Towards precision medicine: Accurate predictive modeling of infectious complications in combat casualties

Multidimensional machine learning models predicting outcomes after trauma

BACKGROUND

An emerging body of literature supports the role of individualized prognostic tools to guide the management of patients after trauma. The aim of this study was to develop advanced modeling tools from multidimensional data sources, including immunological analytes and clinical and administrative data, to predict outcomes in trauma patients.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of trauma patients at Level 1 centers from 2015 to 2019. Clinical, flow cytometry, and serum cytokine data were collected within 48 hours of admission. Sparse logistic regression models were developed, jointly selecting predictors and estimating the risk of ventilator-associated pneumonia, acute kidney injury, complicated disposition (death, rehabilitation, or nursing facility), and return to the operating room. Model parameters (regularization controlling model sparsity) and performance estimation were obtained via nested leave-one-out cross-validation.

RESULTS

A total of 179 patients were included. The incidences of ventilator-associated pneumonia, acute kidney injury, complicated disposition, and return to the operating room were 17.7%, 28.8%, 22.5%, and 12.3%, respectively. Regarding extensive resource use, 30.7% of patients had prolonged intensive care unit stay, 73.2% had prolonged length of stay, and 23.5% had need for prolonged ventilatory support. The models were developed and cross-validated for ventilator-associated pneumonia, acute kidney injury, complicated dispositions, and return to the operating room, yielding predictive areas under the curve from 0.70 to 0.91. Each model derived its optimal predictive value by combining clinical, administrative, and immunological analyte data.

CONCLUSION

Clinical, immunological, and administrative data can be combined to predict post-traumatic outcomes and resource use. Multidimensional machine learning modeling can identify trauma patients with complicated clinical trajectories and high resource needs.

Metagenomic features of bioburden serve as outcome indicators in combat extremity wounds

Battlefield injury management requires specialized care, and wound infection is a frequent complication. Challenges related to characterizing relevant pathogens further complicates treatment. Applying metagenomics to wounds offers a comprehensive path toward assessing microbial genomic fingerprints and could indicate prognostic variables for future decision support tools. Wound specimens from combat-injured U.S. service members, obtained during surgical debridements before delayed wound closure, were subjected to whole metagenome analysis and targeted enrichment of antimicrobial resistance genes. Results did not indicate a singular, common microbial metagenomic profile for wound failure, instead reflecting a complex microenvironment with varying bioburden diversity across outcomes. Genus-level Pseudomonas detection was associated with wound failure at all surgeries. A logistic regression model was fit to the presence and absence of antimicrobial resistance classes to assess associations with nosocomial pathogens. A. baumannii detection was associated with detection of genomic signatures for resistance to trimethoprim, aminoglycosides, bacitracin, and polymyxin. Machine learning classifiers were applied to identify wound and microbial variables associated with outcome. Feature importance rankings averaged across models indicated the variables with the largest effects on predicting wound outcome, including an increase in P. putida sequence reads. These results describe the microbial genomic determinants in combat wound bioburden and demonstrate metagenomic investigation as a comprehensive tool for providing information toward aiding treatment of combat-related injuries.

Advanced Wound Diagnostics: Toward Transforming Wound Care into Precision Medicine

Significance: Nonhealing wounds are an ever-growing global pandemic, with mortality rates and management costs exceeding many common cancers. Although our understanding of the molecular and cellular factors driving wound healing continues to grow, standards for diagnosing and evaluating wounds remain largely subjective and experiential, whereas therapeutic strategies fail to consistently achieve closure and clinicians are challenged to deliver individualized care protocols. There is a need to apply precision medicine practices to wound care by developing evidence-based approaches, which are predictive, prescriptive, and personalized. Recent Advances: Recent developments in "advanced" wound diagnostics, namely biomarkers (proteases, acute phase reactants, volatile emissions, and more) and imaging systems (ultrasound, autofluorescence, spectral imaging, and optical coherence tomography), have begun to revolutionize our understanding of the molecular wound landscape and usher in a modern age of therapeutic strategies. Herein, biomarkers and imaging systems with the greatest evidence to support their potential clinical utility are reviewed. Critical Issues: Although many potential biomarkers have been identified and several imaging systems have been or are being developed, more high-quality randomized controlled trials are necessary to elucidate the currently questionable role that these tools are playing in altering healing dynamics or predicting wound closure within the clinical setting. Future Directions: The literature supports the need for the development of effective point-of-care wound assessment tools, such as a platform diagnostic array that is capable of measuring multiple biomarkers at once. These, along with advances in telemedicine, synthetic biology, and "smart" wearables, will pave the way for the transformation of wound care into a precision medicine. Clinical Trial Registration number: NCT03148977.

