Prevalence, Incidence, and Risk of Progression of Asymptomatic Pancreatic Cysts in Large Sample Real-world Data

Frozen section pathology in IPMN: A systematic review

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) resection margins are assessed intraoperatively using frozen section (IFS) pathology. We conducted a systematic review to evaluate the concordance of IFS with permanent histopathology and the association between IFS margin status and recurrence. A systematic review was conducted following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We queried PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Google Scholar for studies reporting IFS in patients undergoing resection for IPMN. Data, including IFS margin status, recurrence rates, and final pathology, were extracted. Positive margins were defined as high-grade dysplasia or invasive cancer. Seven studies, with a total of 706 patients, met the inclusion criteria. Positive IFS margins were reported in 9.4% of cases, with a high correlation (98%) between IFS and final pathology. Recurrence occurred in 15.4% of patients. Fifty-nine of 85 (69.4%) patients with recurrence of IPMN or intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma (IPMC) had negative IFS margins. IFS accurately predicts final pathology and is a valuable tool for guiding intraoperative decision-making. A sizeable number of patients experienced recurrence despite negative margins, highlighting the need for adjunct diagnostic modalities and continued surveillance following resection, regardless of margin status.

Next-generation sequencing improves diagnostic accuracy of imaging and carcinoembryonic antigen alone for pancreatic cystic neoplasms

BACKGROUND

New tools are needed to determine the pancreatic cysts that require surgical resection. This study aimed to evaluate whether next-generation sequencing (NGS) is useful for identifying mucinous, malignant, or pre-malignant cysts leading to surgery.

METHODS

Laboratory, cytological, and histological data from 97 patients with worrisome features on imaging or an unclear pancreatic cystic lesion (PCL) who were indicated for further investigation and who underwent endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and fine-needle aspiration (FNA) between 2018 and 2022 were analyzed. A multidisciplinary team evaluated MRI, CT, EUS-FNA, and NGS findings.

RESULTS

Among the 40 mucinous cysts, 53 % had KRAS and/or GNAS mutations, yielding a sensitivity of 53 % and specificity of 92 % compared to 33 and 100 % for cytology and 53 and 89 % for cystic fluid CEA. Combining NGS findings with CEA levels increased sensitivity and specificity in detecting mucinous lesions to 78 and 87 %, respectively. Surgically treated high-grade dysplasia PCLs did not show worrisome mutations in cyst fluid, while 80 % of the malignant lesions had mutations typical for advanced lesions. The advanced neoplasias showed 95 % specificity for worrisome gene mutations, with the highest diagnostic accuracy observed for NGS mutations, achieving an AUC of 0.777 in the ROC curve analysis compared to 0.631 for CEA. Patients with worrisome gene mutations were offered surgical treatment. NGS results contributed to the decision to operate in 11 out of 23 cases. In 71 % of all cases, NGS supported the diagnosis, with 3 % false positives and 12 % false negatives.

CONCLUSIONS

NGS analysis of pancreatic cyst fluid demonstrates high specificity and may serve as an additional diagnostic tool to CEA. Combining cystic fluid CEA and NGS increases the accuracy in determining whether a lesion is mucinous and NGS showed a higher diagnostic accuracy in advanced lesions compared to CEA. While the absence of alarming NGS findings should not preclude surgical treatment, patients with alarming mutations should be considered for surgery.

Global Prevalence of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions in the General Population on Magnetic Resonance Imaging: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Understanding the burden of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) in the general population is important for clinicians and policymakers. In this systematic review, we sought to estimate the global prevalence of PCLs using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and to investigate factors that contribute to its variation.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central, from database inception through February 2023. We included full-text articles that reported the prevalence of PCLs using MRI in the general population. A proportional meta-analysis was performed, and the prevalence of PCLs was pooled using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies with 65,607 subjects were identified. The pooled prevalence of PCLs was 16% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13%-18%; I2 = 99%), most of which were under 10 mm. Age-specific prevalence of PCLs increased from 9% (95% CI, 7%-12%) at 50 to 59 years, to 18% (95% CI, 14%-22%) at 60 to 69 years, 26% (95% CI, 20%-33%) at 70 to 79 years, and 38% at 80 years and above (95% CI, 25%-52%). There was no difference in prevalence between sexes. Subgroup analysis showed higher PCL prevalence when imaging findings were confirmed by independent radiologist(s) (25%; 95% CI, 16%-33%) than when chart review alone was used (5%; 95% CI, 4%-7%; P < .01). There was no independent association of PCL prevalence with geographic location (Europe, North America, or Asia), MRI indication (screening vs evaluation of non-pancreatic pathology), enrollment period, sample size, magnet strength (1.5 vs 3 tesla), and MRI sequence (magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography vs no magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography).

