Predictive value of Tokuhashi scoring systems in spinal metastases, focusing on various primary tumor groups: evaluation of 448 patients in the Aarhus spinal metastases database

Rehabilitation to Improve Outcomes after Cervical Spine Surgery: Narrative Review

PURPOSE

The increasing elderly patient population is contributing to the rising worldwide load of cervical spinal disorders, which is expected to result in a global increase in the number of surgical procedures in the foreseeable future. Cervical rehabilitation plays a crucial role in optimal recovery after cervical spine surgeries. Nevertheless, there is no agreement in the existing research regarding the most suitable postsurgical rehabilitation program. Consequently, this review assesses the ideal rehabilitation approach for adult patients following cervical spine operations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This review covers activities of daily living and encompasses diverse treatment methods, including physiotherapy, specialized tools, and guidance for everyday activities. The review is organized under three headings: (1) historical perspectives, (2) patient-reported functional outcomes, and (3) general and disease-specific rehabilitation.

RESULTS

Rehabilitation programs are determined on the basis of patient-reported outcomes, performance tests, and disease prognosis. CSM requires strengthening of the neck and shoulder muscles that have been surgically invaded. In contrast, the CCI requires mobility according to the severity of the spinal cord injury and functional prognosis. The goal of rehabilitation for CCTs, as for CCIs, is to achieve ambulation, but the prognosis and impact of cancer treatment must be considered.

CONCLUSIONS

Rehabilitation of the cervical spine after surgery is essential for improving physical function and the ability to perform daily activities and enhancing overall quality of life. The rehabilitation process should encompass general as well as disease-specific exercises. While current rehabilitation protocols heavily focus on strengthening muscles, they often neglect the crucial aspect of spinal balance. Therefore, giving equal attention to muscle reinforcement and the enhancement of spinal balance following surgery on the cervical spine is vital.

Critical evaluation of the literature on decision-making in spinal metastases

Decision-making in patients with vertebral metastases is highly complex. Different factors of the patient, their cancer disease and treatment options are involved in it. Treatment schemes and strategies have been modified with the evolution of knowledge and treatment of disseminated oncological disease. This paper analyzes the bibliography that has been used for decision-making in the last three decades, as well as the evolution to the schemes that we could consider contemporary.

[Translated article] Critical evaluation of the literature on decision-making in spinal metastases

Decision-making in patients with vertebral metastases is highly complex. Different factors of the patient, their cancer disease and treatment options are involved in it. Treatment schemes and strategies have been modified with the evolution of knowledge and treatment of disseminated oncological disease. This paper analyzes the bibliography that has been used for decision-making in the last three decades, as well as the evolution to the schemes that we could consider contemporary.

Surgical Management of the Metastatic Spine Disease: A Review of the Literature and Proposed Algorithm

STUDY DESIGN

Narrative Review. The spine remains the most common site for bony metastasis. It is estimated that up to 70% of cancer patients harbor secondary spinal disease. And up to 10% will develop a clinically significant lesion. The last two decades have seen a substantial leap forward in the advancements of the management of spinal metastases. What once was a death sentence is now a manageable, even potentially treatable condition. With marked advancements in the surgical treatment and post-operative radiotherapy, a standardized approach to stratify and manage these patients is both prudent and now feasible.

OBJECTIVES

This article looks to examine the best available evidence in the stratification and surgical management of patients with spinal metastases. So the aim of this review is to offer a standardized approach for surgical management and surgical planning of patients with spinal metastases.

Comparison of open versus minimally invasive surgery in the treatment of thoracolumbar metastases

INTRODUCTION

Minimally invasive surgery (MIS) techniques have been developed for the surgical treatment of thoracolumbar spinal metastases to reduce the morbidity associated with the operation. The purpose of our study was to compare the mean length of stay, change in pain levels, neurological symptoms, complications and survival after open versus MIS surgery.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This is a single-center retrospective study based on a register of patients treated for vertebral metastases between January 2014 and October 2016. The collection included demographic data, cancer-related data, clinical data, the characteristics of the surgery, the length of stay, assessment of pain and the occurrence of death. These data were compared between open and MIS surgery groups.

RESULTS

Out of 59 patients, 35 were treated with open surgery and 24 were treated with MIS surgery. The two groups were comparable in terms of age, gender and body mass index. Breast, kidney, prostate and lung cancers were the most frequent primary tumors. Prognostic and instability scores were comparable. Short- and medium-term pain assessment showed comparable results. Median survival was 208 days in the open surgery group and 224days in the MIS group (p=0.5299).

CONCLUSION

MIS techniques aim to limit the surgical approach and allow a faster introduction of adjuvant treatments than after open surgery. Our study did not find any differences between open and MIS surgery in terms of pain, neurological evolution or survival time in patients treated for thoracolumbar spinal metastases.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

IV; retrospective study.

Survival after surgery for spinal metastatic disease: a nationwide multiregistry cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate survival after surgery and indications for surgery due to spinal metastatic disease.

DESIGN

A retrospective longitudinal multiregistry nationwide cohort study.

SETTING

19 public hospitals in Sweden with spine surgery service, where 6 university hospitals account for over 90% of the cases.

PARTICIPANTS

1820 patients 18 years or older undergoing surgery due to spinal metastatic disease 2006-2018 and registered in Swespine, the Swedish national spine surgery registry.

INTERVENTIONS

Decompressive and/or stabilising spine surgery due to spinal metastatic disease.

PRIMARY OUTCOME

Survival (median and mean) after surgery.

SECONDARY OUTCOMES

Indications for surgery, types of surgery and causes of death.

RESULTS

The median estimated survival after surgery was 6.2 months (95% CI: 5.6 to 6.8) and the mean estimated survival time was 12.2 months (95% CI: 11.4 to 13.1). Neurologic deficit was the most common indication for surgery and posterior stabilisation was performed in 70.5% of the cases. A neoplasm was stated as the main cause of death for 97% of the patients.

CONCLUSION

Both median and mean survival times were well above the generally accepted thresholds for surgical treatment for spinal metastases, suggesting that patient selection for surgical treatment on a national level is adequate. Further research on quality of life after surgery and prognostication is needed.

Does knowledge of the primary tumour affect survival after surgery for spinal metastatic disease? A retrospective longitudinal cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To compare survival after surgery for patients with spinal metastatic disease with known primary tumour (KPT) versus patients with unknown primary tumour (UPT).

PARTICIPANTS

393 patients 18 years or older (270 men and 123 women, mean age 67.3 years) undergoing surgery at Uppsala University Hospital in Swedenbetween 2006 and 2016due to spinal metastatic disease . 271 patients (69%) had a KPT at the time of surgery and 122 (31%) had an UPT.

INTERVENTIONS

Decompressive and/or stabilising spine surgery due to spinal metastatic disease.

PRIMARY OUTCOME

Survival (median and mean) after surgery.

RESULTS

The estimated median survival time after surgery for patients with KPT was 7.4 months (95% CI 6.0 to 8.7) and mean survival time was 21.6 months (95% CI 17.2 to 26.0). For patients with UPT, the median estimated survival time after surgery was 15.6 months (95% CI 7.5 to 23.7) and the mean survival time was 48.1 months (95% CI 37.3 to 59.0) (Breslow, p=0.001). Unknown primary cancer was a positive predictor of survival after surgery (Cox regression, HR=0.58, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.73).

CONCLUSION

In this study, patients with spinal metastasis and UPT had a longer expected survival after surgery compared with patients with KPT. This suggests that patients with UPT and spinal metastasis should not be withheld from surgery only based on the fact that the primary tumour is unknown.

Survival, discharge destination, and referral for rehabilitation after metastatic spinal cord compression surgery

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective review of medical records.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to examine probability of survival after 90- and 180-days after surgery, to document the rehabilitation needs, patients discharge destination, and whether discharge destination, re-admission, and probability of survival among patients with metastatic spinal cord compression (MSCC) were associated with potential risk factors.

SETTING

Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet that serves a population of 2.8 million people from the Eastern part of Denmark, Faroe Islands, and Greenland.

METHODS

Adult (≥18 years) patients with MSCC undergoing surgery in 2017-2018 were included. Descriptive statistics were used to investigate the probability of survival after 90- and 180-days, rehabilitation needs documented in the patient's medical record, and discharge destination. Univariate logistic regression analyses were used to examine the associations between a priory defined potential risk factors for mortality and readmission.

