Baseline and serial liver stiffness measurement in prediction of portal hypertension progression for patients with compensated cirrhosis

Liver stiffness measurement trajectory analysis for prognosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B and compensated advanced chronic liver disease

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) offer a noninvasive method for monitoring liver disease development. This study evaluated the prognostic value of different LSM trajectories in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 1272 CHB and cACLD patients with at least two LSMs, applied group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) to identify distinct LSM trajectories, and used a Cox model to analyze their associations with liver-related events (LREs) and mortality risk.

RESULTS

Patients were categorized into five groups with distinct LSM trajectories: 67 (8.5 %), 13 (11 %), 36 (23.5 %), 34 (27.6 %) and 23 (25.0 %) developed LREs in Groups 1-5. The low stable trajectory (Group 3), the medium gradual decrease trajectory (Group 4) and high quickly decrease followed by increase trajectory (Group 5) had higher LREs risks than the low gradual decrease trajectory (Group 1) (adjusted HRs 2.26, 2.39, 2.67; 95 % CIs 1.50-3.40, 1.57-3.66, 1.61-4.43, respectively). Similar elevated risks were observed for hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver-related and all-cause mortality, except that there was no significant difference in the risk of HCC between Groups 4 and 1 (aHR 0.66, 0.36-1.23). When comparing Group 1 with the medium quickly decrease trajectory (Group 2), no significant differences were noted in the prognosis (P > 0.05). Notably, age over 40, high LSM, low PLT, and high total bilirubin were linked to high-risk trajectories (Groups 3-5).

CONCLUSIONS

Monitoring LSM trajectories improves prognostic prediction in CHB and cACLD compared with single measurements and may guide personalized treatment strategies.

Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography-Based Parameters Predict Clinical Outcomes in Liver Transplant Recipients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is used in clinical practice to risk-stratify liver transplant (LT) recipients; however, there are currently little data demonstrating the relationship between VCTE and clinical outcomes.

METHODS

A total of 362 adult LT recipients with successful VCTE examination between 2015 and 2022 were included. Presence of advanced fibrosis was defined as liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥10.5 kPa and hepatic steatosis as controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) ≥270 dB/m. The outcomes of interest included all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), and graft cirrhosis using cumulative incidence analysis that accounted for the competing risks of these outcomes.

RESULTS

The LSM was elevated in 64 (18%) and CAP in 163 (45%) LT recipients. The baseline LSM values were similar in patients with elevated vs normal CAP values. After a median follow-up of 65 (interquartile range, 20-140) months from LT to baseline VCTE, 66 (18%) patients died, 12 (3%) developed graft cirrhosis, and 18 (5%) experienced an MI. Baseline high LSM was independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.97; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-3.50; P = .02) and new onset cirrhosis (HR, 6.74; 95% CI, 2.08-21.79; P < .01). A higher CAP value was significantly and independently associated with increased risk of experiencing a MI over study follow-up (HR, 4.14; 95% CI, 1.29-13.27; P = .017).

CONCLUSIONS

The VCTE-based parameters are associated with clinical outcomes and offer the potential to be incorporated into clinical risk-stratification strategies to improve outcomes among LT recipients.

Prognostic significance of dynamic changes in liver stiffness measurement in patients with chronic hepatitis B and compensated advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) are promising for monitoring disease progression or regression. We assessed the prognostic significance of dynamic changes in LSM over time on liver-related events (LREs) and death in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 1272 patients with CHB and cACLD who underwent at least two measurements, including LSM and fibrosis score based on four factors (FIB-4). ΔLSM was defined as [(follow-up LSM - baseline LSM)/baseline LSM × 100]. We recorded LREs and all-cause mortality during a median follow-up time of 46 months. Hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) for outcomes were calculated using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Baseline FIB-4, baseline LSM, ΔFIB-4, ΔLSM, and ΔLSM/year were independently and simultaneously associated with LREs (adjusted HR, 1.04, 95% CI, 1.00-1.07; 1.02, 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; 1.06, 95% CI, 1.03-1.09; 1.96, 95% CI, 1.63-2.35, 1.02, 95% CI, 1.01-1.04, respectively). The baseline LSM combined with the ΔLSM achieved the highest Harrell's C (0.751), integrated AUC (0.776), and time-dependent AUC (0.737) for LREs. Using baseline LSM and ΔLSM, we proposed a risk stratification method to improve clinical applications. The risk proposed stratification based on LSM performed well in terms of prognosis: low risk (n = 390; reference), intermediate risk (n = 446; HR = 3.38), high risk (n = 272; HR = 5.64), and extremely high risk (n = 164; HR = 11.11).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline and repeated noninvasive tests measurement allow risk stratification of patients with CHB and cACLD. Combining baseline and dynamic changes in the LSM improves prognostic prediction.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of biomarkers predicting decompensation in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis is crucial, drastically reducing prognosis from a median survival of over 10 years to 2 years. There is currently an unmet need to accurately predict decompensation. We systematically reviewed and meta-analysed data regarding biomarker use to predict decompensation in individuals with compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

