Non-symmetrical double-logistic analysis of 24-h blood pressure recordings in normotensive and hypertensive rats

Cardiovascular and renal profiles in rat offspring that do not undergo catch-up growth after exposure to maternal protein restriction

Maternal protein restriction is often associated with structural and functional sequelae in offspring, particularly affecting growth and renal-cardiovascular function. However, there is little understanding as to whether hypertension and kidney disease occur because of a primary nephron deficit or whether controlling postnatal growth can result in normal renal-cardiovascular phenotypes. To investigate this, female Sprague-Dawley rats were fed either a low-protein (LP, 8.4% protein) or normal-protein (NP, 19.4% protein) diet prior to mating and until offspring were weaned at postnatal day (PN) 21. Offspring were then fed a non 'growth' (4.6% fat) which ensured that catch-up growth did not occur. Offspring growth was determined by weight and dual energy X-ray absorptiometry. Nephron number was determined at PN21 using the disector-fractionator method. Kidney function was measured at PN180 and PN360 using clearance methods. Blood pressure was measured at PN360 using radio-telemetry. Body weight was similar at PN1, but by PN21 LP offspring were 39% smaller than controls (P_diet < 0.001). This difference was due to proportional changes in lean muscle, fat, and bone content. LP offspring remained smaller than NP offspring until PN360. In LP offspring, nephron number was 26% less in males and 17% less in females, than NP controls (P_diet < 0.0004). Kidney function was similar across dietary groups and sexes at PN180 and PN360. Blood pressure was similar in LP and NP offspring at PN360. These findings suggest that remaining on a slow growth trajectory after exposure to a suboptimal intrauterine environment does not lead to the development of kidney dysfunction and hypertension.

ESTIMATING AND FORECASTING THE SMOKING-ATTRIBUTABLE MORTALITY FRACTION FOR BOTH GENDERS JOINTLY IN OVER 60 COUNTRIES

Smoking is one of the leading preventable threats to human health and a major risk factor for lung cancer, upper aero-digestive cancer, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Estimating and forecasting the smoking attributable fraction (SAF) of mortality can yield insights into smoking epidemics and also provide a basis for more accurate mortality and life expectancy projection. Peto et al. (1992) proposed a method to estimate the SAF using the lung cancer mortality rate as an indicator of exposure to smoking in the population of interest. Here we use the same method to estimate the all-age SAF (ASAF) for both genders for over 60 countries. We document a strong and cross-nationally consistent pattern of the evolution of the SAF over time. We use this as the basis for a new Bayesian hierarchical model to project future male and female ASAF from over 60 countries simultaneously. This gives forecasts as well as predictive distributions that can be used to find uncertainty intervals for any quantity of interest. We assess the model using out-of-sample predictive validation, and find that it provides good forecasts and well calibrated forecast intervals, comparing favorably with other methods.

Moderate morning rise in blood pressure has lowest risk of stroke but only in women

BACKGROUND

The morning period which is recognized as the highest risk for cardiovascular events is associated with a surge in blood pressure (BP). However, it is unclear what aspect of this rise is important.

AIM

To determine whether the rate of rise (RoR), the magnitude (day night difference) or the product [BP power (BPPower)] is associated with increased cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

We developed a logistic equation method to fit individual 24-h patterns of BP to determine RoR, amplitude and BPPower using the ambulatory recordings from the Ohasama study including 564 men and 971 women (16.6 years follow-up).

RESULTS

Men had a higher risk of cardiovascular events than women (24, 16%, P < 0.001). Age and night BP were strong linear risk predictors. In men sorting risk by quintiles of BPPower (adjusted for age, night BP, smoking status) revealed no clear linear or nonlinear pattern. However, in women BPPower had a U-shaped relationship with the lowest risk being the 2-3rd quintile for all cardiovascular events (Pquadratic = 0.01) including cardiovascular death (Pquadratic = 0.03) and nonfatal stroke (Pquadratic = 0.02). A similar but less clear trend was observed with the RoR but only stroke (infarct) reached significance (Pquadratic = 0.03) while sorting by range showed a U shaped pattern for combined cardiovascular events (Pquadratic = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that the morning BPPower is an important independent risk factor for predicting cardiovascular events and stroke but only in women with median levels having the lowest risk.

