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Craig P, Campbell M, Deidda M, Dundas R, Green J, Katikireddi SV, Lewsey J, Ogilvie D, de Vocht F, White M. Using natural experiments to evaluate population health interventions: a framework for producers and users of evidence. PUBLIC HEALTH RESEARCH 2025; 13:1-59. [PMID: 40163348 DOI: 10.3310/jtyw6582] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/02/2025] Open
Abstract
Background There has been a substantial increase in the conduct of natural experimental evaluations in the last 10 years. This has been driven by advances in methodology, greater availability of large routinely collected datasets, and a rise in demand for evidence about the impacts of upstream population health interventions. It is important that researchers, practitioners, commissioners, and users of intervention research are aware of the recent developments. This new framework updates and extends existing Medical Research Council guidance for using natural experiments to evaluate population health interventions. Methods The framework was developed with input from three international workshops and an online consultation with researchers, journal editors, funding representatives, and individuals with experience of using and commissioning natural experimental evaluations. The project team comprised researchers with expertise in natural experimental evaluations. The project had a funder-assigned oversight group and an advisory group of independent experts. Results The framework defines key concepts and provides an overview of recent advances in designing and planning evaluations of natural experiments, including the relevance of a systems perspective, mixed methods and stakeholder involvement throughout the process. It provides an overview of the strengths, weaknesses, applicability and limitations of the range of methods now available, identifies issues of infrastructure and data governance, and provides good practice considerations. Limitations The framework does not provide detailed information for the substantial volume of themes and material covered, rather an overview of key issues to help the conduct and use of natural experimental evaluations. Conclusion This updated and extended framework provides an integrated guide to the use of natural experimental methods to evaluate population health interventions. The framework provides a range of tools to support its use and detailed, evidence-informed recommendations for researchers, funders, publishers, and users of evidence. Study registration This methodological project was not registered. Funding This project was jointly funded by the Medical Research Council (MRC) and National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR), with project reference MC_PC_21009. The work is published in full in Public Health Research; Vol. 13, No. 3.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Craig
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Mhairi Campbell
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Manuela Deidda
- Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Ruth Dundas
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Judith Green
- Wellcome Centre for Cultures and Environments of Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
| | - Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
- MRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Jim Lewsey
- Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - David Ogilvie
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Frank de Vocht
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
- NIHR Applied Research Collaboration West, Bristol, UK
| | - Martin White
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
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Griffiths MJS, Cookson R, Avanceña ALV, Espinoza MA, Jacobsen CM, Sussell J, Kowal S. Primer on Health Equity Research in Health Economics and Outcomes Research: An ISPOR Special Interest Group Report. VALUE IN HEALTH : THE JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR PHARMACOECONOMICS AND OUTCOMES RESEARCH 2025; 28:16-24. [PMID: 39779065 DOI: 10.1016/j.jval.2024.09.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2024] [Revised: 08/12/2024] [Accepted: 09/25/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Disparities in health and healthcare between more and less socially advantaged groups are pervasive, multidimensional, and far-reaching. The material and social conditions in which people are born, grow, work, live, and age are systematically associated with their health and with the volume, quality, and outcomes of care received by the vast majority of the general population, as well as by specific marginalized populations. The field of health economics and outcomes research (HEOR) has an important role in supporting health equity goals. This publication aimed to act as a "primer" for conducting health equity research within the field of HEOR, establishing foundational understanding of key concepts. METHODS The ISPOR Special Interest Group on Health Equity Research was established in 2021 to advance equity-informative methods and data to better enable researchers to empirically investigate-and ultimately reduce-unfair social differences in health. This publication was developed by the ISPOR Special Interest Group leadership team with input from the group membership. RESULTS The resultant publication provides an overview of health equity research methods and data considerations as they relate to HEOR-relevant topics including clinical trials, real-world evidence and economic evaluation. Reflecting the current body of research on health equity in HEOR, particular focus is given to the latter. It also brings together a list of core reference material to support future learning. CONCLUSIONS This report provides the HEOR community with a tailored "state of play" overview of health equity, to support development of foundational understanding and inspire increased engagement.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Richard Cookson
- Centre for Health Economics, University of York, York, England, UK
| | - Anton L V Avanceña
- Health Outcomes Division, College of Pharmacy, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA; Department of Internal Medicine, Dell Medical School, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA
| | - Manuel A Espinoza
- Departamento de Salud Pública, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile; Centro para la Prevención y Control del Cancer, Santiago, Chile
| | - Caroline M Jacobsen
- Health Economics Center of Excellence, Boston Scientific, Marlborough, MA, USA
