The role of routine clinical pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT in predicting outcome of colorectal liver metastasis

Liver transplantation in metastatic colorectal cancer: are we ready for it?

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a prevalent disease worldwide, with more than 50% of patients developing metastases to the liver. Five-year overall survival remains modest among patients with metastatic CRC (mCRC) treated with conventional therapies however, liver transplantation in a highly selected population can improve clinical outcomes with an impressive 5-year overall survival of 83%. Despite liver transplantation appearing to be a promising therapeutical option for well-selected patients with mCRC with the liver-limited disease, these data come from small monocentric trials which included a heterogeneous population. Currently, several clinical trials are evaluating liver transplantation in this scenario, aiming for a more accurate patient selection by integrating liquid biopsy, tissue profiling, and nuclear medicine to the already known clinical biomarkers that eventually may lead to a survival improvement. In this paper, the clinical outcomes and inclusion criteria from the most relevant clinical trials and clinical series involving liver transplantation in patients with liver-limited disease colorectal cancer are reviewed as well as the trials currently recruiting.

Liver transplantation for colorectal secondaries: on the way to validation

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Liver transplantation for nonresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) is an emerging field within transplant oncology. This review summarizes recent developments within this field.

RECENT FINDINGS

More stringent selection criteria can yield 5-year survival rates that are similar to conventional indications for liver transplantation. Response to chemotherapy, low carcinoembryonic antigen levels, limited tumor volume and stable disease with observation time exceeding 12 months are fundamental requirements in this context. Radiomic analysis of pre transplant PET/computed tomography scans to determine metabolic tumor volume (MTV) in the liver seems particularly promising with regards to prediction of a favorable tumor biology. MTV values below 70 cm3 are associated with excellent long-term survival after transplantation, whereas the MTV threshold for liver resection seem far smaller. Recent studies put into question whether technical nonresectability per se is a valid inclusion criterion for liver transplantation. In patients with high hepatic tumor burden, but otherwise favorable prognostic features as assessed by the Oslo score, liver transplantation could possibly give a clinically relevant survival benefit compared with liver resection.

SUMMARY

Liver transplantation is feasible treatment option in highly selected patients with nonresectable CRLMs. Robust and stringent selection criteria should be applied according to international consensus guidelines.

Prognostic Significance of Pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT Volumetric Parameters in Patients With Colorectal Liver Metastasis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) remains a clinical challenge due to the lack of reliable prognostic parameters. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the prognostic value of pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT volumetric parameters for hepatic metastatic lesions (HMLs) in patients with CRLM.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed using the following combination of keywords: CRLM, FDG, PET, and prognosis. The inclusion criteria were studies using 18F-FDG PET/CT as an imaging tool before treatment, including volumetric parameters (metabolic tumor volume [MTV] and total lesion glycolysis [TLG]) for HMLs, and reported survival data. Event-free survival and overall survival were considered as survival markers. The effect on survival was determined by the effect size of the hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

Our systematic search identified 668 records, and a total of 10 studies comprising 494 patients were included. The pooled HRs of the prognostic value of the MTV and TLG for event-free survival were 1.55 (95% CI, 1.21-1.99; P = 0.0006) and 1.64 (95% CI, 1.23-2.19; P = 0.0009) with significance, respectively. The pooled HRs of the prognostic value of the MTV and TLG for overall survival were 1.72 (95% CI, 1.32-2.23; P < 0.0001) and 2.09 (95% CI, 1.48-2.96; P < 0.0001) with significance, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher MTV and TLG for HMLs before treatment were identified as worse prognostic parameters in patients with CRLM. The MTV and TLG of 18F-FDG PET/CT could be used as predictors of prognosis.

