Early detection of progressive disease using thyroglobulin doubling-time in metastatic differentiated thyroid carcinoma treated with radioactive iodine

Impact of thyroglobulin changes on clinical outcomes of differentiated thyroid cancer with biochemical incomplete response

PURPOSE

Partial patients with biochemical incomplete response (BIR) after initial therapy for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) may progress to structural recurrence during follow-up. For better-individualized care, this study analyzed predictors of structural recurrence in patients with BIR after initial radioactive iodine therapy (RAIT).

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on 4,263 patients with DTC who underwent thyroidectomy and initial RAIT between June 2009 and August 2023. Patients with either suppressed thyroglobulin (Sup-Tg) > 1 ng/mL or stimulated Tg (Sti-Tg) > 10 ng/mL and negative anti-Tg antibodies (TgAb < 40 IU/mL) without structural disease were enrolled. Pathological examination or imaging confirmed structural recurrence. Sup-Tg change level [ΔSup-Tg% = (Sup-Tg3rd - Sup-Tg2nd)/Sup-Tg2nd × 100%] and other clinicopathological parameters were used to predict structural recurrence in patients with BIR.

RESULTS

We enrolled 161 patients with a median follow-up of 6.3 years. Fourteen patients (8.7%) progressed to structural disease, 80 (49.7%) remained in BIR status, and 67 (41.6%) recovered with long-term remission. ΔSup-Tg%≥17.08% displayed high specificity (84.4%) for structural recurrence prediction (AUC = 0.705, p = 0.011). Extrathyroid extension, stage III and ΔSup-Tg% were independent predictors of structural recurrence (OR = 4.568, p = 0.038; OR = 9.594, p = 0.015; and OR = 18.781, p < 0.001, respectively). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that these factors were associated with structural recurrence-free survival. Cox regression analysis found that patients with stage III and ΔSup-Tg%≥17.08% have a higher risk of recurrence (HR = 4.818, p = 0.015 and HR = 10.173, p < 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Longitudinal monitoring of Tg is essential and Tg change level could be used as a predictor of structural recurrence in patients with BIR.

Thyroglobulin and thyroglobulin antibody: an updated clinical and laboratory expert consensus

OBJECTIVE

Thyroglobulin measurement is the cornerstone of modern management of differentiated thyroid cancer, with clinical decisions on treatment and follow-up based on the results of such measurements. However, numerous factors need to be considered regarding measurement with and interpretation of thyroglobulin assay results.

DESIGN

The present document provides an integrated update to the 2013 and 2014 separate clinical position papers of our group on these issues.

METHODS

Issues concerning analytical and clinical aspects of highly-sensitive thyroglobulin measurement will be reviewed and discussed based on an extensive analysis of the available literature.

RESULTS

Thyroglobulin measurement remains a highly complex process with many pitfalls and major sources of interference, especially anti-thyroglobulin antibodies, need to be assessed, considered and, when necessary, dealt with appropriately.

CONCLUSIONS

Our expert consensus group formulated 53 practical, graded recommendations for guidance on highly-sensitive thyroglobulin and TgAb in laboratory and clinical practice, especially valuable where current guidelines do not offer sufficient guidance.

The role of thyroglobulin doubling time in differentiated thyroid cancer: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

In patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), recurrences may occur in up to 20% and may have a fatal outcome in 10% of cases. Thyroglobulin doubling time (Tg-DT) values may contribute to predict response to treatment and disease recurrence in DTC patients. This study aimed to address the following questions: (1) Are Tg-DT values indicative of response to treatments in patients with DTC (i.e. 'treatment monitoring')?; (2) Is Tg-DT predictive of 2-[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose (2-[18F]FDG) PET/CT in patients with DTC?; (3) Are Tg-DT values predictive of DTC prognosis (i.e. 'prediction')?

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

Methodology was registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42021257947). A systematic search was carried out in PubMed, Web Of Science, and Scopus from June to August 2021 without time and language restrictions.

RESULTS

Eleven studies were included for a total of 1421 patients. Positive association between Tg-DT < 1 year and recurrence or disease progression was observed. Tg-DT was found to be related with (2-[18F]FDG) PET/CT results in patients with DTC. The area under the curve was 0.86 (95% CI: 0.83-0.89), sensitivity was 0.84 (0.64;0.94), specificity was 0.71 (0.35; 0.92), DOR was 13.1 (3.1; 55.0), LR+ was 2.9 (1.0; 8.1), LR- was 0.22 (0.1; 0.5). For patients with Tg-DT < 1 year (n = 247), the survival risk ratio was 2.09 (95% CI: 1.49; 2.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Tg-DT values are valuable in predicting response to treatment and disease recurrence in patients with DTC, as well as their overall survival. In addition, Tg-DT significantly increases the detection rate of 2-[18F]-FDG PET/CT.

The role of Tg kinetics in predicting 2-[18F]-FDG PET/CT results and overall survival in patients affected by differentiated thyroid carcinoma with detectable Tg and negative 131I-scan

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to assess the potential role of thyroglobulin (Tg) kinetics in predicting 2-[¹⁸F]-FDG-PET/CT results and overall survival (OS) in patients affected by differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) and suspected recurrence.

