Long-term prognosis with or without nucleot(s)ide analogue therapy in hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis

Dynamic evaluation of liver fibrosis to assess hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving nucleoside analogs treatment

Despite good hepatitis B virus (HBV) inhibition by nucleoside analogs (NAs), cases of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still occur. This study proposed a non-invasive predictive model to assess HCC risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving NAs treatment. Data were obtained from a hospital-based retrospective cohort registered on the Platform of Medical Data Science Academy of Chongqing Medical University, from 2013 to 2019. A total of 501 patients under NAs treatment had their FIB-4 index updated semiannually by recalculation based on laboratory values. Patients were divided into three groups based on FIB-4 index values: < 1.45, 1.45-3.25, and ≥ 3.25. Subsequently, HCC incidence was reassessed every six months using Kaplan-Meier curves based on the updated FIB-4 index. The median follow-up time of CHB patients after receiving NAs treatment was 2.5 years. HCC incidences with FIB-4 index < 1.45, 1.45-3.25, and ≥ 3.25 were 1.18%, 1.32%, and 9.09%, respectively. Dynamic assessment showed that the percentage of patients with FIB-4 index < 1.45 significantly increased semiannually (P < 0.001), and of patients with FIB-4 index ≥ 3.25 significantly decreased (P < 0.001). HCC incidence was the highest among patients with FIB-4 index ≥ 3.25. The FIB-4 index effectively predicted HCC incidence, and its dynamic assessment could be used for regular surveillance to implement early intervention and reduce HCC risk.

Correlation between serum markers and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt prognosis in patients with cirrhotic ascites

BACKGROUND

Individuals with refractory ascites in the context of liver cirrhosis typically face an adverse prognosis. The transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an efficacious intervention, but there is a lack of reliable tools for postoperative prognosis assessment. Previously utilized clinical biochemical markers, such as the serum albumin concentration (Alb), sodium (Na+) concentration, and serum creatinine (Scr), have limited predictive value. Therefore, the quest for novel, specific biomarkers to evaluate the post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites holds significant practical importance.

AIM

To investigate the associations between the Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and serum cystatin C (Cys C) level and post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 75 patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites who underwent TIPS at our institution from August 2019 to August 2021. These patients were followed up regularly for two years, and the death toll was meticulously documented. The patients were allocated into a survival group (n = 45 patients) or a deceased group (n = 30 patients) based on their prognosis status. The clinical data of the two groups were collected, and Child-Pugh scores and MELD scores were calculated for analysis. Spearman correlation analysis was carried out to evaluate the correlation of prognosis with Child-Pugh grade, MELD score, and Cys C level. Additionally, a multiple-factor analysis utilizing the Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify independent risk factors affecting the post-TIPS prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) ascertained the predictive value of the Cys C concentration, Child-Pugh grade, and MELD score for the prognosis of liver cirrhosis with refractory ascites in post-TIPS patients.

RESULTS

During a 2-year follow-up period, among 75 patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites who underwent TIPS treatment, 30 patients (40.00%) passed away. The deceased cohort exhibited heightened aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, total bilirubin, Scr, prothrombin time, Cys C, international normalized ratio, Child-Pugh, and MELD scores compared to those of the survival cohort, while Alb and Na+ levels were attenuated in the deceased group (P < 0.05). Spearman analysis revealed moderate to high positive correlations between prognosis and Child-Pugh score, MELD score, and Cys C level (r = 0.709, 0.749, 0.671, P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazard model demonstrated that the independent risk factors for post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites were Cys C (HR = 3.802; 95%CI: 1.313-11.015), Child-Pugh (HR = 3.030; 95%CI: 1.858-4.943), and MELD (HR = 1.222; 95%CI: 1.073-1.393) scores. ROC analysis confirmed that, compared to those of the classic prognostic models for Child-Pugh and MELD scores, the predictive accuracy of Cys C for post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites was slightly lower. This analysis yielded sensitivity and specificity values of 83.33% and 82.22%, respectively. The area under the curve value at this juncture was 0.883, with an optimal cutoff value set at 1.95 mg/L.

CONCLUSION

Monitoring the serum Cys C concentration is valuable for assessing the post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites. Predictive models based on serum Cys C levels, as opposed to Scr levels, are more beneficial for evaluating the condition and prognosis of patients with ascites due to cirrhosis.

HBV elimination in Africa-Current status and challenges

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Two-year free of complications during antiviral therapy predicts stable re-compensation in immediate-treatment HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Disease progression could be altered or even reversed in decompensated patients with HBV-related cirrhosis once they initiate antiviral therapy. However, little is known about the stable re-compensation in these patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, HBV-related liver cirrhosis patients were consecutively enrolled at the first decompensated event of ascites or variceal hemorrhage (VH), and divided into immediate-treatment, on-treatment and delayed/no treatment groups. Patients were followed up to at least presence of second decompensation event or to June 2021. Re-compensation was defined as patients who did not occur second (further) decompensation during follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 130 HBV-related decompensated cirrhotic patients were included with a median follow-up of 61.0 (41.6, 72.0) months. The cumulative incidence of re-compensation at year 6 was 39.0, 9.8 and 6.6 in immediate-treatment, on-treatment and delayed/no treatment group (p = 0.001). Among 87 patients in immediate-treatment group, thirty-seven (37/87, 42.5%) were recognized as stable re-compensation. Seventy percent (35/50) of second decompensated events occurred in the first 2 years. In patients free of 2-year decompensated complications, about 71.2% (37/52) maintained stable re-compensation. The cumulative incidence of death (and/or transplantation) and HCC in patients free of 2-year decompensated complications or not was 2.9 vs. 27.3% (HR 9.4, 95% CI 2.2-40.0, p = 0.002) and 12.6 vs. 37.7% (HR 4.5, 95% CI 1.5-13.3, p = 0.006), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In decompensated patients with HBV-related cirrhosis, about 40% in immediate-treatment group maintained stable re-compensation during 6 years of antiviral therapy. Two-year free of complications could predict stable re-compensation.

