Understanding the Natural History of Chronic Hepatitis D: Proposal of a Model for Cost-Effectiveness Studies

BACKGROUND

As new therapeutic options become available, better understanding the potential impact of emerging therapies on clinical outcomes of hepatits D virus (HDV) is critical.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to develop a natural history model for patients with hepatitis D virus.

METHODS

We developed a model (decision tree followed by a Markov cohort model) in adults with chronic HDV infection to assess the natural history and impact of novel treatments on disease progression versus best supportive care (BSC). The model time horizon was over a lifetime (up to 100 years of age); state transitions and health states were defined by responder status. Patients in fibrosis stages 0 through 4 received treatment; decompensated patients were not treated. Response was defined as the combined response endpoint of achievement of HDV-RNA undetectability/≥2-log10 decline and alanine aminotransferase normalization; response rates of 50% and 75% were explored. Health events associated with advanced liver disease were modeled as the number of events per 10,000 patients. Scenario analyses of early treatment, alternate treatment response, and no fibrosis regression for treatment responders were also explored.

RESULTS

The model was able to reflect disease progression similarly to published natural history studies for patients with HBV/HDV infection. In a hypothetical cohort of patients reflecting a population enrolled in a recent clinical trial, fewer advanced liver disease events were observed with a novel HDV treatment versus BSC. Fewer liver-related deaths were observed under 50% and 75% response (900 and 1,358 fewer deaths, respectively, per 10,000 patients). Scenario analyses showed consistently fewer advanced liver disease events with HDV treatment compared with BSC, with greater reductions observed with earlier treatment.

CONCLUSION

This HDV disease progression model replicated findings from natural history studies. Furthermore, it found that a hypothetical HDV treatment results in better clinical outcomes for patients versus BSC, with greater benefit observed when starting treatment early. This validated natural history model for HBV/HDV infection can serve as a foundation for future clinical and economic analyses of novel HDV treatments that can support healthcare stakeholders in the management of patients with chronic HDV.

Enhancing interventions for prevention of mother-to-child- transmission of hepatitis B virus

Prevention of mother-to-child transmission of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a cornerstone of efforts to support progress towards elimination of viral hepatitis. Current guidelines recommend maternal screening, antiviral therapy during the third trimester of high-risk pregnancies, universal and timely HBV birth dose vaccination, and post-exposure prophylaxis with hepatitis B immunoglobulin for selected neonates. However, serological and molecular diagnostic testing, treatment and HBV vaccination are not consistently deployed, particularly in many high endemicity settings, and models predict that global targets for reduction in paediatric incidence will not be met by 2030. In this article, we briefly summarise the evidence for current practice and use this as a basis to discuss areas in which prevention of mother-to-child transmission can potentially be enhanced. By reducing health inequities, enhancing pragmatic use of resources, filling data gaps, developing advocacy and education, and seeking consistent investment from multilateral agencies, significant advances can be made to further reduce vertical transmission events, with wide health, societal and economic benefits.

Health inequalities in the management of chronic hepatitis B virus infection in patients from sub-Saharan Africa in high-income countries

Chronic hepatitis B virus disproportionately affects migrant communities in high-income countries, reflecting increased migration from sub-Saharan Africa. Chronic hepatitis B virus is endemic in sub-Saharan Africa, yet the natural history of chronic infection experienced by patients remains incompletely understood, with evidence of variability across genotypes and regions within sub-Saharan Africa. Clinical guidelines recommending treatment thresholds are not specific to sub-Saharan African patients and are based on natural history studies from Western Pacific Asian countries. Access to standard of care treatment is available for sub-Saharan African people with chronic hepatitis B virus infection in high-income countries; however, the evidence base for these treatments was not established in this cohort and areas of uncertainty remain, particularly regarding HCC surveillance and treatment discontinuation. Participation in phase III clinical trials for chronic hepatitis B therapies is almost non-existent amongst sub-Saharan African patients, even when residing in high-income countries that participate in multicentre trials. Engagement with sub-Saharan African patients with chronic hepatitis B in high-income countries is challenging because of the stigma associated with the diagnosis, absence of routine screening systems and the complexities involved in navigating the healthcare system. Nonetheless, improved engagement is critical if we are to achieve global hepatitis B virus elimination.

Treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma in sub-Saharan Africa: challenges and solutions

Most patients who develop hepatocellular carcinoma reside in resource-poor countries, a category that includes most countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Age-standardised incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma in western, central, eastern, and southern Africa is 6·53 per 100 000 inhabitants to 11·1 per 100 000 inhabitants. In high-income countries, around 40% of patients are diagnosed at an early stage, in which interventions with curative intent or palliative interventions are possible. By contrast, 95% of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in sub-Saharan Africa present with advanced or terminal disease. In high-income countries, targets of 30-40% that have been set for intervention with curative intent are regularly met, with expected 5-year overall survival rates in the region of 70%. These outcomes are in sharp contrast with the very small proportion of patients in sub-Saharan Africa who are treated with curative intent. Primary prevention through the eradication and reduction of risk factors is still suboptimal because of logistical challenges. The challenges facing primary prevention, in combination with difficult-to-manage historic and emerging risk factors, such as ethanol overconsumption and metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease, mandates secondary prevention for populations at risk through screening and surveillance. Although the increased treatment needs yielded by screening and surveillance in high-income countries are manageable by the incremental expansion of existing interventional resources, the lack of resources in sub-Saharan Africa will undermine the possible benefits of secondary prevention. An estimate of the projected effect of the introduction and expansion of screening and surveillance, resulting in stage migration and possibilities for active interventions for hepatocellular carcinoma, would facilitate optimal planning and development of resources.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: measures to improve the outlook in sub-Saharan Africa

