Comparative analysis of the therapeutic outcomes of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib for hepatocellular carcinoma patients aged 80 years and older: Multicenter study

AIM

Elderly patients are believed to have a reduced immune capacity, which may make immunotherapy less effective. The aim of this study was to compare the therapeutic outcome of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) and lenvatinib (LEN) for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients aged 80 years and older.

METHODS

From March 2018 to July 2022, 170 and 92 elderly patients who received LEN and Atez/Bev as first-line treatment, respectively, were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

The median ages of the Atez/Bev and LEN groups were 83.0 (8.01-86.0) and 83.0 (82.0-86.0) years (p = 0.3), respectively. Men accounted for approximately 70% of the patients in both groups. The objective response rate was 35.9% in the LEN group and 33.7% in the Atez/Bev group (p = 0.8), whereas the disease control rates in the LEN and Atez/Bev groups were 62.9% and 63.0%, respectively (p = 1.0). The median progression-free survival (PFS) in the LEN and Atez/Bev groups was 6.3 and 7.2 months, respectively, which were not significantly different (p = 0.2). The median overall survival (OS) was 17.9 months in the LEN group and 14.0 months in the Atez/Bev group. This difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.7). In multivariate analyses, the choice of treatment (LEN vs. Atez/Bev) showed no association with PFS or OS. The Atez/Bev group had a significantly higher rate of postprogression treatment (59.0% vs. 35.7%, p = 0.01) and a lower rate of discontinuation due to adverse events (69 [40.6%] vs. 19 [20.7%], p < 0.001) compared to the LEN group.

CONCLUSIONS

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab showed comparable effectiveness to LEN in HCC patients aged 80 years and older. Given the results of postprogression treatment and discontinuation due to adverse events, Atez/Bev could serve as a first-line treatment even for elderly HCC patients.

Comprehensive prognostic prediction of metastatic breast cancer treated with eribulin using blood‑based parameters and ratio

Eribulin is widely used to treat metastatic breast cancer (BC). Higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are associated with higher mortality in several cancer types. However, the association between BC prognosis and peripheral immune status remains controversial. In the present study, the relative effects of NLR and PLR on survival in patients with metastatic BC were quantified and their clinical prognostic value was evaluated. This retrospective study included 156 patients with metastatic BC who received eribulin monotherapy at Saitama Medical University International Medical Center. Clinicopathological features were examined (peripheral blood findings and biochemical liver and kidney function test results) and univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted of the overall survival (OS). The 156 patients treated with eribulin had a median follow-up duration of 18.3 months. Before eribulin treatment, patients with absolute lymphocyte counts (ALC) >1,500/µl, NLR <3.0, and PLR <150 had significantly longer OS than those with lower ALC, and higher NLR and PLR (median OS, 25.5 vs. 15.5 months; P<0.01; 20.3 vs. 13.6 months, P<0.01; and 29.2 vs. 14.8 months; P<0.001, respectively). Patients with anemia [hemoglobin (Hb) <10 g/dl] or liver dysfunction [albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2/3] had significantly shorter OS than those without (P<0.001, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed low ALBI grade (P<0.001), high Hb (P<0.01) and low PLR (P<0.05) as independent factors of longer OS after eribulin administration. Low PLR, anemia and liver dysfunction might be factors associated with prolonged OS in patients with metastatic BC on eribulin therapy, which could be clinically useful, as their evaluation requires neither new equipment nor invasive testing.

Comparing the impact of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib on the liver function in hepatocellular carcinoma patients: A mixed-effects regression model approach

AIM

This retrospective study compared the impact of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) and lenvatinib (LEN) on the liver function in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

We included 526 patients who received Atez/Bev and 731 who received LEN March 2018 and July 2022 in this study. We conducted a 1:1 propensity-score-matched analysis and identified 324 patients in each group for inclusion in the present analysis. Nonlinear mixed-effects regression models were employed, allowing for the evaluation and inclusion of cases where treatment was interrupted due to disease progression, adverse events, or loss to follow-up. These models were used to compare the ALBI score between the Atez/Bev and LEN groups.

RESULTS

Following propensity score matching, the mean ALBI scores in the Atez/Bev and LEN groups were -2.41 ± 0.40 and -2.44 ± 0.42 at baseline, and -2.17 ± 0.56 and -2.19 ± 0.58 at 12 weeks, respectively. Although the ALBI score significantly worsened during treatment in both groups (p < 0.001), there was no significant difference in the rate of ALBI score deterioration between the groups (p = 0.06). Subgroup analyses showed that LEN-treated patients with BCLC advanced stage (p = 0.02) and those who initially received the full dose (p < 0.001) had a significantly greater worsening of ALBI score compared to Atez/Bev.

CONCLUSIONS

Using a nonlinear mixed-effects regression approach, which allowed for the inclusion of cases with treatment interruption, we found no significant difference in the trend of liver function deterioration between the Atez/Bev and LEN groups. Caution should be exercised for LEN-treated patients with BCLC advanced stage or those receiving the full dose of LEN.

Anticoagulation against portal vein thrombosis reduces mortality and liver cirrhosis-related complications: A propensity score-matched study

AIM

Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) is one of the common complications of liver cirrhosis. Although anticoagulation contributes to thrombus resolution and is considered the first-choice treatment, its impact on patients' prognosis is still controversial. This study aimed to clarify the benefit of anticoagulation on mortality, liver function, and the incidence of liver cirrhosis-related complications in cirrhotic PVT patients.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter retrospective review in which we included 78 eligible patients with PVT out of 439. After propensity score matching, 21 cirrhotic PVT patients were included in each one of the untreated control and anticoagulation groups.

