C-reactive protein is a useful negative predictor of anastomotic leak in oesophago-gastric resection

Anastomotic Leak After Esophagectomy: Modern Approaches to Prevention and Diagnosis

Anastomotic leak (AL) remains one of the most serious complications following esophagectomy, contributing to significant morbidity, prolonged hospital stays, and increased mortality. Despite advancements in surgical techniques and perioperative care, AL continues to challenge surgeons and negatively impact patient outcomes. Various factors contribute to its development, including patient-specific comorbidities, tumor characteristics, anastomotic technique, conduit perfusion, and perioperative management. Prevention strategies have evolved with the integration of intraoperative techniques such as fluorescence-guided perfusion assessment, omental reinforcement, and meticulous surgical handling of the gastric conduit. Emerging technologies, including endoluminal vacuum therapy (EVT) and multimodal perioperative protocols, have demonstrated potential in reducing leak incidence and improving management. Diagnosing AL remains complex due to its variable presentation, necessitating a combination of clinical evaluation, inflammatory markers, imaging studies, and endoscopic assessments. While routine postoperative imaging has shown limited sensitivity, on-demand CT and endoscopic evaluations play a crucial role in early detection and intervention. This review provides a comprehensive analysis of the risk factors, prevention strategies, and diagnostic modalities for AL after esophagectomy, incorporating recent advancements and emerging technologies.

C-reactive protein and digestive pathologies: A narrative review for daily clinical use

The aim of this narrative review is to familiarize clinicians, especially digestive surgeons, to adequately use of serum C-reactive protein as a reliable noninvasive biomarker in diverse practical clinical situations. We hope that the review will help clinicians for their decision-making when facing various digestive diseases including operative and nonoperative pathologies such as anastomotic leakage, pancreatitis, emergency situation, and digestive cancer management and prognosis.

Usefulness of Serum Biomarkers in Predicting Anastomotic Leakage After Gastrectomy

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Anastomotic leakage (AL) is one of the most concerning complications following gastrectomy. The aim of this study was to assess and compare the predictive accuracy of C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), fibrinogen, and the mean platelet volume (MPV) in the early diagnosis of post-gastrectomy AL.

METHODS

A prospective bicentric observational study was conducted including all patients undergoing elective gastrectomy between August 2018 and December 2022. The performance of the selected biomarkers in predicting the existence of AL within the first 7 postoperative days (PODs) was assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 107 patients were included for analysis. The incidence of AL was 20.56%, and the median day of diagnosis was on POD5 (interquartile range 4-6). CRP, PCT, the NLR, the PLR, and fibrinogen showed significant associations with the presence of AL (from POD2 for CRP and fibrinogen and from POD3 for PCT, NLR, and PLR). CRP demonstrated a superior predictive accuracy on POD4, with a threshold value of 181.4 mg/L (NPV 99%; AUC 0.87, p < 0.001); PCT demonstrated a superior predictive accuracy on POD7, with a threshold value of 0.13 μg/L (NPV 98%; AUC 0.84, p < 0.001); the NLR showed a superior predictive accuracy on POD6, with a threshold ratio of 6.77 (NPV 95%; AUC 0.86, p < 0.001); the PLR achieved a superior predictive accuracy on POD7, with a ratio of 234 (NPV 98%; AUC 0.71; p = 0.002); and fibrinogen demonstrated a superior predictive accuracy on POD5, with a threshold of 7.344 g/L (NPV 98%; AUC 0.74; p = 0.003). In the comparison of predictive accuracy, CPR, PCT, and the NLR were found to be superior to all other biomarkers.

CONCLUSIONS

CRP, PCT, and the NLR are biomarkers with a sufficient predictive ability to clinically discard the presence of AL within the first postoperative week.

C-reactive Protein as a Negative Predictor of Anastomotic Leak Following Elective Colorectal Resection: A Beacon of Assurance?

Background To evaluate the accuracy and optimal C-reactive protein (CRP) level for detecting anastomotic leak (AL) in patients following elective colorectal resection. Methods A retrospective data collection of patients undergoing elective colorectal resection with primary anastomosis at a single institution was performed. Data were collected between June 2021 and November 2022. All colorectal resections and any anastomosis type were included. The following information was collected: basic patient demographics, operative and postoperative complications, and daily CRP results for the first seven postoperative days (POD). SPSS version 27 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY) was used for all data analysis. Results A total of 231 patients with a mean age of 68.8 ± 14.4 years were included. The most common surgical procedure was a right hemicolectomy (46.3%), followed by anterior resection (42.8%), segmental colectomy (7.4%), and subtotal colectomy (3.4%). The overall AL rate for this cohort was 3%, and the median length of hospital stay was six days (mean: 7.6 ± 5.1 days). POD3, POD4, and POD5 showed an area under the curve of 0.73 (P = 0.07), 0.90 (P = 0.001), and 0.95 (P = 0.002), respectively. An optimal CRP cut-off value of 160 mg/L on POD4 resulted in a sensitivity of 85%, specificity of 83%, negative predictive value of 98%, and positive predictive value of 24%. Conclusion CRP is an excellent negative predictor of AL following colorectal resection and primary anastomosis. Patients with a POD4 CRP of <160 mg/L may be earmarked for hospital discharge if clinically appropriate.

PROFUGO study protocol: Predictive model for the early diagnosis of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy and gastrectomy

In esophagogastric surgery, the appearance of an anastomotic leak is the most feared complication. Early diagnosis is important for optimal management and successful resolution. For this reason, different studies have investigated the value of the use of markers to predict possible postoperative complications. Because of this, research and the creation of predictive models that identify patients at high risk of developing complications are mandatory in order to obtain an early diagnosis. The PROFUGO study (PRedictivO Model for Early Diagnosis of anastomotic LEAK after esophagectomy and gastrectomy) is proposed as a prospective and multicenter national study that aims to develop, with the help of artificial intelligence methods, a predictive model that allows for the identification of high-risk cases. of anastomotic leakage and/or major complications by analyzing different clinical and analytical variables collected during the postoperative period of patients undergoing esophagectomy or gastrectomy.

Role of Biomarkers in the Diagnosis of Anastomotic Leakage After Colorectal Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Due to its diverse presentation, anastomotic leakage (AL) following colorectal surgery is challenging to detect and frequently discovered when the patient becomes critically ill. When diagnosing AL in its early stages, biomarkers play a large role. This review was conducted to evaluate the diagnostic value of biomarkers in AL after colorectal surgeries. A literature search was undertaken electronically in major search engines such as Medline (PubMed), Google Scholar, ScienceDirect, EMBASE, and CENTRAL (Cochrane Library) databases. Observational studies of both retrospective and prospective nature were included. Origin Pro 2022 (Origin Labs) software was used to assess the prevalence of AL and generate the forest plot. A total of 13 articles fulfilled the eligibility criteria. A pooled prevalence of 9.19% was noted for AL in colorectal surgeries. In the present review, the observed sensitivity for C-reactive protein (CRP) was 80.5% and the specificity was 84% (postoperative day three). In contrast, these were 100% and 83.9% for procalcitonin on postoperative day five. CRP showed the highest diagnostic accuracy and excels at eliminating AL, but combining biomarkers can increase the diagnostic precision of early detection of AL.