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a leading public health concern in sub-Saharan Africa, and it is most prevalent in young adults (median 45 years [IQR 35-57]). Overall, outcomes are poor, with a median survival of 2·5 months after presentation. Major risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma are hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus, aflatoxin B1 exposure, and alcohol consumption, with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease slowly emerging as a risk factor over the past few years. Crucially, these risk factors are preventable and manageable with effective implementation of the HBV birth-dose vaccination, treatment of chronic viral hepatitis, provision of harm reduction services, and by decreasing aflatoxin B1 exposure and harmful alcohol consumption. Primary prevention is central to the management of hepatocellular carcinoma, especially in poorly resourced environments. Effective screening and surveillance programmes with recall policies need to be implemented, because detection and curative management of hepatocellular carcinoma is possible if it is detected at an early stage, even in countries with minimal resources, with appropriate upskilling of medical personnel. The establishment of centres of excellence with advanced diagnostic and therapeutic capabilities within countries should improve hepatocellular carcinoma outcomes and assist in driving the implementation of much needed systematic data systems focused on hepatocellular carcinoma to establish the accurate burden in sub-Saharan Africa. Such data would support the public health importance of hepatocellular carcinoma and provide a strong basis for advocacy, programme development, resource allocation, and monitoring of progress in reducing mortality.

Review article: novel biomarkers in hepatitis B infection

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B remains a global health problem with an estimated 296 million people affected worldwide. Individuals are at risk of serious complications such as cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma and accurately predicting these clinical endpoints has proven difficult. However, several viral biomarkers have recently been developed, including quantitative HBV surface antigen (qHBsAg), hepatitis B RNA (HBV RNA) and core-related antigen (HBcrAg), and shown promise in a range of clinical settings.

AIMS

To critically appraise these novel biomarkers, exploring their potential uses, availability of assays and areas for future development.

METHODS

We performed a literature search of PubMed, identifying articles published in the field of hepatitis B biomarkers between 2010 and 2022.

RESULTS

Novel biomarkers such as HBcrAg, HBV RNA and qHBsAg may be useful in predicting treatment outcomes, stratifying the risk of future complications and estimating off-treatment viral reactivation. Furthermore, HBV RNA and HBcrAg titres may accurately reflect cccDNA transcriptional activity, and this is particularly informative in the context of nucleoside analogue therapy. On a cautionary note, most studies have been performed in Caucasian or Asian populations, and methods for detecting HBV RNA lack standardisation.

CONCLUSION

Novel viral biomarkers have the potential to provide additional insights into the natural history of infection and allow a more bespoke, cost-effective framework of care. However, access remains limited, and further efforts are needed to validate their use in ethnically diverse populations, confirm predictive cut-off values, and establish their role in the era of novel antiviral therapies.

Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis: Efficacy and Safety of Lusutrombopag for Severe Thrombocytopenia in Patients with Chronic Liver Disease Undergoing Invasive Procedures

Introduction

Lusutrombopag is an oral thrombopoietin receptor agonist (TPO-RA). Clinical trials have shown lusutrombopag’s efficacy in reducing need for preoperative platelet transfusion in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD) and severe thrombocytopenia. This analysis assessed efficacy and safety of lusutrombopag in patients with severe thrombocytopenia and CLD undergoing planned invasive procedures.

Methods

An electronic database search (through 1 December 2020) identified three randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind clinical trials comparing lusutrombopag with placebo in patients with CLD and platelet count below 50 × 10⁹/L scheduled to undergo a procedure with a perioperative bleeding risk. A random-effects meta-analysis examined treatment effect, with Cochrane Collaboration’s tool assessing risk of bias.

Results

The meta-analysis included 343 (lusutrombopag 3 mg, n = 173; placebo, n = 170) patients. More patients met the criteria for treatment response (platelet count at least 50 × 10⁹/L and increase of at least 20 × 10⁹/L from baseline anytime during the study) with lusutrombopag versus placebo (risk ratio [RR] 6.39; 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.69, 11.07; p < 0.0001). The primary efficacy outcome, proportion of patients requiring no platelet transfusion and no rescue therapy for bleeding for at least 7 days post procedure, was achieved by more patients treated with lusutrombopag versus placebo (RR 3.42; 95% CI 1.86, 6.26; p = 0.0001). The risk of any bleeding event was significantly lower with lusutrombopag compared to placebo (RR 0.55; 95% CI 0.32, 0.95; p = 0.03); conversely, thrombosis event rates were similar between lusutrombopag and placebo (RR 0.79; 95% CI 0.19, 3.24; p = 0.74).

Conclusion

This meta-analysis showed that treatment of severe thrombocytopenia with lusutrombopag in patients with CLD prior to a planned invasive procedure was efficacious and safe in increasing platelet counts, avoiding the need for platelet transfusions, and reducing risk of bleeding, thereby enhancing the certainty of evidence supporting the efficacy and safety of lusutrombopag.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12325-022-02235-w.

