FRAX and mandibular sparse trabeculation as fracture predictors: a longitudinal study from 1980 to 2002

Mandibular trabecular bone pattern before and two years after medical or surgical obesity treatment in young Swedish women

OBJECTIVE

To investigate if changes in body mass index (BMI) result in changes of the mandibular trabecular bone structure.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Females (18-35 years at baseline, mean BMI 42,3) were followed from before (n = 117) until two years (n = 66) after obesity treatment (medical or surgical). The mandibular bone trabeculation was classified as sparse, dense, or mixed on intraoral radiographs (Lindh's index). A digitized method (Jaw-X) assessed the size and intensities of intertrabecular spaces. The main predictor variable was BMI reduction over the period.

RESULTS

Before treatment, the group with a high BMI (≥ 45) had a significantly denser bone than those with a lower BMI (p = 0.035). Two years after treatment, fewer were classified with sparse bone (Lindh's index p = 0.001, Jaw-X p = 0.009). The physical activity increased with fewer having a sedentary lifestyle (40% before, 17% after treatment). The association between BMI reduction and the difference in Jaw-X was significant in regression models and not influenced by obesity treatment method but by baseline factors as age, trabecular bone pattern and level of ionized calcium.

CONCLUSIONS

Before obesity treatment, high BMI was associated with dense bone trabeculation in the jaw. The group with sparse bone had decreased at follow-up. The association between BMI reduction and bone trabeculation was influenced by individual and medical factors.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Bone trabeculation in the mandible was maintained during the first years after obesity treatment but new health habits should be encouraged, and patients need to be monitored and followed up further.

Does mandibular bone structure predict subsequent height loss? A longitudinal cohort study of women in Gothenburg, Sweden

BACKGROUND

Several risk factors for loss of height with increasing age have been identified.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate if mandibular bone structure predicts future height loss in middle-aged and elderly Swedish women.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study with longitudinally measured heights, radiographical assessments of the cortical bone using Klemetti's Index (normal, moderate or severely eroded cortex) and classification of the trabecular bone using an index proposed by Lindh et al (sparse, mixed or dense trabeculation). No intervention was performed.

SETTING

Gothenburg, Sweden.

PARTICIPANTS

A population-based sample of 937 Swedish women born in 1914, 1922 and 1930 was recruited. At the baseline examination, the ages were 38, 46 and 54 years. All had undergone a dental examination with panoramic radiographs of the mandible, and a general examination including height measurements on at least two occasions.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Height loss was calculated over three periods 12-13 years (1968-1980, 1980-1992, 1992-2005).

MAIN RESULTS

Mean annual height loss measures were 0.075 cm/year, 0.08 cm/year and 0.18 cm/year over the three observation intervals, corresponding to absolute decreases of 0.9 cm, 1.0 cm and 2.4 cm. Cortical erosion in 1968, 1980 and 1992 significantly predicted height loss 12 years later. Sparse trabeculation in 1968, 1980 and 1992 also predicted significant shrinkage over 12 or 13 years. Multivariable regression analyses adjusting for baseline covariates such as height, birth year, physical activity, smoking, body mass index and education yielded consistent findings except for cortical erosion 1968-1980.

CONCLUSION

Mandibular bone structure characteristics such as severe cortical erosion and sparse trabeculation may serve as early risk factors for height loss. Since most individuals visit their dentist at least every 2 years and radiographs are taken, a collaboration between dentists and physicians may open opportunities for predicting future risk of height loss.

Post hip fracture orthogeriatric care-a Canadian position paper addressing challenges in care and strategies to meet quality indicators

INTRODUCTION

Osteoporosis is a major disease state associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and health care costs. Less than half of the individuals sustaining a low energy hip fracture are diagnosed and treated for the underlying osteoporosis.

OBJECTIVE

A multidisciplinary Canadian hip fracture working group has developed practical recommendations to meet Canadian quality indicators in post hip fracture care.

METHODS

A comprehensive narrative review was conducted to identify and synthesize key articles on post hip fracture orthogeriatric care for each of the individual sections and develop recommendations. These recommendations are based on the best evidence available today.

CONCLUSION

Recommendations are anticipated to reduce recurrent fractures, improve mobility and healthcare outcomes post hip fracture, and reduce healthcare costs. Key messages to enhance postoperative care are also provided.