PubMed and EMBASE database searches were conducted for all studies from inception until February 2024. The study was carried out according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The Quality of Prognosis Studies framework was used to assess the risk of bias. The meta-analysis was conducted with a random effects model using STATA software.

RESULTS

Of the 652 studies initially identified, 63 studies (n=31 438 patients) were included in the final review, examining 49 biomarkers. 25 studies (40%) were prospective with the majority of studies looking at all-cause decompensation (90%). The most well-studied biomarkers were platelets (n=17), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (n=17) and albumin (n=16). A meta-analysis revealed elevated international normalised ratio was the strongest predictor of decompensation, followed by decreased albumin. However, high statistical heterogeneity was noted (l2 result of 96.3%). Furthermore, 21 studies were assessed as having a low risk of bias (34%), 26 (41%) moderate risk and 16 (25%) high risk.

CONCLUSIONS

This review highlights key biomarkers that should potentially be incorporated into future scoring systems to predict decompensation. However, future biomarker studies should be conducted with rigorous and standardised methodology to ensure robust and comparable data.

Dynamics in Liver Stiffness Measurements Predict Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) provide an opportunity to monitor liver disease progression and regression noninvasively. We aimed to determine the prognostic relevance of LSM dynamics over time for liver-related events and death in patients with chronic liver disease.

METHODS

Patients with chronic liver disease undergoing 2 or more reliable LSMs at least 180 days apart were included in this retrospective cohort study and stratified at baseline (BL) as nonadvanced chronic liver disease (non-ACLD, BL-LSM < 10 kPa), compensated ACLD (cACLD; BL-LSM ≥ 10 kPa), and decompensated ACLD. Data on all consecutive LSMs and clinical outcomes were collected.

RESULTS

There were 2508 patients with 8561 reliable LSMs (3 per patient; interquartile range, 2-4) included: 1647 (65.7%) with non-ACLD, 757 (30.2%) with cACLD, and 104 (4.1%) with decompensated ACLD. Seven non-ACLD patients (0.4%) and 83 patients with cACLD (10.9%) developed hepatic decompensation (median follow-up, 71 months). A 20% increase in LSM at any time was associated with an approximately 50% increased risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.41-1.79; P < .001) and liver-related death (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.28-1.68; P < .001) in patients with cACLD. LSM dynamics yielded a high accuracy to predict hepatic decompensation in the following 12 months (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.933). The performance of LSM dynamics was numerically better than dynamics in Fibrosis-4 score (0.873), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (0.835), and single time-point LSM (BL-LSM: 0.846; second LSM: 0.880). Any LSM decrease to <20 kPa identified patients with cACLD with a substantially lower risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.07-0.24). If reliable, LSM also confers prognostic information in decompensated ACLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Repeating LSM enables an individual and updated risk assessment for decompensation and liver-related mortality in ACLD.

Baveno VI criteria as a prognostic factor for clinical complications in patients with compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Combination of liver stiffness measurement and platelets count is a tool to safely rule out varices needing treatment (VNT) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

AIMS

to evaluate 4-year liver-related complications and survival in low-risk patients according to Baveno VI criteria.

METHODS

we conducted a monocentric retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of all consecutive patients, with cirrhosis (LSM≥12.5 kPa) and without previous complication, evaluated between 2012 and 2015. Liver-related complications and survival were compared between 2 groups of patients: favourable (LSM< 20 kPa and platelet count>150.000/mm3) and unfavourable Baveno VI status patients (LSM ≥ 20 kPa or platelet count ≤150.000/mm3).

RESULTS

455 patients with cACLD were analysed. Two hundred patients had favourable Baveno VI criteria, 3.6% with VNT. The 4-year probability of being free of acute decompensation was higher in low-risk patients (94.4 ± 1.8% vs. 85.7%±2.6%, p = 0.018). Unfavourable Baveno status was independently associated with acute decompensation. The probability of being free of HCC was significantly higher in low-risk patients (94.2 ± 1.8% vs. 87.6 ± 2.4%, p = 0.048). Liver-related mortality was not different between the 2 groups (p = 0.56).