RESULTS

Seventy-four medical records were included in final analysis. The probability of survival after 90- and 180-days post-surgery were 78% and 57%, respectively. Higher age was the only defined variable that was significantly associated with higher mortality. Ninety-three percent of the patient's medical records described rehabilitation potential, but only 44.6% of the patients were discharged with a rehabilitation plan. Seventy-three percent of the patients were discharged to their home. None had a specialized rehabilitation plan.

CONCLUSION

Almost all patients diagnosed with MSCC have a rehabilitation potential described in their medical records. However, only half of these patients are discharged with a rehabilitation plan indicating an unmet potential for rehabilitation.

Perioperative mortality of metastatic spinal disease with unknown primary: A case report and review of literature

BACKGROUND

Spinal metastases are common in patients with malignancies, but studies on those metastasized from unknown primaries are scarce due to the difficulty in treatment and the relatively poor prognosis. Knowledge of surgical complications, particularly perioperative mortality, in patients with spinal metastases from unidentified sources is still insufficient.

CASE SUMMARY

A 54-year-old man with chest-back pain was diagnosed with spinal metastasis in the seventh thoracic vertebra (T7). Radiographic examinations, as well as needle biopsy and immunohistochemical tests were performed to verify the characteristics of the lesion, resulting in an inconclusive diagnosis of poorly differentiated cancer from an unknown primary lesion. Therefore, spinal surgery was performed using the posterior approach to relieve symptoms and verify the diagnosis. Postoperative histologic examination indicated that this poorly differentiated metastatic cancer was possibly sarcomatoid carcinoma. As the patient experienced unexpectedly fast progression of the disease and died 16 d after surgery, the origin of this metastasis was undetermined. We discuss this case with respect to reported perioperative mortality in similar cases.

CONCLUSION

A comprehensive assessment prior to surgical decision-making is essential to reduce perioperative mortality risk in patients with spinal metastases from an unknown origin.

Metastatic Spine Disease: Should Patients With Short Life Expectancy Be Denied Surgical Care? An International Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Despite our inability to accurately predict survival in many cancer patients, a life expectancy of at least 3 mo is historically necessary to be considered for surgical treatment of spinal metastases.

OBJECTIVE

To compare health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in patients surviving <3 mo after surgical treatment to patients surviving >3 mo to assess the validity of this inclusion criteria.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgery for spinal metastases between August 2013 and May 2017 were retrospectively identified from an international cohort study. HRQOL was evaluated using generic and disease-specific outcome tools at baseline and at 6 and 12 wk postsurgery. The primary outcome was the HRQOL at 6 wk post-treatment measured by the Spine Oncology Study Group Outcomes Questionnaire (SOSGOQ).

RESULTS

A total of 253 patients were included: 40 patients died within the first 3 mo after surgery and 213 patients survived more than 3 mo. Patients surviving <3 mo after surgery presented with lower baseline performance status. Adjusted analyses for baseline performance status did not reveal a significant difference in HRQOL between both groups at 6 wk post-treatment. No significant difference in patient satisfaction at 6 wk with regard to their treatment could be detected between both groups.

CONCLUSION

When controlled for baseline performance status, quality of life 6 wk after surgery for spinal metastasis is independent of survival. To optimize improvement in HRQOL for this patient population, baseline performance status should take priority over expected survival in the surgical decision-making process.

Presentation of spinal cord and column tumors

Metastatic spine disease occurs in more than 10% of all cancer patients. Advances in systemic treatment for cancer has led to improved overall survival for many types of cancer, which has increased the overall incidence of spinal metastases. The most common presenting complaint of patients with spinal metastases is pain. Pain originating from spinal metastases can be oncological, mechanical, and/or neurological in nature. Early recognition of these symptoms is helpful to guide treatment and accurately gauge patient prognosis. Unfortunately, the prevalence of degenerative back pain in the general population can complicate early clinical recognition of patients with metastatic spine disease. Therefore, back pain in any patient with a history of malignancy should prompt clinicians to perform an expedited workup for metastatic disease of the spine. Diagnostic imaging and laboratory studies are part of the initial work up. Obtaining pathology via biopsy to establish tumor histology is essential to determine the appropriate treatment.

Necessity of Bony Fusion After Surgical Treatment of Metastatic Spine Tumors

INTRODUCTION

The role of bony fusion in influencing patient outcome and surgical revision rates in the treatment of metastatic spine disease is poorly defined. The goals of this study were, therefore, to evaluate the effect of fusion on revision surgery as well as on overall survival (OS) and functional status in patients with metastatic disease of the spine.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of a prospective database at a major cancer center was conducted. A total of 25 patients who met the inclusion criteria from January 2010 to December 2015 were included. Functional status, patient and tumor characteristics, fusion status, and survival were analyzed, and regression analyses were done. Bony fusion was classified as either present (seen across a minimum of three levels and crossing the tumor site) or absent as evidenced through CT images at minimum of 1-year postoperatively.

RESULTS

Twenty-five subjects with 28 surgical sites met the eligibility criteria to be included in this study cohort. Five surgical sites were found to have evidence of fusion on CT scans at 1 year after surgery, and 23 sites had no evidence of bridging fusion. No differences were found between the two groups in terms of OS, and ambulatory status (P > 0.10). Multivariate analysis did not reveal any specific factors affecting fusion. Mean follow-up was 23.7 months.

DISCUSSION

The lack of bony fusion is not an independent predictor of the need for revision surgery. The lack of bony fusion in patients with metastatic disease of the spine does not appear to negatively affect their OS or their ambulatory status. A discussion of factors affecting fusion is complex, and there are other factors that may also play a role. Large multicenter trials are needed to corroborate the preliminary findings seen in this complex patient cohort.

Distribution and predictive value of initial presenting symptoms in spinal metastases from primary cancer patients

PURPOSE

Primary cancer patients may have some symptoms and develop spinal metastases in their disease progression. This study was to report the distribution and predictive value of specific initial presenting symptoms in patients with spine metastatic disease.

METHODS

The clinical information about patients with primary cancers was retrospectively collected and analyzed at their initial diagnosis from January 2008 to December 2017. The distribution and specific value of initial presenting symptoms were analyzed in predicting spinal metastases.

RESULTS

A total of 14,603 cancer patients were finally included, of whom 1665 (11.4%) cases were confirmed with spinal metastases. 41.55% (6067/14,603) patients had initial presenting symptoms, while 92.19% (1535/1665) patients with spinal metastases presented at least one initial presenting symptoms. Among 6269 patients with symptoms, 1535 (24.49%) were diagnosed with spinal metastases. Factors including primary tumor type, local pain, night-aggravating pain, limb numbness, limb weakness, unstable gait, claudication, loss of sphincter control, and weight loss are associated with the distribution of spinal metastases. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 90.9% (89.4-92.2%), 64.9% (64.0-65.7%), 24.99% (23.91-26.11%), and 98.23% (97.92-98.50%), respectively. Positive likelihood ratio of "night-aggravating pain" was 33.25 (12.65-87.36) and 17.26 (12.25-24.32) in patients < 45 and 45-64 years old, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The distribution of spinal metastases is associated with primary tumor type and initial presenting symptoms. The predictive value of initial presenting symptoms differs in age groups, but resembles in cancer types. The presence of night-aggravating pain had relative high value in predicting metastases in cancer patients under 65 years old.

Predictive Scores Underestimate Survival of Patients With Metastatic Spine Disease: A Retrospective Study of 315 Patients in Sweden

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

To validate the precision of four predictive scoring systems for spinal metastatic disease and evaluate whether they underestimate or overestimate survival.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Metastatic spine disease is a common complication to malignancies. Several scoring systems are available to predict survival and to help the clinician to select surgical or nonsurgical treatment.

METHODS

Three hundred fifteen adult patients (213 men, 102 women, mean age 67 yr) undergoing spinal surgery at Uppsala University Hospital, Sweden, due to metastatic spine disease 2006 to 2012 were included. Data were collected prospectively for the Swedish Spine Register and retrospectively from the medical records. Tokuhashi scores, Revised Tokuhashi Scores, Tomita scores, and Modified Bauer Scores were calculated and compared with actual survival data from the Swedish Population Register.

