1
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Payne AR, Czapanskiy MF, Kilpatrick AM, Robinson PW, Munro CMO, Ong K, Bastidas A, Negrete AO, Theders B, Stillwell B, Coffey D, Schweitzer E, Baugh E, Salazar J, Chau‐Pech K, Rodrigues M, Chavez M, Wright S, Rivas S, Reiter J, Costa DP, Beltran RS. Reproductive success and offspring survival decline for female elephant seals past prime age. J Anim Ecol 2025; 94:423-435. [PMID: 39562521 PMCID: PMC11880645 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.14226] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2023] [Accepted: 11/04/2024] [Indexed: 11/21/2024]
Abstract
Maternal age can influence reproductive success and offspring fitness, but the timing, magnitude and direction of those impacts are not well understood. Evolutionary theory predicts that selection on fertility senescence is stronger than maternal effect senescence, and therefore, the rate of maternal effect senescence will be faster than fertility senescence. We used a 36-year study of northern elephant seals (Mirounga angustirostris) to investigate reproductive senescence. Our dataset included 103,746 sightings of 1203 known-age female northern elephant seals. We hypothesized that fertility (maternal reproductive success), offspring survival and recruitment into the breeding population, and male offspring production would decline with advanced maternal age. Furthermore, we hypothesized that older females would shorten their moulting haul out to allow for more time spent foraging. We found evidence for both fertility and maternal effect senescence, but no evidence for senescence impacting offspring recruitment or sex ratio. Breeding probability declined from 96.4% (95% CI: 94.8%-97.5%) at 11 years old to 89.7% (81.9%-94.3%) at 19 years old, and the probability of offspring survival declined from 30.3% (23.6%-38.0%) at 11 years old to 9.1% (3.2%-22.9%) at 19 years old. The rates of decline for fertility and maternal effect senescence were not different from each other. However, maternal effect senescence had a substantially greater impact on the number of offspring surviving to age 1 compared to fertility senescence. Compared to a hypothetical non-senescent population, maternal effect senescence resulted in 5.3% fewer surviving pups, whereas fertility senescence resulted in only 0.3% fewer pups produced per year. These results are consistent with evolutionary theory predicting weaker selection on maternal effect than fertility senescence. Maternal effect senescence may therefore be more influential on population dynamics than fertility senescence in some systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Allison R. Payne
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Max F. Czapanskiy
- Department of Ocean SciencesUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
- Bren School of Environmental Science and ManagementUniversity of California Santa BarbaraSanta BarbaraCaliforniaUSA
- College of Creative Studies, University of California Santa BarbaraSanta BarbaraCaliforniaUSA
| | - A. Marm Kilpatrick
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Patrick W. Robinson
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Cara M. O. Munro
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Kelli Ong
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Adrien Bastidas
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Alegra O. Negrete
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Brecken Theders
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Bryn Stillwell
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Danissa Coffey
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Elijah Schweitzer
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Elise Baugh
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Jasmine Salazar
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Keenan Chau‐Pech
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Mason Rodrigues
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Mimi Chavez
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Savanna Wright
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Sofia Rivas
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Joanne Reiter
- Institute of Marine Sciences, Long Marine LaboratoryUniversity of California Santa CruzSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
| | - Daniel P. Costa
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
- College of Creative Studies, University of California Santa BarbaraSanta BarbaraCaliforniaUSA
| | - Roxanne S. Beltran
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of CaliforniaSanta CruzCaliforniaUSA
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2
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Beltran RS, Payne AR, Kilpatrick AM, Hale CM, Reed M, Hazen EL, Bograd SJ, Jouma'a J, Robinson PW, Houle E, Matern W, Sabah A, Lewis K, Sebandal S, Coughlin A, Heredia NV, Penny F, Dalrymple SR, Penny H, Sherrier M, Peterson B, Reiter J, Le Boeuf BJ, Costa DP. Elephant seals as ecosystem sentinels for the northeast Pacific Ocean twilight zone. Science 2025; 387:764-769. [PMID: 39946458 DOI: 10.1126/science.adp2244] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2024] [Revised: 06/19/2024] [Accepted: 11/08/2024] [Indexed: 04/23/2025]
Abstract
The open ocean twilight zone holds most of the global fish biomass but is poorly understood owing to difficulties of measuring subsurface ecosystem processes at scale. We demonstrate that a wide-ranging carnivore-the northern elephant seal-can serve as an ecosystem sentinel for the twilight zone. We link ocean basin-scale foraging success with oceanographic indices to estimate twilight zone fish abundance five decades into the past, and into the future. We discovered that a small variation in maternal foraging success amplified into larger changes in offspring body mass and enormous variation in first-year survival and recruitment. Worsening oceanographic conditions could shift predator population trajectories from current growth to sharp declines. As ocean integrators, wide-ranging predators could reveal impacts of future anthropogenic change on open ocean ecosystems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roxanne S Beltran
