Assessing the population transmission dynamics of tilapia lake virus in farmed tilapia

A nested model with boosting and waning of immunity from Tilapia Lake Virus infection with distributed resistance to pathogens carrier-state

This paper proposes and analyzes an immune-structured population model of tilapia subject to Tilapia Lake Virus (TiLV) disease. The model incorporates within-host dynamics, used to describe the interaction between the pathogen, the immune system and the waning of immunity. Individuals infected with a low dose acquire a low immunity level and those infected with a high dose acquire a high level of immunity. Since individuals' immune status plays an important role in the spread of infectious diseases at the population level, the within-host dynamics are connected to the between-host dynamics in the population. We define an explicit formula for the reproductive number [Formula: see text] and show that the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text], while it is unstable when [Formula: see text]. Furthermore, we prove that an endemic equilibrium exists. We also study the influence of the initial distribution of host resistance on the spread of the disease, and find that hosts' initial resistance plays a crucial role in the disease dynamics. This suggests that the genetic selection aiming to improve hosts' initial resistance to TiLV could help fight the disease. The results also point out the crucial role played by the inoculum size. We find that the higher the initial inoculum size, the faster the dynamics of infection. Moreover, if the initial inoculum size is below a certain threshold, it may not result in an outbreak at the between-host level. Finally, the model shows that there is a strong negative correlation between heterogeneity and the probability of pathogen invasion.

A mathematical model for tilapia lake virus transmission with waning immunity

The goal of this paper is to investigate the influence of the waning immunity on the dynamics of Tilapia Lake Virus (TiLV) transmission in wild and farmed tilapia within freshwater. We formulate a model for which susceptible individuals can contract the disease in two ways: (i) direct mode caused by contact with infected individuals; (ii) indirect mode due to the presence of pathogenic agents in the water. We obtain an age-structured model which combines both age since infection and age since recovery. We derive an explicit formula for the reproductive number R0 and show that the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when, R0<1. We discuss on the form of the waning immunity parameter and show numerically that a Hopf bifurcation may occur for suitable immunity parameter values, which means that there is a periodic solution around the endemic equilibrium when, R0>1.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the relationship between farm management, water quality and pathogen outbreaks in tilapia culture

A systematic review and meta-analysis of on farm management and water quality as risk factors triggering pathogen outbreaks in tilapia culture is presented. A total of 121 papers from 28 countries, 37 devoted to management and 84 to water quality associated with the presence of pathogens in tilapia culture were analysed. Most of research has been made on ponds, focusing on bacteria and metazoans. Meta-analysis reveals the proportion of research showing statistical inferences between management (34%), water quality (38% for bacteria and 16.2% for metazoans) and pathogen outbreaks. The most cited parameters related to pathogens outbreaks were temperature (>30°C), dissolved oxygen (<5.0 mg/L), pH (<8.0) and ammonia (1.0 >mg/L) 65, 38, 32 and 34 papers, respectively. However, statistical inference was <20%. Meta-analysis reveals tendencies between high temperatures (30-35°C), low dissolved oxygen (<5 mg/L) and high NH₃ (1-5 mg/L) with pathogen outbreaks. Despite the knowledge about the relationship between management and water quality as factors for pathogen effects, most information is descriptive and empirical. Future research on tilapia culture outbreaks should be focused on the effects of multiple stressors affecting tilapia pathogen outbreaks, thereby generating strategies to prevent diseases and financial losses.

