The association between pretreatment serum alkaline phosphatase and prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis

P53 status combined with MRI findings for prognosis prediction of single hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECT

To develop and validate a nomogram for predicting recurrence in individuals suffering single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative hepatectomy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 189 patients with single HCC undergoing curative resection in our center were randomized into training and validation cohorts. P53 status was determined using immunohistochemistry. Clinical data, such as age, and gender were collected. MRI findings, such as tumor size, intratumoral arteries, the presence of peritumoral enhancement and intratumoral necrosis were also recorded. Nomograms were established based on the predictors selected in the training cohort, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to compare the predictive ability among single predictors and nomogram model. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess the impact of each predictor and nomogram model on HCC recurrence. The results were validated in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that P53 (P < 0.001), tumor size (P = 0.009), and intratumoral artery (P = 0.026) were the independent risk factors for HCC recurrence. The nomogram model demonstrated favorable C-index of 0.740 (95 %CI:0.653-0.826) and 0.767 (95 %CI: 0.633-0.900) in the training and validation cohorts, and the areas under the curve was 0.740 and 0.752, which was better than the performance of P53 and MR factors alone. Calibration curves indicated a good agreement between observed actual outcomes and predicted values. Kaplan-Meier curves indicated that nomogram model was powerful in discrimination and clinical usefulness.

CONCLUSIONS

The integrated nomogram combining P53 status and MRI findings can be a valuable prognostic tool for predicting postoperative recurrence of single HCC.

Prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma using the albumin to alkaline phosphatase ratio, literature review, and meta-analysis

Background

Data about the impact of albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) on prognosis in hepatocellular cancer (HCC) patients are inconclusive and conflicting.

Methods

The authors systematically searched literatures from seven databases (PubMed, Medline, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Embase, Google Scholar, and CINAHL), updated to September 2023. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were pooled and synthesized using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis version 3 in order to assess the overall impact of AAPR on patient's prognosis.

Results

In total, 8 studies involving 13 cohorts with 3774 cases were included. Pooled results from both univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that higher AAPR was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (HR=0.429, 95% CI: 0.361-0.509, P=0.001; HR=0.476, 95% CI: 0.421-0.538, P=0.001; respectively). Similarly, pooled multivariate results showed that higher AAPR was associated with better disease-free survival (HR=0.558, 95% CI: 0.452-0.688, P=0.001). Moreover, pooled results from both univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that higher AAPR was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence-free survival (HR=0.540, 95% CI: 0.420-0.694, P=0.001; HR=0.647, 95% CI: 0.494-0.848, P=0.002; respectively). Subgroups analysis showed that elevated AAPR still significantly correlated with better overall survival across the confounding factors. Moreover, sensitivity analysis suggested the robustness of these findings and no publication bias was detected.

Conclusions

In summary, higher AAPR could be considered as a reliable prognostic factor in patients with HCC, which could be used as a routine inspection of HCC patients to individualized prognosis prediction and clinical decision making.

Loss of Toll-like receptor 9 protects from hepatocellular carcinoma in murine models of chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Toll-like receptor 9 (Tlr9) is a pathogen recognition receptor detecting unmethylated DNA derivatives of pathogens and damaged host cells. It is therefore an important modulator of innate immunity. Here we investigated the role of Tlr9 in fibrogenesis and progression of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic liver disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We treated mice with a constitutive deletion of Tlr9 (Tlr9-/-) with DEN/CCl4 for 24 weeks. As a second model, we used hepatocyte-specific Nemo knockout (NemoΔhepa) mice and generated double knockout (NemoΔhepaTlr9-/-) animals.

RESULTS

We show that Tlr9 is in the liver primarily expressed in Kupffer cells, suggesting a key role of Tlr9 in intercellular communication during hepatic injury. Tlr9 deletion resulted in reduced liver fibrosis as well as tumor burden. We observed down-regulation of hepatic stellate cell activation and consequently decreased collagen production in both models. Tlr9 deletion was associated with decreased apoptosis and compensatory proliferation of hepatocytes, modulating the initiation and progression of hepatocarcinogenesis. These findings were accompanied by a decrease in interferon-β and an increase in chemokines having an anti-tumoral effect.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data define Tlr9 as an important receptor involved in fibrogenesis, but also in the initiation and progression of hepatocellular carcinoma during chronic liver diseases.