CONCLUSION

The Baveno VI criteria could predict clinical outcome in cACLD.

Two-dimensional shear wave elastography predicts survival in advanced chronic liver disease

OBJECTIVE

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a tool used to screen for significant fibrosis and portal hypertension. The aim of this retrospective multicentre study was to develop an easy tool using LSM for clinical outcomes in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients.

DESIGN

This international multicentre cohort study included a derivation ACLD patient cohort with valid two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) results. Clinical and laboratory parameters at baseline and during follow-up were recorded. LSM by transient elastography (TE) was also recorded if available. The primary outcome was overall mortality. The secondary outcome was the development of first/further decompensation.

RESULTS

After screening 2148 patients (16 centres), 1827 patients (55 years, 62.4% men) were included in the 2D-SWE cohort, with median liver SWE (L-SWE) 11.8 kPa and a model for end stage liver disease (MELD) score of 8. Combination of MELD score and L-SWE predict independently of mortality (AUC 0.8). L-SWE cut-off at ≥20 kPa combined with MELD ≥10 could stratify the risk of mortality and first/further decompensation in ACLD patients. The 2-year mortality and decompensation rates were 36.9% and 61.8%, respectively, in the 305 (18.3%) high-risk patients (with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10), while in the 944 (56.6%) low-risk patients, these were 1.1% and 3.5%, respectively. Importantly, this M10LS20 algorithm was validated by TE-based LSM and in an additional cohort of 119 patients with valid point shear SWE-LSM.

CONCLUSION

The M10LS20 algorithm allows risk stratification of patients with ACLD. Patients with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10 should be followed closely and receive intensified care, while patients with low risk may be managed at longer intervals.

Dynamic monitoring with shear wave elastography predicts outcomes of chronic hepatitis B patients with decompensated cirrhosis

Background

Two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) can be used to accurately assess significant liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). However, whether those with decompensated cirrhosis could benefit from surveillance with 2D-SWE remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the association between dynamic changes in 2D-SWE measurements and the prognosis of CHB-related decompensated cirrhosis.

Methods

We prospectively enrolled 149 consecutive treatment-naive CHB patients with decompensated cirrhosis from a clinical trial (registration number: ChiCTR-DCD-15006000) from February 2015 to December 2018. 2D-SWE was performed at 48-week intervals until December 2020. Liver-related events (LREs) were recorded through electronic medical records and telephone interviews.

Results

The liver stiffness measurement (LSM) levels persistently reduced after antiviral therapy in patients who did not develop LREs, while patients with LREs showed a fluctuating trend of LSM alterations. Low pre-treatment 2D-SWE LSM, ∆% 2D-SWE LSM pre-virus control, and ∆% 2D-SWE LSM pre-post treatment were characterized by similar prognostic abilities as high levels of these parameters. Post-treatment 2D-SWE LSM was independently correlated with LREs in multivariate Cox regression models after antiviral treatments [hazard ratio (HR) =1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02–1.08, P=0.0007 and 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04–1.18, P=0.0026]. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis identified that post-treatment 2D-SWE LSM exhibited the best predictive power for LREs among all the other variables, including parameters of 2D-SWE and serum fibrosis markers (area under the curve =0.75, P<0.001).

Conclusions

The last follow-up LSM, rather than pre-treatment or dynamic changes in 2D-SWE serves as a powerful predictor of LREs, suggesting that sequential monitoring may be beneficial to predicting prognosis.

Resistance to thrombomodulin correlates with liver stiffness in chronic liver disease a prospective single-center cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Chronic liver disease (CLD) is characterized by changes in haemostasis, embracing both hypo- and hypercoagulability. Global hemostatic tests such as thrombin generation assays evaluate the hemostatic balance, to better assess bleeding and thrombotic risks. In addition, procoagulant state in patients with CLD has been demonstrated using modified thrombin generation assays with thrombomodulin, a cofactor for protein C activation. In this study, we prospectively determined thrombin generation and thrombomodulin resistance in patients with CLD staged with liver stiffness measurement (LSM), using both the fully automated analyzer ST Genesia® Thrombin Generation System (STG) and the calibrated automated thrombogram assay (CAT).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics, and blood samples were collected from 65 patients with CLD. Liver stiffness was measured by transient elastography, and thrombin generation and thrombomodulin resistance, by STG and CAT.