Morning surge in blood pressure using a random-effects multiple-component cosinor model

Blood pressure (BP) fluctuates throughout the day. The pattern it follows represents one of the most important circadian rhythms in the human body. For example, morning BP surge has been suggested as a potential risk factor for cardiovascular events occurring in the morning, but the accurate quantification of this phenomenon remains a challenge. Here, we outline a novel method to quantify morning surge. We demonstrate how the most commonly used method to model 24-hour BP, the single cosinor approach, can be extended to a multiple-component cosinor random-effects model. We outline how this model can be used to obtain a measure of morning BP surge by obtaining derivatives of the model fit. The model is compared with a functional principal component analysis that determines the main components of variability in the data. Data from the Mitchelstown Study, a population-based study of Irish adults (n = 2047), were used where a subsample (1207) underwent 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring. We demonstrate that our 2-component model provided a significant improvement in fit compared with a single model and a similar fit to a more complex model captured by b-splines using functional principal component analysis. The estimate of the average maximum slope was 2.857 mmHg/30 min (bootstrap estimates; 95% CI: 2.855-2.858 mmHg/30 min). Simulation results allowed us to quantify the between-individual SD in maximum slopes, which was 1.02 mmHg/30 min. By obtaining derivatives we have demonstrated a novel approach to quantify morning BP surge and its variation between individuals. This is the first demonstration of cosinor approach to obtain a measure of morning surge.

The Effects of Rilmenidine and Perindopril on Arousal Blood Pressure during 24 Hour Recordings in SHR

The surge in arterial pressure during arousal in the waking period is thought to be largely due to activation of the sympathetic nervous system. In this study we compared in SHR the effects of chronic administration of the centrally acting sympatholytic agent rilmenidine with an angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor perindopril on the rate of rise and power of the surge in mean arterial pressure (MAP) that occurs with arousal associated with the onset of night. Recordings were made using radiotelemetry in 17 adult SHR before and after treatment with rilmenidine (2mg/kg/day), perindopril (1mg/kg/day) or vehicle in the drinking water for 2 weeks. Rilmenidine reduced MAP by 7.2 ± 1.7mmHg while perindopril reduced MAP by 19 ± 3mmHg. Double logistic curve fit analysis showed that the rate and power of increase in systolic pressure during the transition from light to dark was reduced by 50% and 65%, respectively, but had no effect on diastolic pressure. Rilmenidine also reduced blood pressure variability in the autonomic frequency in the active period as assessed by spectral analysis which is consistent with reduction in sympathetic nervous system activity. Perindopril had no effect on the rate or power of the arousal surge in either systolic or diastolic pressure. These results suggest that the arousal induced surge in blood pressure can largely be reduced by an antihypertensive agent that inhibits the sympathetic nervous system and that angiotensin converting enzyme inhibition, while effective in reducing blood pressure, does not alter the rate or power of the surge associated with arousal.

Morning surge in blood pressure is associated with reactivity of the sympathetic nervous system

BACKGROUND

An exaggerated morning surge in blood pressure (BP) closely relates to target organ damage and cardiovascular risk, but whether the causative mechanism involves greater reactivity of the sympathetic nervous system (SNS) is unknown. We determined whether the response of the SNS to a cold pressor test predicted the BP morning surge.

METHODS

Ambulatory BP recordings were obtained from 14 men and 19 women (age = 41±4 years), and the amplitude (day-night difference), rate of rise (RoR), rate by amplitude product (BPPower), and morning BP surge (MBPS; post-awake minus pre-awake) of morning mean arterial pressure (MAP) were determined. The reactivity of the SNS to CPT was assessed by recording of muscle sympathetic nerve activity (MSNA).

RESULTS

CPT induced a marked increase in MAP and all parameters of MSNA, including burst amplitude. Log-normalized BPPower positively correlated with the overall average CPT-induced increases in total MSNA (r = 0.38; P = 0.04) and burst amplitude (r = 0.43; P = 0.02) but was not related to the increase in MSNA frequency. Furthermore, a strong positive linear trend in the CPT-induced changes in burst amplitude across tertiles of BPPower and RoR was observed. BPPower and RoR were not related to CPT-induced hemodynamic changes. The MBPS did not correlate with any of the CPT-induced changes in vascular or MSNA variables.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that the central nervous system mechanisms influencing the increase in MSNA burst amplitude during arousal may also be fundamental in determining the rate and power of BP rise during the morning period.