Trabecular bone microstructure analysis on data from a novel twin robotic X-ray device

BACKGROUND

Bone strength is related to both mineral density (BMD) and the bone microstructure. However, only the assessment of BMD is available in clinical routine care today.

PURPOSE

To analyze and study the correlation of trabecular bone microstructure from the imaging data of a prototype Multitom Rax system, using micro-computed tomography (CT) data as the reference method (Skyscan 1176).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Imaging data from 14 bone samples from the human radius were analyzed regarding six bone structure parameters, i.e. trabecular nodes, separation, spacing, and thickness as well as bone volume (BV/TV) and structural model index (SMI).

RESULTS

All six structure parameters showed strong correlations to micro-CT with Spearman correlation coefficients in the range of 0.83-0.93. BV/TV and SMI had a correlation >0.90. Two of the parameters, namely, separation and number, had mean values in the same range as micro-CT. The other four were either over- or underestimated.

CONCLUSION

The strong correlation between micro-CT and the clinical imaging system, indicates the possibility for analyzing bone microstructure with potential to add value in fracture assessment using the studied device in a clinical workflow.

Diagnostic efficacy of radiomorphometric indices for predicting osteoporosis in a Norwegian population in the Tromsø Study: Tromsø7

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the diagnostic efficacy of the radiomorphometric indices of mandibular cortical width (MCW) and mandibular cortical index (MCI) of cortical erosion for osteoporosis screening in adults (≥40 years) and older adults (≥65 years) to determine whether adding a fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) would improve efficacy.

STUDY DESIGN

One observer measured MCW and assessed MCI on dental panoramic radiographs acquired for patients in the Tromsø study. These indices, alone and with FRAX scores, were evaluated for efficacy in predicting osteoporosis, which was diagnosed by bone density measurement at the femoral necks with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry.

RESULTS

MCW ≤3 mm and MCI indicating heavily eroded cortices (C3) had accuracies of 68.8% and 83.6%, respectively, in identifying osteoporosis. In females >65 years, MCW ≤3 mm and C3 produced higher sensitivities but lower specificities, with slightly lower accuracies (61.4% and 79.8%, respectively) compared with all females. The addition of FRAX scores >15% improved the accuracy of MCW ≤3 mm (81.7%) and C3 (87.9%), resulting in high specificity (86.6% and 95.4%). Combining MCW ≤3 mm or C3 with FRAX >15% increased the probabilities of detecting osteoporosis by increasing positive likelihood ratios.

CONCLUSIONS

MCW ≤3 mm or MCI C3, when combined with FRAX >15%, showed superior diagnostic efficacy, with high specificity in detecting females without osteoporosis.

Prediction Models for Osteoporotic Fractures Risk: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal

Osteoporotic fractures (OF) are a global public health problem currently. Many risk prediction models for OF have been developed, but their performance and methodological quality are unclear. We conducted this systematic review to summarize and critically appraise the OF risk prediction models. Three databases were searched until April 2021. Studies developing or validating multivariable models for OF risk prediction were considered eligible. Used the prediction model risk of bias assessment tool to appraise the risk of bias and applicability of included models. All results were narratively summarized and described. A total of 68 studies describing 70 newly developed prediction models and 138 external validations were included. Most models were explicitly developed (n=31, 44%) and validated (n=76, 55%) only for female. Only 22 developed models (31%) were externally validated. The most validated tool was Fracture Risk Assessment Tool. Overall, only a few models showed outstanding (n=3, 1%) or excellent (n=32, 15%) prediction discrimination. Calibration of developed models (n=25, 36%) or external validation models (n=33, 24%) were rarely assessed. No model was rated as low risk of bias, mostly because of an insufficient number of cases and inappropriate assessment of calibration. There are a certain number of OF risk prediction models. However, few models have been thoroughly internally validated or externally validated (with calibration being unassessed for most of the models), and all models showed methodological shortcomings. Instead of developing completely new models, future research is suggested to validate, improve, and analyze the impact of existing models.

The outcome of an automated assessment of trabecular pattern in intraoral radiographs as a fracture risk predictor

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to investigate if automated analyses of the trabecular pattern in intraoral radiographs independently contribute to fracture risk assessment when other risk factors incorporated in the Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) are taken into account. A secondary aim is to explore the correlation between the automated trabecular pattern assessment in intraoral radiographs and Trabecular Bone Score (TBS).

