio, 5.05; 95% confidence interval, 2.79-9.12; P < 0.001) were significantly associated with poor survival.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients at risk for PH and/or with unexplained dyspnea, CART analysis detects prognostic thresholds at a resting mPAP of 17 mm Hg and 26 mm Hg, and values between 20 mm Hg and 25 mm Hg represent an independent predictor of poor survival. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT 01607502).

Progressive skin fibrosis is associated with a decline in lung function and worse survival in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis in the European Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) cohort

Objectives

To determine whether progressive skin fibrosis is associated with visceral organ progression and mortality during follow-up in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc).

Methods

We evaluated patients from the European Scleroderma Trials and Research database with dcSSc, baseline modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) ≥7, valid mRSS at 12±3 months after baseline and ≥1 annual follow-up visit. Progressive skin fibrosis was defined as an increase in mRSS >5 and ≥25% from baseline to 12±3 months. Outcomes were pulmonary, cardiovascular and renal progression, and all-cause death. Associations between skin progression and outcomes were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariable Cox regression.

Results

Of 1021 included patients, 78 (7.6%) had progressive skin fibrosis (skin progressors). Median follow-up was 3.4 years. Survival analyses indicated that skin progressors had a significantly higher probability of FVC decline ≥10% (53.6% vs 34.4%; p<0.001) and all-cause death (15.4% vs 7.3%; p=0.003) than non-progressors. These significant associations were also found in subgroup analyses of patients with either low baseline mRSS (≤22/51) or short disease duration (≤15 months). In multivariable analyses, skin progression within 1 year was independently associated with FVC decline ≥10% (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.20 to 2.65) and all-cause death (HR 2.58, 95% CI 1.31 to 5.09).

Conclusions

Progressive skin fibrosis within 1 year is associated with decline in lung function and worse survival in dcSSc during follow-up. These results confirm mRSS as a surrogate marker in dcSSc, which will be helpful for cohort enrichment in future trials and risk stratification in clinical practice.

Increased risk of mortality in systemic sclerosis-associated digital ulcers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Survival can be threatened in certain forms of systemic sclerosis (SSc) so clear prognostic factors are needed.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this meta-analysis was to assess the association between the presence of digital ulcers (DUs) and mortality in SSc.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis in the Pubmed and Scopus databases from the earliest records to May 2017. Two research strategies were performed: « systemic sclerosis » and « digital ulcers » (strategy A); « systemic sclerosis » and « mortality » (strategy B). The primary outcome was the mortality associated with the presence of DUs in patients with SSc.

RESULTS

The literature search identified 1473 citations. Fifty-nine studies were examined for full text. Ten articles were included for the meta-analysis. SSc patients with DUs had an increased pooled mortality risk: RR = 1.53 (IC 95%: [1.23-1.90]).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis revealed a higher mortality in SSc patients with associated DUs. Having DUs may be a predictive factor of developing organ involvement such as pulmonary or cardiovascular events that could be associated with poor survival. It suggests that early screening of DUs in SSc patients is important to identify patients most at risk of poor survival.

Reproducibility and Utility of the 6-minute Walk Test in Systemic Sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the reproducibility and the utility of the 6-minute walk test (6MWT) in systemic sclerosis (SSc).

METHODS

All patients with SSc who underwent at least two 6MWT within a minimum 3-month interval plus simultaneous routine clinical, biological, and functional evaluations were consecutively enrolled in this observational study over 6 years. Following American Thoracic Society guidelines, each 6MWT was repeated twice to assess the 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) reproducibility, with the highest value being reported for subsequent analysis.