RESULTS

Patients were separated based on LSM of <21 and ≥21 kilopascals (kPa). The propagation rate of thrombin generation was higher in patients with LSM ≥21 kPa and the thrombin generation rate increased as LSM increased. In addition, thrombomodulin resistance assessed by STG and CAT was higher in patients with LSM ≥21 kPa. However, ETP inhibition by activated protein C was comparable in patients with LSM <21 and ≥21 kPa. Finally, LSM correlated with most thrombin generation parameters.

CONCLUSION

The STG automated system may have value in the assessment of patients with chronic liver disease in the routine coagulation laboratory. LSM ≥21 kPa identify a procoagulant phenotype in these patients, including thrombomodulin resistance.

Noninvasive Detection of Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease have different prognoses depending on the presence of portal hypertension. Current non-invasive diagnostic methods allow identification of clinically significant portal hypertension. Portosystemic collaterals on imaging or liver stiffness of more than 20 to 25 kPa by using transient elastography identifies patients with clinically significant portal hypertension. Patients with liver stiffness of less than 20 kPa and platelet count of greater than 150 g/L can avoid endoscopy. This rule could be expanded using spleen stiffness. Methods to risk stratify for portal hypertension in compensated advanced chronic liver disease and successfully treated chronic hepatitis C and B are subject of research.

Approaches to the Diagnosis of Portal Hypertension: Non-Invasive or Invasive Tests?

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) and is defined by values of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement (HVPG) >5 mmHg. Values of HVPG ≥10 mmHg determine the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), the main predictor of the risk of variceal bleeding, hepatic decompensation, and mortality. However, its measurement is invasive and requires high expertise, so its routine use outside third level centers or clinical trials is limited. In the last decades, several non-invasive tests (NITs) have been developed and validated for the diagnosis of portal hypertension. Among these, liver (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) are the most promising tools available, as they have been proven accurate to predict CSPH, high-risk esophageal varices, decompensation, and mortality in patients with ACLD. In the last Baveno VI Consensus proceedings, LSM evaluation was recommended for the first time for diagnosis of CSPH (LSM >20-25 kPa) and the screening of patients with a low probability of having high-risk varices (LSM <20 kPa and platelet count >150.000/mm³). In this review, we aimed to summarize the growing evidence supporting the use of non-invasive tests for the evaluation of portal hypertension in patients with chronic liver disease.

Quantitative ultrasound elastography and serum ferritin level in dogs with liver tumors

Objective:

The objective of this study was to assess the serum ferritin level and quantitate ultrasound elastography as a marker to distinguish dogs with benign and malignant liver tumors.

Materials and Methods:

Twenty-eight dogs were determined the serum ferritin and ultrasound elastography by using fine-needle aspiration biopsy.

Results:

Our results demonstrated that dogs with malignant liver tumors had significantly higher mean serum ferritin concentrations than those with benign liver tumors (p = 0.004). The mean intensity of blue and red colors from elastography was greater in the malignant than those in the benign group, especially for the blue color, meaning that lesions showed more hard tissue. Additionally, histograms of blue color in the malignant tended to be higher than the benign group.

Conclusion:

We suggested that quantitative ultrasound elastography and serum ferritin concentration comprise an alternative and non-invasive diagnostic method that could be used to predict the type of liver tumors in dogs.

Using AST-platelet ratio index and fibrosis 4 index for detecting chronic hepatitis C in a large-scale community screening

Background

Aspartate transaminase-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) are two non-invasive indexes to predict liver fibrosis in liver disease. This study was to use APRI and FIB-4 to detect chronic virus hepatitis in community screenings.

Methods

From 2004 to 2013, a series of community-based health screenings for residents aged 40 and older were held in Tainan city. APRI and FIB-4 of each participant were calculated and their association further analyzed with hepatitis status.

Results

We enrolled 180359 participants including 18726 (10.4%) hepatitis B virus (HBV), 13428 (7.4%) hepatitis C virus (HCV), 1337 (0.7%) HBV plus HCV and 146868 (81.5%) Non-HBV Non-HCV. The prevalence of chronic HCV increased with the elevation of APRI cut-offs or FIB-4 cut-offs (13.9%, 28.1%, 38.8%, 45.2%, to 49.9% in APRI≥0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9,1.1, p<0.001 for the linear trend; or 15.8%, 26.4%, 34.4% to 39.7% in FIB-4≥1.75, 2.75, 3.5, 4.25, p<0.001). At the township level, APRI≥ 0.7 and FIB-4≥ 3.5 were highly correlated with HCV infection (r = 0.95, p<0.001 in APRI and r = 0.809, p<0.001 in FIB-4) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development (r = 0.894, p<0.001 in APRI and r = 0.804, p<0.001 in FIB-4), but not correlated with HBV infection.