Circulating Pregenomic Hepatitis B Virus RNA Is Primarily Full-length in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Undergoing Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy

Hepatitis B virus RNA is detectable in the serum of infected patients; however, the RNA species has been questioned. We tested 1827 specimens using a quantitative dual-target quantitative polymerase chain reaction assay and determined that full-length pregenomic RNA is the primary source. These results clarify the major identity of circulating HBV RNA species.

Hepatitis B cure: How and when

BACKGROUND

First- and second- generation new treatments are being evaluated to provide a cure for hepatitis B. The life cycle of HBV includes several well- categorized steps that are targets for new treatments. A cure remains a major challenge even if it is measured by HBsAg seroclearance alone. The notion of a functional cure of hepatitis B has been accepted, while a partial functional cure has been more tentatively defined as a decline in HBsAg concentrations to lower levels after finite treatment.

METHODS

More profound suppression of hepatitis B replication through the addition of capsid inhibitors with nucleoside analogues could improve patient prognosis and a sustained treatment response. Several strategies are being evaluated to achieve a cure: (a) deepening inhibition of HBV replication or (b) a reduction in HBsAg presentation for HBsAg seroclearance.

RESULTS

Fortunately, there are signs of important progress in the treatment of hepatitis B including improved on- treatment reductions or seroclearance of HBsAg in phase 2 studies that was not achieved with chain terminators and inhibitors of initiation of DNA synthesis. Progress in immunomodulatory therapy has lagged behind that of antiviral therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing the multilayered impaired and dysfunctional immune response in hepatitis B is perhaps more likely and feasible after a reduction in host antigen burden. Other potential experimental strategies include CRISPR- Cas9 genome- editing nucleases to specifically target and cleave cccDNA or novel monoclonal antibodies.

EASL recommendations on treatment of hepatitis C: Final update of the series☆

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major cause of chronic liver disease, with approximately 71 million chronically infected individuals worldwide. Clinical care for patients with HCV-related liver disease has advanced considerably thanks to an enhanced understanding of the pathophysiology of the disease, as well as developments in diagnostic procedures and improvements in therapy and prevention. These therapies make it possible to eliminate hepatitis C as a major public health threat, as per the World Health Organization target, although the timeline and feasibility vary from region to region. These European Association for the Study of the Liver recommendations on treatment of hepatitis C describe the optimal management of patients with recently acquired and chronic HCV infections in 2020 and onwards.

Pregenomic HBV RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen Predict Outcomes in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Suppressed on Nucleos(T)ide Analogue Therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

A dichotomous separation of hepatitis B viral DNA and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) concentrations occurs during the natural history and treatment of chronic hepatitis B. We have evaluated the ability of hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA and hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) as surrogates of silencing of covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA), to characterize this dissociation, and virological outcomes.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Three cohorts of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative patients were studied: cohort A: 66 HBeAg-negative patients on long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy; cohort B: 23 antibodies against hepatitis B e antigen (anti-HBe)-positive patients who stopped treatment; and Cohort C: 19 anti-HBe-positive patients on long-term NA treatment who achieved HBsAg loss and in whom treatment was withdrawn. Concentrations of HBV serological/virological biomarkers (HBV DNA, HBsAg, HBcrAg, and HBV RNA) were measured in sequential samples at different time points on/off therapy. Cohort A: After 3 years of antiviral therapy, 33% and 30% had detectable HBcrAg and HBV RNA, respectively, despite all being HBV-DNA negative. After 5 years' therapy with NA, 27% and 14% had detectable HBcrAg and HBV RNA. Detectable HBcrAg and HBV RNA at the time of treatment withdrawal was only observed in those patients who developed a severe aminotransferase flare. Only those patients with HBV reactivation in cohort C had detectable HBV RNA at treatment withdrawal, but HBcrAg and HBV DNA were not detected.

CONCLUSIONS

HBcrAg and HBV RNA are sensitive biomarkers of continued transcription of cccDNA in HBeAg-negative patients despite marked HBV-DNA suppression by NA. These markers were predictors of severe alanine transaminase flares, after treatment withdrawal, and HBV-DNA reactivation. Their measurement during the natural history of hepatitis B, and on treatment with current and new agents, could characterize residual HBV-RNA transcription from cccDNA and assist drug development and disease management.

Hepatitis B in sub-Saharan Africa-How many patients need therapy?

Hepatitis B is endemic in sub-Saharan Africa with ~60 million people chronically infected. While prevention, through vaccination, is central to elimination strategies, only 11 countries have birth dose vaccination and full vaccine coverage remains at suboptimal levels. Furthermore, to fully realize elimination, those chronically infected need to be identified, assessed for therapy and then linked to care. Given current treatment criteria, the precise quantum of people warranting therapy, according to criteria, is essentially unknown. The issue is further complicated by data to suggest differences in the numbers of people requiring treatment when applying WHO as compared to European Association for the Study of the Liver, EASL, criteria. Optimal determination of treatment eligibility is further hindered by the lack of available tools to adequately assess individual patients. It is conceivable that accurately determining the number of those requiring treatment, given the heterogeneity of hepatitis B in Africa, is difficult. Better studies and data are required. More signifcantly, improved access and availability to the diagnostic tools needed to assess patients in additon to access to drugs are as, if not more important, to achieve elimination.

Will we need novel combinations to cure HBV infection?