RESULTS

Overall survival was significantly improved in the anticoagulation group compared with the control group (p = 0.041), along with PVT size reduction (53.3% vs. 108.2%, p = 0.009). At the time of CT follow-up, the anticoagulation group showed a lower ALBI score (p = 0.037) and its prevalence of massive ascites was significantly lower (p = 0.043) compared with the control group. The incidence of overt encephalopathy was also lower in the anticoagulation group (p = 0.041). The cumulative incidence of bleeding events did not differ significantly between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Anticoagulation improves the survival of patients with cirrhotic PVT. Preserved liver function and reduced risks of cirrhosis-related complications under the treatment may have contributed to a better prognosis. Given its efficacy and safety, anticoagulation is worth initiating in patients with PVT.

Is the Y90-radioembolization treatment effective on the intermediate-advanced stage of hepatocellular carcinoma and what is the albumin-bilirubin score's prediction factor for survival?

Background and Aim

Radioembolization (RE) is a one of the palliative treatments that have been used to down stage and/or increase the survival time in intermediate-advanced stages of HCC. We aimed to evaluate the clinical impact of RE and the clinical use of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score as a predictor for survival in HCC patients.

Materials and Methods

Fifty-nine unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients were enrolled. RE was performed in 28 of them (group 1) and 31 patients were followed up in the natural course (NC) (group 2). Patients were classified according to the Child-Pugh score (only cirrhotic patients), Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) staging, and ALBI scores were also calculated.

Results

All patients in Group 1 were cirrhotic and their BCLC stages were as follows: 60.7% stage B and 39.3% stage C. In Group 2, 83.9% of patients were cirrhotic and their BCLC stages were as follows: 9.7% stage B, 51.6% stage C, and 38.7% stage D. Mortality rates were 82% and 100% in Groups 1 and 2, respectively. The median overall survival (OS) was 13.5 months (95% CI: 10.4-16.6 months) and 4.5 months (95% CI: 3.5-5.5 months) in Groups 1 and 2, respectively (p=0.000). When RE was applied to patients with ALBI Grade 1 and 2, the median OS was statistically higher than in the NC group, respectively (p<0.001, p<0.001).

Conclusion

RE is an effective treatment method at the advanced stages of HCC. The ALBI score is a more useful and practical than the other prognostic tools.

Prognostic value of the albumin-bilirubin score in patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma-associated hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis

Secondary hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (sHLH) is a rare life-threatening systemic disease. This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of pretreatment albumin-bilirubin (ALBI). We retrospectively analyzed 168 non-Hodgkin lymphoma-associated secondary hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (NHL-sHLH) patients with hepatic injuries. Multivariable logistic/Cox models and restricted cubic spline models were conducted to evaluate the relationships between the ALBI score and short- and long-term survival. Among 168 adult NHL-sHLH patients, 82 (48.8%) patients died within 30 days after admission, and 144 (85.7%) patients died during the follow-up period. Multivariable logistic/Cox regression model indicated that ALBI grade could be an independent risk factor for predicting the prognosis of patients with 30-day mortality and overall survival (odds ratios [OR]_{30 days} 5.37, 95% confidence interval 2.41-12.64, P < 0.001; hazard ratios [HR]_OS 1.52, 95% confidence interval 1.06-2.18, P = 0.023), respectively. The restricted cubic spline curve displayed a linear and positive relationship between the ALBI score and risk of mortality (P for nonlinearity =0.503). Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for predicting mortality by integrative analysis of the ALBI score and ferritin was significantly improved compared to the ALBI score (AUC _{30 days}: 0.820 vs 0.693, P = 0.001; AUC_{1 year}: 0.754 vs 0.681, P = 0.043) or ferritin (AUC_{30 days}: 0.820 vs 0.724, P = 0.005; AUC_{1 year}: 0.754 vs 0.658, P = 0.031) alone. The ALBI score could be a useful indicator of short and long-term survival for NHL-sHLH patients with hepatic injuries.

Albumin-Bilirubin Grade as a Novel Predictor of the Development and Short-Term Survival of Post-Banding Ulcer Bleeding Following Endoscopic Variceal Ligation in Cirrhotic Patients

Background and Objectives: Endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL) is the primary and secondary treatment for acute esophageal variceal bleeding. Post-banding ulcer bleeding (PBUB) may lead to bleeding episodes following EVL, increasing mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk factors for PBUB and predict the 6-week mortality risk after PBUB. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the data collected from cirrhotic patients with EVL from 2015 to 2017. The incidence of PBUB and the 6-week mortality rate were evaluated. Risk factors for PBUB and predictive factors for mortality after PBUB were analyzed. Results: A total of 713 patients were enrolled in this study. Among the studied subjects, the incidence of PBUB was 5.8% (N = 41). The 6-week mortality rate was 63.4% (26/41). In multivariate analysis, MELD score ≥20 (OR: 3.77, 95% CI: 1.94−7.33, p < 0.001), ALBI score of 3 (OR: 2.67, 95% CI: 1.34−5.3, p = 0.005) and the presence of gastric varices (OR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.06−4.16, p = 0.03) were associated with the development of PBUB. Patients with ALBI grade 3 (OR: 4.8, 95% CI: 1.18−19.6, p = 0.029) and Child-Pugh scores B and C (OR: 16.67, 95% CI: 1.75−158.1, p = 0.014) were associated with 6-week mortality after PBUB. Conclusions: PBUB is a complication with low incidence but increased mortality following EVL. The ALBI grade is a useful score to predict not only the development of PBUB but also the 6-week mortality after PBUB.

