Involvement of portosystemic shunts in impaired improvement of liver function after direct-acting antiviral therapies in cirrhotic patients with hepatitis C virus

Ratio of von Willebrand factor to ADAMTS13 is a useful predictor of esophagogastric varices progression after sustained virologic response in patients with hepatitis C virus-related liver cirrhosis

AIM

Esophagogastric varices (EGV) are a serious complication of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related liver cirrhosis (HCV-LC). In most cases, portal hypertension improves after a sustained virologic response (SVR) is achieved with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment; however, in some cases, EGV exacerbation occurs after HCV elimination. We investigated whether von Willebrand factor (VWF) and a disintegrin-like metalloproteinase with thrombospondin type-1 motif 13 (ADAMTS13) can predict EGV progression with HCV-LC after SVR achievement.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 47 patients with HCV-LC who achieved an SVR after DAA treatment. Eighteen patients experienced EGV progression after the SVR was achieved (EGV progression group). Twenty-nine patients did not experience EGV progression after the SVR was achieved (non-EGV progression group). Plasma VWF antigen levels and ADAMTS13 activity were measured the day before DAA treatment.

RESULTS

The EGV progression group had significantly higher plasma VWF antigen levels (p = 0.00331) and VWF-to-ADAMTS13 ratios (p = 0.000249) than the non-EGV progression group. Multivariate logistic regression models found that a VWF-to-ADAMTS13 ratio >2.3 was the only risk factor for EGV progression after the SVR was achieved (hazard ratio [HR], 18.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.08-109; p = 0.00138). During the observation period, patients with a VWF-to-ADAMTS13 ratio >2.3 had a significantly higher cumulative incidence of EGV progression after SVR achievement than patients with a VWF-to-ADAMTS13 ratio ≤2.3 (HR, 6.4; 95% CI, 1.78-22.96; p = 0.0044).

CONCLUSIONS

The VWF-to-ADAMTS13 ratio before DAA treatment for HCV could predict EGV progression after SVR achievement.

Evolution of spontaneous portosystemic shunts over time and following aetiological intervention in patients with cirrhosis

Background & Aims

Spontaneous portosystemic shunts (SPSS) develop frequently in cirrhosis. Changes over time and the effect of aetiological interventions on SPSS are unknown, so we aimed to explore the effect of these variables on SPSS evolution.

Methods

Patients with cirrhosis from the Baveno VI-SPSS cohort were selected provided a follow-up abdominal CT or MRI scan was available. Clinical and laboratory data were collected at baseline and follow-up. Imaging tests were reviewed to evaluate changes in the presence and size of SPSS (large (L)-SPSS was ≥8 mm) over time. Regarding alcohol- or HCV-related cirrhosis, two populations were defined: cured patients (abstinent from alcohol or successful HCV therapy), and non-cured patients.

Results

A total of 617 patients were included. At baseline SPSS distribution was 22% L-SPSS, 30% small (S)-SPSS, and 48% without (W)-SPSS. During follow-up (median follow-up of 63 months), SPSS distribution worsened: L-SPSS 26%, S-SPSS 32%, and W-SPSS 42% (p <0.001). Patients with worse liver function during follow-up showed a simultaneous aggravation in SPSS distribution. Non-cured patients (n = 191) experienced a significant worsening in liver function, more episodes of liver decompensation and lower transplant-free survival compared to cured patients (n = 191). However, no differences were observed regarding SPSS distribution at inclusion and at follow-up, with both groups showing a trend to worsening. Total shunt diameter increased more in non-cured (52%) than in cured patients (28%). However, total shunt area (TSA) significantly increased only in non-cured patients (74 to 122 mm2, p <0.001).

Conclusions

The presence of SPSS in cirrhosis increases over time and parallels liver function deterioration. Aetiological intervention in these patients reduces liver-related complications, but SPSS persist although progression is decreased.