Preoperative 18F-FDG PET/computed tomography predicts survival following resection for colorectal liver metastases

OBJECTIVE

The liver is the most frequent metastatic site from colorectal cancer and about 20% of these patients are treated by surgical resection. However, the 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) following resection is only about 25% and 5-year overall survival (OS) about 38%. The aim of the study was to evaluate the ability of metabolic and volumetric measurements from fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose (F-FDG) PET/computed tomography (CT) prior to resection for colorectal liver metastases (CLM) to predict survival.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Preoperative F-FDG PET/CT examinations were assessed. Metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), maximum, mean and peak standardized uptake values and tumor to background ratio, were obtained for all CLM. Cutoff values were determined for each of these parameters by using receiver operating characteristic analysis dividing the patients into two groups. DFS, liver recurrence-free survival (LRFS), OS and cancer-specific survival (CSS) for patients over and under the cutoff value were compared by using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven patients who underwent F-FDG PET/CT prior to resection for CLM were included. Low values of total MTV and TLG were significantly correlated to improved 5-year LRFS (P = 0.016 and 0.006) and CSS (P = 0.034 and 0.008). Patients who developed liver recurrence had significantly higher total MTV and TLG compared to patients without liver recurrence (P = 0.042 and 0.047).

CONCLUSION

Low values of total MTV and TLG were significantly correlated to improved LRFS and CSS and may improve the risk stratification of patients considered for resection for CLM.

Disappearing liver metastases: A systematic review of the current evidence

Advances in systemic chemotherapy have resulted in a significant increase in the reported response rates of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) over time. Although radiologic response is usually prognostic of favorable outcomes, complete shrinkage of CRLM after chemotherapy, namely "disappearing liver metastases" (DLMs) poses significant therapeutic dilemmas. A systematic review of the literature was conducted to evaluate the existing evidence on the imaging and management of patients with DLMs using the PubMed (Medline), Embase and Cochrane library through December 21st, 2018. The following algorithm was used: "(disappearing OR vanishing OR missing OR (residual tiny)) AND ((liver OR hepatic) AND (metastasis OR metastases OR metastatic OR secondary))." From the 225 records retrieved, 15 studies were finally deemed eligible. A total of 479 patients with DLMs with a median age of 59.5 years (range, 30-83) were identified. Median number of DLM per patient ranged from 1 to 8.8. Median size of LMs prior to chemotherapy was 1.07 cm (range 0.3-3.5). The systemic treatment used to achieve DLMs included systemic chemotherapy alone (only 2 studies) or in combination with targeted agents (11 studies). The median number of chemotherapy cycles in the included studies was 7.8 (range 6-12). Identified factors predisposing to the development of DLM were small size (<2 cm), increased number of treatment cycles, oxaliplatin-based therapy, increased number of CRLM (≥3) and synchronous CRLM. Baseline and preoperative MRI with iv contrast showed the highest sensitivity for DLM detection. Fiducial placement facilitated pre- and intra-operative identification of DLM. Although resection of DLM decreased the local recurrence risk, there was no clearly demonstrated survival benefit after resecting all sites of disappearing lesions. Future randomized clinical trials are highly encouraged to provide strict, evidence-based recommendations for the treatment of patients with DLM.

Prognostic modeling for patients with colorectal liver metastases incorporating FDG PET radiomic features

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to improve prediction of outcome for patients with colorectal liver metastases, via prognostic models incorporating PET-derived measures, including radiomic features that move beyond conventional standard uptake value (SUV) measures.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A range of parameters including volumetric and heterogeneity measures were derived from FDG PET images of 52 patients with colorectal intrahepatic-only metastases (29 males and 23 females; mean age 62.9 years [SD 9.8; range 32-82]). The patients underwent PET/CT imaging as part of the clinical workup prior to final decision on treatment. Univariate and multivariate models were implemented, which included statistical considerations (to discourage false discovery and overfitting), to predict overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and event-free survival (EFS). Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed, where the subjects were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups, from which the hazard ratios (HR) were computed via Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Commonly-invoked SUV metrics performed relatively poorly for different prediction tasks (SUVmax HR = 1.48, 0.83 and 1.16; SUVpeak HR = 2.05, 1.93, and 1.64, for OS, PFS and EFS, respectively). By contrast, the number of liver metastases and metabolic tumor volume (MTV) each performed well (with respective HR values of 2.71, 2.61 and 2.42, and 2.62, 1.96 and 2.29, for OS, PFS and EFS). Total lesion glycolysis (TLG) also resulted in similar performance as MTV. Multivariate prognostic modeling incorporating different features (including those quantifying intra-tumor heterogeneity) resulted in further enhanced prediction. Specifically, HR values of 4.29, 4.02 and 3.20 (p-values = 0.00004, 0.0019 and 0.0002) were obtained for OS, PFS and EFS, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