Efficacy and safety of tranexamic acid in the treatment of gastric cancer complicated with upper gastrointestinal bleeding

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the efficacy and safety of tranexamic acid (TXA) in preventing upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding in patients with gastric cancer.

METHODS

The clinical data of patients with gastric cancer complicated with acute non-operative GI bleeding treated in the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from 2020 to 2022 were collected and retrospectively analyzed. The survival status of the patients was followed up by telephone. The dataset of 168 patients was divided into a control group (n=85) and a TXA group (n=83), at a 1:1 ratio. The patients in the control group were treated with esomeprazole, and the patients in the TXA group received additional TXA. The hemostatic effect, rebleeding rate, and mortality of patients were compared between the two groups. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the overall survival of patients as well as the related risk factors.

RESULTS

The success rate of hemostasis and the normal blood coagulation rate in the TXA group were significantly higher than those in the control group (P=0.003 and P=0.016). The secondary bleeding rate, thrombus formation rate and digestive tract perforation rate in the TXA group were significantly lower than those in the control group (P=0.002, P=0.003 and P=0.035). The improvement of all indicators in the TXA group was better than that in the control group (all P<0.05). For patients with gastric cancer complicated with acute GI bleeding treated with TXA, the Cox proportional hazard model identified III~IV stage, time of TXA treatment, surgical treatment after hemorrhage, and an increase of D-dimer as independent risk factors for upper GI bleeding (all P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

TXA can be an effective treatment for patients with gastric cancer complicated by GI bleeding.

Effect of anatomical liver resection on early postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma assessed based on a nomogram: a single-center study in China

Introduction

We aimed to investigate risk factors for early postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and determine the effect of surgical methods on early recurrence to facilitate predicting the risk of early postoperative recurrence in such patients and the selection of appropriate treatment methods.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed clinical data concerning 428 patients with HCC who had undergone radical surgery at Mianyang Central Hospital between January 2015 and August 2022. Relevant routine preoperative auxiliary examinations and regular postoperative telephone or outpatient follow-ups were performed to identify early postoperative recurrence. Risk factors were screened, and predictive models were constructed, including patients' preoperative ancillary tests, intra- and postoperative complications, and pathology tests in relation to early recurrence. The risk of recurrence was estimated for each patient based on a prediction model, and patients were categorized into low- and high-risk recurrence groups. The effect of anatomical liver resection (AR) on early postoperative recurrence in patients with HCC in the two groups was assessed using survival analysis.

Results

In total, 353 study patients were included. Multifactorial logistic regression analysis findings suggested that tumor diameter (≥5/<5 cm, odds ratio [OR] 2.357, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.368-4.059; P = 0.002), alpha fetoprotein (≥400/<400 ng/L, OR 2.525, 95% CI 1.334-4.780; P = 0.004), tumor number (≥2/<2, OR 2.213, 95% CI 1.147-4.270; P = 0.018), microvascular invasion (positive/negative, OR 3.230, 95% CI 1.880-5.551; P < 0.001), vascular invasion (positive/negative, OR 4.472, 95% CI 1.395-14.332; P = 0.012), and alkaline phosphatase level (>125/≤125 U/L, OR 2.202, 95% CI 1.162-4.173; P = 0.016) were risk factors for early recurrence following radical HCC surgery. Model validation and evaluation showed that the area under the curve was 0.813. Hosmer-Lemeshow test results (X 2 = 1.225, P = 0.996 > 0.05), results from bootstrap self-replicated sampling of 1,000 samples, and decision curve analysis showed that the model also discriminated well, with potentially good clinical utility. Using this model, patients were stratified into low- and high-risk recurrence groups. One-year disease-free survival was compared between the two groups with different surgical approaches. Both groups benefited from AR in terms of prevention of early postoperative recurrence, with AR benefits being more pronounced and intraoperative bleeding less likely in the high-risk recurrence group.

Discussion

With appropriate surgical techniques and with tumors being realistically amenable to R0 resection, AR is a potentially useful surgical procedure for preventing early recurrence after radical surgery in patients with HCC.

Preoperative albumin-alkaline phosphatase ratio affects the prognosis of patients undergoing hepatocellular carcinoma surgery

BACKGROUND

The correlation between the preoperative albuminalkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) and the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after radical resection is still not comprehensive.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to observe the correlation between preoperative AAPR and the prognosis of HCC patients after radical resection.

