Factors relevant to the prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer who received intensity-modulated radiotherapy

[Development and validation of a prognostic model based on SEER data for patients with esophageal carcinoma after esophagectomy]

OBJECTIVE

To develop a nomogram to predict the long-term survival of patients with esophageal cancer following esophagectomy.

METHODS

We collected the data of 7215 patients with esophageal carcinoma from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database during the period from 2004 and 2016. Of these patients, 5052 were allocated to the training cohort and the remaining 2163 patients to the internal validation cohort using bootstrap resampling, with another 435 patients treated in the Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery of Jinling Hospital between 2014 and 2016 serving as the external validation cohort.

RESULTS

In the overall cohort, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year cancer-specific mortality rates were 14.6%, 35.7% and 41.6%, respectively. Age (≥80 years vs < 50 years, P < 0.001), gender (male vs female, P < 0.001), tumor site (lower vs middle segment, P=0.013), histology (EAC vs ESCC, P=0.012), tumor grade (poorly vs well differentiated, P < 0.001), TNM stage (Ⅳ vs Ⅰ, P < 0.001), tumor size (> 50 mm vs 0-20 mm, P < 0.001), chemotherapy (yes vs no, P < 0.001), and LNR (> 0.25 vs 0, P < 0.001) were identified as independent risk factors affecting long-term survival of the patients. The nomograms established based on the model for predicting the survival probability of the patients at 1, 3 and 5 years after operation showed a C-index of 0.726 (95% CI: 0.714-0.738) for predicting the overall survival (OS) and of 0.735 (95% CI: 0.727-0.743) for cancer-specific survival (CSS) in the training cohort. In the internal validation cohort, the C-index of the nomograms was 0.752 (95% CI: 0.738-0.76) for OS and 0.804 (95% CI: 0.790-0.817) for CSS, as compared with 0.749 (95% CI: 0.736-0.767) and 0.788 (95%CI: 0.751-0.808), respectively, in the external validation cohort. The nomograms also showed a higher sensitivity than the TNM staging system for predicting long-term prognosis.

CONCLUSION

This prognostic model has a high prediction efficiency and can help to identify the high-risk patients with esophageal carcinoma after surgery and serve as a supplement for the current TNM staging system.

Efficacy and Prognostic Analysis of 315 Stage I-IVa Esophageal Cancer Patients Treated with Simultaneous Integrated Boost-Intensity-Modulated Radiation Therapy

Purpose

Use of simulated integrated boost-intensity-modulated radiation therapy (SIB-IMRT) is rarely reported in the treatment of esophageal cancer. This study was performed to observe the curative effect and prognostic factors associated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer using modern radiotherapy (RT) techniques.

Patients and Methods

In total, 315 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who received SIB-IMRT between 2015 and 2018 were included in this retrospective study. Median doses were planning target volume (PTV) 5400 cGy, 30 times (180cGy/fraction); planning gross tumor volume (PGTV) 6000 cGy, 30 times (200 cGy/fraction), once a day and 5 times a week. The entire period of RT was 6 weeks. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and adverse reactions were observed. Univariate analysis was performed, and factors with P<0.15 were included in multivariate analysis. Cox regression analysis was used for multivariate prognostic analysis. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. The incidence of adverse reactions under single chemotherapy concurrent chemoradiotherapy (sCCRT) and double chemotherapy concurrent chemoradiotherapy (dCCRT) was analyzed.

Results

Two-year, 3-year OS and PFS of the entire group were 49.5%, 40.2% and 40.3%, 34.0%, and the median survival time was 23.5 months. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that T-stage (P=0.049), N-stage (P=0.024), clinical stage (P=0.041), short-term efficacy (P<0.001), and use of concurrent chemotherapy (P<0.001) were the influencing factors for OS. ORR was 87.6%. Adverse reactions were significantly increased with increasing chemotherapy dose.