Viral Micro-RNAs Are Detected in the Early Systemic Response to Injury and Are Associated With Outcomes in Polytrauma Patients

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate early activation of latent viruses in polytrauma patients and consider prognostic value of viral micro-RNAs in these patients.

DESIGN

This was a subset analysis from a prospectively collected multicenter trauma database. Blood samples were obtained upon admission to the trauma bay (T0), and trauma metrics and recovery data were collected.

SETTING

Two civilian Level 1 Trauma Centers and one Military Treatment Facility.

PATIENTS

Adult polytrauma patients with Injury Severity Scores greater than or equal to 16 and available T0 plasma samples were included in this study. Patients with ICU admission greater than 14 days, mechanical ventilation greater than 7 days, or mortality within 28 days were considered to have a complicated recovery.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Polytrauma patients (n = 180) were identified, and complicated recovery was noted in 33%. Plasma samples from T0 underwent reverse transcriptase-quantitative polymerase chain reaction analysis for Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus micro-RNAs (miR-K12_10b and miRK-12-12) and Epstein-Barr virus-associated micro-RNA (miR-BHRF-1), as well as Luminex multiplex array analysis for established mediators of inflammation. Ninety-eight percent of polytrauma patients were found to have detectable Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus and Epstein-Barr virus micro-RNAs at T0, whereas healthy controls demonstrated 0% and 100% detection rate for Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpesvirus and Epstein-Barr virus, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed associations between viral micro-RNAs and polytrauma patients' age, race, and postinjury complications. Multivariate least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis of clinical variables and systemic biomarkers at T0 revealed that interleukin-10 was the strongest predictor of all viral micro-RNAs. Multivariate least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis of systemic biomarkers as predictors of complicated recovery at T0 demonstrated that miR-BHRF-1, miR-K12-12, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, and hepatocyte growth factor were independent predictors of complicated recovery with a model complicated recovery prediction area under the curve of 0.81.

CONCLUSIONS

Viral micro-RNAs were detected within hours of injury and correlated with poor outcomes in polytrauma patients. Our findings suggest that transcription of viral micro-RNAs occurs early in the response to trauma and may be associated with the biological processes involved in polytrauma-induced complicated recovery.

An integrative model using flow cytometry identifies nosocomial infection after trauma

BACKGROUND

Flow cytometry (FCM) is a rapid diagnostic tool for monitoring immune cell function. We sought to determine if assessment of cell phenotypes using standardized FCM could be used to identify nosocomial infection after trauma.

METHODS

Prospective study of trauma patients at a Level I center from 2014 to 2018. Clinical and FCM data were collected within 24 hours of admission. Random forest (RF) models were developed to estimate the risk of severe sepsis (SS), organ space infection (OSI), and ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). Variables were selected using backward elimination and models were validated with leave-one-out.

RESULTS

One hundred and thirty-eight patients were included (median age, 30 years [23-44 years]; median Injury Severity Score, 20 (14-29); 76% (105/138) Black; 60% (83/138) gunshots). The incidence of SS was 8.7% (12/138), OSI 16.7% (23/138), and VAP 18% (25/138). The final RF SS model resulted in five variables (RBCs transfused in first 24 hours; absolute counts of CD56- CD16+ lymphocytes, CD4+ T cells, and CD56 bright natural killer [NK] cells; percentage of CD16+ CD56+ NK cells) that identified SS with an AUC of 0.89, sensitivity of 0.98, and specificity of 0.78. The final RF OSI model resulted in four variables (RBC in first 24 hours, shock index, absolute CD16+ CD56+ NK cell counts, percentage of CD56 bright NK cells) that identified OSI with an AUC of 0.76, sensitivity of 0.68, and specificity of 0.82. The RF VAP model resulted in six variables (Sequential [Sepsis-related] Organ Failure Assessment score: Injury Severity Score; CD4- CD8- T cell counts; percentages of CD16- CD56- NK cells, CD16- CD56+ NK cells, and CD19+ B lymphocytes) that identified VAP with AUC of 0.86, sensitivity of 0.86, and specificity of 0.83.

