Estimating the attributable fraction of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma due to hepatitis B and C

High incidence of hepatocarcinoma in patients with advanced fibrosis treated with direct-acting antiviral agents for hepatitis C: A real-world retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Patients treated with direct-acting antivirals for hepatitis C exhibit high cure rates and improved survival. However, there is limited knowledge on their long-term clinical evolution.

AIMS

In this study, we aimed to analyse the risk of hepatocarcinoma and hepatic decompensation in patients treated with direct-acting antivirals.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective single-centre study of Portuguese patients with advanced fibrosis treated with direct-acting antiviral agents between 2015 and 2022 at a tertiary hospital.

RESULTS

Out of 460 patients, 50 (10.9 %) developed hepatocarcinoma and 36 (7.8 %) experienced hepatic decompensation. The risk for hepatocarcinoma was higher in patients aged over 55 (HR 4.87, 95 % CI 2.34-10.13, p < 0.001), with signs of portal hypertension (HR 3.83, 95 % CI 2.05-7.13, p < 0.001) and arterial hypertension (HR 1.98, 95 % CI 1.09-3.58, p = 0.024). Alcohol consumption (HR 3.30, 95 % CI 1.22-8.94, p = 0.019), signs of portal hypertension (HR 4.56, 95 % CI 2.19-9.48, p < 0.001) and hepatocarcinoma (HR 3.47, 95 % CI 1.69-7.10, p < 0.001) increased the risk of hepatic decompensation.

CONCLUSION

Our study found a high incidence of hepatocarcinoma and hepatic decompensation, along with high mortality, in patients with advanced fibrosis treated with direct-acting antivirals. We identified risk factors such as arterial hypertension, alcohol consumption, and signs of portal hypertension, highlighting their role in clinical management and patient monitoring.

Desmethoxycurcumin aids IFNα's anti-HBV activity by antagonising CRYAB reduction and stabilising IFNAR1 protein

The eradication of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) caused by hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a crucial goal in clinical practice. Enhancing the anti-HBV activity of interferon type I (IFNI) is a key strategy for achieving a functional cure for CHB. In this study, we investigated the effect of combined treatment with IFNα and Desmethoxycurcumin (DMC) on HBV replication in HepG2 cells and explored the underlying mechanism. Our results indicated IFNα alone was ineffective in completely inhibiting HBV replication, which was attributed to the virus-induced down-regulation of IFNI receptor 1 (IFNAR1) protein. However, the addition of a low dose of DMC significantly synergized with IFNα, leading to notable enhancement of IFNα anti-HBV activity. This effect was achieved by stabilising the IFNAR1 protein. Further investigation revealed that low dose DMC effectively blocked the ubiquitination-mediated degradation of IFNAR1, which was accomplished by rescuing the protein levels of alphaB-crystallin (CRYAB) and orchestrating the interaction between CRYAB and the E3 ubiquitin ligase, β-Trcp. Importantly, over-expression of CRYAB was found to favour the antiviral activity of IFNα against HBV replication. In conclusion, our study demonstrates that low-dose DMC enhanced the anti-HBV activity of IFNα by counteracting the reduction of CRYAB and stabilising the IFNAR1 protein.

Global prevalence, cascade of care, and prophylaxis coverage of hepatitis B in 2022: a modelling study

BACKGROUND

The 2016 World Health Assembly endorsed the elimination of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection as a public health threat by 2030; existing therapies and prophylaxis measures make such elimination feasible, even in the absence of a virological cure. We aimed to estimate the national, regional, and global prevalence of HBV in the general population and among children aged 5 years and younger, as well as the rates of diagnosis, treatment, prophylaxis, and the future burden globally.

METHODS

In this modelling study, we used a Delphi process with data from literature reviews and interviews with country experts to quantify the prevalence, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention measures for HBV infection. The PRoGReSs Model, a dynamic Markov model, was used to estimate the country, regional, and global prevalence of HBV infection in 2022, and the effects of treatment and prevention on disease burden. The future incidence of morbidity and mortality in the absence of additional interventions was also estimated at the global level.