Predictors of mean arterial pressure morning rate of rise and power function in subjects undergoing ambulatory blood pressure recording

BACKGROUND

We determined clinical predictors of the rate of rise (RoR) in blood pressure in the morning as well as a novel measure of the power of the BP surge (BP(power)) derived from ambulatory blood pressure recordings.

METHODS

BP(power) and RoR were calculated from 409 ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) recordings from subjects attending a cardiovascular risk clinic. Anthropometric data, blood biochemistry, and history were recorded. The 409 subjects were 20-82 years old (average 57, SD = 13), 46% male, 9% with hypertension but not on medication and 34% on antihypertensive medication.

RESULTS

Average RoR was 11.1 mmHg/hour (SD = 8) and BP(power) was 273 mmHg(2)/hour (SD = 235). Only cholesterol, low density lipoprotein and body mass index (BMI) were associated with higher BP(power) and RoR (P<0.05) from 25 variables assessed. BP(power) was lower in those taking beta-blockers or diuretics. Multivariate analysis identified that only BMI was associated with RoR (4.2% increase/unit BMI, P = 0.020) while cholesterol was the only remaining associated variable with BP(power) (17.5% increase/mmol/L cholesterol, P = 0.047). A follow up of 213 subjects with repeated ABP after an average 1.8 years identified that baseline cholesterol was the only predictor for an increasing RoR and BP(power) (P<0.05). 37 patients who commenced statin subsequently had lower BP(power) whereas 90 age and weight matched controls had similar BP(power) on follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Cholesterol is an independent predictor of a greater and more rapid rise in morning BP as well as of further increases over several years. Reduction of cholesterol with statin therapy is very effective in reducing the morning blood pressure surge.

Reduced preprandial dipping accounts for rapid elevation of blood pressure and renal sympathetic nerve activity in rabbits fed a high-fat diet

Consumption of a high-fat diet (HFD) by rabbits results in increased blood pressure (BP), heart rate (HR), and renal sympathetic nerve activity (RSNA) within 1 wk. Here, we determined how early this activation occurred and whether it was related to changes in cardiovascular and neural 24-h rhythms. Rabbits were meal-fed a HFD for 3 wks, then a normal-fat diet (NFD) for 1 wk. BP, HR, and RSNA were measured daily in the home cage via implanted telemeters. Baseline BP, HR, and RSNA over 24 h were 71 ± 1 mm Hg, 205 ± 4 beats/min and 7 ± 1 normalized units (nu). The 24-h pattern was entrained to the feeding cycle and values increased from preprandial minimum to postprandial maximum by 4 ± 1 mm Hg, 51 ± 6 beats/min, and 1.6 ± .6 nu each day. Feeding of a HFD markedly diminished the preprandial dip after 2 d (79-125% of control; p < 0.05) and this reduction lasted for 3 wks of HFD. Twenty-four-hour BP, HR, and RSNA concurrently increased by 2%, 18%, and 22%, respectively. Loss of preprandial dipping accounted for all of the BP increase and 50% of the RSNA increase over 3 wks and the 24-h rhythm became entrained to the light-dark cycle. Resumption of a NFD did not alter the BP preprandial dip. Thus, elevated BP induced by a HFD and mediated by increased sympathetic nerve activity results from a reduction in preprandial dipping, from the first day. Increased calories, glucose, insulin, and leptin may account for early changes, whereas long-term loss of dipping may be related to increased sensitivity of sympathetic pathways.

Induction of chagasic-like arrhythmias in the isolated beating hearts of healthy rats perfused with Trypanosoma cruzi-conditioned medium

Chagas' myocardiopathy, caused by the intracellular protozoan Trypanosoma cruzi, is characterized by microvascular alterations, heart failure and arrhythmias. Ischemia and arrythmogenesis have been attributed to proteins shed by the parasite, although this has not been fully demonstrated. The aim of the present investigation was to study the effect of substances shed by T. cruzi on ischemia/reperfusion-induced arrhythmias. We performed a triple ischemia-reperfusion (I/R) protocol whereby the isolated beating rat hearts were perfused with either Vero-control or Vero T. cruzi-infected conditioned medium during the different stages of ischemia and subsequently reperfused with Tyrode's solution. ECG and heart rate were recorded during the entire experiment. We observed that triple I/R-induced bradycardia was associated with the generation of auricular-ventricular blockade during ischemia and non-sustained nodal and ventricular tachycardia during reperfusion. Interestingly, perfusion with Vero-infected medium produced a delay in the reperfusion-induced recovery of heart rate, increased the frequency of tachycardic events and induced ventricular fibrillation. These results suggest that the presence of parasite-shed substances in conditioned media enhances the arrhythmogenic effects that occur during the I/R protocol.