Changes in ALBI Score and PIVKA-II within Three Months after Commencing Atezolizumab Plus Bevacizumab Treatment Affect Overall Survival in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

In this study, we aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to analyze the factors affecting overall survival (OS). A total of 69 patients who received Atez/Bev at our institutions for unresectable HCC were enrolled in this study. OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were estimated using the Kaplan−Meier method. Changes in clinical indicators within 3 months were defined as delta (∆) values, and the Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify which ∆ values affected OS. The median OS, PFS, objective response rate, and disease control rate were 12.5 months, 5.4 months, 23.8%, and 71.4%, respectively. During the observational period, 62 patients (92.5%) experienced AEs (hypertension (33.3%) and general fatigue), and 27 patients (47.4%) experienced grade ≥ 3 AEs (hypertension (10.1%) and anemia (7.2%)). There was a significant deterioration in the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score (−2.22 to −1.97; p < 0.001), and a reduction in PIVKA-II levels (32,458 to 11,584 mAU/mL; p = 0.040) within 3 months after commencing Atez/Bev. Both the worsening ∆ ALBI score (p = 0.005) and increasing ∆ PIVKA-II (p = 0.049) were significantly associated with the OS of patients.

Chronological change in serum albumin as a prognostic factor in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib: proposal of albumin simplified grading based on the modified albumin-bilirubin score (ALBS grade)

BACKGROUND

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score and the modified ALBI (mALBI) grade are known useful prognostic factors for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with lenvatinib (LEN-HCC). However, the ALBI score requires complicated logarithmic calculations. Therefore, we attempted to create a simplified score.

METHODS

We developed the albumin simplified (ALBS) grade that corresponded to mALBI using the data of 5985 newly developed HCC and examined the usefulness of this grading system for the prediction of the prognosis of 678 patients with LEN-HCC.

RESULTS

The analysis using Cox proportional hazard models revealed that the overall survival of patients with LEN-HCC was not correlated with the total bilirubin but albumin (Alb), which means that the prediction with Alb alone was logical. The ALBS grade cutoffs that corresponded to mALBI grade 1, 2a, 2b, and 3 were Alb ≧ 4.0 g/dL, 4.0 g/dL > Alb ≧3.5 g/dL, 3.5 g/dL > Alb≧2.8 g/dL, and Alb < 2.8 g/dL, respectively. The stratification ability of the ALBS grade for LEN-HCC was good. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) and c-index were comparable with those of mALBI (AIC 4096.3 vs. 4090.7, c-index 0.765 vs. 0.778). The prognosis of LEN-HCC was stratified by the ALBS grade at 1 month after starting LEN, and patients with ALBS grade 1/2a demonstrated better survival than patients with ALBS grade 2b/3 regardless of the ALBS grade before treatment.

CONCLUSION

The ALBS grade is easy to calculate and is useful for the prediction of the prognosis of LEN-HCC.

Modification of the ALBI-PLT Score for the Prediction of High-risk Varices

BACKGROUND/AIM

A new scoring system [albumin-bilirubin-platelet (ALBI-PLT) score] was reported for identifying cirrhotic patients without high-risk varices (HRV), and patients with ALBI grade 1 (≤-2.60) and a platelet count over 150×10⁹/l were shown to have a low risk of having HRV. The present study modified the cut-off values of the variables in the ALBI-PLT score.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Among a total of 338 patients with chronic liver diseases, possible cut-off values of the ALBI score and the platelet count were determined by analyzing the first-half group (training cohort: N=169) with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) method. The utility of the determined values was evaluated in the second-half group (validation cohort: N=169) and total cohort (N=338). In addition, the utility of the modified cut-off values was evaluated in patients with compensated cirrhosis (cirrhotic cohort: N=87).

RESULTS

Possible cut-off values of the ALBI score and platelet count were found to be -2.36 and 114×10⁹/l, respectively. In the training cohort, these cut-off values provided a higher ratio of avoiding esophagogastroduodenoscopy than the original ALBI-PLT score (53.3% vs. 25.4%, p<0.01). Consistent results were observed in the validation cohort (28.4% vs. 15.4%, p<0.01), total cohort (40.8% vs. 20.4%, p<0.01), and cirrhotic cohort (32.2% vs. 11.5%, p<0.01). However, the missing ratio of patients with the HRV was not significantly increased in any cohort studied.

CONCLUSION

Modification of the ALBI-PLT score may be useful for predicting patients without HRV.

The Albumin-bilirubin Score Detects Changes in the Liver Function during Treatment for Budd-Chiari Syndrome: A Retrospective Observational Study

Objective Mapping the long-term prognosis of Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) is difficult, as the prognosis is associated with changes in the liver function. The present study evaluated the time course changes in the liver function in a treatment group with percutaneous old balloon angioplasty (POBA) and a non-treatment group using the albumin-bilirubin score (ALBI) and Child-Pugh score during long-term follow-up. Methods In this retrospective study, 13 consecutive patients diagnosed with BCS at our hospital between 2007 and 2020 were categorized into a treatment group (n=8), which received POBA, and a non-treatment group (n=5). Differences in the liver function in the ALBI and Child-Pugh scores between the initial visit and one- and three-year follow-up were calculated and statistically evaluated. We investigated the changes in the liver function during the long-term follow-up, including events such as re-stenosis and re-treatment. Results While the Child-Pugh scores in the treatment group did not differ significantly between the initial visit and 1- or 3-year follow-up, the ALBI scores in this group improved significantly between the initial visit and the 1- or 3-year follow-up visit (p=0.0078 and 0.0156, respectively). The liver function according to the ALBI score in the treatment group showed gradual improvement from the initial value but gradual worsening in the non-treatment group. The ALBI scores also revealed that the liver function varies according to re-stenosis and re-POBA in BCS patients. Conclusion Unlike the Child-Pugh score, the ALBI score was able to capture changes in the liver function of BCS patients during the long-term course of BCS.