Early postoperative systemic inflammatory response as predictor of anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Postesophagectomy anastomotic leakage occurs in up to 16% of patients and is the main cause of morbidity and mortality. The leak severity is determined by the extent of contamination and the degree of sepsis, both of which are related to the time from onset to treatment. Early prediction based on inflammatory biomarkers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, white blood cell counts, albumin levels, and combined Noble-Underwood (NUn) scores can guide early management. This review aimed to determine the diagnostic accuracy of these biomarkers.

METHODS

This study was designed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines and registered in the PROSPERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews) database. Two reviewers independently conducted searches across PubMed, MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Embase. Sources of bias were assessed, and a meta-analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Data from 5348 patients were analyzed, and 13% experienced leakage. The diagnostic accuracy of the serum biomarkers was analyzed, and pooled cutoff values were identified. CRP levels were found to have good diagnostic accuracy on days 2 to 5. The best discrimination was identified on day 2 for a cutoff value < 222 mg/L (area under the curve = 0.824, sensitivity = 81%, specificity = 88%, positive predictive value = 38.6%, and negative predictive value = 98%). A NUn score of >10 on day 4 correlated with poor diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSION

The NUn score failed to achieve adequate accuracy. CRP seems to be the only valuable biomarker and is a negative predictor of postesophagectomy leakage. Patients with a CRP concentration of <222 mg/L on day 2 are unlikely to develop a leak, and patients can safely proceed through their enhanced recovery after surgery protocol. Patients with a CRP concentration of <127 mg/L on day 5 can be safely discharged when clinically possible.

Preoperative Chronic Inflammation Is a Risk Factor for Postoperative Complications Independent of Body Composition in Gastric Cancer Patients Undergoing Radical Gastrectomy

The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between preoperative inflammation and postoperative complications in gastric cancer patients having elective gastrectomy. Participants in this study were those who underwent radical gastrectomy between April 2008 and June 2018 and were diagnosed with stage I-III primary gastric cancer. Preoperative CRP values were used to divide the patients into two groups: the inflammation group comprised individuals having a CRP level of ≥0.5 mg/dL; the other was the non-inflammation group. The primary outcome was overall complications of Clavien-Dindo grade II or higher after surgery. Using propensity score matching to adjust for background, we compared the postoperative outcomes of the groups and conducted a multivariate analysis to identify risk variables for complications. Of 951 patients, 852 (89.6%) were in the non-inflammation group and 99 (10.4%) were in the inflammation group. After matching, both groups included 99 patients, and no significant differences in patient characteristics were observed between both groups. The inflammation group had a significantly greater total number of postoperative complications (p = 0.019). The multivariate analysis revealed that a preoperative CRP level of ≥0.5 mg/dL was an independent risk factor for total postoperative complications in all patients (odds ratio: 2.310, 95% confidence interval: 1.430-3.730, p < 0.001). In conclusion, in patients undergoing curative resection for gastric cancer, preoperative inflammation has been found to be an independent risk factor for overall complications after surgery. Patients with chronic inflammation require preoperative treatment to reduce inflammation because chronic inflammation is the greatest risk factor for postoperative complications.

Systemic Inflammatory Response and the Noble and Underwood (NUn) Score as Early Predictors of Anastomotic Leakage after Esophageal Reconstructive Surgery

Anastomotic leakage (AL) remains the main cause of post-esophagectomy morbidity and mortality. Early detection can avoid sepsis and reduce morbidity and mortality. This study evaluates the diagnostic accuracy of the Nun score and its components as early detectors of AL. This single-center observational cohort study included all esophagectomies from 2010 to 2020. C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin (Alb), and white cell count (WCC) were analyzed and NUn scores were calculated. The area under the curve statistic (AUC) was used to assess their predictive accuracy. A total of 74 of the 668 patients (11%) developed an AL. CRP and the NUn-score proved to be good diagnostic accuracy tests on postoperative day (POD) 2 (CRP AUC: 0.859; NUn score AUC: 0.869) and POD 4 (CRP AUC: 0.924; NUn score AUC: 0.948). A 182 mg/L CRP cut-off on POD 4 yielded a 87% sensitivity, 88% specificity, a negative predictive value (NPV) of 98%, and a positive predictive value (PPV) of 47.7%. A NUn score cut-off > 10 resulted in 92% sensitivity, 95% specificity, 99% NPV, and 68% PPV. Albumin and WCC have limited value in the detection of post-esophagectomy AL. Elevated CRP and a high NUn score on POD 4 provide high accuracy in predicting AL after esophageal cancer surgery. Their high negative predictive value allows to select patients who can safely proceed with enhanced recovery protocols.

Efficacy of Biomarkers in Predicting Anastomotic Leakage After Gastrointestinal Resection: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Our systematic review and meta-analysis were designed to evaluate the published literature from 2016 to 2019 on which the role of biomarkers in predicting the anastomotic leakage (AL) in gastroesophageal cancer surgery was investigated. This extensive literature search was conducted on the principles of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) protocol. PubMed, Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online (MEDLINE), and Excerpta Medica dataBASE (EMBASE) were used to gather the relevant information. No restrictions were made on the type of biomarkers. Wald or likelihood ratio (LRT) fixed effect tests were used to estimate the pooled prevalence to generate the proportions with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and model-fitted weights. For analyzing heterogeneity, the Cochran Q test and I square test were used. The Egger regression asymmetry test and funnel plot were used for publication. In this meta-analysis, a total of 15 studies were recruited with 1892 patients undergoing the resection. The pooled elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) was observed as 13.9% ranging from 11.6% to 16.1%. The pooled prevalence of other biomarkers with AL was observed as 4.4%. Significant heterogeneity was observed between studies that reported CRP and other biomarkers (92% each with chi-squared values of 78.80 and 122.78, respectively). However, no significant publication was observed between studies (p=0.61 and p=0.11, respectively). We concluded our study on this note that different biomarkers are involved in the diagnosis of AL. However, all these biomarkers are poor predictors with insufficient predictive value and sensitivity.

Optimal Predictors of Postoperative Complications After Gastrectomy: Results from the Procalcitonin and C-reactive Protein for the Early Diagnosis of Anastomotic Leakage in Esophagogastric Surgery (PEDALES) Study

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to define whether procalcitonin (PCT) is an earlier and more accurate predictor than C-reactive protein (CRP) for anastomotic leakage (AL) and major infective complications (MICs).

METHODS

This was a prospective multicentric observational study conducted in three Italian centers, including all patients undergoing gastrectomy from May 2016 to April 2021. The endpoint was the assessment of the discrimination and accuracy achieved by the PCT and CRP values measured from POD1 to POD7 for predicting the occurrence of AL and MICs. Accuracy was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) values and Youden's statistics. Two charts were created for risk stratification during the postoperative course.

