Impact of liver fibrosis score on prognosis in patients with previous myocardial infarction: A prospective cohort study

A Comparison of the Prognostic Value of Liver Fibrosis Scores in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients With and Without Type 2 Diabetes

Liver fibrosis scores have been demonstrated to be associated with poor prognosis after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, no studies have compared the prognostic value of these scores in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with and without diabetes. We retrospectively enrolled 1576 AMI patients who underwent PCI. There were 177 all-cause deaths and 111 cardiac deaths during follow-up (median 3.8 years). The non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) showed a better prognostic value than the fibrosis-8 (FIB-8) score (Harrell's C-index: 0.703 vs 0.671, P = .014) and the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score (Harrell's C-index: 0.703 vs 0.648, P < .001) in the overall population. In the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis, the NFS also had the highest area under the curve across all time points. Consistent results were observed in diabetic and non-diabetic populations. Adding the NFS to traditional cardiovascular risk factors significantly improved the prediction both for all-cause mortality (Harrell's C-index: 0.806 vs 0.771, P < .001) and cardiac death (Harrell's C-index: 0.800 vs 0.771, P = .014). The NFS showed a better prognostic value than the FIB-8 score and the FIB-4 score in patients with AMI undergoing PCI, which might be preferable for estimating the risk of mortality regardless of the presence or absence of diabetes.

Immune Activation Mediates the Association of Advanced Hepatic Fibrosis With Adverse Outcomes in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease

BACKGROUND

Literature suggests a bidirectional association between advanced hepatic fibrosis (AHF) and coronary artery disease (CAD). We evaluated the association of AHF with immune activation, systemic inflammation, and adverse outcomes in patients with CAD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A fibrosis-4 index cutoff value ≥2.67 was used to define AHF. Circulating levels of soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor and hsCRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) were measured as markers for immune activation and systemic inflammation, respectively. The relationship of AHF with soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, hsCRP, and adverse cardiovascular outcomes was evaluated. Among 3406 participants with CAD, 479 had AHF. Participants with AHF were older; were less likely to be Black individuals; and had a lower body mass index, worse renal function, and a prior history of heart failure. In multivariable linear regression models adjusted for clinical and demographic confounders, participants with AHF had 15.6% higher soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor and 24.0% higher hsCRP levels. They were more likely to experience the following adverse outcomes: all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.57 ([95% CI, 1.29-1.92]; P<0.001) and cardiovascular death: (subdistribution HR, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.14-1.95]; P=0.003). Mediation analysis showed that 47.0% (95% CI, 13.6%-81.2%]; P=0.006) of the indirect effect of AHF on cardiovascular death was mediated by circulating soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor levels.

CONCLUSIONS

AHF is independently associated with immune activation, systemic inflammation, and adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with CAD. The association of AHF with adverse outcomes is partly mediated by immune activation, and targeting this pathway may help reduce the residual risk in patients with CAD.

Predictive value of liver fibrosis scores in cardiovascular diseases among hypertensive population

PURPOSE

To explore the predictive value of liver fibrosis scores [fibrosis-4, AST/platelet ratio index, BAAT score (BMI Age ALT TG), and BARD score (BMI AST/ALT Ratio Diabetes)] for the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in a hypertensive population.

METHODS

A total of 4164 hypertensive participants without history of CVD were enrolled in the follow-up. Four liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) were used, including the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), APRI, BAAT score, and BARD score. The endpoint was CVD incidence which was defined as stroke or coronary heart disease (CHD) during the follow-up period. Cox regression analyses were used to calculate hazard ratios between LFSs and CVD. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to show the probability of CVD in different levels of LFSs. Restricted cubic spline further explored whether the relationship between LFSs and CVD was linear. Finally, we assessed the discriminatory ability of each LFS for CVD was assessed using C -statistics, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up time of 4.66 years, 282 hypertensive participants had CVD. Kaplan-Meier curve showed that four LFSs were associated with CVD and high levels of LFSs significantly increase the probability of CVD in hypertensive population. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, the adjusted hazard ratios for four LFSs were 3.13 in FIB-4, 1.66 in APRI, 1.47 in BAAT score, and 1.36 in BARD score. Moreover, after adding LFSs to original risk prediction model, we find that all four new models have higher C -statistics of CVD than the traditional model. Furthermore, the results of both NRI and IDI were positive, indicating that LFSs enhanced the effect on the prediction of CVD.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed that LFSs were associated with CVD in hypertensive populations in northeastern China. Furthermore, it suggested that LFSs could be a new tool for identifying patients at high risk of primary CVD in a hypertensive population.

