Addition of neurological status to pediatric adjusted shock index to predict early mortality in trauma: A pediatric Trauma Quality Improvement Program analysis

Reverse Shock Index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale score as a point-of-care severity assessment for initial trauma management: A nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Severe trauma patients often require emergent interventions, such as massive transfusion, resuscitative procedures, and surgical procedures, and consume considerable human and medical resources. However, few practical indices can be easily used for emergent interventions. In recent years, it has become clear that rSIG (Reverse Shock Index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score), which can be easily calculated from vital signs, is a promising predictor of mortality. However, it is unclear whether rSIG is useful for emergent interventions.

METHODS

Data collected by the Japan Trauma Data Bank for adult patients admitted directly from the scene of trauma between April 2019 and December 2020 were analysed. The outcomes were massive transfusion, resuscitative procedures, surgical procedures and emergent interventions. Emergent interventions were defined as the composite outcome of massive transfusion, resuscitative procedures, and surgical procedures. The ability of rSIG to predict massive transfusion was compared with that of the ABC score and FASILA score by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. The ability of rSIG to predict resuscitative and surgical procedures was compared with that of the Shock Index (SI), GCS, Triage Revised Trauma score (T-RTS), and Previous Simple Prediction (PSP) score. The ability of rSIG to predict emergent interventions was compared with that of T-RTS, PSP, ABC, and FASILA. In addition to rSIG, rSIM (Reverse Shock Index multiplied by best motor response score) was also analysed as a supplement.

RESULTS

The study included 32,201 patients, 6,371 of whom required emergent interventions. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for massive transfusion was highest for rSIG (0.846 [95 % confidence interval 0.832-0.859]) and significantly higher for rSIG than for rSIM, ABC and FASILA (all p < 0.0001). AUROCs for resuscitative and surgical procedures were highest for rSIG (0.777 [0.769-0.785] and 0.731 [0.720-0.741], respectively) and significantly higher than those for rSIM, SI, GCS, T-RTS, and PSP (all p < 0.0001). The AUROC for emergent interventions was highest for rSIG (0.760 [0.753-0.768]) and significantly higher for rSIG than for rSIM, T-RTS, PSP, ABC, or FASILA (all p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

rSIG is a simple and effective point-of-care predictor of emergent interventions during initial management of trauma.

The reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale score can predict the need for initial resuscitation in patients suspected of sepsis

For patients suspected of sepsis, early recognition of the need for initial resuscitation is key in management. This study evaluated the ability of a modified shock index - the reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale score (rSIG) - to predict the need for initial resuscitation in patients with sepsis. This retrospective study involved adults with infection who were admitted to a Japanese tertiary care hospital from an emergency department between January and November 2020. The rSIG, modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), and original shock index (SI) values were recorded using initial vital signs. The primary outcome was the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the composite outcome consisting of vasopressor use, mechanical ventilation, and 72-h mortality. Secondary outcomes were the AUROCs for each component of the primary outcome and 28-day mortality. As a result, the primary outcome was met by 67 of the 724 patients (9%). The AUROC was significantly higher for the rSIG than for the other tools (rSIG 0.84 [0.78 - 0.88]; MEWS 0.78 [0.71 - 0.84]; qSOFA 0.72 [0.65 - 0.79]; SI 0.80 [0.74 - 0.85]). Compared with MEWS and qSOFA, the rSIG also had a higher AUROC for vasopressor use and mechanical ventilation, but not for 72-h mortality or in-hospital mortality. The rSIG could be a simple and reliable predictor of the need for initial resuscitation in patients suspected of sepsis.

Comparison of Pediatric Trauma Scoring Tools That Incorporate Neurological Status for Trauma Team Activation

BACKGROUND

Two novel pediatric trauma scoring tools, SIPAB+ (defined as elevated SIPA with Glasgow Coma Scale ≤8) and rSIG (reverse Shock Index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale and defined as abnormal using cutoffs for early outcomes), which combine neurological status with Pediatric Age-Adjusted Shock Index (SIPA), have been shown to predict early trauma outcomes better than SIPA alone. We sought to determine if one more accurately identifies children in need of trauma team activation.

METHODS

Patients 1 to 18 years old from the 2014-2018 Pediatric Trauma Quality Improvement Program database were included. Sensitivity and specificity for SIPAB+ and rSIG were calculated for components of pediatric trauma team activation, based on criteria standard definitions.

RESULTS

There were 11,426 patients (1.9%) classified as SIPAB+ and 235,672 (39.0%) as having an abnormal rSIG. SIPAB+ was consistently more specific, with specificities exceeding 98%, but its sensitivity was poor (<30%) for all outcomes. In comparison, rSIG was a more sensitive tool, with sensitivities exceeding 60%, and specificity values exceeded 60% for all outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Trauma systems must determine their priorities to decide how best to incorporate SIPAB+ and rSIG into practice, although rSIG may be preferred as it balances both sensitivity and specificity.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Evaluation of activation criteria in paediatric multi-trauma

Objective

To explore the optimal set of trauma activation criteria predicting paediatric patients' need for acute care following multi-trauma, with particular attention to Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) cut-off value.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of paediatric multi-trauma patients aged 0 to 16 years, performed at a Level 1 paediatric trauma centre. Trauma activation criteria and GCS levels were examined with respect to patients' need for acute care, defined as: direct to operating room disposition, intensive care unit admission, need for acute interventions in the trauma room, or in-hospital death.

