Phenotyping in acute respiratory distress syndrome: state of the art and clinical implications

Longitudinal analysis of ARDS variability and biomarker predictive power in burn patients

Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) is a severe complication in burn patients, characterized by rapid lung inflammation and hypoxemia. Managing ARDS is challenging due to its high mortality rates and the complex interplay of various pathophysiological factors. This study aims to investigate the heterogeneity of ARDS in burn patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and evaluate the predictive efficacy of biomarkers in comparison to the PaO2/FiO2 (PF) ratio. A retrospective cohort study was conducted at the Burn Intensive Care Unit of Hangang Sacred Heart Hospital in Seoul, Korea, from July 2010 to December 2022, involving 2,318 patients. Longitudinal k-means clustering was employed to identify patient subgroups based on PF ratio trajectories. Biomarkers, including albumin, white blood cell (WBC) count, and lactate, were assessed for their predictive accuracy using multivariable logistic regression, area under the curve (AUC) analysis, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Four distinct patient clusters were identified. Cluster A exhibited the highest mortality rate at 54.9%, while Cluster D showed the lowest at 7.9%. Albumin demonstrated significantly higher predictive accuracy in Cluster A (AUC: 0.905, NRI: 0.421) and Cluster C (AUC: 0.915, NRI: 0.845), outperforming the PF ratio in both groups. However, in Clusters B and D, biomarkers did not significantly improve upon the predictive power of the PF ratio. Across all clusters, the integration of biomarkers with the PF ratio led to modest improvements but did not consistently outperform the PF ratio as a standalone predictor. This study reveals substantial heterogeneity in ARDS progression among burn patients, with varying mortality rates and biomarker efficacy across clusters. While biomarkers such as albumin showed potential in specific subgroups, their overall contribution to predictive accuracy was limited. Further multicenter, prospective studies are required to validate these findings and develop more refined predictive models. Personalized treatment strategies, based on biomarker profiles and traditional clinical metrics, could enhance ARDS management in burn patients.

Heterogeneity, Bayesian thinking, and phenotyping in critical care: A primer

PURPOSE

To familiarize clinicians with the emerging concepts in critical care research of Bayesian thinking and personalized medicine through phenotyping and explain their clinical relevance by highlighting how they address the issues of frequent negative trials and heterogeneity of treatment effect.

SUMMARY

The past decades have seen many negative (effect-neutral) critical care trials of promising interventions, culminating in calls to improve the field's research through adopting Bayesian thinking and increasing personalization of critical care medicine through phenotyping. Bayesian analyses add interpretive power for clinicians as they summarize treatment effects based on probabilities of benefit or harm, contrasting with conventional frequentist statistics that either affirm or reject a null hypothesis. Critical care trials are beginning to include prospective Bayesian analyses, and many trials have undergone reanalysis with Bayesian methods. Phenotyping seeks to identify treatable traits to target interventions to patients expected to derive benefit. Phenotyping and subphenotyping have gained prominence in the most syndromic and heterogenous critical care disease states, acute respiratory distress syndrome and sepsis. Grouping of patients has been informative across a spectrum of clinically observable physiological parameters, biomarkers, and genomic data. Bayesian thinking and phenotyping are emerging as elements of adaptive clinical trials and predictive enrichment, paving the way for a new era of high-quality evidence. These concepts share a common goal, sifting through the noise of heterogeneity in critical care to increase the value of existing and future research.

CONCLUSION

The future of critical care medicine will inevitably involve modification of statistical methods through Bayesian analyses and targeted therapeutics via phenotyping. Clinicians must be familiar with these systems that support recommendations to improve decision-making in the gray areas of critical care practice.