Conclusion

The adverse reactions of SIB-IMRT in esophageal cancer can be tolerated. T-stage, N-stage, clinical stage, short-term curative effect, and concurrent chemotherapy are the prognostic factors affecting survival. Because it has lower toxicity and is as effective as dCCRT, sCCRT should be considered in the management of esophageal cancer.

18F-FDG PET/CT Parameters for Predicting Prognosis in Esophageal Cancer Patients Treated With Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

Background and Aims:

This study evaluated the prognostic value of ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography with integrated computed tomography (¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT) performed before and after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in esophageal cancer.

Methods:

We analyzed the prognosis of 50 non-metastatic squamous cell esophageal cancer (T1-4N0-2) patients who underwent CCRT with curative intent at Inje University Busan Paik Hospital and Haeundae Paik Hospital from 2009 to 2019. Median total radiation dose was 54 Gy (range 34-66 Gy). Our aim was to investigate the relationship between PET/CT values and prognosis. The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS).

Results:

The median follow-up period was 9.9 months (range 1.7-85.7). Median baseline maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax) was 14.2 (range 3.2-27.7). After treatment, 29 patients (58%) showed disease progression. The 3-year PFS and overall survival (OS) were 24.2% and 54.5%, respectively. PFS was significantly lower (P = 0.015) when SUVmax of initial PET/CT exceeded 10 (n = 22). However, OS did not reach a significant difference based on maximum SUV (P = 0.282). Small metabolic tumor volume (≤14.1) was related with good PFS (P = 0.002) and OS (P = 0.001). Small total lesion of glycolysis (≤107.3) also had a significant good prognostic effect on PFS (P = 0.009) and OS (P = 0.025). In a subgroup analysis of 18 patients with follow-up PET/CT, the patients with SUV max ≤3.5 in follow-up PET/CT showed longer PFS (P = 0.028) than those with a maximum SUV >3.5.

Conclusion:

Maximum SUV of PET/CT is useful in predicting prognosis of esophageal cancer patients treated with CCRT. Efforts to find more effective treatments for patients at high risk of progression are still warranted.

Prognostic Factors for Patients with Esophageal Cancer Receiving Definitive Radiotherapy Alone: A Retrospective Analysis

Purpose

Intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) can improve the prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer. This study aimed to evaluate clinical factors relevant to the prognosis of patients with esophageal cancer who received intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) alone.

Patient and Methods

Data of 103 patients with pathologically confirmed esophageal cancer who were admitted to our hospital between October 2011 and November 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. All patients had squamous cell carcinoma. All patients received IMRT. Patients with stage I–IVA tumors were included to represent the real-world clinical practice. We performed univariate and multivariate analyses to identify prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). In univariate analyses, the Kaplan–Meier method was used to estimate OS and PFS for various subgroups. In multivariate analyses, hazard ratios were calculated.

Results

Single-factor analysis revealed that T stage (P=0.019), N stage (P =0.047), and lesion length (P =0.000) were associated with the prognosis of esophageal cancer patients who received IMRT. Cox regression analysis revealed that T stage (odds ratio [OR] = 4.68; P < 0.05), N stage (OR = 0.28; P < 0.05), and lesion length (OR = 0.09; P < 0.05) were independent factors relevant to prognosis.

Conclusion

T stage, N stage, and lesion length influenced the long-term curative effects of IMRT for esophageal cancer and were prognostic factors for patients with esophageal cancer receiving definitive radiotherapy alone. The higher the stage and the longer the tumor, the lower the survival rate.

Value of long non-coding RNA Rpph1 in esophageal cancer and its effect on cancer cell sensitivity to radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer is a common digestive tract tumor that is generally treated with radiotherapy. Poor responses to radiotherapy in most patients generally result in local radiotherapy failure, so it is essential to find new radiosensitizers that can enhance the response of cancer cells to radiotherapy and improve the survival of esophageal cancer patients with radiation resistance. The long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) Rpph1 is highly expressed in human gastric cancer tissues, and represses breast cancer cell proliferation and tumorigenesis. However, the expression of lncRNA Rpph1 in esophageal cancer and its relationship with radio-sensitivity has not been studied.

