Decreased mobility after starting dialysis is an independent risk factor for short-term mortality after initiation of dialysis

Development of a prognostic risk score to predict early mortality in incident elderly Japanese hemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

Information of short-term prognosis after hemodialysis (HD) introduction is important for elderly patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and their families choosing a modality of renal replacement therapy. Therefore, we developed a risk score to predict early mortality in incident elderly Japanese hemodialysis patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed data of incident elderly HD patients from a nationwide cohort study of the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy Renal Data Registry (JRDR) to develop a prognostic risk score. Candidate risk factors for early death within 1 year was evaluated using multivariate logistic regression analysis. The risk score was developed by summing up points derived from parameter estimate values of independent risk factors. The association between risk score and early death was tested using Cox proportional hazards models. This risk score was validated twice by using an internal validation cohort derived from the JRDR and an external validation cohort collected for this study.

RESULTS

Using the development cohort (n = 2,000), nine risk factors were retained in the risk score: older age (>85), yes = 2, no = 0; sex, male = 2, female = 0; lower body mass index (<20), yes = 2, no = 0; cancer, yes = 1, no = 0; dementia, yes = 3, no = 0; lower creatinine (<6.5 mg/dL), yes = 1, no = 0; lower albumin (<3.0 g/dL), yes = 3, no = 0; normal or high calcium (≥8.5 mg/dL), yes = 1, no = 0; and higher C reactive protein (>2.0 mg/dL), yes = 2, no = 0. In the internal and external validation cohorts (n = 739, 140, respectively), the medium- and high-risk groups (total score, 6 to 10 and 11 or more, respectively) showed significantly higher risk of early death than the low-risk group (total score, 0 to 5) (p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

We developed a prognostic risk score predicting early death within 1 year in incident elderly Japanese HD patients, which may help detect elderly patients with a high-risk of early death after HD introduction.

Associations of continuous anionic gap detection with the mortality in critically ill patients receiving renal replacement therapy

PURPOSE

To investigate the associations of anion gap (AG) levels before and 1-day after hemodialysis as well as anion gap changes with the mortality in critically ill patients receiving renal replacement therapy (RRT).

METHODS

Totally, 637 patients from MIMIC-III were included in this cohort study. The associations between AG (T0), AG (T1), or ∆AG [AG (T0) - AG (T1)], and the risk of 30-day or 1-year mortality were examined by Cox restricted cubic spline regression models. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards model was applied to assess the associations between AG (T0), AG (T1), ∆AG with 30-day and 1-year mortality, respectively.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 18.60 (8.53, 38.16) days and 263 (41.3%) patients were survived. There was a linear relationship between AG (T0), AG (T1) or ∆AG and the risk of 30-day or 1-year mortality, respectively. The risk of 30-day mortality was higher in AG (T0) > 21 group (HR = 1.723, 95% CI 1.263-2.350), and AG (T1) > 22.3 group (HR = 2.011, 95% CI 1.417-2.853), while lower in AG > 0 group (HR = 0.664, 95% CI 0.486-0.907). The risk of 1-year mortality was increased in AG (T0) > 21 group (HR = 1.666, 95% CI 1.310-2.119), and AG (T1) > 22.3 group (HR = 1.546, 95% CI 1.159-2.064), while decreased in AG > 0 group (HR = 0.765, 95% CI 0.596-0.981). Patients with AG (T0) ≤ 21 had higher 30-day and 1-year survival probability than those with AG (T0) > 21.

CONCLUSION

AG before and after dialysis as well as the changes of AG were important factors associated with the risk of 30-day and 1-year mortality in critically ill patients receiving RRT.

Dialysis or kidney transplantation in older adults? A systematic review summarizing functional, psychological, and quality of life-related outcomes after start of kidney replacement therapy

Background

In older patients, the choice between kidney transplantation (KT) and dialysis may be complicated because of a high prevalence of comorbidities and geriatric syndromes. Ideally, this decision-making process focusses on older patients’ outcome priorities, which frequently include functional, psychological, and quality of life (QOL)-related outcomes.

Purpose

This systematic review aims to summarize functional, psychological (including cognition), and QOL-related outcomes after start of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in older adults.

Methods

We searched PubMed and Embase for research that investigated change in these variables after start of KRT in patients aged ≥ 60 years. Data were extracted using the summary measures reported in the individual studies. Risk of bias was assessed with the ROBINS-I tool.

