Agile 3+ and Agile 4, noninvasive tests for liver fibrosis, are excellent formulae to predict liver-related events in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Role of noninvasive tests in the prognostication of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

In managing metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, which affects over 30% of the general population, effective noninvasive biomarkers for assessing disease severity, monitoring disease progression, predicting the development of liver-related complications, and assessing treatment response are crucial. The advantage of simple fibrosis scores lies in their widespread accessibility through routinely performed blood tests and extensive validation in different clinical settings. They have shown reasonable accuracy in diagnosing advanced fibrosis and good performance in excluding the majority of patients with a low risk of liver-related complications. Among patients with elevated serum fibrosis scores, a more specific fibrosis and imaging biomarker has proved useful to accurately identify patients at risk of liver-related complications. Among specific fibrosis blood biomarkers, enhanced liver fibrosis is the most widely utilized and has been approved in the United States as a prognostic biomarker. For imaging biomarkers, the availability of vibration-controlled transient elastography has been largely improved over the past years, enabling the use of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for accurate assessment of significant and advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. Combining LSM with other routinely available blood tests enhances the ability to diagnose at-risk metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis and predict liver-related complications, some reaching an accuracy comparable to that of liver biopsy. Magnetic resonance imaging-based modalities provide the most accurate quantification of liver fibrosis, though the current utilization is limited to research settings. Expanding their future use in clinical practice depends on factors such as cost and facility availability.

Prognostic performance of the two-step clinical care pathway in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Current guidelines recommend a two-step approach for risk stratification in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) involving Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) or similar second-line tests. This study aimed to examine the prognostic performance of this approach.

METHODS

The VCTE-Prognosis study was a longitudinal study of patients with MASLD who had undergone VCTE examinations at 16 centres from the US, Europe and Asia with subsequent follow-up for clinical events. The primary endpoint was incident liver-related events (LREs), defined as hepatic decompensation and/or hepatocellular carcinoma.

RESULTS

Of 12,950 patients (mean age 52 years, 41% female, 12.1% LSM >12 kPa), baseline FIB-4, at cut-offs of 1.3 (or 2.0 for age ≥65) and 2.67, classified 66.3% as low-risk and 9.8% as high-risk, leaving 23.9% in the intermediate-risk zone. After classifying intermediate FIB-4 patients as low-risk if LSM was <8.0 kPa and high-risk if LSM was >12.0 kPa, 81.5%, 4.6%, and 13.9% of the full cohort were classified as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. At a median (IQR) follow-up of 47 (23-72) months, 248 (1.9%) patients developed LREs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of LREs was 0.5%, 1.0% and 10.8% in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, respectively. Replacing LSM with Agile 3+, Agile 4, and FAST did not reduce the intermediate-risk zone or improve event prediction. Classifying intermediate FIB-4 patients by LSM <10 kPa (low-risk) and >15 kPa (high-risk) reduced the intermediate-risk zone while maintaining predictive performance.

CONCLUSIONS

The non-invasive two-step approach of FIB-4 followed by LSM is effective in classifying patients at different risks of LREs.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is emerging as one of the leading causes of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide, but only a minority of patients will develop these complications. Therefore, it is necessary to use non-invasive tests instead of liver biopsy for risk stratification. Additionally, as most patients with MASLD are seen in primary care instead of specialist settings, cost and availability of the tests should be taken into consideration. In this multicentre study, the use of the Fibrosis-4 index followed by liver stiffness measurement by vibration-controlled transient elastography effectively identified patients who would later develop liver-related events. The results support current recommendations by various regional guidelines on a clinical care pathway based on non-invasive tests to diagnose advanced liver fibrosis.

Red cell distribution width/platelet ratio predicts decompensation of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease

Prognostication of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) is of paramount importance for the physician-and-patient communication and for rational clinical decisions. The paper published by Dallio et al reports on red cell distribution width (RDW)/platelet ratio (RPR) as a non-invasive biomarker in predicting decompensation of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-related cACLD. Differently from other biomarkers and algorithms, RPR is inexpensive and widely available, based on parameters which are included in a complete blood count. RPR is computed on the grounds of two different items, one of which, RDW, mirrors the host's response to a variety of disease stimuli and is non-specific. The second parameter involved in RPR, platelet count, is more specific and has been used in the hepatological clinic to discriminate cirrhotic from non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease for decades. Cardiovascular disease is the primary cause of mortality among MASLD subjects, followed by extra-hepatic cancers and liver-related mortality. Therefore, MASLD biomarkers should be validated not only in terms of liver-related events but also in the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events and cardiovascular mortality and extra-hepatic cancers. Adequately sized multi-ethnic confirmatory investigation is required to define the role and significance of RPR in the stratification of MASLD-cACLD.