Chronic hepatitis B is a numerically important cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Nucleoside analogue therapy may modify the risk. However, maintenance suppressive therapy is required, as a functional cure (generally defined as loss of HBsAg off treatment) is an uncommon outcome of antiviral treatment. Chronic hepatitis B is a numerically important cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Nucleoside analogue therapy may modify the risk. However, maintenance suppressive therapy is required, as a functional cure (generally defined as loss of HBsAg off treatment) is an uncommon outcome of antiviral treatment. Currently numerous investigational agents being developed to either interfere with specific steps in HBV replication or as host cellular targeting agents, that inhibit viral replication, and deplete or inactivate cccDNA, or as immune modulators. Synergistic mechanisms will be needed to incorporate a decrease in HBV transcription, impairment of transcription from HBV genomes, loss of cccDNA or altered epigenetic regulation of cccDNA transcription, and immune modulation or immunologically stimulated hepatocyte cell turnover. Nucleoside analogue suppressed patients are being included in many current trials. Trials are progressing to combination therapy as additive or synergistic effects are sought. These trials will provide important insights into the biology of HBV and perturbations of the immune response, required to effect HBsAg loss at different stages of the disease. The prospect of cures of hepatitis B would ensure that a wide range of patients could be deemed candidates for treatment with new compounds if these were highly effective, finite and safe. Withdrawal of therapy in short-term trials is challenging because short-term therapies may risk severe hepatitis flares, and hepatic decompensation. The limited clinical trial data to date suggest that combination therapy is inevitable.

Durability of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss With Nucleotide Analogue and Peginterferon Therapy in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B

In patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), loss of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) is considered a functional cure. However, HBsAg loss is uncommon with existing therapies, and predictive factors associated with HBsAg seroreversion are unknown. Using pooled data from three phase 3 clinical trials of patients with CHB treated with nucleos(t)ide analogue (NUC) monotherapy or peginterferon (Peg‐IFN) ± NUC combination therapy, we conducted a retrospective analysis to characterize patients who achieved sustained HBsAg loss, the predictors of HBsAg seroreversion, and the impact of hepatitis B surface antibody (anti‐HBs) seroconversion on durability of HBsAg loss. In these three international trials, 1,381 adults with CHB received either NUC monotherapy for up to 10 years or Peg‐IFN‐containing regimens for up to 1 year. A total of 55 patients had confirmed HBsAg loss, defined as two or more consecutive negative‐qualitative HBsAg results, with a minimum of one repeat result after the end of treatment. Throughout a median of 96 (quartile [Q]1, Q3, 46, 135) weeks follow‐up after HBsAg loss, HBsAg loss was durable in 82% (n = 45) of patients, with 10 patients experiencing HBsAg seroreversion. Anti‐HBs seroconversion was observed during follow‐up in 78% of patients who lost HBsAg and in 60% of those who subsequently seroreverted. In analyzing predictors of HBsAg seroreversion, study treatment was significant, yet anti‐HBs seroconversion and treatment duration after initial HBsAg loss were not. Risk of HBsAg seroreversion was observed to be lower if HBsAg loss was sustained through the off‐treatment week 24 visit (8/10 seroreversions occurred by posttreatment week 24). Conclusion: HBsAg loss after NUC or Peg‐IFN‐containing regimens was durable in 82% of patients with CHB. Anti‐HBs seroconversion and treatment duration after initial HBsAg loss were not significantly associated with durability of HBsAg loss.

Hepatitis B virus infection in children and adolescents

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a major cause of acute and chronic liver disease and associated morbidity and mortality worldwide. Vertical (mother-to-child) and horizontal early childhood transmission are the main routes of HBV transmission and are responsible for most chronic infections, including among adults who bear the greatest burden of morbidity and mortality. Universal hepatitis B immunisation at birth and in infancy is the key strategy for global elimination of HBV infection, and has been highly effective in reducing new vertical infections. However, global progress in scale-up of HBV testing and treatment has been slow in adults and children. In this Series paper, we summarise knowledge on the epidemiology, natural history, and treatment of chronic HBV infection in adolescents and children, and we highlight key differences from HBV infection in adults. The estimated global prevalence of HBV infection in children aged 5 years or younger is 1·3%. Most children are in the high-replication, low-inflammation phase of infection, with normal or only slightly raised aminotransferases; cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma are rare. Although entecavir is approved and recommended for children aged 2-17 years, and tenofovir for those aged 12-18 years, a conservative approach to treatment initiation in children is recommended. Key actions to address current policy gaps include: validation of non-invasive tests for liver disease staging; additional immunopathogenesis studies in children with HBV infection; long-term follow-up of children on nucleoside or nucleotide analogue regimens to inform guidance on when to start treatment; evaluation of different treatment strategies for children with high rates of HBV replication; and establishment of paediatric treatment registries and international consortia to promote collaborative research.