RESULTS

The mean estimated survival time after surgery for all patients included was 12.4 months (confidence interval 10.6-14.2) and median 5.9 months (confidence interval 4.5-7.3). All four scores had significant correlation to survival (P < 0.0001) but tended to underestimate rather than overestimate survival. Modified Bauer Score was the best of the four scores to predict short survival, both regarding median and mean survival. Tokuhashi score was found to be the best of the scores to predict long survival, even though the predictions were inaccurate in 42% of the cases.

CONCLUSION

Predictive scores underestimate survival for the patients which might affect important clinical decisions.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Outcomes of surgical treatments of spinal metastases: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Owing to recent advances in cancer therapy, updated data are required for clinicians counselling patients on treatment of spinal metastases.

OBJECTIVE

To analyse the outcomes of surgical treatments of spinal metastases.

METHODS

Prospective and multicentric study that included consecutively patients operated on for spinal metastases between January 2016 and January 2017. Overall survival was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate hazard ratio (HR) analysing mortality risk according to preoperative Karnofsky performance status (KPS), mobility level and neurological status.

RESULTS

A total of 252 patients were included (145 males, 107 females) aged a mean 63.3 years. Median survival was 450 days. Primary cancer sites were lung (21%) and breast (19%). Multiple spinal metastases involved 122 patients (48%). Concomitant skeletal and visceral metastases were noted in 90 patients (36%). Main procedure was laminectomy and posterior fixation (57%). Overall, pain and mobility level were improved postoperatively. Most patients had normal preoperative motor function (50%) and remained so postoperatively. Patients "bedbound" on admission were the less likely to recover. In-hospital death rate was 2.4% (three disease progression, one septic shock, one pneumonia, one pulmonary embolism). Complication rate was 33%, deep wound infection was the most frequent aetiology. Higher mortality was observed in patients with poorest preoperative KPS (KPS 0-40%, HR = 3.1, p < 0.001) and mobility level ("bedbound", HR = 2.16, p < 0.001). Survival seemed also to be linked to preoperative neurological function.

CONCLUSION

Surgical treatments helped maintain reasonable condition for patients with spinal metastases. Intervention should be offered before patients' condition worsen to ensure better outcomes.

[Metastatic breast cancer in the spine : Molecular predictors for choosing adequate treatment strategies]

Breast cancer is the most common malignancy affecting women and the spinal column is most likely affected by metastases. Modern oncologic treatment options have significantly prolonged survival times in the last decade. Therefore, treatment of vertebral metastases has been of special interest in spine surgery. Different scores are described to evaluate prognosis and to choose correct treatment strategies, which however only differentiate tumor entities and not specific tumor phenotypes. Breast cancer has been classified into five intrinsic subtypes with different survival rates since the turn of the millennium. The aim of this review was to describe molecular predictors of breast cancer malignancy and to better estimate expected survival times and invasiveness of therapies with regard to spinal metastases.

Predicting survival for metastatic spine disease: a comparison of nine scoring systems

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

Despite advances in spinal oncology, research in patient-based prognostic calculators for metastatic spine disease is lacking. Much of the literature in this area investigates the general predictive accuracy of scoring systems in heterogeneous populations, with few studies considering the accuracy of scoring systems based on patient specifics such as type of primary tumor.

PURPOSE

The aim of the present study was to compare the ability of widespread scoring systems to estimate both overall survival at various time points and tumor-specific survival for patients undergoing surgical treatment for metastatic spine disease in order to provide surgeons with information to determine the most appropriate scoring system for a specific patient and timeline.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a retrospective study.

PATIENT SAMPLE

Patients who underwent surgical resection for metastatic spine disease at a single institution were included.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were generated from comparison of actual survival of patients and survival as predicted by application of prevalent scoring systems.

METHODS

A preoperative score for all 176 patients was retrospectively calculated utilizing the Skeletal Oncology Research Group (SORG) Classic Scoring Algorithm, SORG Nomogram, original Tokuhashi, revised Tokuhashi, Tomita, original Bauer, modified Bauer, Katagiri, and van der Linden scoring systems. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were constructed to assess the association of patient variables with survival. Receiver operating characteristic analysis modeling was utilized to quantify the accuracy of each test at different end points and for different primary tumor subgroups. No funds were received in support of this work. The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

RESULTS

Among all patients surgically treated for metastatic spine disease, the SORG Nomogram demonstrated the highest accuracy at predicting 30-day (area under the curve [AUC] 0.81) and 90-day (AUC 0.70) survival after surgery. The original Tokuhashi was the most accurate at predicting 365-day survival (AUC 0.78). Multivariate analysis demonstrated multiple preoperative factors strongly associated with survival after surgery for spinal metastasis. The accuracy of each scoring system in determining survival probability relative to primary tumor etiology and time elapsed since surgery was assessed.

CONCLUSIONS

Among the nine scoring systems assessed, the present study determined the most accurate scoring system for short-term (30-day), intermediate (90-day), and long-term (365-day) survival, relative to primary tumor etiology. The findings of the present study may be utilized by surgeons in a personalized effort to select the most appropriate scoring system for a given patient.

The Role of Prognostic Scoring Systems in Assessing Surgical Candidacy for Patients With Vertebral Metastasis: A Narrative Review

STUDY DESIGN

Narrative review.

OBJECTIVES

To review the relevant literature regarding scoring systems for vertebral metastases and quantify their role in contemporary orthopedic practice.

METHODS

A literature search of PubMed, Google Scholar, and Embase was performed on February 7, 2017. Eight scoring systems were selected for detailed review-7 of which were scores focused solely on patient prognosis (Tokuhashi, Tomita, Bauer, Oswestry Spinal Risk Index, Van der Linden, Rades, and Katagiri). The eighth system reviewed was the Spinal Instability Neoplastic Score, which examines for impending spinal instability in patients with vertebral metastases and represents a novel approach compared with hitherto scoring systems.

RESULTS

The Bauer and Oswestry Spinal Risk Index have the most accurate prognostic predictive ability, with the newer Oswestry Spinal Risk Index being favored by the contemporary literature as it demands less investigation and is therefore more readily accessible. There was a growing trend in studies designed to customize scoring systems for individual cancer pathological subtypes. The Spinal Instability Neoplastic Score shows good reliability for predicting instability among surgeons and oncologists.

CONCLUSIONS

The increased understanding of cancer pathology and subsequent development of customized treatments has led to prolonged survival. For patients with vertebral metastases, this affects surgical candidacy not only on the basis of prognosis but also provides prolonged opportunity for the development of spinal instability. Scoring systems have a useful guidance role in these deciding for/against surgical intervention, but in order to remain contemporary ongoing review, development, and revalidation is mandatory.

Prognostic factors in patients with metastatic spine tumors derived from lung cancer-a novel scoring system for predicting life expectancy

BACKGROUND

Recently, molecule-targeting and bone-modifying agents have improved the treatment outcomes of lung cancer-derived metastatic spine tumors. Therefore, the prognostic factors for such tumors were examined, and novel scoring systems for predicting the life expectancy of patients with such tumors were proposed.

METHODS

In 207 patients with lung cancer-derived metastatic spine tumors (surgery 49; conservative therapy 158), we retrospectively examined the factors that influenced the post-treatment survival time (age, sex, the affected site, pathology, general condition, the number of extraspinal bone metastases, the number of spinal metastases, the presence/absence of major internal organ metastasis, paralysis state, the total Tokuhashi score, the serum alkaline phosphatase level, the serum carcinoembryonic antigen level, molecule-targeting drug treatment, and bone-modifying agent treatment). Based on the results, we devised novel scoring systems for predicting the prognosis of such patients.

RESULTS

Univariate analyses showed that the pathology of the primary lung tumor, the patient's general condition and paralysis state, and the presence/absence of molecule-targeting drug treatment significantly influenced survival. We performed a Cox regression analysis of these four factors and developed criteria for a novel scoring system based on the patient's general condition and paralysis state, which exhibited significance in the regression analysis. A retrospective review indicated that the consistency rate between predicted life expectancy and actual survival was 67.3%. When criteria based on the four factors that exhibited significance in the univariate analyses were adopted, the consistency rate was 76.2%.

CONCLUSION

The patient's general condition and paralysis state, the pathology of the primary lung tumor, and molecule-targeting drug treatment influenced survival among patients with lung cancer-derived metastatic spine tumors. Novel scoring systems based on these four factors were proposed.

