Correlation between clinical indication for treatment and liver histology in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B: a novel role of alpha-fetoprotein

Serum Alpha-Fetoprotein as a Predictor of Liver Fibrosis in HBeAg-Positive Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

Background and Objectives: Non-invasive methods for evaluating liver fibrosis have been a crucial focus of clinical research. The aim of the current study is to assess the accuracy of serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in determining the stage of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) who are positive for HBeAg. Materials and Methods: The current study included a total of 276 HBeAg-positive CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy. The levels of serum AFP were measured in these patients using electrochemiluminescence immunoassays. The correlations between serum AFP levels and other laboratory parameters were analyzed using Spearman's correlation analysis. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the independent associations between serum AFP levels and liver fibrosis. The diagnostic performance of serum AFP and other non-invasive markers was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results: A total of 59 (21.4%) patients were found to have elevated levels of serum AFP (>7 ng/mL). These patients displayed a significantly higher proportion of both advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis compared to those with normal serum AFP levels (0-7 ng/mL). The level of serum AFP was positively associated with levels of serum globulin (GLB), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and total bilirubin (TBIL), as well as the AST-to-platelet ratio (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and Scheuer's classification, and negatively correlated with platelet (PLT) counts. Furthermore, serum AFP was found to be independently associated with significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis. The results of the ROC analysis showed that serum AFP was an effective predictor of significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.773 (95% CI: 0.721-0.821), 0.889 (95% CI: 0.847-0.923), and 0.925 (95% CI: 0.887-0.953), respectively. These values are higher than those of the APRI and FIB-4. Conclusions: Serum AFP could serve as a valuable supplemental biomarker for determining the severity of liver fibrosis in HBeAg-positive patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Evolutionary Learning-Derived Clinical-Radiomic Models for Predicting Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Resection

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current prediction models for early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgical resection remain unsatisfactory. The aim of this study was to develop evolutionary learning-derived prediction models with interpretability using both clinical and radiomic features to predict early recurrence of HCC after surgical resection.

METHODS

Consecutive 517 HCC patients receiving surgical resection with available contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) images before resection were retrospectively enrolled. Patients were randomly assigned to a training set (n = 362) and a test set (n = 155) in a ratio of 7:3. Tumor segmentation of all CECT images including noncontrast phase, arterial phase, and portal venous phase was manually performed for radiomic feature extraction. A novel evolutionary learning-derived method called genetic algorithm for predicting recurrence after surgery of liver cancer (GARSL) was proposed to design prediction models for early recurrence of HCC within 2 years after surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 143 features, including 26 preoperative clinical features, 5 postoperative pathological features, and 112 radiomic features were used to develop GARSL preoperative and postoperative models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) for early recurrence of HCC within 2 years were 0.781 and 0.767, respectively, in the training set, and 0.739 and 0.741, respectively, in the test set. The accuracy of GARSL models derived from the evolutionary learning method was significantly better than models derived from other well-known machine learning methods or the early recurrence after surgery for liver tumor (ERASL) preoperative (AUC = 0.687, p < 0.001 vs. GARSL preoperative) and ERASL postoperative (AUC = 0.688, p < 0.001 vs. GARSL postoperative) models using clinical features only.

CONCLUSION

The GARSL models using both clinical and radiomic features significantly improved the accuracy to predict early recurrence of HCC after surgical resection, which was significantly better than other well-known machine learning-derived models and currently available clinical models.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein level per total tumor volume as a predictor of recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after resection

BACKGROUND

Alpha-fetoprotein has been used as a predictor of recurrence for hepatocellular carcinoma and disease-free survival post-resection. Studies in East Asia have shown that serum alpha-fetoprotein per total tumor volume ratio is a better prognostic indicator than alpha-fetoprotein alone. Similar studies in the United States evaluating serum alpha-fetoprotein to total tumor volume ratio have not been conducted. Its relevance is incompletely understood.

METHODS

Consecutive patients undergoing resection for hepatocellular carcinoma at a single tertiary center between 2000 and 2013 were identified for inclusion in this retrospective cohort study. Patient demographics, associated liver disease, Child-Pugh and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores, preoperative imaging, surgical pathology, alpha-fetoprotein at diagnosis, last alpha-fetoprotein before surgery, and peak alpha-fetoprotein levels were recorded. Actual tumor volume by imaging volumetrics was used when available (n = 70). For the remaining cases, total tumor volume was calculated using the sum of the volumes of all the tumors ((4/3)πr³) where "r" is the mean radius of each lesion. Peak serum alpha-fetoprotein was used to calculate the alpha-fetoprotein to total tumor volume ratio.

RESULTS

A total of 124 patients resected for hepatocellular carcinoma between 2000 and 2013 were identified. Overall 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival post resection was 76%, 53%, and 35%, respectively. On multivariate analysis, peak alpha-fetoprotein to total tumor volume ratio > 20 (P < .001, HR = 3.72, 95% CI [1.82-7.58]) and lymphovascular space invasion (P = .002, HR = 3.30, 95% CI [1.57-6.94]) were found to affect hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSION

A variety of prognostic values predict the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma postresection. Peak preoperative alpha-fetoprotein to total tumor volume > 20 and lymphovascular space invasion has been shown to predict recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma. Our study confirms findings from East Asian studies. But larger series are needed to establish this correlation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma not treated by resection.