CONCLUSION

In this systematic review, the global prevalence of PCLs using a highly sensitive noninvasive imaging modality ranged between 13% and 18%.

Endoscopic Ultrasound-Guided Through-the-Needle Biopsy: A Narrative Review of the Technique and Its Emerging Role in Pancreatic Cyst Diagnosis

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) pose a diagnostic challenge due to their increasing incidence and the limitations of cross-sectional imaging and endoscopic-ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA). EUS-guided through the needle biopsy (EUS-TTNB) has emerged as a promising tool for improving the accuracy of cyst type determination and neoplastic risk stratification. EUS-TTNB demonstrates superior diagnostic performance over EUS-FNA, providing critical preoperative information that can significantly influence patient management and reduce unnecessary surgeries. However, the procedure has risks, with an overall adverse event rate of approximately 9%. Preventive measures and further prospective studies are essential to optimize its safety and efficacy. This review highlights the potential of EUS-TTNB to enhance the diagnostic and management approaches for patients with PCLs. It examines the current state of EUS-TTNB, including available devices, indications, procedural techniques, specimen handling, diagnostic yield, clinical impact, and associated adverse events.

Using a customized GPT to provide guideline-based recommendations for management of pancreatic cystic lesions

Background and study aims Rising prevalence of pancreatic cysts and inconsistent management guidelines necessitate innovative approaches. New features of large language models (LLMs), namely custom GPT creation, provided by ChatGPT can be utilized to integrate multiple guidelines and settle inconsistencies. Methods A custom GPT was developed to provide guideline-based management advice for pancreatic cysts. Sixty clinical scenarios were evaluated by both the custom GPT and gastroenterology experts. A consensus was reached between experts and review of guidelines and the accuracy of recommendations provided by the custom GPT was evaluated and compared with experts. Results The custom GPT aligned with expert recommendations in 87% of scenarios. Initial expert recommendations were correct in 97% and 87% of cases, respectively. No significant difference was observed between the accuracy of custom GPT and the experts. Agreement analysis using Cohen's and Fleiss' Kappa coefficients indicated consistency among experts and the custom GPT. Conclusions This proof-of-concept study shows the custom GPT's potential to provide accurate, guideline-based recommendations for pancreatic cyst management, comparable to expert opinions. The study highlights the role of advanced features of LLMs in enhancing clinical decision-making in fields with significant practice variability.

Endoscopic Ultrasound-Guided Ablation of Premalignant Pancreatic Cysts and Pancreatic Cancer

Pancreatic cancer is on the rise and expected to become the second leading cause of cancer-related death by 2030. Up to a one-fifth of pancreatic cancers may arise from mucinous pancreatic cysts, which are frequently present in the general population. Currently, surgical resection is the only curative approach for pancreatic cancer and its cystic precursors. However, only a dismal proportion of patients are eligible for surgery. Therefore, novel treatment approaches to treat pancreatic cancer and precancerous pancreatic cysts are needed. Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided ablation is an emerging minimally invasive method to treat pancreatic cancer and premalignant pancreatic cysts. Different ablative modalities have been used including alcohol, chemotherapy agents, and radiofrequency ablation. Cumulative data over the past two decades have shown that endoscopic ablation of mucinous pancreatic cysts can lead to cyst resolution in a significant proportion of the treated cysts. Furthermore, novel data are emerging about the ability to endoscopically ablate early and locally advanced pancreatic cancer. In this review, we aim to summarize the available data on the efficacy and safety of the different EUS-ablation modalities for the management of premalignant pancreatic cysts and pancreatic cancer.

