Classification of Post-pancreatectomy Readmissions and Opportunities for Targeted Mitigation Strategies

Discharge C-reactive protein predicts 90-day readmission after pancreatoduodenectomy: a conditional inference tree analysis

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to assess the predictive value of discharge C-reactive protein (CRP) and white blood cell (WBC) levels for 90-day readmission after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD).

METHODS

A two-centre, retrospective study was performed between 2008 and 2022. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the predictive value of CRP level and WBC count at discharge. A conditional inference tree (CTREE) was constructed to identify combined risks within subgroups using variables associated with readmission.

RESULTS

Of 438 patients, 54 (12%) were readmitted. The median WBC count at discharge was comparable between the readmitted and not readmitted groups (9.1 vs. 8.5 G/l). The CRP levels at discharge were predictive of 90-day readmission, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.63 (95% CI: 0.55-0.63). A CRP concentration below 105 mg/l ruled out 90-day readmission, with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 90% (95% CI: 81%-95%). CTREE confirmed the diagnostic value of CRP at discharge (AUC = 0.68, 95% CI 0.60-0.68). CTREE additionally identified previous wound infection as a second risk factor for readmission in patients with CRP levels less than 101 mg/l (P = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

CRP levels below 105 mg/l at discharge allow for a safe discharge with a low 90-day readmission rate. Wound infection, but not WBC count, was a positive predictor of 90-day readmission with moderate accuracy, suggesting the need for predischarge imaging for undetected complications in this patient cohort.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Our retrospective analysis did not require registration with a publicly accessible registry.

Postoperative Global Period Cost Reduction Using 3 Successive Risk-Stratified Pancreatectomy Clinical Pathways

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized that iterative revisions of our original 2016 risk-stratified pancreatectomy clinical pathways would be associated with decreased 90-day perioperative costs.

STUDY DESIGN

From a single-institution retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients with 3 iterations: "version 1" (V1) (October 2016 to January 2019), V2 (February 2019 to October 2020), and V3 (November 2020 to February 2022), institutional data were aggregated using revenue codes and adjusted to constant 2022-dollar value. Grand total perioperative costs (primary endpoint) were the sum of pancreatectomy, inpatient care, readmission, and 90-day global outpatient care. Proprietary hospital-based costs were converted to ratios using the mean cost of all hospital operations as the denominator.

RESULTS

Of 814 patients, pathway V1 included 363, V2 229, and V3 222 patients. Accordion Grade 3+ complications decreased with each iteration (V1: 28.4%, V2: 22.7%, and V3: 15.3%). Median length of stay decreased (V1: 6 days, interquartile range [IQR] 5 to 8; V2: 5 [IQR 4 to 6]; and V3: 5 [IQR 4 to 6]) without an increase in readmissions. Ninety-day global perioperative costs decreased by 32% (V1 cost ratio 12.6, V2 10.9, and V3 8.6). Reduction of the index hospitalization cost was associated with the greatest savings (-31%: 9.4, 8.3, and 6.5). Outpatient care costs decreased consistently (1.58, 1.41, and 1.04). When combining readmission and all outpatient costs, total "postdischarge" costs decreased (3.17, 2.59, and 2.13). Component costs of the index hospitalization that were associated with the greatest savings were room or board costs (-55%: 1.74, 1.14, and 0.79) and pharmacy costs (-61%: 2.20, 1.61, and 0.87; all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Three iterative risk-stratified pancreatectomy clinical pathway refinements were associated with a 32% global period cost savings, driven by reduced index hospitalization costs. This successful learning health system model could be externally validated at other institutions performing abdominal cancer surgery.