Hepatocellular carcinoma risk decreases as time accrues following hepatitis C virus eradication

Hepatocellular Carcinoma After HCV Eradication with Direct-Acting Antivirals: A Reappraisal Based on New Parameters to Assess the Persistence of Risk

Approximately 95% of patients with chronic hepatitis C achieve viral eradication through direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. Ensuing clinical benefits include halting liver fibrosis, thereby reducing the need for liver transplantation, and decreasing both liver-related and overall mortality. It is well established that, although ameliorated, the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) persists, particularly among patients with pre-treatment advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. Current guidelines recommend indefinite HCC surveillance in these patients. However, a recent Markov model evaluation shows that HCC surveillance is cost-effective only for patients with cirrhosis but not so for those with F3 fibrosis, a finding which points out the need to better define the risk of HCC in hepatitis C patients after cure and further characterize pre- and post-treatment factors that might affect the incidence of HCC in this setting. We reviewed the literature analyzing this aspect. Here we summarize the main findings: male gender and older age are independent predictors of increased risk of post-cure HCC development. Moreover, non-invasive tests for hepatic fibrosis, namely FIB4, APRI, and liver stiffness, measured before and after treatment and their post-therapy change, contribute to better stratifying the risk of HCC occurrence. Furthermore, low serum albumin, as well as an AFP above 7 ng/mL prior to and after DAA therapy, also constitute independent predictors of HCC development. Considering these findings, we propose to classify patients with HCV viral eradication and advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis into groups of low, medium, or high risk of HCC and to adopt adequate surveillance strategies for each group, including protocols for abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for those at the highest risk.

Current and emerging strategies for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally, with incident cases expected to rise from 905,700 in 2020 to 1.4 million by 2040. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for about 80% of all primary liver cancers. Viral hepatitis and chronic excessive alcohol consumption are major risk factors for HCC, but metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease is also becoming a dominant cause. The increasing numbers of cases of HCC and changes in risk factors highlight the urgent need for updated and targeted prevention strategies. Preventive interventions encompass strategies to decrease the burden of chronic liver diseases and their progression to HCC. These strategies include nutritional interventions and medications that have shown promise in preclinical models. Although prevailing approaches focus on treating chronic liver disease, leveraging a wider range of interventions represents a promising area to safeguard at-risk populations. In this Review, we explore existing evidence for preventive strategies by highlighting established and potential paths to reducing HCC risk effectively and safely, especially in individuals with chronic liver diseases. We categorize the preventive strategies by the mechanism of action, including anti-inflammatory, antihyperglycaemic, lipid-lowering, nutrition and dietary, antiviral, and antifibrotic pathways. For each category, we discuss the efficacy and safety information derived from mechanistic, translational, observational and clinical trial data, pinpointing knowledge gaps and directions for future research.

Persisting challenges in the early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Prognosis in patients with HCC is largely determined by stage at diagnosis, highlighting the importance of effective early detection strategies. HCC surveillance is associated with increased early detection and reduced HCC-related mortality and is currently recommended in patients with cirrhosis or chronic HBV infection.

AREAS COVERED

We performed a targeted literature review to identify limitations of current HCC surveillance practices and strategies for improvement.

EXPERT OPINION

Semi-annual ultrasound continues as the cornerstone modality for HCC surveillance but has limited sensitivity for detecting early-stage HCC, particularly in patients with obesity and non-viral etiologies. Although sensitivity for early-stage HCC can be improved by using ultrasound with alpha fetoprotein, this strategy misses over one-third of HCC at an early stage. Emerging imaging and biomarker-based surveillance strategies currently remain in varying stages of validation and are not yet ready for routine use in practice. The cost-effectiveness of surveillance in patients with non-cirrhotic liver disease related to hepatitis C or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease continues to be debated, although subgroups with advanced fibrosis may warrant surveillance. Finally, the effectiveness of surveillance is diminished by underuse in clinical practice, particularly in racial minority and low-income groups, highlighting a need for interventions to increase utilization.

Prevention of liver cancer in the era of next-generation antivirals and obesity epidemic

Preventive interventions are expected to substantially improve the prognosis of patients with primary liver cancer, predominantly HCC and cholangiocarcinoma. HCC prevention is challenging in the face of the evolving etiological landscape, particularly the sharp increase in obesity-associated metabolic disorders, including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. Next-generation anti-HCV and HBV drugs have substantially reduced, but not eliminated, the risk of HCC and have given way to new challenges in identifying at-risk patients. The recent development of new therapeutic agents and modalities has opened unprecedented opportunities to refine primary, secondary, and tertiary HCC prevention strategies. For primary prevention (before exposure to risk factors), public health policies, such as universal HBV vaccination, have had a substantial prognostic impact. Secondary prevention (after or during active exposure to risk factors) includes regular HCC screening and chemoprevention. Emerging biomarkers and imaging modalities for HCC risk stratification and detection may enable individual risk-based personalized and cost-effective HCC screening. Clinical studies have suggested the potential utility of lipid-lowering, antidiabetic/obesity, and anti-inflammatory agents for secondary prevention, and some of them are being evaluated in prospective clinical trials. Computational and experimental studies have identified potential chemopreventive strategies directed at diverse molecular, cellular, and systemic targets for etiology-specific and/or agnostic interventions. Tertiary prevention (in conjunction with curative-intent therapies for HCC) is an area of active research with the development of new immune-based neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapies. Cholangiocarcinoma prevention may advance with recent efforts to elucidate risk factors. These advances will collectively lead to substantial improvements in liver cancer mortality rates.