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Allison R Payne
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - A Marm Kilpatrick
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Conner M Hale
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Madison Reed
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Elliott L Hazen
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
- Ecosystem Science Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service, Monterey, CA, USA
| | - Steven J Bograd
- Ecosystem Science Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service, Monterey, CA, USA
| | - Joffrey Jouma'a
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Patrick W Robinson
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Emma Houle
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Wade Matern
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Alea Sabah
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Kathryn Lewis
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Samantha Sebandal
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Allison Coughlin
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Natalia Valdes Heredia
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Francesca Penny
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Sophie Rose Dalrymple
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Heather Penny
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Meghan Sherrier
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Ben Peterson
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Joanne Reiter
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Burney J Le Boeuf
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
| | - Daniel P Costa
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
- Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA
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3
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Beltran RS, Kilpatrick AM, Picardi S, Abrahms B, Barrile GM, Oestreich WK, Smith JA, Czapanskiy MF, Favilla AB, Reisinger RR, Kendall-Bar JM, Payne AR, Savoca MS, Palance DG, Andrzejaczek S, Shen DM, Adachi T, Costa DP, Storm NA, Hale CM, Robinson PW. Maximizing biological insights from instruments attached to animals. Trends Ecol Evol 2025; 40:37-46. [PMID: 39472251 DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2024.09.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2024] [Revised: 09/18/2024] [Accepted: 09/27/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2025]
Abstract
Instruments attached to animals ('biologgers') have facilitated extensive discoveries about the patterns, causes, and consequences of animal behavior. Here, we present examples of how biologging can deepen our fundamental understanding of ecosystems and our applied understanding of global change impacts by enabling tests of ecological theory. Applying the iterative process of science to biologging has enabled a diverse set of insights, including social and experiential learning in long-distance migrants, state-dependent risk aversion in foraging predators, and resource abundance driving movement across taxa. Now, biologging is poised to tackle questions and refine ecological theories at increasing levels of complexity by integrating measurements from numerous individuals, merging datasets from multiple species and their environments, and spanning disciplines, including physiology, behavior and demography.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roxanne S Beltran
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA.
| | - A Marm Kilpatrick
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Simona Picardi
- Department of Fish and Wildlife Sciences, University of Idaho, 875 Perimeter Drive MS 1136, Moscow, ID 83844, USA
| | - Briana Abrahms
- Center for Ecosystem Sentinels, Department of Biology, University of Washington, 1410 NE Campus Pkwy, Seattle, WA 98195, USA
| | - Gabriel M Barrile
- Department of Zoology and Physiology, University of Wyoming, 1000 E University Ave, Laramie, WY 82071, USA
| | - William K Oestreich
- Monterey Bay Aquarium Research Institute, 7700 Sandholdt Rd, Moss Landing, CA 95039, USA
| | - Justine A Smith
- Department of Wildlife, Fish, and Conservation Biology, University of California Davis, 1 Shields Ave, Davis, CA 95616, USA
| | - Max F Czapanskiy
- Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, 115 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Arina B Favilla
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA; National Institute of Polar Research, 10-3 Midori-cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo 190-8518, Japan
| | - Ryan R Reisinger
- School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, European Way, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UK
| | - Jessica M Kendall-Bar
- Center for Marine Biotechnology and Biomedicine, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Allison R Payne
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Matthew S Savoca
- Hopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, 120 Ocean View Blvd, Pacific Grove, CA 93950, USA
| | - Danial G Palance
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Samantha Andrzejaczek
- Hopkins Marine Station, Stanford University, 120 Ocean View Blvd, Pacific Grove, CA 93950, USA
| | - Daphne M Shen
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Taiki Adachi
- National Institute of Polar Research, 10-3 Midori-cho, Tachikawa, Tokyo 190-8518, Japan
| | - Daniel P Costa
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA; Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, 115 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Natalie A Storm
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Conner M Hale
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Patrick W Robinson
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
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4