Comparison of blood pressure and sympathetic activity of rabbits in their home cage and the laboratory environment

Methodological improvements in measuring cardiovascular parameters have meant that data can be collected from freely moving animals in their home cage. However, experiments in rabbits still often require them to be restrained in a laboratory setting. The aim of this study was to determine whether measurements collected when rabbits were placed in a holding box in the laboratory are representative of values obtained in freely moving conscious rabbits. Nine New Zealand White rabbits received two radiotelemetry implants to monitor mean arterial pressure (MAP) and renal sympathetic nerve activity (RSNA). The MAP measured in the laboratory (71 ± 1 mmHg) was similar to that in the home cage (69 ± 1 mmHg), but there was less MAP variability. The RSNA was also similar in both environments. In contrast, laboratory heart rate (HR) was 7% lower than home cage HR (181 ± 4 beats min(-1), P < 0.001), but HR variability was similar. Baroreflex gain, assessed by spectral analysis, was 19% higher in the laboratory than in the home cage due to lower MAP mid-frequency variability in the laboratory. Home cage circadian patterns of MAP and HR were strongly influenced by feeding and activity. Nevertheless, MAP and RSNA laboratory measurements were the same as average 24 h values and remained similar over several weeks. We conclude that while HR is generally lower in the laboratory, a valid representation of MAP and RSNA can be given by laboratory measurements.

Disruption of Transitional Stages in 24-h Blood Pressure Recording in Renal Transplant Recipients

Patients with kidney replacement exhibit disrupted circadian rhythms. Most studies measuring blood pressure use the dipper/non-dipper classification, which does not consider analysis of transitional stages between low and high blood pressure, confidence intervals nor shifts in the time of peak, while assuming subjective onsets of night and day phases. In order to better understand the nature of daily variation of blood pressure in these patients, we analyzed 24 h recordings from 41 renal transplant recipients using the non-symmetrical double-logistic fitting assessment which does not assume abruptness nor symmetry in ascending and descending stages of the blood pressure profile, and a cosine best-fitting regression method (Cosinor). Compared with matched controls, double-logistic fitting showed that the times for most transitional stages (ascending systolic and descending systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial pressure) had a wider distribution along the 24-h. The proportion of individuals without daily blood pressure rhythm in the transplanted group was larger only for systolic arterial pressure, and the amplitude showed no significant difference. Furthermore, the transplant recipient group had a less pronounced slope in descending systolic and ascending mean blood pressure. Cosinor analysis confirmed this phase-related changes, showing a wider distribution of times of peak (acrophases). We conclude that daily disruptions in renal transplant recipients can be explained not necessarily by an absence in diurnal variation, but also by changes in waveform-related parameters of the rhythm, and that alterations in the phase of the rhythm are the most consistent finding in these patients.

Metyrapone and fluoxetine suppress enduring behavioral but not cardiac effects of subchronic stress in rats

In humans, chronic stressors have long been recognized as potential causes for cardiac dysregulation. Despite this, the underlying mechanistic links responsible for this association are still poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to determine whether exposure to a paradigm of subchronic stress can provoke enduring changes on the heart rate of experimental rats and, if so, to reveal the autonomic and neural mechanisms that mediate these effects. The study was conducted on adult male Sprague-Dawley rats instrumented for telemetric recording of heart rate and locomotor activity. Animals were submitted to a subchronic stress protocol, consisting of a 1-h foot shock session on five consecutive days. Heart rate and locomotor activity were recorded continuously for 3 days before and for 6 days after the subchronic stress period. Subchronic foot shock produced significant and enduring reduction in heart rate both during the dark/active [Δ= -23 ± 3 beats per minute (bpm)] and light/inactive (Δ= -20 ± 3 bpm) phases of the circadian cycle, and a reduction in locomotor activity during the dark/active phase [Δ= -54 ± 6 counts per hour (cph)]. The bradycardic effect of subchronic stress was not related to a reduced locomotion. Selective sympathetic (atenolol) and vagal (methyl-scopolamine) blockades were performed to reveal which autonomic component was responsible for this effect. We found that the fall in heart rate persisted after subchronic stress in animals treated with atenolol (active phase Δ= -16 ± 3 bpm, inactive phase Δ= -19 ± 2 bpm), whereas vagal blockade with scopolamine transiently prevented this effect, suggesting that the bradycardia following subchronic stress was predominantly vagally mediated. Fluoxetine (selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor) and metyrapone (inhibitor of corticosterone synthesis) treatments did not affect heart rate changes but prevented the reduction in locomotion. We conclude that subchronic stress exposure in rats reduces heart rate via a rebound in vagal activation and that this effect is serotonin- and corticosterone-independent.