Hepatitis C virus infection in children and adolescents

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major cause of chronic liver disease and associated morbidity and mortality worldwide. Short-course, oral, curative, direct-acting antiviral regimens have transformed treatment for HCV infection. Since the 2016 launch of the first global strategy towards elimination of viral hepatitis as a public health threat by 2030, the predominant focus of the global response has been on the treatment of adults, who bear the greatest burden of morbidity and mortality of HCV-related chronic liver disease. Compared with adults, there has been little attention paid to addressing the response to HCV in children and adolescents, in part because of the scarcity of data to inform specific paediatric management practices and policy. In this Series paper, we summarise knowledge on the epidemiology, natural history, and treatment of chronic HCV infection in adolescents and children, and we highlight key differences from infection acquired in adulthood. The estimated global prevalence and burden of HCV infection in children aged 1-19 years is 0·15%, corresponding to 3·5 million people (95% CI 3·1-3·9 million). HCV infection is usually asymptomatic during childhood, and cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma are rare. Sofosbuvir with ledipasvir and sofosbuvir with ribavirin have received regulatory approval and guidelines recommend their use in adolescents aged 12 years and older with HCV infection. In April, 2019, glecaprevir with pibrentasvir also received regulatory approval for adolescents aged 12-17 years. Key actions to address the current policy gaps and achieve treatment scale-up that is comparable to that in adults include: establishment of a campaign on access to testing and treatment that is targeted at children and adolescents; fast-track evaluation of pan-genotypic regimens; and accelerated approval of paediatric formulations. Research gaps that need to be addressed include: age-specific prevalence studies of HCV viraemia in priority countries; further validation of non-invasive tests for staging of liver disease in children; and establishment of paediatric treatment registries and international consortia to promote collaborative research agendas.

Advancing Age and Comorbidity in a US Insured Population-Based Cohort of Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) comorbidity data are limited. Using insurance claims databases, our aims were to determine the prevalence and incidence of nonliver comorbidities in CHB patients over time and the predictors of select comorbidities in CHB patients. Patients were adults with continuous coverage (commercial/Medicare or Medicaid) 6 months prior to and after the first CHB diagnosis and matched non-CHB patients. Deyo-Charlson Comorbidity Index (DCCI) and comorbidities were analyzed (cardiovascular disease [CVD], carcinoma, diabetes mellitus [DM], obesity, hypertension [HTN], hyperlipidemia, alcohol use, renal impairment, chronic kidney disease [CKD], and osteoporosis/fracture [OF]). The study population included 44,026 CHB cases and 121,568 matched controls. CHB patient mean age increased from 48.1 ± 11.9 years in 2006 to 51.8 ± 12.4 years in 2015 for commercial/Medicare and from 44.1 ± 11.1 years to 50.2 ± 10.2 years for Medicaid (P < 0.001 for both). The Medicaid CHB cohort was the sickest (DCCI, 2.6, P < 0.001). The commercial/Medicare 2006 CKD prevalence rate was 36.1/1,000 in CHB patients and 10.2/1,000 in controls, increasing to 97.6 and 38.8 in 2015, respectively. The 2006 CKD incidence (per 1,000 person-years) was 10.3 and 4.8 and 15.2 and 11.3 by 2015, respectively (P < 0.05 for all). The strongest predictors for CKD were DM (hazard ratio [HR], 2.48), HTN (HR, 3.29), and CVD (HR, 2.61) (all P < 0.0001). Similar prevalence and incidence changes were observed for OF. The strongest predictors for OF were female gender (HR, 2.22), alcohol use (HR, 2.02), and viral coinfection (HR, 1.37) (all P < 0.0001). Conclusion: Insured CHB patients were older, had more comorbidities, and experienced higher incidence and prevalence of CKD and OF than controls.

Serum NGAL can act as an early renal safety biomarker during long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B

Tubular renal toxicity is a side-effect of long-term therapy with nucleos(t)ide analogue(s) (NA) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). There are no established surrogate markers in plasma of early NA-related toxicity. Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) is a protein produced by tubular cells following renal damage. We aimed therefore to retrospectively compare conventional renal markers (estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) and urinary protein/creatinine ratio uPCR) with a sensitive biomarker (NGAL) in CHB patients on long-term NA therapy and assess the ability of new markers to predict NA-related renal toxicity (new onset of nonalbumin proteinuria). A total of 192 naïve CHB patients (median age 41 years, 78% males, 25% HBeAg+, 35% cirrhosis) were NA treated for at least 5 years (median 8.34 years, range 5.54-11.1 years). The eGFR and uPCR were compared at baseline and last clinical visit with serum NGAL concentrations measured by ELISA at same time-points and assessed according to the presence/absence of nonalbumin proteinuria at last visit. While baseline and last visit eGFR were similar (median:78 vs 84 mL/min), serum NGAL concentrations increased during therapy (median:9.4 vs 16.4 ng/mL, P < .05). The proportion of patients with proteinuria (uPCR > 15) increased between baseline and last visit (4.6% vs 21.4%, P < .05), with 30 (16%) patients having de novo nonalbumin proteinuria at last visit. High baseline NGAL concentrations were exclusive to patients with de novo nonalbumin proteinuria (median:31.7 vs 7.8 ng/mL, P < .01) and baseline NGAL levels >25 mg/mL were predictive of nonalbumin proteinuria at last visit (AUROC = 0.813). In conclusion, serum NGAL can act as a surrogate marker of early renal injury (de novo nonalbumin proteinuria) in CHB on long-term NA therapy.