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Yanco SW, Rutz C, Abrahms B, Cooper NW, Marra PP, Mueller T, Weeks BC, Wikelski M, Oliver RY. Tracking individual animals can reveal the mechanisms of species loss. Trends Ecol Evol 2025; 40:47-56. [PMID: 39505577 DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2024.09.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2024] [Revised: 09/18/2024] [Accepted: 09/20/2024] [Indexed: 11/08/2024]
Abstract
As biodiversity loss continues, targeted conservation interventions are increasingly necessary. Stemming species loss requires mechanistic understanding of the processes governing population dynamics. However, this information is unavailable for most animals because it requires data that are difficult to collect using traditional methods. Advances in animal tracking technology have generated an avalanche of high-resolution observations for a growing list of species around the globe. To date, most research using these data has focused on questions about animal behavior, with less emphasis on population processes. Here, we argue that tracking data are uniquely poised to bring powerful new insights to the urgent, global problem of halting species extinctions by revealing when, where, how, and why populations are changing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Scott W Yanco
- School for Environment and Sustainability, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
| | - Christian Rutz
- Centre for Biological Diversity, School of Biology, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK
| | - Briana Abrahms
- Center for Ecosystem Sentinels, Department of Biology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Nathan W Cooper
- Migratory Bird Center, Smithsonian's National Zoo and Conservation Biology Institute, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Peter P Marra
- The Earth Commons Institute; Department of Biology, McCourt School of Public Policy, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Thomas Mueller
- Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Senckenberganlage 25, Frankfurt am Main, Germany; Department of Biological Sciences, Goethe University Frankfurt am Main, Frankfurt am Main, Germany
| | - Brian C Weeks
- School for Environment and Sustainability, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
| | - Martin Wikelski
- Department of Migration, Max Planck Institute of Animal Behavior, Radolfzell, Germany; Department of Biology, University of Konstanz, Konstanz, Germany
| | - Ruth Y Oliver
- Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA
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5
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Josefson CC, Fitzwater BM, Beltran RS, Costa DP, Fornara JH, Garland T, Harris BN, Hinde K, Hood WR, Hunt E, Kenagy GJ, Liebl AL, Litmer AR, Lopes PC, Misra D, Meuti M, Place NJ, Powers LE, Saltzman W, Orr TJ. Balancing Act: An Interdisciplinary Exploration of Trade-offs in Reproducing Females. Integr Comp Biol 2024; 64:1734-1756. [PMID: 38982258 DOI: 10.1093/icb/icae092] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2024] [Revised: 06/04/2024] [Accepted: 06/04/2024] [Indexed: 07/11/2024] Open
Abstract
Trade-offs resulting from the high demand of offspring production are a central focus of many subdisciplines within the field of biology. Yet, despite the historical and current interest on this topic, large gaps in our understanding of whole-organism trade-offs that occur in reproducing individuals remain, particularly as it relates to the nuances associated with female reproduction. This volume of Integrative and Comparative Biology (ICB) contains a series of papers that focus on reviewing trade-offs from the female-centered perspective of biology (i.e., a perspective that places female reproductive biology at the center of the topic being investigated or discussed). These papers represent some of the work showcased during our symposium held at the 2024 meeting of the Society for Integrative and Comparative Biology (SICB) in Seattle, Washington. In this roundtable discussion, we use a question-and-answer format to capture the diverse perspectives and voices involved in our symposium. We hope that the dialogue featured in this discussion will be used to motivate researchers interested in understanding trade-offs in reproducing females and provide guidance on future research endeavors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chloe C Josefson
- Department of Biological and Biomedical Sciences, North Carolina Central University, Durham, NC 27707, USA
| | - Brooke M Fitzwater
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487, USA
| | - Roxanne S Beltran
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Daniel P Costa
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | | | - Theodore Garland
- Department of Evolution, Ecology, and Organismal Biology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA 92521, USA
| | - Breanna N Harris
- Department of Biological Sciences, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USA
| | - Katie Hinde
- Center for Evolution and Medicine, School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
| | - Wendy R Hood
- Department of Biological Sciences, Auburn University, Auburn, AL 36849, USA
| | - Eloise Hunt
- Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum, London SW7 5BD, UK
| | - G J Kenagy
- University of Washington, Department of Biology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA
| | - Andrea L Liebl
- Department of Biology, University of South Dakota, Vermillion, SD 57069, USA
| | - Allison R Litmer
- Department of Biological Sciences, Ohio Wesleyan University, Delaware, OH 43015, USA
| | - Patricia C Lopes
- Schmid College of Science and Technology, Chapman University, Orange, CA 92866, USA
| | - Deblina Misra
- Department of Biology, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM 88003, USA
| | - Megan Meuti
- Department of Entomology, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA
| | - Ned J Place
- Population Medicine & Diagnostic Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA
| | - Lisa E Powers