METHODS

A total of 567 intraoral radiographs from older females participating in a large population-based study (SUPERB) based in Gothenburg, Sweden, were selected to analyse trabecular pattern using semi-automated and fully automated software. Associations between trabecular pattern analysis and incident fractures were studied using Cox proportional hazard model, unadjusted and adjusted for FRAX risk factors (previous fracture, family history of hip fracture, smoking, corticosteroids, rheumatoid arthritis, without and with bone mineral density (BMD) of the femoral neck). In addition, the correlation between trabecular pattern analysis and TBS of the lumbar spine was investigated using Pearson correlation analysis.

RESULTS

Neither the unadjusted nor the adjusted trabecular pattern analysis in intraoral radiographs was significantly associated with any fracture or major osteoporotic fracture (MOF). A weak correlation was found between semi-automated trabecular pattern analysis and TBS. No correlation was found between the fully automated trabecular pattern analysis and TBS.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study shows that semi-automated and fully automated digital analyses of the trabecular pattern in intraoral radiographs do not contribute to fracture risk prediction. Furthermore, the study shows a weak correlation between semi-automated trabecular pattern analysis and TBS.

Trabecular bone patterns as a fracture risk predictor: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the assessment of trabecular bone patterns in dental radiographs, for fracture risk prediction, compared with the current diagnostic methods.

METHODS

The PRISMA guidelines were followed. According to predefined inclusion criteria (PICO), literature searches were focussed on published studies with analyses of trabecular bone patterns on intraoral and/or in panoramic radiographs, compared with Dual X-ray Absorptiometry (DXA) and/or Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX), with the outcomes; fracture and/or sensitivity and specificity for osteoporosis prediction. The included studies were quality-assessed using the QUADAS-2 tool and the certainties of evidence was assessed using the GRADE approach.

RESULTS

The literature searches identified 2913 articles, whereas three were found to meet the inclusion criteria. Two longitudinal cohort studies evaluated the use of trabecular bone patterns to predict bone fractures. In one of the studies, the relative risk of fracture was significantly higher for women with sparse bone pattern, identified by visual assessment of dental radiographs, and in the other study by digital software assessment. Visual assessment in the second study did not show significant results. The cross-sectional study of digital analyses of trabecular bone patterns in relation to osteoporosis reported a sensitivity of 0.70 and a specificity of 0.69.

CONCLUSION

Based on low certainty of evidence, trabecular bone evaluation on dental radiographs may predict fractures in adults without a prior diagnosis of osteoporosis, and based on very low certainty of evidence, it is uncertain whether digital image analyses of trabecular bone can predict osteoporosis.

Mandibular cortical bone structure as risk indicator in fractured and non-fractured 80-year-old men and women

Objective

To investigate the association between mandibular cortex parameters and fracture in a group of 286 men and women, 79–80 years of age.

Study design

In a cross-sectional study, the mandibular cortex was evaluated with Klemetti’s index for cortical erosion. The cortical thickness was measured with a ruler adjusting for the magnification factor. The odds ratio (OR) for fracture when having a severely eroded cortex or a cortex thickness < 3 mm was calculated.

Results

A normal cortex was found in 65% of men, whereas only 7% had a severely eroded cortex. The OR for severely eroded cortex  as fracture risk predictor was significant (2.32; 95% CI 1.3–4.2), also when the female group was evaluated separately. A significant difference was found between the mean thickness for men (3.96 mm) and women (2.92 mm), respectively. The OR for cortical thickness < 3 mm was significant (2.00; 95% CI 1.1–3.6) in the total group, but not when men and women were evaluated separately.

Conclusions

Among old women, the cortical parameters were significantly associated with prevalent fracture. In old men, other circumstances may be more important.

Two methods of evaluating mandibular trabecular pattern in intraoral radiographs and the association to fragility fractures during a 47-year follow up

In this longitudinal cohort study, we explored the association of fragility fractures to sparse trabecular bone pattern in intraoral radiographs using two methods, a visual and a semi-automated. Our aim was to study both sexes and to include younger age-groups, during a follow-up time of 47 years. The cohort consisted of 837 men and women aged 18-65 years, with intraoral radiographs from 1970-1971. The trabecular pattern was assessed in the mandibular premolar region with a visual and a semi-automated method. Data on fragility fractures were acquired from the Swedish National Patient Register for 47 years of follow-up time. Sparse trabecular pattern was found in 2.2% of the cohort using the visual method, and 18% were deemed at 'risk of osteoporosis' using the semi-automated method. A total of 132 individuals suffered at least one fragility fracture during the follow-up period. We found no significant association between fractures and sparse trabecular pattern using either method. This study shows that visual assessment, as a predictor of future fractures, may not be a suitable method for individuals of all ages and sexes. As for the semi-automated method, there is still very limited evidence for its fracture predictive ability.