METHODS

We constructed a retrospective cohort study and included 656 HCC patients who underwent radical resection. The patients were grouped after determining an optimum AAPR cut-off value. We used the Cox proportional regression model to assess the correlation between preoperative AAPR and the prognosis of HCC patients after radical resection.

RESULTS

The optimal cut-off value of AAPR for assessing the prognosis of HCC patients after radical resection was 0.52 which was acquired by using X-tile software. Kaplan-Meier analysis curves showed that a low AAPR (⩽ 0.52) had a significantly lower rate of overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) (P< 0.05). Multiple Cox proportional regression showed that an AAPR > 0.52 was a protective factor for OS (HR = 0.66, 95%CI 0.45-0.97, p= 0.036) and RFS (HR = 0.70, 95% CI 0.53-0.92, p= 0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative AAPR level was related to the prognosis of HCC patients after radical resection and can be used as a routine preoperative test, which is important for early detection of high-risk patients and taking personalized adjuvant treatment.

Nomogram based on clinical and preoperative CT features for predicting the early recurrence of combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma: a multicenter study

PURPOSE

To establish and validate a multiparameter prediction model for early recurrence after radical resection in patients diagnosed with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study reviewed the clinical characteristics and preoperative CT images of 143 cHCC-CC patients who underwent radical resection from three institutions. A total of 110 patients from institution 1 were randomly divided into training set (n = 78) and testing set (n = 32) in the ratio of 7-3. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to construct a nomogram prediction model in the training set, which was internally and externally validated in the testing set and the validation set (n = 33) from institutions 2 and 3. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics (ROC), decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration analysis were used to evaluate the model's performance.

RESULTS

The combined model demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to the clinical model, the CT model, the pathological model and the clinic-CT model in predicting the early postoperative recurrence. The nomogram based on the combined model included AST, ALP, tumor size, tumor margin, arterial phase peritumoral enhancement, and MVI (Microvascular invasion). The model had AUCs of 0.89 (95% CI 0.81-0.96), 0.85 (95% CI 0.70-0.99), and 0.86 (95% CI 0.72-1.00) in the training, testing, and validation sets, respectively, indicating high predictive power. DCA showed that the combined model had good clinical value and correction effect.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram incorporating clinical characteristics and preoperative CT features can be utilized to effectively predict the early postoperative recurrence in patients with cHCC-CC.

Development of A Nomogram for Progression-free Survival in Patients with Stage II/T3N0 Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma to Explore Different Treatment Modalities

Purpose To explore the prognostic value of clinical and serological risk factors for progression-free survival (PFS) in stage II and T3N0 nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and construct a nomogram based on these factors. Additionally, to investigate the long-term survival and short-term toxic reactions of patients in different risk stratification under different treatment modalities. Methods The patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. Independent prognostic factors were identified using Cox regression analysis, and a nomogram was constructed by combining these predictive factors with the TNM staging system. The nomogram was then validated in the validation cohort, and patients were classified into different risk groups based on the nomogram. The PFS, overall survival (OS), and acute toxicities were compared among different treatment modalities after balancing baseline characteristics. Results Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that pathological type, alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) were independent prognostic factors(p<0.05) in this study. The nomogram showed good prognostic accuracy in both the training and validation cohorts (C-index of 0.73 and 0.70, respectively). In the different risk subgroups, there were no statistically significant differences in PFS and OS between radiotherapy and chemoradiotherapy groups(p>0.05). The treatment modality of combined chemotherapy was associated with more acute toxic reactions. Conclusion We established and validated a nomogram for predicting PFS in patients with stage II/T3N0 NPC. Intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) combined with chemotherapy did not provide additional survival benefits for these patients and was associated with more chemotherapy-related side effects.

Prognostic value of alkaline phosphatase and bone-specific alkaline phosphatase in breast cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Numerous studies have reported the clinical value of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and its bone-specific isoforms (bone-specific alkaline phosphatase (BAP)) in breast cancer. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to summarize the prognostic value of serum ALP and BAP in breast cancer, especially focused on bone metastasis and survival. PRISMA guidelines were followed to conduct this review. Observational studies were searched in PubMed, Cochcrane Library and EMBASE to January 1, 2022. Data were extracted to explore the prognostic value of ALP and BAP. The quality of the included studies was assessed and the outcome effects were evaluated. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to explore the potential sources of heterogeneity. Publication bias was assessed. There was a total of 53 studies with 22,436 patients included. For the primary outcome of survival, high levels of both ALP and BAP were associated with short survival time. The hazard ratio of high ALP level on overall survival was 1.72 (95% CI 1.37, 2.16, P < 0.001). For the secondary outcomes, a high ALP level (not BAP) was detected in breast cancer compared with healthy controls, and high levels of both ALP and BAP were risk factors for bone metastasis, while ALP (not BAP) was a risk factor for non-bone metastasis. This study showed that high levels of both serum ALP and BAP were associated with metastasis (BAP was associated with bone metastasis) and survival in breast cancer. The biomarkers could provide useful information for the early diagnostic assessment and monitoring in the follow-up of breast cancer patients.