Results

We enrolled 436 patients (median age 8.0 years). The following predicted need for acute care: GCS <14 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 23.0, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.5 to 45.9, P < 0.001), hemodynamic instability: (aOR 3.7, 95% CI: 1.2-8.1, P = 0.01), open pneumothorax/flail chest (aOR: 20.0, 95% CI: 4.0 to 98.7, P < 0.001), spinal cord injury (aOR 15.4, 95% CI; 2.4 to 97.1, P = 0.003), blood transfusion at the referring hospital (aOR: 7.7, 95% CI: 1.3 to 44.2, P = 0.02) and GSW to the chest, abdomen, neck, or proximal extremities (aOR 11.0, 95% CI; 1.7 to 70.8, P = 0.01). Using these activation criteria would have decreased over- triage by 10.7%, from 49.1% to 37.2% and under-triage by 1.3%, from 4.7% to 3.5%, in our cohort of patients.

Conclusions

Using GCS<14, hemodynamic instability, open pneumothorax/flail chest, spinal cord injury, blood transfusion at the referring hospital, and GSW to the chest, abdomen, neck of proximal extremities, as T1 activation criteria could decrease over- and under-triage rates. Prospective studies are needed to validate the optimal set of activation criteria in paediatric patients.

Discreet Values of Shock Index Pediatric Age-Adjusted (SIPA) to Predict Intervention in Children With Blunt Organ Injuries

INTRODUCTION

Elevated shock index pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) has been shown to be associated with the need for both blood transfusion and intervention in pediatric patients with blunt liver and spleen injuries (BLSI). SIPA has traditionally been used as a binary value, which can be classified as elevated or normal, and this study aimed to assess if discreet values above SIPA cutoffs are associated with an increased probability of blood transfusion and failure of nonoperative management (NOM) in bluntly injured children.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Children aged 1-18 y with any BLSI admitted to a Level-1 pediatric trauma center between 2009 and 2020 were analyzed. Blood transfusion was defined as any transfusion within 24 h of arrival, and failure of NOM was defined as any abdominal operation or angioembolization procedure for hemorrhage control. The probabilities of receiving a blood transfusion or failure of NOM were calculated at different increments of 0.1.

RESULTS

There were 493 patients included in the analysis. The odds of requiring blood transfusion increased by 1.67 (95% CI 1.49, 1.90) for each 0.1 unit increase of SIPA (P < 0.001). A similar trend was seen initially for the probability of failure of nonoperative management, but beyond a threshold, increasing values were not associated with failure of NOM. On subanalysis excluding patients with a head injury, increased 0.1 increments were associated with increased odds for both interventions.

CONCLUSIONS

Discreet values above age-related SIPA cutoffs are correlated with higher probabilities of blood transfusion in pediatric patients with BLSI and failure of NOM in those without head injury. The use of discreet values may provide clinicians with more granular information about which patients require increased resources upon presentation.

Improved identification of severely injured pediatric trauma patients using reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale

BACKGROUND

The shock index pediatric age-adjusted (SIPA) predicts the need for increased resources and mortality among pediatric trauma patients without incorporating neurological status. A new scoring tool, rSIG, which is the reverse shock index (rSI) multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), has been proven superior at predicting outcomes in adult trauma patients and mortality in pediatric patients compared with traditional scoring systems. We sought to compare the accuracy of rSIG to Shock Index (SI) and SIPA in predicting the need for early interventions in civilian pediatric trauma patients.

METHODS

Patients (aged 1-18 years) in the 2014 to 2018 Pediatric Trauma Quality Improvement Program database with complete heart rate, systolic blood pressure, and total GCS were included. Optimal cut points of rSIG were calculated for predicting blood transfusion within 4 hours, intubation, intracranial pressure monitoring, and intensive care unit admission. From the optimal thresholds, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve were calculated from receiver operating characteristics analyses to predict each outcome and compared with SI and SIPA.

RESULTS

A total of 604,931 patients with a mean age of 11.1 years old were included. A minority of patients had a penetrating injury mechanism (5.6%) and the mean Injury Severity Score was 7.6. The mean SI and rSIG scores were 0.85 and 18.6, respectively. Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale performed better than SI and SIPA at predicting early trauma outcomes for the overall population, regardless of age.

CONCLUSION

Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale outperformed SI and SIPA in the early identification of traumatically injured children at risk for early interventions, such as blood transfusion within 4 hours, intubation, intracranial pressure monitoring, and intensive care unit admission. Reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale adds neurological status in initial patient assessment and may be used as a bedside triage tool to rapidly identify pediatric patients who will likely require early intervention and higher levels of care.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic, level III.