RESULTS

The rate of AL was 4.6%, with a median day of occurrence on POD5 (range 3-26). The overall rate of major infective complications was 19.9%, with a median day of occurrence on POD6 (range 2-30). PCT showed a significant association with AL on POD6 and POD7 and a significant association with MICs on POD2, while CRP values showed a significant association with AL on POD4 and a significant association with MICs on POD1. No difference in the prediction of AL was observed between PCT and CRP, while CRP was found to be a superior predictor of major infective complications on POD5 (p = 0.024) and POD7 (p = 0.035).

CONCLUSIONS

PCT was not superior to CRP as an early predictor of AL and major infective complications after gastrectomy. CRP should be used as the reference screening postoperative marker.

Implementation of the Esophagectomy Complication Consensus Group definitions: the benefits of speaking the same language

In 2015 the Esophagectomy Complication Consensus Group (ECCG) reported consensus definitions for complications after esophagectomy. This aimed to reduce variation in complication reporting, attributed to heterogeneous definitions. This systematic review aimed to describe the implementation of this definition set, including the effect on complication frequency and variation. A systematic literature review was performed, identifying all observational and randomized studies reporting complication frequencies after esophagectomy since the ECCG publication. Recruitment periods before and subsequent to the index ECCG publication date were included. Coefficients of variance were calculated to assess outcome heterogeneity. Of 144 studies which met inclusion criteria, 70 (48.6%) used ECCG definitions. The median number of separately reported complication types was five per study; only one study reported all ECCG complications. The coefficients of variance of the reported frequencies of eight of the 10 most common complications were reduced in studies which used the ECCG definitions compared with those that did not (P = 0.036). Among ECCG studies, the frequencies of postoperative pneumothorax, reintubation, and pulmonary emboli were significantly reduced in 2020-2021, compared with 2015-2019 (P = 0.006, 0.034, and 0.037 respectively). The ECCG definition set has reduced variation in esophagectomy morbidity reporting. This adds greater confidence to the observed gradual improvement in outcomes with time, and its ongoing use and wider dissemination should be encouraged. However, only a handful of outcomes are widely reported, and only rarely is it used in its entirety.

C-reactive protein identifies patients at low risk of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy

PURPOSE

Fast-track protocols are increasingly used after digestive surgery. After esophagectomy, the gravity and the fear of anastomotic leak may be an obstacle to generalization of such protocols. C-reactive protein (CRP) might be a reliable tool to identify patients at low risk of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy, so that they can be safely included in a fast-track program. The aim of our retrospective bicentric study is to evaluate the interest of C-reactive protein measurement for the early diagnosis of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy.

METHODS

Patients having undergone Ivor-Lewis procedure between January 2009 and September 2017 were included in this bicentric retrospective study. CRP values were recorded between postoperative day 3 (POD 3) and postoperative day 5 (POD 5). All postoperative complications were recorded, and the primary endpoint was anastomotic leak.

RESULTS

We included 585 patients. Among them, 241 (41.2%) developed infectious complications and 69 patients (11.8%) developed anastomotic leak. CRP had the best predictive value on POD 5 (AUC = 0.74; 95% CI: 0.67-0.81). On POD 5, a cut-off value of 130 mg/L yielded a sensitivity of 87%, a specificity of 51%, and a negative predictive value of 96% for the detection of anastomotic leak.

CONCLUSIONS

CRP may help in identifying patients at very low risk of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy. Patients with CRP values < 130 mg/L on POD 5 can safely undertake an enhanced recovery protocol.

Evaluation of the use of inflammatory biomarkers in the early detection of anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy: A retrospective analysis

Background

Postoperative anastomotic leakage remains a major complication of esophagectomy. The development of a reliable method of early detection of anastomotic leakage can revolutionize the management of esophageal carcinoma.

Materials and Methods

This is a retrospective data analysis of 147 patients who underwent Ivor-Lewis esophagectomy as a curative attempt to treat distal esophageal carcinoma in our surgery department between 2010 and 2021. C-reactive protein and white blood cell count in postoperative days 1, 3, 5, and 8 were compared in patients with and without anastomotic leakage. The diagnostic accuracy of these tests was challenged against the clinical reference standard represented by computed tomography or upper gastrointestinal endoscopy.

Results

Twenty-eight patients (19%) developed anastomotic leakage. C-reactive protein values in postoperative day 8 were the only parameter to qualify as a potential clinically helpful test with an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.85 and a P value of less than .01. We calculated the cutoff value for C-reactive protein during postoperative day 8 to be 10.85 mg/dL with specificity and sensitivity of 73.1% and 89.3%, respectively. C-reactive protein showed a positive predictive value of 43.9% and a negative predictive value of 96.7% at this cutoff value.

Conclusion

An absolute diagnostic value of postoperative estimation of serum inflammatory biomarkers to detect anastomotic leakage could not be proved. Serum C-reactive protein on postoperative day 8 with a cutoff value of 10.85 mg/dL could be used to exclude anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy to serve as one of the discharge criteria of the patients.

C-Reactive Protein as Predictor for Infectious Complications after Robotic and Open Esophagectomies

Introduction: The value of C-reactive protein (CRP) as a predictor of anastomotic leakage (AL) after esophagectomy has been addressed by numerous studies. Despite its increasing application, robotic esophagectomy (RAMIE) has not been considered separately yet in this context. We, therefore, aimed to evaluate the predictive value of CRP in RAMIE. Material and Methods: Patients undergoing RAMIE or completely open esophagectomy (OE) at our University Center were included. Clinical data, CRP- and Procalcitonin (PCT)-values were retrieved from a prospectively maintained database and evaluated for their predictive value for subsequent postoperative infectious complications (PIC) (AL, gastric conduit leakage or necrosis, pneumonia, empyema). Results: Three hundred and five patients (RAMIE: 160, OE: 145) were analyzed. PIC were noted in 91 patients on postoperative day (POD) 10 and 123 patients on POD 30, respectively. Median POD of diagnosis of PIC was POD 8. Post-operative CRP-values in the robotic-group peaked one and two days later, respectively, and converged from POD 5 onward compared to the open-group. In the group with PIC, CRP-levels in the robotic-group were initially lower and started to differ significantly from POD 3 onward. In the open-group, increases were already noticed from POD 3 on. Procalcitonin levels did not differ. Best Receiver operating curve (ROC)-results were on POD 4, highest negative predictive values at POD 5 (RAMIE) and POD 4 (OE) with cut-off values of 70 mg/L and 88.3 mg/L, respectively. Conclusion: Post-operative CRP is a good negative predictor for PIC, after both RAMIE and OE. After RAMIE, CRP peaks later with a lower cut-off value.