- Department of Biology, Bucknell University, Lewisburg, PA 17837, USA
| | - Wendy Saltzman
- Department of Evolution, Ecology, and Organismal Biology, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA 92521, USA
| | - Teri J Orr
- Department of Biology, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM 88003, USA
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6
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Costa DP, Holser RR, Keates TR, Adachi T, Beltran RS, Champagne CD, Crocker DE, Favilla AB, Fowler MA, Gallo-Reynoso JP, Goetsch C, Hassrick JL, Hückstädt LA, Kendall-Bar JM, Kienle SS, Kuhn CE, Maresh JL, Maxwell SM, McDonald BI, McHuron EA, Morris PA, Naito Y, Pallin LJ, Peterson SH, Robinson PW, Simmons SE, Takahashi A, Teuschel NM, Tift MS, Tremblay Y, Villegas-Amtmann S, Yoda K. Two decades of three-dimensional movement data from adult female northern elephant seals. Sci Data 2024; 11:1357. [PMID: 39695180 PMCID: PMC11655967 DOI: 10.1038/s41597-024-04084-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/02/2024] [Accepted: 11/05/2024] [Indexed: 12/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Northern elephant seals (Mirounga angustirostris) have been integral to the development and progress of biologging technology and movement data analysis, which continue to improve our understanding of this and other species. Adult female elephant seals at Año Nuevo Reserve and other colonies along the west coast of North America were tracked annually from 2004 to 2020, resulting in a total of 653 instrument deployments. This paper outlines the compilation and curation process of these high-resolution diving and location data, now accessible in two Dryad repositories. The code used for data processing alongside the corresponding workflow is available through GitHub and Zenodo. This data set represents 3,844,927 dives and 596,815 locations collected from 475 individual seals with 178 repeat samplings over 17 years. We anticipate that these data will stimulate further analysis and investigation into elephant seal biology and aid in developing new analytical approaches for large marine predators.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel P Costa
- Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA.
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA.
| | - Rachel R Holser
- Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA.
| | - Theresa R Keates
- Department of Ocean Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Taiki Adachi
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
- National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Roxanne S Beltran
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Cory D Champagne
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Daniel E Crocker
- Department of Biology, Sonoma State University, Rohnert Park, California, 94928, USA
| | - Arina B Favilla
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Melinda A Fowler
- Biology Department, Northeastern University, Oakland, CA, 94610, USA
| | | | - Chandra Goetsch
- CSS, Inc., Fairfax, Virginia, 22031, USA
- National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, 20910, USA
| | - Jason L Hassrick
- ICF, Jones and Stokes, Inc., 980 9th Street, Suite 1200, Sacramento, CA, 95814, USA
| | - Luis A Hückstädt
- Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
- Centre for Ecology and Conservation, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn, TR10 9FE, UK
| | - Jessica M Kendall-Bar
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA
| | | | - Carey E Kuhn
- Marine Mammal Laboratory, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Jennifer L Maresh
- Department of Biology, West Chester University, 730 S Church St, West Chester, PA, 19383, USA
| | - Sara M Maxwell
- School of Interdisciplinary Arts and Sciences, University of Washington, Bothell Campus, Bothell, WA, USA
| | - Birgitte I McDonald
- Moss Landing Marine Labs, San Jose State University, Moss Landing, California, 95039, USA
| | - Elizabeth A McHuron
- Marine Mammal Laboratory, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA, USA
- Cooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean, and Ecosystem Studies, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, 98105, USA
| | - Patricia A Morris
- UC Año Nuevo Natural Reserve, University of California, Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Yasuhiko Naito
- National Institute of Polar Research, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Logan J Pallin
- Department of Ocean Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Sarah H Peterson
- Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Patrick W Robinson
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Samantha E Simmons
- SMRU Consulting, Scottish Oceans Institute, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK
| | | | - Nicole M Teuschel
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Michael S Tift
- Department of Biology and Marine Biology, University of North Carolina Wilmington, Wilmington, NC, 28403, USA
| | - Yann Tremblay
- Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement, Marseille, France
| | - Stella Villegas-Amtmann
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, California, 95064, USA
| | - Ken Yoda
- Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Furo-cho, Chikusa-ku, Nagoya, 464-8601, Japan
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7
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Beltran RS, Tarwater CE. Overcoming the pitfalls of categorizing continuous variables in ecology, evolution and behaviour. Proc Biol Sci 2024; 291:20241640. [PMID: 39353552 PMCID: PMC11444780 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2024.1640] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2023] [Revised: 07/31/2024] [Accepted: 08/01/2024] [Indexed: 10/04/2024] Open
Abstract