The useful predictors of zinc deficiency for the management of chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Zinc deficiency is likely to occur in chronic liver disease. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of zinc deficiency in different types of chronic liver disease and to identify the factors that predicted low serum zinc levels.

METHODS

The study was an observational single-center design. We obtained the medical records of 666 patients with chronic liver disease whose serum zinc levels had been measured. The cutoff value for zinc deficiency was a serum level < 70 µg/dL.

RESULTS

Serum zinc levels in the alcoholic liver disease (ALD) group were significantly lower than in the other groups (hepatitis C virus [HCV], hepatitis B virus [HBV], and other cause) (P < 0.01). The CONUT and ALBI score (r = 0.527, P < 0.01), serum zinc level and ALBI score (r = - 0.607, P < 0.01), and serum zinc level and CONUT score (r = - 0.465, P < 0.01) correlated with each other. The prevalence of zinc deficiency were 44.8%, 63.2%, 86.7%, 97.1%, and 100% in the mALBI grade 1-CONUT normal, CONUT undernutrition, and mALBI grade 2a, 2b, and 3 groups, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified ALD, CONUT score, aspartate aminotransferase, and hemoglobin as significant, independent predictors of zinc deficiency (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified ALD, CONUT score, aspartate aminotransferase, and hemoglobin as predictors of zinc deficiency in chronic liver disease. The rate of zinc deficiency is high even in patients classified as mALBI grade 1, especially in ALD, while caution may be required in those classified as mALBI grade 1-CONUT undernutrition.

Liver cancer risk after HCV cure in patients with advanced liver disease without non-characterized nodules

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Recognition of non-characterized liver nodules (NCLN) prior to direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) is associated with increased hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in patients with HCV. The risk of HCC has not been defined in F3/F4 patients in whom NCLN have been ruled-out before starting DAAs and at sustained virological response (SVR). This study aimed to estimate HCC incidence in this population.

METHODS

We performed a prospective study including HCV-infected patients with F3/F4 fibrosis, without a history of HCC, and who achieved SVR after DAAs. Patients were only included if they had undergone ultrasound imaging that excluded the presence of HCC/NCLN within 30 days after SVR. All patients were evaluated every 6 months until developing primary liver cancer, death or withdrawal of informed consent. HCC incidence was expressed per 100 patient-years (/100PY). Adherence to screening program was calculated every 6 months for the first 48 months.

RESULTS

A total of 185 patients (63/122, F3/F4) were included. Among those with cirrhosis, 92% were Child-Pugh A and 42.7% had clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). Albumin-bilirubin score was 1 in 84.9% and 2 in 15.1% of patients, respectively. The median clinical and radiologic follow-up was 52.4 months and 48 months, respectively. Ten patients developed HCC: HCC incidence was 1.46/100PY (95% CI 0.79-2.71) in the whole cohort, 2.24/100PY (95% CI 1.21-4.17) in F4 only and 3.63/100PY (95% CI 1.95-6.74) in patients with CSPH. No HCC was registered in patients with F3. Median time between SVR and HCC occurrence was 28.1 months; 12 non-primary liver cancers were also identified.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with cirrhosis without NCLN at SVR remain at risk of HCC development. The absence of HCC in patients with F3 reinforces their marginal cancer risk, but prospective studies are needed to exclude them from screening programs.

LAY SUMMARY

Patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, without non-characterized liver nodules at sustained virologic response, remain at risk of hepatocellular carcinoma despite viral cure. However, the cancer risk after successful direct-acting antiviral treatment is marginal in patients with F3 fibrosis without non-characterized liver nodules. If confirmed in larger prospective studies, current screening recommendations may need to be revisited in this group of patients.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

Time-course changes in liver functional reserve after successful sofosbuvir/velpatasvir treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

AIM

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are currently available even for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Reportedly, hepatic functional reserve improved in the short term after achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). We aimed to clarify the outcomes after achievement of SVR in patients with decompensated cirrhosis who were treated by DAAs in real-world clinical practice.

METHODS

A prospective, multicenter study of 12-week sofosbuvir/velpatasvir was conducted in 86 patients with decompensated cirrhosis, who were evaluated for 48 weeks post-treatment.

RESULTS

The cohort included 8 patients with Child-Pugh class A, 56 with B, and 22 with C. The proportion of Child-Pugh class A patients increased from 9.1% at baseline to 44.1% at 48 weeks post-treatment, while that of class B and C patients decreased from 66.2% to 35.1% and from 24.7% to 14.3%, respectively. Among the patients with Child-Pugh class B and C, univariate analysis identified low total bilirubin, Child-Pugh score, Child-Pugh class B, ALBI score, and high serum albumin as factors associated with improvement to Child-Pugh class A. The optimal cut-off value of the factors for predicting improvement to Child-Pugh class A were 1.4 mg/dl for total bilirubin, 2.9 g/dl for serum albumin, 8 points for Child-Pugh score, and -1.88 for ALBI score.