Subphenotypes in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome: Universal Steps Toward Treatable Traits

Patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) have severe respiratory impairment requiring mechanical ventilation resulting in high mortality. Despite extensive research, no effective pharmacological interventions have been identified in unselected ARDS, which has been attributed to the considerable heterogeneity. The identification of more homogeneous subgroups through phenotyping has provided a novel method to improve our pathophysiological understanding, trial design, and, most importantly, patient care through targeted interventions. The objective of this article is to outline a structured, stepwise approach toward identifying and classifying heterogeneity within ARDS and subsequently derive, validate, and integrate targeted treatment options. We present a 6-step roadmap toward the identification of effective phenotype-targeted treatments: development of distinct and reproducible subphenotypes, derivation of a possible parsimonious bedside classification method, identification of possible interventions, prospective validation of subphenotype classification, testing of subphenotype-targeted intervention prospectively in randomized clinical trial (RCT), and finally implementation of subphenotype classification and intervention in guidelines and clinical practice. Based on this framework, the current literature was reviewed. Respiratory physiology, lung morphology, and systemic inflammatory biology subphenotypes were identified. Currently, lung morphology and systemic inflammatory biology subphenotypes are being tested prospectively in RCTs.

From ICU Syndromes to ICU Subphenotypes: Consensus Report and Recommendations for Developing Precision Medicine in the ICU

Critical care uses syndromic definitions to describe patient groups for clinical practice and research. There is growing recognition that a "precision medicine" approach is required and that integrated biologic and physiologic data identify reproducible subpopulations that may respond differently to treatment. This article reviews the current state of the field and considers how to successfully transition to a precision medicine approach. To impact clinical care, identification of subpopulations must do more than differentiate prognosis. It must differentiate response to treatment, ideally by defining subgroups with distinct functional or pathobiological mechanisms (endotypes). There are now multiple examples of reproducible subpopulations of sepsis, acute respiratory distress syndrome, and acute kidney or brain injury described using clinical, physiological, and/or biological data. Many of these subpopulations have demonstrated the potential to define differential treatment response, largely in retrospective studies, and that the same treatment-responsive subpopulations may cross multiple clinical syndromes (treatable traits). To bring about a change in clinical practice, a precision medicine approach must be evaluated in prospective clinical studies requiring novel adaptive trial designs. Several such studies are underway, but there are multiple challenges to be tackled. Such subpopulations must be readily identifiable and be applicable to all critically ill populations around the world. Subdividing clinical syndromes into subpopulations will require large patient numbers. Global collaboration of investigators, clinicians, industry, and patients over many years will therefore be required to transition to a precision medicine approach and ultimately realize treatment advances seen in other medical fields.

Longitudinal multicompartment characterization of host-microbiota interactions in patients with acute respiratory failure

Critical illness can significantly alter the composition and function of the human microbiome, but few studies have examined these changes over time. Here, we conduct a comprehensive analysis of the oral, lung, and gut microbiota in 479 mechanically ventilated patients (223 females, 256 males) with acute respiratory failure. We use advanced DNA sequencing technologies, including Illumina amplicon sequencing (utilizing 16S and ITS rRNA genes for bacteria and fungi, respectively, in all sample types) and Nanopore metagenomics for lung microbiota. Our results reveal a progressive dysbiosis in all three body compartments, characterized by a reduction in microbial diversity, a decrease in beneficial anaerobes, and an increase in pathogens. We find that clinical factors, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, immunosuppression, and antibiotic exposure, are associated with specific patterns of dysbiosis. Interestingly, unsupervised clustering of lung microbiota diversity and composition by 16S independently predicted survival and performed better than traditional clinical and host-response predictors. These observations are validated in two separate cohorts of COVID-19 patients, highlighting the potential of lung microbiota as valuable prognostic biomarkers in critical care. Understanding these microbiome changes during critical illness points to new opportunities for microbiota-targeted precision medicine interventions.

