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Abdelmeguid A, El Banna AA, Elsheikh W, Ellakany AI, Sebastian S. Evaluation of Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis Predictors for Steroid Therapy Refractoriness. Dig Dis Sci 2025:10.1007/s10620-025-08982-4. [PMID: 40188169 DOI: 10.1007/s10620-025-08982-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2024] [Accepted: 03/10/2025] [Indexed: 04/07/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND One-third of patients presenting with acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) are steroid-refractory and require either colectomy or rescue therapy. Timely identification of risk factors predictive of steroid non-response in ASUC patients is crucial for initiating early rescue therapy. AIM To identify factors predicting steroid failure or colectomy in ASUC. METHODS Records of ASUC admissions over a six-year period in a tertiary inflammatory bowel disease center were included. Clinical variables, laboratory markers, and endoscopic scores at admission were obtained. The primary outcome was non-response to intravenous (IV) steroids. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with steroid non-response. Day-one and day-three composite indices were calculated. Their predictive value was assessed against the outcomes of steroid failure and requiring colectomy. RESULTS One hundred and three ASUC patients were included, of which 51 were steroid non-responders. Among non-responders, 48 received rescue therapy, and 6 underwent colectomy at index admission (3 after rescue therapy and 3 without). Day-one albumin (OR 0.906, P = 0.043) and being on oral steroids at entry (OR 3.009, P = 0.014) predicted non-response to steroids in both univariate and multivariate analyses. Admission hemoglobin level predicted steroid non-response only in univariate (OR 0.982, P = 0.047). Although an old score, Travis criteria predicted both steroid non-response (OR 8.4, P = 0.001) and requiring colectomy (OR 22.19, P = 0.006). CONCLUSION Lower albumin levels and being on oral steroids at admission for ASUC can predict IV steroid failure, and we suggest the possibility of early initiation of advanced therapy in this subgroup.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alaa Abdelmeguid
- Faculty of Medicine, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt.
- IBD Unit, Hull University Teaching Hospitals, Hull, UK.
| | | | - Wafaa Elsheikh
- Faculty of Medicine, Alexandria University, Alexandria, Egypt
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Dulai PS, Bonner LB, Sadler C, Raffals LE, Kochhar G, Lindholm P, Buckey JC, Toups GN, Rosas L, Narula N, Jairath V, Honap S, Peyrin‐Biroulet L, Sands BE, Hanauer SB, Scholtens DM, Siegel CA. Clinical Trial Design Considerations for Hospitalised Patients With Ulcerative Colitis Flares and Application to Study Hyperbaric Oxygen Therapy in the NIDDK HBOT-UC Consortium. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2024; 60:1512-1524. [PMID: 39403018 PMCID: PMC11599782 DOI: 10.1111/apt.18326] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2024] [Revised: 07/19/2024] [Accepted: 09/23/2024] [Indexed: 11/01/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) who are hospitalised for acute severe flares represent a high-risk orphan population. AIM To provide guidance for clinical trial design methodology in these patients. METHODS We created a multi-centre consortium to design and conduct a clinical trial for a novel therapeutic intervention (hyperbaric oxygen therapy) in patients with UC hospitalised for moderate-severe flares. During planning, we identified and addressed specific gaps for inclusion/exclusion criteria; disease activity measures; pragmatic trial design considerations within care pathways for hospitalised patients; standardisation of care delivery; primary and secondary outcomes; and sample size and statistical analysis approaches. RESULTS The Truelove-Witt criteria should not be used in isolation. Endoscopy is critical for defining eligible populations. Patient-reported outcomes should include rectal bleeding and stool frequency, with secondary measurement of urgency and nocturnal bowel movements. Trial design needs to be tailored to care pathways, with early intervention focused on replacing and/or optimising responsiveness to steroids and later interventions focused on testing novel rescue agents or strategies. The PRECIS-2 framework offers a means of tailoring to local populations. We provide standardisation of baseline testing, venous thromboprophylaxis, steroid dosing, discharge criteria and post-discharge follow-up to avoid confounding by usual care variability. Statistical considerations are provided given the small clinical trial nature of this population. CONCLUSION We provide an outline for framework decisions made for the hyperbaric oxygen trial in patients hospitalised for UC flares. Future research should focus on the remaining gaps identified.