CONCLUSION

Achievement of SVR with sofosbuvir/velpatasvir improved the liver functional reserve at 12 weeks post-treatment and maintained the stable effects until 48 weeks post-treatment in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Specifically, the patients with less advanced conditions had the likelihood of improving to Child-Pugh class A at 48 weeks post-treatment.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

BCLC strategy for prognosis prediction and treatment recommendation: The 2022 update

There have been major advances in the armamentarium for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) since the last official update of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer prognosis and treatment strategy published in 2018. Whilst there have been advances in all areas, we will focus on those that have led to a change in strategy and we will discuss why, despite being encouraging, data for select interventions are still too immature for them to be incorporated into an evidence-based model for clinicians and researchers. Finally, we describe the critical insight and expert knowledge that are required to make clinical decisions for individual patients, considering all of the parameters that must be considered to deliver personalised clinical management.

Long-term hepatic function of patients with compensated cirrhosis following successful direct-acting antiviral treatment for hepatitis C virus infection

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) have contributed to the improvement of outcomes for all patients with chronic hepatitis C. The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term hepatic benefits of hepatitis C virus (HCV) cure by DAAs in patients with compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

This multicenter cohort study consisted of consecutive patients with compensated cirrhosis who initiated interferon-free DAA treatment before September 2016. The impact of treatment on long-term hepatic function was followed for at least 4 years after the end of treatment, and the progression to decompensation was evaluated.

RESULTS

The data of 394 patients were available for study. The median age was 70, and 41% had modified albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2b. During a short-term follow-up 1 year after the end of treatment, FIB-4 index and ALBI score significantly improved. The achievement rates of FIB-4 < 3.25 (40%) and ALBI grade 1 (70%) reached their plateau in the first year; however, there were significant further improvements in platelet count and α-fetoprotein level after the first year. The annual incidence of decompensation was 1.30 (95% confidence interval 0.83-2.02) per 100 person-years. In multivariable analysis, male sex and modified ALBI grade 2b at baseline were associated with decompensation.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large real-world cohort of patients with compensated cirrhosis treated with a DAA, remarkable improvement in hepatic function was seen after HCV cure, especially during the first year after the end of treatment. Treatment in the early stage of cirrhosis would be of great benefit for preventing liver deterioration to decompensation.

Liver function after combined selective internal radiation therapy or sorafenib monotherapy in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

SORAMIC is a previously published randomised controlled trial assessing survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma who received sorafenib with or without selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT). Based on the per-protocol (PP) population, we assessed whether the outcome of patients receiving SIRT+sorafenib vs. sorafenib alone was affected by adverse effects of SIRT on liver function.

METHODS

The PP population consisted of 109 (SIRT+sorafenib) vs. 173 patients (sorafenib alone). Comparisons were made between subgroups who achieved a significant survival benefit or trend towards improved survival with SIRT and the inverse group without a survival benefit: <65 years-old vs. ≥65 years-old, Child-Pugh 5 vs. 6, no transarterial chemoembolisation (TACE) vs. prior TACE, no cirrhosis vs. cirrhosis, non-alcohol- vs. alcohol-related aetiology. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score was used to monitor liver function over time during follow-up.

RESULTS

ALBI scores increased in all patient groups during follow-up. In the PP population, ALBI score increases were higher in the SIRT+sorafenib than the sorafenib arm (p = 0.0021 month 4, p <0.0001 from month 6). SIRT+sorafenib conferred a survival benefit compared to sorafenib alone in patients aged <65 years-old, those without cirrhosis, those with Child-Pugh 5, and those who had not received TACE. A higher increase in ALBI score was observed in the inverse subgroups in whom survival was not improved by adding SIRT (age ≥65 years-old, p <0.05; cirrhosis, p = 0.07; Child-Pugh 6, p <0.05; prior TACE, p = 0.08).

CONCLUSION

SIRT frequently has a negative, often subclinical, effect on liver function in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, which may impair prognosis after treatment. Careful patient selection for SIRT as well as prevention of clinical and subclinical liver damage by selective treatments, high tumour uptake ratio, and medical prophylaxis could translate into better efficacy.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

EudraCT 2009-012576-27, NCT01126645 LAY SUMMARY: This study of treatments in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma found that selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) has an adverse effect on liver function that may affect patient outcomes. Patients should be carefully selected before they undergo SIRT and the treatment technique should be optimised for maximum protection of non-target liver parenchyma.

Soluble CD163 Is a Predictor of Mortality in Patients With Decompensated Cirrhosis

Background: Soluble CD163 (sCD163) is a scavenger receptor membrane protein expressed almost exclusively on Kupffer cells and other macrophages. It was found to be associated with the severity of liver cirrhosis. The aim of the present study was to determine whether the novel biomarker sCD163 predicts outcomes in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Materials and Methods: A single-center, observational, prospective study with 345 decompensated cirrhosis patients was conducted in the Gastroenterology Department between January 2017 and December 2020. Their plasma samples were tested by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for sCD163 within 24 hours of admission. These patients were followed up at 28 days, 3 months and 6 months. The independent risk factors were identified with uni- and multivariate logistic regression analyses. We evaluated the predictive performance of the new scoring system (including sCD163) and the original scoring system. Results: The sCD163 level was significantly higher in non-surviving patients than in surviving patients. Positive associations were found between sCD163 levels and the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores. Logistic regression confirmed that sCD163 was an independent risk factor for 28-day, 3-month, and 6-month mortality. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of the use of sCD163 for the prediction of 28-day, 3-month, and 6-month mortality were relatively higher (AUROCs: 0.856; 0.823 and 0.811, respectively). The AUROCs of the new scores obtained by adding sCD163 to the original scoring systems (CTP + sCD163, MELD + sCD163 and ALBI + sCD163) showed that the new scoring systems had better predictive performance than the original scoring systems at all time points (P < 0.001). Conclusion: sCD163 is a prognostic predictor of short-term and long-term outcomes in decompensated cirrhosis patients. Accordingly, the addition of sCD163 to the original clinical scoring systems improved their prognostic performance.