FINDINGS

We developed models for 170 countries which resulted in an estimated global prevalence of HBV infection in 2022 of 3·2% (95% uncertainty interval 2·7-4·0), corresponding to 257·5 million (216·6-316·4) individuals positive for HBsAg. Of these individuals, 36·0 million were diagnosed, and only 6·8 million of the estimated 83·3 million eligible for treatment were on treatment. The prevalence among children aged 5 years or younger was estimated to be 0·7% (0·6-1·0), corresponding to 5·6 million (4·5-7·8) children with HBV infection. Based on the most recent data, 85% of infants received three-dose HBV vaccination before 1 year of age, 46% had received a timely birth dose of vaccine, and 14% received hepatitis B immunoglobulin along with the full vaccination regimen. 3% of mothers with a high HBV viral load received antiviral treatment to reduce mother-to-child transmission.

INTERPRETATION

As 2030 approaches, the elimination targets remain out of reach for many countries under the current frameworks. Although prevention measures have had the most success, there is a need to increase these efforts and to increase diagnosis and treatment to work towards the elimination goals.

FUNDING

John C Martin Foundation, Gilead Sciences, and EndHep2030.

Mortality and morbidity related to hepatitis C virus infection in hospitalized adults-A propensity score matched analysis

The World Health Organization (WHO) aims to reduce HCV mortality, but estimates are difficult to obtain. We aimed to identify electronic health records of individuals with HCV infection, and assess mortality and morbidity. We applied electronic phenotyping strategies on routinely collected data from patients hospitalized at a tertiary referral hospital in Switzerland between 2009 and 2017. Individuals with HCV infection were identified using International Classification of Disease (ICD)-10 codes, prescribed medications and laboratory results (antibody, PCR, antigen or genotype test). Controls were selected using propensity score methods (matching by age, sex, intravenous drug use, alcohol abuse and HIV co-infection). Main outcomes were in-hospital mortality and attributable mortality (in HCV cases and study population). The non-matched dataset included records from 165,972 individuals (287,255 hospital stays). Electronic phenotyping identified 2285 stays with evidence of HCV infection (1677 individuals). Propensity score matching yielded 6855 stays (2285 with HCV, 4570 controls). In-hospital mortality was higher in HCV cases (RR 2.10, 95%CI 1.64 to 2.70). Among those infected, 52.5% of the deaths were attributable to HCV (95%CI 38.9 to 63.1). When cases were matched, the fraction of deaths attributable to HCV was 26.9% (HCV prevalence: 33%), whilst in the non-matched dataset, it was 0.92% (HCV prevalence: 0.8%). In this study, HCV infection was strongly associated with increased mortality. Our methodology may be used to monitor the efforts towards meeting the WHO elimination targets and underline the importance of electronic cohorts as a basis for national longitudinal surveillance.

Viral hepatitis elimination: Towards a hepatitis-free world

Advances in diagnostics and therapeutics have brought the elimination of chronic viral hepatitis into focus. The World Health Organization has defined the targets for elimination, but it is unclear how these can be achieved and how they should be measured. The goal of this special conference was to examine current efforts and metrics to assess progress towards elimination.

Global, regional, and national burden of hepatitis B, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND

Combating viral hepatitis is part of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and WHO has put forth hepatitis B elimination targets in its Global Health Sector Strategy on Viral Hepatitis (WHO-GHSS) and Interim Guidance for Country Validation of Viral Hepatitis Elimination (WHO Interim Guidance). We estimated the global, regional, and national prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV), as well as mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to HBV, as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. This included estimates for 194 WHO member states, for which we compared our estimates to WHO elimination targets.

METHODS

The primary data sources were population-based serosurveys, claims and hospital discharges, cancer registries, vital registration systems, and published case series. We estimated chronic HBV infection and the burden of HBV-related diseases, defined as an aggregate of cirrhosis due to hepatitis B, liver cancer due to hepatitis B, and acute hepatitis B. We used DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian mixed-effects meta-regression tool, to estimate the prevalence of chronic HBV infection, cirrhosis, and aetiological proportions of cirrhosis. We used mortality-to-incidence ratios modelled with spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression to estimate the incidence of liver cancer. We used the Cause of Death Ensemble modelling (CODEm) model, a tool that selects models and covariates on the basis of out-of-sample performance, to estimate mortality due to cirrhosis, liver cancer, and acute hepatitis B.

