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Petrik BR, Szabó BG, Laky B, Marosi B, Korózs D, Lőrinczi C, Fried K, Lakatos B. Clinical and Microbiological Characteristics of Hospitalized Adults Aged ≤ 45 Years With Clostridioides (Formerly Clostridium) difficile Infection: A Prospective Observational Cohort Study From Hungary. APMIS 2025; 133:e70028. [PMID: 40326173 PMCID: PMC12053032 DOI: 10.1111/apm.70028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2024] [Revised: 01/26/2025] [Accepted: 04/22/2025] [Indexed: 05/07/2025]
Abstract
Studies focusing on young adults with Clostridiodes (formerly Clostridium) difficile infection (CDI) are scarce. Our objective was to assess characteristics and outcomes of CDI among hospitalized young adults between the ages of 18-45 years at diagnosis, compared to a subcohort of randomly selected older patients aged > 45 years. We performed a prospective, observational cohort study by enrolling and stratifying 234 consecutive cases of first/recurrent CDI at our tertiary referral center between 2015 and 2019. At 30 days post-treatment initiation, young adults had a higher clinical cure (99.1% vs. 81.2%; p < 0.01) and lower all-cause mortality (0.9% vs. 16.4%; p < 0.01). Metronidazole was a common first-line choice (77.8% vs. 46.2%; p < 0.01) with similar relapse rates (6.0% vs. 5.1%, p = 0.56). We conclude that CDI in patients aged between 18 and 45 years was associated with fewer complications and higher clinical cure with metronidazole, compared to older patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Borisz Rabán Petrik
- Károly Rácz Doctoral School of Clinical Medicine, Semmelweis UniversityBudapestHungary
- South Pest Central Hospital, National Institute of Hematology and Infectious DiseasesBudapestHungary
| | - Bálint Gergely Szabó
- Károly Rácz Doctoral School of Clinical Medicine, Semmelweis UniversityBudapestHungary
- South Pest Central Hospital, National Institute of Hematology and Infectious DiseasesBudapestHungary
- Departmental Group of Infectious Diseases, Department of Hematology and Internal MedicineSemmelweis UniversityBudapestHungary
| | | | - Bence Marosi
- Károly Rácz Doctoral School of Clinical Medicine, Semmelweis UniversityBudapestHungary
- South Pest Central Hospital, National Institute of Hematology and Infectious DiseasesBudapestHungary
| | - Dorina Korózs
- Károly Rácz Doctoral School of Clinical Medicine, Semmelweis UniversityBudapestHungary
- South Pest Central Hospital, National Institute of Hematology and Infectious DiseasesBudapestHungary
| | - Csaba Lőrinczi
- South Pest Central Hospital, National Institute of Hematology and Infectious DiseasesBudapestHungary
| | - Katalin Fried
- South Pest Central Hospital, National Institute of Hematology and Infectious DiseasesBudapestHungary
| | - Botond Lakatos
- Károly Rácz Doctoral School of Clinical Medicine, Semmelweis UniversityBudapestHungary
- South Pest Central Hospital, National Institute of Hematology and Infectious DiseasesBudapestHungary
- Departmental Group of Infectious Diseases, Department of Hematology and Internal MedicineSemmelweis UniversityBudapestHungary
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Arslan M, Shabbir MU, Farooq U, Bilal B, Abbas S, Chaudhry N, Qasim M, Nizamuddin S. Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Clostridioides difficile Infection in Cancer Patients From a Tertiary Care Hospital. Cureus 2025; 17:e77616. [PMID: 39963642 PMCID: PMC11831704 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.77616] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/18/2025] [Indexed: 02/20/2025] Open
Abstract
Objective The objective of this study is to investigate the predisposing factors, disease course, potential complications, role of primary prophylaxis, and overall clinical outcomes of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) in cancer patients. Methods The study was conducted at Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, Pakistan. We analyzed the medical records of cancer patients diagnosed with CDI from July 2015 to July 2024 and collected data about demographic characteristics, clinical presentation, predisposing factors, treatment, complications, and mortality rates. We used SPSS version 25 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY) for data analysis. Results Out of 61 patients, 55.7% (n=34) were men, and most of the patients belonged to the age group of 41-65 years (49.1%; n=30). Of the patients, 34.4% (n=21) had underlying hematological malignancy, while the majority of patients (63.9%; n=39) had underlying solid organ malignancy. A total of 45.9% (n=28) of patients had mild severity, whereas 16.3% (n=10) and 6.55% (n=4) were at severe and fulminant stages of CDI, respectively. The creatinine levels of 80.3% (n=49) of patients were less than 1.5 mg/dL. We also observed the prior antimicrobial use, previous hospitalization within the last four weeks, recent