CONCLUSIONS

Combined clinical and FCM data can assist with early identification of posttraumatic infections. The presence of NK cells supports the innate immune response that occurs during acute inflammation. Further research is needed to determine the functional role of these innate cell phenotypes and their value in predictive models immediately after injury.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic, level III.

Potential value and impact of data mining and machine learning in clinical diagnostics

Data mining involves the use of mathematical sciences, statistics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning to determine the relationships between variables from a large sample of data. It has previously been shown that data mining can improve the prediction and diagnostic precision of type 2 diabetes mellitus. A few studies have applied machine learning to assess hypertension and metabolic syndrome-related biomarkers, as well as refine the assessment of cardiovascular disease risk. Machine learning methods have also been applied to assess new biomarkers and survival outcomes in patients with renal diseases to predict the development of chronic kidney disease, disease progression, and renal graft survival. In the latter, random forest methods were found to be the best for the prediction of chronic kidney disease. Some studies have investigated the prognosis of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and acute liver failure, as well as therapy response prediction in patients with viral disorders, using decision tree models. Machine learning techniques, such as Sparse High-Order Interaction Model with Rejection Option, have been used for diagnosing Alzheimer's disease. Data mining techniques have also been applied to identify the risk factors for serious mental illness, such as depression and dementia, and help to diagnose and predict the quality of life of such patients. In relation to child health, some studies have determined the best algorithms for predicting obesity and malnutrition. Machine learning has determined the important risk factors for preterm birth and low birth weight. Published studies of patients with cancer and bacterial diseases are limited and should perhaps be addressed more comprehensively in future studies. Herein, we provide an in-depth review of studies in which biochemical biomarker data were analyzed using machine learning methods to assess the risk of several common diseases, in order to summarize the potential applications of data mining methods in clinical diagnosis. Data mining techniques have now been increasingly applied to clinical diagnostics, and they have the potential to support this field.

Association of a Network of Immunologic Response and Clinical Features With the Functional Recovery From Crotalinae Snakebite Envenoming

Background

The immunologic pathways activated during snakebite envenoming (SBE) are poorly described, and their association with recovery is unclear. The immunologic response in SBE could inform a prognostic model to predict recovery. The purpose of this study was to develop pre- and post-antivenom prognostic models comprised of clinical features and immunologic cytokine data that are associated with recovery from SBE.

Materials and Methods

We performed a prospective cohort study in an academic medical center emergency department. We enrolled consecutive patients with Crotalinae SBE and obtained serum samples based on previously described criteria for the Surgical Critical Care Initiative (SC2i)(ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02182180). We assessed a standard set of clinical variables and measured 35 unique cytokines using Luminex Cytokine 35-Plex Human Panel pre- and post-antivenom administration. The Patient-Specific Functional Scale (PSFS), a well-validated patient-reported outcome of functional recovery, was assessed at 0, 7, 14, 21 and 28 days and the area under the patient curve (PSFS AUPC) determined. We performed Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) modeling to represent relationships with a diagram composed of nodes and arcs. Each node represents a cytokine or clinical feature and each arc represents a joint-probability distribution (JPD).

Results

Twenty-eight SBE patients were enrolled. Preliminary results from 24 patients with clinical data, 9 patients with pre-antivenom and 11 patients with post-antivenom cytokine data are presented. The group was mostly female (82%) with a mean age of 38.1 (SD ± 9.8) years. In the pre-antivenom model, the variables most closely associated with the PSFS AUPC are predominantly clinical features. In the post-antivenom model, cytokines are more fully incorporated into the model. The variables most closely associated with the PSFS AUPC are age, antihistamines, white blood cell count (WBC), HGF, CCL5 and VEGF. The most influential variables are age, antihistamines and EGF. Both the pre- and post-antivenom models perform well with AUCs of 0.87 and 0.90 respectively.

Discussion

Pre- and post-antivenom networks of cytokines and clinical features were associated with functional recovery measured by the PSFS AUPC over 28 days. With additional data, we can identify prognostic models using immunologic and clinical variables to predict recovery from SBE.

Multiplexed Plasma Immune Mediator Signatures Can Differentiate Sepsis From NonInfective SIRS: American Surgical Association 2020 Annual Meeting Paper

OBJECTIVES

Sepsis and sterile both release "danger signals' that induce the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). So differentiating infection from SIRS can be challenging. Precision diagnostic assays could limit unnecessary antibiotic use, improving outcomes.