AIM

To explore the value of lncRNA Rpph1 in esophageal cancer and its effect on cancer cell sensitivity to radiotherapy.

METHODS

Eighty-three patients with esophageal cancer admitted to Qilu Hospital of Shandong University and 90 healthy participants who received physical examinations were collected as research participants. The expression of Rpph1 was determined by qRT-PCR. siRNA-NC and siRNA-Rpph1 were transfected into esophageal cancer cell lines, and cells without transfection were designated as the blank control group. Cell survival was tested by colony formation assays, and the levels of proteins related to apoptosis and epithelial-mesenchymal transitions were determined by Western blot assays. Cell proliferation was assessed by MTT assays, cell apoptosis by flow cytometry, and cell migration by wound-healing assays. Changes in cell cycle distribution were monitored.

RESULTS

Rpph1 was highly expressed in esophageal carcinoma, making it a promising marker for the diagnosis of esophageal cancer. Rpph1 could also be used to distinguish different short-term responses, T stages, N stages, and clinical stages of esophageal cancer patients. The results of 3-year overall survival favored patients with lower Rpph1 expression over patients with higher Rpph1 expression (P < 0.05). In vitro and in vivo experiments showed that silencing Rpph1 expression led to higher sensitivity of esophageal cancer cells to radiotherapy, stronger apoptosis in esophageal cancer cells induced by radiotherapy, higher expression of Bax and caspase-3, and lower expression of Bcl-2 (Bax, caspase-3, and Bcl-2 are apoptosis-related proteins). Additionally, silencing Rpph1 attenuated radiation-induced G2/M phase arrest, and significantly inhibited the expression of proteins involved in cell proliferation, migration, and epithelial-mesenchymal transition regulation in esophageal cancer cells.

CONCLUSION

Rpph1 is highly expressed in esophageal cancer. Silencing Rpph1 expression can promote cell apoptosis, inhibit cell proliferation and migration, and increase radio-sensitivity.

Competing risk nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival in esophageal cancer during the intensity-modulated radiation therapy era: A single institute analysis

The present study aimed to investigate the probability of cancer-associated mortality of patients with esophageal cancer undergoing intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT), and to establish a competing risk nomogram to predict the esophageal cancer-specific survival (EC-SS) of these patients. A total of 213 patients with EC who underwent IMRT between January 2014 and May 2017 were selected to establish nomograms according to Fine and Gray's competing risk analysis. Predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the model were determined using the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves and the area under receiver operating characteristic curves. Decision tree analysis was also constructed for patient grouping. With a median follow-up of 19 months (range, 3–50), the 2-year EC-specific mortality (EC-SM) and the non-esophageal cancer specific mortality (NEC-SM) of the cohort were 35.4 and 3.51%, respectively. Furthermore, an elevated 2-year EC-SM was observed in patients with tumor length ≥4.5 cm compared with patients with tumor length <4.5 cm (45.8% vs. 21.4%; P<0.001), patients with non-squamous cell carcinoma compared with patients with squamous cell carcinoma (49.9 vs. 33.7%; P=0.025) and patients with N3 stage (43.2%; P=0.005). The 2-year NEC-SM of patients with tumor length ≥4.5 cm was 6% vs. 0% in patients with tumor length <4.5 cm (P=0.016). Three independent risk factors for survival, including tumor length, histological type and N stage, were integrated to build competing nomograms for the EC-SS model (C-index=0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.66–0.77). In addition, the nomograms displayed better discrimination power than the 7th edition of the Tumor-Node-Metastasis staging system for predicting EC-SS (area under the curve=0.707 vs. 0.634). Furthermore, the results from the classification tree analysis demonstrated that N stage was the initial node and that primary tumor length was a determinant for EC-SM in these patients. In conclusion, NEC-SM represented a competing event for patients with EC with a tumor length ≥4.5 cm. The competing risk nomograms may therefore be considered as convenient individualized predictive tools for cancer-specific survival in patients with EC undergoing IMRT treatment.