chemotherapy, and use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs)/H2 antagonists in the past four weeks as predisposing factors in 78.6% (n=48), 72.1% (n=44), 55.7% (n=34), and 75.4% (n=46) of patients, respectively. A greater proportion of patients (68.8%; n=42) had hospital/ICU stays of less than 15 days. Of the patients, 29.6% (n=18) had comorbid conditions such as diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic kidney disease (CKD), hypertension (HTN), ischemic heart disease (IHD), hepatitis, and atrial fibrillation. Oral vancomycin was administered as the primary treatment in 78.6% (n=48) of patients. We noted the resolution of symptoms in 91.8% (n=56) of patients, while 83.6% (n=51) of patients developed no complications. Additionally, the radiological findings of the patients were negative for toxic megacolon. Moreover, 4.91% (n=3) of patients had recurrent infections, whereas all-cause 30-day mortality was 13.1% (n=8). The mortality rate was higher in patients with solid organ tumors (17.9%; n=7) as compared to those having hematological malignancy (4.76%; n=1). Regression analysis showed that recent chemotherapy had an odds ratio (OR) of 11.550 (95% confidence interval {CI}: 1.332-100.9; p=0.998). Conclusion Cancer patients, especially those with solid tumors presenting with symptoms suggestive of CDI and prior chemotherapy exposure, need careful evaluation and preemptive treatment as CDI-related mortality is higher in cancer patients. Early diagnosis and treatment in this population can be lifesaving. Moreover, all cancer patients should receive CDI prophylaxis when indicated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Muhammad Arslan
- Infectious Diseases, Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, PAK
| | - Muhammad Usman Shabbir
- Internal Medicine, Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, PAK
| | - Umer Farooq
- Internal Medicine, Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, PAK
| | - Baryah Bilal
- Internal Medicine, Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, PAK
| | - Salma Abbas
- Medicine, Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, PAK
| | - Nahel Chaudhry
- Oncology, Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, PAK
| | - Muhammad Qasim
- Oncology, Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, PAK
| | - Summiya Nizamuddin
- Microbiology, Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital and Research Centre, Lahore, PAK
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Tariq R, Malik S, Redij R, Arunachalam S, Faubion WA, Khanna S. Machine Learning-Based Prediction Models for Clostridioides difficile Infection: A Systematic Review. Clin Transl Gastroenterol 2024; 15:e1. [PMID: 38661188 PMCID: PMC11196074 DOI: 10.14309/ctg.0000000000000705] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2023] [Accepted: 04/16/2024] [Indexed: 04/26/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Despite research efforts, predicting Clostridioides difficile incidence and its outcomes remains challenging. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the performance of machine learning (ML) models in predicting C. difficile infection (CDI) incidence and complications using clinical data from electronic health records. METHODS We conducted a comprehensive search of databases (OVID, Embase, MEDLINE ALL, Web of Science, and Scopus) from inception up to September 2023. Studies employing ML techniques for predicting CDI or its complications were included. The primary outcome was the type and performance of ML models assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS Twelve retrospective studies that evaluated CDI incidence and/or outcomes were included. The most commonly used ML models were random forest and gradient boosting. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranged from 0.60 to 0.81 for predicting CDI incidence, 0.59 to 0.80 for recurrence, and 0.64 to 0.88 for predicting complications. Advanced ML models demonstrated similar performance to traditional logistic regression. However, there was notable heterogeneity in defining CDI and the different outcomes, including incidence, recurrence, and complications, and a lack of external validation in most studies. DISCUSSION ML models show promise in predicting CDI incidence and outcomes. However, the observed heterogeneity in CDI definitions and the lack of real-world validation highlight challenges in clinical implementation. Future research should focus on external validation and the use of standardized definitions across studies.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Sheza Malik
- Rochester General Hospital, Rochester, New York, USA
| | - Renisha Redij
- Trinity Health Livonia Hospital, Michigan, Livonia, USA