The use of grape juice in the detection of esophageal leaks

Background

Esophagectomies and repair of esophageal perforations are operations used for a variety of clinical indications. Anastomotic leaks are a major post-operative complication after these procedures. At our institution, we routinely use grape juice to detect esophageal leaks in the post-operative setting in addition to other standard imaging modalities. We hypothesize that grape juice can provide similar diagnostic sensitivity and specificity to other modalities for leak detection.

Methods

A retrospective review of all patients who underwent an esophagectomy or repair of esophageal perforations from 2013–2019 by the thoracic surgery service at our institution was performed. All patients underwent a barium swallow study, CT imaging or upper endoscopy, as well as ingesting purple grape juice on post-operative day 5 or greater. Purple grape juice observed in the tube thoracostomy drainage system was identified as a positive esophageal leak.

Results

Sixty-four patients were included in the study period (25% female, 88% white, median age 62 years old). Sixty-three patients had both a barium swallow study and grape juice test, while one patient underwent CT imaging and grape juice study. Grape juice test sensitivity and specificity were found to be 80% and 98.3%, respectively.

Conclusions

This pilot study demonstrates the effectiveness of using grape juice in detecting esophageal leaks after esophageal operations in patients with tube thoracostomies. Grape juice may be cheaper and potentially less morbid than other studies performed to detect esophageal leaks. Further research is needed to justify the increased use of grape juice in patients who undergo esophageal operations.

Serial estimation of serum C-reactive protein and procalcitonin for early detection of anastomotic leak after elective intestinal surgeries: a prospective cohort study

Objectives

Anastomotic leak can adversely affect the outcome of surgery especially if detected late. The present study was carried out to detect the anastomotic leak early in the postoperative period using serial estimation of procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP).

Material and Methods

A single centre prospective cohort study was done on patients undergoing elective gastrointestinal surgery with anastomosis. Serial estimation of serum procalcitonin and C reactive protein was done on the first five postoperative days. Other parameters such as hemoglobin, total protein, albumin and WBC counts were noted perioperatively. Patients were followed up to 60th postoperative day to assess for anastomotic leak, wound infection and other septic foci.

Results

Eighty-four patients were included in the study. Anastomotic leak rate was 26.19% (22/84) and 3/22 patients died in the anastomotic leak group. Wound infection rate was 23.81%. The cut off value of CRP on third postoperative day in detecting anastomotic leak was 44.322 mg/dl with sensitivity of 72.73%, specificity of 66.13% and accuracy of 59.52%. The cut off value for WBC count measured perioperatively in detecting anastomotic leak was 9470 cell/mm³ with sensitivity of 72.73%, specificity of 56.45% and accuracy of 59.74%. Serum procalcitonin, haemoglobin, total protein and albumin measured were not sensitive enough to detect the anastomotic leak early.

Conclusion

Measuring CRP on the third postoperative day can predict anastomotic leak with a cut off value of 44.32 mg/dl. Patients with raised CRP need careful evaluation to rule out anastomotic leak before deciding on early discharge.

Early Diagnosis of Anastomotic Leakage After Gastric Cancer Surgery Via Analysis of Inflammatory Factors in Abdominal Drainage

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic leakage (AL) is the most serious postoperative complication for patients with gastric cancer. We aim to develop clinically tools to detect AL in the early phase by analysis of the inflammatory factors (IFs) in abdominal drainage.

METHODS

We prospectively included 326 patients to establish two independent cohorts, and the concentration of IFs within abdominal drainage was detected. In the primary cohort, an IF-based AL prediction model was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. The predictive value of the model was later validated via the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Analyzing the IFs with LASSO regression, we developed an Anastomotic Score system on postoperative Day 3 (AScore-POD3), which yielded high diagnostic efficacy in the primary cohort (the area under the curve (AUC) = 0.87). The predictive value of AScore-POD3 was validated in the validation cohort, and its AUC was 0.83. We further built an AScore-POD3 based nomogram by combining the AScore-POD3 system with other clinical risk factors of AL. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.93 in the primary cohort and 0.82 in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that AL can be early diagnosed after gastric cancer surgery by measuring drainage IFs.

Diagnosing anastomotic leak post-esophagectomy: a systematic review

Esophagectomy is the gold-standard treatment for esophageal cancer; however, postoperative anastomotic leakage remains the primary concern for surgeons. No consensus exists on the optimal investigations to predict an anastomotic leak. This systematic review aims to identify a single test or combination of tests with acceptable sensitivity and specificity to identify anastomotic leak after esophagectomy and to formulate a diagnostic algorithm to facilitate surgical decision-making. A systematic review of PubMed and EMBASE databases was undertaken to evaluate diagnostic investigations for anastomotic leak post-esophagectomy. Each study was reviewed and where possible, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were extracted. The review identified 3,204 articles, of which 49 met the inclusion criteria. Investigations most commonly used for diagnosis of anastomotic leak were: C-reactive protein (CRP), oral contrast imaging, computed tomography (CT), pleural drain amylase concentration, and the 'NUn score'. The sensitivity of CRP for detecting anastomotic leak varied from 69.2% to 100%. Oral contrast studies sensitivities varied between 16% and 87.5% and specificity varied from 20% to 100%. Pleural drain amylase sensitivities ranged between 75% and 100% and specificity ranged from 52% to 95.5%. The NUn score sensitivities ranged from 0% to 95% and specificity from 49% to 94.4%. No single investigation was identified to rule out anastomotic leak in asymptomatic patients. However, the authors propose a diagnostic algorithm incorporating CRP, pleural drain amylase concentration, and CT with oral contrast to aid clinicians in predicting anastomotic leak to facilitate safe, timely discharge post-esophagectomy.

The Predictive Value of Inflammatory Biomarkers in Esophageal Anastomotic Leaks

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the role of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting anastomotic leak (AL) after esophagectomy for esophageal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected database from the McGill University Health Center. Included were all patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma who underwent esophagectomy between 2005 and 2016. Patients with chronic infections, concurrent active malignancies, and autoimmune conditions were excluded. NLR values were obtained on postoperative days (POD) 0, 1, 2, and 3. Receiver operating characteristic curve study and multivariable logistic analysis were conducted to evaluate the diagnostic value of NLR.

RESULTS

The study included 330 patients, and AL developed in 16%. Mean NLR values on POD1, 2, and 3 were higher in patients with leaks (20 vs 14 on POD1, P < .001; 20 vs 12 on POD2, P < .001; and 19 vs 10 on POD3, P < .001). The NLR value on POD3 was associated with an area under the curve of 70% and a negative predictive value of 92.4%. Multivariable analyses identified higher American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification, increasing NLR trend (between POD1 and POD3), POD1 NLR, POD2 NLR, and POD3 NLR as independent factors associated with AL.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who developed AL demonstrate higher mean NLR values in the early postoperative period with rising trends. Conversely a low NLR is associated with a high negative predictive value for AL. This simple metric allows risk stratification that may guide treatment decisions in esophagectomy patients.

Postoperative complications after minimally invasive esophagectomy in the prone position: any anesthesia-related factor?