The pathophysiology of sepsis and precision-medicine-based immunotherapy

Sepsis remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality in both low- and high-income countries. Antibiotic therapy and supportive care have significantly improved survival following sepsis in the twentieth century, but further progress has been challenging. Immunotherapy trials for sepsis, mainly aimed at suppressing the immune response, from the 1990s and 2000s, have largely failed, in part owing to unresolved patient heterogeneity in the underlying immune disbalance. The past decade has brought the promise to break this blockade through technological developments based on omics-based technologies and systems medicine that can provide a much larger data space to describe in greater detail the immune endotypes in sepsis. Patient stratification opens new avenues towards precision medicine approaches that aim to apply immunotherapies to sepsis, on the basis of precise biomarkers and molecular mechanisms defining specific immune endotypes. This approach has the potential to lead to the establishment of immunotherapy as a successful pillar in the treatment of sepsis for future generations.

Derivation, Validation, and Clinical Relevance of a Pediatric Sepsis Phenotype With Persistent Hypoxemia, Encephalopathy, and Shock

OBJECTIVES

Untangling the heterogeneity of sepsis in children and identifying clinically relevant phenotypes could lead to the development of targeted therapies. Our aim was to analyze the organ dysfunction trajectories of children with sepsis-associated multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) to identify reproducible and clinically relevant sepsis phenotypes and determine if they are associated with heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) to common therapies.

DESIGN

Multicenter observational cohort study.

SETTING

Thirteen PICUs in the United States.

PATIENTS

Patients admitted with suspected infections to the PICU between 2012 and 2018.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We used subgraph-augmented nonnegative matrix factorization to identify candidate trajectory-based phenotypes based on the type, severity, and progression of organ dysfunction in the first 72 hours. We analyzed the candidate phenotypes to determine reproducibility as well as prognostic, therapeutic, and biological relevance. Overall, 38,732 children had suspected infection, of which 15,246 (39.4%) had sepsis-associated MODS with an in-hospital mortality of 10.1%. We identified an organ dysfunction trajectory-based phenotype (which we termed persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock) that was highly reproducible, had features of systemic inflammation and coagulopathy, and was independently associated with higher mortality. In a propensity score-matched analysis, patients with persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype appeared to have HTE and benefit from adjuvant therapy with hydrocortisone and albumin. When compared with other high-risk clinical syndromes, the persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype only overlapped with 50%-60% of patients with septic shock, moderate-to-severe pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome, or those in the top tier of organ dysfunction burden, suggesting that it represents a nonsynonymous clinical phenotype of sepsis-associated MODS.

CONCLUSIONS

We derived and validated the persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype, which is highly reproducible, clinically relevant, and associated with HTE to common adjuvant therapies in children with sepsis.

Sepsis and acute respiratory failure in patients with cancer: how can we improve care and outcomes even further?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Care and outcomes of critically ill patients with cancer have improved over the past decade. This selective review will discuss recent updates in sepsis and acute respiratory failure among patients with cancer, with particular focus on important opportunities to improve outcomes further through attention to phenotyping, predictive analytics, and improved outcome measures.

RECENT FINDINGS

The prevalence of cancer diagnoses in intensive care units (ICUs) is nontrivial and increasing. Sepsis and acute respiratory failure remain the most common critical illness syndromes affecting these patients, although other complications are also frequent. Recent research in oncologic sepsis has described outcome variation - including ICU, hospital, and 28-day mortality - across different types of cancer (e.g., solid vs. hematologic malignancies) and different sepsis definitions (e.g., Sepsis-3 vs. prior definitions). Research in acute respiratory failure in oncology patients has highlighted continued uncertainty in the value of diagnostic bronchoscopy for some patients and in the optimal respiratory support strategy. For both of these syndromes, specific challenges include multifactorial heterogeneity (e.g. in etiology and/or underlying cancer), delayed recognition of clinical deterioration, and complex outcomes measurement.

SUMMARY

Improving outcomes in oncologic critical care requires attention to the heterogeneity of cancer diagnoses, timely recognition and management of critical illness, and defining appropriate ICU outcomes.