Impact and implications

There is no information regarding the evolution of spontaneous portosystemic shunts (SPSS) during the course of cirrhosis, and especially after disease regression with aetiological interventions, such as HCV treatment with direct-acting antivirals or alcohol abstinence. These results are relevant for clinicians dealing with patients with cirrhosis and portal hypertension because they have important implications for the management of cirrhosis with SPSS after disease regression. From a practical point of view, physicians should be aware that in advanced cirrhosis with portal hypertension, after aetiological intervention, SPSS mostly persist despite liver function improvement, and complications related to SPSS may still develop.

Significance of portal venous blood flow as a factor to determine liver function in patients with decompensated cirrhosis due to hepatitis C virus infection following achievement of sustained viral response by sofosbuvir plus velpatasvir

AIM

To determine the outcomes concerning portal venous blood flow and portosystemic shunts in patients with decompensated cirrhosis due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieved sustained viral response (SVR) following antiviral therapy.

METHODS

Portal hypertension-related events and liver function were evaluated in 24 patients achieving SVR following sofosbuvir plus velpatasvir therapy.

RESULTS

Serum albumin level (median; g/dL) increased from 2.9 at baseline to 3.5 at 12 weeks after the end of treatment (EOT) (p = 0.005), while liver volumes (cm3 ) decreased from 1260 to 1150 (p = 0.0002). Portal hypertension-related events developed in 10 patients (41.7%), and the cumulative occurrence rates after the EOT were 29.2%, 33.3%, and 46.1% at 24, 48, and 96 weeks, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the maximal diameter of the shunts (p = 0.0235) was associated with the development of the events, with a cut-off value of 8.3 mm (p = 0.0105). Meanwhile, multiple linear regression analysis revealed that portal venous blood flow, liver volume, serum albumin, and bilirubin levels at baseline were associated with serum albumin levels at 12 weeks after EOT (p = 0.0019, p = 0.0154, p = 0.0010, and p = 0.0350, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In patients with decompensated cirrhosis due to HCV infection, the baseline portal venous blood flow and liver volume and function were predictive of liver function following SVR, while the maximal diameter of portosystemic shunts predicted the occurrence of portal hypertension-related events.

Improved Liver Function After Sustained Virologic Response Enhanced Prognosis in Hepatitis C with Compensated Advanced Liver Fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver function can be improved in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. However, to our knowledge, the impact of liver function improvement after SVR on prognosis has not been investigated.

METHODS

A total of 716 patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced liver fibrosis who began receiving DAA treatment between September 2014 and August 2018 in 25 Japanese hospitals and achieved SVR were enrolled.

RESULTS

The median age was 73 years, and 336 (47%) and 380 (53%) patients had albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and grade 2, respectively. Improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after the end of treatment (EOT) was observed in 76% of the patients with baseline ALBI grade 2. Among 380 patients with baseline ALBI grade 2, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels ≥ 40 U/L (p < 0.001) and modified ALBI (mALBI) grade 2a (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after EOT in multivariate analysis. During the median observation period of 51.8 months, 4 and 10 patients with baseline ALBI grade 1 and 2, respectively, died. In patients with baseline ALBI grade 2, only the absence of improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after EOT was significantly associated with all-cause mortality in univariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline ALT levels and mALBI grade were significantly associated with improvement in liver function after SVR. Patients whose liver function improved after SVR could have better prognosis.

Short-term hepatocyte function and portal hypertension outcomes of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir for decompensated hepatitis C-related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether hepatocyte function and/or portal hypertension improves if a sustained virologic response (SVR) is achieved with direct-acting antivirals in patients with decompensated hepatitis C-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

We examined the safety and efficacy of a 12-week course of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) in 20 patients with decompensated hepatitis C-related cirrhosis. We also investigated changes in the hepatocyte receptor index (LHL15) and blood clearance index (HH15) by Tc-99 m-galactosyl human serum albumin scintigraphy, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography, and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) in patients who achieved an SVR at 24 weeks after treatment (SVR24).