Golgi protein 73: charting new territories in diagnosing significant fibrosis in MASLD: a prospective cross-sectional study

Objectives

To explore the correlation between serum Golgi protein 73 (GP73) levels and the degree of fibrosis in Metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD); to establish a non-invasive diagnostic algorithm based on serum GP73 and liver elasticity.

Methods

This is a prospective cross-sectional study, including 228 patients diagnosed with MASLD from May 2018 to January 2024 at two tertiary hospitals. Clinical data and hepatic pathological features and the correlation between serum GP73 and liver fibrosis were assessed. A new algorithm was conducted after logistic regression. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was used to compare its diagnostic performance with traditional models.

Results

Significant fibrosis was diagnosed in 37.2% (85/228) patients. Serum GP73 levels were markedly higher in patients with significant fibrosis than in those without (128 ng/mL v.s 46 ng/mL, p< 0.001). Serum GP73 levels independently predicted significant liver fibrosis (adjusted odds ratio, aOR 1.028, p< 0.001). A new algorithm based on GP73 was developed with a higher area under ROC (AUC) of 0.840 than that of Fibrosis index-4 (p< 0.001).

Conclusions

Serum GP73 is an independent risk factor for significant liver fibrosis in MASLD, and the GFA (GP73-Fibroscan-Age) model has good diagnostic efficacy for significant liver fibrosis.

Utility of Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer as an excellent biomarker for the prediction of liver fibrosis, activity, and hepatocellular carcinoma onset: an expert review

Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) is a liver fibrosis biomarker that originated in Japan and has been covered by health insurance for 10 years. M2BPGi is useful not only for liver fibrosis stage prediction but also for assessment of the degree of liver inflammation and prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development. The usefulness of M2BPGi for assessing disease progression in patients with various chronic liver diseases has been demonstrated over the past decade in a large number of patients. Recently, there have been many reports from outside Japan, including reports from South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and China. These studies demonstrated that M2BPGi is an excellent biomarker that can evaluate the progression of liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease. It is also an excellent indicator of liver activity. Recently, a quantitative M2BPGi (M2BPGi-Qt) assay was developed, and future validation in real-world settings is expected. This will enable diagnosis of the progression of liver fibrosis based on more precise test results and is expected to contribute to the early detection and follow-up of diseases caused by chronic hepatitis, as well as post-treatment monitoring. The significance of the M2BPGi-Qt assay will likely become clearer as real-world data accumulate. If new cutoff values for each chronic liver disease stage and activity level using the M2BPGi-Qt assay are set based on real-world data, it is expected that this will become a useful tool to identify cases of liver fibrosis and monitor the progression of chronic liver disease.

An updated overview on hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease: Trends, pathophysiology and risk-based surveillance

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a relevant complication occurring in individuals with advanced Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD). Recent epidemiological data suggest an alarming increase in the HCC burden worldwide, with a relevant proportion attributable to MASLD (up to 38 %), either in cirrhotic or non-cirrhotic livers. In view of the changing landscape of metabolic syndrome as "silent pandemic", this narrative review aims to provide an updated picture of the burden of HCC in individuals with MASLD. In the complex pathophysiological pathways linking insulin resistance to MASLD and cardiometabolic syndrome, metabolic inflammation appears a relevant driver of systemic as well as organ-specific complications. Novel insights from the field of immunology, gut-derived liver damage, and association with extra-hepatic cancers will be discussed. Finally, strategies for risk-based HCC surveillance (circulating biomarkers, prognostic models and polygenic risk scores) will be provided and the potential impact of novel drug targeting fibrosing Metabolic dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis (MASH) on incident HCC will be discussed.

Prognostic Accuracy of Transient Elastography-Based Predictors in Diabetes and Obesity: A Multicenter International Cohort Study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is recommended for risk stratification of patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). More recently, AGILE3 + and AGILE4 have combined LSM with clinical parameters to identify patients with advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, respectively. However, there are limited data on prognostic performance of these scores in key at-risk subgroups such as those with diabetes and obesity compared to LSM alone.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study including 1903 adult patients with NAFLD from tertiary care centers in the United States and Singapore undergoing VCTE between 2015 and 2022. Primary predictors were FAST, LSM, AGILE3 + , and AGILE4 scores and the primary outcome was liver-related events (LRE). Patients were further stratified by diabetes and obesity status. Prognostic performance was measured using the time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (tAUC) at 5 years.