Effectiveness of Prophylactic Preoperative Antibiotics in Mandible Fracture Repair: A National Database Study

OBJECTIVE

This is the first database study to assess the effectiveness of prophylactic preoperative antibiotics (PPAs) in mandible fracture repair.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

SETTING

Database study using US inpatient and outpatient insurance claims submitted from July 2006 to March 2015.

METHODS

The IBM MarketScan Commercial Database was queried for adults aged 18 to 64 years who had undergone first-time mandible fracture repair according to Current Procedural Terminology codes for open and closed repair. Primary outcomes included surgical revision, local infection, and osteomyelitis. Rates were compared between cohorts based on whether or not patients had filled antibiotic prescriptions during the preoperative period alone. The effects of drug abuse and type of mandible repair (open vs closed) were explored. Multivariate Poisson regression models were used to calculate adjusted relative risk estimates, and 95% CIs were used to determine statistically significant differences.

RESULTS

A total of 2676 patients were included, with 847 (31.7%) filling PPAs and 1829 (68.3%) filling no antibiotics. Rates were 38.9% for revision, 5.8% for local infection, and 2.1% for osteomyelitis. After multivariate analysis, exposure to PPAs was not associated with surgical revision (adjusted relative risk, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.94-1.15), local infection (1.16; 0.82-1.64), or osteomyelitis (1.21; 0.68-2.14). Patients were more likely to fill PPAs if they underwent open repair (35.3%) versus closed (26.6%) (proportion difference, 8.7%; 95% CI, 5.2%-12.2%), but exposure to antibiotics did not predict outcomes on subgroup analysis.

CONCLUSION

PPAs do not improve mandible repair outcomes, regardless of repair type.

Repercussions of osteoporosis on the maxillofacial complex: a critical overview

INTRODUCTION

We present here a literature review focusing on the repercussions of osteoporosis on the oral and maxillofacial complex. Osteoporosis is a silent metabolic disorder characterized by reduced bone mineral density (BMD), which can lead to bone fractures, particularly affecting elderly women. The prevalence of this disease has increased significantly worldwide, and since it accelerates bone resorption also in the jaw bones, some attention has been paid to possible oral and maxillofacial manifestations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The databases PubMed and Google Scholar were searched for reports of oral and maxillofacial changes related to osteoporosis.

RESULTS

Several parameters evaluating bone changes in panoramic radiography have been proposed to estimate osteoporosis-related BMD loss, but they tend to warn about the possibility of osteoporosis, rather than being diagnostic criteria. Meanwhile, it seems that osteoporosis-related BMD loss could delay alveolar bone healing and potentiate bone loss in periodontal disease.

CONCLUSION

Even though orofacial bones are not compromised by osteoporosis as much as the axial/appendicular skeleton, a regular dental follow-up of osteoporotic patients is advised, especially in the case of periodontal disease and maxillofacial surgery. Further controlled longitudinal studies considering the site-specificity of osteogenesis would be helpful regarding this issue.

Clinical guidelines for the application of panoramic radiographs in screening for osteoporosis

Osteoporotic fractures are associated with an increased risk of subsequent fractures, a higher rate of mortality, and incremental medical costs. Incidental findings, which include some measurements related to the mandibular inferior cortex and the alveolar trabecular bone pattern of the mandible determined on panoramic radiographs, are considered to be a useful tool for identifying asymptomatic individuals at risk of having osteoporosis and/or fragility fractures. We undertook a worldwide literature survey and present the following clinical recommendations. Postmenopausal female dental patients with a mandibular inferior cortical width of less than 3 mm on panoramic radiographs may be at risk of having low skeletal bone mineral density (BMD) or osteoporosis, but not fragility fractures. In addition, those with a severely eroded mandibular inferior cortex may have an increased risk of having low skeletal BMD, osteoporosis, and fragility fractures. The alveolar trabecular bone pattern of the mandible might be useful for identifying female dental patients at risk of having fragility fractures, although further investigation is necessary to confirm this possibility. These incidental findings on panoramic radiographs, when used for identifying asymptomatic postmenopausal female patients at risk of having osteoporosis in general dental practice, may be helpful in reducing the incidence of first fractures, with a consequent reduction in the secondary fractures, medical costs, and mortality associated with osteoporotic fragility fractures, without incurring any additional cost.