Prognostic Insights from Longitudinal Multicompartment Study of Host-Microbiota Interactions in Critically Ill Patients

Critical illness can disrupt the composition and function of the microbiome, yet comprehensive longitudinal studies are lacking. We conducted a longitudinal analysis of oral, lung, and gut microbiota in a large cohort of 479 mechanically ventilated patients with acute respiratory failure. Progressive dysbiosis emerged in all three body compartments, characterized by reduced alpha diversity, depletion of obligate anaerobe bacteria, and pathogen enrichment. Clinical variables, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, immunosuppression, and antibiotic exposure, shaped dysbiosis. Notably, of the three body compartments, unsupervised clusters of lung microbiota diversity and composition independently predicted survival, transcending clinical predictors, organ dysfunction severity, and host-response sub-phenotypes. These independent associations of lung microbiota may serve as valuable biomarkers for prognostication and treatment decisions in critically ill patients. Insights into the dynamics of the microbiome during critical illness highlight the potential for microbiota-targeted interventions in precision medicine.

Prognostic Insights from Longitudinal Multicompartment Study of Host-Microbiota Interactions in Critically Ill Patients

Critical illness can disrupt the composition and function of the microbiome, yet comprehensive longitudinal studies are lacking. We conducted a longitudinal analysis of oral, lung, and gut microbiota in a large cohort of 479 mechanically ventilated patients with acute respiratory failure. Progressive dysbiosis emerged in all three body compartments, characterized by reduced alpha diversity, depletion of obligate anaerobe bacteria, and pathogen enrichment. Clinical variables, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, immunosuppression, and antibiotic exposure, shaped dysbiosis. Notably, of the three body compartments, unsupervised clusters of lung microbiota diversity and composition independently predicted survival, transcending clinical predictors, organ dysfunction severity, and host-response sub-phenotypes. These independent associations of lung microbiota may serve as valuable biomarkers for prognostication and treatment decisions in critically ill patients. Insights into the dynamics of the microbiome during critical illness highlight the potential for microbiota-targeted interventions in precision medicine.

Cluster analysis driven by unsupervised latent feature learning of medications to identify novel pharmacophenotypes of critically ill patients

Unsupervised clustering of intensive care unit (ICU) medications may identify unique medication clusters (i.e., pharmacophenotypes) in critically ill adults. We performed an unsupervised analysis with Restricted Boltzmann Machine of 991 medications profiles of patients managed in the ICU to explore pharmacophenotypes that correlated with ICU complications (e.g., mechanical ventilation) and patient-centered outcomes (e.g., length of stay, mortality). Six unique pharmacophenotypes were observed, with unique medication profiles and clinically relevant differences in ICU complications and patient-centered outcomes. While pharmacophenotypes 2 and 4 had no statistically significant difference in ICU length of stay, duration of mechanical ventilation, or duration of vasopressor use, their mortality differed significantly (9.0% vs. 21.9%, p < 0.0001). Pharmacophenotype 4 had a mortality rate of 21.9%, compared with the rest of the pharmacophenotypes ranging from 2.5 to 9%. Phenotyping approaches have shown promise in classifying the heterogenous syndromes of critical illness to predict treatment response and guide clinical decision support systems but have never included comprehensive medication information. This first-ever machine learning approach revealed differences among empirically-derived subgroups of ICU patients that are not typically revealed by traditional classifiers. Identification of pharmacophenotypes may enable enhanced decision making to optimize treatment decisions.