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the incidence of postoperative complications arising within 30 days of minimally invasive esophagectomy in the prone position with total lung ventilation and their relationship with 30-day and 1-year mortality. Secondary outcomes included possible anesthesia-related factors linked to the development of complications.

METHODS

The study is a retrospective single-center observational study at the Anesthesia and Surgical Department of a tertiary care center in the northeast of Italy. Patients underwent cancer resection through esophagectomy in the prone position without one-lung ventilation.

RESULTS

We included 110 patients from January 2010 to December 2017. A total of 54% of patients developed postoperative complications that increased mortality risk at 1 year of follow-up. Complications postponed first oral intake and delayed patient discharge to home. Positive intraoperative fluid balance was related to increased mortality and the risk to develop postoperative complications. C-reactive protein at third postoperative day may help detect complication onset.

CONCLUSIONS

Complication onset has a great impact on mortality after esophagectomy. Some anesthesia-related factors, mainly fluid balance, may be associated with postoperative mortality and morbidity. These factors should be carefully taken into account to obtain better outcomes after esophagectomy in the prone position without one-lung ventilation.

Prognostic value of inflammatory markers for detecting anastomotic leakage after esophageal resection

BACKGROUND

Early diagnosis of anastomotic leakage (AL) after esophageal resection is crucial for the successful management of this complication. Inflammatory serological markers are indicators of complications during the postoperative course. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic value of routine inflammatory markers to predict anastomotic leakage after transthoracic esophageal resection.

METHODS

Data from all consecutive patients undergoing transthoracic esophageal resection between January 2010 and December 2016 were analyzed from a prospective database. Besides clinicodemographic parameters, C-reactive protein, white blood cell count and albumin were analyzed and the Noble/Underwood (NUn) score was calculated to evaluate their predictive value for postoperative anastomotic leakage. Diagnostic accuracy was measured by sensitivity, specificity, and negative and positive predictive values using area under the receiver operator characteristics curve.

RESULTS

Overall, 233 patients with transthoracic esophageal resection were analyzed, 30-day mortality in this group was 3.4%. 57 patients (24.5%) suffered from AL, 176 patients were in the AL negative group. We found significant differences in WBCC, CRP and NUn scores between patients with and without AL, but the analyzed markers did not show an independent relevant prognostic value. For CRP levels below 155 mg/dl from POD3 to POD 7 the negative predictive value for absence of AI was > 80%. Highest diagnostic accuracy was detected for CRP levels on 4th POD with a cut-off value of 145 mg/l reaching negative predictive value of 87%.

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to their prognostic value in other surgical procedures, CRP, WBCC and NUn score cannot be recommended as independent markers for the prediction of anastomotic leakage after transthoracic esophageal resection. CRP is an accurate negative predictive marker and discrimination of AL and no-AL may be helpful for postoperative clinical management. Trial registration The study was approved by the local ethical committee (S635-2013).

Early postoperative decrease of albumin is an independent predictor of major complications after oncological esophagectomy: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Serum albumin perioperative decrease (∆Alb) may reflect the magnitude of the physiological stress induced by surgery. Studies highlighted its value to predict adverse postoperative outcomes, but data in esophageal surgery are scant. This study aimed to investigate the role of ∆Alb to predict major complications after esophagectomy for cancer.

METHODS

Multicenter retrospective study conducted in five high-volume centers, including consecutive patients undergoing an esophagectomy for cancer between 2006 and 2017. Patients were randomly assigned to a training (n = 696) and a validation (n = 350) cohort. Albumin decrease was calculated on postoperative day 1 and defined as ΔAlb. The primary endpoint was major complications according to Clavien classification.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, esophagectomy induced a rapid drop of albumin. Cut-off of ΔAlb was established at 11 g/L and allowed to distinguish patients with adverse outcomes. On multivariable analysis, ΔAlb was identified as an independent predictor of major complications (OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.11; p = .014). Higher BMI and laparoscopy were associated with lower ΔAlb. Analysis of the validation cohort provided consistent findings.

CONCLUSIONS

ΔAlb appeared as a promising biomarker after oncological esophagectomy, allowing prediction of potential adverse outcomes.

A nomogram illustrating the probability of anastomotic leakage following cervical esophagogastrostomy

BACKGROUND

Early diagnosis of anastomotic dehiscence following cervical esophagogastrostomy may become difficult. Estimation of an individual probability could help to establish preventive and diagnostic measures. The predictive impact of epidemiological, surgery-related data and laboratory parameters on the development of anastomotic dehiscence was investigated in the immediate perioperative period.

METHODS

Retrospective study in 412 patients with cervical esophagogastrostomy following esophagectomy. Epidemiological data, risk factors, underlying disease, pre-treatment- and surgery-related data, C-reactive protein and albumin levels pre-and post-operatively were evaluated. We applied univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis and developed a nomogram for individual risk assessment.

RESULTS

There were 345 male, 67 female patients, mean aged 61.5 years; 284 had orthotopic, 128 retrosternal gastric pull-up; 331 patients had carcinoma, 81 non-malignant disease. Mean duration of operation was 184 min; 235 patients had manual, 113 mechanical and 64 semi-mechanical suturing; 76 patients (18.5%) developed anastomotic dehiscence clinically evident at mean 11.4 days after surgery. In univariable testing young age, retrosternal conduit transposition, manual suturing, high body mass index, high ASA and high postoperative levels of C-reactive protein were predictors for anastomotic leakage. These six parameters which had yielded a p < 0.1 in the univariable analysis, were entered into a multivariable analysis and a nomogram allowing the determination of the patient's individual risk was created.

CONCLUSION

By using the nomogram as a supportive measure in the perioperative management, the patient's individual probability of developing an anastomotic leak could be quantified which may help to take preventive measures improving the outcome.

C-Reactive Protein-Lymphocyte Ratio Identifies Patients at Low Risk for Major Morbidity after Oesophagogastric Resection for Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Complications following oesophagogastric surgery have significant implications for patient recovery.

OBJECTIVE

identify cost-effective biomarkers which can predict morbidity.

METHODS

Analysis of all upper gastrointestinal resections in Galway University Hospital from 2014 to 2018 was performed. The ability of C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and CRP-lymphocyte ratio (CLR) to predict morbidity, including anastomotic leak (AL), was assessed and compared.

RESULTS

Seventy-one oesophagectomies and 77 gastrectomies were performed. There were 2 (1%) 30-day mortalities and 83 (56%) morbidities of which 30 (20%) were of Clavien-Dindo grade 3 or higher. The rate of major morbidity within the oesophagectomy cohort was 27% and was 14% in the gastrectomy cohort. There were 11 (7%) ALs, 7 in the oesophagectomy cohort, and 4 in the gastrectomy cohort. From post-operative day (POD) 2 onwards, CRP could predict AL (POD2 AUC = 0.705, p = 0.025; POD3 AUC = 0.757, p = 0.005, POD4 AUC = 0.811, p = 0.001; and POD5 AUC = 0.824, p = 0.001). CLR predicted AL on POD2 onwards (POD2 AUC = 0.722, p = 0.005; POD3 AUC = 0.736, p = 0.01; POD4 AUC = 0.775, p = 0.003; and POD5 AUC = 0.817, p = 0.001). CRP level of 218 mg/dL and CLR level of 301 at POD 2 generated negative predictive values of 97 and 98%, respectively, for AL. Post-operative NLR did not display sufficient discriminatory ability for the outcomes.