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Abou Chakra CN, Gagnon A, Lapointe S, Granger MF, Lévesque S, Valiquette L. The Strain and the Clinical Outcome of Clostridioides difficile Infection: A Meta-analysis. Open Forum Infect Dis 2024; 11:ofae085. [PMID: 38524230 PMCID: PMC10960606 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofae085] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2023] [Accepted: 02/07/2024] [Indexed: 03/26/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The association between bacterial strains and clinical outcomes in Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) has yielded conflicting results across studies. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analyses to assess the impact of these strains. Methods Five electronic databases were used to identify studies reporting CDI severity, complications, recurrence, or mortality according to strain type from inception to June 2022. Random effect meta-analyses were conducted to assess outcome proportions and risk ratios (RRs). Results A total of 93 studies were included: 44 reported recurrences, 50 reported severity or complications, and 55 reported deaths. Pooled proportions of complications were statistically comparable between NAP1/BI/R027 and R001, R078, and R106. Pooled attributable mortality was 4.8% with a gradation in patients infected with R014/20 (1.7%), R001 (3.8%), R078 (5.3%), and R027 (10.2%). Higher 30-day all-cause mortality was observed in patients infected with R001, R002, R027, and R106 (range, 20%-25%).NAP1/BI/R027 was associated with several unfavorable outcomes: recurrence 30 days after the end of treatment (pooled RR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.02-3.84); admission to intensive care, colectomy, or CDI-associated death (1.88; 1.09-3.25); and 30-day attributable mortality (1.96; 1.23-3.13). The association between harboring the binary toxin gene and 30-day all-cause mortality did not reach significance (RR, 1.6 [0.9-2.9]; 7 studies). Conclusions Numerous studies were excluded due to discrepancies in the definition of the outcomes and the lack of reporting of important covariates. NAP1/BI/R027, the most frequently reported and assessed strain, was associated with unfavorable outcomes. However, there were not sufficient data to reach significant conclusions on other strains.
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Affiliation(s)
- Claire Nour Abou Chakra
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada
| | - Anthony Gagnon
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada
| | - Simon Lapointe
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada
| | - Marie-Félixe Granger
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada
| | - Simon Lévesque
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada
- Laboratoire de Microbiologie, CIUSSS de l’Estrie-CHUS, Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada
| | - Louis Valiquette
- Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke, Quebec, Canada
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Stewart AG, Chen SCA, Hamilton K, Harris-Brown T, Korman TM, Figtree M, Worth LJ, Kok J, Van der Poorten D, Byth K, Slavin MA, Paterson DL. Clostridioides difficile Infection: Clinical Practice and Health Outcomes in 6 Large Tertiary Hospitals in Eastern Australia. Open Forum Infect Dis 2023; 10:ofad232. [PMID: 37274181 PMCID: PMC10237225 DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofad232] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2023] [Accepted: 04/26/2023] [Indexed: 06/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality in both healthcare and community settings. We aimed to define the predisposing factors, risks for severe disease, and mortality determinants of CDI in eastern Australia over a 1-year period. Methods This is an observational retrospective study of CDI in hospitalized patients aged ≥18 years in 6 tertiary institutions from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2016. Patients were identified through laboratory databases and medical records of participating institutions. Clinical, imaging, and laboratory data were input into an electronic database hosted at a central site. Results A total of 578 patients (578 CDI episodes) were included. Median age was 65 (range, 18-99) years and 48.2% were male. Hospital-onset CDI occurred in 64.0%. Recent antimicrobial use (41.9%) and proton pump inhibitor use (35.8%) were common. Significant risk factors for severe CDI were age <65 years (P < .001), malignancy within the last 5 years (P < .001), and surgery within the previous 30 days (P < .001). Significant risk factors for first recurrence included severe CDI (P = .03) and inflammatory bowel disease (P = .04). Metronidazole was the most common regimen for first episodes of CDI with 65.2% being concordant with Australian treatment guidelines overall. Determinants for death at 60 days included age ≥65 years (P = .01), severe CDI (P < .001), and antibiotic use within the prior 30 days (P = .02). Of those who received metronidazole as first-line therapy, 10.1% died in the 60-day follow-up period, compared to 9.8% of those who received vancomycin (P = .86). Conclusions Patients who experience CDI are vulnerable and require early diagnosis, clinical surveillance, and effective therapy to prevent complications and improve outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adam G Stewart