Clinical Sepsis Phenotypes in Critically Ill Patients

Sepsis, defined as the life-threatening dysregulated host response to an infection leading to organ dysfunction, is considered as one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide, especially in intensive care units (ICU). Moreover, sepsis remains an enigmatic clinical syndrome, with complex pathophysiology incompletely understood and a great heterogeneity both in terms of clinical expression, patient response to currently available therapeutic interventions and outcomes. This heterogeneity proves to be a major obstacle in our quest to deliver improved treatment in septic critical care patients; thus, identification of clinical phenotypes is absolutely necessary. Although this might be seen as an extremely difficult task, nowadays, artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques can be recruited to quantify similarities between individuals within sepsis population and differentiate them into distinct phenotypes regarding not only temperature, hemodynamics or type of organ dysfunction, but also fluid status/responsiveness, trajectories in ICU and outcome. Hopefully, we will eventually manage to determine both the subgroup of septic patients that will benefit from a therapeutic intervention and the correct timing of applying the intervention during the disease process.

A Focused Review of the Initial Management of Patients with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome

At present, the management of patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) largely focuses on ventilator settings to limit intrathoracic pressures by using low tidal volumes and on FiO₂/PEEP relationships to maintain optimal gas exchange. Acute respiratory distress syndrome is a complex medical disorder that can develop in several primary acute disorders, has a rapid time course, and has several classifications that can reflect either the degree of hypoxemia, the extent of radiographic involvement, or the underlying pathogenesis. The identification of subtypes of patients with ARDS would potentially make precision medicine possible in these patients. This is a very difficult challenge given the heterogeneity in the clinical presentation, pathogenesis, and treatment responses in these patients. The analysis of large databases of patients with acute respiratory failure using statistical methods such as cluster analysis could identify phenotypes that have different outcomes or treatment strategies. However, clinical information available on presentation is unlikely to separate patients into groups that allow for secure treatment decisions or outcome predictions. In some patients, non-invasive positive pressure ventilation provides adequate support through episodes of acute respiratory failure, and the development of specialized units to manage patients with this support might lead to the better use of hospital resources. Patients with ARDS have capillary leak, which results in interstitial and alveolar edema. Early attention to fluid balance in these patients might improve gas exchange and alter the pathophysiology underlying the development of severe ARDS. Finally, more attention to the interaction of patients with ventilators through complex monitoring systems has the potential to identify ventilator dyssynchrony, leading to ventilator adjustments and potentially better outcomes. Recent studies with COVID-19 patients provide tentative answers to some of these questions. In addition, expert clinical investigators have analyzed the promise and difficulties associated with the development of precision medicine in patients with ARDS.

Machine learning-based COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome phenotyping and clinical outcomes: A systematic review

COVID-19-related acute respiratory distress syndrome (CARDS) has been suggested to differ from the typical ARDS. While distinct phenotypes of ARDS have been identified through latent class analysis (LCA), it is unclear whether such phenotypes exist for CARDS and how they affect clinical outcomes. To address this question, we conducted a systematic review of the current evidence.We searched several, including PubMed, EBSCO Host, and Web of Science, from inception to July 1, 2022. Our exposure and outcome of interest were different CARDS phenotypes identified and their associated outcomes, such as 28-day, 90-day, 180-day mortality, ventilator-free days, and other relevant outcomes.We identified four studies comprising a total of 1776 CARDS patients.Of the four studies, three used LCA to identify subphenotypes (SPs) of CARDS. One study based on longitudinal data identified two SPs, with SP2 associated with worse ventilation and mechanical parameters than SP1. The other two studies based on baseline data also identified two SPs, with SP2 and SP1 were associated with hyperinflammatory and hypoinflammatory CARDS, respectively. The fourth study identified three SPs primarily stratified by comorbidities using multifactorial analysis.All studies identified a subphenotype associated with poorer outcomes, including mortality, ventilator-free days, multiple-organ injury, and pulmonary embolism. Two studies reported differential responses to corticosteroids among the SPs, with improved mortality in the hyperinflammatory and worse in the hypoinflammatory SPs.Overall, our review highlights the importance of phenotyping in understanding CARDS and its impact on disease management and prognostication. However, a consensus approach to phenotyping is necessary to ensure consistency and comparability across studies. We recommend that randomized clinical trials stratified by phenotype should only be initiated after such consensus is reached.