RESULTS

Among 56 (38 female) included patients aged 46 ± SD 12.7 years, with 17 ± 10 modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS) and 1 ± 0.8 Scleroderma Health Assessment Questionnaire (SHAQ) at first referral, 277 6MWT evaluations (5 ± 3.9 6MWT per patient) were performed over 23 ± 22.5 months followup. Meanwhile, 8 deaths (87.5% SSc-related) occurred. The mean 6MWD absolute value was 457 ± 117 m with a 4 ± 2.2 mean Borg dyspnea score. The 6MWD intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.996 (95% CI 0.995-0.999, p < 0.0001). In multivariate linear regression analysis, these factors were independently associated with a lower 6MWD: sex (R² = 0.47, p < 0.0001), mRSS (R² = 0.47, p = 0.008), tendon friction rub (R² = 0.47, p = 0.003), SHAQ (R² = 0.47, p = 0.02), muscle disability score (R² = 0.47, p = 0.03), DLCO% (R² = 0.47, p = 0.0008), and left ventricular ejection fraction (R² = 0.47, p = 0.006). The 6MWD at first referral was an independent predictor for the overall mortality (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.988-0.999) and the SSc-related mortality (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.988-0.999).

CONCLUSION

We show strong reproducibility for the 6MWD and confirm the 6MWT utility to assess the overall prognosis of patients with SSc.

Systemic sclerosis

Systemic sclerosis, also called scleroderma, is an immune-mediated rheumatic disease that is characterised by fibrosis of the skin and internal organs and vasculopathy. Although systemic sclerosis is uncommon, it has a high morbidity and mortality. Improved understanding of systemic sclerosis has allowed better management of the disease, including improved classification and more systematic assessment and follow-up. Additionally, treatments for specific complications have emerged and a growing evidence base supports the use of immune suppression for the treatment of skin and lung fibrosis. Some manifestations of the disease, such as scleroderma renal crisis, pulmonary arterial hypertension, digital ulceration, and gastro-oesophageal reflux, are now treatable. However, the burden of non-lethal complications associated with systemic sclerosis is substantial and is likely to become more of a challenge. Here, we review the clinical features of systemic sclerosis and describe the best practice approaches for its management. Furthermore, we identify future areas for development.

Cardiopulmonary assessment of patients with systemic sclerosis for hematopoietic stem cell transplantation: recommendations from the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Autoimmune Diseases Working Party and collaborating partners

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare disabling autoimmune disease with a similar mortality to many cancers. Two randomized controlled trials of autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) for SSc have shown significant improvement in organ function, quality of life and long-term survival compared to standard therapy. However, transplant-related mortality (TRM) ranged from 3–10% in patients undergoing HSCT. In SSc, the main cause of non-transplant and TRM is cardiac related. We therefore updated the previously published guidelines for cardiac evaluation, which should be performed in dedicated centers with expertize in HSCT for SSc. The current recommendations are based on pre-transplant cardiopulmonary evaluations combining pulmonary function tests, echocardiography, cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and invasive hemodynamic testing, initiated at Northwestern University (Chicago) and subsequently discussed and endorsed within the EBMT ADWP in 2016.

Screening for pulmonary arterial hypertension in an unselected prospective systemic sclerosis cohort

Screening for pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) in systemic sclerosis (SSc) improves outcomes. The DETECT screening algorithm is recommended in a high-risk SSc subgroup. This study aims to compare prospectively the positive predictive value of screening using the DETECT algorithm and the 2009 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS) guidelines, and to compare their cost-effectiveness in an unselected, day-to-day SSc population. Post hoc, screening according to the 2015 ESC/ERS guidelines using echocardiographic parameters alone ("2015 echo screening") or combined with the DETECT algorithm ("2015 combined screening") in high-risk subjects was analysed.195 consecutive SSc patients included in the Ghent University Hospital SSc cohort were screened using different algorithms.The referral rate for right heart catheterisation was 32% (63 out of 195 patients) (46/4/13/34/40 patients using the DETECT algorithm/2009 guidelines/both/2015 echo screening/2015 combined screening). Right heart catheterisation was performed in 53 patients (84%) (36 (78%)/four (100%)/13 (100%)/28 (82%)/32 (80%) patients recommended by the DETECT algorithm/2009 guidelines/both/2015 echo screening/2015 combined screening). PAH was diagnosed in three patients (incidence 1.5%·year^-1, 95% CI 0.5-4.4), in whom all algorithms recommended a right heart catheterisation. The positive predictive value was 6% (95% CI 2-17%; three out of 49 patients) for the DETECT algorithm, 18% (95% CI 6-41%; three out of 17 patients) for the 2009 guidelines, 23% (95% CI 8-50%; three out of 13 patients) for both, 11% (95% CI 4-27%; three out of 28 patients) for the 2015 echo screening and 9% (95% CI 3-24%; three out of 32 patients) for the 2015 combined screening. The cost was EUR224/80/90/112 per patient using the DETECT algorithm/2009 guidelines/2015 echo screening/2015 combined screening.Echocardiography may remain a candidate first step for PAH screening in SSc.