FINDINGS

In 2019, the estimated global, all-age prevalence of chronic HBV infection was 4·1% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·7 to 4·5), corresponding to 316 million (284 to 351) infected people. There was a 31·3% (29·0 to 33·9) decline in all-age prevalence between 1990 and 2019, with a more marked decline of 76·8% (76·2 to 77·5) in prevalence in children younger than 5 years. HBV-related diseases resulted in 555 000 global deaths (487 000 to 630 000) in 2019. The number of HBV-related deaths increased between 1990 and 2019 (by 5·9% [-5·6 to 19·2]) and between 2015 and 2019 (by 2·9% [-5·9 to 11·3]). By contrast, all-age and age-standardised death rates due to HBV-related diseases decreased during these periods. We compared estimates for 2019 in 194 WHO locations to WHO-GHSS 2020 targets, and found that four countries achieved a 10% reduction in deaths, 15 countries achieved a 30% reduction in new cases, and 147 countries achieved a 1% prevalence in children younger than 5 years. As of 2019, 68 of 194 countries had already achieved the 2030 target proposed in WHO Interim Guidance of an all-age HBV-related death rate of four per 100 000.

INTERPRETATION

The prevalence of chronic HBV infection declined over time, particularly in children younger than 5 years, since the introduction of hepatitis B vaccination. HBV-related death rates also decreased, but HBV-related death counts increased as a result of population growth, ageing, and cohort effects. By 2019, many countries had met the interim seroprevalence target for children younger than 5 years, but few countries had met the WHO-GHSS interim targets for deaths and new cases. Progress according to all indicators must be accelerated to meet 2030 targets, and there are marked disparities in burden and progress across the world. HBV interventions, such as vaccination, testing, and treatment, must be strategically supported and scaled up to achieve elimination.

FUNDING

Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

HBV Infection-Related PDZK1 Plays an Oncogenic Role by Regulating the PI3K-Akt Pathway and Fatty Acid Metabolism and Enhances Immunosuppression

Background and Aim. Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the leading global cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Few studies have been conducted concerning the HBV infection-related genes and their function. Methods. We compared differentially expressed genes (DGEs) in HBV-positive and -negative tumor samples and conducted a Spearman correlation study between the DGEs and HBV titers within The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Moreover, we validated the results of our in-house samples. Results. In this study, we discovered a series of genes that correlated statistically with HBV infection based on the TCGA database. These genes were related to increased inflammation and some oncogenic signaling pathways via Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). PDZK1 is an ideal gene, which mostly relates positively to HBV infection; moreover, it is overexpressed in human HCC, especially in those HBV-infected HCCs. After analyzing the TCGA data and performing a verification study using our own samples, PDZK1 expression was investigated to be significantly associated with PI3K-Akt signaling and fatty acid metabolism. Further, single-sample GSEA analysis of tumor immune cell infiltration gene sets revealed that high PDZK1expression in HCC tissues was significantly associated with increased tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) and regulatory T cells(Tregs). Conclusions. PDZK1 is an HBV infection-related gene, which plays oncogenic roles, possibly due to enhancing PI3K-Akt, fatty acid usage in tumor cells and TAMs, and Treg-induced immunosuppression.

Worldwide prevalence of hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus among patients with cirrhosis at country, region, and global levels: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Empirical, updated country-level estimates on the proportion of cirrhosis attributable to viral hepatitis are required. We estimated the prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in patients with cirrhosis at country, regional, and global levels as an approximation for the fractions of cirrhosis attributable to viral hepatitis.