Results

Sixteen observational studies (prospective n = 9, retrospective n = 7; KT-recipients n = 3, dialysis patients n = 13) were included. The results show that QOL improves in the majority of the older KT recipients. After start of dialysis, QOL improved or remained stable for most patients, but this seems less prevalent than after KT. Functional status decreases in a substantial part of the older dialysis patients. Furthermore, the incidence of serious fall injuries increases after start of dialysis. Nutritional status seems to improve after start of dialysis.

Conclusion

The interpretability and comparability of the included studies are limited by the heterogeneity in study designs and significant risk of bias in most studies. Despite this, our overview of functional, psychological (including cognition), and QOL-related outcomes is useful for older adults and their clinicians facing the decision between KT and dialysis.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11255-022-03208-2.

Age, Gender and Diabetes as Risk Factors for Early Mortality in Dialysis Patients: A Systematic Review

Objective: To study the impact of age, gender, and presence of diabetes (any type) on the risk of early deaths (180-day mortality) in patients starting long-term hemodialysis (HD) therapy.Design: Systematic review of the literature.Setting: Out-patient (non-hospitalized), community-based HD therapy world-wide.Participants: Patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) starting long-term HD treatment for end-stage renal disease (ESRD).Methods: Medline and EMBASE were searched for studies published between 1/1/1985 and 12/31/2017. Observational studies involving adult subjects commencing HD were included. Data extracted included population characteristics and settings. In addition, patient or treatment related factors studied with reference to their relationship with the risk of early mortality were documented. The Quality in Prognosis Studies tool was used to assess risk of bias in individual studies. Findings were summarized, and a narrative account was drawn.Results: Included were 26 studies (combined population 1,098,769; representing 287,085 person-years of observation for early mortality). There were 17 cohort and 9 case-control studies. Risk of bias was low in 13 and high in a further 13 studies. Patients who died in the early period were older than those who survived. Mortality rates increased with advancing age. Female gender was associated with slightly increased early mortality rates in larger and higher quality studies. The available data showed conflicting results in relation to the association of diabetes and risk of early mortality.Conclusions: This systematic review evaluated the impact of key demographic and co-morbid factors on risk of early mortality in patients starting maintenance HD. The information could help in delivering more tailored prognostic information and planning of future interventions.

Delirium is independently associated with early mortality in elderly patients starting hemodialysis

BACKGROUND

Delirium is an independent predictor of death in patients undergoing dialysis for end-stage renal disease (ESRD). However, it is unknown whether delirium during hospitalization at the start of hemodialysis (HD) in elderly populations is associated with early mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study to investigate the association between delirium and early mortality in the elderly after starting HD. The cohort consisted of patients ≥ 75 years who started dialysis for ESRD at the National Center for Global Health and Medicine from 2010 to 2017 and at Yokosuka Kyosai Hospital from 2007 to 2011. Delirium was defined as patients who showed new symptoms of transient confused thinking and reduced awareness of their environment and were prescribed antipsychotic medications. The primary outcome was death within 1 year. Data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard models with adjustments for baseline characteristics. A multinomial logistic regression was used to identify the determinants of patients developing delirium.

RESULTS

We enrolled 259 patients (males, 60%); 33 patients were diagnosed with delirium. The primary outcome was observed in 19 patients with delirium (58%) and 24 patients without delirium (11%) (p < 0.01). Delirium was independently associated with all-cause mortality within 1 year after starting HD (hazard ratio 7.82, 95% confidence interval 4.26-14.3; adjusted hazard ratio 7.16, 95% confidence interval 3.49-14.7). Delirium was positively correlated with "cognitive impairment" as well as "the use of steroids."

CONCLUSION

Delirium is independently associated with early mortality in the elderly after starting HD.

Can incremental haemodialysis reduce early mortality rates in patients starting maintenance haemodialysis?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Early mortality rates after the start of maintenance haemodialysis therapy are high. Compared with three-times weekly haemodialysis, incremental haemodialysis is associated with better preservation of residual renal function (RRF) and at least equivalent mid-term to long-term survival. However, there is paucity of data in relation to its use as a means of helping patients through the transitional period, when they first become dialysis dependent.