A comparative study of trabecular bone micro-structural measurements using different CT modalities

Osteoporosis, characterized by reduced bone mineral density and micro-architectural degeneration, significantly enhances fracture-risk. There are several viable methods for trabecular bone micro-imaging, which widely vary in terms of technology, reconstruction principle, spatial resolution, and acquisition time. We have performed an excised cadaveric bone specimen study to evaluate different computed tomography (CT)-imaging modalities for trabecular bone micro-structural analysis. Excised cadaveric bone specimens from the distal radius were scanned using micro-CT and fourin vivoCT imaging modalities: high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT), dental cone beam CT (CBCT), whole-body multi-row detector CT (MDCT), and extremity CBCT. A new algorithm was developed to optimize soft thresholding parameters for individualin vivoCT modalities for computing quantitative bone volume fraction maps. Finally, agreement of trabecular bone micro-structural measures, derived from differentin vivoCT imaging, with reference measures from micro-CT imaging was examined. Observed values of most trabecular measures, including trabecular bone volume, network area, transverse and plate-rod micro-structure, thickness, and spacing, forin vivoCT modalities were higher than their micro-CT-based reference values. In general, HR-pQCT-based trabecular bone measures were closer to their reference values as compared to otherin vivoCT modalities. Despite large differences in observed values of measures among modalities, high linear correlation (rε [0.94 0.99]) was found between micro-CT andin vivoCT-derived measures of trabecular bone volume, transverse and plate micro-structural volume, and network area. All HR-pQCT-derived trabecular measures, except the erosion index, showed high correlation (rε [0.91 0.99]). The plate-width measure showed a higher correlation (rε [0.72 0.91]) amongin vivoand micro-CT modalities than its counterpart binary plate-rod characterization-based measure erosion index (rε [0.65 0.81]). Although a strong correlation was observed between micro-structural measures fromin vivoand micro-CT imaging, large shifts in their values forin vivomodalities warrant proper scanner calibration prior to adopting in multi-site and longitudinal studies.

Changing trabecular patterns in panoramic radiographs of Swedish women during 25 years of follow-up

OBJECTIVES

The radiographic trabecular pattern on dental radiographs may be used to predict fractures. The aim of this study was to analyze longitudinal changes in the mandibles of 145 females between 1980 and 2005.

METHODS

Panoramic radiographs were obtained in 1980 and 2005. On 290 radiographs, regions of interest (ROIs) were selected in the ramus, angle and body. In all ROIs, the orientation was measured in 36 directions with the line frequency deviation method. The effects of ageing were analyzed for the fracture and the non-fracture groups separately.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, 61 females suffered fractures of the hip, wrist, spine, leg or arm. The fracture and non-fracture groups displayed dissimilar age changes in each investigated ROI. All significant changes pertained to increasing values of line frequency deviation. With increasing age, the trabecular network in the mandible lost details and the trabeculae became more aligned in their main direction. In the "ramus", the alignment was to the 110-120˚ axis, parallel to the posterior and anterior ramus border. In the "angle", the alignment was to the 135-150˚ axis, parallel to the oblique line, and in the "body" ROI to the 150-175˚ direction, approximately parallel to the occlusal plane and inferior cortex.

CONCLUSION

Most changes were consistent with the notion that the bone aged less severely in the non-fracture group. In the fracture group, the findings indicate that bone loss leads to redistribution of the remaining bone tissue in such a way that the trabeculae are accentuated perpendicular to the principal loading.

Crohn Disease and Fracture Risk Assessment With FRAX

Background

Studies are inconsistent whether people with Crohn disease (CD) have an increased fracture risk.

This study showed that patients with Crohn’s disease (CD) had a higher ten year probability of fracture, assessed by the fracture assessment tool FRAX, and more fractures, but the proportion of CD patients with a fracture was not significantly higher than that of controls.

Methods

Forty-nine CD and 49 controls participated. All 98 completed a health questionnaire. A score with the fracture assessment tool FRAX &gt; 15% was considered risk factor for fracture.