Association of the Modified ALBI Grade With Endoscopic Findings of Gastroesophageal Varices

BACKGROUND/AIM

This study aimed to assess the association of the modified albumin-bilirubin (mALBI) grade with the endoscopic findings of gastroesophageal varices (GEVs).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 141 patients with histologically proven cirrhosis who underwent a liver biopsy and esophagogastroduodenoscopy were enrolled. The relationships between the mALBI grade and endoscopic findings were evaluated.

RESULTS

The incidence of GEVs and high-risk GEVs differed among mALBI grades. Patients with mALBI grades of 2b-3 had higher rates of GEVs and high-risk GEVs in comparison to those with mALBI grades of 1-2a (p<0.0001). In addition, patients with mALBI grade 2b or grade 3, but not those with mALBI grade 2a, had significantly higher rates of complicated GEVs and high-risk GEVs in comparison to those with mALBI grade 1.

CONCLUSION

The mALBI grade may be useful in predicting the presence of GEVs and for stratifying their bleeding risk.

Magnesium deficiency in liver cirrhosis: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Magnesium, known as "the forgotten electrolyte", is an essential element of life. Magnesium deficiency is implicated in many diseases, including liver cirrhosis. This study aimed to explore the prevalence of magnesium deficiency in liver cirrhosis and investigate the relationship between magnesium levels and complication of liver cirrhosis and clinical outcomes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Cirrhotic patients with serum magnesium levels measured were retrospectively identified from 2016 to 2017. Demographics, laboratory parameters, complications were collected. The Child-Pugh class, MELD score, and ALBI score were calculated.

RESULTS

The mean serum magnesium level of all 152 patients was lower than the normal, including 92 patients diagnosed with magnesium deficiency. Compared to Child-Pugh class A, magnesium levels were significantly lower in the patients with Child-Pugh class B or C (F = 10.26, p < .05). Magnesium levels were also considerably lower in the group with MELD score ≥21, compared to the other two groups with MELD score < 15 or 15-20 (F = 6.59, p < .05). Similarly, magnesium levels were significantly lower in the group with ALBI score > -1.39 (grade 3), compared to the other two groups with ALBI with score ≤ -2.6 (grade 1) or > -2.6, ≤ -1.39 (grade 2) (F = 8.44, p<.001). Furthermore, magnesium levels were lower in cirrhotic patients with infection. Magnesium-deficient patients had lower transplant-free survival rates than non-deficient patients.

CONCLUSION

Magnesium deficiency is highly prevalent in cirrhotic patients. Magnesium deficiency is related to worse transplant-free survival, infection and the severity of liver cirrhosis.

Factors affecting the recovery of hepatic reserve after sustained virologic response by direct-acting antiviral agents in chronic hepatitis C virus-infected patients

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Since the advent of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy, the total eradication of hepatitis C virus has been achievable with the recovery of hepatic reserve after achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). Hence, here, we examined the factors affecting the recovery of hepatic reserve.

METHODS

We followed up 403 patients (male: 164, female: 239; genotype 1: 299, genotype 2: 104; median age: 69 years) for at least 3 years after they achieved SVR to DAA therapy. Of these patients, 75 (18.6%) had a history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Biochemical tests were periodically performed, and the hepatic reserve was evaluated based on the albumin-bilirubin grade. We examined background factors such as age, biochemical test results, HCC occurrence and portosystemic shunt by computed tomography.

RESULTS

At the start of treatment, the albumin-bilirubin grades were grades 1, 2, and 3 in 241, 157, and 5 patients, respectively, and 3 years later, 117 of 162 (72%) patients with grade 2 or 3 improved to grade 1. Multivariate analysis identified the HCC occurrence after achievement of SVR (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.08, P < 0.0138), male sex (HR: 3.45, P = 0.0143), hemoglobin level of <11.5 g/dL (HR: 4.19, P = 0.0157), the presence of a portosystemic shunt (HR: 3.07, P = 0.0349), and alanine aminotransferase levels <45 U/L (HR: 2.67, P = 0.0425) as factors inhibiting improvement to grade 1. However, old age was not an inhibitory factor.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrate that hepatic reserve could be improved even in elderly patients over a long course of time.