RECENT FINDINGS

Studies of incremental haemodialysis have overlooked early mortality as an outcome measure. This is primarily due to their retrospective design which makes it difficult to link early deaths to the frequency of haemodialysis. New data confirm previous observations associating incremental haemodialysis with favourable outcomes. They also raise the possibility that in selected groups and for short periods, the pursuit of set clearance targets during the early days of dialysis may not necessarily bring additional short-term gains.

SUMMARY

We argue that, while simpler ways of estimating RRF are being explored, future trials must consider implementing incremental haemodialysis focusing on practical aspects of care in the transitional period; safety monitoring in such regimes should be undertaken using conventional methods. Such an approach is likely to benefit a larger subset of haemodialysis population.

Anion gap predicts early mortality after starting hemodialysis in the elderly

BACKGROUND

Serum anion gap (AG) has recently been proven to represent a biomarker for predicting prognosis in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). However, whether change in AG (ΔAG) at the time of starting hemodialysis predicts mortality after starting hemodialysis in elderly patients with ESRD remains unknown.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort investigated the association between ΔAG and mortality after starting hemodialysis in the elderly. The cohort comprised patients ≥ 75 years old who started hemodialysis for ESRD at National Center for Global Health and Medicine between 2010 and 2017 and at Yokosuka Kyosai Hospital between 2007 and 2011. Patients were stratified into three groups (G1-3) based on ΔAG, calculated according to the equation: ΔAG = sodium - (chloride + bicarbonate) - 12. The primary outcome was death within 1 year of starting hemodialysis. Data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard models with adjustments for baseline characteristics.

RESULTS

We enrolled 254 patients (59% male). Median ΔAG was 2.6 (G1: > 3, n = 111; G2: 0-3, n = 103; G3: < 0, n = 40). The primary outcome was observed in 43 patients. Hazard ratios (HRs) were significantly higher for G1 and G3 than for G2 (G1: HR 2.47, 95% confidence interval 1.13-5.37; G3: HR 3.86, 95% confidence interval 1.62-9.16). Adjusted HRs (aHRs) were significantly higher for G1 and G3 than for G2 (G1: aHR 3.06, 95% confidence interval 1.23-7.62; G3: aHR 3.12, 95% confidence interval 1.10-8.78).

CONCLUSIONS

A J-curve phenomenon is evident between ΔAG and early mortality after starting hemodialysis in the elderly.

Early Mortality Rates After Commencement of Maintenance Hemodialysis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Mortality rates are reported to be high soon after the commencement of maintenance HD for ESRD. Our aim was to estimate early mortality rates (deaths within 180 days of starting therapy), through a systematic review of literature, in this patient population. Medline and EMBASE were searched for publications between 1 January 1985 and 31 December 2017. Observational studies reporting deaths involving adults commencing HD were included. The Quality in Prognosis Studies tool was used to assess risk of bias in studies. Crude mortality rates (expressed in 100 person-years) and age-standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated. Meta-analyses of these rates were conducted for studies with lowest risk of bias (i.e. highest quality). In total, 32 studies were included (combined population: 1 083 264) representing 283 277 person-years of observation; median follow-up: 90 days. Mortality rates ranged between 12.8 and 55.6 per 100 person-years. Cardiovascular causes accounted for the majority of early deaths. Meta-analysis of high-quality studies showed an overall crude mortality rate of 32.6 per 100 person-years (95% CI 32.4-32.8). This equates to 16.3% mortality in first 180 days of starting HD. Six high-quality studies contained sufficient data for calculation of SMR. Meta-analysis of SMRs showed that patients starting HD therapy sustain 8.8 times higher mortality rates compared to the general population. We have combined the results of high-quality studies to produce new estimates of early mortality rates after commencement of HD therapy. This information can help relay more reliable prognostic information to this patient population.

Relative prognostic impact of nutrition, anaemia, bone metabolism and cardiovascular comorbidities in elderly haemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

The prognostic impact of nutrition and chronic kidney disease (CKD) complications has already been described in elderly haemodialysis patients but their relative weights on risk of death remain uncertain. Using structural equation models (SEMs), we aimed to model a single variable for nutrition, each CKD complication and cardiovascular comorbidities to compare their relative impact on elderly haemodialysis patients' survival.

METHODS

This prospective study recruited 3165 incident haemodialysis patients ≥75 years of age from 178 French dialysis units. Using SEMs, the following variables were computed: nutritional status, anaemia, mineral and bone disorder and cardiovascular comorbidities. Systolic blood pressure was also used in the analysis. Survival analyses used Poisson models.