Short title

COVID-19 ARDS subphenotypes and outcomes.

Conditional Treatment Effect Analysis of Two Infusion Rates for Fluid Challenges in Critically Ill Patients: A Secondary Analysis of Balanced Solution versus Saline in Intensive Care Study (BaSICS) Trial

Rationale: Optimal infusion rate for fluid challenges in critically ill patients is unknown. A large clinical trial comparing two different infusion rates yielded neutral results. Conditional average treatment effect (CATE) assessment may aid in tailoring therapy. Objectives: To estimate CATE in patients enrolled in the BaSICS trial and to assess the effects of receiving CATE model-recommended treatment in terms of hospital mortality. Methods: Post hoc analysis of the BaSICS trial assessing the effect of two infusion rates for the fluid challenge (fast, 999 ml/h, control group; vs. slow, 333 ml/h, intervention group) on hospital mortality. CATE was estimated as the difference in outcome for treatment arms in counterfactuals obtained from a Bayesian model trained in the first half of the trial adjusted for predictors hypothesized to interact with the intervention. The model recommended slow or fast infusion or made no recommendation in the second half. A threshold greater than 0.90 probability of benefit was considered. Results: A total of 10,465 patients were analyzed. The model was trained in 5,230 patients and tested in 5,235 patients. A recommendation could be made in the test set in 19% of patients (14% were recommended the control group and 5% the treatment group); for 81% of patients, no recommendation could be made. Slow infusion was more frequently recommended in cases of planned admissions in younger patients; fast infusion was recommended for older patients with sepsis. Slow infusion rate in the subgroup of patients in the test set in which slow infusion was recommended by the model was associated with an odds ratio of 0.58 (95% credible interval of 0.32-0.90; 0.99 posterior probability of benefit) for hospital mortality. Fast infusion in the subgroup in which the model recommended fast infusion was associated with an odds ratio of 0.72 (credible intervals from 0.54 to 0.91; probability of benefit >0.99). Conclusions: Estimation of CATEs from counterfactual probabilities in data from BaSICS provided additional information on trial data. Agreement between treatment recommendation and actual treatment was associated with lower hospital mortality. Clinical trial registered with clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02875873).

Pharmacophenotype identification of intensive care unit medications using unsupervised cluster analysis of the ICURx common data model

BACKGROUND

Identifying patterns within ICU medication regimens may help artificial intelligence algorithms to better predict patient outcomes; however, machine learning methods incorporating medications require further development, including standardized terminology. The Common Data Model for Intensive Care Unit (ICU) Medications (CDM-ICURx) may provide important infrastructure to clinicians and researchers to support artificial intelligence analysis of medication-related outcomes and healthcare costs. Using an unsupervised cluster analysis approach in combination with this common data model, the objective of this evaluation was to identify novel patterns of medication clusters (termed 'pharmacophenotypes') correlated with ICU adverse events (e.g., fluid overload) and patient-centered outcomes (e.g., mortality).

METHODS

This was a retrospective, observational cohort study of 991 critically ill adults. To identify pharmacophenotypes, unsupervised machine learning analysis with automated feature learning using restricted Boltzmann machine and hierarchical clustering was performed on the medication administration records of each patient during the first 24 h of their ICU stay. Hierarchical agglomerative clustering was applied to identify unique patient clusters. Distributions of medications across pharmacophenotypes were described, and differences among patient clusters were compared using signed rank tests and Fisher's exact tests, as appropriate.

RESULTS

A total of 30,550 medication orders for the 991 patients were analyzed; five unique patient clusters and six unique pharmacophenotypes were identified. For patient outcomes, compared to patients in Clusters 1 and 3, patients in Cluster 5 had a significantly shorter duration of mechanical ventilation and ICU length of stay (p < 0.05); for medications, Cluster 5 had a higher distribution of Pharmacophenotype 1 and a smaller distribution of Pharmacophenotype 2, compared to Clusters 1 and 3. For outcomes, patients in Cluster 2, despite having the highest severity of illness and greatest medication regimen complexity, had the lowest overall mortality; for medications, Cluster 2 also had a comparably higher distribution of Pharmacophenotype 6.