Structured training program on confocal laser endomicroscopy for pancreatic cystic lesions: a multicenter prospective study among early-career endosonographers (with video)

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Data on how to teach endosonographers needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (nCLE)-guided histologic diagnosis of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are limited. Hence, we developed and tested a structured educational program to train early-career endosonographers in nCLE-guided diagnosis of PCLs.

METHODS

Twenty-one early-career nCLE-naïve endosonographers watched a teaching module outlining nCLE criteria for diagnosing PCLs. Participants then reviewed 80 high-yield nCLE videos, recorded diagnoses, and received expert feedback (phase 1). Observers were then randomized to a refresher feedback session or self-learning at 4 weeks. Eight weeks after training, participants independently assessed the same 80 nCLE videos without feedback and provided histologic predictions (phase 2). Diagnostic performance of nCLE to differentiate mucinous versus nonmucinous PCLs and to diagnose specific subtypes were analyzed using histopathology as the criterion standard. Learning curves were determined using cumulative sum analysis.

RESULTS

Accuracy and diagnostic confidence for differentiating mucinous versus nonmucinous PCLs improved as endosonographers progressed through nCLE videos in phase 1 (P < .001). Similar trends were observed with the diagnosis of PCL subtypes. Most participants achieved competency interpreting nCLE, requiring a median of 38 assessments (range, 9-67). During phase 2, participants independently differentiated PCLs with high accuracy (89%), high confidence (83%), and substantial interobserver agreement (κ = .63). Accuracy for nCLE-guided PCL subtype diagnoses ranged from 82% to 96%. The learned nCLE skills did not deteriorate at 8 weeks and were not impacted by a refresher session.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a practical, effective, and durable educational intervention to train early-career endosonographers in nCLE-guided diagnosis of PCLs.

Pancreatic cystic neoplasms: Still high rates of preoperative misdiagnosis in the guidelines and endoscopic ultrasound era

BACKGROUND

A wrong diagnosis of nature is common in pancreatic cystic neoplasms. The aim of the current study is to reappraise the diagnostic errors for presumed pancreatic cystic neoplasms in patients undergoing surgery.

METHODS

All pancreatic resections for presumed pancreatic cystic neoplasms following international guidelines between 2011 and 2020 were analyzed. Misdiagnosis was defined as the discrepancy between preoperative diagnosis of nature and final pathology. Mismatch was defined as the discrepancy between the preoperative suspect of malignancy (or its absence) and final pathology.

RESULTS

A total of 601 patients were included. Endoscopic ultrasound was performed in 301 (50%) patients. Overall misdiagnosis and mismatch were 19% and 34%, respectively, with no significant benefit for those patients who underwent endoscopic ultrasound. The highest rate of misdiagnosis was reached for cystic neuroendocrine tumors (61%) and the lowest for solid pseudopapillary tumors (6%). Several diagnostic errors had clinical relevance, including 7 (13%) presumed serous cystic neoplasms eventually found to be other malignant entities, 50 (24%) intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms with high-risk stigmata revealed to be non-malignant, and 38 (33%) intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms without high-risk stigmata revealed to be malignant at final pathology. A preoperative presumption of malignant mucinous cystic neoplasm was correct in only 20 (16%) patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite not always being clinically relevant, diagnostic errors are still common among resected pancreatic cystic neoplasms when applying international guidelines. New diagnostic tools beyond endoscopic ultrasound are needed to refine the diagnosis of those lesions at higher risk for unnecessary surgery or accidentally observed, nevertheless being malignant.

Surveillance for Presumed BD-IPMN of the Pancreas: Stability, Size, and Age Identify Targets for Discontinuation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Currently, most patients with branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) are offered indefinite surveillance, resulting in health care costs with questionable benefits regarding cancer prevention. This study sought to identify patients in whom the risk of cancer is equivalent to an age-matched population, thereby justifying discontinuation of surveillance.

METHODS

International multicenter study involving presumed BD-IPMN without worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) at diagnosis who underwent surveillance. Clusters of individuals at risk for cancer development were defined according to cyst size and stability for at least 5 years, and age-matched controls were used for comparison using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for pancreatic cancer.