PET-derived measures beyond commonly invoked SUV parameters hold significant potential towards improved prediction of clinical outcome in patients with liver metastases, especially when utilizing multivariate models.

Radiomics analysis of pre-treatment [18F]FDG PET/CT for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer undergoing palliative systemic treatment

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to assess radiomics features on pre-treatment [¹⁸F]FDG positron emission tomography (PET) as potential biomarkers for response and survival in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

METHODS

Patients with mCRC underwent [¹⁸F]FDG PET/computed tomography (CT) prior to first- or third-line palliative systemic treatment. Tumour lesions were semiautomatically delineated and standard uptake value (SUV), metabolically active tumour volume (MATV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), entropy, area under the curve of the cumulative SUV-volume histogram (AUC-CSH), compactness and sphericity were obtained.

RESULTS

Lesions of 47 patients receiving third-line systemic treatment had higher SUV_max, SUV_peak, SUV_mean, MATV and TLG, and lower AUC-CSH, compactness and sphericity compared to 52 patients receiving first-line systemic treatment. Therefore, first- and third-line groups were evaluated separately. In the first-line group, anatomical changes on CT correlated negatively with TLG (ρ = 0.31) and MATV (ρ = 0.36), and positively with compactness (ρ = -0.27) and sphericity (ρ = -0.27). Patients without benefit had higher mean entropy (p = 0.021). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were worse with a decreased mean AUC [hazard ratio (HR) 0.86, HR 0.77] and increase in mean MATV (HR 1.15, HR 1.22), sum MATV (HR 1.14, HR 1.19), mean TLG (HR 1.16, HR 1.22) and sum TLG (HT1.12, HR1.18). In the third-line group, AUC-CSH correlated negatively with anatomical change (ρ = 0.21). PFS and OS were worse with an increased mean MATV (HR 1.27, HR 1.68), sum MATV (HR 1.35, HR 2.04), mean TLG (HR 1.29, HR 1.52) and sum TLG (HT 1.27, HR 1.80). SUV_max and SUV_peak negatively correlated with OS (HR 1.19, HR 1.21). Cluster analysis of the 10 radiomics features demonstrated no complementary value in identifying aggressively growing lesions or patients with impaired survival.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated an association between improved clinical outcome and pre-treatment low tumour volume and heterogeneity as well as high sphericity on [¹⁸F]FDG PET. Future PET imaging research should include radiomics features that incorporate tumour volume and heterogeneity when correlating PET data with clinical outcome.

Importance of 18F-FDG PET/CT to select patients with nonresectable colorectal liver metastases for liver transplantation

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose (F-FDG) PET/CT for the selection of patients with nonresectable colorectal liver metastases (NCLM) for liver transplantation (LT). In the secondary cancer study, we reported an improved 5-year overall survival in patients treated with LT for NCLM (56%) compared with chemotherapy (9%). However, many patients were rejected for LT owing to the detection of extrahepatic disease at preoperative imaging.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

F-FDG PET/CT and contrast-enhanced computed tomography (ceCT) examinations before tentative LT for NCLM were assessed, and findings contraindicating LT were registered. Maximum, mean and peak standardized uptake values; tumor-to-background ratio; metabolic tumor volume; and total lesion glycolysis were measured and calculated for all liver metastases. Overall survival was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Thirty-two patients excluded by F-FDG PET/CT and/or ceCT before tentative LT for NCLM were identified. F-FDG PET/CT from 20 of the 32 excluded patients revealed extrahepatic disease. Eight of the other 12 patients had a negative F-FDG PET/CT finding but were excluded by ceCT. Ten patients were excluded by F-FDG PET/CT only. Four patients were excluded owing to detected malignancy from frozen sections at the start of the intended transplant operation. Tumor-to-background ratio of the liver metastases was significantly higher in patients where F-FDG PET/CT detected extrahepatic disease (P=0.03). The median (range) survival after exclusion was 16 (0-52) months.