RESULTS

One patient discontinued treatment because of rectal variceal hemorrhage, and 19 patients completed treatment. SVR24 was achieved in 17 patients (89%). Median LHL15 increased from 0.72 pre-treatment to 0.82 after SVR24 (p = 0.012), and median HH15 decreased from 0.82 pre-treatment to 0.76 after SVR24 (p = 0.010). The percentage of patients with LSM ≥ 20 kPa was 90% before treatment and remained at 90% after SVR24. However, the percentage with severe portal hypertension (defined as HVPG ≥ 12 mmHg) decreased from 92% pre-treatment to 58% after SVR24 (p = 0.046). Patients with a decreased HVPG from pre-treatment to after SVR24 had a smaller pre-treatment spleen volume than those with an increased HVPG (median, 252 vs. 537 mL, p = 0.028).

CONCLUSION

Achieving SVR24 with SOF/VEL treatment in patients with decompensated hepatitis C-related cirrhosis can be expected to improve hepatocyte function and portal hypertension on short-term follow-up.

Significance of serum IP-10/CXCL10 measurement in predicting post-direct acting antiviral treatment liver function in patients with HCV-decompensated liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Recently, with the advent of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir therapy, sustained virological response (SVR) can now be achieved even in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (dLC). However, the prognosis after SVR does not always improve in dLC, and appropriate indicators enabling prediction of prognosis is desired.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Serum IP-10/CXCL10 levels were measured in 47 patients (15 chronic hepatitis [CH], 17 compensated cirrhosis [cLC], and 15 dLC) receiving direct acting antiviral (DAA) therapy, and their changes during the therapy were examined.

RESULTS

All the patients achieved SVR. In patients with CH, the average IP-10 level was 367, 102, and 68 pg/ml respectively at baseline, at the end of therapy and at 12 weeks after SVR (SVR12), and was decreased upon DAA therapy (P < 0.001). In patients with cLC, IP-10 was respectively 215, 91, and 77 pg/ml, and was decreased upon DAA therapy (P < 0.001) while it was 283, 131, and 182 pg/ml in patients with dLC and there was no evident decrease (P = 0.55). When patients with dLC were further classified depending on the difference in Child-Pugh (CP) score improvement at SVR12, a significant decrease in IP-10 was observed after treatment in those with improvement (P = 0.023) while a significant increase was observed in those without improvement (P = 0.016).

CONCLUSION

While serum IP-10 level was decreased in patients with CH/cLC and dLC with post-SVR-CP improvement following SVR, it was increased in patients with dLC without post-SVR CP improvement. The result indicates that IP-10 dynamics may be useful for predicting liver function after DAA therapy.

Simple algorithm to narrow down the candidates to receive echocardiography in patients with chronic liver disease for suspected pulmonary hypertension

Aims

Portopulmonary hypertension (PoPH) is a subtype of pulmonary arterial hypertension related to portal hypertension. The definitive diagnosis of PoPH is made by invasive right heart catheterization. Alternatively, pulmonary arterial hypertension may be recognized noninvasively from the tricuspid regurgitant pressure gradient (TRPG), measured by echocardiography. In this study, we aimed to establish a simple algorithm to identify chronic liver disease patients with a high TRPG value in order to narrow down the candidates to receive echocardiography.

Methods and Results

TRPG was measured by echocardiography in 152 patients with chronic liver disease. Factors predictive of TRPG >30 mmHg were investigated. There were 28 (18%) cases with TRPG >30 mmHg. Independent factors associated with a high TRPG were the presence of shortness of breath, high serum brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), and low serum albumin. Child–Pugh class or the presence of ascites, varices, or encephalopathy was not associated with TRPG. There was a correlation between the serum BNP and TRPG, and the optimal cutoff value of BNP by the Youden index was 122 pg/mL, and by 100% sensitivity was 50 pg/mL. A combination of these factors identified patients with a high probability of TRPG >30 mmHg (n = 12, positive predictive value [PPV] of 83%), no probability (n = 80, PPV 0%), and intermediate probability (n = 60, PPV 25–34%). This algorithm has reduced the number of patients needing echocardiography by 53%.

Conclusions

A simple algorithm using the presence of shortness of breath, serum BNP, and albumin levels can narrow down the candidates to receive echocardiography.

Novel nomogram model for predicting 6-week mortality in liver cirrhosis patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a nomogram for predicting 6-week mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis and acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) and to compare it with other commonly used scoring systems.