Conclusions

Community screenings derived APRI or FIB-4 can identify patient subsets with increased of underlying HCV infection and risk of incident HCC.

Liver stiffness measurement at complete virological response in hepatoma prediction for HBV-related cirrhosis patient with potent antiviral agent

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development is ameliorated with nucleos(t)ide agent (NA) therapy for hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis patients. This study investigates whether liver stiffness (LS) measurement at complete virological response (CVR) was useful in predicting HCC development. Between July 2006 and August 2016, HBV-related cirrhosis patients with potent NA (entecavir/tenofovir) with the first LS measurement during CVR and with serial LS were enrolled. Patients developing HCC 6 months after potent NA or before the first LS measurement were excluded. Three hundred and seventy-one patients were enrolled. The median follow-up was 5.6 and 3.8 years from potent NA treatment and the first LS measurement respectively. Twenty-seven patients developed HCC. The 1-, 3-, 5- and 7-year cumulated incidences of HCC occurrence were 0%, 2.8%, 5.8% and 9%, respectively. In addition to age > 57 years, LS > =21.5 kPa (HR: 3.86, 95%CI: 1.67-8.94) was an independent factor associated with HCC occurrence in multivariate analysis. However, the magnitude of change in LS was not associated with HCC development. For the first LS in HCC prediction, the performance was 0.636. There were two to thirteen LS measurements during CVR. The change in LS was classified into four patterns stratified by the first and serial LS. Compared with those with serial LS < 21.5 kPa, patients with LS > =21.5 kPa tend to have higher HCC occurrence (P = .062). In summary, LS at CVR was an independent factor associated with HCC development for HBV-related cirrhosis patients with potent NA. However, LS was not satisfactory in the prediction performance of HCC development.

Non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis and prognosis: an update on serum and elastography markers

Non-invasive assessment of fibrosis is increasingly utilized in clinical practice to diagnose hepatic fibrosis. Non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis relies on biologic and/or physical properties to assess tissue fibrosis. Serum markers estimate fibrosis by incorporating markers reflecting hepatic function (indirect markers) and/or markers measuring extracellular matrix degradation/fibrogenesis (direct markers). Radiology based techniques relay the mechanical properties and stiffness of a tissue, with increased stiffness associated with more advanced fibrosis. Areas covered: In this comprehensive review, the recent literature discussing serum markers and elastography-based techniques will be covered. These modalities are also explored in the setting of various liver diseases. Expert opinion: The etiology of liver disease and clinical context should be taken into consideration when non-invasive markers are incorporated in clinical practice. Non-invasive assessment of fibrosis has been most extensively utilized in hepatitis C, followed by hepatitis B and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, but its role remains less developed in other etiologies of liver disease such as alcohol-associated liver disease and autoimmune liver disease. The role of non-invasive markers in predicting progression or regression of fibrosis, development of liver-related events and survival needs to be further explored.

Liver stiffness and thrombin generation in compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Decompensated cirrhosis is associated with coagulation abnormalities that can increase the risk of thrombosis and bleeding. It is unclear precisely when these abnormalities arise and whether they are exacerbated as compensated cirrhosis progresses. Transient elastography using FibroScan generates liver stiffness measurements (LSM) that associate with portal hypertension, clinical outcomes and provides prognostic information at an earlier stage than traditional liver function scores eg, MELD score.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize thrombin generation in patients with compensated cirrhosis and to determine whether parameters of coagulation change throughout compensated cirrhosis, staged using LSM.

PATIENTS/METHODS

Blood samples were collected from well-compensated cirrhotic patients n = 61, All Child Pugh A stage) attending the Mater Misericordiae University Hospital, Ireland. Comprehensive clinical staging of liver disease, including LSM, was performed. Tissue Factor-stimulated thrombin generation was measured by calibrated automated thrombography.

RESULTS

Using LSM to stage well-compensated cirrhotic patients, we demonstrate a significant decrease in the rate of propagation, the rate of attenuation, and total thrombin generation as LSM increase. LSM correlated with endogenous thrombin potential, peak thrombin generation, the rate of propagation, and the rate of attenuation. This association between thrombin generation and LSM was still evident in sub-analyses excluding patients with ongoing alcohol use, active HCV infection, or a history of decompensation. In contrast, there was no significant correlation between thrombin generation, prothrombin times, Child-Pugh scores, or MELD scores.