CONCLUSION

CRP and CLR are reliable negative predictors of major morbidity, including AL, after oesophagogastric resection. Their use can inform patient intervention and recovery.

Predicting Delayed Complications After Esophagectomy in the Current Era of Early Discharge and Enhanced Recovery

BACKGROUND

Enhanced recovery protocols after esophagectomy aim to discharge patients by day 7. A small risk of delayed complications exists. We aimed to assess whether C-reactive protein (CRP) levels on day 7 could help predict delayed complications and assist safe discharge.

METHODS

All consecutive esophagectomies over 3 years were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were categorized on day 7 into (1) those clinically unsafe for discharge; (2) those clinically safe for discharge; and (3) those considered safe for discharge but develop a delayed complication. CRP level on day 7 and the trend in CRP levels between days 3 and 7 were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 140 patients underwent esophagectomy, of which 64 patients (46%) had at least one complication. On day 7, 62 (44%) patients were considered clinically unsafe for discharge; 74 (53%) were considered safe for discharge; and 4 (3%) were safe but developed a delayed complication. No patient with delayed complication had a day 7 CRP level < 84 mg/L. CRP trend did not help predict delayed complications.

CONCLUSIONS

The actual CRP level on day 7 after esophagectomy, rather than the trend, can predict delayed complications. Early discharge after esophagectomy should be desisted if the clinical picture is better than the actual blood results.

Clinical predictive efficacy of C-reactive protein for diagnosing infectious complications after gastric surgery

BACKGROUND

With the popularization of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS), identifying patients with complications before discharging becomes important. This study aimed to explore the efficacy of C-reactive protein (CRP) in predicting infectious complications after gastrectomy.

METHODS

Patients with gastric cancer who underwent gastrectomy at Beijing Cancer Hospital from March 2017 to April 2018 were enrolled in the training set. Complications were prospectively registered. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of CRP via evaluating the area under the curve (AUC). Patients who had CRP tested on postoperative day (POD) 5 and accepted gastrectomy from April to December 2018 were included in the validation set to validate the cut-off value of CRP obtained from the training set.

RESULTS

A total of 350 patients were included (263 patients in the training set and 87 patients in the validation set). Out of these, 24 patients were diagnosed with infectious complications and 17 patients had anastomotic leakage in the training set. The CRP level on POD5 had superior diagnostic accuracy for infectious complications with an AUC of 0.81. The cut-off value of CRP on POD5 at 166.65 mg/L yielded 93% specificity and 97.2% negative predict value (NPV); For anastomotic leakage, the AUC of CRP on POD5 was 0.81. Using the cut-off value of CRP at 166.65 mg/L on POD5 achieved 92% specificity and 98.6% NPV. The optimal cut-off value (CRP 166.65 mg/L on POD5) was validated in the validation set. It achieved 97.5% specificity and 94.0% NPV for infectious complications, and 97.6% specificity and 96.4% NPV for anastomotic leakage.

CONCLUSION

CRP is a reliable predictive marker for the diagnosis of inflammatory complications following gastric surgery. However, this study was based on preliminary data. The validity of this data needs confirmation by a larger number of cases.

C-reactive Protein Levels After Esophagectomy Are Associated With Increased Surgical Trauma and Complications

BACKGROUND

With the introduction of minimally invasive esophagectomy, postoperative complications rates have decreased. Daily laboratory tests are used to screen patients for postoperative complications. The course of inflammatory indicators after esophagectomy after different surgical approaches has not been described yet. The aim of the study was to describe the postoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) and leukocyte levels after different surgical approaches for esophagectomy and relate it to postoperative complications.

METHODS

Between 2010 and 2018, 217 consecutive patients underwent thoracoabdominal esophagectomy with gastric conduit reconstruction. Blood tests to assess CRP and leukocytes were performed daily in all patients. Differences between treatment groups were analyzed with a linear mixed model. All postoperative complications were recorded in a prospective database. Prognostic factors were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression modeling.

RESULTS

The study evaluated 4 different esophagectomy techniques: open (n = 57), hybrid (n = 53), totally minimally invasive (n = 52), and robot-assisted minimally invasive (n = 55). The increase of inflammatory indicators was significantly higher after open esophagectomy on the first 2 postoperative days compared with the 3 minimally invasive procedures (P < .001). Postoperative CRP values exceeding 200 mg/L on the second postoperative day and open esophagectomy were independently associated with postoperative complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Open esophagectomy results in significantly higher CRP and leukocyte values compared with hybrid, minimally invasive, and robot-assisted minimally invasive esophagectomy. Open esophagectomy and a CRP increase on the second postoperative day above 200 mg/L are independent positive predictors for postoperative complications in multivariate analysis.

Validation of the NUn score as a predictor of anastomotic leak and major complications after Esophagectomy

Predicting major anastomotic leak (AL) and major complications (Clavien-Dindo 3-5) following esophagectomy improves postoperative management of patients. The role of the NUn score in their prediction is controversial. This study aims to evaluate the predictive ability of this simple score. Data were retrospectively collected for consecutive esophagectomies over a 10-year period, and NUn scores were retrospectively calculated for each patient from informatics data. A standardized definition of major AL was used, excluding minor asymptomatic, radiologically detected leaks. The predictive accuracy of the NUn score and its constituent parts, for major AL and major complications, was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROCs). Of 382 patients, 48 (13%) developed major AL and 123 (32%) developed major complications. The NUn score calculated on postoperative day 4 was significantly predictive of both outcomes, with AUROCs of 0.77 and 0.71, respectively (both P < 0.001). A NUn score cut-off of 10 had a negative predictive value of 95% for major AL. The NUn score was predictive of major complications on multivariable analysis. The NUn score was found to be a significant predictor of major AL, suggesting that this is a useful early warning score for major AL. The score may also be useful in identifying patients that are the most likely to benefit from enhanced recovery protocols.