METHODS

After surveying human leukocyte cytokine production responses to sterile damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs), bacterial pathogen-associated molecular patterns, and bacteria we created a multiplex assay for 31 cytokines. We then studied plasma from patients with bacteremia, septic shock, "severe sepsis," or trauma (ISS ≥15 with circulating DAMPs) as well as controls. Infections were adjudicated based on post-hospitalization review. Plasma was studied in infection and injury using univariate and multivariate means to determine how such multiplex assays could best distinguish infective from noninfective SIRS.

RESULTS

Infected patients had high plasma interleukin (IL)-6, IL-1α, and triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1 (TREM-1) compared to controls [false discovery rates (FDR) <0.01, <0.01, <0.0001]. Conversely, injury suppressed many mediators including MDC (FDR <0.0001), TREM-1 (FDR <0.001), IP-10 (FDR <0.01), MCP-3 (FDR <0.05), FLT3L (FDR <0.05), Tweak, (FDR <0.05), GRO-α (FDR <0.05), and ENA-78 (FDR <0.05). In univariate studies, analyte overlap between clinical groups prevented clinical relevance. Multivariate models discriminated injury and infection much better, with the 2-group random-forest model classifying 11/11 injury and 28/29 infection patients correctly in out-of-bag validation.

CONCLUSIONS

Circulating cytokines in traumatic SIRS differ markedly from those in health or sepsis. Variability limits the accuracy of single-mediator assays but machine learning based on multiplexed plasma assays revealed distinct patterns in sepsis- and injury-related SIRS. Defining biomarker release patterns that distinguish specific SIRS populations might allow decreased antibiotic use in those clinical situations. Large prospective studies are needed to validate and operationalize this approach.

Restructured society and environment: A review on potential technological strategies to control the COVID-19 pandemic

The emergence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in China at December 2019 had led to a global outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the disease started to spread all over the world and became an international public health issue. The entire humanity has to fight in this war against the unexpected and each and every individual role is important. Healthcare system is doing exceptional work and the government is taking various measures that help the society to control the spread. Public, on the other hand, coordinates with the policies and act accordingly in most state of affairs. But the role of technologies in assisting different social bodies to fight against the pandemic remains hidden. The intention of our study is to uncover the hidden roles of technologies that ultimately help for controlling the pandemic. On investigating, it is found that the strategies utilizing potential technologies would yield better benefits and these technological strategies can be framed either to control the pandemic or to support the confinement of the society during pandemic which in turn aids in controlling the spreading of infection. This study enlightens the various implemented technologies that assists the healthcare systems, government and public in diverse aspects for fighting against COVID-19. Furthermore, the technological swift that happened during the pandemic and their influence in the environment and society is discussed. Besides the implemented technologies, this work also deals with untapped potential technologies that have prospective applications in controlling the pandemic circumstances. Alongside the various discussion, our suggested solution for certain situational issues is also presented.

Random forest modeling can predict infectious complications following trauma laparotomy

BACKGROUND

Identifying clinical and biomarker profiles of trauma patients may facilitate the creation of models that predict postoperative complications. We sought to determine the utility of modeling for predicting severe sepsis (SS) and organ space infections (OSI) following laparotomy for abdominal trauma.

METHODS

Clinical and molecular biomarker data were collected prospectively from patients undergoing exploratory laparotomy for abdominal trauma at a Level I trauma center between 2014 and 2017. Machine learning algorithms were used to develop models predicting SS and OSI. Random forest (RF) was performed, and features were selected using backward elimination. The SS model was trained on 117 records and validated using the leave-one-out method on the remaining 15 records. The OSI model was trained on 113 records and validated on the remaining 19. Models were assessed using areas under the curve.

RESULTS

One hundred thirty-two patients were included (median age, 30 years [23-42 years], 68.9% penetrating injury, median Injury Severity Score of 18 [10-27]). Of these, 10.6% (14 of 132) developed SS and 13.6% (18 of 132) developed OSI. The final RF model resulted in five variables for SS (Penetrating Abdominal Trauma Index, serum epidermal growth factor, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, interleukin-6, and eotaxin) and four variables for OSI (Penetrating Abdominal Trauma Index, serum epidermal growth factor, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, and interleukin-8). The RF models predicted SS and OSI with areas under the curve of 0.798 and 0.774, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Random forests with RFE can help identify clinical and biomarker profiles predictive of SS and OSI after trauma laparotomy. Once validated, these models could be used as clinical decision support tools for earlier detection and treatment of infectious complications following injury.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic, level III.