RESULTS

The population average age was 81.9 years (median follow-up 1.51 years, 35.5% deaths). All variables were significantly associated with mortality by univariate analysis. Nutritional status was the variable most strongly associated with mortality in the multivariate analysis, with a negative prognostic impact of low nutritional markers {incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.42 per 1 standard deviation [SD] decrement [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32-1.53]}. The 'cardiovascular comorbidities' variable was the second variable associated with mortality [IRR 1.19 per 1 SD increment (95% CI 1.11-1.27)]. A trend towards low intact parathyroid hormone and high serum calcium and low values of systolic blood pressure were also associated with poor survival. The variable 'anaemia' was not associated with survival.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings should help physicians prioritize care in elderly haemodialysis patients with CKD complications, with special focus on nutritional status.

Bioengineering Organs for Blood Detoxification

For patients with severe kidney or liver failure the best solution is currently organ transplantation. However, not all patients are eligible for transplantation and due to limited organ availability, most patients are currently treated with therapies using artificial kidney and artificial liver devices. These therapies, despite their relative success in preserving the patients' life, have important limitations since they can only replace part of the natural kidney or liver functions. As blood detoxification (and other functions) in these highly perfused organs is achieved by specialized cells, it seems relevant to review the approaches leading to bioengineered organs fulfilling most of the native organ functions. There, the culture of cells of specific phenotypes on adapted scaffolds that can be perfused takes place. In this review paper, first the functions of kidney and liver organs are briefly described. Then artificial kidney/liver devices, bioartificial kidney devices, and bioartificial liver devices are focused on, as well as biohybrid constructs obtained by decellularization and recellularization of animal organs. For all organs, a thorough overview of the literature is given and the perspectives for their application in the clinic are discussed.

Bioengineering in renal transplantation: technological advances and novel options

End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is one of the most prevalent diseases in the world with significant morbidity and mortality. Current modes of renal replacement therapy include dialysis and renal transplantation. Although dialysis is an acceptable mode of renal replacement therapy, it does have its shortcomings, which include poorer life expectancy compared with renal transplantation, risk of infections and vascular thrombosis, lack of vascular access and absence of biosynthetic functions of the kidney. Renal transplantation, in contrast, is the preferred option of renal replacement therapy, with improved morbidity and mortality rates and quality of life, compared with dialysis. Renal transplantation, however, may not be available to all patients with ESKD. Some of the key factors limiting the availability and efficiency of renal transplantation include shortage of donor organs and the constant risk of rejection with complications associated with over-immunosuppression respectively. This review focuses chiefly on the potential roles of bioengineering in overcoming limitations in renal transplantation via the development of cell-based bioartificial dialysis devices as bridging options before renal transplantation, and the development of new sources of organs utilizing cell and organ engineering.

Low white blood cell count is independently associated with chronic kidney disease progression in the elderly: the CKD-ROUTE study

BACKGROUND

Elevated white blood cell (WBC) count is a well-known predictor of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. However, elderly patients commonly fail to develop a high WBC count in response to several diseased states and may instead present a low WBC count. Therefore, we hypothesized that low WBC count, in addition to high WBC count, is associated with CKD progression in the elderly.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study using 3-year follow-up data from the CKD Research of Outcomes in Treatment and Epidemiology study. In the present study, participants aged over 60 years with pre-dialysis CKD stages G2-G5 were eligible. Patients were stratified into three groups according to WBC count using tertiles (T). The primary outcome was a composite of end-stage renal disease and a 50% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate. Data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard models with adjustments for covariates.

RESULTS

We enrolled 697 patients (males, 69%). The median WBC count was 6100 cells/µl (T1, <5400, n =  222; T2, 5400-6900, n =  235; T3, ≥6900, n = 240). During a median follow-up of 868 days, the primary outcome was observed in 170 patients, whereas 54 patients died. T1 and T3 had significantly higher hazard ratios (HR) than T2 (T1, HR 1.69, 95% confidence interval 1.14-2.51; T3, HR 1.63, 95% confidence interval 1.10-2.41). Moreover, T1 had a significantly higher adjusted HR (1.54, 95% confidence interval 1.00-2.37).

CONCLUSION

Low WBC count is independently associated with CKD progression in the elderly.