- Correspondence: Adam Stewart, BBiomedSci, MBBS(Hons), MPHTM, Centre for Clinical Research, University of Queensland, Bldg 71/918 RBWH Herston, Brisbane, QLD 4029, Australia (); David Paterson, Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, 12 Science Drive 2, #10-01, Singapore 117549 ()
| | - Sharon C A Chen
- Centre for Infectious Diseases and Microbiology Laboratory Services, Institute of Clinical Pathology and Medical Research, Westmead Hospital, Sydney, Australia
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Westmead Hospital, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Kate Hamilton
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Westmead Hospital, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Tiffany Harris-Brown
- Centre for Clinical Research, Faculty of Medicine, The University of Queensland, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital Campus, Brisbane, Australia
| | - Tony M Korman
- Monash Infectious Diseases, Monash University and Monash Health, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Melanie Figtree
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Royal North Shore Hospital, Sydney, Australia
| | - Leon J Worth
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Peter MacCallum Centre, Melbourne, Australia
- National Centre for Infections in Cancer, Sir Peter MacCallum Department of Oncology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Jen Kok
- Centre for Infectious Diseases and Microbiology Laboratory Services, Institute of Clinical Pathology and Medical Research, Westmead Hospital, Sydney, Australia
| | | | - Karen Byth
- Research and Education Network, Western Sydney Local Health District, Sydney, Australia
- National Health and Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Centre, Sydney University, Sydney, Australia
| | - Monica A Slavin
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Peter MacCallum Centre, Melbourne, Australia
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia
| | - David L Paterson
- Correspondence: Adam Stewart, BBiomedSci, MBBS(Hons), MPHTM, Centre for Clinical Research, University of Queensland, Bldg 71/918 RBWH Herston, Brisbane, QLD 4029, Australia (); David Paterson, Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, 12 Science Drive 2, #10-01, Singapore 117549 ()
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Performance of Clostridioides difficile infection severity scores and risk factors related to 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with cancer. Support Care Cancer 2023; 31:187. [PMID: 36843052 DOI: 10.1007/s00520-023-07651-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2022] [Accepted: 02/20/2023] [Indexed: 02/28/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE There are currently no standard definitions for assessing the severity of Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) in cancer patients. We evaluated the performance of scoring systems for severity and analyzed risk factors for mortality in a cancer cohort. METHODS We conducted an observational study in patients with cancer and CDI. We calculated the incidence of hospital-onset (HO-CDI) and community-onset health-care facility associated (CO-HCFA-CDI) episodes. We classified severity using five prognostic scales and calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV), and negative predictive values (NPV) for mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission. In addition, multivariate regression was performed to assess variables associated with mortality. RESULTS The HO-CDI and CO-HCFA-CDI incidence rates were 3.7 cases/10,000 patient-days and 1.9 cases/1,000 admissions, respectively. ESCMID criteria showed the higher sensitivity (97%, 95% CI; 85-100%) and NPV (98%, 95% CI; 85-100%), while ATLAS (≥ 6 points) had the highest specificity (95%, 95% CI; 90-98%) for 30-day all-cause mortality; similar performance was observed for ICU admission. Characteristics associated with fatal outcome were neutropenia (≤ 100 cells/ml) (aOR; 3.03, 95% CI; 1.05-8.74, p = 0.040), male gender (aOR; 2.90, 95% CI; 1.08-7.80, p = 0.034), high serum creatinine (aOR; 1.71, 95% CI; 1.09-2.70, p = 0.020), and albumin (aOR; 0.17, 95% CI; 0.07-0.42, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Some of the current scales may not be appropriate to discriminate severity in patients with cancer. The variables in this study associated with unfavorable outcomes could be evaluated in prospective studies to develop prognostic scores that identify susceptible patients, especially in immunocompromised populations.