On the Role of Artificial Intelligence in Genomics to Enhance Precision Medicine

The complexity of orphan diseases, which are those that do not have an effective treatment, together with the high dimensionality of the genetic data used for their analysis and the high degree of uncertainty in the understanding of the mechanisms and genetic pathways which are involved in their development, motivate the use of advanced techniques of artificial intelligence and in-depth knowledge of molecular biology, which is crucial in order to find plausible solutions in drug design, including drug repositioning. Particularly, we show that the use of robust deep sampling methodologies of the altered genetics serves to obtain meaningful results and dramatically decreases the cost of research and development in drug design, influencing very positively the use of precision medicine and the outcomes in patients. The target-centric approach and the use of strong prior hypotheses that are not matched against reality (disease genetic data) are undoubtedly the cause of the high number of drug design failures and attrition rates. Sampling and prediction under uncertain conditions cannot be avoided in the development of precision medicine.

Improving Shared Decision-making and Treatment Planning Through Predictive Modeling: Clinical Insights on Ventral Hernia Repair

Abdominal wall hernia repair, including ventral hernia repair, is one of the most common general surgical procedures. Nationally, at least 350 000 ventral hernia repairs are performed annually, and of those, 150 000 cases were identified as incisional hernias. Outcomes are reported to be poor, resulting in additional surgical repair rates of 12.3% at 5 years and as high as 23% at 10 years. Healthcare costs associated with ventral hernia repair are estimated to exceed $3 billion each year. Additionally, ventral hernia repair is often complex and unpredictable when there is a current infection or a history of infection and significant comorbidities. Accordingly, a predictive model was developed using a retrospectively collected dataset to associate the pre- and intra-operative characteristics of patients to their outcomes, with the primary goal of identifying patients at risk of developing complications a priori in the future. The benefits and implications of such a predictive model, however, extend beyond this primary goal. This predictive model can serve as an important tool for clinicians who may use it to support their clinical intuition and clarify patient need for lifestyle modification prior to abdominal wall reconstruction. This predictive model can also support shared decision-making so that a personalized plan of care may be developed. The outcomes associated with use of the predictive model may include surgical repair but may suggest lifestyle modification coupled with less invasive interventions.

The rise of artificial intelligence in healthcare applications

Big data and machine learning are having an impact on most aspects of modern life, from entertainment, commerce, and healthcare. Netflix knows which films and series people prefer to watch, Amazon knows which items people like to buy when and where, and Google knows which symptoms and conditions people are searching for. All this data can be used for very detailed personal profiling, which may be of great value for behavioral understanding and targeting but also has potential for predicting healthcare trends. There is great optimism that the application of artificial intelligence (AI) can provide substantial improvements in all areas of healthcare from diagnostics to treatment. It is generally believed that AI tools will facilitate and enhance human work and not replace the work of physicians and other healthcare staff as such. AI is ready to support healthcare personnel with a variety of tasks from administrative workflow to clinical documentation and patient outreach as well as specialized support such as in image analysis, medical device automation, and patient monitoring. In this chapter, some of the major applications of AI in healthcare will be discussed covering both the applications that are directly associated with healthcare and those in the healthcare value chain such as drug development and ambient assisted living.

Trauma Embolic Scoring System in military trauma: a sensitive predictor of venous thromboembolism

Introduction

Clinical decision support tools capable of predicting which patients are at highest risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE) can assist in guiding surveillance and prophylaxis decisions. The Trauma Embolic Scoring System (TESS) has been shown to model VTE risk in civilian trauma patients. No such support tools have yet been described in combat casualties, who have a high incidence of VTE. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the utility of TESS in predicting VTE in military trauma patients.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of 549 combat casualties from October 2010 to November 2012 admitted to a military treatment facility in the USA was performed. TESS scores were calculated through data obtained from the Department of Defense Trauma Registry and chart reviews. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression were performed to evaluate risk factors for VTE. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis of TESS in military trauma patients was also performed.

Results

The incidence of VTE was 21.7% (119/549). The median TESS for patients without VTE was 8 (IQR 4–9), and the median TESS for those with VTE was 10 (IQR 9–11). On multivariate analysis, Injury Severity Score (ISS) (OR 1.03, p=0.007), ventilator days (OR 1.05, p=0.02), and administration of tranexamic acid (TXA) (OR 1.89, p=0.03) were found to be independent risk factors for development of VTE. On ROC analysis, an optimal high-risk cut-off value for TESS was ≥7 with a sensitivity of 0.92 and a specificity of 0.53 (area under the curve 0.76, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.80, p<0.0001).