Many variables in biological research-from body size to life-history timing to environmental characteristics-are measured continuously (e.g. body mass in kilograms) but analysed as categories (e.g. large versus small), which can lower statistical power and change interpretation. We conducted a mini-review of 72 recent publications in six popular ecology, evolution and behaviour journals to quantify the prevalence of categorization. We then summarized commonly categorized metrics and simulated a dataset to demonstrate the drawbacks of categorization using common variables and realistic examples. We show that categorizing continuous variables is common (31% of publications reviewed). We also underscore that predictor variables can and should be collected and analysed continuously. Finally, we provide recommendations on how to keep variables continuous throughout the entire scientific process. Together, these pieces comprise an actionable guide to increasing statistical power and facilitating large synthesis studies by simply leaving continuous variables alone. Overcoming the pitfalls of categorizing continuous variables will allow ecologists, ethologists and evolutionary biologists to continue making trustworthy conclusions about natural processes, along with predictions about their responses to climate change and other environmental contexts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roxanne S. Beltran
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, 130 McAllister Way, Santa Cruz, CA95060, USA
| | - Corey E. Tarwater
- Department of Zoology and Physiology, University of Wyoming, 1000 East University Avenue, Laramie, WY82071, USA
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8
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Beltran RS, Lozano RR, Morris PA, Robinson PW, Holser RR, Keates TR, Favilla AB, Kilpatrick AM, Costa DP. Individual variation in life-history timing: synchronous presence, asynchronous events and phenological compensation in a wild mammal. Proc Biol Sci 2024; 291:20232335. [PMID: 38628129 PMCID: PMC11021928 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2023.2335] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2023] [Accepted: 03/14/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024] Open
Abstract
Many animals and plants have species-typical annual cycles, but individuals vary in their timing of life-history events. Individual variation in fur replacement (moult) timing is poorly understood in mammals due to the challenge of repeated observations and longitudinal sampling. We examined factors that influence variation in moult duration and timing among elephant seals (Mirounga angustirostris). We quantified the onset and progression of fur loss in 1178 individuals. We found that an exceptionally rapid visible moult (7 days, the shortest of any mammals or birds), and a wide range of moult start dates (spanning 6-10× the event duration) facilitated high asynchrony across individuals (only 20% of individuals in the population moulting at the same time). Some of the variation was due to reproductive state, as reproductively mature females that skipped a breeding season moulted a week earlier than reproductive females. Moreover, individual variation in timing and duration within age-sex categories far outweighed (76-80%) variation among age-sex categories. Individuals arriving at the end of the moult season spent 50% less time on the beach, which allowed them to catch up in their annual cycles and reduce population-level variance during breeding. These findings underscore the importance of individual variation in annual cycles.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roxanne S. Beltran
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Raquel R. Lozano
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Patricia A. Morris
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Patrick W. Robinson
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Rachel R. Holser
- Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Theresa R. Keates
- Department of Ocean Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Arina B. Favilla
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - A. Marm Kilpatrick
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
| | - Daniel P. Costa
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
- Institute of Marine Sciences, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA
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Britnell JA, Kerley GIH, Antwis R, Shultz S. A grazer's niche edge is associated with increasing diet diversity and poor population performance. Ecol Lett 2024; 27:e14357. [PMID: 38193626 DOI: 10.1111/ele.14357] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2023] [Revised: 11/09/2023] [Accepted: 12/05/2023] [Indexed: 01/10/2024]
Abstract
The core-periphery hypothesis predicts niche cores should be associated with greater survivorship, reproductive output and population performance rates than marginal habitats at niche edges. However, there is very little empirical evidence of whether niche centrality influences population trends in animals. Using the Cape mountain zebra (Equus zebra zebra) as a model system, we evaluated whether niche centrality is associated with population trends, resource availability and diet across a core-periphery gradient. Population growth rates and density progressively declined towards niche peripheries. Niche peripheries were resource-poor and Cape mountain zebra consumed more phylogenetically diverse diets dominated by non-grass families. In core habitats they consumed grass-rich diets and female reproductive success was higher. This combination of spatial niche modelling and functional ecology provides a novel evaluation of how bottom-up resource limitation can shape species distributions, population resilience and range change and can guide conservation management.
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Affiliation(s)
- J A Britnell
- School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- North of England Zoological Society (Chester Zoo), Upton-by-Chester, UK
| | - G I H Kerley
- Centre for African Conservation Ecology, Nelson Mandela University, Gqeberha, South Africa
| | | | - S Shultz
- School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
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