METHODS

In this systematic review, we searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Scielo between Jan 1, 1993, and Aug 1, 2021. Studies were eligible if they reported on the prevalence of both HBV and HCV infection in representative studies of at least 20 patients with cirrhosis. Studies were excluded if they used first-generation HCV assays or were from a selected population of patients with cirrhosis (eg, patients selected based on specific causes, veterans, injecting drug users). Two authors (CJA and CdM) selected and extracted aggregated data from the selected publications. Data were extracted for study recruitment period, age, sex, and cause of cirrhosis, among others. Data about heavy alcohol consumption and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were also extracted when available. Aggregated data from studies from key publications were requested from the authors of the original study if selection of patients was unclear or information on causes was missing. We estimated the country-specific prevalence of causes of cirrhosis by pooling study-level data from the same country using a random-effects model. Subsequently, we estimated the regional (WHO region and UN subregion) and global prevalence by weighting the country-specific prevalence by the number of new liver cancer cases that occurred in 2020, as estimated in GLOBOCAN. The study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020149323.

FINDINGS

Our database searches identified 21 338 records, and a further nine records were identified by scanning references of key publications. After excluding duplicates and assessing full-text articles for eligibility, 520 publications from 86 countries or territories (and reporting on 1 376 503 patients with cirrhosis) were included in the systematic review. The prevalence of HBV infection was lower among patients with cirrhosis in Europe, the Americas, and Oceania (UN subregional prevalence ranges 3-14%) than in Africa and Asia (8-61%). HCV infection prevalence was heterogenous, even within regions (12-83%). The combined prevalence of HBV and HCV infection exceeded 50% in most Asian and African regions. Globally, among patients with cirrhosis, 42% had HBV infection and 21% had HCV infection. The contribution of heavy alcohol use was highest in Europe (country range 16-78%), the Americas (17-52%), and Oceania (15-37%) and lowest in Asia (0-41%). Data on NAFLD were limited.

INTERPRETATION

HBV and HCV could account for almost two thirds of the global burden of cirrhosis. With the availability of effective interventions for the prevention or treatment of HBV and HCV, the data presented in this study will help to effectively allocate resources towards viral hepatitis elimination and to design interventions at the country level.

FUNDING

International Agency for Research on Cancer, World Health Organization.

Distinguishing Hepatocellular Carcinoma From Hepatic Inflammatory Pseudotumor Using a Nomogram Based on Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hepatic iflammatory pseudotumor (IPT) share similar symptoms and imaging features, which makes it challenging to distinguish from each other in clinical practice. This study aims to develop a predictive model based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) and clinical features to discriminate HCC from IPT.

METHODS

Sixty-two IPT and 146 HCC patients were enrolled in this study, where pathological diagnosis served as the reference standard for diagnosis. Clinical and ultrasound imaging data including CEUS features: enhancement degree during arterial phase, portal phase and delayed phase, enhancement pattern, early washout within 60 s, feeding artery, peritumoral vessels, peritumoral enhancement, and margin of nonenhanced area were retrospectively collected. Imaging data were reviewed by two experienced ultrasound doctors. Patients were randomly assigned to training and validation sets. Chi-squared test followed by LASSO regression was performed on ultrasonographic features in the training set to identify the most valuable features that distinguish HCC from IPT, based on which the sonographic score formula was generated. With the significant clinical and ultrasonographic indicators, a nomogram was developed. The performance of the nomogram was verified by ROC curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) with the comparison with sonographic score and the ultrasound doctor's diagnosis.

RESULTS

The most valuable ultrasonographic features that distinguish between HCC and IPT were enhancement degree during arterial phase, early washout, peritumoral vessels, peritumoral enhancement, and liver background. The sonographic score based on these features was verified to be an independent factor that predicts the diagnosis (p = 0.003). Among the clinical indicators, AFP (p = 0.009) and viral hepatitis infection (p = 0.004) were significant. Sonographic score, AFP, and viral hepatitis were used to construct a predictive nomogram. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.989 and 0.984 in training and validation sets, respectively, which were higher than those of sonographic score alone (0.938 and 0.958) or the ultrasound doctor's diagnosis (0.794 and 0.832). DCA showed the nomogram provided the greatest clinical usefulness.

CONCLUSION

A predictive nomogram based on a sonographic signature improved the diagnostic performance in distinguishing HCC and IPT, which may help with individualized diagnosis and treatment in clinical practice.