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Pellissier V, Schmucki R, Pe'er G, Aunins A, Brereton TM, Brotons L, Carnicer J, Chodkiewicz T, Chylarecki P, Del Moral JC, Escandell V, Evans D, Foppen R, Harpke A, Heliölä J, Herrando S, Kuussaari M, Kühn E, Lehikoinen A, Lindström Å, Moshøj CM, Musche M, Noble D, Oliver TH, Reif J, Richard D, Roy DB, Schweiger O, Settele J, Stefanescu C, Teufelbauer N, Touroult J, Trautmann S, van Strien AJ, van Swaay CAM, van Turnhout C, Vermouzek Z, Voříšek P, Jiguet F, Julliard R. Effects of Natura 2000 on nontarget bird and butterfly species based on citizen science data. CONSERVATION BIOLOGY : THE JOURNAL OF THE SOCIETY FOR CONSERVATION BIOLOGY 2020; 34:666-676. [PMID: 31701577 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13434] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2018] [Revised: 10/21/2019] [Accepted: 10/30/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
The European Union's Natura 2000 (N2000) is among the largest international networks of protected areas. One of its aims is to secure the status of a predetermined set of (targeted) bird and butterfly species. However, nontarget species may also benefit from N2000. We evaluated how the terrestrial component of this network affects the abundance of nontargeted, more common bird and butterfly species based on data from long-term volunteer-based monitoring programs in 9602 sites for birds and 2001 sites for butterflies. In almost half of the 155 bird species assessed, and particularly among woodland specialists, abundance increased (slope estimates ranged from 0.101 [SD 0.042] to 3.51 [SD 1.30]) as the proportion of landscape covered by N2000 sites increased. This positive relationship existed for 27 of the 104 butterfly species (estimates ranged from 0.382 [SD 0.163] to 4.28 [SD 0.768]), although most butterflies were generalists. For most species, when land-cover covariates were accounted for these positive relationships were not evident, meaning land cover may be a determinant of positive effects of the N2000 network. The increase in abundance as N2000 coverage increased correlated with the specialization index for birds, but not for butterflies. Although the N2000 network supports high abundance of a large spectrum of species, the low number of specialist butterflies with a positive association with the N2000 network shows the need to improve the habitat quality of N2000 sites that could harbor open-land butterfly specialists. For a better understanding of the processes involved, we advocate for standardized collection of data at N2000 sites.
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Affiliation(s)
- V Pellissier
- Sorbonne Université, MNHN-CNRS-UPMC, UMR7204-CESCO, 43 rue Buffon, CP 135, Paris, 75005, France
- Section for Ecoinformatics & Biodiversity, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus, DK 8000, Denmark
| | - R Schmucki
- Sorbonne Université, MNHN-CNRS-UPMC, UMR7204-CESCO, 43 rue Buffon, CP 135, Paris, 75005, France
- Centre de Synthèse et d'Analyse sur la Biodiversité, Immeuble Henri Poincaré, Domaine du Petit Arbois, Avenue Louis Philibert, Aix-en-Provence, 13857, France
- NERC Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8EF, U.K
| | - G Pe'er
- German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, Leipzig, 04103, Germany
- Department Economics and Department Ecosystem Services, UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Permoserstr. 15, Leipzig, 04318, Germany
| | - A Aunins
- Faculty of Biology, University of Latvia, Jelgavas iela 1, Riga, LV-1004, Latvia
- Latvian Ornithological Society, Skolas iela 3, Riga, LV-1010, Latvia
| | - T M Brereton
- Butterfly Conservation, Manor Yard, East Lulworth, Wareham, Dorset, BH20 5QP, U.K
| | - L Brotons
- CSIC-CREAF, 08193 Cerdanyola del Vallès, Catalonia, Spain
- Catalan Ornithological Institute, Natural History Museum of Barcelona, Plaça Leonardo da Vinci 4-5, Barcelona, Catalonia, 08019, Spain
- InForest JRU (CEMFOR-CTFC), Solsona, Catalonia, 25280, Spain
| | - J Carnicer
- CSIC-CREAF, 08193 Cerdanyola del Vallès, Catalonia, Spain
- Department of Evolutionary Biology, Ecology, and Environmental Sciences, University of Barcelona, Catalonia, 08028, Spain
| | - T Chodkiewicz