Oral antiviral therapy improves the diagnostic accuracy of alpha-fetoprotein levels in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Analysis of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels affords limited diagnostic accuracy because of the high false-positive rates, especially in those with active chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We measured AFP levels before and after commencement of oral antiviral therapy and explored the utility of these data in terms of early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with CHB.

METHODS

A total of 207 patients with CHB who were treated with an oral antiviral agent were consecutively included. Dynamic changes in AFP levels and the diagnostic utility of such changes for HCC detection during the therapy were explored.

RESULTS

The proportions of patients showing elevated AFP levels (≥ 20 ng/mL) were 22.2%, 5.5%, and 1.3% at baseline; and at 6 and 12 months after commencement of antiviral therapy, respectively. All patients who did not suffer from HCC exhibited normalization of AFP levels at 12 months. The cumulative incidence of HCC was 9.5% during 36 months of follow-up. If AFP levels were over 20 ng/mL after 12 months of antiviral treatment, the probability of HCC development approached certainty. The positive predictive value for HCC development remained at 100% in patients prescribed long-term (≥ 12 months) antiviral therapy, if AFP levels persistently or abruptly elevated more than 12 ng/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

In the era of oral antiviral agents, AFP might be a useful biomarker for HCC surveillance in patients with CHB.

Prognosis evaluation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy: comparison of BCLC, TNM and Hangzhou criteria staging systems

Purpose

This study is to evaluate the Hangzhou criteria (HC) for patients with HCC undergoing surgical resection and to identify whether this staging system is superior to other staging systems in predicting the survival of resectable HCC.

Method

774 HCC patients underwent surgical resection between 2007 and 2009 in West China Hospital were enrolled retrospectively. Predictors of survival were identified using the Kaplan–Meier method and the Cox model. The disease state was staged by the HC, as well as by the TNM and BCLC staging systems. Prognostic powers were quantified using a linear trend χ2 test, c-index, and the likelihood ratio (LHR) χ2 test and correlated using Cox's regression model adjusted using the Akaike information criterion (AIC).

Results

Serum AFP level (P = 0.02), tumor size (P<0.001), tumor number (P<0.001), portal vein invasion (P<0.001), hepatic vein invasion (P<0.001), tumor differentiation (P<0.001), and distant organ (P = 0.016) and lymph node metastasis (P<0.001) were identified as independent risk factors of survival after resection by multivariate analysis. The comparison of the different staging system results showed that BCLC had the best homogeneity (likelihood ratio χ² test 151.119, P<0.001), the TNM system had the best monotonicity of gradients (linear trend χ² test 137.523, P<0.001), and discriminatory ability was the highest for the BCLC (the AUCs for 1-year mortality were 0.759) and TNM staging systems (the AUCs for 3-, and 5-year mortality were 0.738 and 0.731, respectively). However, based on the c-index and AIC, the HC was the most informative staging system in predicting survival (c-index 0.6866, AIC 5924.4729).

Conclusions

The HC can provide important prognostic information after surgery. The HC were shown to be a promising survival predictor in a Chinese cohort of patients with resectable HCC.

Management of HCC

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly prevalent and lethal neoplasia, the management of which has significantly improved during the last few years. A better knowledge of the natural history of the tumor and the development of staging systems that stratify patients according to the characteristics of the tumor, the liver disease, and the performance status, such as the BCLC (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer) system, have led to a better prediction of prognosis and to a most appropriate treatment approach. Today curative therapies (resection, transplantation, ablation) can improve survival in patients diagnosed at an early HCC stage and offer a potential long-term cure. Patients with intermediate stage HCC benefit from chemoembolization and those diagnosed at advanced stage benefit from sorafenib, a multikinase inhibitor with antiangiogenic and antiproliferative effects. In this article we review the current management in HCC and the new advances in this field.

Impact of body mass index and viral load on liver histology in hepatitis B e antigen-negative chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The impact of overweight and obesity on chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is unclear. This study was to examine the relationship among body mass index, viral load and liver histology in HBeAg-negative CHB.

METHODS

The study retrospectively investigated 136 HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who had undergone liver biopsies in Taiwan. Factors associated with significant liver histology were analyzed. Definitions of overweight and obesity for the Asian population were body mass index≥23 kg/m(2) and ≥25 kg/m(2), respectively.

RESULTS

The prevalence of overweight, obesity, and type 2 diabetes mellitus in the 136 patients were 22.8%, 52.2%, and 12.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified obesity, AST>40 U/L, HBV DNA>20,000IU/mL and platelet count<150 × 10(9)/L as independent factors associated with significant liver fibrosis. Similarly, overweight/obesity, ALT>80 U/L, HBV DNA>1,000,000IU/mL, and platelet count<150 × 10(9)/L were independent predictors of significant hepatic necro-inflammation. By stratification, high BMI and high viral load patients had more advanced stage and grade of liver histology.

CONCLUSIONS

Body mass index and HBV viral loads may have synergistic effect on disease progression in HBeAg-negative CHB. Both controlling body weight and anti-viral therapy are important in the management of CHB.