CONCLUSION

The ability of F-FDG PET/CT to detect extrahepatic disease before LT for NCLM is vital to establish LT as a treatment option.

The prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET/CT prior to liver transplantation for nonresectable colorectal liver metastases

PURPOSE

The main objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of volumetric and metabolic information derivied from F-18 fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (18F-FDG PET) in combination with computed tomography (CT) prior to liver transplantation (LT) in patients with nonresectable colorectal liver metastases (CLM). Due to scarcity of liver grafts, prognostic information enabling selection of candidates who will gain the highest survival after LT is of vital importance. 18F-FDG PET/CT was a part of the preoperative study protocol. Patients without evidence of extrahepatic malignant disease on 18F-FDG PET/CT who also fulfilled all the other inclusion criteria underwent LT.

METHODS

The preoperative 18F-FDG PET/CT examinations of all patients included in the SECA (secondary cancer) study were retrospectively assessed. Maximum, mean and peak standardized uptake values (SUVmax, SUVmean and SUVpeak), tumor to background (T/B) ratio, metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) were measured and calculated for all liver metastases. Total MTV and TLG were calculated for each patient. Cut-off values were determined for each of these parameters by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis dividing the patients into two groups. One, three and five-year overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) for patients over and under the cut-off value were compared by using the Kaplan-Meier method and log rank test.

RESULTS

Twenty-three patients underwent LT in the SECA study. Total MTV and TLG under the cut-off values were significantly correlated to improved OS at three and five years (p = 0.027 and 0.026) and DFS (p = 0.01). One, three and five-year OS and DFS were not significantly related to SUVmax, SUVmean, SUVpeak or T/B-ratio.

CONCLUSION

Total MTV and TLG from 18F FDG PET/CT prior to LT for nonresectable CLM were significantly correlated to improved three and five-year OS and DFS and can potentially improve the patient selection for LT.

Pretreatment metabolic parameters measured by 18F-FDG-PET to predict the outcome of first-line chemotherapy in extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVE

Patients' pretreatment metabolic burden, as measured by radiotracer fluorine-18 fluorodeoxyglucose (F-FDG) PET/computed tomography (CT), has been shown to predict treatment outcome in various malignancies. However, its predictive role in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (SCLC) has not been definitively determined. This retrospective study investigated the viability of using common pretreatment metabolic parameters, obtained through F-FDG-PET/CT, to predict outcomes of first-line chemotherapy in extensive-stage SCLC.

PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS

The study population comprised 154 consecutive patients with extensive-stage SCLC who underwent a pretreatment F-FDG-PET/CT scan and received standard first-line chemotherapy between January 2011 and December 2015.

RESULTS

Ten (6.5%) and 66 (42.9%) patients achieved a complete or a partial response, respectively (considered an objective response); 35 (22.7%) and 43 (27.9%) experienced stable or progressive disease. The metabolic tumor volume (MTV) was a significant factor for predicting an objective response. For predicting disease control (objective response or stable disease), MTV and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) were nonindependent factors.

CONCLUSION

Greater MTV and TLG could indicate a poorer response to first-line chemotherapy for patients with extensive-stage SCLC, but the predictive efficiency was not high enough for routine reliance. For patients who are not suitable to receive first-line chemotherapy, MTV and TLG may help guide clinical decisions.