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Impact of Clostridioides Difficle Infection and its Therapy on Nutritional Status. Curr Gastroenterol Rep 2022; 24:99-104. [PMID: 36056219 DOI: 10.1007/s11894-022-00846-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/14/2022] [Indexed: 10/14/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Clostridiodes difficile infection (CDI) is a leading nosocomial cause of increased morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients and the presentation can vary from asymptomatic infection to severe fulminant colitis and sepsis. It can significantly impact nutritional status in hospitalized patients and lead to longer length of stay with increased morbidity and mortality. RECENT FINDINGS An interplay of various intrinsic and extrinsic factors such as systemic inflammation, diarrheal losses, and impact of isolation influence the nutritional status of patients with CDI. While diarrheal losses can lead to dehydration and electrolyte disturbances, isolation can further hamper adequate nutritional support and make early signs of malnutrition overlooked. Similar detrimental impacts on nutritional status can also be observed in other bacterial and viral colonic infections. While prompt diagnosis and early treatment is crucial to prevent mortality, emphasis on nutritional rehabilitation can help reduce morbidity and promote recovery in CDI. Initiation of early feeding in critically sick patients with close monitoring for early signs of malnutrition promotes favorable outcomes.
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Treatment and Outcomes of Clostridioides difficile Infection in Switzerland: A Two-Center Retrospective Cohort Study. J Clin Med 2022; 11:jcm11133805. [PMID: 35807087 PMCID: PMC9267637 DOI: 10.3390/jcm11133805] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2022] [Revised: 06/23/2022] [Accepted: 06/27/2022] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is the leading cause of healthcare-associated diarrhea, often complicated by severe infection and recurrence with increased morbidity and mortality. Data from large cohorts in Switzerland are scarce. We aimed to describe diagnostic assays, treatment, outcomes, and risk factors for CDI in a large cohort of patients in Switzerland. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of CDI episodes diagnosed in patients from two tertiary care hospitals in Switzerland. During a 3-month follow-up, we used a composite outcome combining clinical cure at day 10, recurrence at week 8, or death, to evaluate a patient’s response. Unfavorable outcomes consisted in the occurrence of any of these events. Results: From January 2014 to December 2018, we included 826 hospitalized patients with documented CDI. Overall, 299 patients (36.2%) had a severe infection. Metronidazole was used in 566 patients (83.7%), compared to 82 patients (12.1%) treated with vancomycin and 28 patients (4.1%) treated with fidaxomicin. Overall mortality at week 8 was at 15.3% (112/733). Eighty-six patients (12.7%) presented with clinical failure at day 10, and 78 (14.9%) presented with recurrence within 8 weeks; 269 (39.8%) met the composite outcome of death, clinical failure, or recurrence. The Charlson Comorbidity Index score (p < 0.001), leukocytes > 15 G/L (p = 0.008), and the use of metronidazole (p = 0.012) or vancomycin (p = 0.049) were factors associated with the composite outcome. Conclusions: Our study provides valuable insights on CDI treatment and outcomes in Switzerland, highlights the heterogeneity in practices among centers, and underlines the need for the active monitoring of clinical practices and their impact on clinical outcomes through large multicentric cohorts.