Results

Mean FRAX score for 49 CD was 10.1 ± 10.3% and for 49 controls 5.0 ± 3.9% (P = 0.002). The variables correlated with fracture were being female (P = 0.04) and having a fractured mother (P = 0.002).

Conclusion

The CD group had significantly higher FRAX scores and more fractures, but the proportion of CD subjects with a fracture was not significantly higher than that of controls.

The rise and fall of the alveolar process: Dependency of teeth and metabolic aspects

The alveolar bone has a unique capacity to follow the teeth's movements. It is formed around erupting teeth and their periodontal ligaments: the more the teeth have erupted, the larger the alveolar process. Throughout life the teeth erupt and migrate in an occlusal and mesial direction to compensate for attrition, an evolutionary trait. After tooth extraction, the alveolar process is resorbed to varying degrees. The mandibular alveolar bone mirrors skeletal bone condition. Due to fast bone turnover (which is the fastest in the whole skeleton), low bone mass and increased fracture risk may first be seen here. If a periapical radiograph of the mandibular premolars shows a dense trabeculation with well-mineralized trabeculae and small intertrabecular spaces, it is a reliable sign of normal skeletal bone density (BMD) and low skeletal fracture risk, whereas a sparse trabecular pattern indicates osteopenia and high fracture risk. The bone turnover rate in the mandible is twice that of the maxilla, and may, hypothetically, play a role in the development of osteonecrosis of the jaw (ONJ), which has been found mainly in the mandibular alveolar process?

Evaluation of clinical and radiographic indices as predictors of osteoporotic fractures: a 10-year longitudinal study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to evaluate 2 radiographic and 3 clinical indices as predictors of future osteoporotic fractures.

STUDY DESIGN

In a prospective, longitudinal study with a 10-year fracture follow-up, the 2 radiographic indices mandibular cortical erosion (normal, mild/moderate erosion, and severe erosion of the inferior cortex) and cortex thickness were assessed using panoramic radiographs of 411 women, age 62 to 78 years. The clinical indices were the fracture assessment tool FRAX, the osteoporosis index of risk (OSIRIS), and the osteoporosis self-assessment tool (OST).

RESULTS

The relative risks (RRs) for future fracture were significant for FRAX greater than 15%, 4.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.4-7.2), and for severely eroded cortices, 1.7 (95% CI 1.1-2.8). Cortical thickness less than 3 mm, OSIRIS, and OST were not significant fracture predictors (RR 1.1, 1.4, and 1.5, respectively). For the 5 tested fracture predictors, Fisher's exact test gave the following P values for differences between fracture and nonfracture groups: FRAX <.001, cortical erosion 0.023, OST 0.078, OSIRIS 0.206, and cortical thickness 0.678. The area under the curve was 0.69 for FRAX less than 15%, 0.58 for cortical erosion, and 0.52 for cortical thickness. Adding OSIRIS and OST did not change the area under the curve significantly.

CONCLUSIONS

FRAX and severely eroded cortices predicted fracture but cortical thickness, OSIRIS, and OST did not.

Predicting fractures using trabecular patterns on panoramic radiographs

OBJECTIVES

The observer score of the trabecular pattern on panoramic radiographs is known to be a strong predictor of bone fractures. The aim of this study was to enhance the predictive power of panoramic radiographs by means of texture analysis methods.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study followed 304 postmenopausal women during 26 years. At the beginning of the study, panoramic radiographs were obtained. One observer assessed the trabecular pattern in the premolar region as dense, sparse, or alternating dense and sparse. In addition, on each radiograph, a region of interest was selected in the molar/premolar region and analyzed with texture analysis procedures. During 26 years of follow-up, 115 women suffered a fracture of the hip, spine, leg, or arm. Logistic regression was applied to test the predictive power of various variables with respect to fractures.

RESULTS

Of all variables, the observer score of the trabecular pattern correlated strongest with the occurrence of fractures. By itself, the score yielded an ROC curve with an area of 0.80 under the curve. Combining the observer score with the texture analysis features increased the area under the ROC curve to 0.85.

CONCLUSIONS

The trabecular pattern on panoramic radiographs provides a strong predictor of fractures, at least for postmenopausal women. The assessment by an observer combined with texture analysis procedures yields a predictive power that parallels best known predictions in literature.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

This study illustrates that panoramic radiographs are state of the art predictors of postcranial fractures.