Playing the odds: lung cancer surveillance after curative surgery

Patterns of Medical Care Cost by Service Type for Patients With Recurrent and De Novo Advanced Cancer

OBJECTIVES

There is limited knowledge about the cost patterns of patients who receive a diagnosis of de novo and recurrent advanced cancers in the United States.

METHODS

Data on patients who received a diagnosis of de novo stage IV or recurrent breast, colorectal, or lung cancer between 2000 and 2012 from 3 integrated health systems were used to estimate average annual costs for total, ambulatory, inpatient, medication, and other services during (1) 12 months preceding de novo or recurrent diagnosis (preindex) and (2) diagnosis month through 11 months after (postindex), from the payer perspective. Generalized linear regression models estimated costs adjusting for patient and clinical factors.

RESULTS

Patients who developed a recurrence <1 year after their initial cancer diagnosis had significantly higher total costs in the preindex period than those with recurrence ≥1 year after initial diagnosis and those with de novo stage IV disease across all cancers (all P < .05). Patients with de novo stage IV breast and colorectal cancer had significantly higher total costs in the postindex period than patients with cancer recurrent in <1 year and ≥1 year (all P < .05), respectively. Patients in de novo stage IV and those with recurrence in ≥1 year experienced significantly higher postindex costs than the preindex period (all P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reveal distinct cost patterns between patients with de novo stage IV, recurrent <1-year, and recurrent ≥1-year cancer, suggesting unique care trajectories that may influence resource use and planning. Future cost studies among patients with advanced cancer should account for de novo versus recurrent diagnoses and timing of recurrence to obtain estimates that accurately reflect these care pattern complexities.

Cost-Effectiveness of Surveillance Scanning Strategies after Curative Treatment of Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

BACKGROUND

After curative treatment of primary non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), patients undergo intensive surveillance with the aim to detect recurrences from the primary tumor or metachronous second primary lung cancer as early as possible and improve overall survival. However, the benefit of surveillance is debated. Available evidence is of low quality and conflicting. Microsimulation modeling facilitates the exploration of the impact of different surveillance strategies and provides insight into the cost-effectiveness of surveillance.

METHODS

A microsimulation model was used to simulate a range of computed tomography (CT)-based surveillance schedules, differing in the frequency and duration of CT surveillance. The impact on survival, quality-adjusted life-years, costs, and cost-effectiveness of each schedule was assessed.

RESULTS

Ten of 108 strategies formed the cost-effectiveness frontier; that is, these were the strategies with the optimal cost-health benefit balance. Per person, the discounted QALYs of these strategies varied between 5.72 and 5.81 y, and discounted costs varied between €9892 and €19,259. Below a willingness-to-pay threshold of €50,000/QALY, no scanning is the preferred option. For a willingness-to-pay threshold of €80,000/QALY, surveillance scanning every 2 y starting 1 y after curative treatment becomes the best option, with €11,860 discounted costs and 5.76 discounted QALYs per person. The European Society for Medical Oncology guideline strategy was more expensive and less effective than several other strategies.

CONCLUSION

Model simulations suggest that limited CT surveillance scanning after the treatment of primary NSCLC is cost-effective, but the incremental health-benefit remains marginal. However, model simulations do suggest that the guideline strategy is not cost-effective.

Choosing Wisely India: ten low-value or harmful practices that should be avoided in cancer care

The Choosing Wisely India campaign was an initiative that was established to identify low-value or potentially harmful practices that are relevant to the Indian cancer health-care system. We undertook a multidisciplinary framework-driven consensus process to identify a list of low-value or harmful cancer practices that are frequently undertaken in India. A task force convened by the National Cancer Grid of India included Indian representatives from surgical, medical, and radiation oncology. Each specialty had representation from the private and public sectors. The task force included two representatives from national patient and patient advocacy groups. Of the ten practices that were identified, four are completely new recommendations, and six are revisions or adaptations from previous Choosing Wisely USA and Canada lists. Recommendations in the final list pertain to diagnosis and treatment (five practices), palliative care (two practices), imaging (two practices), and system-level delivery of care (two practices). Implementation of this list and reporting of concordance with its recommendations will facilitate the delivery of high-quality, value-based cancer care in India.