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Validation of Clinical Risk Models for Clostridioides difficile -Attributable Outcomes. Antimicrob Agents Chemother 2022; 66:e0067622. [PMID: 35727061 PMCID: PMC9295569 DOI: 10.1128/aac.00676-22] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Clostridioides difficile is the leading health care-associated pathogen, leading to substantial morbidity and mortality; however, there is no widely accepted model to predict C. difficile infection severity. Most currently available models perform poorly or were calibrated to predict outcomes that are not clinically relevant. We sought to validate six of the leading risk models (Age Treatment Leukocyte Albumin Serum Creatinine (ATLAS), C. difficile Disease (CDD), Zar, Hensgens, Shivashankar, and C. difficile Severity Score (CDSS)), guideline severity criteria, and PCR cycle threshold for predicting C. difficile-attributable severe outcomes (inpatient mortality, colectomy/ileostomy, or intensive care due to sepsis). Models were calculated using electronic data available within ±48 h of diagnosis (unavailable laboratory measurements assigned zero points), calibrated using a large retrospective cohort of 3,327 inpatient infections spanning 10 years, and compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and precision-recall curves. ATLAS achieved the highest area under the ROC curve (AuROC) of 0.781, significantly better than the next best performing model (Zar 0.745; 95% confidence interval of AuROC difference 0.0094–0.6222; P = 0.008), and highest area under the precision-recall curve of 0.232. Current IDSA/SHEA severity criteria demonstrated moderate performance (AuROC 0.738) and PCR cycle threshold performed the worst (0.531). The overall predictive value for all models was low, with a maximum positive predictive value of 37.9% (ATLAS cutoff ≥9). No clinical model performed well on external validation, but ATLAS did outperform other models for predicting clinically relevant C. difficile-attributable outcomes at diagnosis. Novel markers should be pursued to augment or replace underperforming clinical-only models.
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Li Y, Wu Y, Gao Y, Niu X, Li J, Tang M, Fu C, Qi R, Song B, Chen H, Gao X, Yang Y, Guan X. Machine-learning based prediction of prognostic risk factors in patients with invasive candidiasis infection and bacterial bloodstream infection: a singled centered retrospective study. BMC Infect Dis 2022; 22:150. [PMID: 35152879 PMCID: PMC8841094 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-022-07125-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2021] [Accepted: 02/01/2022] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Invasive candidal infection combined with bacterial bloodstream infection is one of the common nosocomial infections that is also the main cause of morbidity and mortality. The incidence of invasive Candidal infection with bacterial bloodstream infection is increasing year by year worldwide, but data on China is still limited. Methods We included 246 hospitalised patients who had invasive candidal infection combined with a bacterial bloodstream infection from January 2013 to January 2018; we collected and analysed the relevant epidemiological information and used machine learning methods to find prognostic factors related to death (training set and test set were randomly allocated at a ratio of 7:3). Results Of the 246 patients with invasive candidal infection complicated with a bacterial bloodstream infection, the median age was 63 years (53.25–74), of which 159 (64.6%) were male, 109 (44.3%) were elderly patients (> 65 years), 238 (96.7%) were hospitalised for more than 10 days, 168 (68.3%) were admitted to ICU during hospitalisation, and most patients had records of multiple admissions within 2 years (167/246, 67.9%). The most common blood index was hypoproteinemia (169/246, 68.7%), and the most common inducement was urinary catheter use (210/246, 85.4%). Moreover, the most frequently infected fungi and bacteria were Candida parapsilosis and Acinetobacter baumannii, respectively. The main predictors of death prognosis by machine learning method are serum creatinine level, age, length of stay, stay in ICU during hospitalisation, serum albumin level, C-Reactive protein (CRP), leukocyte count, neutrophil count, Procalcitonin (PCT), and total bilirubin level. Conclusion Our results showed that the most common candida and bacteria infections were caused by Candida parapsilosis and Acinetobacter baumannii, respectively. The main predictors of death prognosis are serum creatinine level, age, length of stay, stay in ICU during hospitalisation, serum albumin level, CRP, leukocyte count, neutrophil count, PCT and total bilirubin level. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07125-8.