METHODS

This retrospective study included cirrhotic patients with acute UGIB hospitalized between January 2013 and December 2020. Random sampling was used to divide patients into the training (n = 676) and validation cohorts (n = 291) at a 7:3 ratio. Multivariate logistic stepwise regression was used to establish a model for predicting 6-week mortality. Multiple indicators were used to validate the nomogram, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

In the training cohort, total bilirubin (TBIL) (odds ratio [OR] 1.75, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.22-2.50), hemoglobin (Hb) (OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.95-0.99), C-reactive protein (OR 2.79, 95% CI 1.30-6.07), prothrombin time (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05-1.30), and hepatic encephalopathy (stage I-II: OR 4.15, 95% CI 1.73-9.61; stage III-IV: OR 19.6, 95% CI 5.33-76.8) were identified as independent factors of 6-week mortality. The AUROC of the UGIB-LC score was 0.873 (95% CI 0.820-0.927), which was higher than that of the Child-Pugh score (0.781), model for end-stage liver disease score (0.766), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (0.716).

CONCLUSION

The UGIB-LC score is useful for predicting 6-week mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis and acute UGIB, which is superior to the other three scoring systems.

Time-course changes in liver functional reserve after successful sofosbuvir/velpatasvir treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

AIM

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are currently available even for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Reportedly, hepatic functional reserve improved in the short term after achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). We aimed to clarify the outcomes after achievement of SVR in patients with decompensated cirrhosis who were treated by DAAs in real-world clinical practice.

METHODS

A prospective, multicenter study of 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir was conducted in 86 patients with decompensated cirrhosis, who were evaluated for 48 weeks post-treatment.

RESULTS

The cohort included 8 patients with Child-Pugh class A, 56 with B, and 22 with C. The proportion of Child-Pugh class A patients increased from 9.1% at baseline to 44.1% at 48 weeks post-treatment, while that of class B and C patients decreased from 66.2% to 35.1% and from 24.7% to 14.3%, respectively. Among the patients with Child-Pugh class B and C, univariate analysis identified low total bilirubin, Child-Pugh score, Child-Pugh class B, ALBI score, and high serum albumin as factors associated with improvement to Child-Pugh class A. The optimal cut-off value of the factors for predicting improvement to Child-Pugh class A were 1.4 mg/dl for total bilirubin, 2.9 g/dl for serum albumin, 8 points for Child-Pugh score, and -1.88 for ALBI score.

CONCLUSION

Achievement of SVR with sofosbuvir/velpatasvir improved the liver functional reserve at 12 weeks post-treatment and maintained the stable effects until 48 weeks post-treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Specifically, the patients with less advanced conditions had the likelihood of improving to Child-Pugh class A at 48 weeks post-treatment.

Spontaneous portosystemic shunt diameter predicts liver function after balloon‐occluded retrograde transvenous obliteration

Background and Aim

Recently, balloon‐occluded retrograde transvenous obliteration (BRTO), performed for spontaneous portosystemic shunts (SPSS), has been receiving attention as a measure to improve liver function in cirrhotic patients with portal hypertension. However, it is unclear whether SPSS diameter is associated with changes in hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and liver function after BRTO.

Methods

In 34 cirrhotic patients receiving BRTO for hepatic encephalopathy/gastric varices, the association of SPSS diameter with liver function at baseline and 6 months after BRTO and the accompanying changes in HVPG were investigated.

Results

Patients had Child–Pugh (CP) scores of A/B/C (7/19/8), SPSS diameters of ≤10 mm/11–20 mm/<20 mm (8/21/5), and an average observation period of 3.2 (0.3–8.5) years. SPSS diameter was significantly associated with male sex, alcohol use, and values of albumin, prothrombin time (PT%), and NH₃ at baseline. Moreover, the SPSS diameter was significantly correlated with the changes in HVPG observed upon BRTO (r = 0.55, P = 0.005), and a large shunt diameter was significantly associated with a greater increase in HVPG. At 6 months, significant improvements in albumin, PT%, bilirubin, and NH₃ were observed overall, but the improvement was marked in those with larger shunt diameters if they had CP A/B.