MicroRNA-29b/c-3p Indicate Advanced Liver Fibrosis/Cirrhosis in Univentricular Heart Patients With and Without Fontan Palliation

Aim: The present study aims to identify those microRNAs (miRNAs) in patients with univentricular heart (UVH) disease with and without Fontan palliation that may be associated with advanced liver fibrosis/cirrhosis. Materials and Methods: SurePrint™ 8 × 60K Human v21 miRNA arrays were used to determine the miRNA abundance profiles in the blood of 48 UVH patients with and without Fontan palliation and 32 matched healthy controls. The abundance levels of selected miRNAs have been validated by quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). Results: According to microarray analysis, 50 miRNAs were found to be significantly abundant in UVH patients of which miR-29b-3p and miR-29c-3p were significantly related to the model of end-stage liver disease (MELD)-Albumin and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score representing advanced liver fibrosis/cirrhosis. Relative expression levels of both miRNAs were significantly higher in patients with a higher collapsibility index representing venous hepatic congestion, a higher MELD-Albumin or ALBI score and incomplete or no Fontan palliation. In the logistic regression analysis, a MELD-Albumin score ≥ 11 or ALBI score > -2.6 were best predicted by total bilirubin (OR 6.630, P = 0.016), albumin (OR 0.424, P = 0.026), and miR-29c-3p (OR 33.060, P = 0.047). After adjustment to the status of Fontan palliation, however, no statistical significance of these parameters was found thus underlining the importance of palliation status on progression of liver fibrosis/ cirrhosis in UVH patients. Conclusions: In UVH patients with and without Fontan palliation, miR-29b-3p and miR-29c-3p seem to be markers of advanced liver fibrosis/cirrhosis and thus may be used in the risk assessment of these patients.

Impact of direct-acting antiviral agents on liver function in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection

Whilst the benefit of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) in achieving sustained virological response (SVR) is now well-accepted, their impact on liver function, particularly in relation to achievement of SVR, has not been well documented. We studied 2394 patients with chronic HCV infection, 1276 receiving DAAs and 1118 interferon-based therapy. Liver function was assessed by the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score or grade. Overall survival according to SVR status and baseline ALBI grade was examined. We also studied time to first decompensation according to ALBI grade, as well as longitudinal changes in ALBI score over time according to SVR. Among the patients receiving DAAs, 89% achieved SVR (Japan = 99%, UK = 78%). Amongst the decompensated patients in the UK cohort, three distinct risk groups according to ALBI grade at baseline were observed. The UK patients receiving DAAs, who had predominantly decompensated disease, showed clear evidence of improvement of liver function detectable within 2 years of the start of treatment, especially in those achieving SVR. These early changes in liver function were very similar to those observed in the first 2-3 years after interferon-based therapy. DAAs improve liver function especially in those with decompensated disease who achieve SVR. Experience with interferon-based therapy suggests that failure to achieve SVR is associated with long-term decline in liver function and, in contrast, patients who do achieve SVR can expect long-term disease improvement and subsequent stabilization of liver function. Our initial analysis suggests that those receiving DAAs are likely, in the long term, to follow a similar course.

EZ-ALBI Score for Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma Prognosis

INTRODUCTION

The ALBI score is acknowledged as the gold standard for the assessment of liver function in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Unlike the Child-Pugh score, the ALBI score uses only objective parameters, albumin (Alb) and total bilirubin (T.Bil), enabling a better evaluation. However, the complex calculation of the ALBI score limits its applicability. Therefore, we developed a simplified ALBI score, based on data from a large-scale HCC database. We used the data of 5,249 naïve HCC cases registered in eight collaborating hospitals.

METHODS

We developed a new score, the EZ (Easy)-ALBI score, based on regression coefficients of Alb and T.Bil for survival risk in a multivariate Cox proportional hazard model. We also developed the EZ-ALBI grade and EZ-ALBI-T grade as alternative options for the ALBI grade and ALBI-T grade and evaluated their stratifying ability.

RESULTS

The equation used to calculate the EZ-ALBI score was simple {[T.Bil (mg/dL)] - [9 × Alb (g/dL)]}; this value highly correlated with the ALBI score (correlation coefficient, 0.981; p < 0.0001). The correlation was preserved across different Barcelona clinic liver cancer grade scores (regression coefficient, 0.93-0.98) and across different hospitals (regression coefficient, 0.98-0.99), indicating good generalizability. Although a good agreement was observed between ALBI and EZ-ALBI, discrepancies were observed in patients with poor liver function (T.Bil, ≥3 mg/dL; regression coefficient, 0.877). The stratifying ability of EZ-ALBI grade and EZ-ALBI-T grade were good and their Akaike's information criterion values (35,897 and 34,812, respectively) were comparable with those of ALBI grade and ALBI-T grade (35,914 and 34,816, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The EZ-ALBI score, EZ-ALBI grade, and EZ-ALBI-T grade are useful, simple scores, which might replace the conventional ALBI score in the future.

Efficacy and Safety of the Radiotherapy for Liver Cancer: Assessment of Local Controllability and its Role in Multidisciplinary Therapy

This study investigated the efficacy and safety of radiotherapy as part of multidisciplinary therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Clinical data of 49 HCC patients treated with radiotherapy were assessed retrospectively. The efficacy of radiotherapy was assessed by progression-free survival, disease control rate, and overall survival. Safety was assessed by symptoms and hematological assay, and changes in hepatic reserve function were determined by Child-Pugh score and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score. Forty patients underwent curative radiotherapy, and nine patients with portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) underwent palliative radiotherapy as part of multidisciplinary therapy. Local disease control for curative therapy was 80.0% and stereotactic body radiotherapy was 86.7% which was greater than that of conventional radiotherapy (60.0%). Patients with PVTT had a median observation period of 651 days and 75% three-year survival when treated with multitherapy, including radiotherapy for palliative intent, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, and administration of molecular targeted agents. No adverse events higher than grade 3 and no changes in the Child-Pugh score and ALBI score were seen. Radiotherapy is safe and effective for HCC treatment and can be a part of multidisciplinary therapy.