RESULTS

Of 3844 patients with presumed BD-IPMN, 775 (20.2%) developed WFs and 68 (1.8%) HRS after a median surveillance of 53 (interquartile range 53) months. Some 164 patients (4.3%) underwent surgery. Of the overall cohort, 1617 patients (42%) remained stable without developing WFs or HRS for at least 5 years. In patients 75 years or older, the SIR was 1.12 (95% CI, 0.23-3.39), and in patients 65 years or older with stable lesions smaller than 15 mm in diameter after 5 years, the SIR was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.11-3.42). The all-cause mortality for patients who did not develop WFs or HRS for at least 5 years was 4.9% (n = 79), and the disease-specific mortality was 0.3% (n = 5).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of developing pancreatic malignancy in presumed BD-IPMN without WFs or HRS after 5 years of surveillance is comparable to that of the general population depending on cyst size and patient age. Surveillance discontinuation could be justified after 5 years of stability in patients older than 75 years with cysts <30 mm, and in patients 65 years or older who have cysts ≤15 mm.

Innovation in the Surgical Management of Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: Same Operations, Narrower Indications, and an Individualized Approach to Decision-Making

Historically, the management of pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCN) has been operative. Early intervention for premalignant lesions, including intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN), offers an opportunity to prevent pancreatic cancer-with potential decrement to patients' short-term and long-term health. The operations performed have remained fundamentally the same, with most patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy using oncologic principles. The role of parenchymal-sparing resection and total pancreatectomy remains controversial. We review innovations in the surgical management of PCN, focusing on the evolution of evidence-based guidelines, short-term and long-term outcomes, and individualized risk-benefit assessment.

Endoscopic Imaging of Pancreatic Cysts

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) have been diagnosed with increasing frequency likely due to the widespread use of cross-sectional imaging. A precise diagnosis of the PCL is important because it helps identify patients in need of surgical resection and those who can undergo surveillance imaging. A combination of clinical and imaging findings as well as cyst fluid markers can help classify PCLs and guide management. This review focuses on endoscopic imaging of PCLs including endoscopic and endosonographic features and fine needle aspiration. We then review the role of adjunct techniques, such as microforceps, contrast-enhanced endoscopic ultrasound, pancreatoscopy, and confocal laser endomicroscopy.

The Landmark Series: Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas-From Prevalence to Early Cancer Detection

Modern series report a prevalence of pancreatic cysts in the general population of up to 50% in prospective studies. Of these, about half will be pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) that have varying degrees of malignant potential. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas are the most common PCNs and are known predecessors of pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Critically, they are one of the only radiographically identifiable precursors of pancreatic cancer and thus provide an opportunity for early cancer detection and surgical resection with curative intent. The combination of high prevalence and potential for malignant degeneration underscore the relevance of discussing the best management of IPMNs and improving the existing standard of care. Landmark data on IPMN prevalence, guidelines, surveillance, biomarkers, and immune landscape are highlighted.

Comparative Performance of Endoscopic Ultrasound-Based Techniques in Patients With Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: A Network Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Evidence on the comparative diagnostic performance of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-based techniques for pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) is limited. This network meta-analysis comprehensively compared EUS-based techniques for PCL diagnosis.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed for all comparative studies assessing the accuracy of 2 or more modalities for PCL diagnosis. The primary outcome was the diagnostic efficacy for mucinous PCLs. Secondary outcomes were the diagnostic efficacy for malignant PCLs, diagnostic success rate, and adverse event rate. A network meta-analysis was conducted using the ANOVA model to assess the diagnostic accuracy of each index.

RESULTS

Forty studies comprising 3,641 patients were identified. The network ranking of the superiority index for EUS-guided needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (EUS-nCLE) and EUS-guided through-the-needle biopsy (EUS-TTNB) were significantly higher than other techniques for differentiating mucinous PCLs; besides, EUS-TTNB was also the optimal technique in identifying malignant PCLs. The evidence was inadequate for EUS-nCLE diagnosing malignant PCLs and contrast-enhanced harmonic EUS diagnosing both mucinous and malignant PCLs. Glucose showed a high sensitivity but low specificity, and molecular analysis (KRAS, GNAS, and KRAS + GNAS mutations) showed a high specificity but low sensitivity for diagnosing mucinous PCLs. Satisfactory results were not obtained during the evaluation of the efficiency of pancreatic cyst fluid (PCF) biomarkers in detecting malignant PCLs.