Conclusion

SPSS diameter was strongly associated with liver function at baseline and after BRTO and also with changes in HVPG, indicating that SPSS diameter is an important predictor of BRTO outcome.

Factors affecting the recovery of hepatic reserve after sustained virologic response by direct-acting antiviral agents in chronic hepatitis C virus-infected patients

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Since the advent of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy, the total eradication of hepatitis C virus has been achievable with the recovery of hepatic reserve after achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). Hence, here, we examined the factors affecting the recovery of hepatic reserve.

METHODS

We followed up 403 patients (male: 164, female: 239; genotype 1: 299, genotype 2: 104; median age: 69 years) for at least 3 years after they achieved SVR to DAA therapy. Of these patients, 75 (18.6%) had a history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Biochemical tests were periodically performed, and the hepatic reserve was evaluated based on the albumin-bilirubin grade. We examined background factors such as age, biochemical test results, HCC occurrence and portosystemic shunt by computed tomography.

RESULTS

At the start of treatment, the albumin-bilirubin grades were grades 1, 2, and 3 in 241, 157, and 5 patients, respectively, and 3 years later, 117 of 162 (72%) patients with grade 2 or 3 improved to grade 1. Multivariate analysis identified the HCC occurrence after achievement of SVR (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.08, P < 0.0138), male sex (HR: 3.45, P = 0.0143), hemoglobin level of <11.5 g/dL (HR: 4.19, P = 0.0157), the presence of a portosystemic shunt (HR: 3.07, P = 0.0349), and alanine aminotransferase levels <45 U/L (HR: 2.67, P = 0.0425) as factors inhibiting improvement to grade 1. However, old age was not an inhibitory factor.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrate that hepatic reserve could be improved even in elderly patients over a long course of time.

Sofosbuvir plus velpatasvir treatment for hepatitis C virus in patients with decompensated cirrhosis: a Japanese real-world multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Real-world data on the efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir plus velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) treatment for patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related decompensated cirrhosis are limited in Japan.

METHODS

A total of 190 patients with compensated (108) or decompensated (82) cirrhosis who initiated direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment between February 2019 and August 2019 were enrolled. Sustained virologic response (SVR) was defined as undetectable serum HCV-RNA at 12 weeks after the end of treatment (EOT).

RESULTS

The SVR12 rates were 92.6% in patients with compensated cirrhosis and 90.2% in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (p = 0.564), and the treatment completion rates were 98.1% and 96.3%, respectively (p = 0.372). In patients with decompensated cirrhosis, 3 patients discontinued treatment and 2 patients died because of liver-related events. In patients with decompensated cirrhosis with SVR12, 50% of patients with Child-Pugh class B at baseline showed improvement to class A at SVR12, and 27% and 9% of patients with Child-Pugh class C at baseline showed improvement to class B and class A at SVR12, respectively. Patients who achieved SVR12 showed elevated serum albumin levels at the EOT, which were further elevated at SVR12, but no elevated serum albumin levels after the EOT were observed in patients with baseline serum albumin levels less than 2.8 g/dl.

CONCLUSIONS

Real-world efficacy of SOF/VEL treatment for patients with decompensated cirrhosis was similar to Japanese phase 3 study, although treatment discontinuation and death related to liver disease occurred. In patients with poor hepatic reserve, whether it improves continuously after viral clearance requires further evaluation.

Real-world efficacy and safety of 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir treatment for patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis caused by hepatitis C virus infection

AIM

This study aimed to evaluate the real-world efficacy and safety of 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) treatment for patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis caused by hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.

METHODS

A total 72 of patients with Child-Pugh (CP) class B or C were enrolled. We evaluated the sustained virologic response at 12 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR12), adverse events (AEs), and changes in the liver function.