CONCLUSION

The results of this evaluation suggest that patterns among patient clusters and medication regimens may be observed using empiric methods of unsupervised machine learning in combination with a common data model. These results have potential because while phenotyping approaches have been used to classify heterogenous syndromes in critical illness to better define treatment response, the entire medication administration record has not been incorporated in those analyses. Applying knowledge of these patterns at the bedside requires further algorithm development and clinical application but may have the future potential to be leveraged in guiding medication-related decision making to improve treatment outcomes.

Association and predictive value of soluble thrombomodulin with mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome: systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a heterogeneous illness that has a high mortality rate. The role and predictive value of soluble thrombomodulin (sTM) in ARDS mortality is disputable, so the present study aimed to evaluate the association and predictive value of sTM for the in-hospital mortality of ARDS.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, Chongqing VIP, WanFang, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Chinese Biomedical Literature databases were searched for relevant literature published before October 10, 2022. Relevant observable studies were included for analysis. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and QUAPAS (Quality Assessment of Prognostic Accuracy Studies) were employed to appraise the quality of the included studies.

Results

Thirteen articles were included in the present study. The eligible studies were of moderate to high quality [Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) 5-8 scores], and the high risk of bias in the included studieson predictive value was mainly distributed in participant and analysis domains of QUAPAS. There were 1,992 patients with ARDS, and 538 died. Our meta-analysis demonstrated that nonsurvivors had more significantly increased sTM levels than did survivors [standardized mean difference (SMD) =1.473; 95% CI: 0.874-2.072; P<0.001]. Elevated sTM levels had an independent correlation with higher mortality in patients with ARDS [pooled odds ratio (OR) =2.126; 95% CI: 1.548-2.920; P<0.001]. sTM showed satisfactory performance in predicting the mortality of ARDS [summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC) =0.78; 95% CI: 0.64-0.89]. The pooled sensitivity was 72% (95% CI: 66-77%), and the pooled specificity was 77% (95% CI: 72-82%). Subgroup analysis showed no significant difference in the sTM levels between nonsurvivors and survivors in terms of patients with direct ARDS (SMD =0.813; 95% CI: -0.673 to 2.229; P=0.253).

Conclusions

sTM is associated with hospital mortality in ARDS and shows moderate predictive performance. As a result, it is a potential candidate for predicting the mortality of ARDS. However, caution is needed when sTM is used to predict adverse outcomes in patients with direct ARDS.

More questions than answers for the use of inhaled nitric oxide in COVID-19

Inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) is a potent vasodilator approved for use in term and near-term neonates, but with broad off-label use in settings including acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). As an inhaled therapy, iNO reaches well ventilated portions of the lung and selectively vasodilates the pulmonary vascular bed, with little systemic effect due to its rapid inactivation in the bloodstream. iNO is well documented to improve oxygenation in a variety of pathological conditions, but in ARDS, these transient improvements in oxygenation have not translated into meaningful clinical outcomes. In coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) related ARDS, iNO has been proposed as a potential treatment due to a variety of mechanisms, including its vasodilatory effect, antiviral properties, as well as anti-thrombotic and anti-inflammatory actions. Presently however, no randomized controlled data are available evaluating iNO in COVID-19, and published data are largely derived from retrospective and cohort studies. It is therefore important to interpret these limited findings with caution, as many questions remain around factors such as patient selection, optimal dosing, timing of administration, duration of administration, and delivery method. Each of these factors may influence whether iNO is indeed an efficacious therapy - or not - in this context. As such, until randomized controlled trial data are available, use of iNO in the treatment of patients with COVID-19 related ARDS should be considered on an individual basis with sound clinical judgement from the attending physician.