Survival Outcomes and Factors Associated with Revision Surgery for Metastatic Disease of the Spine

Study Design

Retrospective review of a prospective database.

Objective

Certain subset of patients undergoing surgical treatment for spinal metastasis will require a revision surgery in their disease course; however, factors predictive of revision surgery and survival outcomes are largely unknown. The goal of this study is to report on survival outcomes as well as factors predictive of revision surgery in this unique patient population.

Methods

A total of 55 patients who met the inclusion criteria were included from January 2010 to December 2015. Twelve (22%) of these patients underwent a revision surgery. Patient and tumor characteristics were summarized and survival outcomes were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results

Both the revision and the nonrevision groups were similarly matched with respect to spine disease burden, neurological status at time of initial presentation, primary malignancy types, and the use of adjuvant treatment modalities. Tumor progression (66.7%) was the most common reason for necessitating a revision followed by nonunion (16.7%), wound dehiscence (8.3%), and construct failure (8.3%). Following multivariate model selection procedures, smokers were found to have 3.5 times increased odds of undergoing revision compared to nonsmokers (p = 0.05). Analysis of survival curves showed that the median survival in the revision group was 3.0 years (95% CI: 1.5, 4.1), while the median survival in the nonrevision group was 1.5 years (95% CI: 1.1, 2.3; log-rank test, p = 0.105).

Conclusion

Despite aggressive treatment, tumor progression is the most common reason for revision surgery. Smoking is an independent risk factor for revision. Revision surgery should be considered in patients when indicated as it does not appear to detrimentally affect survival.

Evaluation of Prognostic Factors and Proposed Changes to the Modified Tokuhashi Score in Patients With Spinal Metastases From Breast Cancer

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective study of all patients with histologically confirmed breast cancer spinal metastases presenting to a single institution between May 2001 and April 2012.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate whether the 2014mT is more accurate than the 2005mT.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

The commonly used 2005 modified Tokuhashi score (2005mT) has become more inaccurate as oncologists move toward treating tumors according to their molecular and genomic profile, rather than their tissue-of-origin. In attempts to improve the accuracy of the 2005mT, a revised score (2014mT) was published, suggesting that hormone receptor negative and triple-negative breast cancer patients be given a modified Tokuhashi histological score of 3 rather than 5.

METHODS

Demographic characteristics, tumor receptor status, clinical findings in relation to the primary tumor and its metastases, and actual survival time were collated. The 2005mT was compared with the 2014mT. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the influence of each parameter on survival, and receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine predictive values of each score version.

RESULTS

Of the 185 patients included, 32 underwent operative treatment, while 153 were managed nonoperatively for their spinal metastases. The overall cohort had a median survival time of 24 months following the diagnosis of spinal metastases, with a 6-month survival rate of 90%. Hormone, HER2 and triple-negative receptor statuses were significant predictors of poorer survival upon multivariate analysis (P = 0.004, P = 0.007, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001, respectively). Age, the original Tokuhashi score components, previous breast surgery for cancer, previous radiotherapy to the breast, previous radiotherapy to the spine, previous chemotherapy, and previous immunotherapy were not significant. At 6 months, the 2005mT AUROC was 0.62, while that of the 2014mT was 0.64 (P = 0.5394).

CONCLUSION

Tumor histological subtype is crucial when prognosticating the survival of patients with breast cancer spinal metastases. Although the 2014mT was marginally more accurate than the 2005mT, its predictive ability remains poor.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Functional and survival outcomes in patients undergoing surgical treatment for metastatic disease of the spine

Background

Retrospective review of a prospective database. Spine metastasis has been shown to occur in 40% of cancer patients with an annual incidence of over 18,000 cases in North America alone. In this study, we sought to explore the functional and survival outcomes of patients undergoing surgical treatment for metastatic disease of the spine.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of a prospective database at a major cancer center was conducted. A total of 55 patients who met the inclusion criteria from January 2010 to December 2015 were included. Functional status was assessed through patient's ambulatory status. Patient and tumor characteristics were analyzed and regression analyses were performed.

Results

Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) was the most common subtype encountered (27.3%). Excluding patients who had spinal metastasis at time of diagnosis, the median time to spinal metastasis from cancer diagnosis was 2.5 years. Median overall survival (OS) time was 1.8 years post diagnosis and 1.6 years post-surgical intervention. Age and tumor subtype were independent predictors of death (P<0.05). Post-surgical intervention, only 3.6% of patients were unable to ambulate-an improvement from 12.7% seen in the immediate preoperative period, P=0.0253. However, at the time of final follow-up, this number had risen to nearly 37%, P<0.0001.

Conclusions

Spinal metastasis portends a debilitating prognosis. Ambulatory status is improved or maintained in the post-surgical period. However, long-term outlook remains dismal with median survival at only 1.8 years following diagnosis of spinal metastasis and ambulatory status declining precipitously at the time of final follow-up.

Analysis of Four Scoring Systems for the Prognosis of Patients with Metastasis of the Vertebral Column

OBJECTIVE

Metastatic spinal diseases are common health problems and there is no consensus on the appropriate treatment of metastases in several conditions. Using clinical measures (e.g., survival time and functional status), prognosis prediction systems advise on the appropriate interventions. The aim of this article is to assess and compare 4 widely used scoring systems (revised Tokuhashi, Tomita, van der Linden, and modified Bauer scores) on a single-center cohort.

METHODS

A retrospective study was designed of 329 patients who were subjected to surgery because of metastatic spinal diseases. Subpopulations according to the classifications of the 4 scoring systems were identified. The overall survival was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier formula. The difference between the survival curves of subpopulations was analyzed with log-rank tests. The consistency rates for the 4 scoring systems are calculated as well.

RESULTS

The follow-up period was 8 years. The median survival time was 222 days. The overall survival of prognostic categories in 3 scoring systems was significantly different from each other, but we found no differences between the categories of the van der Linden system. In this cohort, the revised Tokuhashi system gave the best approximation for survival, with a mean predictive capability 60.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

The evaluation of 4 standard scoring systems showed that 3 were self-consistent, although none of systems was able to predict the survival in our cohort. Based on the predictive capability, the revised Tokuhashi system may provide the best predictions with careful examination of individual cases.

The Influence of Histologic Subtype in Predicting Survival of Lung Cancer Patients With Spinal Metastases

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective analysis.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Recent advancements in systemic treatment of lung cancer have significantly improved the survival of patients with certain histolopathologic and molecular subtypes. Existing prognostic scores do not account for this and patients with lung cancer spinal metastases are grouped together as poor prognostic candidates, and consequently, some may be inappropriately denied palliative spine surgery.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study was to study whether the expected survival in patients with lung cancer spinal metastases is affected by histolopathologic and molecular subtypes in the context of modern systemic therapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all patients with histologically confirmed lung cancer treated for spinal metastases at our institution between 2001 and 2012. Patients' demographics, histopathologic details, treatment modalities, and survival data were collected. The primary outcome was survival from time of spinal metastases diagnosis. The Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the influence of tumor histology, molecular profile and treatment modality on survival. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was conducted to compare lung cancer subtypes, as well as various treatment regimens.

RESULTS

Out of 180 patients, 51 underwent surgery for spinal metastases. Female sex (P=0.019), absence of palsy (P=0.023), good Karnofsky performance scores (P<0.001), and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) (P=0.002) were favorable prognostic factors. Patients who received systemic therapy, including tyrosine kinase inhibitors, platinum doublet chemotherapy, or both showed increased survival (P<0.01). The median survival time was 2.40 months [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.13-2.68] in the small cell lung cancer cohort, with no patients surviving past a year; 5.10 months (95% CI, 3.78-6.41) in the NSCLC cohort, with 25.9% 1-year survival; and 13.3 months (95% CI, 2.26-24.40) in adenocarcinoma patients who received both tyrosine kinase inhibitors and platinum doublet therapy, with 50.0% 1-year survival.

CONCLUSIONS

NSCLC, systemic therapy, female sex, absence of palsy and good Karnofsky performance scores are all independent favorable prognostic factors for patients with lung cancer spinal metastases. These should be routinely considered during prognostication.

Decision Making for the Surgical Treatment of Vertebral Metastases Among Patients with Short Predicted Survival

BACKGROUND

A wide spectrum of treatment choices is proposed for poor-prognosis patients with vertebral metastases. The continuous increase of this population and the propagation of less invasive techniques necessitate further study concerning which patients could benefit from palliative surgery.