Systematic Review of the Role of Biomarkers in Predicting Anastomotic Leakage Following Gastroesophageal Cancer Surgery

Anastomotic leakage (AL) following gastroesophageal cancer surgery remains a serious postoperative complication. This systematic review aims to provide an overview of investigated biomarkers for the early detection of AL following esophagectomy, esophagogastrectomy and gastrectomy. All published studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of biomarkers predicting AL following gastroesophageal resection for cancer were included. The Embase, Medline, Cochrane Library, PubMed and Web of Science databases were searched. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS) 2 tool. Twenty-four studies evaluated biomarkers in the context of AL following gastroesophageal cancer surgery. Biomarkers were derived from the systemic circulation, mediastinal and peritoneal drains, urine and mediastinal microdialysis. The most commonly evaluated serum biomarkers were C-reactive protein and leucocytes. Both proved to be useful markers for excluding AL owing to its high specificity and negative predictive values. Amylase was the most commonly evaluated peritoneal drain biomarker and significantly elevated levels can predict AL in the early postoperative period. The associated area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve values ranged from 0.482 to 0.994. Current biomarkers are poor predictors of AL after gastroesophageal cancer surgery owing to insufficient sensitivity and positive predictive value. Further research is needed to identify better diagnostic tools to predict AL.

A pilot study of a novel molecular host response assay to diagnose infection in patients after high-risk gastro-intestinal surgery

PURPOSE

SeptiCyte LAB measures the expression of four host-response RNAs in peripheral blood to distinguish sepsis from sterile inflammation. This study evaluates whether sequential monitoring of this assay has diagnostic utility in patients after esophageal surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who developed a complication within 30 days following esophageal surgery and a random sample of 100 patients having an uncomplicated course. SeptiCyte LAB scores (ranging 0-10 reflecting increasing likelihood of infection) were compared to post-hoc physician adjudication of infection likelihood.

RESULTS

Among 370 esophagectomy patients, 120 (32%) subjects developed a complication requiring ICU (re)admission, 63 (53%) of whom could be analyzed. Immediate postoperative SeptiCyte LAB scores were highly variable, yet similar for patients having a complicated and uncomplicated postoperative course (median score of 2.4 (IQR 1.6-3.3) versus 2.2 (IQR 1.3-3), respectively). In a direct comparison of patients developing a confirmed infectious (n = 34) and non-infectious complication (n = 12), addition of SeptiCyte LAB to CRP improved diagnostic discrimination of infectious complications (AUC 0.88 (95%CI 0.77-0.99)) compared to CRP alone (AUC 0.76 (95%CI 0.61-0.91); p = .04).

CONCLUSIONS

Sequential measurement of SeptiCyte LAB may have diagnostic value in the monitoring of surgical patients at high risk of postoperative infection, but its clinical performance in this setting needs to be validated.

Change in serum albumin level predicts short-term complications in patients with normal preoperative serum albumin after gastrectomy of gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the correlation between serum albumin level change (ΔALB) and post-operative complications in patients with normal preoperative serum albumin after gastrectomy of gastric cancer.

METHODS

A total of 193 patients undergoing curative (R0) gastrectomy from September 2015 to May 2017 were enrolled in this study. The risk factors for predicting post-operative complications were identified by univariate and multivariate analysis. The cut-off value and diagnostic accuracy of ΔALB were measured by receiver operating characteristic curves. ΔALB was defined as: (albumin level before surgery - albumin on post-operative day (POD) 1)/albumin level before surgery × 100%.

RESULTS

A total of 60 patients (31.0%) had post-operative complications. Our results showed that the cut-off value of ΔALB was 19.0%. Using a cut-off value of 19.0%, multivariate analysis identified that ΔALB was able to predict post-operative complications as an independent factor (odds ratio 13.98, 95% confidence interval 6.048-32.32, P < 0.001). In addition, the area under the curve of ΔALB is higher than C-reactive protein on POD 3 (0.773 versus 0633). Compared with patients with ΔALB <19.0%, patients with ΔALB ≥19.0% have higher risk of post-operative complications suffered (62.3 versus 13.7%, P < 0.001) and longer post-operative stay (22.1 ± 13.5 versus 17.5 ± 4.2, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

ΔALB acted as an independent predictor in short-term complications for patients with normal preoperative serum albumin and its diagnostic accuracy was higher than C-reactive protein on POD 3. It is promising to be a precise and straight predictor for incidence of post-operative complications to patients with normal preoperative serum albumin.

Early Active Drainage by Fine Tube Bundles Improves the Clinical Outcome of Anastomotic Leak after Abdominal Surgery: A Pilot Randomized, Controlled Trial in Two Tertiary Hospitals in China

BACKGROUND

Post-operative anastomotic leak (PAL) is the most feared complication after abdominal surgery. Timely drainage of enteric effluent is beneficial in the healing of PAL.

METHODS

We introduced a new and feasible approach for early active drainage of PAL using fine tube bundles (FTBs). The therapeutic effects of FTBs were observed prospectively and compared with the traditional drainage tube without FTBs in a non-blinded randomized controlled trial.

RESULTS

Sixty patients with PAL in two tertiary hospitals in China from 2010 to 2016 were included in this study. Of these patients, 30 received FTBs and 30 were treated with a traditional drainage tube. The implantation failure rate was zero in the FTB group. No statistical difference was observed between the two groups in terms of demographic data. After these interventions, patients in the FTB group showed a faster decline in infection-related indictors, a higher ratio of spontaneous PAL closure, and shorter treatment duration of antibacterial agents compared with those in the traditional drainage tube group. Fatal complications and financial cost were also reduced in the FTB group.

CONCLUSION

Fine tube bundles may contribute to the healing of PAL through active drainage. This method should be validated by further clinical trials for wider use.

Use of C-reactive protein for the early prediction of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy: Systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Early suspicion, diagnosis, and timely treatment of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy is essential. Retrospective studies have investigated the role of C-reactive protein (CRP) as early marker of anastomotic leakage. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the predictive value of CRP after esophageal resection.

METHODS

A literature search was conducted to identify all reports including serial postoperative CRP measurements to predict anastomotic leakage after elective open or minimally invasive esophagectomy. Fully Bayesian meta-analysis was carried out using random-effects model for pooling diagnostic accuracy measures along with CRP cut-off values at different postoperative day.

RESULTS

Five studies published between 2012 and 2018 met the inclusion criteria. Overall, 850 patients were included. Ivor-Lewis esophagectomy was the most common surgical procedure (72.3%) and half of the patients had squamous-cell carcinoma (50.4%). The estimated pooled prevalence of anastomotic leak was 11% (95% CI = 8-14%). The serum CRP level on POD3 and POD5 had comparable diagnostic accuracy with a pooled area under the curve of 0.80 (95% CIs 0.77-0.92) and 0.83 (95% CIs 0.61-0.96), respectively. The derived pooled CRP cut-off values were 17.6 mg/dl on POD 3 and 13.2 mg/dl on POD 5; the negative likelihood ratio were 0.35 (95% CIs 0.096-0.62) and 0.195 (95% CIs 0.04-0.52).

CONCLUSION

After esophagectomy, a CRP value lower than 17.6 mg/dl on POD3 and 13.2 mg/dl on POD5 combined with reassuring clinical and radiological signs may be useful to rule-out leakage. In the context of ERAS protocols, this may help to avoid contrast radiological studies, anticipate oral feeding, accelerate hospital discharge, and reduce costs.