METHODS

On hundred and thirty-nine patients were retrospectively included. All patients underwent 2-[¹⁸F]-FDG-PET/CT due to detectable Tg levels and negative [¹³¹I] whole-body scan. The last two consecutive serum Tg measurements before PET/CT were used for Tg-doubling time (TgDT) and Tg-velocity (Tg-vel) calculation. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine the optimal cutoff points for Tg, TgDT and Tg-vel for predicting PET/CT results.

RESULTS

One hundred and fifteen (83%) patients had positive PET/CT for DTC recurrence, while the remaining 24 (17%) negative. Stimulated Tg before PET and Tg-vel were significantly higher in patients with a positive PET/CT scan than negative scan (average Tg 190 vs 14 ng/mL, p = 0.006; average Tg-vel 4.2 vs 1.7 ng/mL/y, p < 0.001). Instead, TgDT was significantly shorter in positive scan (average TgDT 1.4 vs 4.4 years, p < 0.001). ROC curve analysis revealed the best Tg, TgDT and Tg-vel cutoff of 18 ng/mL,1.36 years and 1.95 ng/mL/y. In patients with Tg<18 ng/mL, the PET/CT detection rate was significantly lower in patients with low Tg-vel (p = 0.018) and with long TgDT (p = 0.001). ATA class risk, PET/CT results and Tg before PET were confirmed to be independent prognostic variables for OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Tg kinetics may help to predict 2-[¹⁸F]-FDG-PET/CT results in DTC patients with negative [¹³¹I]WBS and detectable Tg, especially in case of low-moderate Tg.

Differentiated Thyroid Cancer with Biochemical Incomplete Response: Clinico-Pathological Characteristics and Long Term Disease Outcomes

Simple Summary

Biochemical incomplete response (BIR) is defined as elevated thyroglobulin or rising thyroglobulin antibodies following treatment without structural evidence of disease at 1–2 years after initial treatment. The long-term outcome of such patients is still poorly characterized, with some progressing to structural disease, while others maintain BIR for decades or revert to non-evidence of disease (NED). In this study, we aimed to identify factors that could predict any of the above possible outcomes. In our cohort of 83 BIR patients with a mean follow-up of 12 years, 41% progressed to structural disease. Of them, 11.8% remained BIR, and 38.2% reverted to NED.

Abstract

Although most patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) and biochemical incomplete response (BIR) follow a good clinical outcome, progression to structural disease may occur in 8–17% of patients. We aimed to identify factors that could predict the long-term outcomes of BIR patients. To this end, we conducted a retrospective review study of 1049 charts from our Differential Thyroid Cancer registry of patients who were initially treated with total thyroidectomy between 1962 and 2019. BIR was defined as suppressed thyroglobulin (Tg) > 1 ng/mL, stimulated Tg > 10 ng/mL or rising anti-Tg antibodies, who did not have structural evidence of disease, and who were assessed 12–24 months after initial treatment. We found 83 patients (7.9%) matching the definition of BIR. During a mean follow-up of 12 ± 6.6 years, 49 (59%) patients remained in a state of BIR or reverted to no evidence of disease, while 34 (41%) progressed to structural disease. At the last follow-up, three cases (3.6%) were recorded as disease-related death. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) Initial Risk Stratification system and/or AJCC/TNM (8th ed.) staging system at diagnosis predicted the shift from BIR to structural disease, irrespective of their postoperative Tg levels. We conclude that albeit 41% of BIR patients may shift to structural disease, and most have a rather indolent disease. Specific new individual data enable the Response to Therapy reclassification to become a dynamic system to allow for the better management of BIR patients in the long term.

Thyroglobulin doubling time offers a better threshold than thyroglobulin level for selecting optimal candidates to undergo localizing [18F]FDG PET/CT in non-iodine avid differentiated thyroid carcinoma

PURPOSE

To investigate the potential role of serum thyroglobulin doubling time (TgDT) in predicting 2-deoxy-2-[¹⁸F]fluoro-D-glucose ([¹⁸F]FDG) PET/CT results in patients affected by differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) who demonstrated a combination of positive Tg but a negative [¹³¹I] whole-body scan ([¹³¹I]-WBS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Inclusion criteria were (1) prior [¹³¹I] treatment for DTC, (2) negative subsequent [¹³¹I]-WBS, (3) no interfering anti-Tg antibodies, (4) three consecutive Tg measurements under the thyroid hormone replacement therapy to calculate TgDT before 2-[¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT, and (5) at least 6 months of clinical and/or imaging follow-up to ascertain the diagnosis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to identify the optimal cutoff point for the last stimulated Tg and TgDT prior to [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT.

RESULTS

One hundred and thirteen patients were included. Seventy-four (65%) patients had positive [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT for DTC recurrence, while the remaining 39 (35%) negative. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy of [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT were 92%, 94%, 97%, 87%, and 93%. Patients with positive [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT had higher Tg and TgDT than those with negative PET/CT. ROC curve analysis revealed an optimal Tg cutoff of 19 ng/mL (sensitivity 78%, specificity 85%, AUC = 0.844) and TgDT of 2.5 years (sensitivity 93%, specificity 87%, AUC = 0.911). TgDT threshold of 2.5 years predicted significantly (p = 0.023) better than Tg level PET/CT results.

CONCLUSIONS

The diagnostic performance of [¹⁸F]FDG PET/CT could be significantly improved when TgDT is less than or equal to 2.5 years, as compared with using the absolute Tg level.