METHODS

All patients with a Tokuhashi score ≤8 who had undergone palliative surgical treatment for vertebral metastasis within 4 years were retrospectively reviewed. Demographics, clinical characteristics, and data concerning the disease and the operation were recorded. Patients were assessed on discharge and at 2 months concerning eventual benefit from surgery, based on pain measurements, motor function (Frankel grade), spinal stability assessment, and complications. Statistical analysis was performed to detect possible interrelations.

RESULTS

Eighty-eight patients were reviewed. The average age was 56.5 years. The mean Tokuhashi score was 5.9, and the mean Karnofsky score was 56.4. Thirty-six patients experienced immediate improvement, 12 were lost to follow-up, and 42 were found to have benefited from surgery 2 months later. High Karnofsky score, radicular pain, morphine use, absence of complications, and immediate improvement predicted benefit from surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Decision making for a patient with poor prognosis concerning eventual surgery for a vertebral metastasis should be based mainly on the patient's clinical presentation; the primary cancer site is of less importance.

Classification and scoring systems for metastatic spine tumors: a literature review

Introduction

Accurate evaluation of metastasis and life prognosis is essential for selecting a suitable therapeutic strategy for metastatic spine tumors owing to limitations in treatment options. For this purpose, various classification, evaluation, and scoring systems have been developed.

Methods

Classification, evaluation, and scoring systems for metastatic spine tumors reported to date were identified by performing a literature search on PubMed. We reviewed the most cited classifications and scorings before 2009, and all classifications and scorings reported after 2010 from the search results.

Results

Six classifications and 23 scorings were reviewed. The classification/evaluation methods are divided into 1) anatomical classification/evaluation methods, 2) evaluation methods for neurological symptoms/instability, and 3) scoring systems for predicting life expectancy. The first 2 were useful for the planning and evaluation of surgical indications. Scoring systems for life prognosis also permitted rough prediction of the outcomes and were useful for the selection of a suitable treatment. However, variation of the patient background, diversity of adopted prognostic factors, and the absence of scoring systems that could predict the outcome with an accuracy of 90% or higher introduced some limitations.

Conclusion

The identified classification, evaluation, and scoring systems have been generally useful for treatment strategies. However, we emphasize the necessity of multidisciplinary development and revision of classification and evaluation methods to adapt to the prolongation of survival associated with increased diversity and improvement of treatment options.

Systematic Review of the Outcomes of Surgical Treatment of Prostate Metastases to the Spine

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review.

OBJECTIVE

Surgical decompression and reconstruction of symptomatic spinal metastases has improved the quality of life in cancer patients. However, most data has been collected on cohorts of patients with mixed tumor histopathology. We systematically reviewed the literature for prognostic factors specific to the surgical treatment of prostate metastases to the spine.

METHODS

A systemic review of the literature was conducted to answer the following questions: Question 1. Describe the survival and functional outcomes of surgery or vertebral augmentation for prostate metastases to the spine. Question 2. Determine whether overall tumor burden, Gleason score, preoperative functional markers, and hormonal naivety favor operative intervention. Question 3. Establish whether clinical outcomes vary with the evolution of operative techniques.

RESULTS

A total of 16 studies met the preset inclusion criteria. All included studies were retrospective series with a level of evidence of IV. Included studies consistently showed a large effect of hormone-naivety on overall survival. Additionally, studies consistently demonstrated an improvement in motor function and the ability to maintain/regain ambulation following surgery resulting in moderate strength of recommendation. All other parameters were of insufficient or low strength.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a dearth of literature regarding the surgical treatment of prostate metastases to the spine, which represents an opportunity for future research. Based on existing evidence, it appears that the surgical treatment of prostate metastases to the spine has consistently favorable results. While no consistent preoperative indicators favor nonoperative treatment, hormone-naivety and high Karnofsky performance scores have positive effects on survival and clinical outcomes.

Surgically treated spinal metastases: Do prognostic scores have a role?

Background:

The outcome for patients with metastatic disease in spine is difficult to predict. Multiple scoring systems were utilized in this study to determine their effectiveness in predicting long-term prognoses.

Methods:

A retrospective analysis of surgically treated patients of spinal metastasis was performed between 2005 and 2016. Data were collected prospectively during which 8 patients were lost to follow-up. Ultimately, data from 63 patients were reviewed. Treatment and prognoses were analyzed utilizing various scoring systems including the SINS, the Tomita, the modified Tokouhashi and Bauer scores.

Results:

Records of 63 patients, averaging 54 years of age, were analyzed. The Tomita score was applied in 44 patients, a modified Bauer score was studied in 49 patients, while SINS and modified Tokouhashi scores were calculated in all 63 patients. The hazard ratios for the Tomita score were 1, 0.030, 0.622, and 0.272, respectively. The hazard ratios for the modified Bauer scores were 1, 4.663, and 1.622, respectively. The Tokouhashi ratios were 1, 1.656, and 0.501, respectively. Of interest, the Tomita scores provided the highest statistical significance (P = 0.000) followed by the Bauer (P = 0.002) and Tokuhashi scores (P = 0.003). Notably, the SINS score showed no significant correlation in predicting patient survival.

Conclusion:

For evaluating the metastatic spine disease, this study evaluated the prognostic efficacy of four widely used scores: the Tomita, score, the modified Tokouhashi and Bauer scores, and the SINS scores. The Tomita scores provided the highest statistical significance, followed by the Bauer, and Tokuhashi scores, while the SINS score showed no significant correlation in predicting patient survival.

Overall survival and prognostic factors in patients with spinal metastases from lung cancer treated with and without epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors

BACKGROUND

Evaluation of the prognosis in patients with spinal metastases is important in decision making regarding surgical treatment. The purpose of this study was to investigate overall survival in patients with spinal metastases from lung cancer by histological subtype, and to investigate prognostic factors in patients treated with and without epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs).

METHODS

The data from 135 patients diagnosed with spinal metastases from lung cancer were retrospectively evaluated. The 88 patients with adenocarcinoma were divided into two groups according to whether the lung cancer was treated with or without EGFR-TKIs-the EGFR-TKI group (n = 43) and the non-EGFR-TKI group (n = 45).

RESULTS

The overall median survival time was 11.3 months for those with adenocarcinoma, 5.3 months for squamous cell carcinoma, and 3.9 months for small cell carcinoma. Overall survival in the EGFR-TKI group (median 21.4 months) was significantly longer than in the non-EGFR-TKI group (median 6.1 months). In univariate analysis, poor performance status was a poor prognostic factor in the non-EGFR-TKI group. However, performance status and other variables were not significant prognostic factors in the EGFR-TKI group.

CONCLUSIONS

Median overall survival was longer in patients with spinal metastases from lung cancer treated with EGFR-TKIs compared with those treated without EGFR-TKIs. Poor performance status or other prognostic factors were not associated with poor overall survival in the group treated with EGFR-TKIs.

Surgical intervention for vertebral metastases may benefit lung cancer patients no less than other patients: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Spinal metastasis is considered to have a worse prognosis in lung cancer than in other cancers, but recent clinical studies report improved overall survival of lung cancer. We compared the postoperative prognoses of vertebral metastatic tumors from lung with other types of cancer.

METHODS

From 2011 to 2015, 31 Japanese patients (mean age 73 years, range 55-88 years; 19 males, 12 females) underwent surgery for spinal metastasis at our center. We observed patients retrospectively in March 2016, dividing them into groups by cancer type: lung (LK group, n = 10); prostate, breast, or thyroid (PB group, n = 12); and other (OT group, n = 9). We compared survival and revised Tokuhashi score, which provides a basis for choosing a treatment course. Neurologic status was graded before and after surgery using the Frankel system.

RESULTS

Mean follow-up was 16.5 months (range 1-62 months). Only seven of 31 patients (22.6%) were alive at final follow-up. Frankel grade significantly improved postoperatively only in the LK (P = 0.01) and PB (P = 0.048) groups. Revised Tokuhashi score differed across groups (P < 0.0001), and was significantly lower in the LK group than in the PB group (P = 0.00) and OT group (P = 0.02). Postoperative survival was significantly shorter in the LK group than in the PB group (P = 0.01) but did not differ between the LK and OT groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The revised Tokuhashi score may underestimate the survival of lung cancer patients, who may derive the same benefit from surgical intervention as those with vertebral metastasis from other cancer types.