Medical Care Costs for Recurrent versus De Novo Stage IV Cancer by Age at Diagnosis

OBJECTIVE

To address the knowledge gap regarding medical care costs for advanced cancer patients, we compared costs for recurrent versus de novo stage IV breast, colorectal, and lung cancer patients.

DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING

Virtual Data Warehouse (VDW) information from three Kaiser Permanente regions: Colorado, Northwest, and Washington.

STUDY DESIGN

We identified patients aged ≥21 with de novo or recurrent breast (nde novo  = 352; nrecurrent  = 765), colorectal (nde novo  = 1,072; nrecurrent  = 542), and lung (nde novo  = 4,041; nrecurrent  = 340) cancers diagnosed 2000-2012. We estimated average total monthly and annual costs in the 12 months preceding, month of, and 12 months following the index de novo/recurrence date, stratified by age at diagnosis (<65, ≥65). Generalized linear repeated-measures models controlled for demographics and comorbidity.

PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

In the pre-index period, monthly costs were higher for recurrent than for de novo breast (<65: +$2,431; ≥65: +$1,360), colorectal (<65: +$3,219; ≥65: +$2,247), and lung cancer (<65: +$3,086; ≥65: +$2,260) patients. Conversely, during the index and post-index periods, costs were higher for de novo patients. Average total annual pre-index costs were five- to ninefold higher for recurrent versus de novo patients <65.

CONCLUSIONS

Cost differences by type of advanced cancer and by age suggest heterogeneous patterns of care that merit further investigation.

Survival Patterns for Patients with Resected N2 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer and Postoperative Radiotherapy: A Prognostic Scoring Model and Heat Map Approach

INTRODUCTION

The positive-to-resected lymph node ratio (LNR) predicts survival in many cancers, but little information is available on its value for patients with N2 NSCLC who receive postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) after resection. We tested the applicability of prognostic scoring models and heat mapping to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with resected N2 NSCLC and PORT.

METHODS

Our test cohort comprised patients identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database with N2 NSCLC who received resection and PORT in 2000-2014. Prognostic scoring models were developed to predict OS and CSS using Cox regression; heat maps were constructed with corresponding survival probabilities. Recursive partitioning analysis was applied to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data to identify the optimal LNR cutoff point. Models and cutoff points were further tested in 183 similar patients treated at The University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center in 2000-2015.

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses revealed that low LNR independently predicted better OS and CSS in patients with resected N2 NSCLC who received PORT.

CONCLUSIONS

LNR can be used to predict survival of patients with resected N2 NSCLC followed by PORT. This approach, which to our knowledge is the first application of heat mapping of positive and negative lymph nodes, was effective in estimating 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS probabilities.

Risk of suicide within 1 year of cancer diagnosis

The association of the risk of suicide with cancer at different time points after a new cancer diagnosis is unclear. This study explored the suicide hazard at different time points after a first cancer diagnosis during the 1-year period before suicide. This case-crossover study included 2,907 suicide cases from 2002 to 2012 in Taiwan and compared the odds of suicide risk at different time points during one year after any cancer diagnosis with self-matched periods. The 13th month preceding the suicide date was used as the control period, and the hazard period was the duration from the 1st to 12th month in the conditional logistic regression for case-crossover comparisons. Among major groups of cancers, group of lip, oral cavity and pharynx cancers tended to have higher risk of suicide than other groups of cancers. The first month of cancer diagnosis was associated with the highest risk of suicide compared with the 13th month before suicide. The odds ratio (OR) of suicide were significantly in the first six months after cancer diagnosis but declined afterwards. For example, the adjusted OR was 3.47 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.60-4.62] in the first month and 1.53 (95% CI = 1.11-2.12) in the sixth month following cancer diagnosis. These findings provide clinicians with a vital reference period during which sufficient support and necessary referral to mental health support should be provided to reduce the risk of suicide among patients with newly diagnosed cancer morbidity.