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Cristall N, Drozdowska BA, Fladt J, Jaroenngarmsamer T, Sehgal A, Victoria McDonough R, Goyal M, Ganesh A. Priorities and expectations of researchers, funders, patients and the public regarding the funding of medical research: results from the PERSPECT qualitative study. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e084655. [PMID: 39609003 PMCID: PMC11603686 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-084655] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2024] [Accepted: 11/01/2024] [Indexed: 11/30/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ideally, medical research provides crucial data about disease processes, diagnoses, prognoses, treatment targets and outcomes, and systems of care. However, medical research is costly, and funding is difficult to receive because the processes are highly competitive. There is a paucity of data on the perspectives of researchers, funders, patients and the public about current funding paradigms. This study sought to understand the priorities and opinions of each group to better guide meaningful innovation in research funding processes. METHOD In this Priorities & Expectations of Researchers, Funders, Patients and the Public Regarding the Funding & Conduct of Stroke Research study, we conducted in-depth interviews with medical researchers, funders, patients and members of the general public to learn their opinions of the current funding process and thoughts about alternative approaches. We used both purposive and snowball sampling to recruit participants and conducted semistructured interviews. The study ended when thematic saturation was attained. Qualitative analysis followed inductive grounded theory methodology. RESULTS 41 interviews were completed (11 researchers, 10 funders, 10 patients, 10 members of the general public; 61% female). Interviewees expressed a high interest in supporting a comprehensive evaluation of the research grant funding process while integrating funding mechanisms that are more inclusive and reduce bias in topic selection and researchers who receive funds. Participants acknowledged a gap in patient and public involvement in setting a research agenda, choosing topics to be studied and focusing on specific outcomes. Crowdfunding was identified as an alternative strategy that could facilitate research democratisation; however, participants emphasised the importance of expert review of research proposals, as in current processes to continue to support rigour and trust in research proposal quality. CONCLUSION Our research revealed stakeholder concerns about the transparency and equity of current research funding paradigms. Suggestions to democratize research and explore alternative fundraising platforms necessitate a fundamental shift in traditional research funding processes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nora Cristall
- Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Bogna A Drozdowska
- Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Joachim Fladt
- Department of Radiology, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Tanaporn Jaroenngarmsamer
- Department of Radiology, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Arshia Sehgal
- Department of Radiology, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | | | - Mayank Goyal
- Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
- Department of Radiology, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Aravind Ganesh
- Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
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Jit M, Cook AR. Informing Public Health Policies with Models for Disease Burden, Impact Evaluation, and Economic Evaluation. Annu Rev Public Health 2024; 45:133-150. [PMID: 37871140 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-060222-025149] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2023]
Abstract
Conducting real-world public health experiments is often costly, time-consuming, and ethically challenging, so mathematical models have a long-standing history of being used to inform policy. Applications include estimating disease burden, performing economic evaluation of interventions, and responding to health emergencies such as pandemics. Models played a pivotal role during the COVID-19 pandemic, providing early detection of SARS-CoV-2's pandemic potential and informing subsequent public health measures. While models offer valuable policy insights, they often carry limitations, especially when they depend on assumptions and incomplete data. Striking a balance between accuracy and timely decision-making in rapidly evolving situations such as disease outbreaks is challenging. Modelers need to explore the extent to which their models deviate from representing the real world. The uncertainties inherent in models must be effectively communicated to policy makers and the public. As the field becomes increasingly influential, it needs to develop reporting standards that enable rigorous external scrutiny.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark Jit
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom;
| | - Alex R Cook
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- National University Health System, Singapore
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Taylor R, Sullivan D, Reeves P, Kerr N, Sawyer A, Schwartzkoff E, Bailey A, Williams C, Hure A. A Scoping Review of Economic Evaluations to Inform the Reorientation of Preventive Health Services in Australia. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 20:6139. [PMID: 37372726 PMCID: PMC10297971 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20126139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2023] [Revised: 05/22/2023] [Accepted: 06/06/2023] [Indexed: 06/29/2023]
Abstract
The Australian National Preventive Health Strategy 2021-2030 recommended the establishment of evidence-based frameworks to enable local public health services to identify strategies and interventions that deliver value for money. This study aimed to review the cost-effectiveness of preventive health strategies to inform the reorientation of local public health services towards preventive health interventions that are financially sustainable. Four electronic databases were searched for reviews published between 2005 and February 2022. Reviews that met the following criteria were included: population: human studies, any age or sex; concept 1: primary and/or secondary prevention interventions; concept 2: full economic evaluation; context: local public health services as the provider of concept 1. The search identified 472 articles; 26 were included. Focus health areas included mental health (n = 3 reviews), obesity (n = 1), type 2 diabetes (n = 3), dental caries (n = 2), public health (n = 4), chronic disease (n = 5), sexual health (n = 1), immunisation (n = 1), smoking cessation (n = 3), reducing alcohol (n = 1), and fractures (n = 2). Interventions that targeted obesity, type 2 diabetes, smoking cessation, and fractures were deemed cost-effective, however, more studies are needed, especially those that consider equity in priority populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rachael Taylor
- Health Economics and Impact, Hunter Medical Research Institute, New Lambton Heights, NSW 2305, Australia; (R.T.); (D.S.); (P.R.)