Development and Validation of a Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor A-associated Prognostic Model for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

High serum vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) levels have been identified as an independent risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to construct a VEGF-included prognostic model to accurately perform individualized predictions of survival probability for patients with unresectable HCC.

Patients and Methods

From October 2018 to March 2021, 182 consecutive newly diagnosed patients with unresectable HCC were retrospectively enrolled. Baseline serum VEGF-A and other characteristics were collected for all patients. Univariate Cox regression analysis and LASSO regression model were applied to develop the prognostic model, enhanced bootstrap method with 100 replicates was performed to validate its discrimination and calibration. We compared the final model with China Liver Cancer (CNLC) stage, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage, and the model without the "VEGF". Finally, the established model was stratified by age.

Results

The VEGF-associated prognostic model we established has high accuracy with an overall C-index of 0.7892 after correction for optimistic estimates. The area under the curve (AUC) of the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves at 6-month, 1-year, and 2-year after correction were 0.843, 0.860, 0.833, respectively, and the calibration of the model was 0.1153, 0.1514, and 0.1711, respectively. The final model showed significant improvement in predicting OS when compared to the other models according to Harrell's C-index, The AUC of the time-dependent ROC, area under the decision curve analysis (AUDC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and continuous net reclassification index (NRI).

Conclusion

The VEGF-associated prognostic model may help to predict the survival probabilities of HCC patients with favorable performance and discrimination. However, further validation is required since we only verified this model using internal but not external data.

Simple parameters predicting extrahepatic recurrence after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Extrahepatic recurrence (EHR) after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with a poor prognosis. We investigated the features of EHR and identified its predictive factors. This retrospective study included 398 treatment-naive patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC at two tertiary hospitals. Multivariate Cox-regression analysis was performed to identify the variables associated with EHR. EHR was diagnosed in 94 patients (23.6%) over a median follow-up period of 5.92 years, most commonly in the lungs (42.6%). The 5-/10-year cumulative rates of HCC recurrence and EHR were 63.0%/75.6% and 18.1%/35.0%, respectively. The median time to EHR was 2.06 years. Intrahepatic HCC recurrence was not observed in 38.3% of patients on EHR diagnosis. On multivariate analysis, pathologic modified Union for International Cancer Control stage (III, IVa), surgical margin involvement, tumor necrosis, sum of tumor size > 7 cm, and macrovascular invasion were predictive factors of EHR. Four risk levels and their respective EHR rates were defined as follows: very low risk, 1-/5-year, 3.1%/11.6%; low risk, 1-/5-year, 12.0%/27.7%; intermediate risk, 1-/5-year, 36.3%/60.9%; and high risk, 1-year, 100.0%. Our predictive model clarifies the clinical course of EHR and could improve the follow-up strategy to improve outcomes.

Liver stiffness measured by magnetic resonance elastography in early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after treatment: A protocol for systematic review and meta analysis

BACKGROUND

With high diagnostic accuracy, magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is a noninvasive tool and can be adopted to measure liver stiffness (LS). In this study, meta-analysis was carried out to further evaluate whether LS measured by MRE can predict early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

PUBMED, EMBASE, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Cochrane Library database were searched for studies related to LS measured by MRE in the prediction of recurrence in patients with HCC. Survival outcome was estimated by hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Meta-analysis was conducted with the Stata 16.0.

RESULTS

The results of this meta-analysis will be submitted to a peer-reviewed journal for publication.

CONCLUSION

This study will provide evidence support for LS measured by MRE in predicting the recurrence of HCC.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The private information from individuals will not be published. This systematic review also should not damage participants' rights. Ethical approval is not available. The results may be published in a peer-reviewed journal or disseminated in relevant conferences.

OSF REGISTRATION NUMBER

DOI 10.17605/ OSF.IO / SURH3.