Impact of HCV eradication on recurrence pattern and long-term outcomes in patients with HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUND

The benefits of HCV eradication on distinct recurrence patterns and long-term hepatic outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA) remain uncertain. This study aims to assess the impact of HCV eradication on HCC recurrence patterns and long-term hepatic outcomes after RFA and to identify predictors of recurrence in patients achieving sustained virological response (SVR).

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 274 patients receiving RFA for HCV-related HCC, including 73 and 88 patients treated with interferon-based (IFN) and direct-acting antivirals (DAA) therapy, respectively. We analysed factors associated with local tumour progression (LTP), distant recurrence, overall survival, and hepatic decompensation.

RESULTS

SVR was achieved in 49.3% of patients undergoing IFN therapy and 93.2% of patients undergoing DAA therapy. HCV eradication was not associated with LTP but significantly correlated with reduced risk of distant recurrence (by DAA: hazard ratio (HR) = 0.449, p = 0.006), overall survival (by IFN: HR = 0.242, p < 0.001; by DAA: HR = 0.274, p < 0.001) and hepatic decompensation (by IFN: HR = 0.313, p = 0.004; by DAA: HR = 0.281, p < 0.001). The benefits of achieving SVR in terms of overall survival and hepatic decompensation remained significant in subgroups of patients with and without recurrence. Patients with SVR showed a significant decline in FIB-4 score and a higher proportion of ALBI grade improvement. Among SVR patients, the IMbrave050 criteria predicted LTP but not distant recurrence, whereas the FIB-4 score after SVR, rather than the baseline FIB-4, predicted distant recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

HCV eradication was associated with a significant reduction in distant recurrence, mortality and hepatic decompensation following RFA in patients with HCV-related HCC.

Prediction of Clinical Trajectory in HCV-Related ACLD after SVR: Role of Liver Stiffness in a 5-Years Prospective Study

The prediction of liver-related events (LRE) after sustained virological response (SVR) in HCV-advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients is crucial. We aimed to evaluate incidence and risk factors of LRE in HCV-cirrhotic patients after SVR and to assess dynamic changes of liver stiffness in participants without LRE at the end of follow-up. We enrolled 575 consecutive patients with HCV-ACLD treated with DAAs and followed up for 5 years after SVR12. Overall, 98 (17%) patients developed any type of event, and HCC was the most frequent LRE. The incidence rate was 1.6 per 100 person-years (p/y) for both HCC and hepatic decompensation. Baseline LSM ≥ 20 kPa was the only independent predictor of hepatic decompensation, while LSM ≥ 20 kPa and male sex were independent predictors of HCC development. Among the 341 participants without LRE and with paired LSM, any LSM reduction was observed in 314 (92.1%), and half of them showed a decrease of LSM ≥ 20%. Among patients without LRE, 27.3% of participants without ≥20% LSM decrease at 2 years achieved the 5-year goal; in contrast, 31.6% of participants with ≥20% LSM decrease at 2 years lost it at 5 years. These findings provide evidence that baseline LSM is a tool to stratify patients at risk of developing LRE; the dynamic changes of LSM value suggest the need for monitoring this parameter over time.

Hepatocellular carcinoma-the role of the underlying liver disease in clinical practice

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common causes of cancer-related mortality. This particular type of cancer has the distinctive characteristic of mostly happening in individuals with an underlying liver disease. This makes the management of patients more challenging, since physicians must take into consideration two different conditions, the chronic liver disease and the tumor. The underlying liver disease has several implications in clinical practice, because different kinds of chronic liver disease can lead to varying degrees of risk of developing HCC, obstacles in surveillance, and differences in the efficacy of the treatment against HCC. A shift in the prevalence of liver diseases has been evident over the last few years, with viral hepatitis gradually losing the leading position as cause of HCC and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease gaining importance. Therefore, in an era of personalized medicine, it is imperative that physicians are aware of the underlying liver disease of individuals with HCC and its impact in the management of their tumors.

The Role of Hepatitis Viruses as Drivers of Hepatocancerogenesis

Recently, metabolic associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) became the leading cause of chronic liver disease worldwide and one of the most frequent causes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Nonetheless, in this epidemiological trend, viral hepatitis remains the major driver in hepatic carcinogenesis. Globally, hepatitis B virus (HBV) is the leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma, with an overall attributable risk of approximately 40%, followed by hepatitis C virus (HCV), which accounts for 28-30% of cases, with significant geographic variations between the Eastern and Western world. Considering all the etiologies, HCC risk increases proportionally with the progression of liver disease, but the risk is consistently higher in patients with viral triggers. This evidence indicates that both direct (due to the oncogenic properties of the viruses) and indirect (through the mechanisms of chronic inflammation that lead to cirrhosis) mechanisms are involved, alongside the presence of co-factors contributing to liver damage (smoking, alcohol, and metabolic factors) that synergistically enhance the oncogenic process. The aim of this review is to analyze the oncogenic role of hepatitis viruses in the liver, evaluating epidemiological changes and direct and indirect viral mechanisms that lead to liver cancer.

Editorial: How does the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma change over time in patients with a hepatitis C cure?

This article is linked to Vutien et al papers. To view these articles, visit https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17802 and https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17841