Changes in the Body Composition and Nutritional Status after Long-term Rifaximin Therapy for Hyperammonemia in Japanese Patients with Hepatic Encephalopathy

Objective Rifaximin has become available for treating hyperammonemia in patients with hepatic encephalopathy. This study analyzed the changes in the body composition and nutritional status after long-term rifaximin therapy. Methods Twenty-one patients who underwent rifaximin therapy at 1,200 mg/day for more than 24 weeks were evaluated for the changes in the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) scores for the nutritional assessment, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores for the liver function assessment, and skeletal muscle index (SMI) for the body composition assessment. Results There were 17 men and 4 women, with a mean age of 67.14±8.32 years. Eleven cases had a portosystemic shunt (52.3%), and 10 had hepatocellular carcinoma (47.6%). The Child-Pugh class was A in 9 cases (42.9%), B in 9 cases (42.9%), and C in 3 cases (14.2%). The blood ammonia levels in the rifaximin group improved significantly upon rifaximin therapy, from 124.76±28.68 μg/dL at baseline to 47.00±14.43 μg/dL after 2 weeks (p<0.001) and 49.81±15.02 μg/dL after 24 weeks (p<0.001). The CONUT scores improved significantly during rifaximin therapy, from 6.47±3.25 at baseline to 3.33±2.65 after 24 weeks (p=0.0007). The ALBI scores also improved significantly from -0.39±1.89 at baseline to -2.20±0.55 after 24 weeks (p=0.0002). The SMI scores showed that the body composition had been maintained in response to rifaximin therapy (50.20±7.67 at baseline and 51.29±7.62 after 24 weeks). Conclusion Rifaximin administration for hepatic encephalopathy improved the CONUT and ALBI scores. It may have a secondary effect on the improvement in the nutritional status and hepatic reserve.

Upper gastrointestinal bleeding in Egyptian patients with cirrhosis: Post-therapeutic outcome and prognostic indicators

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a serious complication of portal hypertension in cirrhotic patients. The objective of this study is to identify the risk factors for morbidity and mortality occurring after an UGIB attack.

METHODS

A total of 1097 UGIB attacks in 690 patients with liver cirrhosis were studied. Their clinical, laboratory, and endoscopic data were reviewed.

RESULTS

Mean age 53.2 ± 10.6 (20-90) years, 78% men and the main cause of liver disease was hepatitis C (94.9%). Complications occurred after 467 attacks (42.6%): hepatic encephalopathy 31.4%, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis 18%, renal impairment 13.2%, and re-bleeding in 7.8%, while 199 patients (18.1%) died. Complications followed 78.4% of bleeding from gastric varices, 75% of post-interventional ulcers, 10.8% of peptic ulcers, and 5.9% of telangiectasias. By univariate analysis: packed red blood cells units transfused, transaminases, Child-Pugh (CP), model of end-stage liver disease (MELD), and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores, beside the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), previous hemorrhage in the previous 6 months, and the source of bleeding, were associated with occurrence of complications. By multivariate analysis, independent predictors of complications were CP, MELD, and ALBI scores (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval: 5.63, 3.55-8.93; 1.15, 1.11-1.19; and 2.11, 1.4-3.19, respectively) beside the presence of HCC (4.89, 2.48-9.64). Mortality predictors were packed red blood cells units transfused (1.11, 1.01-1.24), CP (5.1, 1.42-18.25) MELD (1.27, 1.21-1.32) scores, and presence of HCC (6.62, 2.93-14.95).

CONCLUSION

High CP, MELD, and ALBI scores beside the presence of HCC could predict poor outcome of UGIB. In the absence of these risk factors, early discharge could be considered if the source of bleeding is peptic ulcer or telangiectasia.

ALBI and PALBI: Novel Scores for Outcome Prediction of Cirrhotic Outpatients Awaiting Liver Transplantation

Cirrhosis has four different stages that encompass mild stable compensated cirrhosis, stable cirrhosis with prior decompensation, acutely decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure. A worse ALBI score has been associated to an increased mortality in a recent study involving patients with stable cirrhosis and prior decompensation.

Radiofrequency ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis of overall survival and recurrence-free survival

Background and aims

So far, no randomized trial or meta-analysis has been conducted on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) factors in patients treated with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) alone. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to evaluate prognostic factors of OS and RFS in patients treated with RFA.

Methods

A primary analysis was planned to evaluate the clinical prognostic factor of OS. RFS was the secondary aim. Thirty-four studies published from 2003 to 2017 were analyzed. They included 11,216 hepatocellular carcinoma patients.

Results

The results showed that Child-Pugh B vs Child-Pugh A (HR =2.32; 95% CI: 2.201-2.69; P<0.0001) and albumin-bilirubin score 1 vs 0 (HR =2.69; 95% CI: 2.10-3.44; P<0.0001) were predictive of poor OS. Tumor size as a continuous variable was not predictive of OS, although it was predictive of OS when we considered the size as a cutoff value (.2 cm vs <2 cm: HR =1.41; 95% CI: 1.23-1.61; P<0.0001; >3 cm vs <3 cm: HR =1.43; 95% CI: 1.17-1.74; P<0.0001) and in presence of >1 nodule (HR =1.59; 95% CI: 1.46-1.74; P<0.0001). Alpha-fetoprotein >20 ng/mL (HR =1.46; 95% CI: 1.25-1.70; P<0.0001) was the only predictive factor of poor prognosis.

Conclusion

Our meta-analysis highlighted that the maximum benefit of RFA in terms of OS and RFS is reached in the presence of Child-Pugh A, albumin-bilirubin score 1, single-nodule tumor sized <2 cm, and alpha-fetoprotein <20 ng/mL.