Timing and extent of response in colorectal cancer: critical review of current data and implication for future trials

The identification of new surrogate endpoints for advanced colorectal cancer is becoming crucial and, along with drug development, it represents a research field increasingly studied. Although overall survival (OS) remains the strongest trial endpoint available, it requires larger sample size and longer periods of time for an event to happen. Surrogate endpoints such as progression free survival (PFS) or response rate (RR) may overcome these issues but, as such, they need to be prospectively validated before replacing the real endpoints; moreover, they often bear many other limitations. In this narrative review we initially discuss the role of time-to-event endpoints, objective response and response rate as surrogates of OS in the advanced colorectal cancer setting, discussing also how such measures are influenced by the tumor assessment criteria currently employed. We then report recent data published about early tumor shrinkage and deepness of response, which have recently emerged as novel potential endpoint surrogates, discussing their strengths and weaknesses and providing a critical comment. Despite being very compelling, the role of such novel response measures is yet to be confirmed and their surrogacy with OS still needs to be further investigated within larger and well-designed trials.

Is early response by (18)F-2-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography a predictor of long-term outcome in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer?

BACKGROUND

Identify in advance responder patients to chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) would allow prompt interruption of ineffective therapies in non-responder patients. Hence, predictive markers are sought in numerous trials to detect responder patients, including tumor shrinkage measured by imaging methods. Usually, Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) is used to evaluate tumor response in metastatic CRC, but these criteria are questionable with use of biological agents associated to chemotherapy. Our aim was correlate early metabolic response by (18)F-2-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography ((18)FDG-PET-CT) with long-term outcome in metastatic CRC in first-line therapy.

METHODS

We prospectively evaluated 36 patients with metastatic CRC in first-line treatment with 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin (folinic acid), oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) or 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin (folinic acid), irinotecan (FOLFIRI) associated with cetuximab or bevacizumab. (18)FDG-PET-CT was performed at baseline and after two cycles of chemotherapy. The early metabolic response [standardized uptake value (SUV)] was measured to identify responder and non-responder patients and correlated with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

Median age was 58.5 years (range, 41-74 years). PFS was 15.5 months for responder and 13.3 months for non-responder (P=0.42), OS was 55.7 months for responder and not reached for non-responder. There was no correlation between delta-SUV and clinical and pathological variables analyzed. In the subgroup of patients who did not undergo resection of metastasis (45%), PFS was higher for responders (15.3×6.8 months, P=0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

According to our findings, early response by (18)FDG-PET-CT was not a predictor of long-term outcome for patients with metastatic CRC treated in the first-line chemotherapy with a monoclonal antibody.

Prognostic significance of (18)FDG PET/CT in colorectal cancer patients with liver metastases: a meta-analysis

Background

The role of 18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography CT (¹⁸FDG PET/CT), as a prognostic factor for survival in colorectal cancer patients with liver metastases, is still controversial. We sought to perform a meta-analysis of the literature to address this issue.

Methods

A systematic literature search was performed to identify the studies that associated ¹⁸FDG PET/CT to clinical survival outcomes of patients with liver metastases. Methodological qualities of the included studies were also assessed. The summarized hazard ratio (HR) was estimated by using fixed- or random-effect model according to heterogeneity between trails.

Results

By analyzing a total of 867 patients from 15 studies, we found that PET/CT for metabolic response to the therapy was capable of predicting event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) with statistical significance, and the HR was 0.45 (95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.26–0.78) and 0.36 (95 % CI, 0.18–0.71), respectively. Furthermore, pre-treatment ¹⁸FDG PET/CT with high standardized uptake value (SUV) was also significantly associated with poorer OS HR, 1.24; (95 % CI, 1.06–1.45). However, we did not find a statistically significant effect of post-treatment SUV for predicting OS HR, 1.68; (95 % CI, 0.63–4.52).

Conclusions

The present meta-analysis confirms that ¹⁸FDG PET/CT is a useful tool to help predict survival outcomes in patients with liver metastases.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s40644-015-0055-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.