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Affiliation(s)
- Parambir S. Dulai
- Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyNorthwestern UniversityChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Lauren Balmert Bonner
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Division of BiostatisticsNorthwestern UniversityChicagoIllinoisUSA
- Northwestern University Data Analysis and Coordinating Center (NUDACC)ChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Charlotte Sadler
- Division of Hyperbaric Medicine, Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of California San DiegoLa JollaCaliforniaUSA
| | - Laura E. Raffals
- Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyMayo ClinicRochesterMinnesotaUSA
| | - Gursimran Kochhar
- Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyAlleghany HealthPittsburghPennsylvaniaUSA
| | - Peter Lindholm
- Division of Hyperbaric Medicine, Department of Emergency MedicineUniversity of California San DiegoLa JollaCaliforniaUSA
| | - Jay C. Buckey
- Hyperbaric MedicineDartmouth Hitchcock Medical CenterLebanonNew HampshireUSA
| | | | - Libeth Rosas
- Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyNorthwestern UniversityChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Neeraj Narula
- Division of Gastroenterology and Farncombe Family Digestive Health Research InstituteMcMaster UniversityHamiltonOntarioCanada
| | - Vipul Jairath
- Division of Gastroenterology, Schulich School of MedicineWestern UniversityLondonOntarioCanada
- Lawson Health Research InstituteWestern UniversityLondonOntarioCanada
- Department of Epidemiology and BiostatisticsWestern UniversityLondonOntarioCanada
| | - Sailish Honap
- School of Immunology and Microbial SciencesKing's College LondonUK
- INFINY InstituteNancy University HospitalVandœuvre‐lès‐NancyFrance
| | | | - Bruce E. Sands
- Dr. Henry D. Janowitz Division of GastroenterologyIcahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Stephen B. Hanauer
- Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyNorthwestern UniversityChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Denise M. Scholtens
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Division of BiostatisticsNorthwestern UniversityChicagoIllinoisUSA
- Northwestern University Data Analysis and Coordinating Center (NUDACC)ChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Corey A. Siegel
- Division of Gastroenterology and HepatologyDartmouth Hitchcock Medical CenterLebanonNew HampshireUSA
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Zheng J, Fan Z, Li C, Wang D, Zhang S, Chen R. Predictors for colectomy in patients with acute severe ulcerative colitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ Open Gastroenterol 2024; 11:e001587. [PMID: 39542522 PMCID: PMC11575343 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgast-2024-001587] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2024] [Accepted: 10/15/2024] [Indexed: 11/17/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) poses challenges to patient management owing to its high surgical rate. This study aimed to identify predictors of colectomy in patients with ASUC. DESIGN This is a systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES PubMed and Web of Science were searched up to April 2024. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA Studies on the predictors of colectomy in adult patients with ASUC were eligible. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS Two reviewers independently extracted the data using a prespecified data collection sheet. A qualitative synthesis was performed in tabular form. Random-effect meta-analyses were conducted using OR and 95% CI. RESULTS Forty-two studies were included in the systematic review. The reported variables can be categorised into biomarkers, auxiliary examination findings, demographic and clinical characteristics, and drug factors. Through meta-analysis, albumin (OR 0.39 (95% CI 0.26 to 0.59) per 1 g/dL increment, I2=0.0%), high C reactive protein level (2.63 (1.53 to 4.52), I2=29.6%), high erythrocyte sedimentation rate level (2.92 (1.39 to 6.14), I2=0.0%), low haemoglobin level (2.08 (1.07 to 4.07), I2=56.4%), fulfilling the Oxford criteria (4.42 (2.85 to 6.84), I2=0.0%), extensive colitis (1.85 (1.24 to 2.78), I2=47.5%), previous steroids (1.75 (1.23 to 2.50), I2=17.7%) or azathioprine (2.25 (1.28 to 3.96), I2=0.0%) use, and sarcopenia (1.90 (1.04 to 3.45), I2=0.0%) were identified as valuable predictors for colectomy within 1 year. The ulcerative colitis endoscopic index of severity (OR 2.41 (95% CI 1.72 to 3.39), I2=1.5%) was the only predictor found to predict colectomy over 1 year. CONCLUSION Identification of these predictors may facilitate risk stratification of patients with ASUC, drive personalised treatment and reduce the need for colectomy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jieqi Zheng
- Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Zinan Fan
- Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Chao Li
- Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Daiyue Wang
- Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
| | - Shenghong Zhang
- Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
- Gastroenterology, Guangxi Hospital Division of The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Nanning, China
| | - Rirong Chen
- Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
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Croft A, Okano S, Hartel G, Lord A, Walker G, Tambakis G, Radford-Smith G. A personalised algorithm predicting the risk of intravenous corticosteroid failure in acute ulcerative colitis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2024; 60:921-933. [PMID: 39110549 DOI: 10.1111/apt.18190] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2024] [Revised: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 07/15/2024] [Indexed: 10/26/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND An episode of acute ulcerative colitis (UC) represents an important watershed moment in a patient's disease course. AIMS To derive a personalised algorithm for identifying patients at high risk of corticosteroid non-response from variables available at hospital presentation using a large prospectively collected acute UC patient database and machine learning-based techniques. METHODS We analysed data from 682 consecutive presentations of acute UC. We used an Akaike information criterion-based elastic net model to select variables based on the 419 earliest presentations of acute UC (1996-2017). We constructed two risk-scoring algorithms, with and without utilising additional endoscopic variables, using logistic regression models. We validated these risk scores on separate cohorts of 181 (2018-2022) and 82 (2015-2022) acute UC presentations. RESULTS The partial risk of rescue (ROR) score included the admission indices of oral corticosteroid treatment, bowel frequency ≥6/24 h, albumin, CRP ≥12 mg/mL and log10CRP. The full ROR score incorporates the same variables with the addition of the Mayo endoscopic subscore and disease extent. The AUCs in the main validation cohort were 0.76 (95% CI: 0.69-0.83) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.71-0.85) for the partial and full ROR scores, respectively. CONCLUSIONS These pragmatic personalised risk scores (available at www.severecolitis.com) have comparably strong performance characteristics and usability enabling the identification of individuals at high risk of corticosteroid non-response before or after endoscopic assessment. The ROR scores have the potential to challenge conventional acute UC treatment paradigms by identifying patients who may benefit from early rescue therapy or participation in relevant clinical trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony Croft
- Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- QIMR-Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Satomi Okano
- QIMR-Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Gunter Hartel
- QIMR-Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Anton Lord
- QIMR-Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Gareth Walker
- Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- QIMR-Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - George Tambakis
- Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- QIMR-Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Graham Radford-Smith
- Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- QIMR-Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
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Kuriakose Kuzhiyanjal AJ, Limdi JK. Management of acute severe ulcerative colitis-an update for generalist and specialist clinicians. Br Med Bull 2024; 151:3-15. [PMID: 38823040 DOI: 10.1093/bmb/ldae006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2024] [Revised: 04/15/2024] [Accepted: 05/20/2024] [Indexed: 06/03/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) is a potentially life-threatening medical emergency that occurs in up to 25% of patients with ulcerative colitis. Although intravenous corticosteroids remain the cornerstone of therapy, 30-40% of patients will not respond and need timely consideration of rescue therapy with (currently) either infliximab or ciclosporin or indeed colectomy, underscoring the importance of multidisciplinary care to ensure favourable outcomes for patients. We discuss the current evidence and present an approach to the management of ASUC for general and specialist clinicians caring for patients with ASUC. SOURCES OF DATA The information in this review is derived from data published in peer- reviewed academic journals and registered clinical trials. AREAS OF AGREEMENT Management of acute severe colitis requires a multidisciplinary approach with early initiation with steroids and timely escalation of treatment to either medical rescue therapy or surgery. AREAS OF CONTROVERSY Balancing the risks of delayed surgery vs. optimizing medical therapy, including accelerated dosing schedules for biologics, remains ambiguous. GROWING POINTS The position on newer molecules like Janus Kinase inhibitors, such as tofacitinib, is a growing area with early real-world data showing promise for steroid refractory ASUC. AREAS TIMELY FOR DEVELOPING RESEARCH Developing predictive biomarkers and clinical risk scores for personalized rescue therapy selection is an evolving area of research.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jimmy K Limdi