Comparison of liver fibrosis scores for predicting mortality and morbidity in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

AIMS

Liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) are non-invasive and effective tools for estimating cardiovascular risks. To better understand the advantages and limitations of currently available LFSs, we determined to compare the predictive values of LFSs in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) for primary composite outcome, atrial fibrillation (AF), and other clinical outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This was a secondary analysis of the TOPCAT trial, and 3212 HFpEF patients were enrolled. Five LFSs, namely, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), BARD, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, and Health Utilities Index (HUI) scores were adopted. Cox proportional hazard model and competing risk regression model were performed to assess the associations between LFSs and outcomes. The discriminatory power of each LFS was evaluated by calculating the area under the curves (AUCs). During a median follow-up of 3.3 years, a 1-point increase in the NFS [hazard ratio (HR) 1.10; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.17], BARD (HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.10-1.30), and HUI (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.09-1.89) scores was associated with an increased risk of primary outcome. Patients with high levels of NFS (HR 1.63; 95% CI 1.26-2.13), BARD (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.25-2.15), AST/ALT ratio (HR 1.30; 95% CI 1.05-1.60), and HUI (HR 1.25; 95% CI 1.02-1.53) were at an increased risk of primary outcome. Subjects who developed AF were more likely to have high NFS (HR 2.21; 95% CI 1.13-4.32). High levels of NFS and HUI scores were a significant predictor of any hospitalization and hospitalization for heart failure. The AUCs for the NFS in predicting primary outcome (0.672; 95% CI 0.642-0.702) and incident of AF (0.678; 95% CI 0.622-0.734) were higher than other LFSs.

CONCLUSIONS

In light of these findings, NFS appears to have superior predictive and prognostic utility compared with AST/ALT ratio, FIB-4, BARD, and HUI scores.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

(https://clinicaltrials.gov). Unique identifier: NCT00094302.

Liver fibrosis scores and prognosis in patients with cardiovascular diseases: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

In patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, liver fibrosis was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events. However, the relationship between liver fibrosis scores and clinical outcomes in patients with cardiovascular disease remains unclear.

METHODS

Searching from PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library databases yielded cohort studies that reported adjusted effect size between liver fibrosis scores (Fibrosis-4 score [FIB-4] or NAFLD fibrosis score [NFS]) and prognosis in patients with cardiovascular disease. The effect size was computed using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis included twelve cohort studies involving 25,252 patients with cardiovascular disease. Participants with the highest baseline level of FIB-4 or NFS had a significantly increased risk of cardiovascular events (FIB-4, HR: 1.75, 95% CI: 1.53-2.00, I ²  = 0%; NFS, HR: 1.92, 95% CI: 1.50-2.47, I ²  = 47%). This finding was consistent with the analysis of FIB-4 or NFS as a continuous variable (per 1-unit increment FIB-4, HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.06-1.24, I ²  = 72%; NFS, HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.07-1.24, I ²  = 71%). Furthermore, participants with the highest levels of FIB-4 or NFS had a greater risk of cardiovascular mortality (FIB-4, HR: 2.07, 95% CI: 1.19-3.61, I ²  = 89%; NFS, HR: 3.72, 95% CI: 2.62-5.29, I ²  = 60%) and all-cause mortality (FIB-4, HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.24-2.66, I ²  = 90%; NFS, HR: 3.49, 95% CI: 2.82-4.31, I ²  = 25%). This result was also consistent as a continuous variable.

CONCLUSION

Higher levels of FIB-4 and NFS are related to an increased risk of cardiovascular events, cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality in patients with cardiovascular disease.

Impact of liver fibrosis score on the incidence of stroke: A cohort study

PURPOSE

The purpose was to explore the value of liver fibrosis scores (fibrosis-4, BAAT score and BARD score) for incidence risk of stroke in a cohort study.

METHODS

A total of 9088 participants without stroke history enrolled the follow-up. Three liver fibrosis scores (LFSs) including FIB-4, BARD score and BAAT score were adopted. The end point was stroke. Cox regression analysis was used to calculate hazard ratios and 95% confidence interval. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to show the probability of stoke in different levels of LFSs. Subgroup analysis showed the association between LFSs and stroke under different stratification. Restricted cubic spline could further explore whether there is a linear relationship between LFSs and stroke. Finally, we used C-statistics, Net Reclassification Index (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) to assess the discriminatory power of each LFS for stroke.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up time of 4.66 years, 272 participants had a stroke. Through the baseline characteristics, we observed that the stroke incidence population tends to be male and older. It was shown by Kaplan-Meier that three LFSs were associated with stroke and high levels of LFSs significantly increase the probability of stroke. In the univariate Cox regression analysis, the HR of stroke risk was 6.04 (4.14-8.18) in FIB-4, 2.10 (1.45-3.04) in BAAT score and 1.81 (1.38-2.38) in BARD score by comparing the high level with the low level at each LFSs. The adjusted HRs for three LFSs were 2.05 (1.33-3.15) in FIB-4, 1.61 (1.10-2.35) in BAAT score and 1.54 (1.17-2.04) in BARD score by comparing the high group with low group. We found that multivariable-adjusted HRs of three LFSs still increased for stroke when stratified by various factors in subgroup analysis. Moreover, after adding LFSs to original risk prediction model which consist of age, sex, drinking, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol and triglycerides, we found that new models have higher C-statistics of stroke. Furthermore, we calculated Net Reclassification Index (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) to show the ability of LFSs to predict stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed that three LFSs were associated with stroke amongst middle-aged populations in rural areas of Northeast China. Furthermore, it suggests that LFSs can be used as a risk stratification tool to predict stroke.