Hepatitis B in sub-Saharan Africa: strategies to achieve the 2030 elimination targets

The WHO global health sector strategy on viral hepatitis, created in May, 2016, aims to achieve a 90% reduction in new cases of chronic hepatitis B and C and a 65% reduction in mortality due to hepatitis B and C by 2030. Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is endemic in sub-Saharan Africa, and despite the introduction of universal hepatitis B vaccination and effective antiviral therapy, the estimated overall seroprevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen remains high at 6·1% (95% uncertainty interval 4·6-8·5). In this Series paper, we have reviewed the literature to examine the epidemiology, burden of liver disease, and elimination strategies of hepatitis B in sub-Saharan Africa. This paper reflects a supranational perspective of sub-Saharan Africa, and recommends several priority elimination strategies that address the need both to prevent new infections and to diagnose and treat chronic infections. The key to achieving these elimination goals in sub-Saharan Africa is the effective prevention of new infections via universal implementation of the HBV birth-dose vaccine, full vaccine coverage, access to affordable diagnostics to identify HBV-infected individuals, and to enable linkage to care and antiviral therapy.

HBsAg and HBcrAg as predictors of HBeAg seroconversion in HBeAg-positive patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues

HBeAg seroconversion marks an important spontaneous change and treatment end-point for HBeAg-positive patients and is a pre-requisite for HBsAg loss or functional cure. In this retrospective analysis, we aimed to identify predictors of seroconversion using serum quantitative HBsAg and HBcrAg, in HBeAg-positive patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA). Data and samples from 118 HBeAg-positive adults (genotypes A-G) started on NA between Jan 2005 and Sept 2016 were retrospectively analysed at several time-points. The predictive power of on-treatment levels of HBsAg and HBcrAg was determined using receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis and cut-off values determined by maximized Youden's index. About 36.4% of patients achieved HBeAg seroconversion after a median of 39 months' treatment. On treatment kinetics of HBV DNA, HBsAg and HBcrAg differed between HBeAg seroconverters and nonseroconverters. A combination of HBsAg and HBcrAg had the greatest predictive value for HBeAg seroconversion: at 6 months, HBsAg of 3.9 log₁₀  IU/mL and HBcrAg of 5.7 log₁₀ U/mL had a sensitivity of 71.4%, specificity of 79.5%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 65.2% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 83.8%, with AUROC of 0.769 (0.668, 0.869; 95%CI), and at 12 months, HBsAg 3.8 log₁₀  IU/mL and HBcrAg 5.5 log₁₀ U/mL had a sensitivity of 73.7%, specificity of 79.5%, PPV of 63.6% and NPV of 86.1%, with AUROC 0.807 (0.713, 0.901; 95% CI). In conclusion, our results may be used to identify patients who are unlikely to achieve treatment end-points, which will be important as the future management of chronic hepatitis B looks to therapies that offer functional cure.

Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection in Haemophilic Patients: Clinical Significance of Viral Genotype

We have undertaken a comprehensive study of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype and its clinical significance in haemophilic patients. 189 HCV RNA positive patients were typed, using the Simmonds classification scheme, by restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) in an amplified segment of the 5 non-coding region of the HCV genome. Type 1 was found in 121 (64.0%), type 2 in 23 (12.2%), type 3 in 36 (19.0%), type 4 in 3 (1.6%), type 5 in 2 (1.1%) and mixed infection in 3 (1.6%). There were no type 6 infections and one patient (0.5%) could not be typed. Genotype was not associated with diagnosis, age, or with HIV infection. Type I was associated with higher serum HCV RNA levels, and with a poor response to interferon. Progression to hepatic decompensation has been seen less frequently in those with type 3 compared to type 1 infection (p = 0.07). Three out of eleven patients studied over a longer time course showed a change in genotype, the remainder were persistently infected with HCV type 1. In conclusion, HCV genotype has clinical relevance in the management of haemophilic patients. Those with type 1 are probably more likely to develop serious liver disease and since they respond poorly to inter- feron-α, should be considered for new treatment strategies aimed at sustained clearance of HCV RNA.

Efficacy and Tolerability of Direct-Acting Antivirals for Hepatitis C in Older Adults

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the efficacy and tolerability of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy in individuals aged 65 and older.

DESIGN

Retrospective review between June 2014 and January 2017.

SETTING

Viral hepatitis outpatient clinic.

PARTICIPANTS

Individuals aged 65 and older treated with DAA therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV) during the study period (N=113) divided into 2 cohorts: aged 65 to 74 (n=88) and aged 75 and older (n=25).

MEASUREMENTS

Drug-drug interactions (DDIs), adverse events (AEs), and rates of sustained virologic response with DAA therapy were assessed.

RESULTS

Sustained virologic response rate was 97.7% in individuals aged 65 to 74 and 95.8% in those aged 75 and older. Individuals aged 75 and older were more likely to be taking more than 2 medications per day for chronic conditions (84% vs 62%, p=.02) and more likely to have clinically significant DDIs necessitating cessation or adjustment of medications before commencement of DAA therapy (80% vs 36%, p=.001). Moreover, individuals aged 75 and older were more likely to experience an AE during therapy (50% vs 26%, p=.03) and were more susceptible to developing anemia secondary to ribavirin (60% vs 20%, p=.02).

CONCLUSION

DAA therapy is highly efficacious for the treatment of HCV in older adults, but those aged 75 and older are more likely to have clinically significant pretreatment DDIs and experience AEs, including ribavirin-induced anemia, during therapy.