Genes influencing circadian differences in blood pressure in hypertensive mice

Essential hypertension is a common multifactorial heritable condition in which increased sympathetic outflow from the central nervous system is involved in the elevation in blood pressure (BP), as well as the exaggerated morning surge in BP that is a risk factor for myocardial infarction and stroke in hypertensive patients. The Schlager BPH/2J mouse is a genetic model of hypertension in which increased sympathetic outflow from the hypothalamus has an important etiological role in the elevation of BP. Schlager hypertensive mice exhibit a large variation in BP between the active and inactive periods of the day, and also show a morning surge in BP. To investigate the genes responsible for the circadian variation in BP in hypertension, hypothalamic tissue was collected from BPH/2J and normotensive BPN/3J mice at the ‘peak’ (n = 12) and ‘trough’ (n = 6) of diurnal BP. Using Affymetrix GeneChip® Mouse Gene 1.0 ST Arrays, validation by quantitative real-time PCR and a statistical method that adjusted for clock genes, we identified 212 hypothalamic genes whose expression differed between ‘peak’ and ‘trough’ BP in the hypertensive strain. These included genes with known roles in BP regulation, such as vasopressin, oxytocin and thyrotropin releasing hormone, as well as genes not recognized previously as regulators of BP, including chemokine (C-C motif) ligand 19, hypocretin and zinc finger and BTB domain containing 16. Gene ontology analysis showed an enrichment of terms for inflammatory response, mitochondrial proton-transporting ATP synthase complex, structural constituent of ribosome, amongst others. In conclusion, we have identified genes whose expression differs between the peak and trough of 24-hour circadian BP in BPH/2J mice, pointing to mechanisms responsible for diurnal variation in BP. The findings may assist in the elucidation of the mechanism for the morning surge in BP in essential hypertension.

A novel measure of the power of the morning blood pressure surge from ambulatory blood pressure recordings

BACKGROUND

We defined a new measure of the morning blood pressure (BP) surge (MBPS) that is derived by the product of the rate of morning rise (RoR) and the amplitude (day-night difference) giving an effective "Power" of the BP rise (BP(Power)). We applied this method to determine whether morning BP(Power) is different in hypertensives compared to normotensives, males compared to females or altered by antihypertensive treatment.

METHODS

BP(Power), RoR, and day-night amplitude were calculated using a double logistic fit of 691 ambulatory recordings.

RESULTS

Ambulatory recordings from untreated male and female subjects showed that upper quartile (distributed by day BP, n = 100) had a 92% greater BP(Power) (P < 0.001) than the lower quartile subjects (n = 100) due to both a faster RoR and greater amplitude. Males had a 29% greater BP(Power) than females (P = 0.003). Untreated hypertensives and white coat hypertensives showed a greater morning BP(Power) (+158% and +86%, respectively) compared to matched normotensives. Subjects taking calcium channel blockers and diuretics alone or in combination with angiotensin receptor blockers had lower morning BP(Power) than those on angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors or angiotensin receptor antagonists alone.

CONCLUSIONS

A new measure of the MBPS, BP(Power) which is based on a mathematical estimate of the rate and amplitude of the rise, is higher in hypertensives, white coat hypertensives, and is modifiable by some specific antihypertensive therapies suggests that it may be theoretically useful to highlight those subjects at greatest risk of cardiovascular events and for determining the most benefit of antihypertensive therapy.