Antibody to hepatitis B virus core antigen positivity is a predictor of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease severity

Insufficient information is available about co-factors favoring the progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) toward cirrhosis. We aimed to evaluate the impact of a limited alcohol intake and of occult hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (OBI) on the severity of NAFLD. Three-hundred-seventy-four alcohol non-abusers and HBV surface antigen negative NAFLD patients (223 males; mean age 55.4 years), consecutively admitted to the outpatients clinic of a referral liver unit from January 1st, 2018 to December 31st, 2019, were studied. Anti-HBV core antigen antibody [(anti-HBc), a surrogate marker of OBI] was assessed in all patients. Patients were distinguished between teetotal and moderate alcohol consumers (intake of less than 30 g and 20 g if males or females, respectively). Liver fibrosis was non-invasively assessed by FIB-4 and transient elastography. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors of advanced fibrosis. Patients had a mean BMI of 28.5 kg/m², and the majority presented metabolic and cardio-vascular comorbidities [258 patients (69%) had insulin resistance/diabetes, 249 (66.6%) dyslipidemia, 200 (53.5%) arterial hypertension]. Multivariate analysis showed that anti-HBc positivity (p = 0.046, OR 2.153) was a factor associated with advanced fibrosis at FIB-4 score testing, whereas moderate alcohol intake was not associated with severe NAFLD both at FIB-4 and transient elastography evaluations. The study showed that a moderate alcohol intake has no impact on NAFLD severity and suggested that OBI might negatively affect the NAFLD outcome.

Liver status and outcomes in patients without previous known liver disease receiving anticoagulant therapy for venous thromboembolism

The association between elevated liver enzymes or FIB-4 (fibrosis index 4) and outcome in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE) has not been evaluated. Data from patients in RIETE (Registro Informatizado Enfermedad TromboEmbólica) were used to assess the association between elevated liver enzymes or FIB-4 levels and the rates of major bleeding or death in apparent liver disease-free patients with acute VTE under anticoagulation therapy. A total of 6206 patients with acute VTE and without liver disease were included. Of them, 92 patients had major bleeding and 168 died under anticoagulation therapy. On multivariable analysis, patients with elevated liver enzymes were at increased mortality risk (HR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.10-2.28), while those with FIB-4 levels > 2.67 points were at increased risk for major bleeding (HR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.04-2.74). Evaluation of liver enzymes and FIB-4 index at baseline in liver disease-free patients with VTE may provide additional information on the risk for major bleeding or death during anticoagulation.

High Fibrosis-4 Index Is Related with Worse Clinical Outcome in Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 and Diabetes Mellitus: A Multicenter Observational Study

BACKGROUND

Based on recent evidence on the importance of the presence of diabetes mellitus (DM) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortality, we analyzed whether these factors could additively predict such mortality.

METHODS

This multicenter observational study included 1,019 adult inpatients admitted to university hospitals in Daegu. The demographic and laboratory findings, mortality, prevalence of severe disease, and duration of quarantine were compared between patients with and without DM and/or a high FIB-4 index. The mortality risk and corresponding hazard ratio (HR) were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

The patients with DM (n=217) exhibited significantly higher FIB-4 index and mortality compared to those without DM. Although DM (HR, 2.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.63 to 4.33) and a high FIB-4 index (HR, 4.20; 95% CI, 2.21 to 7.99) were separately identified as risk factors for COVID-19 mortality, the patients with both DM and high FIB-4 index had a significantly higher mortality (HR, 9.54; 95% CI, 4.11 to 22.15). Higher FIB-4 indices were associated with higher mortality regardless of DM. A high FIB-4 index with DM was more significantly associated with a severe clinical course with mortality (odds ratio, 11.24; 95% CI, 5.90 to 21.41) than a low FIB-4 index without DM, followed by a high FIB-4 index alone and DM alone. The duration of quarantine and hospital stay also tended to be longer in those with both DM and high FIB-4 index.

CONCLUSION

Both DM and high FIB-4 index are independent and additive risk factors for COVID-19 mortality.