Non-participation in health checkup and Kihon Checklist predicts loss of certification-free survival in community-dwelling older adults

Differential Associations of Frailty with the Incidence of Mild and Severe Disabilities in Older Adults: A 3-Year Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Frailty is associated with the incidence of disability in older adults; however, few studies have investigated differences in the association of frailty with mild and severe disabilities according to Japanese long-term care insurance certification. This study separately investigated the associations between frailty and the incidence of mild and severe disabilities.

METHODS

This 3-year retrospective cohort study included community-dwelling adults in Okayama City aged ≥65 years. We assessed frailty status using the Kihon Checklist and defined the outcomes as mild and severe disabilities according to long-term care insurance certifications. We applied multinomial logistic regression analysis to investigate the association between frailty and the incidence of mild and severe disabilities.

RESULTS

The analysis included a total of 36,043 participants. For mild disability, the odds ratios (ORs) comparing frail to robust and prefrail to robust were 3.85 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.36-4.42) and 1.82 (95% CI, 1.58-2.10), respectively. Similarly, the corresponding ORs for severe disability were 4.35 (95% CI, 3.55-5.34) and 1.78 (95% CI, 1.43-2.21), respectively. In the age-stratified analysis of mild disability, the pre-old group (aged 65-74 years) with frail showed a higher association than the old-age group (aged ≥75 years) with frail. Regarding severe disability, the older group with frailty showed a higher association than the pre-old group with frailty.

CONCLUSION

The results showed that both prefrail and frail were associated with the incidence of mild and severe disabilities, with different patterns of association between the pre-old and old age groups.

Implication of using cognitive function-related simple questions to stratify the risk of long-term care need: population-based prospective study in Kobe, Japan

BACKGROUND

This study investigated how cognitive function-related simple questions can be used to identify older individuals who are at risk of needing long-term care.

METHODS

This cohort study was conducted in Kobe city, Japan. In 2015, the municipal office distributed the Kihon Checklist by post, a 25-item questionnaire including three cognitive function-related questions (questions 18, 19, 20) to citizens aged ≥ 70 years. Need certification is routinely done by Kobe city as part of the national Long-Term Care Insurance Act. The answers to the 2015 questionnaire were merged with need certification data between the questionnaire delivery and the end of December 2019.

RESULTS

Of the 77,877 citizens (age: 72.9 ± 2.7 years) who received the questionnaire, 50,154 responded (response rate: 64.4%). During the study period, the cumulative incidence of the need for long-term care was higher in those who did not respond than in those who did (12.5% vs 8.4%; P < 0.001). Among those who responded, the incidence of the need for long-term care was progressively greater as the number of negative answers to cognitive function-related questions increased (5.0%, 8.4%, 15.7% and 30.2% at 4 years' follow-up, for respondents with, respectively, 0, 1, 2 and 3 negative answers). Similarly, when the need certification for long-term care was confined to that accompanied by dementia, the incidence also rose as the number of negative responses to the cognitive function-related questions increased (3.4%, 6.5%, 13.7% and 27.9% for respondents with, respectively, 0, 1, 2 and 3 negative answers). Using multivariate Cox regression analysis, all three cognitive function-related questions were predictive of the need for long-term care, and question 18 (about memory loss) had the highest hazard ratio for predicting the need for long-term care accompanied by dementia.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of cognitive function-related simple questions may help identify older adults at risk for needing long-term care, suggesting their potential value for use in administrative and policy approaches aimed at reducing the societal burden of dementia.

Predictive ability of the total score of the Kihon checklist for the incidence of functional disability in older Japanese adults: An 8-year prospective study

AIM

To investigate the association between the total score of the Kihon checklist (t-KCL score) and functional disability over an 8-year follow-up period, and to examine whether the t-KCL score in the basic model with risk factors contributes to the incremental predictive ability for functional disability among older adults.

METHODS

We followed 2209 older adults aged ≥65 years without functional disability at baseline. The t-KCL score was determined using a baseline survey questionnaire. Functional disability was defined based on information from long-term care certifications. The association between the t-KCL score and functional disability was examined using the Cox proportional hazards model. The incremental predictive ability of the t-KCL score for functional disability was evaluated by the difference of the C-statistic, category-free net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 7.8 years, and 557 participants developed functional disability. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) of functional disability for a 1-point increase of the t-KCL score was 1.08 (1.06-1.10). Adding the t-KCL score to the basic model significantly improved the C-statistic (95% CI) from 0.747 (0.728-0.768) to 0.760 (0.741-0.781). When the t-KCL score was added to the basic model, the NRI and IDI were 0.187 (95% CI: 0.095-0.287) and 0.020 (95% CI: 0.012-0.027), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The t-KCL score had an independent positive association with functional disability over an 8-year follow-up. Furthermore, adding the t-KCL score to the basic model improved the predictive ability for functional disability. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; 22: 723-729.

Should we abandon annual physical examination? - A meta-analysis of annual physical examination and all-cause mortality in adults based on observational studies

Several meta-analyses based on randomized clinical trials data have failed to find an association between the annual physical examination (APE) and reduced mortality; however, no comparable meta-analysis based on observational data exists. We conducted a meta-analysis of observational studies comparing APE versus non-APE in adults for all-cause mortality. English-language searches of four databases (PubMed, CINAHL, EMBASE, and Google Scholar) between the years 2000 to 2019 yielded seven observational studies that investigated APE versus non-APE in healthy adults in relation to all-cause mortality. Random effects models were used to calculate pooled hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI), and to incorporate variation between studies. During follow-up periods that ranged from two to 25 years, there were 35,055 deaths among 633,957 participants. APE was significantly associated with a 45% lower hazard of all-cause mortality, with pooled hazard ratio of 0.55 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.64, P < 0.01) for all participants. This meta-analysis of seven observational studies in the past 20 years provides evidence of an association between APE and a lower hazard of all-cause mortality, a finding that contrasts with findings based on meta-analyses of randomized clinical trials data. Nonetheless, at present the evidence available about the effectiveness or ineffectiveness of APE on all-cause mortality still needs further study.