- School of Medicine and Public Health, College of Health, Medicine and Wellbeing, University of Newcastle, University Drive, Callaghan, NSW 2308, Australia
| | - Deborah Sullivan
- Health Economics and Impact, Hunter Medical Research Institute, New Lambton Heights, NSW 2305, Australia; (R.T.); (D.S.); (P.R.)
| | - Penny Reeves
- Health Economics and Impact, Hunter Medical Research Institute, New Lambton Heights, NSW 2305, Australia; (R.T.); (D.S.); (P.R.)
| | - Nicola Kerr
- Health Promotion, Mid North Coast Local Health District, Coffs Harbour, NSW 2450, Australia; (N.K.); (A.S.); (E.S.)
| | - Amy Sawyer
- Health Promotion, Mid North Coast Local Health District, Coffs Harbour, NSW 2450, Australia; (N.K.); (A.S.); (E.S.)
| | - Emma Schwartzkoff
- Health Promotion, Mid North Coast Local Health District, Coffs Harbour, NSW 2450, Australia; (N.K.); (A.S.); (E.S.)
| | - Andrew Bailey
- Research and Knowledge Translation Directorate, Mid North Coast Local Health District, Port Macquarie, NSW 2444, Australia; (A.B.); (C.W.)
| | - Christopher Williams
- Research and Knowledge Translation Directorate, Mid North Coast Local Health District, Port Macquarie, NSW 2444, Australia; (A.B.); (C.W.)
- University Centre for Rural Health, School of Health Sciences, University of Sydney, 61 Uralba Street, Lismore, NSW 2480, Australia
| | - Alexis Hure
- Health Economics and Impact, Hunter Medical Research Institute, New Lambton Heights, NSW 2305, Australia; (R.T.); (D.S.); (P.R.)
- School of Medicine and Public Health, College of Health, Medicine and Wellbeing, University of Newcastle, University Drive, Callaghan, NSW 2308, Australia
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Mobile Health Interventions and RCTs: Structured Taxonomy and Research Framework. J Med Syst 2022; 46:66. [PMID: 36068371 DOI: 10.1007/s10916-022-01856-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/07/2022] [Accepted: 08/17/2022] [Indexed: 10/14/2022]
Abstract
Mobile Health Interventions (MHIs) have addressed a range of healthcare challenges and have been evaluated using Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) to establish clinical effectiveness. Using PRISMA we conducted a systematic literature review of RCTs for MHIs and identified 70 studies which were analyzed and classified using Nickerson-Varshney-Muntermann (NVM) taxonomy. From the resultant iterations of the taxonomy, we extracted insights from the categorized studies. RCTs cover a wide range of health conditions including chronic diseases, general wellness, unhealthy practices, family planning, end-of-life, and post-transplant care. The MHIs that were utilized by the RCTs were varied as well, although most studies did not find significant differences between MHIs and usual care. The challenges for MHI-based RCTs include the use of technologies, delayed outcomes, patient recruitment, patient retention, and complex regulatory requirements. These variances can lead to a higher rate of Type I/Type II errors. Further considerations are the impact of infrastructure, contextual and cultural factors, and reductions in the technological relevancy of the intervention itself. Finally, due to the delayed effect of most outcomes, RCTs of insufficient duration are unable to measure significant, lasting improvements. Using the insights from seventy identified studies, we developed a classification of existing RCTs along with guidelines for MHI-based RCTs and a research framework for future RCTs. The framework offers opportunities for (a) personalization of MHIs, (b) use of richer technologies, and (c) emerging areas for RCTs.
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Cinaroglu S. Exploring the nexus of equality and efficiency in healthcare. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PRODUCTIVITY AND PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT 2022. [DOI: 10.1108/ijppm-04-2021-0221] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
PurposeThis study aims to explore the nexus of equality and efficiency by considering public hospitals' development dynamics, capacity and technology indicators.Design/methodology/approachData was collected from the Ministry of Health Public Hospital Almanacs from 2014 to 2017. The Gini index (GI) is used to estimate the inequality of distribution of hospital performance indicators. A bias-corrected efficiency analysis is calculated to obtain efficiency scores of public hospitals for the year 2017. A path analysis is then constructed to better identify patterns of causation among a set of development, equality and efficiency variables.FindingsA redefined path model highlights that development dynamics, equality and efficiency are causally related and health technology (path coefficient = 0.57; t = 19.07; p < 0.01) and health services utilization (path coefficient = 0.24; t = 8; p < 0.01) effects public hospital efficiency. The final path model fit well (X2/df = 50.99/8 = 6; RMSEA = 0.089; NFI = 0.95; CFI = 0.96; GFI = 0.98; AGFI = 0.94). Study findings indicate high inequalities in distribution of health technologies (GI > 0.85), number of surgical operations (GI > 0.70) and number of inpatients (GI > 0.60) among public hospitals for the years 2014–2017.Originality/valueStudy results highlight that, hospital managers should prioritize equal distribution of health technology and health services utilization indicators to better orchestrate equity-efficiency trade-off in their operations.
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Editorial. J Health Organ Manag 2021. [DOI: 10.1108/jhom-09-2021-514] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
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