A closer look at the trajectory of physical functioning in chronic hemodialysis

Background

in chronic hemodialysis, physical functioning (PF) is known to be poor. We set out to assess to what extent chronic dialysis patients are able to maintain a good physical condition over time and what the influence of age is on the trajectory of PF.

Methods

we used data form 714 prevalent hemodialysis patients, enrolled in the CONvective TRAnsport STudy (CONTRAST). The PF subscale of the KDQOL SF-36 was assessed at baseline (n = 679) and during 2 years of follow-up (n = 298). Baseline PF score (0-100) was categorized into tertiles (good, intermediate and low). Change of PF of ≥ 5 points was considered clinically relevant. A regression model was applied to assess factors related to 'decline of PF (≥5 points)/low PF (0-33) at follow-up'.

Results

during follow-up, only 15.3 % (1 out of 6) of patients succeeded in maintaining a good physical condition, the remainder deteriorated or died. Of the older patients (≥75) only 3.6% remained in a good physical condition. Factors related to decline/low PF were increasing age (odds ratio [OR] = 1.96 [95% CI: 1.03-3.72] for 65-74 years and OR = 2.38 [95%CI: 1.17-4.84] for ≥75 years compared to <65 years) and albumin (OR = 1.10 [95%CI: 1.01-1.18] per g/L decrease).

Conclusion

very few hemodialysis patients maintain a good physical condition over a 2-year time span. Especially in older patients, physical performance is poor and decline is faster than in the healthy population. These findings should be taken into account when considering dialysis in older patients and more emphasis should be placed to attempts for improving physical condition.

Functional and Cognitive Impairment, Frailty, and Adverse Health Outcomes in Older Patients Reaching ESRD-A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Older patients reaching ESRD have a higher risk of adverse health outcomes. We aimed to determine the association of functional and cognitive impairment and frailty with adverse health outcomes in patients reaching ESRD. Understanding these associations could ultimately lead to prediction models to guide tailored treatment decisions or preventive interventions.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, CENTRAL, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and COCHRANE for original studies published until February 8, 2016 reporting on the association of functional or cognitive impairment or frailty with adverse health outcome after follow-up in patients reaching ESRD either with or without RRT.

RESULTS

Of 7451 identified citations, we included 30 articles that reported on 35 associations. Mean age was >60 years old in 73% of the studies, and geriatric conditions were highly prevalent. Twenty-four studies (80%) reported on functional impairment, seven (23%) reported on cognitive impairment, and four (13%) reported on frailty. Mortality was the main outcome measure in 29 studies (97%), and one study assessed functional status trajectory. In 34 of 35 (97%) associations reported, functional or cognitive impairment or frailty was significantly and independently associated with adverse health outcomes. The majority of studies (83%) were conducted in selected patient populations, mainly patients on incident dialysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Functional and cognitive impairment and frailty in patients reaching ESRD are highly prevalent and strongly and independently associated with adverse health outcomes, and they may, therefore, be useful for risk stratification. More research into their prognostic value is needed.

The Relevance of Geriatric Impairments in Patients Starting Dialysis: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

With aging of the general population, patients who enter dialysis therapy will more frequently have geriatric impairments and a considerable comorbidity burden. The most vulnerable among these patients might benefit from conservative therapy. Whether assessment of geriatric impairments would contribute to the decision-making process of dialysis initiation is unknown.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

A systematic Medline and Embase search was performed on December 1, 2015 to identify studies assessing the association between risk of mortality or hospitalization and one or more geriatric impairments at the start of dialysis therapy, including impairment of cognitive function, mood, performance status or (instrumental) activities of daily living, mobility (including falls), social environment, or nutritional status.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven studies were identified that assessed one or more geriatric impairments with respect to prognosis. The quality of most studies was moderate. Only seven studies carried out an analysis of elderly patients (≥70 years old). Malnutrition and frailty were systematically assessed, and their relation with mortality was clear. In addition, cognitive impairment and functional outcomes at the initiation of dialysis were related to an increased mortality in most studies. However, not all studies applied systematic assessment tools, thereby potentially missing relevant impairment. None of the studies applied a geriatric assessment across multiple domains.

CONCLUSIONS

Geriatric impairment across multiple domains at dialysis initiation is related to poor outcome. However, information in the elderly is sparse, and a systematic approach of multiple domains with respect to poor outcome has not been performed. Because a geriatric assessment has proved useful in predicting outcome in other medical fields, its potential role in the ESRD population should be the subject of future research.