Eliminating hepatitis C within low-income countries - The need to cure genotypes 4, 5, 6

Around 70 to 100 million people are chronically infected with HCV worldwide. HCV antiviral drug development has revolutionised the treatment of HCV, with several direct-acting antiviral agents offering patients the chance of cure after only 8-12 weeks of treatment. Drug development was initially focussed on HCV genotype 1 (GT1) infection, since this was the most prevalent worldwide, although clinical trials included all genotypes prevalent in the US and Europe. Because the earliest in vitro assays utilised the GT1b and 2 replicons, the initial classes of direct-acting antivirals (protease inhibitors, non-nucleotide polymerase inhibitors) were GT1-specific, albeit they had an effect on other less prevalent genotypes. Epidemiological data has shown the regional importance of other HCV genotypes. More than 50% of all HCV infections around the globe are not with GT1. The prevalence of HCV genotype 4 (GT4), 5 (GT5), and 6 (GT6) is increasing in North America and Europe due to migration from the Middle East, Africa and South-East Asia. With the successful development of the multi and pan-genotypic non-structural protein 5A inhibitors, second generation protease inhibitors and nucleotide non-structural protein 5B inhibitors comes a unique opportunity to achieve global HCV elimination. The goal of this review is to summarise the available information pertaining to GT4, GT5 and GT6, with a specific focus on direct-acting antiviral agents.

Current and future directions of management of hepatitis B: steps toward a cure

Universal hepatitis B virus vaccination has been effective in reducing incident chronic hepatitis B but will not have the requisite effect on the prevalence of end-stage liver disease in chronically infected persons. The natural history and immunological stages of hepatitis B virus infection are still being defined. Over three decades, current therapies have reduced morbidity from chronic hepatitis B. The majority require nucleoside analog maintenance therapy. The preferential preservation of covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA), and capsid reverse transcriptase–cccDNA interactions currently precludes cure in most. A functional cure in  the host may require several synergistic antiviral and immunological intercessions. The correct sequencing and combinations of treatment with either host or viral targeting agents have yet to be determined. Proven surrogates for cccDNA for clinical trials are required. Different strategies may become apparent for patients at different stages of the disease. Curative therapies will require affordability. This review focuses on steps toward a cure.

Effectiveness of current and future regimens for treating genotype 3 hepatitis C virus infection: a large-scale systematic review

BACKGROUND

Six distinct genetic variants (genotypes 1 - 6) of hepatitis C virus (HCV) exist globally. Certain genotypes are more prevalent in particular countries or regions than in others but, globally, genotype 3 (GT3) is the second most common. Patients infected with HCV GT1, 2, 4, 5 or 6 recover to a greater extent, as measured by sustained virological response (SVR), following treatment with regimens based on direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) than after treatment with older regimens based on pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN). GT3, however, is regarded as being more difficult to treat as it is a relatively aggressive genotype, associated with greater liver damage and cancer risk; some subgroups of patients with GT3 infection are less responsive to current licensed DAA treatments. Newer DAAs have become available or are in development.

METHODS

According to PRISMA guidance, we conducted a systematic review (and descriptive statistical analysis) of data in the public domain from relevant clinical trial or observational (real-world) study publications within a 5-year period (February 2011 to May 2016) identified by PubMed, Medline In-Process, and Embase searches. This was supplemented with a search of five non-indexed literature sources, comprising annual conferences of the AASLD, APASL, CROI, EASL, and WHO, restricted to a 1-year period (April 2015 to May 2016).

RESULTS

Of the all-oral regimens, the efficacy (SVR12 ≥ 90%) of sofosbuvir plus daclatasvir- and velpatasvir-based regimens in clinical trials supports and reinforces their recommendation by guidelines. Other promising regimens comprise grazoprevir + elbasvir + sofosbuvir, and ombitasvir + paritaprevir/ribavirin + sofosbuvir. Newer regimens incorporating pibrentasvir + glecaprevir or grazoprevir + ruzasvir + MK-3682 (uprifosbuvir), offer all-oral, ribavirin-free SVR12 rates consistently greater than 95%. Observational studies report slightly lower overall SVR rates but reflect corresponding clinical trial data in terms of treatments most likely to achieve good responses.

CONCLUSIONS

On the basis of SVR12, we established that for treating GT3 infections (i) regimens incorporating newer DAAs are more effective than those comprising older DAAs, and (ii) ribavirin may be of less benefit in newer DAA regimens than in older DAA regimens. The analysis provides evidence that DAA regimens can replace Peg-IFN-based regimens for GT3 infection.

Hepatitis B cure: From discovery to regulatory approval

The majority of persons currently treated for chronic hepatitis B require long-term or lifelong therapy. New inhibitors of hepatitis B virus entry, replication, assembly, or secretion and immune modulatory therapies are in development. The introduction of these novel compounds for chronic hepatitis B necessitates a standardized appraisal of the efficacy and safety of these treatments and definitions of new or additional endpoints to inform clinical trials. To move the field forward and to expedite the pathway from discovery to regulatory approval, a workshop with key stakeholders was held in September 2016 to develop a consensus on treatment endpoints to guide the design of clinical trials aimed at hepatitis B cure. The consensus reached was that a complete sterilizing cure, i.e., viral eradication from the host, is unlikely to be feasible. Instead, a functional cure characterized by sustained loss of hepatitis B surface antigen with or without hepatitis B surface antibody seroconversion, which is associated with improved clinical outcomes, in a higher proportion of patients than is currently achieved with existing treatments is a feasible goal. Development of standardized assays for novel biomarkers toward better defining hepatitis B virus cure should occur in parallel with development of novel antiviral and immune modulatory therapies such that approval of new treatments can be linked to the approval of new diagnostic assays used to measure efficacy or to predict response. Combination of antiviral and immune modulatory therapies will likely be needed to achieve functional hepatitis B virus cure. Limited proof-of-concept monotherapy studies to evaluate safety and antiviral activity should be conducted prior to proceeding to combination therapies. The safety of any new curative therapies will be paramount given the excellent safety of currently approved nucleos(t)ide analogues. (Hepatology 2017).

