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Johannessen A, Stockdale AJ, Henrion MYR, Okeke E, Seydi M, Wandeler G, Sonderup M, Spearman CW, Vinikoor M, Sinkala E, Desalegn H, Fall F, Riches N, Davwar P, Duguru M, Maponga T, Taljaard J, Matthews PC, Andersson M, Mboup S, Sombie R, Shimakawa Y, Lemoine M. Systematic review and individual-patient-data meta-analysis of non-invasive fibrosis markers for chronic hepatitis B in Africa. Nat Commun 2023; 14:45. [PMID: 36596805 PMCID: PMC9810658 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-35729-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2022] [Accepted: 12/20/2022] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
In sub-Saharan Africa, simple biomarkers of liver fibrosis are needed to scale-up hepatitis B treatment. We conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis of 3,548 chronic hepatitis B patients living in eight sub-Saharan African countries to assess the World Health Organization-recommended aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and two other fibrosis biomarkers using a Bayesian bivariate model. Transient elastography was used as a reference test with liver stiffness measurement thresholds at 7.9 and 12.2kPa indicating significant fibrosis and cirrhosis, respectively. At the World Health Organization-recommended cirrhosis threshold (>2.0), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index had sensitivity (95% credible interval) of only 16.5% (12.5-20.5). We identified an optimised aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index rule-in threshold (>0.65) for liver stiffness measurement >12.2kPa with sensitivity and specificity of 56.2% (50.5-62.2) and 90.0% (89.0-91.0), and an optimised rule-out threshold (<0.36) with sensitivity and specificity of 80.6% (76.1-85.1) and 64.3% (62.8-65.8). Here we show that the World Health Organization-recommended aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index threshold is inappropriately high in sub-Saharan Africa; improved rule-in and rule-out thresholds can optimise treatment recommendations in this setting.
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Affiliation(s)
- Asgeir Johannessen
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Vestfold Hospital, Tønsberg, Norway.
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
| | - Alexander J Stockdale
- Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
- Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi
| | - Marc Y R Henrion
- Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
| | - Edith Okeke
- Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Jos, Jos, Nigeria
| | - Moussa Seydi
- Service de Maladies Infectieuses et Tropicales, Centre Regional de Recherche et de Formation, Centre Hospitalier National Universitaire de Fann, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Gilles Wandeler
- Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Mark Sonderup
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - C Wendy Spearman
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Michael Vinikoor
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
- University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA
| | - Edford Sinkala
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Hailemichael Desalegn
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Vestfold Hospital, Tønsberg, Norway
- Medical Department, St. Paul's Hospital Millennium Medical College, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Fatou Fall
- Department of Hepatology and Gastroenterology, Hopital Principal de Dakar, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Nicholas Riches
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
| | - Pantong Davwar
- Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Jos, Jos, Nigeria
| | - Mary Duguru
- Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Jos, Jos, Nigeria
| | - Tongai Maponga
- Division of Medical Virology, Stellenbosch University Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jantjie Taljaard
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Tygerberg Hospital and Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Philippa C Matthews
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- The Francis Crick Institute, London, UK
- University College London, London, UK
| | - Monique Andersson
- Division of Medical Virology, Stellenbosch University Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Cape Town, South Africa
- Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Souleyman Mboup
- L'Institut de Recherche en Santé, de Surveillance Épidémiologique et de Formations (IRESSEF), Dakar, Senegal
| | - Roger Sombie
- Yalgado Ouédraogo University Hospital Center, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso
| | - Yusuke Shimakawa
- Unité d'Epidémiologie des Maladies Emergentes, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France
| | - Maud Lemoine
- Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Division of Digestive Diseases, Hepatology section, Imperial College London, London, UK
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Vinikoor MJ, Sinkala E, Kanunga A, Muchimba M, Zanolini A, Saag M, Pry J, Nsokolo B, Chisenga T, Kelly P. Eligibility for hepatitis B antiviral therapy among adults in the general population in Zambia. PLoS One 2020; 15:e0227041. [PMID: 31929556 PMCID: PMC6957183 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0227041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2019] [Accepted: 12/10/2019] [Indexed: 01/26/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION We evaluated antiviral therapy (AVT) eligibility in a population-based sample of adults with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in Zambia. MATERIALS AND METHODS Using a household survey, adults (18+ years) were tested for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). Sociodemographic correlates of HBsAg-positivity were identified with multivariable regression. HBsAg-positive individuals were referred to a central hospital for physical examination, elastography, and phlebotomy for HBV DNA, hepatitis B e antigen, serum transaminases, platelet count, and HIV-1/2 antibody. We determined the proportion of HBV monoinfected adults eligible for antiviral therapy (AVT) based on European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) 2017 guidelines. We also evaluated the performance of two alternative criteria developed for use in sub-Saharan Africa, the World Health Organization (WHO) and Treat-B guidelines. RESULTS Across 12 urban and 4 rural communities, 4,961 adults (62.9% female) were tested and 182 (3.7%) were HBsAg-positive, 80% of whom attended hospital follow-up. HBsAg-positivity was higher among men (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.99-1.87) and with decreasing income (AOR, 0.89 per household asset; 95% CI, 0.81-0.98). Trends toward higher HBsAg-positivity were also seen at ages 30-39 years (AOR, 2.11; 95% CI, 0.96-4.63) and among pregnant women (AOR, 1.74; 95% CI, 0.93-3.25). Among HBV monoinfected individuals (i.e., HIV-negative) evaluated for AVT, median age was 31 years, 24.6% were HBeAg-positive, and 27.9% had HBV DNA >2,000 IU/ml. AVT-eligibility was 17.0% by EASL, 10.2% by WHO, and 31.1% by Treat-B. Men had increased odds of eligibility. WHO (area under the receiver operating curve [AUROC], 0.68) and Treat-B criteria (AUROC, 0.76) had modest accuracy. Fourteen percent of HBsAg-positive individuals were HIV coinfection, and most coinfected individuals were taking tenofovir-containing antiretroviral therapy (ART). CONCLUSION Approximately 1 in 6 HBV monoinfected adults in the general population in Zambia may be AVT-eligible. Men should be a major focus of hepatitis B diagnosis and treatment. Further development and evaluation of HBV treatment criteria for resource-limited settings is needed. In settings with overlapping HIV and HBV epidemics, scale-up of ART has contributed towards hepatitis B elimination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael J. Vinikoor
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, United States of America
- Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia School of Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia
- Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Edford Sinkala
- Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia School of Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia
- Department of Medicine, University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Annie Kanunga
- Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia School of Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Mutinta Muchimba
- Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia School of Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Arianna Zanolini
- Department for International Development, Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Michael Saag
- Division of Infectious Diseases, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, United States of America
| | - Jake Pry
- Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
- University of California at Davis, Davis, California, United States of America
| | - Bright Nsokolo
- Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia School of Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia
| | | | - Paul Kelly
- Tropical Gastroenterology and Nutrition Group, University of Zambia School of Medicine, Lusaka, Zambia
- Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom
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