RESULTS

In total, 25 LRE occurred and the overall incidence rate of LRE was 4.4 per 1000 person-years. tAUC for predicting LRE in the overall group was significantly higher with AGILE3 + (0.94 [95% CI: 0.90-0.98]) and AGILE4 (0.94 [95% CI: 0.90-0.98]) compared to LSM (0.87 [95% CI: 0.80-0.94]) (p = 0.001 and 0.009, respectively) and FAST (0.73 [95% CI: 0.59-0.86]) (p < 0.001 for both). Similarly, tAUC was significantly higher in those with T2D for AGILE3 + compared to LSM (0.92 vs 0.86, respectively) (p = 0.015) and FAST (0.92 vs 0.73, respectively) (p = 0.008). Among people with obesity, tAUC was significantly higher for AGILE3 + compared to LSM (0.95 vs 0.89, respectively) (p = 0.005) and FAST (0.95 vs 0.76, respectively) (p = 0.0035). Though AGILE4 had a higher tAUC in these subgroups compared to LSM, it did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

AGILE3 + significantly outperforms LSM and FAST for predicting LRE in patients with NAFLD including in those with diabetes or obesity.

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 scores predict chronic kidney disease development in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Despite the development of transient elastography (TE)-based Agile scores for diagnosing fibrotic burden in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), their applicability in predicting kidney outcomes remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between liver fibrotic burden, as assessed by Agile scores, and the risk of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) in patients with MASLD.

METHODS

A total of 3240 participants with MASLD but without pre-existing CKD who underwent TE between July 2006 and October 2018 were selected. The primary outcome was incident CKD, defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or proteinuria (≥1+ on dipstick) on two consecutive measurements. The secondary outcome was a 25% decline in eGFR measured on two consecutive visits.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 3.6 years, 187 participants (5.8%) developed incident CKD. When stratified into three groups according to Agile 3+ scores, multivariable Cox models revealed that risk of incident CKD was 2.77-fold (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.89-4.07; p < 0.001) higher in the high-risk group (Agile 3+ >0.68), compared to the low-risk group (Agile 3+ <0.45). During a median follow-up of 3.4 years, the high-risk group had a 2.41-fold higher risk (95% CI, 1.86-3.12; p < 0.001) of experiencing the secondary outcome, compared to the low-risk group. Similar findings were observed for Agile 4 scores. Prediction testing revealed that Agile scores were better predictors of kidney outcomes, compared to liver stiffness measured by TE.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with MASLD, but without CKD, advanced liver fibrosis measured by Agile scores was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident CKD.

The grade of obesity affects the noninvasive diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in individuals with MASLD

OBJECTIVE

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is closely associated with obesity. We aimed to assess the impact of obesity on the performance of different noninvasive tests, including liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and Agile3+ (A3+), to detect advanced fibrosis (AF) in a population of patients with MASLD encompassing a wide range of BMI values.

METHODS

A total of 479 patients with MASLD were consecutively included (Lyon Hepatology Institute). Clinical data and noninvasive tests, including FibroTest, LSM, A3+, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), magnetic resonance elastography, and liver biopsies, were collected. AF was determined by a composite endpoint, i.e., histological stage ≥ F3, overt diagnosis of cirrhosis by magnetic resonance elastography, or concordant LSM ≥ 9.6 kPa and FibroTest ≥ F3.

RESULTS

The median BMI was 35.0 kg/m2, and the prevalence of AF was 28.6%. Patients with BMI ≥ 35 versus <35 had a lower proportion of AF, i.e., 19.3% versus 38.1% (p < 0.001), but higher indeterminate status for AF (34.2% vs. 15.4%; p < 0.001). In the case of BMI ≥ 35, LSM had lower specificity to rule in AF (77.9%) versus A3+ (90.4%), but A3+ had decreased sensitivity to rule out AF. A sequential LSM/A3+ strategy achieved high specificity to rule in AF and lowered the proportion of indeterminate cases in patients with BMI ≥ 35.

CONCLUSIONS

The grade of obesity affects the detection of MASLD-related AF. A sequential use of LSM/A3+ could improve AF detection in patients with BMI ≥ 35.

Proteomic analysis of serum extracellular vesicles reveals Fibulin-3 as a new marker predicting liver-related events in MASLD

BACKGROUND

There is a need for novel noninvasive markers for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) to stratify patients at high risk for liver-related events including liver cancer and decompensation. In the present study, we used proteomic analysis of proteins in extracellular vesicles (EVs) to identify new biomarkers that change with fibrosis progression and can predict the development of liver-related events.

METHODS

We analyzed serum EVs from 50 patients with MASLD assessed for liver fibrosis by biopsy and identified proteins that altered with advanced fibrosis. A further evaluation was conducted on another cohort of 463 patients with MASLD with biopsy.