CONCLUSION

Liver stiffness measurements identify differences in parameters of thrombin generation within a cohort of compensated cirrhotic patients before changes in clotting times occur.

Transient elastography can stratify patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis according to risk of early decompensation

BACKGROUND

Compensated cirrhosis has a variable prognosis depending on stage. There are currently no straightforward and robust tools in clinical practice to predict decompensation in Child-Pugh A cirrhosis. We set out to determine whether transient elastography (TE) could be used across liver disease aetiologies to determine risk of decompensation.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Participants were enrolled at two sites (Dublin and Nottingham) and followed up for a minimum of 2 years. The primary outcome of the study was liver decompensation, defined as the development of overt hepatic encephalopathy or ascites or presentation with bleeding varices. All patients received a TE examination to measure liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and had routine blood measurements taken at the baseline visit and on each subsequent visit.

RESULTS

In 259 participants, the overall rate of liver-related outcome was 31 per 1000 person-years (95% confidence interval: 19-47 per 1000 person-years). Of the total population, 6 and 11% developed a liver-related outcome within 2 and 4 years of follow-up, respectively. There were no events in the population with a LSM less than 21 kPa. A LSM of more than 35 kPa was associated with a decompensation risk of 39% at 4 years. For each unit increase in the LSM above 20 kPa, the risk of liver-related outcome increased by 6% (hazard ratio=1.06; 95% confidence interval: 1.04-1.82) after adjusting for age, sex Mayo End Liver Disease Score, cohort source and aetiology.

CONCLUSION

The risk of liver decompensation increased with increasing LSM in mixed aetiology compensated cirrhosis. LSM may be used to risk stratify patients, potentially reassure patients with low scores, and select patients with higher scores for experimental therapeutic studies with acceptable timelines.

On-treatment changes of liver stiffness at week 26 could predict 2-year clinical outcomes in HBV-related compensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

It is unclear whether liver stiffness measurement (LSM) dynamic changes after anti-HBV treatment could predict the risk of liver-related events (LREs), particularly in patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis.

METHODS

Treatment-naïve patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis were enrolled. All patients were under entecavir-based antiviral therapy, and followed up every 26 weeks for 2 years. The association between LSM and LREs was analysed by Cox proportional hazard model and Harrell C-index analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 438 patients were included in the study. At the follow-up of 104 weeks, LREs developed in 33/438 (7.8%) patients, including 16 episodes of decompensation, 18 HCC and 3 deaths. The median LSM remained high from 20.9, 18.6, 20.4 to 20.3 Kpa at week 0, 26, 52 and 78 among patients with LREs, whereas the LSM decreased from 17.8, 12.3, 10.6 to 10.2 Kpa in patients without LREs respectively. Percentage changes of LSM at 26 weeks from baseline were significantly associated with LREs (excluding 11 cases occurred within the first 26 weeks), with a crude hazard ratio of 2.94 (95% CI: 1.73-5.00) and an albumin-adjusted hazard ratio of 2.47 (95% CI: 1.49-4.11). The Harrell C-index of these 2 models for predicting 2-year LREs were 0.68 (95% CI: 0.56-0.80) and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.65-0.85) respectively. Nomograms were developed to identify individuals at high risk for point-of-care application.

CONCLUSIONS

Dynamic changes of LSM alone, or combined with baseline albumin, could predict LREs in patients with HBV-related compensated cirrhosis during antiviral therapy.

Clinical significance of preoperative liver stiffness measurements in primary HBV-positive hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

To analyze clinical significance of preoperative liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by FibroScan in postcurative resection hepatitis B virus (HBV) related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

PATIENTS & METHODS

A total of 263 patients underwent preoperative LSM and curative operation for primary HBV-positive HCC were enrolled. The correlation between preoperative LSM and survival was analyzed.

RESULTS

All patients were stratified into two groups using the optimal cut-off value (13.2 kPa) of LSM using the receiver-operating characteristic. Patients with an LSM ≥13.2 kPa had poorer overall survival (median, 61.3 vs 48.2 months, hazard ratio: 0.15; p = 0.009) and recurrence-free survival (median, 60.4 vs 47.0 months; hazard ratio: 0.32; p = 0.011) than patients with an LSM <13.2 kPa and LSM also have been confirmed as independent predictor for survival for HCC.

DISCUSSION

This could potentially guide patient stratification and individualized treatment.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative LSM can be considered as an independent prognostic factor for HBV-positive HCC after curative resection.