Evaluation of Scoring Systems and Prognostic Factors in Patients With Spinal Metastases From Lung Cancer

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective study of 180 patients with lung cancer spinal metastases, wherein prognostic score-predicted survival was compared with actual survival.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate and compare the accuracy of prognostic scoring systems in lung cancer spinal metastases.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

The modified Tokuhashi, Tomita, modified Bauer, and Oswestry scores are currently used to guide decisions regarding operative treatment of patients with spinal metastases. The best system for predicting survival in patients with lung cancer spinal metastases remains undetermined. The high incidence of spinal metastases from lung cancer and improved survival of patients treated with systemic therapy warrants evaluation of these scoring systems in this particular context.

METHODS

Patients with lung cancer spinal metastases treated at our institution between May 2001 and August 2012 were studied. Fifty-one patients were treated surgically. The primary outcome measure was survival from the time of diagnosis. Scoring-predicted survival was compared with actual survival. Potential prognostic factors were investigated using Cox regression analyses. Predictive values of each scoring system for 3- and 6-month survival were measured via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

Histological subtype (P = 0.015), sex (P = 0.001), Karnofsky performance scale (P = 0.001), extent of neurological palsy (P = 0.002), and visceral metastases (P = 0.037) are significant predictors of survival. Besides the Oswestry spinal risk index, no significant differences were found between different prognostic subgroups within the individual scoring systems. Although the modified Bauer score was most accurate, all four scoring systems had areas under the ROC curve 0.5 or less.

CONCLUSION

Although better prognostic scores correlated with longer survival, all four scoring systems are inaccurate in prognosticating patients with lung cancer spinal metastases. Specific lung cancer histology appears prognostic and should be considered, especially given the increased survival of patients receiving new targeted therapies appropriate to their disease.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Predictive Value of Six Prognostic Scoring Systems for Spinal Bone Metastases: An Analysis Based on 1379 Patients

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess and compare the predictive accuracy of six models designed to estimate survival of patients suffering from spinal bone metastases Just (SBMs).

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

On the basis of the estimated survival of patients with SBM, extent of treatment can be adjusted. To aid clinicians in the difficult task of assessing probability of survival, prognostic scoring systems have been developed by Tomita, Tokuhashi, Van der Linden, Bauer, Rades, and Bollen.

METHODS

All patients who were treated for SBM between 2000 and 2010 were included in this international, multicenter, retrospective study (n = 1379). Medical records were reviewed for all items needed to use the scoring systems. Survival time was calculated as the difference between start of treatment for SBM and date of death. Survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and accuracy was assessed with the c-statistic. Survival rates of the worst prognostic groups were evaluated at 4 months.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 6.7 years [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 5.6-7.7] with a minimum of 2.3 years and a maximum of 12.3 years. The overall median survival was 5.1 months (95% CI 4.6-5.6). The most common primary tumors were breast (n = 388, 28%), lung (n = 318, 23%), and prostate cancer (n = 259, 19%). The Tokuhashi, Bauer, Tomita, and Van der Linden models performed similar with a c-statistic of 0.64 to 0.66 and a 4-month accuracy of 62% to 65%. The Rades model (c-statistic 0.44) and Bollen model (c-statistic 0.70) had a 4-month accuracy of 69% and 75%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The Bollen model performs better than the other models. However, improvements are still warranted to increase the accuracy.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

The Tokuhashi score: effectiveness and pitfalls

PURPOSE

Accurate survival estimation is prerequisite to determine the most appropriate treatment for patients with metastatic spine disease. Several authors have proposed classification systems analyzing clinical and radiological parameters, such as, performance status, metastasis localization, and primary tumor histotype, but the modified Tokuhashi score (mTS) is the most widely used. Although it is regarded as one of the most complete and accurate systems, it does not take the effectiveness of new therapeutic strategies into consideration, contributing to a progressive loss of accuracy. The purpose of this review is to verify the ability of the mTS to accurately estimate metastatic spine patient survival, nearly 10 years after it was introduced.

METHODS

A literature review was conducted to evaluate mTS accuracy to predict metastatic spine patient survival.

RESULTS

Ten studies were selected, representing 1686 patients. The total predictive accuracy of the mTS was 63.00%; for patients expected to survive less than 6 months (group I), it was 64.10%; 6-12 months (group II), 55.32%; and more than 12 months (group III), 77.21%. A progressive decrease in accuracy over time was statistically significant in groups I and II.

CONCLUSIONS

The mTS is suggestive of actual survival for patients with a good prognosis. It is less accurate for patients with an estimated survival of less than 12 months. The decreasing trend in mTS accuracy over time will likely further reduce mTS utility. An important opportunity exists to develop new instruments to assist spine surgeons and oncologists to choose appropriate surgical or non-surgical treatment modalities for patients with metastatic spine disease.

Modeling 1-year survival after surgery on the metastatic spine

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

Choosing appropriate surgical patients in the setting of spinal metastases can be challenging. Existing scoring systems focus primarily on patient selection or operative techniques. These scores are limited in their capacity to predict postoperative survival.

PURPOSE

The aim was to model survival after spine surgery for metastastic disease.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective multicenter study.

PATIENT SAMPLE

All patients who had undergone surgery for the treatment of metastatic spinal disease at one of four tertiary care centers between 2007 and 2013 were included.

OUTCOME MEASURE

The outcome measure was 1-year survival after surgery.

METHODS

Demographic, medical, oncologic, surgical, and survival data were abstracted from medical records. The effect of predictor variables on survival was evaluated alone and in combination using stepwise logistic regression. Multivariable logistic regression was subsequently used to adjust for confounders. A predictive score was then developed and compared against that of the modified Bauer score alone in terms of prognosticating 1-year survival after surgery.

RESULTS

In the time period under investigation, 318 patients underwent surgical intervention for metastastic disease involving the spine, with 307 having data available for analysis. The survival rate at 1 year was 48% (n=142), with a median survival of 10 months. In final adjusted analysis, preoperative modified Bauer score (odds ratio [OR] 3.00; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.80-5.01; p<.001), ambulatory status (OR 2.47; 95% CI 1.48-4.14; p=.001), and serum albumin (OR 2.80; 95% CI 1.66-4.72; p<.001) were all independent predictors of 1-year survival. The most parsimonious model weighted the modified Bauer score with 2 points and intact ambulatory status and normal serum albumin level with 1 point each, with a ceiling score of 3. The final model using the predictive score was able to explain 74% of the variation in 1-year survival. In contrast, the modified Bauer score alone was only able to explain 64% of the variation in 1-year survival.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates the importance of including factors related to the overall health of a patient, in addition to parameters surrounding their cancer diagnosis, to better prognosticate survival. Our predictive score performed better than the modified Bauer alone and may be used to predict survival after surgical intervention for metastatic disease.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

III.

Which one is a valuable surrogate for predicting survival between Tomita and Tokuhashi scores in patients with spinal metastases? A meta-analysis for diagnostic test accuracy and individual participant data analysis

This study is to estimate the diagnostic accuracy of Tokuhashi and Tomita scores that assures 6-month predicting survival regarded as a standard of surgical treatment. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, European PubMed central, and the Cochrane library for papers about the sensitivities and specificities of the Tokuhashi and/or Tomita scores to estimate predicting survival. Studies with cut-off values of ≥9 for Tokuhashi and ≤7 for Tomita scores based on prior studies were enrolled. Sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), area under the curve (AUC), and the best cut-off value were calculated via meta-analysis and individual participant data analysis. Finally, 22 studies were enrolled in the meta-analysis, and 1095 patients from 8 studies were included in the individual data analysis. In the meta-analysis, the pooled sensitivity/specificity/DOR for 6-month survival were 57.7 %/76.6 %/4.70 for the Tokuhashi score and 81.8 %/47.8 %/4.93 for Tomita score. The AUC of summary receiver operating characteristic plots was 0.748 for the Tokuhashi score and 0.714 for the Tomita score. Although Tokuhashi score was more accurate than Tomita score slightly, both showed low accuracy to predict 6 months residual survival. Moreover, the best cut-off values of Tokuhashi and Tomita scores were 8 and 6, not 9 and 7, for predicting 6-month survival, respectively. Estimation of 6-month predicting survival to decide surgery in patients with spinal metastasis is quite limited by using Tokuhashi and Tomita scores alone. Tokuhashi and Tomita scores could be incorporated as part of a multidisciplinary approach or perhaps interpreted in the context of a multidisciplinary approach.