Assessing the effect of probiotics on tilapia lake virus-infected tilapia: Transmission and immune response

Probiotics have been used to alleviate disease transmission in aquaculture. However, there are limited studies on probiotic use in modulating tilapia lake virus (TiLV). We assessed commercially available probiotic supplements used in TiLV-infected tilapia and performed mortality and cohabitation assays. We developed a mechanistic approach to predict dose-response interactions of probiotic effects on mortality and immune gene response. We used a susceptible-infected-mortality disease model to assess key epidemiological parameters such as transmission rate and basic reproduction number (R₀ ) based on our viral load dynamic data. We found that the most marked benefits of probiotics are significantly associated with immune system enhancements (~30%) and reductions in disease transmission (~80%) and R₀ (~70%) in tilapia populations, resulting in a higher tolerance of farming densities (~400 fold) in aquaculture. These findings provide early insights as to how probiotic use-related factors may influence TiLV transmission and the immune responses in TiLV-infected tilapia. Our study facilitates understanding the mode of action of probiotics in disease containment and predicting better probiotic dosages in diet and supplements to achieve the optimal culturing conditions. Overall, our analysis assures that further study of rationally designed and targeted probiotics, or mechanistic modelling is warranted on the basis of promising early data of this approach.

Efficiency, sensitivity and specificity of a quantitative real-time PCR assay for Tilapia Lake virus (TiLV)

Tilapia lake virus (TiLV) is an emerging viral pathogen of tilapiines worldwide in wild and farmed tilapia. TiLV is an orthomyxo-like, negative sense segmented RNA virus, belonging to genus Tilapinevirus, family Amnoonviridae. Here we developed a quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) assay testing primer sets targeting the 10 segments of TiLV. Sensitivity, specificity, efficiency and reproducibility of these assays were examined. Detection sensitivity was equivalent to 2 TCID₅₀/ml when tested on supernatants from cell culture-grown TiLV. Specificity tests showed that all primer sets amplified their respective TiLV segments, and standard curves showed linear correlation of R² > 0.998 and amplification efficiencies between 93 % and 98 %. Intra- and inter-assay coefficients of variation (CV %) were in the range of 0.0 %- 2.6 % and 0.0 %- 5.9 %, respectively. Sensitivity tests showed that primer sets targeting segments 1, 2, 3 and 4 had the highest detection sensitivities (10^0.301 TCID₅₀/ml). The qRT-PCR used for detection of viral genome in TiLV infected organs gave virus titers equivalent to 3.80 log₁₀, 3.94 log₁₀ and 3.52 log₁₀ TCID₅₀/ml for brain, kidney and liver tissues, respectively as calculated on the basis of Ct values. These findings suggest that primer optimization for qPCR should not only focus on attaining high amplification efficiency but also sensitivity comparison of primer sets targeting different viral segments in order to develop a method with the highest sensitivity.

An Age-Structured Model for Tilapia Lake Virus Transmission in Freshwater with Vertical and Horizontal Transmission

This paper proposes a mathematical model for tilapia lake virus (TiLV) transmission in wild and farmed tilapias within freshwater. This model takes into account two routes of transmission: vertical and horizontal. This latter route integrates both the direct and indirect transmission. We define an explicit formula for the reproductive number [Formula: see text] and show by means of the Fatou's lemma that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text]. Furthermore, we find an explicit formula of the endemic equilibria and study its local stability as well as the uniform persistence of the disease when [Formula: see text]. Finally, a numerical scheme to solve the model is developed and some parameters of the model are estimated based on biological data. The numerical results illustrate the role of routes of transmission on the epidemic evolution.

Tilapia lake virus: The story so far

Tilapia lake virus (TiLV) is a highly contagious pathogen that has detrimental effects on tilapia farming. This virus was discovered in 2014 and has received tremendous global attention from the aquaculture sector due to its association with high fish mortalities and its strong economic impact on the tilapia aquaculture industry. Currently, TiLV has been reported in 16 countries, and this number is continuing to rise due to improved diagnostic assays and surveillance activities around the world. In this review, we summarize the up-to-date knowledge of TiLV with regard to TiLV host species, the clinical signs of a TiLV infection, the affected tissues, pathogenesis and potential disease risk factors. We also describe the reported information concerning the virus itself: its morphology, genetic make-up and transmission pathways. We review the current methods for virus detection and potential control measures. We close the review of the TiLV story so far, by offering a commentary on the major TiLV research gaps, why these are delaying future TiLV research and why the TiLV field needs to come together and proceed as a more collaborative scientific community if there is any hope limiting the impact of this serious virus.