- Museum and Institute of Zoology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Wilcza 64, Warszawa, 00-679, Poland
- Polish Society for the Protection of Birds (OTOP), ul. Odrowaza 24, Marki, 05-270, Poland
| | - P Chylarecki
- Museum and Institute of Zoology, Polish Academy of Sciences, Wilcza 64, Warszawa, 00-679, Poland
| | - J C Del Moral
- Sociedad Española de Ornitología (SEO/BirdLife), Melquíades Biencinto 34 ES-28053, Madrid, Spain
| | - V Escandell
- Sociedad Española de Ornitología (SEO/BirdLife), Melquíades Biencinto 34 ES-28053, Madrid, Spain
| | - D Evans
- European Topic Centre on Biological Diversity, 57 rue Cuvier, Paris, 75005, France
| | - R Foppen
- Sovon Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology, PO Box 6521, Nijmegen, 6503 GA, The Netherlands
| | - A Harpke
- Department of Community Ecology, UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Theodor-Lieser-Strasse 4, Halle/Saale, 06120, Germany
| | - J Heliölä
- Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Biodiversity Centre, P.O. Box 140, Helsinki, FI-00251, Finland
| | - S Herrando
- Catalan Ornithological Institute, Natural History Museum of Barcelona, Plaça Leonardo da Vinci 4-5, Barcelona, Catalonia, 08019, Spain
- InForest JRU (CEMFOR-CTFC), Solsona, Catalonia, 25280, Spain
| | - M Kuussaari
- Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Biodiversity Centre, P.O. Box 140, Helsinki, FI-00251, Finland
| | - E Kühn
- Department of Community Ecology, UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Theodor-Lieser-Strasse 4, Halle/Saale, 06120, Germany
| | - A Lehikoinen
- Finnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, P.O. Box 17, Helsinki, FI-00014, Finland
| | - Å Lindström
- Department of Biology, Biodiversity Unit, Lund University, Ecology Building, Lund, SE-223 62, Sweden
| | - C M Moshøj
- DOF-BirdLife Denmark, Vesterbrogade 140, Copenhagen V, DK-1620, Denmark
| | - M Musche
- Department of Community Ecology, UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Theodor-Lieser-Strasse 4, Halle/Saale, 06120, Germany
| | - D Noble
- BTO, The Nunnery, Thetford, Norfolk, IP24 2PU, U.K
| | - T H Oliver
- School of Biological Sciences, Harborne Building, Whiteknights Campus, University of Reading, Berkshire, RG6 6AS, U.K
| | - J Reif
- Institute for Environmental Studies, Faculty of Science, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
- Department of Zoology and Laboratory of Ornithology, Faculty of Science, Palacký University in Olomouc, 17. listopadu 50, Olomouc, 771 43, Czech Republic
| | - D Richard
- European Topic Centre on Biological Diversity, 57 rue Cuvier, Paris, 75005, France
| | - D B Roy
- NERC Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, OX10 8EF, U.K
| | - O Schweiger
- Department of Community Ecology, UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Theodor-Lieser-Strasse 4, Halle/Saale, 06120, Germany
| | - J Settele
- German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Deutscher Platz 5e, Leipzig, 04103, Germany
- Department of Community Ecology, UFZ - Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Theodor-Lieser-Strasse 4, Halle/Saale, 06120, Germany
| | - C Stefanescu
- CSIC-CREAF, 08193 Cerdanyola del Vallès, Catalonia, Spain
- Museu de Ciències Naturals de Granollers, Francesc Macià 51, Granollers, Catalonia, 08402, Spain
| | - N Teufelbauer
- BirdLife Austria, Museumplatz 1/10/8, Wien, A-1070, Austria
| | - J Touroult
- UMS 2006 PatriNat AFB, CNRS, MNHN; CP41, 36 rue Geoffroy Saint-Hilaire, Paris, 75005, France
| | - S Trautmann
- DDA, An den Speichern 6, Münster, 48157, Germany
| | | | - C A M van Swaay
- Dutch Butterfly Conservation and Butterfly Conservation Europe, P.O. Box 506 NL 6700 AM, Wageningen, The Netherlands
| | - C van Turnhout
- Sovon Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology, PO Box 6521, Nijmegen, 6503 GA, The Netherlands
- Department of Animal Ecology & Ecophysiology, Institute for Water and Wetland Research, Radboud University, P.O. Box 9010, Nijmegen, 6500 GL, The Netherlands
| | - Z Vermouzek
- Czech Society for Ornithology, Na Bělidle 252/34, Prague, CZ-150 00, Czech Republic
| | - P Voříšek
- Department of Zoology and Laboratory of Ornithology, Faculty of Science, Palacký University in Olomouc, 17. listopadu 50, Olomouc, 771 43, Czech Republic