DISCUSSION

For centers with relevant expertise and facilities, EUS-TTNB and EUS-nCLE were better choices for the diagnosis of PCLs. Further studies are urgently required for further improving PCF biomarkers and validating the diagnostic performance of the index techniques.

New-Onset Diabetes Is a Potential Marker for the Malignant Transformation of Pancreatic Cysts: A Real-World Population Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

New-onset diabetes mellitus has been shown to be associated with pancreatic cancer (PC) in the general population. Our objective was to leverage real-world data to assess the association of new-onset diabetes (NODM) with malignant transformation in a large longitudinal cohort of pancreatic cyst patients.

METHODS

A retrospective longitudinal cohort study was conducted using IBM's MarketScan claims databases from 2009 to 2017. From 200 million database subjects, we selected patients with newly diagnosed cysts without prior pancreatic pathology.

RESULTS

Of the 137,970 patients with a pancreatic cyst, 14,279 had a new diagnosis. Median follow-up was 41.6 months. Patients with NODM progressed to PC at nearly 3 times the rate of patients without a diabetes history (hazard ratio, 2.80; 95% confidence interval, 2.05-3.83) and at a significantly higher rate than patients with preexisting diabetes (hazard ratio, 1.59; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-2.21). The mean interval between NODM and cancer diagnosis was 7.5 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Cyst patients who developed NODM progressed to PC at 3 times the rate of nondiabetics and at a greater rate than preexisting diabetics. The diagnosis of NODM preceded cancer detection by several months. These results support the inclusion of diabetes mellitus screening in cyst surveillance algorithms.

Prevalence of dysglycemia and associated risk factors in patients with pancreatic benign and low-grade malignant tumors before pancreatic surgery: A prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic benign and low-grade malignant tumors (PBLMT) have experienced a rapid increase in incidence rates worldwide. Few studies have focused on the glucose metabolism status of patients with PBLMT before pancreatic surgery.

METHODS

From August 2017 to June 2018, 70 patients with PBLMT were prospectively screened for abnormalities in glucose metabolism by an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) before pancreatic surgery. Patients were classified as having normal glucose tolerance (NGT), prediabetes mellitus (pre-DM), or new-onset DM (NOD) according to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria. Glucose metabolism indices were calculated based on the OGTT parameters. Tumor volume and remnant pancreatic volume (RPV) were measured by computed tomography.

RESULTS

Forty-nine of 70 patients with PBLMT developed dysglycemia (pre-DM and NOD). RPV was smaller in the pre-DM (57.44 ± 18.20 cm³ vs. 70.48 ± 14.08 cm³, P = 0.001) and NOD groups (37.38 ± 20.40 cm³ vs. 70.48 ± 14.08 cm³, P < 0.001) than in the NGT group. The homeostasis model assessment of β-cell function (HOMA2-β), insulinogenic index (IGI), and insulin secretion/insulin resistance index (ISSI-2) were worse in the pre-DM and NOD groups compared with NGT group (all P < 0.05). After univariate and multivariate analyses, age over 60 years (P = 0.049, OR = 5.76, 95% CI: 1.01-32.92) and RPV less than 49.36 cm³ (P = 0.024, OR = 8.59, 95% CI: 1.34-55.22) were recognized as independent risk factors for dysglycemia. The analysis of all patients revealed inverse correlations between RPV and both in age (r = -0.28, P = 0.019) and tumor volume (r = -0.28, P = 0.032). Positive correlations were found between RPV and both IGI (r = 0.29, P = 0.019) and ISSI-2 (r = 0.39, P = 0.0011).

CONCLUSION

In patients with PBLMT, 70% had dysglycemia before surgery. Old age and a reduction in RPV were independent risk factors for developing dysglycemia before pancreatic surgery. The decisions to treat PBLMT with resection should hinge more on the risk of dysglycemia as well as potential malignancy.