Which prognostic factors should be used in pulmonary arterial hypertension in elderly patients?

In recent times, the prevalence of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is more commonly seen among elderly populations. The increased prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, obesity, arterial stiffness, as well as diastolic dysfunction, may cause endothelial dysfunction and affect pulmonary vasculature. Furthermore, older patients have certain differences in clinical characteristics and outcomes. In this article, the special characteristics of aging in PAH patients have been reviewed, while the risk predictors of elderly patients are also discussed.

Epidemiology and disease characteristics of systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension: results from a real-life screening programme

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is the leading cause of death in systemic sclerosis (SSc). Annual screening with echocardiogram (ECHO) is recommended. We present the methodological aspects of a PAH screening programme in a large Australian SSc cohort, the epidemiology of SSc-PAH in this cohort, and an evaluation of factors influencing physician adherence to PAH screening guidelines.

METHODS

Patient characteristics and results of PAH screening were determined in all patients enrolled in a SSc longitudinal cohort study. Adherence to PAH screening guidelines was assessed by a survey of Australian rheumatologists. Summary statistics, chi-square tests, univariate and multivariable logistic regression were used to determine the associations of risk factors with PAH.

RESULTS

Among 1636 patients with SSc, 194 (11.9%) had PAH proven by right-heart catheter. Of these, 160 were detected by screening. The annual incidence of PAH was 1.4%. Patients with PAH diagnosed on subsequent screens, compared with patients in whom PAH was diagnosed on first screen, were more likely to have diffuse SSc (p = 0.03), be in a better World Health Organisation (WHO) Functional Class at PAH diagnosis (p = 0.01) and have less advanced PAH evidenced by higher mean six-minute walk distance (p = 0.03), lower mean pulmonary arterial pressure (p = 0.009), lower mean pulmonary vascular resistance (p = 0.006) and fewer non-trivial pericardial effusions (p = 0.03). Adherence to annual PAH screening using an ECHO-based algorithm was poor among Australian rheumatologists, with less than half screening their patients with SSc of more than ten years disease duration.

CONCLUSION

PAH is a common complication of SSc. Physician adherence to PAH screening recommendations remains poor. Identifying modifiable barriers to screening may improve adherence and ultimately patient outcomes.

The COPD Assessment Test as a Prognostic Marker in Interstitial Lung Disease

The chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) Assessment Test (CAT), which was developed to measure the health status of patients with COPD, was applied to patients with interstitial lung disease, aiming to examine the CAT as a predictor of outcome. Over a follow-up period of more than one year, 101 consecutive patients with interstitial lung disease were evaluated by the CAT. The CAT scores of 40 in total were categorized into four subsets according to the severity. Patients with higher (more severe) scores exhibited lower forced vital capacity and lung diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide. The survival rate was significantly lower in patients with higher scores (log-rank test, P = 0.0002), and the hazard ratios for death of the higher scores and lower lung diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide were independently significant. These findings suggest that CAT can indicate the risk of mortality in patients with interstitial lung disease.