Reduced phosphoinositide 3-kinase (p110alpha) activation increases the susceptibility to atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia presenting at cardiology departments. A limited understanding of the molecular mechanisms responsible for the development of AF has hindered treatment strategies. The purpose of this study was to assess whether reduced activation of phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K, p110alpha) makes the compromised heart susceptible to AF. Risk factors for AF, including aging, obesity, and diabetes, have been associated with insulin resistance that leads to depressed/defective PI3K signaling. However, to date, there has been no link between PI3K(p110alpha) and AF. To address this question, we crossed a cardiac-specific transgenic mouse model of dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) with a cardiac-specific transgenic mouse expressing a dominant negative mutant of PI3K (dnPI3K; reduces PI3K activity). Adult ( approximately 4.5 months) double-transgenic (dnPI3K-DCM), single-transgenic (DCM-Tg, dnPI3K-Tg), and nontransgenic mice were subjected to morphological, functional/ECG, microarray, and biochemical analyses. dnPI3K-DCM mice developed AF and had depressed cardiac function as well as greater atrial enlargement and fibrosis than DCM-Tg mice. AF was not detected in other groups. Aged DCM-Tg mice ( approximately 15 months) with a similar phenotype to dnPI3K-DCM mice (4.5 months) did not develop AF, suggesting loss of PI3K activity directly contributed to the AF phenotype. Furthermore, increasing PI3K activity reduced atrial fibrosis and improved cardiac conduction in DCM-Tg mice. Finally, in atrial appendages from patients with AF, PI3K activation was lower compared with tissue from patients in sinus rhythm. These results suggest a link between PI3K(p110alpha) and AF.

Non-symmetrical double-logistic analysis of 24 hour arterial stiffness profile in normotensive and hypertensive subjects

OBJECTIVES

Mechanisms underlying the circadian profile of cardiovascular events (CE) are not totally understood. Whether circadian changes in arterial stiffness (AS) could be related to the circadian profile of CE remains to be investigated. As yet, there is no accepted way to measure circadian profiles or nocturnal-related and/or morning-related changes in cardiovascular variables. The aim of this study was to characterize the circadian pattern and day-night and night-day changes of AS in untreated hypertensive (HG) and healthy subjects (NG), using a recently developed non-symmetrical six-parameter double-logistic model.

METHODS

Seven hypertensive and seven normotensive subjects underwent 24 hour ambulatory recordings of blood pressure (BP), heart rate (HR) and aorto-brachial pulse transit time (PTT(AB)) and pulse transit velocity index (PTV(AB)). PTT(AB) and PTV(AB) are inversely and directly related to AS, respectively. The circadian profile and transitional periods (day-night and night-day) were analyzed using a model described by a six-parameter double logistic equation.

CONCLUSIONS

The model was adequate to characterize the circadian pattern of AS. We provide the first evidence that AS in humans follows an asymmetric circadian pattern and that this differs between NG and HG. In both NG and HG, AS had a circadian profile, with the highest levels in the night. HG showed larger levels of AS, larger BP variations and rate of change and minor changes in AS during transitional periods.

Nonsymmetrical double logistic analysis of ambulatory blood pressure recordings

We developed an asymmetric double logistic curve-fitting procedure for circadian analysis that can determine the rate of change in variables during the day-to-night separately from the night-to-day transition for use in animal studies. We now have applied this procedure to 24-h systolic (SAP) and diastolic arterial pressure (DAP) and heart rate ambulatory recordings from 302 patients. In 292 cases, all parameters showed a pattern of higher day and lower night values. In men there was a similar rate of transition between day and night or from night to day for both SAP and DAP that lasted 3–4 h, indicating a symmetrical diurnal pattern. By contrast, women showed a faster rate of decrease in mean arterial pressure in the evening compared with men ( P < 0.05) and therefore showed an asymmetric diurnal SAP pattern. For both men and women, there was a markedly greater rate of morning increase in heart rate compared with the rate of evening decrease (2.2- and 1.9-fold, respectively, P < 0.001). The logistic method provided a better fit than the square-wave or the cosinor method ( P < 0.001) and more appropriately detected nondippers. We conclude that analysis of ambulatory recordings by a new logistic curve-fitting method reveals more rapid reductions in evening SAP in women than men but both have two- to threefold more rapid morning rates of tachycardia. The ability of the double logistic method to determine the diurnal blood pressure rates of change independently is key to determining new markers for cardiovascular risk.