Non-invasive evaluation of portal hypertension using ultrasound elastography

Portal hypertension (PH) leads to serious complications, such as bleeding from gastroesophageal varices, ascites and portosystemic encephalopathy in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Gold standard methods for assessing PH and its complications include the measurement of hepatic venous pressure gradient and endoscopy; however, these are invasive, expensive and not available at all centres. Therefore, non-invasive alternatives have been the subject of extensive investigation over the last 20years. The present review focuses on the role of ultrasound elastography - a novel group of non-invasive techniques used to measure stiffness in target organs. In the context of CLD these methods are used to identify the presence of PH, its severity, and the risk of PH-related complications. The rationale, accumulated evidence, advantages and limitations of liver and spleen stiffness measurements evaluated by different ultrasound elastography techniques in patients with advanced CLD is discussed. Recent data regarding the use of ultrasound elastography techniques in patients with non-cirrhotic forms of PH are also described.

Prognostic durability of liver fibrosis tests and improvement in predictive performance for mortality by combining tests

BACKGROUND AND AIM

There is currently no recommended time interval between noninvasive fibrosis measurements for monitoring chronic liver diseases. We determined how long a single liver fibrosis evaluation may accurately predict mortality, and assessed whether combining tests improves prognostic performance.

METHODS

We included 1559 patients with chronic liver disease and available baseline liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by Fibroscan, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), FIB-4, Hepascore, and FibroMeter^V2G .

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 2.8 years during which 262 (16.8%) patients died, with 115 liver-related deaths. All fibrosis tests were able to predict mortality, although APRI (and FIB-4 for liver-related mortality) showed lower overall discriminative ability than the other tests (differences in Harrell's C-index: P < 0.050). According to time-dependent AUROCs, the time period with optimal predictive performance was 2-3 years in patients with no/mild fibrosis, 1 year in patients with significant fibrosis, and <6 months in cirrhotic patients even in those with a model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score <15. Patients were then randomly split in training/testing sets. In the training set, blood tests and LSM were independent predictors of all-cause mortality. The best-fit multivariate model included age, sex, LSM, and FibroMeter^V2G with C-index = 0.834 (95% confidence interval, 0.803-0.862). The prognostic model for liver-related mortality included the same covariates with C-index = 0.868 (0.831-0.902). In the testing set, the multivariate models had higher prognostic accuracy than FibroMeter^V2G or LSM alone for all-cause mortality and FibroMeter^V2G alone for liver-related mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic durability of a single baseline fibrosis evaluation depends on the liver fibrosis level. Combining LSM with a blood fibrosis test improves mortality risk assessment.

A Meta-analysis for the Diagnostic Performance of Transient Elastography for Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension

We aimed to evaluate the correlation between liver stiffness measurement using transient elastography (TE-LSM) and hepatic venous pressure gradient and the diagnostic performance of TE-LSM in assessing clinically significant portal hypertension through meta-analysis. Eleven studies were included from thorough literature research and selection processes. The summary correlation coefficient was 0.783 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.737-0.823). Summary sensitivity, specificity and area under the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were 87.5% (95% CI, 75.8-93.9%), 85.3 % (95% CI, 76.9-90.9%) and 0.9, respectively. The subgroup with low cut-off values of 13.6-18 kPa had better summary estimates (sensitivity 91.2%, specificity 81.3% and partial AUC 0.921) than the subgroup with high cut-off values of 21-25 kPa (sensitivity 71.2%, specificity 90.9% and partial AUC 0.769). In summary, TE-LSM correlated well with hepatic venous pressure gradient and represented good diagnostic performance in diagnosing clinically significant portal hypertension. For use as a sensitive screening tool, we propose using low cut-off values of 13.6-18 kPa in TE-LSM.

Basal values and changes of liver stiffness predict the risk of disease progression in compensated advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Transient elastography has been proposed as a tool to predict the risk of decompensation in patients with chronic liver disease. We aimed to identify risk groups of disease progression, using a combination of baseline liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and its change over time (delta-LSM) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

METHODS

Ninety-four patients with baseline LSM ≥10kPa, Child-Pugh score 5 and without previous decompensation were included. A second LSM was performed during follow-up and data on liver function and liver-related events were collected. The primary endpoint was a composite that included death, liver decompensation and impairment in at least 1 point in Child-Pugh score.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 43.6 months, 15% of patients presented the primary endpoint. Multivariate analysis identified baseline LSM (OR 1.12, P=0.002) and delta-LSM (OR 1.02, P=0.048) as independent predictors of the primary endpoint. A high risk group represented by patients with baseline LSM ≥21kPa and delta-LSM ≥10% (risk of progression 47.1%, 95% CI: 23-71%) was identified, while patients with LSM <21kPa and delta-LSM <10% presented zero risk of progression (P=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Simple classification rules using baseline LSM and delta-LSM identify cACLD patients at low or high risk of disease progression.