- Division of Gastroenterology-Section of IBD, Northern Care Alliance NHS Foundation Trust, Rochdale Old Rd, Bury, Manchester BL97TD, UK
- Manchester Academic Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Oxford Rd, Manchester M139PL, UK
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Kayal M, Meringer H, Martin L, Colombel JF. Systematic review: Scores used to predict outcomes in acute severe ulcerative colitis. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2023; 58:974-983. [PMID: 37817604 DOI: 10.1111/apt.17731] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2023] [Revised: 08/14/2023] [Accepted: 09/14/2023] [Indexed: 10/12/2023]
Abstract
Predictive scores for ASUC outcomes according to time of application.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maia Kayal
- Henry D. Janowitz Division of Gastroenterology, Susan and Leonard Feinstein Inflammatory Bowel Disease Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
| | - Hadar Meringer
- Henry D. Janowitz Division of Gastroenterology, Susan and Leonard Feinstein Inflammatory Bowel Disease Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
| | - Lily Martin
- Library Education & Research Services, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
| | - Jean Frederic Colombel
- Henry D. Janowitz Division of Gastroenterology, Susan and Leonard Feinstein Inflammatory Bowel Disease Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA
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Elhag DA, Kumar M, Saadaoui M, Akobeng AK, Al-Mudahka F, Elawad M, Al Khodor S. Inflammatory Bowel Disease Treatments and Predictive Biomarkers of Therapeutic Response. Int J Mol Sci 2022; 23:ijms23136966. [PMID: 35805965 PMCID: PMC9266456 DOI: 10.3390/ijms23136966] [Citation(s) in RCA: 56] [Impact Index Per Article: 18.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2022] [Revised: 06/05/2022] [Accepted: 06/06/2022] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is a chronic immune-mediated inflammation of the gastrointestinal tract with a highly heterogeneous presentation. It has a relapsing and remitting clinical course that necessitates lifelong monitoring and treatment. Although the availability of a variety of effective therapeutic options including immunomodulators and biologics (such as TNF, CAM inhibitors) has led to a paradigm shift in the treatment outcomes and clinical management of IBD patients, some patients still either fail to respond or lose their responsiveness to therapy over time. Therefore, according to the recent Selecting Therapeutic Targets in Inflammatory Bowel Disease (STRIDE-II) recommendations, continuous disease monitoring from symptomatic relief to endoscopic healing along with short- and long-term therapeutic responses are critical for providing IBD patients with a tailored therapy algorithm. Moreover, considering the high unmet need for novel therapeutic approaches for IBD patients, various new modulators of cytokine signaling events (for example, JAK/TYK inhibitors), inhibitors of cytokines (for example IL-12/IL-23, IL-22, IL-36, and IL-6 inhibitors), anti-adhesion and migration strategies (for example, β7 integrin, sphingosine 1-phosphate receptors, and stem cells), as well as microbial-based therapeutics to decolonize the bed buds (for example, fecal microbiota transplantation and bacterial inhibitors) are currently being evaluated in different phases of controlled clinical trials. This review aims to offer a comprehensive overview of available treatment options and emerging therapeutic approaches for IBD patients. Furthermore, predictive biomarkers for monitoring the therapeutic response to different IBD therapies are also discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Duaa Ahmed Elhag
- Research Department, Sidra Medicine, Doha 26999, Qatar; (D.A.E.); (M.K.); (M.S.)
| | - Manoj Kumar
- Research Department, Sidra Medicine, Doha 26999, Qatar; (D.A.E.); (M.K.); (M.S.)
| | - Marwa Saadaoui
- Research Department, Sidra Medicine, Doha 26999, Qatar; (D.A.E.); (M.K.); (M.S.)
| | - Anthony K. Akobeng
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Sidra Medicine, Doha 26999, Qatar; (A.K.A.); (F.A.-M.); (M.E.)
| | - Fatma Al-Mudahka
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Sidra Medicine, Doha 26999, Qatar; (A.K.A.); (F.A.-M.); (M.E.)
| | - Mamoun Elawad
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Sidra Medicine, Doha 26999, Qatar; (A.K.A.); (F.A.-M.); (M.E.)
| | - Souhaila Al Khodor
- Research Department, Sidra Medicine, Doha 26999, Qatar; (D.A.E.); (M.K.); (M.S.)
- Correspondence:
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