Role of post-operative serum C-reactive protein levels as a predictor of complications in upper gastrointestinal surgery

BACKGROUND

This study was undertaken to assess the value of C-reactive protein (CRP) in predicting infective complications after elective upper gastrointestinal surgery.

METHODS

Demographic data, clinical outcomes and serial CRPs preoperatively to post-operative day (POD) 7 were collected for patients undergoing pancreatectomy, hepatectomy and oesophago-gastrectomy between 2005 and 2016. Areas under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate diagnostic accuracy per day of measurement.

RESULTS

Of the 249 patients, 63 (25.3%) developed infective complications and 25 (10%) developed severe infective complications (≥Clavien-Dindo Grade III). Patients with infective complications trended towards higher CRP levels on POD1-POD4 and had significantly higher CRP levels on POD5 (156 versus 114 mg/dL; P = 0.03), POD6 (146 versus 93 mg/dL; P < 0.01) and POD7 (135 versus 84.6 mg/dL; P < 0.01). CRP had the best diagnostic accuracy for severe infective complications on POD6 (AUC: 0.73) and POD7 (AUC: 0.63). A CRP cut-off of 120 mg/dL on POD6 had a negative predictive value of 96.1% and a CRP cut-off of 80 mg/dL on POD7 had a negative predictive value of 94.9%.

CONCLUSION

CRP measurements can be used as a negative predictive marker of infective complications in the first post-operative week after major elective upper gastrointestinal surgery.

Prolonged antibiotic prophylaxis after thoracoabdominal esophagectomy does not reduce the risk of pneumonia in the first 30 days: a retrospective before-and-after analysis

PURPOSE

Thoracoabdominal esophageal resection for malignant disease is frequently associated with pulmonary infection. Whether prolonged antibiotic prophylaxis beyond a single perioperative dose is advantageous in preventing pulmonary infection after thoracoabdominal esophagectomy remains unclear.

METHODS

In this retrospective before-and-after analysis, 173 patients between January 2009 and December 2014 from a prospectively maintained database were included. We evaluated the effect of a 5-day postoperative course of moxifloxacin, which is a frequently used antimicrobial agent for pneumonia, on the incidence of pulmonary infection and mortality after thoracoabdominal esophagectomy.

RESULTS

104 patients received only perioperative antimicrobial prophylaxis (control group) and 69 additionally received a 5-day postoperative antibiotic therapy with moxifloxacin (prolonged-course). 22 (12.7%) of all patients developed pneumonia within the first 30 days after surgery. No statistically significant differences were seen between the prolonged group and control group in terms of pneumonia after 7 (p = 0.169) or 30 days (p = 0.133), detected bacterial species (all p > 0.291) and 30-day mortality (5.8 vs 10.6%, p = 0.274).

CONCLUSION

A preemptive 5-day postoperative course of moxifloxacin does not reduce the incidence of pulmonary infection and does not improve mortality after thoracoabdominal esophagectomy.

International Survey on the Management of Anastomotic Leakage After Esophageal Resection

BACKGROUND

Anastomotic leakage is one of the most severe complications following esophageal surgery, leading to significant morbidity, prolonged hospital stay, considerable costs, decreased quality of life, and increased mortality. Management of anastomotic leakage is complicated and has currently not been standardized. The objective of this research is to gain insight into the different opinions on anastomotic leakage management among upper gastrointestinal surgeons and verify the need for diagnostic and treatment guidelines.

METHODS

Surgeons with interest in esophageal surgery were invited to participate in an international online questionnaire. The survey consisted of questions pertaining to the surgeons' experience, operation techniques, management routine, and opinion on future international guidelines on the treatment of anastomotic leakage.

RESULTS

Of the 331 invited surgeons, 40% participated in the survey. Among the 129 responders, 90.7% use laboratory diagnostics and 62.8% use imaging or endoscopy postoperatively on a routine basis to detect anastomotic leakage. In case of suspected anastomotic leakage, the most chosen diagnostic imaging modalities were computed tomography scan (35.7%) or dynamic swallow investigation (33.3%). Independent from the clinical manifestations, participants of this survey treat patients very differently. More than 70% of the responders agreed that there is a need for diagnostic and therapeutic international guidelines on anastomotic leakage management.

CONCLUSIONS

This survey shows that there is no standardized guideline for diagnostic workup or management of anastomotic leakage and that there is a need for an international guideline regarding the optimal management of anastomotic leakage.

C-reactive protein for the early prediction of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy in both neoadjuvant and non-neoadjuvant therapy case: a propensity score matching analysis

Background

Anastomotic leak is one of most significant causes of mortality after esophagectomy. Therefore, it is clinically valuable to detect anastomotic leak early after esophagectomy in esophageal cancer. The purpose of this study is to investigate the associations between routine postoperative laboratory findings and anastomotic leak and to analyze the laboratory findings to find out an independent predictive marker for anastomotic leak. In addition, this study compares cases treated with neoadjuvant therapy (NT) and those without (non-NT).

Methods

We retrospectively assessed the medical records of 201 consecutive cases that met this study's criteria from January 2009 to December 2016. All patients underwent curative and complete esophagectomy for intra-thoracic esophageal cancer. We compiled and analyzed routine laboratory findings from the day before surgery to the eighth postoperative day on a daily basis. Routine laboratory tests consisted of 26 separate tests, including complete blood cell counts, blood chemistries, as well as erythrocyte sedimentation rate and C-reactive protein (CRP). Barium esophagogram with chest computed tomography (CT) was performed on the seventh postoperative day to evaluate the presence of an anastomotic leak.

Results

A total of 45 of 201 patients underwent NT. Anastomotic leaks were found in 23 (11.4%) of 201 patients (8 patients in NT and 15 patients in non-NT). White blood cell (WBC) from the second postoperative day (P=0.031, P=0.006, P=0.007, P=0.007, P=0.041, and P=0.003, respectively) and CRP from the third postoperative day (P=0.012, P<0.001, P=0.014, P<0.001, P=0.001, and P=0.006, respectively) were associated with anastomotic leak in non-NT; however, only CRP on the third, fifth, sixth, and seventh postoperative days (P=0.041, P=0.037, P=0.002, and P=0.003, respectively) was associated with anastomotic leak in NT. The CRP level on the third postoperative day was a significant independent predictive marker of anastomotic leak (P=0.041, odd ratio (OR) 1.056, 95% confidential interval (CI): 1.002-1.113) and had a significant diagnostic cutoff value for the development of anastomotic leak (non-NT: cutoff value 17.12 mg/dL, sensitivity 69.2%, specificity 78.1%, P<0.001, area 0.822; NT: cutoff value 16.42 mg/dL, sensitivity 80.0%, specificity 70.0%, P=0.042, area 0.7104).

Conclusions

There were divergent laboratory findings reflective of anastomotic leak between patients who underwent NT and those who did not. The CRP level on the third postoperative day had a significant cutoff value for early detection of anastomotic leak after esophagectomy in both NT and non-NT groups.