The VITRO Score (Von Willebrand Factor Antigen/Thrombocyte Ratio) as a New Marker for Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Comparison to Other Non-Invasive Parameters of Fibrosis Including ELF Test

Background

Clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), defined as hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) ≥10 mmHg, causes major complications. HVPG is not always available, so a non-invasive tool to diagnose CSPH would be useful. VWF-Ag can be used to diagnose. Using the VITRO score (the VWF-Ag/platelet ratio) instead of VWF-Ag itself improves the diagnostic accuracy of detecting cirrhosis/ fibrosis in HCV patients.

Aim

This study tested the diagnostic accuracy of VITRO score detecting CSPH compared to HVPG measurement.

Methods

All patients underwent HVPG testing and were categorised as CSPH or no CSPH. The following patient data were determined: CPS, D’Amico stage, VITRO score, APRI and transient elastography (TE).

Results

The analysis included 236 patients; 170 (72%) were male, and the median age was 57.9 (35.2–76.3; 95% CI). Disease aetiology included ALD (39.4%), HCV (23.4%), NASH (12.3%), other (8.1%) and unknown (11.9%). The CPS showed 140 patients (59.3%) with CPS A; 56 (23.7%) with CPS B; and 18 (7.6%) with CPS C. 136 patients (57.6%) had compensated and 100 (42.4%) had decompensated cirrhosis; 83.9% had HVPG ≥10 mmHg. The VWF-Ag and the VITRO score increased significantly with worsening HVPG categories (P<0.0001). ROC analysis was performed for the detection of CSPH and showed AUC values of 0.92 for TE, 0.86 for VITRO score, 0.79 for VWF-Ag, 0.68 for ELF and 0.62 for APRI.

Conclusion

The VITRO score is an easy way to diagnose CSPH independently of CPS in routine clinical work and may improve the management of patients with cirrhosis.

Is the benefit of treating patients with cirrhosis proven?

Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related cirrhosis is an extremely heterogeneous pathological condition with a wide spectrum of clinical manifestations, ranging from pre-clinical to compensated and decompensated stages, each of which is characterized by a different clinical outcome. To measure the benefit of a sustained virological response (SVR) with interferon (IFN)-based therapy, several studies have been performed in patients with compensated disease, while only a few have been performed in decompensated disease. Nevertheless, these studies have certain methodological weaknesses that may limit the accuracy of results. Access to new, more effective and safe direct acting antivirals (DAAs) has significantly changed these outcomes, with SVR rates that were not seen previously, making antiviral treatment available to patients with end-stage liver disease. However, the clinical benefit of treating patients with late stage disease is still poorly understood and must be investigated. The existence of a point of no return beyond which a SVR is not beneficial has not yet been determined. All of these issues are discussed in this review.

Noninvasive assessment of portal hypertension in cirrhosis: liver stiffness and beyond

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a good, but still limited tool to noninvasively assess complications and prognosis in patients with advanced liver disease. This review aims to consider the role of LSM for the diagnosis of portal hypertension-related complications and for assessment of prognosis in cirrhotic patients, and to highlight the drawbacks as well as some alternatives for improving the performance. Hence, this field is far from being closed, and deserves more attention. There is still a place for more carefully designed studies to find new, innovative and reliable approaches.

Noninvasive Biomarkers of Liver Fibrosis: Clinical Applications and Future Directions

Chronic liver disease is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Current strategies for assessing prognosis and treatment rely on accurate assessment of disease stage. Liver biopsy is the gold standard for assessing fibrosis stage but has many limitations. Noninvasive biomarkers of liver fibrosis have been extensively designed, studied, and validated in a variety of liver diseases. With the advent of direct acting antivirals and the rise in obesity-related liver disease, there is a growing need to establish these noninvasive methods in the clinic. In addition, it has become increasingly clear over the last few years that noninvasive biomarkers can also be used to monitor response to antifibrotic therapies and predict liver outcomes, including hepatocellular carcinoma development. This review highlights the most well-established noninvasive biomarkers to-date, with a particular emphasis on serum and imaging-based methodologies.