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Du H, Siah KTH, Ru-Yan VZ, Teh R, En Tan CY, Yeung W, Scaduto C, Bolongaita S, Cruz MTK, Liu M, Lin X, Tan YY, Feng M. Prediction of in-hospital mortality of Clostriodiodes difficile infection using critical care database: a big data-driven, machine learning approach. BMJ Open Gastroenterol 2021; 8:e000761. [PMID: 34789472 PMCID: PMC8601086 DOI: 10.1136/bmjgast-2021-000761] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/05/2021] [Accepted: 10/05/2021] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
RESEARCH OBJECTIVES Clostriodiodes difficile infection (CDI) is a major cause of healthcare-associated diarrhoea with high mortality. There is a lack of validated predictors for severe outcomes in CDI. The aim of this study is to derive and validate a clinical prediction tool for CDI in-hospital mortality using a large critical care database. METHODOLOGY The demographics, clinical parameters, laboratory results and mortality of CDI were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) database. We subsequently trained three machine learning models: logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF) and gradient boosting machine (GBM) to predict in-hospital mortality. The individual performances of the models were compared against current severity scores (Clostridiodes difficile Associated Risk of Death Score (CARDS) and ATLAS (Age, Treatment with systemic antibiotics, leukocyte count, Albumin and Serum creatinine as a measure of renal function) by calculating area under receiver operating curve (AUROC). We identified factors associated with higher mortality risk in each model. SUMMARY OF RESULTS From 61 532 intensive care unit stays in the MIMIC-III database, there were 1315 CDI cases. The mortality rate for CDI in the study cohort was 18.33%. AUROC was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.60 to 0.76) for LR, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.77) for RF and 0.72 (95% CI, 0.64 to 0.78) for GBM, while previously AUROC was 0.57 (95% CI, 0.51 to 0.65) for CARDS and 0.63 (95% CI, 0.54 to 0.70) for ATLAS. Albumin, lactate and bicarbonate were significant mortality factors for all the models. Free calcium, potassium, white blood cell, urea, platelet and mean blood pressure were present in at least two of the three models. CONCLUSION Our machine learning derived CDI in-hospital mortality prediction model identified pertinent factors that can assist critical care clinicians in identifying patients at high risk of dying from CDI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hao Du
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University Health System, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Kewin Tien Ho Siah
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- University Medicine Cluster, National University Hospital, Singapore
| | | | - Readon Teh
- University Medicine Cluster, National University Hospital, Singapore
| | - Christopher Yu En Tan
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Wesley Yeung
- University Medicine Cluster, National University Hospital, Singapore
- Laboratory for Computational Physiology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Christina Scaduto
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Sarah Bolongaita
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | | | - Mengru Liu
- School of Computing and Information Systems, Singapore Management University, Singapore
| | - Xiaohao Lin
- Machine Intellection Department, Institute for Infocomm Research, Agency for Science Technology and Research, Singapore
| | | | - Mengling Feng
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University Health System, National University of Singapore, Singapore
- Institute of Data Science, National University of Singapore, Singapore
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Liu S, Ko QS, Heng KQA, Ngiam KY, Feng M. Healthcare Transformation in Singapore With Artificial Intelligence. Front Digit Health 2020; 2:592121. [PMID: 34713061 PMCID: PMC8521861 DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2020.592121] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2020] [Accepted: 10/20/2020] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Siqi Liu
- National University of Singapore Graduate School for Integrative Sciences and Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Qianwen Stephanie Ko
- Division of Advanced Internal Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Kun Qiang Amos Heng
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Kee Yuan Ngiam
- Group Chief Technology Office, National University Health System Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Mengling Feng
- Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore
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