Physician perspectives on the management of viral hepatitis and hepatocellular carcinoma in Myanmar

Background

In Myanmar, over five million people are infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV). Hepatitis has been a recent focus with the development of a National Strategic Plan on Hepatitis and plans to subsidize HCV treatment.

Methods

During a two-day national liver disease symposium covering HCV, HBV, hepatocellular (HCC), and end-stage liver disease (ESLD), physician surveys were administered using the automated response system (ARS) to assess physician knowledge, perceptions of barriers to screening and treatment, and proposed solutions. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratio (OR) relating demography and practice factors with higher provider knowledge and improvement.

Results

One hundred two physicians attending from various specialty areas (31.0% specializing in gastroenterology/hepatology and/or infectious disease) were of mixed gender (46.8% male), were younger than or equal to 40 years old (51.1% 20 to 40 years), had less experience (61.6% with ≤10 years of medical practice), were from the metropolitan area of Yangon (72.1%), and saw <10 liver disease patients per week (74.3%). The majority of physicians were not comfortable with treating or managing patients with liver disease. The post-test scores demonstrated an improvement in liver disease knowledge (9.0% ± 27.0) compared to the baseline pre-test scores; no variables were associated with significant improvement in hepatitis knowledge. Physicians identified the cost of diagnostic blood tests and treatment as the most significant barrier to treatment. Top solutions proposed were universal screening policies (46%), removal of financial barriers for treatment (29%), patient education (14%) and provider education (11%).

Conclusions

Physician knowledge improved after this symposium, and many other needs were revealed by the physician input on barriers to care and their solutions. These survey results are important in guiding the next steps to improve liver disease management and future medical education efforts in Myanmar.

The impact of antiviral therapy for hepatitis C on the quality of life: a perspective

Instruments to assess the impact of hepatitis C virus infection on health and measurements of reported outcomes in patients (health-related quality of life [HRQOL]) are not frequently used to assign priority for treatment. Several systematic reviews have been performed that provide a comprehensive analysis to help understand patient reported outcomes (PROs) with direct acting antiviral treatment. Clinical trials with direct acting antivirals (DAAs) provide an important opportunity to assess PROs without interferon or ribavirin. Significant improvement in quality of life parameters have been noted with DAA therapy. The results show improvement in HRQOL indices when interferon-free and particularly interferon and ribavirin-free treatments are compared to interferon and ribavirin treatment. Improvements in HRQOL indices are an encouraging aspect of the cure of chronic hepatitis C. It is unclear whether these measurable HRQOL improvements can be translated into a net benefit improvement in work productivity and a social dimension that is significant enough to convince payers of the added value of early and more widespread treatment.

Screening and management of viral hepatitis and hepatocellular carcinoma in Mongolia: results from a survey of Mongolian physicians from all major provinces of Mongolia

Background

According to Globocan, Mongolia has the highest worldwide hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence (78.1/100 000, 3.5× higher than China).

Aims and methods

We conducted an anonymous survey of physicians from major provinces who attended an educational liver symposium, analysing their demography, practice, knowledge, perceptions and proposed solutions. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate OR relating demography and practice factors with higher provider knowledge and improvement.

Results

Of the 121 attendees, 44–95 (36–79%) responded to each question. Most were female (87%), young (79% age <50), subspecialists (81%), university-affiliated (74%), and practised in urban areas (61%). The mean pretest and post-test scores per physician were 60.4±20.4 and 65.6±21.3, with no observed significant predictors for baseline knowledge or improvement. Most (>80%) noted that <50% of patients who need hepatitis or HCC screening receive it. The main perceived barriers to screening were inability to pay for tests, lack of guidelines and poor patient awareness. Hepatitis treatment rates were low; 83% treated hepatitis C virus in <10 patients in the past year, and 86% treated hepatitis B virus in <10 patients/month. Treatment barriers were multifactorial, with cost as a principal barrier. Proposed solutions were universal screening policies (46%), removal of financial barriers (28%) and provider education (20%).

Conclusions

Physicians from major regions of Mongolia noted low screening for viral hepatitis, even lower treatment rates, financial barriers and the need for increased educational efforts. We advocate broad-based medical education tailored to local needs and based on needs assessment and outcome measurements.

The current treatment situation and definitions of a cure for chronic HBV infection

HBV vaccination, while effective in reducing incident chronic disease in endemic regions, will not have the desired impact on the rates of end-stage liver disease in chronically infected persons. Over three decades, IFN-α and nucleoside analogs have reduced the morbidity from the disease. A large reservoir of chronic infection remains. The natural history of HBV infection is still being defined. Understanding the interactions between HBV and the host will be fundamental to achieving higher rates of cure. Curing hepatitis B will require several steps for either eradication, or a functional cure in the host. It is unclear whether covently closed circular DNA chromatin would need to be cleared to cure hepatitis B, or whether low threshold levels would slow the disease.