Baseline Hepatitis B Virus Surface Antigen Titers in Childhood Predict the Risk of Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Adulthood

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen (HBsAg) is a marker of both HBV covalently closed circular DNA and integrated HBV genome, whereas the HBV core-related antigen (HBcrAg) indicates the transcriptional activity of covalently closed circular DNA. This study examined the relationship between HBsAg and HBcrAg titers in childhood and advanced fibrosis in adulthood.

METHODS

We recruited 214 initially hepatitis B e antigen-positive chronic HBV-infected patients who were followed for a total of 6371 person-years. None of the patients were co-infected with hepatitis C or D virus. Serum HBsAg and HBcrAg titers were assessed at 10 and 15 years of age. Transient elastography was performed at a mean final age of 38.21 years to identify advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

Patients with advanced fibrosis in adulthood had a higher rate of genotype C HBV infection and a higher HBsAg titer at 10 and 15 years of age (P = .003, P = .03, and P = .005, respectively). The HBcrAg titer was not correlated with advanced fibrosis (P > .05). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that HBsAg cutoffs of >4.23 and >4.44 log₁₀ IU/mL at 10 and 15 years of age, respectively, best predicted advanced fibrosis in the fourth decade of life (P = .001 and P < .001, respectively). In a multivariate analysis, both an HBsAg titer >4.44 log₁₀ IU/mL at 15 years of age and HBV genotype C were predictors of advanced fibrosis (odds ratios, 15.43 and 4.77; P = .01 and P = .02, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

HBsAg titers in childhood predict the progression to liver fibrosis in adulthood.

Perspectives on the Underlying Etiology of HCC and Its Effects on Treatment Outcomes

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) continues to be a serious medical problem with poor prognosis worldwide. The distribution of the major etiologies of HCC is changing due to the progress of anti-viral treatments, including hepatitis B virus (HBV) suppression by nucleoside/nucleotide analogues (NAs) and increased sustained virologic response (SVR) rates by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV), as well as the rising trend of nonviral liver disease. Although viral hepatitis remains the most common cause of HCC, non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD) with metabolic syndrome and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) are increasing. Effective and well-tolerated NAs treatment can slow the disease progression of chronic HBV infection to cirrhosis, end-stage liver disease, and reduce HCC risk. Treatment with NAs is also associated with significant improvement in the long-term survival of patients with HBV infection who already have HCC. DAAs have achieved viral elimination in almost all patients with HCV without significant adverse events, even in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and HCC. Similarly, DAA therapy can reduce disease progression, liver and non-liver complications, and improve the long-term survival of patients with chronic HCV infection with or without HCC. Meanwhile, NAFLD is a rapidly increasing cause of HCC along with the epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes globally. NAFLD-related HCC can occur in patients without cirrhosis and is known to have a lower survival rate than viral hepatitis-related HCC. Since there is currently no specific pharmacotherapy effective for NAFLD, lifestyle modification and prevention of complications are important to improve prognosis. Additionally, ALD is the second fastest-growing cause of HCC-related deaths, especially with an accelerated trend since the COVID-19 pandemic. This review provides an overview of the epidemiologic trends in the etiologies of HCC, and the progress of treatments for each etiology and the impact on outcome in the patients with HCC.

Systematic review and meta-analysis: impact of anti-viral therapy on portal hypertensive complications in HBV patients with advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) in non-cirrhotic chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients is well-established. However, their impact on complications of portal hypertension in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is less well characterized.

METHODS

MEDLINE/PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and abstracts of major international hepatology meetings were searched for publications from Jan 1, 1995 to Nov 30, 2021. Randomized control trials and observational studies reporting the efficacy of NAs in ACLD patients were eligible. Pooled risk ratios (RRs) for outcomes of interest were calculated with a random-effect or fixed-effect model, as appropriate.

RESULTS

Thirty-nine studies including 14,212 ACLD patients were included. NA treatment was associated with reduced risks of overall hepatic decompensation events (RR, 0.51; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.37-0.71), such as variceal bleeding (RR, 0.44; 95% CI: 0.26-0.74) and ascites (RR, 0.10; 95% CI: 0.01-1.59), on a trend-wise level. Moreover, the risks of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (RR, 0.48; 95% CI: 0.30-0.75) and liver transplantation/death (RR, 0.36; 95% CI: 0.25-0.53) were also reduced by NA treatment and the first-line NAs were superior to non-first-line NAs in improving these outcomes (RR, 0.85; 95% CI: 0.75-0.97 and RR, 0.85; 95% CI: 0.73-0.99, respectively).

CONCLUSION

NA therapy lowers the risk of portal hypertension-related complications, including variceal bleeding, HCC, and liver transplantation/death.