Healthcare costs attributable to the treatment of patients with spinal metastases: a cohort study with up to 8 years follow-up

Background

Cancer treatment, and in particular end-of-life treatment, is associated with substantial healthcare costs. The purpose of this study was to analyse healthcare costs attributable to the treatment of patients with spinal metastases.

Methods

The study population (n = 629) was identified from clinical databases in Denmark. Patients undergoing spinal metastasis treatment from January 2005 through June 2012 were included. Clinical data were merged with national register data on healthcare resource use, costs and death date. The analytic period ranged from treatment initiation until death or administrative censoring in October 2013. Analysis of both survival and costs were stratified into four treatment regimens of increasing invasiveness: radiotherapy (T1), decompression (T2), decompression + instrumentation (T3) and decompression + instrumentation + reconstruction (T4). Survival was analysed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Costs were estimated from a healthcare perspective. Lifetime costs were defined as accumulated costs from treatment initiation until death. The Kaplan-Meier Sampling Average method was used to estimate these costs; 95% CIs were estimated using nonparametric bootstrapping.

Results

Mean age of the study population was 65.2 years (range: 19-95). During a mean follow-up period of 9.2 months (range: 0.1-94.5 months), post treatment survival ranged from 4.4 months (95% CI 2.5-7.5) in the T1 group to 8.7 months (95% CI 6.7-14.1) in the T4 group. Inpatient hospitalisation accounted for 65% and outpatient services for 31% of the healthcare costs followed by hospice placements 3% and primary care 1%. Lifetime healthcare costs accounted for €36,616 (95% CI 33,835-39,583) per T1 patients, €49,632 (95% CI 42,287-57,767) per T2 patient, €70997 (95% CI 62,244-82,354) per T3 patient and €87,814 (95% CI 76,638-101,528) per T4 patient. Overall, 45% of costs were utilised within the first month. T1 and T4 patients had almost identical distributions of costs: inpatient hospitalisation averaged 59% and 36% for outpatient services. Costs of T2 and T3 were very similarly distributed with an average of 71% for inpatient hospitalisation and 25% for outpatient services.

Conclusion

The index treatment accounts for almost half of lifetime health care costs from treatment initiation until death. As expected, lifetime healthcare costs are positively association with invasiveness of treatment.

Oligometastases in prostate cancer: restaging stage IV cancers and new radiotherapy options

There are various subgroups of patients with metastatic prostate cancer: polymetastatic, oligometastatic, or oligo-recurrent cancers whose progression follows different courses and for whom there are different treatment options. Knowledge of tumor dissemination pathways and different genetic and epigenetic tumor profiles, as well as their evolution during disease progression, along with new diagnostic and therapeutic advances has allowed us to address these situations with local ablative treatments such as stereotactic body radiation therapy or stereotactic radiosurgery. These treatments provide high rates of local control with low toxicity in metastatic spread for primary cancers including those of pulmonary, digestive, and renal origin, while these types of treatments are still emerging for cancers of prostatic origin. There are several retrospective studies showing the effectiveness of such treatments in prostate cancer metastases, which has led to the emergence of prospective studies on the issue and even some phase II studies intended to prevent or delay systemic treatments such as chemotherapy. Here we collect together and review these past experiences and the studies currently underway. These types of radiotherapy treatments redefine how we approach extracranial metastatic disease and open up new possibilities for combination therapy with new systemic treatment agents.

Moderate precision of prognostic scoring systems in a consecutive, prospective cohort of 544 patients with metastatic spinal cord compression

PURPOSE

Improved survival among cancer patients and diverse conclusions from recent studies make it relevant to reassess the performance of the Tokuhashi Revised score and the Tomita score. The aim of this study was to validate and compare these two scoring systems in a recent and unselected cohort of patients with metastatic spinal cord compression (MSCC).

METHODS

In 2011, we conducted a prospective cohort study of 544 patients who were consecutively admitted with MSCC to one treatment facility. Patients estimated survival were assessed with the Tokuhashi Revised score and the Tomita score and compared to the observed survival. We assessed how precise the scoring systems predicted survival with McNemar's test. The prognostic value was illustrated with Kaplan-Meier curves, and the individual prognostic components were analyzed with Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean age was 65 years (range 20-95), and 57 % of the patients were men. The majority of tumors were lung (23 %), prostate (21 %), and breast tumors (18 %). The overall precision of predicted survival was 58.7 % for the Tokuhashi Revised score and 52.9 % for the Tomita score. The observed survival in each of the scoring groups categorized by the scoring systems was statistically significantly different (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The Tokuhashi Revised score and the Tomita score are useful in categorizing patients into prognostic groups, and the individual components have important prognostic values. The Tokuhashi Revised score was most precise in predicting survival. However, due to the relatively low precision, we suggest that a modification of both scoring systems is necessary.

Evaluation of scoring systems and prognostic factors in patients with spinal metastases from nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

The decision for operative treatment of patients with spinal metastases is dependent on the patient's predicted survival. Tokuhashi, Tomita, Bauer, and Oswestry scores have been devised for survival prediction; however, none of these systems have been evaluated in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

PURPOSE

To investigate the accuracy of these scoring systems in predicting survival and to identify prognostic factors for survival of the patients with spinal metastases from NPC.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of the patients with spinal metastases from NPC who were treated in our institution.

PATIENT SAMPLE

The study included 87 patients with spinal metastases from NPC.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measure was the survival time of these patients. The potential prognostic factors that are known to influence survival such as general condition, extraspinal bone metastases, vertebral bone metastases, visceral metastases, and neurologic assessment based on Frankel score were also studied.

METHODS

The predicted survival according to the four scoring systems were calculated and labeled as "A" scores. These patients were then rescored by assigning NPC as a good prognostic tumor and labeled as "B" scores. The predicted survival of scores A and B were compared with actual survival. Potential prognostic factors of survival were investigated using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. For all scoring systems, Kaplan-Meier survival estimates and log-rank tests were done; the predictive values were calculated using postestimation after Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

The median overall survival for the whole cohort was 13 (range 1-120) months. In multivariate analysis, general condition (p<.01), visceral metastases (p<.01), and vertebral metastases (p<.01) showed significant association with survival. The absolute score of all scoring systems was significantly associated with actual survival, which extended to the different prognostic subgroups of each scoring systems. Log-rank test revealed significant differences in survival between the different prognostic subgroups of all scoring systems (p<.01). Predictive value of survival by modified Tokuhashi score was the highest among all four scoring systems.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with spinal metastases from NPC have relatively good survival prognosis. All four scoring systems could be used to prognosticate these patients. The modified Tokuhashi score is the best in doing so.

Molecular phenotype is associated with survival in breast cancer patients with spinal bone metastases

To aid in therapy selection for patients with spinal bone metastases (SBM), predictive models have been developed. These models consider SBM from breast cancer a positive predictive factor, but do not take phenotypes based on estrogen (ER), progesterone (PR) and human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2) receptors into account. The aim of this study was to ascertain whether receptors are associated with survival, when the disease has progressed up to SBM. All patients who were treated for SBM from breast cancer between 2005 and 2012 were included in this international multi-center retrospective study (n = 111). Reports were reviewed for ER, PR and HER2 status and subsequently subdivided into one of four categories; luminal A, luminal B, HER2 and triple negative. Survival time was calculated as the difference between start of treatment for SBM and date of death. Analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank tests. Median follow-up was 3.7 years. Survival times in the luminal B and HER2 categories were not significantly different to the luminal A category and were joined into a single receptor positive category. Eighty-five patients (77 %) had a receptor positive phenotype and 25 (23 %) had a triple negative phenotype. Median survival time was 22.5 months (95 %CI 18.0-26.9) for the receptor positive category and 6.7 months (95 %CI 2.4-10.9) for the triple negative category (p < 0.001). Patients with SBM from breast cancer with a triple negative phenotype have a shorter survival time than patients with a receptor positive phenotype. Models estimating survival should be adjusted accordingly.