- Czech Society for Ornithology, Na Bělidle 252/34, Prague, CZ-150 00, Czech Republic
| | - F Jiguet
- Sorbonne Université, MNHN-CNRS-UPMC, UMR7204-CESCO, 43 rue Buffon, CP 135, Paris, 75005, France
| | - R Julliard
- Sorbonne Université, MNHN-CNRS-UPMC, UMR7204-CESCO, 43 rue Buffon, CP 135, Paris, 75005, France
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Haakonsson S, Rodríguez MA, Carballo C, Pérez MDC, Arocena R, Bonilla S. Predicting cyanobacterial biovolume from water temperature and conductivity using a Bayesian compound Poisson-Gamma model. WATER RESEARCH 2020; 176:115710. [PMID: 32251942 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2020.115710] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2019] [Revised: 03/06/2020] [Accepted: 03/12/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Eutrophication and climate change scenarios engender the need to develop good predictive models for harmful cyanobacterial blooms (CyanoHABs). Nevertheless, modeling cyanobacterial biomass is a challenging task due to strongly skewed distributions that include many absences as well as extreme values (dense blooms). Most modeling approaches alter the natural distribution of the data by splitting them into zeros (absences) and positive values, assuming that different processes underlie these two components. Our objectives were (1) to develop a probabilistic model relating cyanobacterial biovolume to environmental variables in the Río de la Plata Estuary (35°S, 56°W, n = 205 observations) considering all biovolume values (zeros and positive biomass) as part of the same process; and (2) to use the model to predict cyanobacterial biovolume under different risk level scenarios using water temperature and conductivity as explanatory variables. We developed a compound Poisson-Gamma (CPG) regression model, an approach that has not previously been used for modeling phytoplankton biovolume, within a Bayesian hierarchical framework. Posterior predictive checks showed that the fitted model had a good overall fit to the observed cyanobacterial biovolume and to more specific features of the data, such as the proportion of samples crossing three threshold risk levels (0.2, 1 and 2 mm³ L-1) at different water temperatures and conductivities. The CPG model highlights the strong control of cyanobacterial biovolume by nonlinear and interactive effects of water temperature and conductivity. The highest probability of crossing the three biovolume levels occurred at 22.2 °C and at the lowest observed conductivity (∼0.1 mS cm-1). Cross-validation of the fitted model using out-of-sample observations (n = 72) showed the model's potential to be used in situ, as it enabled prediction of cyanobacterial biomass based on two readily measured variables (temperature and conductivity), making it an interesting tool for early alert systems and management strategies. Furthermore, this novel application demonstrates the potential of the Bayesian CPG approach for predicting cyanobacterial dynamics in response to environmental change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Signe Haakonsson
- Sección Limnología, Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de la República, Iguá 4225, 11400, Montevideo, Uruguay; Physiology and Ecology Phytoplankton Group, CSIC 1176, Uruguay.
| | - Marco A Rodríguez
- Département des Sciences de l'environnement, Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières, 3351 boulevard des Forges, Trois-Rivières, Québec, G9A 5H7, Canada
| | - Carmela Carballo
- Sección Limnología, Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de la República, Iguá 4225, 11400, Montevideo, Uruguay
| | - María Del Carmen Pérez
- Sección Limnología, Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de la República, Iguá 4225, 11400, Montevideo, Uruguay; Physiology and Ecology Phytoplankton Group, CSIC 1176, Uruguay
| | - Rafael Arocena
- Sección Limnología, Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de la República, Iguá 4225, 11400, Montevideo, Uruguay
| | - Sylvia Bonilla
- Sección Limnología, Instituto de Ecología y Ciencias Ambientales, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de la República, Iguá 4225, 11400, Montevideo, Uruguay; Physiology and Ecology Phytoplankton Group, CSIC 1176, Uruguay
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