RESULTS

All participants had genotype 1 or 2 HCV infection. At baseline, the numbers of patients with CP class B and C were 59 and 13, respectively. The overall SVR12 rate was 95.8% (69/72); 94.9% (56/59) in CP class B and 100% (13/13) in CP class C. The serum albumin level, prothrombin time and ascites were significantly improved (P < 0.01); however, the serum bilirubin level and encephalopathy did not improve. Among patients who achieved SVR12, 75.0% showed an improvement in their CP score, while 5.9% showed a worsening. The presence of large portosystemic shunt (diameter ≥6 mm) and hyperbilirubinemia (≥2.0 mg/dL) were independent factors that interfered with the improvement in the CP score (P < 0.05). The most common AEs were encephalopathy (15.3%) and skin symptoms (7.9%). Two patients discontinued SOF/VEL due to AEs.

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with SOF/VEL for 12 weeks was relatively safe and effective for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. An SVR provided an improvement of the liver function in the majority of patients. However, large portosystemic shunt and hyperbilirubinemia were independent factors that interfered with the improvement in the CP score.

Impact of viral eradication by direct-acting antivirals on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma development, prognosis, and portal hypertension in hepatitis C virus-related compensated cirrhosis patients

AIM

We analyzed the impact of hepatitis C virus eradication by direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy on the risk of development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), prognosis, and portal hypertension in patients with liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

The rate of HCC development and overall survival after achievement of sustained virological response (SVR) in 173 DAA-treated compensated cirrhosis patients without HCC history were retrospectively compared with that of 125 cirrhosis patients who achieved SVR by interferon (IFN)-based therapy or that of 85 cirrhosis patients who failed to respond to anti-HCV therapy. Changes in esophagogastric varices (EGV) and incidence of portosystemic encephalopathy were analyzed in 87 consecutive cirrhosis patients.

RESULTS

The cumulative HCC development rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 2%, 7%, and 7% for the DAA-SVR group, significantly lower than the 3%, 7%, and 18% for the non-SVR group (log-rank, P < 0.001). The cumulative overall survival rates were also significantly improved in the DAA-SVR group compared to the non-SVR group (log-rank, P < 0.001). These rates were similar between DAA-SVR and IFN-SVR groups (P = 0.121 and 0.261, respectively). Esophagogastric varices were aggravated, and portosystemic encephalopathy occurred in a subset of cirrhosis patients who achieved SVR by DAA therapy. These events were more frequent in patients with large feeding vessels for EGV and portosystemic shunts at the time of SVR.

CONCLUSION

Achievement of SVR by DAA therapy reduces the risk of HCC development and prolongs survival, similar to theresults achieved with IFN-based therapy, but portal hypertension is not immediately improved in compensated liver cirrhosis patients.

Accuracy of Fibrosis-4 Index in Identification of Patients with Cirrhosis Who Could Potentially Avoid Variceal Screening Endoscopy

A potential restriction of the Baveno VI consensus, which helps to avoid unnecessary endoscopies, is the limited availability of FibroScan. We aimed to identify serum fibrosis indices that might aid in ruling out the presence of high-risk varices in cirrhotic patients. This retrospective study included 541 consecutive patients with cirrhosis who underwent endoscopy and had data available for nine serum fibrosis indices, including platelet count, hyaluronic acid, 7S fragment of type 4 collagen, procollagen type III N-terminal peptide, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases 1, Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer, fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4), aspartate transaminase/platelet ratio index and enhanced liver fibrosis score. Optimal index cutoffs for predicting high-risk varices were calculated in an estimation cohort (n = 127) and evaluated in a validation cohort (n = 351). The diagnostic performance of the indices was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. In the estimation cohort, a FIB-4 cutoff of 2.78 provided the greatest diagnostic accuracy in predicting both all-grade and high-risk varices. FIB-4 had a negative predictive value of 1.00 for high-risk varices in both cohorts, and 21.3% (27/127) and 14.8% (52/351) of the estimation and validation cohorts, respectively, avoided esophagogastroduodenoscopy; no high-risk varices were missed in either cohort. FIB-4 correctly identifies the absence of high-risk varices in patients with cirrhosis. Therefore, those with a FIB-4 of ≥2.78 should undergo esophagogastroduodenoscopy, and FIB-4 determination should be recommended every 6-12 months concurrently with the other blood tests until the index value reaches 2.78 in those with a FIB-4 of <2.78.