Survival analysis of breast cancer subtypes in patients with spinal metastases

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 151 patients with breast cancer spinal metastases.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the influence of breast cancer subtypes on survival duration of patients with breast cancer spinal metastases, and to aid spine surgeons in selecting treatments on a more precise basis.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

There is lack of knowledge about specific prognosis of patients with spinal metastases in various breast cancer subtypes. Estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PgR), and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (Her-2) status are the key factors in determining breast cancer subtypes and predicting patients' response to adjuvant treatments.

METHODS

Until August 2013, we retrieved 151 surgically treated patients with breast cancer spinal metastases and followed up all the patients for at least 2 years. Survival duration analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression model unadjusted and adjusted by age were used.

RESULTS

Patients with ER-negative (-) breast cancer had 11 months shorter median survival duration (10.6 vs. 21.5 mo) and 48% higher mortality risk (P=0.03) than those with ER-positive (+) breast cancer. Patients with PgR (-) status had 59% higher mortality risk than those with PgR (+) status (P=0.02). Hormone receptor (HR) status is a combination of ER and PgR status. Patients with HR (-) status had an 11-month shorter median survival duration and 52% higher mortality risk (P=0.01) than patients with HR (+) status. Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 subtypes had similar median survival duration and mortality risk. Patients with triple-negative breast cancer had a median survival duration of only 9.9 months.

CONCLUSION

Patients with spinal metastases with ER/HR (-) status and triple-negative breast cancer could be downgraded from score "5" to "3" in Tokuhashi scoring system and from "slow growth" to "moderate growth" in Tomita scoring system. Spine surgeons should be critical before performing high-risk extensive surgery in patients with ER/HR (-) status, and especially, in those with triple-negative status.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Analysis of the predictive role and new proposal for surgical strategies based on the modified Tomita and Tokuhashi scoring systems for spinal metastasis

Background

We sought to identify preoperative factors significantly correlated with survival. We also aimed to evaluate the validity of the prognostic scores in the Tomita and Tokuhashi systems and discuss several aspects to improve the predictive accuracy of these systems. Moreover, we suggest modified criteria for selecting treatment strategies.

Methods

In total, the outcomes of 112 patients with spinal metastasis who underwent surgery between January 2006 and June 2011 were retrospectively reviewed. The validity of the prognostic scores was assessed on the basis of their correlation with survival. For various primary malignancies, new scoring criteria were applied in each system according to the survival results obtained in this study. Each revised scoring system was adjusted with a similar principle of scoring as described previously. Patient survival according to each preoperative factor was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method. The predictive value of each scoring system was evaluated by the log-rank test and Cox regression analysis.

Results

The interval from the diagnosis of the primary malignancy to that of spinal metastasis (p = 0.023) and the interval from the diagnosis of spinal metastasis to surgery (p = 0.039) were significantly correlated with survival. Regarding Tokuhashi scores, the correlation coefficient was 0.790 before adjustment (p = 0.001) and 0.853 after adjustment (p < 0.001). For Tomita scores, the correlation coefficient was -0.994 (p < 0.001) both before and after adjustment.

Conclusions

Tomita scores more accurately predicted survival than Tokuhashi scores. It is helpful to evaluate both scoring systems with adjustment for primary malignancy depending on the clinical setting. Patients with Tomita scores less than or equal to 8 and Tokuhashi scores greater than or equal to 6 are recommended to undergo surgical management.

Scoring system for prediction of metastatic spine tumor prognosis

Assessing the prognosis before treatment for metastatic spine tumor is extremely important in therapy selection. Therefore, we review some prognostic scoring systems and their outcomes. Articles with combinations of two keywords among “metastatic spine tumor” and “prognosis”, “score”, “scoring system”, “predicting”, or “life expectancy” were searched for in PubMed. As a result, 236 articles were extracted. Those referring to representative scoring systems about predicting the survival of patients with metastatic spine tumors were used. The significance and limits of these scoring systems, and the future perspectives were described. Tokuhashi score, Tomita score, Baur score, Linden score, Rades score, and Katagiri score were introduced. They are all scoring systems prepared by combining factors that affect prognosis. The primary site of cancer and visceral metastasis were common factors in all of these scoring systems. Other factors selected to influence the prognosis varied. They were useful to roughly predict the survival period, such as, “more than one year or not” or “more than six months or not”. In particular, they were utilized for decision-making about operative indications and avoidance of excessive medical treatment. Because the function depended on the survival period in the patients with metastatic spine tumor, it was also utilized in assessing functional prognosis. However, no scoring system had more than 90% consistency between the predicted and actual survival periods. Future perspectives should adopt more oncological viewpoints with adjustment of the process of treatment for metastatic spine tumor.

Prognosis in patients with symptomatic metastatic spinal cord compression: survival in different cancer diagnosis in a cohort of 2321 patients

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study of 2321 patients consecutively admitted to one center and diagnosed with acute symptoms of metastatic spinal cord compression (MSCC).

OBJECTIVE

To assess the possible change in 1-year survival for patients with MSCC from year 2005 through 2010 with respect to the primary cancer diagnosis.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

An increasing number of patients are offered surgical treatment for MSCC. Among the reasons for this development are high evidence clinical studies, improved surgical techniques, and an increasing number of patients being treated for an oncological condition. Preoperative scoring systems are routinely used in the evaluation of these patients, and the primary oncological diagnosis is an important variable in all these systems. To our knowledge, no studies in a large group of patients have assessed the change in survival in these patients. This is of relevance because such changes in survival could have implications on the scoring systems used in the preoperative evaluation.

METHODS

All patients referred to the university hospital, Rigshospitalet, suspected of acute symptoms caused by spinal metastases and diagnosed with MSCC from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2010, were included in a retrospective cohort, n = 2321. For all patients primary tumor, treatment, and 1-year survival was registered.

RESULTS

The overall 1-year survival did not change significantly from 2005 to 2010, but there was a significant increase in 1-year survival for the subgroups of patients with lung cancer hazard ratio = 0.93 (P = 0.008, 95% CI: 0.83-0.98) and renal cancer hazard ratio = 0.77 (P = 0.004, 95% CI: 0.56-0.92).

CONCLUSION

Patients with MSCC from pulmonary and renal cancers experienced improved survival in the study period. No improvement was seen for patients with other oncological diagnoses. This corresponds to reports from oncological studies and could affect preoperative scoring systems.

External validity of the Tokuhashi score in patients with vertebral metastasis

PURPOSE

To calculate the accuracy of the Tokuhashi score (TS) in recent patients with vertebral metastasis (VM), candidates or not to surgical treatment, and thus to assess the external validity of TS.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from 90 patients (55 men, 35 women) with VM between 2004 and 2006. For each patient, data on the primary tumor (PT), date of diagnosis, TS at the time of VM diagnosis and date of death were retrieved from the electronic medical records and civil registry. True survival time and TS survival time were estimated to calculate the accuracy rate of the TS. A Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to study the survival function by prognostic groups. A correlation study between survival time and other variables was performed.

RESULTS

PT distribution was as follows: breast (22.2 %), lung (20 %), prostate (17.8 %), rectum (10 %), unknown (11 %), and others (18 %). Average overall survival after the VM diagnosis was 11.8 months (SD, 11 m): breast, 20 months (SD, 20 m); lung, 5.8 months (SD, 5.9 m); prostate, 14.5 months (SD, 13.4 m); rectum, 9.4 months (SD, 9.3); and unknown tumors, 2.7 months (SD, 5 m). Survival time was accurately predicted with the TS in 63 % of patients with a short life expectancy (survival, <6 months; TS, 0-8), 16 % of patients in the intermediate group (survival, 6-12 months; TS, 9-11), and 77 % of patients with a good prognosis (survival >12 months; TS, 12-15). By specific PT, the accuracy rate of the TS was low for breast cancer metastasis (35 %). The Kaplan-Meier curves show a significant separation among the prognostic groups (p < 0.05), but the log-rank test showed a statistically significant difference in survival only between short expectancy group and good prognostic group. Age at PT diagnosis and at VM diagnosis negatively correlated with survival (r = 0.22; p = 0.032 and r = 0.3, p = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

The TS was not highly accurate for predicting survival in patients with VM, treated or not surgically, and it was particularly imprecise in patients with an intermediate score (9-11 points) and those with breast cancer, so it is possible that the TS currently has a poor external validity.