Conclusions

When used to predict VTE in military trauma, TESS shows moderate discrimination and is well calibrated. An optimal high-risk cut-off value of ≥7 demonstrates high sensitivity in predicting VTE. In addition to ISS and ventilator days, TXA administration is an independent risk factor for VTE development.

Level of evidence

Level III.

Evidence-based Clinical Decision Support Systems for the prediction and detection of three disease states in critical care: A systematic literature review

Background: Clinical decision support (CDS) systems have emerged as tools providing intelligent decision making to address challenges of critical care. CDS systems can be based on existing guidelines or best practices; and can also utilize machine learning to provide a diagnosis, recommendation, or therapy course. Methods: This research aimed to identify evidence-based study designs and outcome measures to determine the clinical effectiveness of clinical decision support systems in the detection and prediction of hemodynamic instability, respiratory distress, and infection within critical care settings. PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were systematically searched to identify primary research published in English between 2013 and 2018. Studies conducted in the USA, Canada, UK, Germany and France with more than 10 participants per arm were included. Results: In studies on hemodynamic instability, the prediction and management of septic shock were the most researched topics followed by the early prediction of heart failure. For respiratory distress, the most popular topics were pneumonia detection and prediction followed by pulmonary embolisms. Given the importance of imaging and clinical notes, this area combined Machine Learning with image analysis and natural language processing. In studies on infection, the most researched areas were the detection, prediction, and management of sepsis, surgical site infections, as well as acute kidney injury. Overall, a variety of Machine Learning algorithms were utilized frequently, particularly support vector machines, boosting techniques, random forest classifiers and neural networks. Sensitivity, specificity, and ROC AUC were the most frequently reported performance measures. Conclusion: This review showed an increasing use of Machine Learning for CDS in all three areas. Large datasets are required for training these algorithms; making it imperative to appropriately address, challenges such as class imbalance, correct labelling of data and missing data. Recommendations are formulated for the development and successful adoption of CDS systems.

Evidence-based Clinical Decision Support Systems for the prediction and detection of three disease states in critical care: A systematic literature review

Background: Clinical decision support (CDS) systems have emerged as tools providing intelligent decision making to address challenges of critical care. CDS systems can be based on existing guidelines or best practices; and can also utilize machine learning to provide a diagnosis, recommendation, or therapy course. Methods: This research aimed to identify evidence-based study designs and outcome measures to determine the clinical effectiveness of clinical decision support systems in the detection and prediction of hemodynamic instability, respiratory distress, and infection within critical care settings. PubMed, ClinicalTrials.gov and Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were systematically searched to identify primary research published in English between 2013 and 2018. Studies conducted in the USA, Canada, UK, Germany and France with more than 10 participants per arm were included. Results: In studies on hemodynamic instability, the prediction and management of septic shock were the most researched topics followed by the early prediction of heart failure. For respiratory distress, the most popular topics were pneumonia detection and prediction followed by pulmonary embolisms. Given the importance of imaging and clinical notes, this area combined Machine Learning with image analysis and natural language processing. In studies on infection, the most researched areas were the detection, prediction, and management of sepsis, surgical site infections, as well as acute kidney injury. Overall, a variety of Machine Learning algorithms were utilized frequently, particularly support vector machines, boosting techniques, random forest classifiers and neural networks. Sensitivity, specificity, and ROC AUC were the most frequently reported performance measures. Conclusion: This review showed an increasing use of Machine Learning for CDS in all three areas. Large datasets are required for training these algorithms; making it imperative to appropriately address, challenges such as class imbalance, correct labelling of data and missing data. Recommendations are formulated for the development and successful adoption of CDS systems.

Extremity War Injuries XII: Homeland Defense as a Translation of War Lessons Learned

The 12th Extremity War Injuries Symposium focused on issues related to the transitions in medical care that are occurring as the focus of the war on terror changes. The symposium highlighted the results of Department of Defense-funded research in musculoskeletal injury, the evolution of combat casualty care, and the readiness of the fighting force. Presentations and discussions focused on force readiness of both troops and their medical support as well as the maintenance of the combat care expertise that has been developed during the previous decade of conflict.