RESULTS

Eight candidate proteins were identified by proteomic analysis of serum EVs. Among them, serum levels of Fibulin-3, Fibulin-1, and Ficolin 1 correlated with their EV levels. In addition, serum Fibulin-3 and serum Fibulin-1 levels changed significantly with advanced fibrosis. Using another cohort with biopsy, we found that the serum Fibulin-3 concentration was significantly greater in those with advanced fibrosis but that the serum Fibulin-1 concentration was not significantly different. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that a higher Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and higher serum Fibulin-3 concentration were independent risk factors for liver-related events. When the cutoff value for the serum Fibulin-3 concentration was 6.0 µg/mL according to the Youden index of AUROCs, patients with high serum Fibulin-3 significantly more frequently developed liver-related events than did other patients. Validation using another cohort of 226 patients with clinically diagnosed MASLD confirmed that high serum Fibulin-3 levels are associated with a greater frequency of liver-related events.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum Fibulin-3 was identified as a biomarker for predicting liver-related events in patients with MASLD.

Natural history of lean and non-lean metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Conflicting evidence regarding the prognosis of lean metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has raised substantial questions.

AIM

This study aimed to elucidate the prognosis of lean MASLD by conducting a comprehensive analysis of a vast Asian cohort.

METHODS

This study used a nationwide, population-based database and analyzed 2.9 million patients. The primary endpoints were liver-related events (LREs) and cardiovascular events (CVEs) in patients with lean MASLD, non-lean MASLD, and normal liver control groups.

RESULTS

The median observation period was 4.2 years. The 5-year incidence values of LREs in the lean MASLD, non-lean MASLD, and normal liver control groups were 0.065%, 0.039%, and 0.006%, respectively. The LRE risk of lean MASLD was significantly higher than that of normal liver control (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 5.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.95-8.92) but comparable to that of non-lean MASLD (aHR: 1.35, 95% CI: 0.87-2.08). By contrast, for CVEs, the non-lean MASLD group exhibited a higher 5-year cumulative incidence rate (0.779%) than the lean MASLD (0.600%) and normal liver control (0.254%) groups. The lean MASLD group had a reduced risk of CVEs compared with the non-lean MASLD group (aHR, 0.73; 95% CI: 0.64-0.84), and comparable risk of CVEs to the normal liver control group (aHR, 0.99; 95% CI: 0.88-1.12).

CONCLUSION

Lean MASLD exhibits a similar LRE risk and a lower CVE risk to non-lean MASLD. Therefore, follow-up and treatment strategies should be tailored to the specific MASLD condition.

FAST and Agile-the MASLD drift: Validation of Agile 3+, Agile 4 and FAST scores in 246 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients meeting MASLD criteria of prevalent caucasian origin

BACKGROUND

MASLD is a prevalent chronic liver condition with substantial clinical implications. This study aimed to assess the effectiveness of three new, elastography-based, scoring systems for advanced fibrosis ≥F3 (Agile 3+), cirrhosis F4 (Agile 4), and fibrotic NASH: NASH + NAS ≥4 + F≥2 (FAST score), in a cohort of biopsy-proven NAFLD meeting MASLD criteria. Our secondary aim was to compare their diagnostic performances with those of other fibrosis prediction tools: LSM-VCTE alone, and common, easily available scores (FIB-4 or APRI).

METHODS

Single-center, retrospective study, on consecutive patients with baseline laboratory tests, liver biopsy, and reliable LSM-VCTE measurements. The discrimination between tests was evaluated by analyzing the AUROCs. Dual cut-off approaches were applied to rule-out and rule-in ≥F3, F4 and fibrotic NASH. We tested previously reported cut-off values and provided our best thresholds to achieve Se ≥85%, Se ≥90%, and Sp ≥90%, Sp ≥95%.

RESULTS

Among 246 patients, 113 (45.9%) were women, and 75 (30.5%) presented diabetes. Agile 3+ and Agile 4 demonstrated excellent performance in identifying ≥F3 and F4, achieving AUROCs of 0.909 and 0.968, while the FAST score yielded acceptable results in distinguishing fibrotic NASH. When compared to FIB-4 and LSM-VCTE, both Agile 3+ and Agile 4 performed better than FIB-4 and had a similar performance to LSM-VCTE, but with higher diagnostic accuracy, hence reducing the grey zone.

CONCLUSION

Agile 3+ and Agile 4 are reliable, non-invasive tests for identifying advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis in MASLD patients, while FAST score demonstrates moderate performance in identifying fibrotic NASH.