Long-term clinical stabilization of scleroderma patients treated with a chronic and intensive IV iloprost regimen

Intravenous iloprost is a first-line option for the treatment of scleroderma-related digital vasculopathy, and some studies have suggested its favourable role on disease progression. The aim of our study is to evaluate the disease progression, specifically in terms of cardiopulmonary function, in a group of consecutive patients chronically treated with intravenous iloprost. Our retrospective study enrolled 68 scleroderma patients (68 F, 54.4 ± 12.3 years) treated with iloprost for 7.1 ± 2.9 years, with a schedule of 5–6 consecutive daily infusions per month (6 h/day, 0.5–2.0 ng/kg/min). In all patients, modified Rodnan skin score (4.7 ± 5.3 vs. 3.7 ± 5.3, p < 0.0001), systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (sPAP) (30.9 ± 6.4 vs. 24.0 ± 3.2 mmHg, p < 0.0001), tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (22.1 ± 2.4 vs. 23.8 ± 3.5 mm, p = 0.0001), pro-brain natriuretic peptide (97.2 ± 69.3 vs. 65.8 ± 31.7 pg/ml, p = 0.0005) showed statistically significant improvement from baseline. In the subgroup of patients with baseline sPAP ≥36 mmHg (n = 17), a significant sPAP reduction was observed (from 39.5 ± 3.8 to 25.1 ± 4.5 mmHg, p < 0.0001) after 7.6 ± 2.5 years of follow-up. The number of patients with digital ulcers (DUs) at follow-up was reduced from baseline (42.6 vs. 11.8%, p < 0.001), and none of the free-DU patients at baseline presented DUs at follow-up. An intensive and chronic regimen of IV iloprost administration seems to stabilize and potentially improve the long-term development of disease in SSc patients, as suggested by stabilization or significant improvement of cardiopulmonary parameters and vasculopathy.

Subspecificities of anticentromeric protein A antibodies identify systemic sclerosis patients at higher risk of pulmonary vascular disease

Patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) who express autoantibodies to centromeric proteins (CENPs) are at risk of developing pulmonary vascular disease and pulmonary arterial hypertension without fibrosis. Currently no biomarkers are available to predict these complications. We previously characterized the fine specificity of anti-CENP-A antibodies in SSc by screening a phage display library (expressing random 12-mer peptides), and identified phage clones whose peptides were differentially recognized by patients' autoantibodies. Here, we examined if subgroups of SSc patients with different anti-CENP-A antibody subspecificities also differ clinically, and if serum reactivity to phage-displayed peptides can predict pulmonary vascular disease.Clinical data and serum samples were collected from 84 anti-CENP-A-positive SSc patients. Indirect ELISAs were used to test serum reactivity. Pulmonary vascular disease was defined as high systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (sPAP) and low diffusing lung capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO; percent of predicted values).Sera were screened for reactivity to peptides expressed by phage clones pc4.2 and pc14.1, confirming our earlier observation of differential specificities. Linear regression showed that the levels of antibodies specific for the 2 phage clones were associated with clinical features of pulmonary vascular disease, but in opposite ways: anti-pc4.2 antibodies were positively associated with sPAP and inversely associated with DLCO, whereas anti-pc14.1 antibodies were inversely associated with sPAP and positively associated with DLCO. Anti-pc4.2 and anti-pc14.1 antibody levels predicted sPAP independently of DLCO. These associations were confirmed by logistic regression using antibodies as predictors and dichotomized sPAP (cutoff, 45 mm Hg) as outcome. The ratio of the 2 antibody levels was a useful marker in predicting high sPAP.This study demonstrates that some SSc clinical features associate with subspecificities of anti-CENP-A antibodies. Moreover, it shows that a simple, inexpensive phage-based assay can predict which SSc patients have high sPAP and low DLCO, hence who are at greater risk of developing pulmonary arterial hypertension. The ability to identify these at-risk patients can contribute to clinical efficiency and effectiveness. Further research into the peptides expressed by the phage clones may reveal the molecular mechanisms that put some anti-CENP-A-positive patients at greater risk than others for pulmonary vascular disease.